Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
APRIL 2014
Zoo in China Swaps Dog for Lion, Hopes No One Notices, a headline reads. Ocials at the Louhe city
zoo in the central Henan province hoped no one would notice when they decided to make the switch in
order to send the exhibits regular resident, an African lion, away to a breeding center. Visitors got a rude
surprise, however, when the lion started barking.1
In fairness to the zookeeper, the Tibetan masti is a large, exceptionally furry breed of dog. Many would
conclude that the breed resembles the king of the jungle more closely than perhaps any other domestic
canine. While the switch undoubtedly fooled some patrons, a six-year-old who had recently learned the
various sounds dierent animals make quickly identified that the lion was indeed barking like a dog.
A spokesperson for the zoo cited that Chinese zoos have struggled to make money in recent years due to
a government ruling that animal shows should operate on a non-profit basis.
Regardless of motive or resemblance, a dog was in the lion exhibit and patrons of the zoo were paying to
see a lion. Its no surprise that zoo patrons felt cheated.
APPR OV ED FO R CL I E N T USE .
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As the active management versus passive management battle continues to rage, a similar, but less humorous, phenomenon has been observed in the investment world: closet indexing. For decades, active
managers have charged higher management fees for
their strategies than their passively managed competitors. In some cases, the higher fees are understandable, as the active managers apply unique skill,
deep fundamental research, and seek to outperform
a passively managed benchmark. But what happens
when an investment manager claiming to be an active
manager is really a closet indexer? Investors in those
funds are paying active management fees, but are receiving benchmark-like performance. Thus, the investors portfolio has little chance of outperforming the
benchmark, as the higher fees often counteract any
positive performance achieved. Those investors are
paying to view a lion, but seeing a dog instead.
How can investors identify the dogs of the industry? In 2004, Antti Petajisto and Martijn Cremers, then
colleagues in the finance department at the Yale School of Management, pondered that same question.
They were intrigued by a Wall Street Journal article about the Fidelity Magellan Fund, which alleged that
the funds manager at the time, Robert Stansky, was a closet indexer because the funds returns closely
tracked those of the Standard & Poors 500 Index. Knowing there were multiple factors that could lead to
benchmark-like returns and that there was a plethora of industry discussion surrounding closet indexing,
Petajisto and Cremers decided they needed to look under the hood to substantiate the closet indexing
claim with real data.
The duo teamed up to discern how to dierentiate true stock pickers from closet indexers. They completed a first draft of their research in 2006, and in 2009 published a paper, How Active Is Your Fund Manager?
A New Measure That Predicts Performance. That measure, which they named active share, is the percentage of a funds weight-adjusted portfolio that diers from its benchmark.2
We have used the active share metric in manager analysis for a number of years at FEG and believe many
will pay more attention to this measure and that additional follow-up studies will likely be published.
Therefore, this focus topic provides an overview of active share. On one end of the spectrum (assuming no
leverage or short positions), an active share percentage of 0% suggests a portfolios holdings are identical
to the benchmark; while an active share percentage of 100% indicates a portfolio is completely dierent
from the benchmark without any crossover of holdings.
Where wfund,i and windex,i are the portfolio weights of asset i in the fund
and in the index, and the sum is taken over the universe of all assets.
Source: Petajisto and Cremers, 2009 study
Petajisto and Cremers are the first to admit their measure is straightforward, and not exactly rocket science. Like the six-year-old who identified the lion at the zoo was barking like a dog, the simplicity of active share is what gives it strength. At a base level, active share allows investors to easily identify managers
who piggyback the index but charge high fees. Digging deeper, however, active share becomes a useful
tool that can tell much more.
