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WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS
Contents
Article/
Calendar
Grain
Transportation
Indicators
Rail
Barge
Truck
Exports
Inland Waterways Trust Fund Financing Rate Will Increase on April 1, 2015
On December 19, 2014, the President signed H.R. 5771, the Tax Increase Prevention Act of 2014, which contained provisions to
increase the Inland Waterways Trust Fund (IWTF) financing rate from 20 cents per gallon of fuel used by commercial navigation
operators to 29 cents per gallon. The rate change, which was promoted by many agricultural and waterway groups, will take effect on
April 1, 2015. New construction and major rehabilitation on the inland waterways are typically funded through 50 percent
contribution from the IWTF and a matching 50 percent appropriation from the General Treasury. The inland waterways are important
to U.S. grain exports because barges transport about 54 percent of corn exports and 49 percent of soybean exports to coastal areas to
be loaded onto ocean-going vessels.
Corn Inspections Highest Since October
For the week ending December 18, total inspections of corn from all major export regions reached .767 million metric tons (mmt), up
40 percent from the past week but down 18 percent from last year, and 4 percent below the 3-year average. Corn inspections were
also the highest since October 9, with shipments of corn increasing to Latin America. Wheat and soybean inspections also rose from
the previous week as shipments increased from each of the three major export regions. Total inspections of grain (corn, wheat, and
soybeans) reached 3.4 mmt, up 17 percent from the past week, 15 percent from last year, and 40 percent from the 3-year average.
Ocean
Snapshots by Sector
Brazil
Mexico
Grain Truck/Ocean
Rate Advisory
Data Links
Export Sales
During the week ending December 4, unshipped balances of wheat, corn, and soybeans totaled 35.3 mmt, 15 percent lower than the
same time last year. Corn export sales reached 0.694 mmt, down 28 percent from the previous week. Wheat reached 0.476 mmt, up
8 percent, and soybeans, at 0.696 mmt, were down 14 percent.
Rail
U.S. railroads originated 24,194 carloads of grain during the week ending December 13, down 6 percent from last week, up 17
percent from last year, and 18 percent higher than the 3-year average.
During the week ending December 18, average January shuttle secondary railcar bids/offers per car were $25 above tariff, down
$88 from last week and $1,675 lower than last year. There were no non-shuttle bids/offers.
Specialists
Barge
During the week ending December 20 barge grain movements totaled 820,225 tons21.8 percent lower than the previous week but
16 percent higher than the same period last year.
Subscription
Information
During the week ending December 20, 542 grain barges moved down river, down 18.5 percent from last week; 926 grain barges were
unloaded in New Orleans, down 4.2 percent from the previous week.
-------------The next
release is
Ocean
During the week ending December 18, 50 ocean-going grain vessels were loaded in the Gulf, 22 percent more than the same period
last year. Seventy-six vessels are expected to be loaded within the next 10 days, 10.1 percent more than the same period last year.
January 1, 2015
During the week ending December 19, the ocean freight rate for shipping bulk grain from the Gulf to Japan was $40 per mt, down 3.6
percent from the previous week. The cost of shipping from the PNW to Japan was $21.50 per mt, down 4.4 percent from the previous
week.
Fuel
During the week ending December 22, U.S. average diesel fuel prices decreased 14 cents from the previous week to $3.28 per
gallondown 59 cents from the same week last year.
Preferred citation: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service. Grain Transportation Report. December 25, 2014.
Web: http://dx.doi.org/10.9752/TS056.12-25-2014
Feature Article/Calendar
Grain Elevators: Size, Functions, and Contributions to Grain Transportation Logistics
Grain elevators have an important role in grain marketing. In addition to storing and conditioning grains
and oilseeds, they serve as local merchandisers to link farmers to national and international grain markets.
Many grain elevators also sell farm inputs, such as fertilizers and seeds. They are vital shipping centers
for grain marketing that are dependent on efficient modes of transportation.
Grain elevators main roles are grain collection, storage, drying, conditioning, and preparation for
transportation via truck, rail, or barge services. Smaller elevators (country elevators) collect grain from
farmers for storage and transportation to end users or much larger terminal or export elevators, which
assemble larger shipments destined to other domestic and international buyers (at export elevators) and
end users.
Figure 1:
The map shows the
location and capacity of
grain elevators in the
United States as reported
by USDAs Grain
Inspection, Packers and
Stockyards
Administration1 (see
Figure 1). Each circle
represents the total
capacity for each county.
The majority of grain
elevators are located in the
major grain-producing
States.
Source: Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards
Administration, November 2012
In addition to providing
storage services, many
elevator operators are also
buyers and sellers of grain. These elevators make money from the spread (difference) between the price
they pay local farmers for the grain and the price they sell the grain to the next entity in the grain flow.
