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market summary
Mexico buys three vessels for final quarter as
Brazil and US bid for spot tonnes
Fertinal in Mexico is believed to have purchased three vessels all for fourth quarter requirements. Prices are heard in
the low $70s/t cfr Lzaro Crdenas although unconfirmed.
One of the vessels will be loaded in Onsan, South Korea, in
October while origins of the other two vessels are unclear.
The buyer is not fully covered for 2014 yet and will require
additional acid, though Fertinal is expected to wait to
cover.
price guide
Sulphuric acid spot prices
24-Jul
+/-
10 20
10 20
0 q
0 10
0 10
0 q
37
37
0 q
25* 35*
25* 35*
0 q
NW Europe export
Mediterranean
South Korea/Japan
China
Spot prices - cfr
Outlook: Firm.
31-Jul
Spot prices - fob
$/t
Chile
60 70
60 70
0 q
Brazil
60 65
60 65
0 q
North Africa
40 45
40 45
0 q
US vessel import
55 65
55 65
0 q
India
38 43
38 43
0 q
$/t
2014
6069
2013
90100
NW Europe
(smelter)
/t
H2-14
5070
H1-14
4565
NW Europe
(smelter)
/t
Q3-14
5070
Q2-14
5070
China
$/t
Q3-14
2025
Q2-14
2025
$/t
750
500
--
250
0
30 Jun 11
03 Nov 11
15 Mar 12
19 Jul 12
22 Nov 12
04 Apr 13
fuNdameNtaLs
supply - metals and ores
n RTB Bors new smelter continues to be plagued by
financial problems and commercial operation is expected to
be delayed to the second quarter next year at best.
n The future of the Gela refinery in Italy remains unclear
as crisis talks are ongoing after a 30,000 strong strike across
the companys Italian sites took place on 29 July.
n Freeport-McMoRan has announced a smelter expansion
project at its Miami, Arizona, operations. Upon completion,
the copper concentrate throughput for the smelter will increase by 30pc to a capacity of 900,000 t/yr. The expanded
smelter acid production from the current capacity of around
700,000 t/yr to around 900,000 t/yr is expected to be used
internally at the companys Safford, Arizona, copper leach
facility.
supply - sulphur
n Healthy sulphur demand and tight supply coupled with a
firm phosphates market continue to support sulphur prices.
n Qatars Tasweeq posted a new monthly price for August
liftings at $169/t fob, much in line with Aramcos earlier
price declared at $170/t fob for August liftings. This suggests
spot freight $/t
31-Jul
24-Jul
+/- ($)
US Gulf
35 40
35 40
North Africa
16 20
16 20
Brazil
40 45
40 45
Chile
55 60
55 60
US Gulf
38 42
38 42
North Africa
15 18
15 18
Nw europe
mediterranean
south korea/Japan
East coast India
28 32
28 32
China
19 22
19 22
Chile
65 75
65 75
US Gulf
75 80
75 80
Page 2 of 11
South america
Brazil
Petrobras in the market looking for September arrival
Petrobras is in the market inquiring for around 15,000t
of sulphuric acid for early September arrival in Barra Dos
Coqueiros, suggesting prompt loading. The buyer recently
received the MTM Houston, which loaded 15,000t of acid in
Rotterdam in the first half of July.
There are expectations for a fertilizer producer to enter the
spot market imminently for a cargo, possibly for October
arrival.
Fertilizer producers in Brazil report that demand has been
slow in recent weeks because of falling grain prices. Sellers
are expecting comfortable order books for the fourth quarter however, which will support sulphuric acid demand.
Mexico
Three shipments fixed for 4Q arrival in Lzaro Crdenas
There are strong indications that new cargoes have been
fixed for fourth quarter delivery to Lzaro Crdenas.
Market sources say that up to three cargoes have been
finalised, reportedly concluded in the low $70s/t cfr. One
of them is heard to be loading in Onsan, South Korea, for
November arrival.
Brazil Petrobras is
asking for 15,000t of
acid for early September arrival in Barra Dos
Coqueiros. Two vessels,
19,000t each, were
fixed for August loading
in Europe for Brazil.
Page 3 of 11
South Korea CS
Onsans fourthquarter voyage
is reportedly
fixed under a
spot sale for October loading.