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P E R F O R M A N C E F O R A L L- E Q U I T Y
M U T UA L F U N D S
19 9 0 -2 0 0 3
Gross
High
ActiveShareQuintile
Net
2.40%
1.13%
1.33%
0.25%
0.81%
0.75%
0.24%
2 1.37%
0.11%
Low 1.42%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
Tracking error has been the traditional metric used to measure active management, but tracking error
fails to capture the two dierent dimensions of active management: stock selection and factor bets. Additionally, there are dierent approaches to active management that can contribute dierently to tracking
error. When active share is used together with tracking error, it provides a more comprehensive picture.
Active Share: the fraction of portfolio holdings that dier from the benchmark;
thus a measure that describes a managers stock selection bets.
Tracking Error: the volatility of active return relative to the benchmark: thus, a
measure that describes how closely a manager tracks its benchmark.
Data Source: Cremers + Petajisto and Zephyr Associates, Inc.
Active share is a holdings-based measure that describes a managers current stock selection bets. Tracking
error is a returns-based measure of the volatility of past active returns relative to the benchmark. When
used together, they provide a comprehensive picture of how active a fund is on the dimensions of both
holdings and returns. When plotting investment managers by their active share and tracking error metrics,
relative categories for their portfolio management approach can be assigned.
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3%
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have greater than 80% active share. Closet indexers score low on both dimensions of active management
while claiming to be active managers. They generally exhibit active share levels in the 20% to 60% range.3
The specific tracking error levels classified as high and low vary by asset class across the manager categories.
ActiveShare
High
Diversified
StockPicks
Concentrated
StockPicks
Closet
Indexing
Factor
Bets
Low
Pure
0 Indexing
0
Low
High
TrackingError
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Conclusion
We believe that opportunities exist for managers with unique strategies and competencies to add value
to a portfolio, beyond that of a purely passive representation of the market. Though active share is not
a tool that can predict returns in an absolute sense, research has demonstrated that managers with
high active share have greater opportunities for outperformance. As one would expect, deviations from
the benchmark can introduce risk, so manager selection is critical in the actively managed portion of
an investors portfolio. Given the cost premium assigned to actively managed strategies, investors must
understand the fees they are paying and how they relate to the amount of active management they
receive. Active share provides an indication of a managers conviction level and willingness to manage
beyond a benchmark, but may not be indicative of a managers stock picking skill. Simply being dierent
from the benchmark is not enough to outperform; a manager needs to be dierent in the right ways. We
recommend allocating to equity managers who exhibit exceptional skill through a repeatable process,
and show strength across FEGs six tenets for manager analysis: conviction, consistency, pragmatism,
investment culture, risk management, and active return. Though the overall tenets are qualitative in
nature, there are many quantitative measureslike active share and tracking errorthat continue to be
valuable components of our manager due diligence process and help our clients invest with lions rather
than dogs.
1
2
3
4
5
Neuman, Scott. Zoo in China Swaps Dog for Lion, Hopes No One Notices. The Two-Way. National Public Radio, 15 Aug. 2013.
Max, Sarah. Is Your Fund Manager Active Enough? Barrons. 12 Jan. 2013. Online reprint accessed 14 Jan. 2013.
Cremers, Martijn K. J., Antti Petajisto. How Active Is Your Fund Manager? A New Measure That Predicts Performance. International Center for
Finance Yale School of Management, 2009.
Petajisto, Antti. Active Share and Mutual Fund Performance. NYU Stern School of Business, 2010.
Russell
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D I S C LO S U R E S
This report was prepared by Fund Evaluation Group, LLC (FEG), a federally registered investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act
of 1940, as amended, providing non-discretionary and discretionary investment advice to its clients on an individual basis. Registration as an
investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training. The oral and written communications of an adviser provide you with information about which you determine to hire or retain an adviser. Fund Evaluation Group, LLC, Form ADV Part 2A & 2B can be obtained by written
request directly to: Fund Evaluation Group, LLC, 201 East Fifth Street, Suite 1600, Cincinnati, OH 45202, Attention: Compliance Department.