Since the spread is usually only a few cents per bushel, the selling elevator needs to move large quantities
of grain to make a profit.
Grain elevators also offer forward contracts and other risk-management tools to farmer-customers to
enhance their merchandising options and maximize their income from markets. Elevator operators
purchase grain from farms with cash or agree to store the grain for a time for a fee without buying the
GIPSA compiles elevator information based on input from export grain companies, but also includes data on some
country elevators. This map includes storage facilities that may hold different commodities at different times of the
year. However, the vast majority of the elevators on this map handles grain and are estimated to represent a
significant percentage of the total industry storage capacity of grain.
grain. Under a forward-cash contract arrangement, the buyer agrees to purchase a certain quantity of
grain at a specific grade (quality) to be delivered or bought on a future date at an agreed-upon price.
Since forward contracts are signed before the harvest, farmers are guaranteed a crop price, thus
eliminating the risk to the farmer of falling prices as harvest draws near. To protect against the possibility
of falling prices, elevator operators hedge their risk by purchasing offsetting futures contracts. So,
technically profits and losses in the local cash market can be offset by profits and losses in the futures
market.
Figure2:GrainShippingLogistics.
Railroads in pursuit of efficiency started to run
larger capacity cars favoring grain shipments
from larger shuttle-loading facilities. By doing
this, railroads could ship 75 to 110 cars directly
from the elevator to the end user or export
elevatorcreating a network of shuttle train
grain elevators. One of the consequences of
this trend is the negative impact on country
elevators that often are located far distances
from Class 1 rail access or dont have the
physical loading capacity to ship shuttle trains.
Where available, short lines (smaller and
regional railroads) provide rail service to
country elevators that cannot use as many cars.
These short lines, in turn, are dependent on
service agreements with Class I railroads to
serve markets located long distances away from
country elevators. As a result of grain industry
consolidation and rail restructuring, many
farmers have invested in larger capacity trucks
to haul their grain longer distances. It is
economically reasonable and viable for some of the larger farm operators to bypass local country
elevators and truck their grain directly to the shuttle facility or to nearby end-users, such as ethanol plants
or livestock or poultry feeding operations (see Figure 2). This practice has also contributed to the closure
of many country elevators. If the current situation and practices persist, the trend may continue.
Elevator operators are adapting to a changing business environment. The storage sector continues to be
subject to competition and rapidly changing transportation routes. Marketing practices by railroads and
continued consolidation of grain elevators sector are reshaping the grain transportation sector. Elevators
with shuttle- loading and unloading capability are becoming more common and increasingly important in
grain-producing States. Strategically located storage and loading facilities are thriving, while some
country elevators are striving to compete. To keep up with ever-changing supply and demand
fundamentals, and dynamic grain marketing and transportation trends, elevatorsregardless of the size
may need to examine whether it is possible to adapt their facilities in a way that preserves access to
competitive transportation service. pierre.bahizi@ams.usda.gov
Truck
Rail
Week ending
12/24/14
12/17/14
Barge
Unit Train
S huttle
220
245
214
- 1%
- 2 1%
230
245
Ocean
Gulf
207
Pacific
248
179
152
5%
- 10 0 %
- 10 0 %
275
186
160
Indicator: Base year 2000 = 100; Weekly updates include truck = diesel ($/gallon); rail = near-month secondary rail market bid and monthly tariff ra
with fuel surcharge ($/car); barge = Illinois River barge rate (index = percent of tariff rate); and ocean = routes to Japan ($/metric ton)
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
Table 2
Origin--Destination
12/19/2014
12/12/2014
Corn
IL--Gulf
-0.77
-0.80
Corn
NE--Gulf
-0.85
-0.84
Soybean
IA--Gulf
-1.35
-1.45
HRW
KS--Gulf
-1.43
-1.53
HRS
ND--Portland
-3.01
-3.67
Note: nq = no quote
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
The grain bid summary illustrates the market relationships for commodities. Positive and negative adjustments in differential
between terminal and futures markets, and the relationship to inland market points, are indicators of changes in fundamental market supply and demand. The map may be used to monitor market and time differentials.
Figure 1
Grain bid Summary
F U TU RES:
P o rtla n d
HRW
HRS
SW W
C o rn
S yb n
(r, t,b )
7 .8 1
9 .2 3
7 .8 5
NQ
NQ
# 1C W R S
# 1C W A D
8.94
13.08
HRS
DUR
6.2 2
NQ
K a n s a s C i t y
M in n e ap o lis
M in n e ap o lis
C h icago
C h icago
C h icago
W ht
W ht
Dur
W ht
C o rn
Sybn
1 2 / 1 9 /2 0 1 4
6 .6 6 0 0
6 .4 8 2 5
n .a .
