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By Jeff Boyd
Leonardo Fibonacci is a famous Italian mathematician, founder of a simple series of
numbers that refer to ratios valid for natural proportions of things on the planet. These
ratios appear from the next numbers: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, ...,
and found while performing next calculations: 1+2=3, 2+3=5, 3+5=8 etc.
If to measure the ratio of any number to one of the next higher number the result will be
0.618. For example, 21/34=0.618.
If to measure the ratio between alternate numbers we will get 0.382. For example, 13/34
= 0.382.
These proportions can be found in nature, science, architecture, music, art. A few
examples of Fibonacci numbers are pine cones, sunflowers, pineapples, palm trees,
spider webs, snail shells, DNA molecules and millions of other things in the universe.
When applied on Forex charts, Fibonacci Retracement Levels are used as support and
resistance levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764.
0.382, 0.500 and 0.618 are the most important to watch for.
Fibonacci Extension Levels are used as targets for taking profit: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618,
1.000, 1.382, 1.500, 1.618.
0.618, 1.000 and 1.618 here are the most useful for traders.
Fibonacci retracement and extension levels carry important information for experienced
as well as novice Forex traders as they help to identify entry and exit points during the
trade.
This chapter will introduce traders to basic rules of applying Fibonacci method in Forex.
And now let's get straight to the point. Where and how to use Fibonacci study on Forex
charts?
As you have noticed, there are some A, B, C, D points on the chart. They represent the
highest spikes of the price moves or simply highest price swings. To apply Fibonacci
study to the price moves we will always look for those points.
How about a small assignment?..
Three Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.382, 0.500 and 0.618 are used as points to enter the
trade. Looking at any chart it's obvious that the best entry position would be at the lowest
possible swing e.g. at 0.618 retracement level. But the price tends to choose different levels
to take U-turn from: it can hit 0.382 and go straight back, sometimes it gets to 0.500, and at
times it even moves further than 0.618 level before turning back. But still, if the price chooses to
respect Fibonacci rules it'll stop at one of those levels and makes its nice U-turn; and Fibonacci
traders will already be waiting for this opportunity to enter the trade.
2. Fibonacci Defines Stop Loss Levels
In our example, placing buy order at C point and keeping our protective stop slightly below Aswing point protects us from cases when the price eventually fail to rise and continue moving
downwards. Then when it finally passes A point, a strong signal of an upcoming trend reversal
will be received. In this case we simply cut our losses short.
Setting stops by using Fibonacci method takes emotions out of the trade by giving a pre-defined
exit points
If we return to the moment when price has just reached the mark of old B point, we
should remind ourselves that in order to confirm its uptrend (as shown in our case) the
price will need to pass old B point (B swing high) and move further up.
Violation to pass B point will create a double-top formation, which is a strong signal of
potential trend reversal. That's why locking some partial profits at this old B point will
make our trade profitable even if the market decides to turn in the opposite direction.
5. Fibonacci method can be double strengthened by applying two or more retracements at once
Although Fibonacci method has its defined rules, many traders worldwide are using
their own combined styles and approaches, not to mention set different objectives for
every particular trade. Considering that some Fibonacci traders might be more
comfortable with plotting two or more Fibonacci retracements to see where interests of
majority of traders are merging.
And so, merging retracement levels would show more potential to become the U-turn
points for the market. Same idea could also be used for setting profit targets. Here
traders should closely watch the market behavior and tighten their protective profitable
stops when the price gets closer to the initial profit target zone. The other option is
simply to opt for the lowest extension level and trade safe.
Profitable trades!