The information herein was obtained from various sources. FEG does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information provided
by third parties. The information in this report is given as of the date indicated and believed to be reliable. FEG assumes no obligation to update
this information, or to advise on further developments relating to it. FEG, its affiliates, directors, officers, employees, employee benefit programs
and client accounts may have a long position in any securities of issuers discussed in this report.
Index performance results do not represent any managed portfolio returns. An investor cannot invest directly in a presented index, as an investment vehicle replicating an index would be required. An index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, and no such fees or
expenses were deducted from the performance shown.
Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities.
Any return expectations provided are not intended as, and must not be regarded as, a representation, warranty or predication that the investment will achieve any particular rate of return over any particular time period or that investors will not incur losses.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Investments in private funds are speculative, involve a high degree of risk, and are designed for sophisticated investors.
This report is prepared for informational purposes only. It does not address specific investment objectives, or the financial situation and the
particular needs of any person who may receive this report.
All data is as of February 28, 2014 unless otherwise noted.
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INDICES
Barclays Capital Fixed Income Indices is an index family comprised of the Barclays Capital Aggregate Index, Government/Corporate Bond Index,
Mortgage-Backed Securities Index, and Asset-Backed Securities Index, Municipal Index, High-Yield Index, and others designed to represent the
broad fixed income markets and sectors within constraints of maturity and minimum outstanding par value. See https://ecommerce.barcap.
com/indices/index.dxml for more information.
The CSFB Leveraged Loan Index is designed to mirror the investible universe of the $US-denominated leveraged loan market. Loans are added
to the index upon issuance if they qualify according to certain criteria.. See www.credit-suisse.com for more information.
The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity IndicesSM are composed of exchange-traded commodity futures contracts rather than physical commodities. By
tracking commodity futures rather than commodity spot prices (meaning the prices quoted for immediate payment and delivery of physical
commodities), the indexes are investable benchmarks, meaning they can generally be replicated using futures contracts. The weightings for
each commodity included in DJ-AIGCI are calculated in accordance with rules that ensure that the relative proportion of each of the underlying
individual commodities reflects its global economic significance and market liquidity.
The FTSE NAREIT Composite Index (NAREIT Index) includes only those companies that meet minimum size, liquidity and free float criteria as set
forth by FTSE and is meant as a broad representation of publicly traded REIT securities in the U.S. Relevant real estate activities are defined as the
ownership, disposure, and development of income-producing real estate. See www.ftse.com/Indices for more information.
The HFRI Monthly Indices (HFRI) are equally weighted performance indexes, compiled by Hedge Fund Research Inc. (HFX), and are used by
numerous hedge fund managers as a benchmark for their own hedge funds. The HFRI are broken down into 37 different categories by strategy,
including the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite, which accounts for over 2000 funds listed on the internal HFR Database. The HFRI Fund of Funds
Composite Index is an equal weighted, net of fee, index composed of approximately 800 fund- of- funds which report to HFR. See www.hedgefundresearch.com for more information on index construction.
J.P. Morgans Global Index Research group produces proprietary index products that track emerging markets, government debt, and corporate
debt asset classes. Some of these indices include the JPMorgan Emerging Market Bond Plus Index, JPMorgan Emerging Market Local Plus Index,
JPMorgan Global Bond Non-US Index and JPMorgan Global Bond Non-US Index. See www.jpmorgan.com for more information.
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is a daily reference rate based on the interest rates at which banks borrow unsecured funds from
other banks in the London wholesale money market.
The Merrill Lynch high yield indices measure the performance of securities that pay interest in cash and have a credit rating of below investment grade. Merrill Lynch uses a composite of Fitch Ratings, Moodys and Standard and Poors credit ratings in selecting bonds for these indices.
These ratings measure the risk that the bond issuer will fail to pay interest or to repay principal in full. See www.ml.com for more information.
Morgan Stanley Capital International MSCI is a series of indices constructed by Morgan Stanley to help institutional investors benchmark
their returns. There are a wide range of indices created by Morgan Stanley covering a multitude of developed and emerging economies and
economic sectors. See www.morganstanley.com for more information.