6 .3 2 2 5
4 .1 0 5 0
1 0 .3 0 5 0
M ar
M ar
M ar
M ar
M ar
Jan
W e e k A g o
12/12/2014
6 .3 4 2 5
6 .2 0 7 5
n .a .
6 .0 6 5 0
4 .0 7 5 0
1 0 .4 7 2 5
Y e a rA g o
12/20/2013
6 .5 7 2 5
6 .5 0 5 0
n .a .
6 .1 3 5 0
4 .3 3 2 5
1 3 .3 9 0 0
G re a t L a k e s -D u lu th
HRW
HRS
6 .2 9
7 .4 1
MT
HRS
DUR
(t)
ND
HRS
DUR
MN
NQ
NQ
7 .98
NQ
G re a t L a k e s -To le d o
SD
HRW
C o rn
C o rn
S yb n
6 .20
3 .76
C o rn
S yb n
3. 77
9. 81
3. 9 0
1 0. 0 9
IA
NE
H RW
S RW
C o rn
S yb n
6.58
E le va to r B id
IL
KS
T e rm in a l M a rk e t (t)
HRW
3 0 -d a y to A rrive
5. 72
3. 84
10. 25
MO
6 . 37
OK
P o o l R e tu rn O u tlo o k
(r)= ra il, (t)= tru c k , (b )= b a rg e ; N Q = N o Q u o te
In la n d B id s : 1 2 % H R W , 1 4 % H R S , # 1 S R W , # 1 D U R , # 1 S W W , # 2 Y C o rn , # 1 Y S o yb e a n s
E xp o rt B id s : O rd . H R W , 1 4 % H R S , # 2 S R W , # 2 D U R , # 2 S W W , # 2 Y C o rn , # 1 Y S o yb e a n s
G u lf-L o u is ia n a
G u lf - Te xa s
HRW
DUR
8 .01
NQ
HRS
S RW
C o rn
S yb n
(b )
8 .93
7 .77
4 .61
11 .16
Rail Transportation
Table 3
1
Mississippi
Pacific
Atlantic &
Gulf
Texas Gulf
Northwest
East Gulf
Total
1,493
2,013
41,755
30,172
138
107
161
31,646
22,604
1,752
1,900
80,615
70,899
114
135
146
71,388
40,780
5,885
6,238
244,942
163,702
150
118
142
168,826
199,419
1,052
1,242
30,134
24,461
123
84
113
25,176
24,659
10,182
11,393
397,446
289,234
137
114
142
297,036
287,462
Week ending
12/17/2014p
12/10/2014r
2014 YTDr
2013 YTDr
2014 YTD as % of 2013 YTD
2
Cross-Border
3
Week ending
Mexico
12/13/2014
12/6/2014
2014 YTD
2013 YTD
% change YTD
Last 4wks % 2013
Last 4wks % 4 yr
Total 2013
Total 2012
1,665
1,523
95,598
68,501
140
117
132
70,298
92,008
Railroads originate approximately 29 percent of U.S. grain shipments. Trends in these loadings are indicative of
market conditions and expectations.
Figure 2
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
02/11/15
12/17/14
10/22/14
08/27/14
07/02/14
05/07/14
03/12/14
01/15/14
11/20/13
09/25/13
07/31/13
06/05/13
04/10/13
02/13/13
12/19/12
10/24/12
08/29/12
07/04/12
05/09/12
03/14/12
01/18/12
11/23/11
09/28/11
1,000
08/03/11
Pacific Northwest: 4 wks. ending 12/17--up 18% from same period last year; up 42% from 4-year average
Texas Gulf: 4 wks. ending 12/17--up 35% from same period last year; up 46% from 4-year average
Miss. River: 4 wks. ending 12/17--up 7% from same period last year; up 61% from 4-year average
Cross-border: 4 wks. ending 12/13-- up 17% from same period last year; up 32% from 4-year average
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
Table 4
CS XT
NS
12/13/14
This week last year
2014 YTD
2013 YTD
2014 YTD as % of 2013 YTD
Last 4 weeks as % of 2013
Last 4 weeks as % of 3-yr avg.1
Total 2013
2,743
2,412
96,308
82,463
117
95
111
86,466
3,849
3,077
144,439
131,656
110
100
111
137,915
BNS F
West
KCS
UP
U.S . total
10,571
8,800
451,161
437,962
103
121
108
454,262
938
1,106
44,870
33,534
134
92
142
34,412
6,093
5,272
280,588
211,250
133
106
122
222,258
Canada
CN
24,194
20,667
1,017,366
896,865
113
109
113
935,313
CP
5,250
3,678
229,593
182,510
126
116
125
190,125
4,764
4,906
261,726
263,887
99
94
88
272,753
As a percent of the same period in 2009 and the prior 3-year average. YT D = year-to-date.