Estimated
monthly
production t
November-December
2014
25
120,000
Japan - Tamano
October-November 2014
48
58,000
Planned
Peru - Ilo
October 2014
28-30
79,000
Planned
Anglo American
Chile - Chagres
October 2014
15
40,000
Planned
Kennecott
September 2014
65
80,000
Planned
Enami
Chile - Paipote
June 2014
26
24,000
Planned
Nyrstar
Australia - Hobart
May
14
33,000
Planned
Incitec Pivot
May/June 2014
35
Est 58,000
Planned
LS Nikko
June 2014
15
50,000-60,000
Tessenderlo
Belgium - Ham
May
21
30,000
Planned
Vale
7 May 2014
21
83,000
Planned
Sterlite
India - Tuticorin
26 April 2014
22 90,000-100,000
Planned
Codelco
Chile - El Teniente
April 2014
25
83,000
Planned
Codelco
Chile - Ventanas
March 2014
25
30,000
Planned
Codelco
Chile - Chuquicamata
March 2014
25
45,000-50,000
Planned
Japan - Tamano
14
58,000
Planned
Vale Japan
Japan - Matsuzaka
43
3,500
Planned
Japan - Hachinohe
39
12,500
Planned
Toho Zinc
Japan - Chigirishima
21
3,000
Planned
GlencoreXstrata
Chile - Altonorte
January 2014
10
83,000
Planned
Noracid
Chile - Mejillones
21
50,000-60,000
Company
Location
Japan - Saganoseki
Start date
PT Smelting
Indonedia - Gresik
2H January 2014
GlencoreXstrata
Philippines - PASAR
8 November 2013
Chile
Workers at Collahuasi, a joint venture between Anglo American and Glencore, held a 24-hour strike on 26 July following
the recent death of a worker from meningitis. Operations
at Collahuasi were not disrupted by strike action, according to the company. The company has been administering
preventative doses of anti-bacterial drugs to all workers and
contractors to control any further cases.
18
80,000
~125
50,000
Comments
Planned. Around 100,000t
expected to be lost
Planned
Planned. Restarted in mid
February 2014
Unplanned. Restarted in
mid March 2014
Peru
Tia Maria awaiting final environmental approval
Tia Maria now awaits a final approval of an Environmental Impact Assessment during the third quarter, according
to the latest financial results report by Southern Copper
Corporation. Sources close to the company say a result is
expected in the coming month. The project will produce
120,000t of copper cathodes and consume 720,000 t/yr of
sulphuric acid when operations are commenced in 2016.
North America
US
One buyer in the market is looking for prompt tonnage with
just one supplier actively offering volume. Price ideas on
the buy side are in the prevailing price range of $55-65/t cfr
Page 4 of 11
Origin
Seller
Buyer
Destination
000t
$/t
Shipment
Sulphuric acid
Various
Traders
Fertinal
Mexico
3 x 20
L 70s cfr
4Q
South Korea
Korea Zinc
Vietnam
45 cfr
Aug
Peru/Chile
Codelco
Chile
30
60 cfr
Aug-Oct
Codelco
Chile
20
60 cfr
Jun/Jul
Poland
Trader
Yara
Brazil
17
Jun/Jul
Peru/Offshore
Codelco
Chile
35
65 cfr
May/Jun
Trader
Anglo American
Chile
10
H60s-L70s cfr
May-Aug
Philippines
GlencoreXstrata
PPL
India
20
35 cfr
May
Japan
Quantum
CIL
India
18
39-43 cfr
May
Europe
Trader
End-user
US
20
L 50s cfr
May
South Korea
LS Nikko
Trader
Chile
25
L 70s cfr
July
Europe
Aurubis
Yara
Brazil
18
50-55 cfr
June
Europe
Aurubis
Yara
Brazil
18
50-55 cfr
May
Europe
Mosaic
Brazil
2x12
48-50 cfr
Apr/May
while the sell side continues to push for prices in the high
$60s/t cfr.
IMF cut its projection for US GDP growth substantially in an
update to its World Economic Outlook: Down to 1.7pc for
2014 from the 2.8pc expected back in April.
Vessel
Discharge/
arrival
CIL/Sterlite Nolowati
5,500
Tuticorin
Vizag
1-Jun
CIL/Sterlite Nolowati
6,977
Tuticorin
kakinada
6-Jun
IFFCO/Korea Fairchem
Zinc
Steed
19,700
Onsan Paradeep
7-Jun
7,003
Tuticorin
kakinada
21-Jun
CIL/Hindalco Laurel
Galaxy
7,500
Dahej
kakinada
22-Jun
CIL/Quantum Wawasan
Jade
12,051
Japan
Vizag
24-Jun
CIL/Quantum Wawasan
Jade
7,000
Japan
kakinada
27-Jun
IFFCO/
Trammo
AS Ophelia
10,430
Japan Paradeep
1-Jul
PPL/Korea
Zinc
ChemRout
Oasis
19,949
Onsan Paradeep
2-Jul
Hindalco/
Philippines
Success
Marlina
15,025
Dahej
Taganito
9-Jul
PPL/Korea
Zinc
Onsan Paradeep
19-Jul
CIL/Korea
Zinc
MTM Gibraltor
8,400
Onsan
Vizag
21-Jul
FACT/SterliteYong Tong 1
9,621
Tuticorin
Cochin
19-Jul
Japan
Vizag/
Kakinada
05-Aug
CIL/TBC
Page 5 of 11
re-opened after maintenance, causing workers to stage sitdown strikes to prevent ships loading stored product.
