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climate messages
Tim Rayner and Asher Minns, Tyndall Centre, University of East Anglia
Abstract
Better engagement of policymakers, planners and wider society with climate scientists and other experts, to evaluate evidence and move towards adaptive responses,
requires new approaches to communication. With the probability that global mean temperature rise can be kept below the 2oC target continuing to diminish, citizens and
organisations need to engage with the kind of knowledge about the likelihood and implications of severe future impacts that few want to hear. The EU-funded HELIX
project brought together individuals from a range of disciplinary and organisational backgrounds for a workshop to discuss how the challenges of high-end scenarios can
most effectively be communicated. Participants suggested that unless the complexity of dealing with the thousands of decisions that might be affected by high-end
o
climate change can be simplified, and the emotional implications are handled sensitively, simply presenting audiences with the prospect of a 4 C world is more likely to
provoke rejection, fatalism and disengagement than adaptive responses. New forms of communication, with new audiences in new venues are needed, through which
unwelcome messages can be conveyed to citizens and decision makers in a more context-specific manner.
Underestimating the likelihood of exceeding 2oC may render much current policy
and planning maladaptive. Adaptation may need to be transformational, involving
e.g. abandonment of currently cherished policy objectives and settlements.
Meeting the 2C target means leaving 1/3 of oil reserves, 1/2 of gas reserves and
>80% of coal unused from 2010 to 2050, (McGlade and Ekins 2015).
Policy responses will likely become more interventionist and disruptive,
presenting ideological difficulties for many.
politicians, planners,
businesses
wider publics.
Results will be available as a HELIX project briefing.
Stressing implications for localities where people live can improve engagement.
Avoid arbitrary future cut-off dates, which can exclude largest impacts.
Pay less attention to the central tendency (what is most-likely), and more to the
significant chance that climate sensitivity is high, and the implications.
For the wider public, dont always start with climate, but with places people
value, then showing how climate affects them. Include narratives and stories; more
experiential learning activities.
Moser, S.C. (2012) Getting real about it: Navigating the psychological and social demands of a world in distress. In: Rigling Gallagher,
D. et al (eds), Sage Handbook on Environmental Leadership, SAGE.
Moser, S.C. (2014) Whither the Heart(-to-Heart)? Prospects for a humanistic turn in environmental communication as the world
changes darkly. In: Hansen, A. and R. Cox (eds.), Handbook on Environment and Communication. London: Routledge.
Tim.Rayner@uea.ac.uk.
A.Minns@uea.ac.uk
Drawings by: www.ruthmacdougall.info
HELIX is sixteen climate research organisations funded through the EU to work together to explore
consequences and responses to the challenge of high-end global warming.