Source: Association of American Railroads (www.aar.org)
Figure 3
27,000
25,000
23,000
21,000
19,000
12/13/14
11/15/14
10/18/14
09/20/14
08/23/14
07/26/14
06/28/14
05/31/14
05/03/14
04/05/14
03/08/14
15,000
02/08/14
17,000
01/11/14
29,000
4-weekCurrent
periodyear
ending 3-year average
Source: Association of American Railroads
Table 5
1
Week ending
12/18/2014
BNSF3
COT grain units
COT grain single-car5
4
UP
GCAS/Region 1
GCAS/Region 2
Delivery period
Jan-15
Jan-14
Feb-15
Feb-14
Mar-15 Mar-14
Apr-15
Apr-14
40
14. .100
no offer
no offer
no offer
no offer
no offer
no offer
66
101. .150
no offer
no offer
no offer
no offer
262
27. .150
no offer
no offer
1
297
no offer
no offer
no bids
76
no offer
no offer
no bids
11
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Auction offerings are for single-car and unit train shipments only.
Average premium/discount to tariff, last auction
3
BNSF - COT = Certificate of T ransportation; north grain and south grain bids were combined effective the week ending 6/24/06.
4
UP - GCAS = Grain Car Allocation System
Region 1 includes: AR, IL, LA, MO, NM, OK, T X, WI, and Duluth, MN.
Region 2 includes: CO, IA, KS, MN, NE, WY, and Kansas City and St. Joseph, MO.
5
Range is shown because average is not available. Not available = n/a.
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA.
2
The secondary rail market information reflects trade values for service that was originally purchased from the railroad carrier
as some form of guaranteed freight. The auction and secondary rail values are indicators of rail service quality and demand/
supply.
Figure 4
2600
2100
1600
1100
600
Non-shuttle
Shuttle
1/15/15
1/1/15
12/18/14
12/4/14
11/20/14
11/6/14
10/23/14
10/9/14
9/25/14
9/11/14
8/28/14
8/14/14
UP
n/a
$0
7/31/14
7/17/14
6/19/14
-400
7/3/14
BNSF
Non-shuttle n/a
Shuttle
$50
100
Non-shuttle bids include unit-train and single-car bids. n/a = not available.
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
Figure 5
500
400
300
200
100
Non-shuttle
Shuttle
2/12/15
1/29/15
1/15/15
1/1/15
12/18/14
12/4/14
11/20/14
11/6/14
10/23/14
10/9/14
9/25/14
UP
n/a
n/a
9/11/14
8/28/14
8/14/14
-100
7/31/14
BNSF
Non-shuttle n/a
Shuttle
n/a
0
7/17/14
600
Non-shuttle bids include unit-train and single-car bids. n/a = not available.
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
Figure 6
400
300
200
100
0
Non-shuttle
3/12/15
2/26/15
2/12/15
1/29/15
1/15/15
1/1/15
12/18/14
12/4/14
11/20/14
11/6/14
10/9/14
Shuttle
10/23/14
UP
n/a
n/a
9/25/14
9/11/14
-200
8/28/14
BNSF
Non-shuttle n/a
Shuttle
-$100
-100
8/14/14
600
Non-shuttle bids include unit-train and single-car bids. n/a = not available.
Source: T ransportation & Marketing Programs/AMS/USDA
Table 6
1
Jan-15
Delivery period
Mar-15
Apr-15
Feb-15
May-15
Jun-15
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
S huttle
BNSF-GF
Change from last week
Change from same week 2014
50
(150)
(2,700)
n/a
n/a
n/a
(100)
n/a
(600)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
UP-Pool
Change from last week
Change from same week 2014
(25)
(650)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
The tariff rail rate is the base price of freight rail service, and together with fuel surcharges and any auction and secondary
rail values constitute the full cost of shipping by rail. Typically, auction and secondary rail values are a small fraction of the
full cost of shipping by rail relative to the tariff rate. High auction and secondary rail values, during times of high rail demand
or short supply, can exceed the cost of the tariff rate plus fuel surcharge.