In related news, the IMF looks for the euro area to grow
1.1pc this year according to an update to its World Economic
Outlook.
Serbia
Construction of new Bor smelter unfinished, commercial
production date pushed back
Europe
Northwest Europe
Some spot tonnes for fourth quarter loading have been
under discussions but no conclusions are heard yet. Seller
price ideas fall in the range of $20-30/t fob based on latest
sales into Brazil and a recent spot offer into the US. Market
players, however, expressed concerns that demand in the
later part of the year from nearby markets may not be as
robust as some have hoped for.
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Page 6 of 11
South Korea
CS Onsans fourth quarter voyage fixed?
There are strong indications that LS Nikko has sold some
sulphuric acid, to be delivered on the CS Onsan for October
loading potentially for Chile, on a spot basis. While the cfr
price and the buyer were not confirmed at press time, the
last reported deals in Chile fell in the range of $60-70/t cfr
Mejillones. There is market speculation that the purchase is
to cover short selling.
Asia
China
China continues to grow its phosphate and compound
fertilizer capacity and to accommodate this, many more
sulphur-based sulphuric acid plants have been designed or
built by local fertilizer producers for captive use.
RUSSIA
Already built:
1. Qingping Phosphate Mine: 300,000 t/yr
KAZ AKH S TAN
sulphur-based plant in Deyang, Sichuan
Heilongjiang
Daqing
Harbin
M O N G O LI A
Jilin
Tieling
Dandong
Yellow
ri
ver
Inner Mongol
C H I N A
SOUTH
KO R E A
Qingdao
un
er
riv
Tsangp
o river
8. Kailin: 800,000 t/yr
sulphuric
acid plant
in Kaiyang, Guizhou
4
9 Hubei
Sichuan
5
2
Hunan
Zhuhai
V I E T N AM
M YAN M AR
LAO S
Page 7 of 11
T H AI LAN D
Ningbo
Zhejiang
Fujian
Quanzhou
Quanzhou
Xiamen
Xiamen
Guangzhou
Liuzhou
Yunnan
Zhanjing
Hainan
Shanghai
Jiangxi
Guizhou
Nanjing
Anhui
Ya
n
ek
Henan
ive
er
Shannxi
gtz
Lanzhou
Dalian
Shanflong
Tibet
Yanlon
g
NORTH
KO R E A
Shijiazhuang
Under construction:
Qinghai
6. Guizhou Kingenta: 400,000 t/yr sulphurbased plant in Wengan, Guizhou
N E PAL
Tianjin
Beijing
Gansu
Fushun
TAI WAN
Hong Kong
India
Both Coromandel and IFFCO are heard to be in the market
looking for spot tonnes. Coromandel has yet to agree with
any supplier its requirements for the last quarter of 2014.
One buyer is also heard to be looking for spot tonnes for
delivery to Buj Buj.
Indonesia
FCX is set to resume copper concentrate exports
PT Freeport Indonesia (PT-FI), the Indonesian subsidiary
of Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), received approval from the
Indonesian government on 25 July to resume exports of
copper concentrates. PT-FI is to resume full operations
at the curtailed Grasberg operation immediately and
concentrate exports are expected to commence in August
2014.
Since early this year, when the Indonesian government
applied regulations to ban exports of metal ores and raise
the export tax on mineral concentrates, concentrate
inventory in Indonesia has been building.
PT-FI has now entered into a Memorandum of Understanding
(MoU) with the government - though yet to be signed under which both parties have agreed to negotiate an
amended Contract of Work (CoW) to address provisions
related to various issues including the continuation of
operations post-2021. The existing CoW had a provision for
two 10-year extensions to operations at Grasberg, a mine
that is expected to raise copper production from 2016.