Russell Investments rank U.S. common stocks from largest to smallest market capitalization at each annual reconstitution period (May 31). The
primary Russell Indices are defined as follows: 1) the top 3,000 stocks become the Russell 3000 Index, 2) the largest 1,000 stocks become the
Russell 1000 Index, 3) the smallest 800 stocks in the Russell 1000 Index become the Russell Midcap index, 4) the next 2,000 stocks become the
Russell 2000 Index, 5) the smallest 1,000 in the Russell 2000 Index plus the next smallest 1,000 comprise the Russell Microcap Index. See www.
russell.com for more information.
S&P 500 Index consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry group representation, among other factors by the S&P Index
Committee, which is a team of analysts and economists at Standard and Poors. The S&P 500 is a market-value weighted index, which means
each stocks weight in the index is proportionate to its market value and is designed to be a leading indicator of U.S. equities, and meant to
reflect the risk/return characteristics of the large cap universe. See www.standardandpoors.com for more information.
The S&P Global Property Indices define and measure the investable universe of publicly traded property companies. With more than 450 constituents from more than 35 countries, the index is ideal for a range of investment activities, including benchmarking active funds and setting
the foundation for passive funds. See www.standardandpoors.com for more information.
Information on any indices mentioned can be obtained either through your consultant or by written request to information@feg.com.
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Research Team
CHERYL A. BARKER / Senior Research Analyst / Global Equities
NOLAN M. BEAN, CFA, CAIA / Managing Principal / Investment Philosophy and Portfolio Construction
KEITH M. BERLIN / Senior Vice President / Director of Global Fixed Income and Credit
CHRISTIAN S. BUSKEN / Senior Vice President / Director of Real Assets
KEVIN J. CONROY, CFA, CAIA / Senior Research Analyst / Hedged Strategies
GREGORY M. DOWLING, CFA, CAIA / Managing Principal / Director of Hedged Strategies
SUSAN MAHAN FASIG, CFA / Managing Principal / Director of Private Capital
JEFFREY D. FURST, CFA, CAIA / Senior Research Analyst / Hedged Strategies
BRIAN A. HOOPER / Senior Research Analyst / Global Equities
GREGORY D. HOUSER, CFA / Senior Vice President / Capital Markets
JAY R. JOHNSTON / Research Analyst / Real Assets
PETER R. KISTINGER / Research Analyst / Real Assets
MARK KOENIG, CFA / Senior Vice President / Director of Quantitative Analysis
J. ALAN LENAHAN, CFA, CAIA / Managing Principal / Director of Hedged Strategies
DAVID L. MASON, CAIA / Senior Research Analyst / Hedged Strategies
CHRISTOPHER M. MEYER, CFA / Managing Principal / Chief Investment Officer
PAUL J. NEUMANN / Research Analyst / Hedged Strategies
MICHAEL J. OCONNOR, CFA / Senior Research Analyst / Global Fixed Income and Credit
MICHAEL J. OYSTER, CFA / Managing Principal / Portfolio Strategist
WILLIAM B. PHELPS, CAIA / Senior Fund Operations Analyst / Managed Solutions
GARY R. PRICE / Managing Principal / Head of FEG Managed Portfolios
SAMUEL A. RAGAN / Research Analyst / Global Equities
G. SCOTT TABOR / Senior Research Analyst / Private Capital
DANIEL I. TIRPACK / Research Analyst / Private Capital
NATHAN C. WERNER, CFA, CAIA / Senior Vice President / Private Capital
RYAN S. WHEELER, CAIA / Director of Fund Operations / Managed Solutions
Fund Evaluation Group, LLC / 201 Eas t Fif th St. / Suite 160 0 / Cincinnati, O hio 45202 / P: 513.977.4 4 0 0 / F: 513.977.4 430 / w w w.fe g.com
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