Table 7
Tariff Rail Rate s for Unit and Shuttle Train Shipme nts
Effective date:
Tariff
12/1/2014
Unit train
Wheat
Corn
Soybeans
Origin region*
Destination region*
rate/car
Fuel
surcharge Tariff plus surcharge per:
2
bushel
metric ton
per car
Percent
change
3
Y/Y
Wichita, KS
St. Louis, MO
$3,387
$162
$35.24
$0.96
Grand Forks, ND
Duluth-Superior, MN
$3,596
$89
$36.60
$1.00
Wichita, KS
Wichita, KS
Los Angeles, CA
New Orleans, LA
$6,244
$4,026
$459
$285
$66.56
$42.81
$1.81
$1.17
-1
4
Sioux Falls, SD
Galveston-Houston, TX
$5,824
$377
$61.58
$1.68
-1
Northwest KS
Amarillo, TX
Champaign-Urbana, IL
Toledo, OH
Galveston-Houston, TX
Los Angeles, CA
New Orleans, LA
Raleigh, NC
$4,293
$4,492
$3,328
$4,875
$312
$434
$322
$372
$45.73
$48.92
$36.25
$52.11
$1.24
$1.33
$0.92
$1.32
4
3
3
3
Des Moines, IA
Indianapolis, IN
Davenport, IA
Atlanta, GA
$2,168
$4,211
$68
$280
$22.21
$44.59
$0.56
$1.13
4
3
Indianapolis, IN
Des Moines, IA
Knoxville, TN
Little Rock, AR
$3,593
$3,308
$179
$200
$37.46
$34.84
$0.95
$0.88
3
2
Des Moines, IA
Minneapolis, MN
Los Angeles, CA
New Orleans, LA
$5,365
$3,839
$583
$350
$59.07
$41.60
$1.50
$1.13
1
5
Toledo, OH
Indianapolis, IN
Huntsville, AL
Raleigh, NC
$3,807
$4,946
$264
$375
$40.43
$52.84
$1.10
$1.44
2
3
Indianapolis, IN
Huntsville, AL
Champaign-Urbana, IL New Orleans, LA
$3,499
$3,974
$179
$322
$36.53
$42.66
$0.99
$1.16
3
5
Great Falls, MT
Wichita, KS
Chicago, IL
Portland, OR
Galveston-Houston, TX
Albany, NY
$3,678
$3,471
$4,140
$264
$206
$349
$39.15
$36.51
$44.58
$1.07
$0.99
$1.21
-1
-9
3
Grand Forks, ND
Grand Forks, ND
Portland, OR
Galveston-Houston, TX
$5,159
$6,084
$456
$475
$55.76
$65.13
$1.52
$1.77
-1
-1
Northwest KS
Portland, OR
$5,260
$512
$57.32
$1.56
Minneapolis, MN
Portland, OR
$5,000
$555
$55.17
$1.40
-2
Sioux Falls, SD
Tacoma, WA
-2
S huttle Train
Wheat
Corn
Soybeans
$4,960
$509
$54.30
$1.38
$3,147
$322
$34.45
$0.88
Lincoln, NE
Galveston-Houston, TX
$3,510
$296
$37.80
$0.96
-1
Des Moines, IA
Amarillo, TX
$3,690
$252
$39.14
$0.99
Minneapolis, MN
Tacoma, WA
$5,000
$551
$55.12
$1.40
-2
Council Bluffs, IA
Stockton, CA
$4,400
$570
$49.35
$1.25
-2
Sioux Falls, SD
Tacoma, WA
$5,520
$509
$59.87
$1.63
-1
Minneapolis, MN
Portland, OR
$5,530
$555
$60.43
$1.64
-1
Fargo, ND
Tacoma, WA
$5,430
$452
$58.41
$1.59
-1
Council Bluffs, IA
New Orleans, LA
$4,425
$371
$47.63
$1.30
Toledo, OH
Huntsville, AL
$2,982
$264
$32.24
$0.88
Grand Island, NE
Portland, OR
$5,360
$524
$58.43
$1.59
A unit train refers to shipments of at least 25 cars. Shuttle train rates are available for qualified shipments of
Approximate load per car = 111 short tons (100.7 metric tons): corn 56 lbs./bu., wheat & soybeans 60 lbs./bu.