Page 8 of 11
Southern Copper Corporation reports net sales for the second quarter at $1.49bn, a 9.8pc climb on the previous quarter because of higher sales volume of copper (7.1pc growth),
molybdenum and silver. EBITA during the same quarter
grew 5.7pc to $707.6mn on first quarter, though the margin
decreased from 49.4pc to 47.6pc as a result of higher cost
including that for fuel.
BHP now awaits approval from the federal and south Australian governments to construct the demonstration plant,
which is slated to commence in the second half of 2015,
with a projected trial period of 36 months.
A series of staged development options that would make
Olympic Dam a leading producer of copper and uranium
were shelved in 2012 when the company cut capital expenditure on the back of weakened commodity prices.
Heap-leaching of ores could remove the need to duplicate
costly smelting and refining operations at Olympic Dam,
which produced 2,495t of copper ore and 51,000t of copper
cathode for the last quarter.
Apr 14 % in Apr
T
Jan-Apr
14
Jan-Apr
13
Change
16,865
56%
33,521
15,908
111%
Germany
7,829
26%
25,672
23,994
7%
Czech
Republic
3,588
12%
13,709
12,562
9%
Slovakia
1,305
4%
6,770
6,450
5%
401
1%
4,222
5,150
-18%
Hungary
1,656
835
98%
Morocco
10,010
-100%
UK
4,689
-100%
Others
277
817
2,026
-59%
World
30,265
100%
86,368
81,622
6%
Austria
Page 9 of 11
Apr 14 % in Apr
T
Jan-Apr
14
Jan-Apr
13
Change
Netherlands
9,954
29%
48230
61214
-21%
France
8,909
26%
33658
40368
-17%
12,371
36%
31447
25050
26%
19422
1,326
4%
4663
5105
-9%
654
2%
1519
788
93%
Morocco
31059
-100%
US
34961
-100%
Ireland
954
-100%
Ghana
199
1%
470
388
21%
Others
613
1.8%
3,502
3,912
-10%
World
34,021
100%
142,909
203,795
-30%
Germany
Brazil
UK
Mali
22,004
T
Jan-May
13
Change
18%
91,060
273
87,227
44,832
95%
Cuba
24,000
20%
82,516
54,524
51%
Belgium
13,313
11%
65,404
43,228
51%
France
17,468
14%
63,992
54,918
17%
Netherlands
5,060
4%
40,609
51,314
-20%
10,976
9%
39,255
35,933
9%
5,899
5%
26,385
34,333
-23%
Namibia
24,000
22,000
9%
Norway
11,818
10%
20,381
41,156
-50%
Austria
3,958
3%
18,878
18,619
1%
Denmark
1,202
1%
7,523
8,514
-12%
Uruguay
5,104
21,001
-76%
Portugal
4,211
3%
4,223
5,266
- 20%
918
1%
3,967
3,824
4%
Finland
84
190
56,683
-99%
Chile
21
126
22,130
-99%
Others
1,600
1%
9,164
20,095
World
122,539
100%
589,999
538,640
Spain
UK
Switzerland
T
Jan-Apr
13
Change
23,498
65%
34,114
43,714
-21.96
Belgium
9,563
26%
30,150
18,481
63%
Germany
2,367
7%
17,686
19,807
-11%
UK
4,806
Cote dvoire
Dominican
Republic
France
1,083
25
4302%
157
51
158
3,597
-96%
Others
652
2%
3,369
6,287
-46%
World
36,286
100%
91,363
91,916
1%
Apr 14 % in Apr
T
Jan-Apr
14
Jan-Apr
13
Change
Turkey
40,819
59%
180,052
177,346
2%
Morocco
19,100
28%
53,744
37,891
42%
Romania
1,267
2%
11,268
14,416
-22%
Greece
1,687
2%
6,269
5,438
15%
Macedonia
1,654
2%
4,687
4,795
-2%
Serbia
3,756
5%
4,613
351
1214%
Cuba
10,501
-44%
Namibia
18,996
-100%
France
19
73
7,005
-99%
Others
325
1%
1,051
3,578
-70%
World
68,627
100%
261,684
280,318
-7%
Page 10 of 11
Apr 14 % in Apr
T
Jan-Apr
14
Jan-Apr
13
Change
Norway
15,332
25%
46,595
15,069
209%
US
18,000
30%
32,430
18,000
80%
Finland
4,563
8%
23,150
59,706
- 61%
UK
2,877
5%
18,333
15,309
6,253
10%
11,510
11,532
- 0.19
10,500
17%
10,500
3,133
5%
10,217
6,239
63.76
France
3,207
Spain
2,500
Others
4,024
-100%
World
60,658
100%
173,759
114,569
52%
Morocco
Germany
Cuba
Denmark
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
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