Percentage change year over year calculated using tariff rate plus fuel surchage
Table 8
Destination region
Chihuahua, CI
Cuautitlan, EM
Guadalajara, JA
Salinas Victoria, NL
Tariff
1
rate/car
$6,760
$6,465
$7,049
$3,885
Fuel
surcharge Tariff plus surcharge per:
2
3
3
bushel
per car metric ton
$482
$74.00
$2.01
$586
$72.04
$1.96
$566
$77.81
$2.12
$221
$41.95
$1.14
Percent
change
4
Y/Y
5
3
5
30
Corn
IA
SD
NE
SD
MO
SD
Guadalajara, JA
Celaya, GJ
Queretaro, QA
Salinas Victoria, NL
Tlalnepantla, EM
Torreon, CU
$8,049
$7,656
$7,535
$5,880
$6,887
$6,722
$666
$631
$591
$480
$575
$529
$89.04
$84.68
$83.03
$64.98
$76.24
$74.08
$2.26
$2.15
$2.11
$1.65
$1.93
$1.88
0
-1
1
-1
0
-1
Soybeans
MO
NE
IA
KS
Bojay (Tula), HG
Guadalajara, JA
El Castillo, JA
Torreon, CU
$8,111
$8,572
$8,855
$6,989
$562
$642
$627
$398
$88.61
$94.14
$96.89
$75.48
$2.41
$2.56
$2.63
$2.05
2
0
-1
1
Sorghum
TX
NE
KS
NE
NE
Guadalajara, JA
Celaya, GJ
Queretaro, QA
Salinas Victoria, NL
Torreon, CU
$6,953
$7,287
$6,795
$5,500
$6,318
$411
$573
$360
$422
$470
$75.24
$80.31
$73.10
$60.50
$69.36
$1.91
$2.04
$1.86
$1.54
$1.76
2
-1
-4
-3
-1
Rates are based upon published t ariff rat es for high-capacity shut t le t rains. Shut tle trains are available for qualified
Fuel surcharge adjust ed t o reflect t he change in Ferrocarril Mexicano, S.A. de C.V railroad fuel surcharge policy as of 10/01/2009
Approximat e load per car = 97.87 metric t ons: Corn & Sorghum 56 lbs/bu, Wheat & Soybeans 60 lbs/bu
4
Percent age change year over year calculated using t ariff rat e plus fuel surchage
Sources: www.bnsf.com, www.uprr.com, www.kcsout hern.com
3
Figure 7
$0.70
December 2014: $0.279, down 7% from last month's surcharge of $0.299/mile; down 12% from the December
2013 surcharge of $0.318/mile; and down 15% from the December prior 3-year average of $0.328/mile.
$0.60
$0.50
$0.40
$0.30
$0.20
Dec-14
Nov-14
Oct-14
Sep-14
Aug-14
Jul-14
Jun-14
May-14
Apr-14
Mar-14
Feb-14
Jan-14
Dec-13
Nov-13
Oct-13
Sep-13
Aug-13
Jul-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
$0.00
Jan-13
$0.10
Dec-12
$0.80
Weighted by each Class I railroad's proportion of grain traffic for the prior year.
* Mileage-based fuel surcharges for March and April 2007 are estimated. Beginning January 2009, the Canadian Pacific fuel surcharge is
computed by a monthly average of the bi-weekly fuel surcharge.
** BNSF strike price (diesel price when fuel surcharges begin) changed from $1.25/gal. to $2.50/gal starting March 1, 2011. As a result, the
weighted average fuel surcharge for March 2011 was $0.227/mile instead of $0.331/mile.
10
Barge Transportation
Figure 8
1,2
Percent of tariff
1200
Weekly rate
1000
800
600
400
12/23/14
12/09/14
11/25/14
11/11/14
10/28/14
10/14/14
09/30/14
09/16/14
09/02/14
08/19/14
08/05/14
07/22/14
07/08/14
06/24/14
06/10/14
05/27/14
05/13/14
04/29/14
04/15/14
04/01/14
03/18/14
03/04/14
02/18/14
02/04/14
01/21/14
01/07/14
12/24/13
200
Rate = percent of 1976 tariff benchmark index (1976 = 100 percent); 2 4-week moving average of the 3-year average.
Table 9
Rate
$/ton
Twin
Cities
MidMississippi
Lower
Illinois
River
St. Louis
Cincinnati
Lower
Ohio
CairoMemphis
12/23/2014
12/16/2014
447
495
302
353
423
481
423
481
260
334
12/23/2014
12/16/2014
20.74
22.97
12.05
14.08
19.84
22.56
17.09
19.43
8.16
10.49
Rate
Last year
2
3-year avg.
-24
-11
-38
-27
-1
-2
-1
-2
-16
-18
January
March
417
462
410
302
298
417
400
417
400
258
250
1 Rate
= percent of 1976 tariff benchmark index (1976 = 100 percent); 2 4-week moving average; ton = 2,000 pounds;
Source: T ransportat ion & Market ing Programs/AMS/USDA
Figure 9
Benchmark tariff rates
Mid-Mississippi 5.32
Illinois 4.64
Cincinnati 4.69
Cairo-Memphis 3.14
11
Figure 10
Soybeans
Wheat
Corn
3-Year Average
Week ending December 20: Up 12% from last year but 18.7% lower than
the 3-yr avg
700
1,000 tons
600
500
400
300
200
01/17/15
01/03/15
12/20/14
12/06/14
11/22/14
11/08/14
10/25/14
10/11/14
09/27/14
09/13/14
08/30/14
08/16/14
08/02/14
07/19/14
07/05/14
06/21/14
06/07/14
05/24/14
05/10/14
04/26/14
04/12/14
03/29/14
03/15/14
03/01/14
02/15/14
02/01/14
01/18/14
01/04/14
12/21/13
100
Table 10
Corn
Wheat
S oybeans
Other
Total
0
51
280
274
192
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
9
5
58
179
173
123
223
27
0
3
3
3
0
9
1
5
112
461
450
315
334
37
369
312
20,513
9,301
221
116
9,504
15
25
2,169
4,090
53
62
4,111
423
362
11,512
9,672
119
118
10,065
13
8
254
236
107
195
255
820
707
34,448
23,299
148
116
23,935
Weekly total, YT D (year-to-date) and calendar year total includes Miss/27, Ohio/52, and Ark/1; "Other" refers to oats, barley, sorghum, and rye.
12
Figure 11
Upbound Empty Barge s Transiting Mississippi Rive r Locks 27, Arkansas Rive r
Lock and Dam 1, and Ohio Rive r Locks and Dam 52
Week ending December 20: 433 total barges, down 205 barges from the previous
week, and 34.6 percent lower than the 3-year avg.
Number of Barges
500
400
300
200
100
Locks 27
Lock 1
12/20/14
12/13/14
12/6/14
11/29/14
11/22/14
11/15/14
11/8/14
11/1/14
10/25/14
10/18/14
10/11/14
10/4/14
9/27/14
9/20/14
9/13/14
9/6/14
8/30/14
8/23/14
8/16/14
8/9/14
8/2/14
7/26/14
7/19/14
Locks 52
Figure 12
Number of barges
1000
Week ending December 20: 542 grain barges moved down river, down
18.5 percent from the previous week, 926 grain barges were unloaded
in New Orleans, down 4.2 percent from the previous week.
800
600
400
200
Downbound Grain Barges Locks 27, 1, and 52
12/20/14
12/13/14
12/6/14
11/29/14
11/22/14
11/15/14
11/8/14
11/1/14
10/25/14
10/18/14
10/4/14
9/27/14
9/20/14
9/13/14
9/6/14
8/30/14
8/23/14
8/16/14
8/9/14
8/2/14
7/26/14
7/19/14
7/12/14
7/5/14
6/28/14
6/21/14
10/11/14
13
Truck Transportation
The weekly diesel price provides a proxy for trends in U.S. truck rates as diesel fuel is a significant expense for truck grain movements.
Table 11
1
Location
Price
3.310
Week ago
-0.075
Year ago
-0.609
New England
3.425
-0.042
-0.644
Central Atlantic
Lower Atlantic
3.392
3.223
-0.062
-0.091
-0.596
-0.616
East Coast
II
M idwest 2
3.294
-0.179
-0.553
III
Gulf Coast 3
3.175
-0.153
-0.597
IV
V
Rocky M ountain
West Coast
3.338
3.330
-0.166
-0.139
-0.515
-0.655
3.228
-0.143
-0.655
California
3.415
-0.135
-0.658
3.281
-0.138
-0.592
Total
U.S.
Diesel fuel prices include all taxes. Prices represent an average of all types of diesel fuel.
Figure 13
Current Year
$ per gallon
4.0
3.5
12/22/14
12/15/14
12/08/14
12/01/14
11/24/14
11/17/14
11/10/14
11/03/14
10/27/14
10/20/14
10/13/14
10/06/14
09/29/14
09/22/14
09/15/14
09/08/14
09/01/14
08/25/14
08/18/14
08/11/14
08/04/14
07/28/14
07/21/14
07/14/14
07/07/14
06/30/14
3.0
06/23/14
Source: Retail On-Highway Diesel Prices, Energy Information Administration, Dept. of Energy
14
Grain Exports
T able 12
Wheat
Week ending
Total
SRW
HRS
SWW
DUR
All wheat
1,513
891
1,594
951
122
5,070
13,716
16,537
35,323
1,571
1,073
1,659
978
95
5,376
17,751
18,550
41,677
2014/15 YTD
3,996
2,194
4,064
2,118
409
12,781
10,690
24,619
48,090
2013/14 YTD
7,233
5,462
3,080
2,245
238
18,258
8,747
20,415
47,420
55
40
132
94
172
70
122
121
101
94
82
96
95
134
93
76
99
89
2013/14 Total
11,465
7,307
6,338
4,367
486
29,963
46,868
44,478
121,309
2012/13 Total
10,019
5,039
5,825
4,619
591
26,093
17,980
36,220
80,293
Export Balances
HRW
S oybeans
12/11/2014
This week year ago
Cumulative exports-marketing year
Shipped export sales to date; new marketing year in effect for corn and soybeans
Note: YT D = year-to-date. Marketing Year: wheat = 6/01-5/31, corn & soybeans = 9/01-8/31
Source: Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA (www.fas.usda.gov)
Table 13
2014/15
Current MY
Exports
2013/14
current MY
3-year avg
Last MY
from last MY
2011-2013
- 1,000 mt -
Japan
Mexico
Korea
Colombia
Taiwan
Top 5 Importers
Total US corn export sales
% of Projected
5,014
6,060
858
1,901
484
14,317
24,406
% change
Total Commitments
4,502
7,471
833
966
500
14,273
26,497
55%
54%
694
826
59%
54%
44,450
48,700
130,810
130,404
- 1,000 mt -
11
(19)
3
97
(3)
0
(8)
10,079
8,145
2,965
3,461
1,238
25,887
34,445
75%
(9)
0.3
FAS Market ing Year Ranking Report s - ht tp://apps.fas.usda.gov/export -sales/myrkaug.ht m; 3-yr average
15
Table 14
1
Total Commitments
Exports
3-yr avg.
2014/15
2013/14
current MY
Current MY
Last MY
from last MY
- 1,000 m t -
China
Mexico
Indonesia
Japan
Taiwan
Top 5 importers
Total US soybean export sales
25,593
1,930
921
1,074
1,034
30,552
41,157
% of Projected
% change
2011-13
- 1,000 mt -
24,831
1,712
1,024
992
880
29,438
38,964
86%
87%
696
338
74%
76%
47,900
44,820
3
13
(10)
8
18
4
6
24,211
2,971
1,895
1,750
1,055
31,882
39,169
81%
7
Table 15
1
Total Commitments
2014/15
2013/14
Current MY Last MY
% change
current MY
from last MY
- 1,000 m t -
Exports
3-yr avg
2011-2013
- 1,000 m t -
Japan
Mexico
Nigeria
Philippines
China
Brazil
Korea
Taiwan
Indones ia
Colombia
Top 10 importers
2,392
1,961
1,754
1,521
215
1,456
1,049
713
399
489
11,949
1,839
2,297
2,059
1,345
4,082
3,331
989
691
572
483
17,687
30
(15)
(15)
13
(95)
(56)
6
3
(30)
1
(32)
3,243
3,066
2,960
2,006
1,830
1,617
1,552
969
813
610
18,665
17,852
23,634
(24)
27,696
71%
74%
476
656
% of Projected
67%
75%
25,170
32,010
67%
(21)
16
Table 16
Grain Inspections for Export by U.S. Port Region (1,000 metric tons)
Port
regions
Week ending
Previous
12/18/14
Week
268
52
236
41
114
127
12,051
7,663
558
878
493
770
113
114
11,900
31,614
Current Week
2014 YTD as
1
2013
11,345
2,799
106
274
89
17
85
22
11,571
2,967
8,819
22,963
135
138
236
114
263
128
9,079
23,618
Wheat
33
22
147
4,380
9,685
Corn
647
389
167
30,097
14,472
Soybeans
1,293
1,134
114
27,697
20,677
Total
1,973
1,544
128
62,173
44,834
Texas Gulf
Wheat
95
29
333
6,082
8,918
Corn
0
33
0
580
223
Soybeans
34
32
106
819
907
Total
129
94
138
7,481
10,049
Interior
Wheat
12
48
26
1,361
1,050
Corn
68
78
87
5,399
3,838
Soybeans
101
85
119
4,067
3,156
Total
181
210
86
10,828
8,044
Great Lakes
Wheat
57
64
88
909
883
Corn
0
7
0
288
0
Soybeans
0
84
0
794
673
Total
57
155
37
1,991
1,556
Atlantic
Wheat
0
0
n/a
547
644
Corn
1
0
n/a
816
237
Soybeans
148
117
126
1,971
1,571
Total
148
117
127
3,334
2,453
2
U.S. total from ports
Wheat
465
398
117
25,329
32,525
Corn
767
547
140
44,844
21,570
Soybeans
2,134
1,945
110
47,248
35,805
Total
3,366
2,890
116
117,421
89,899
1
Data includes revisions from prior weeks; some regional totals may not add exactly due to rounding.
45
208
134
139
32
110
121
112
45
122
159
140
9,700
14,803
21,436
45,939
68
260
90
74
50
117
82
63
56
129
97
71
9,028
255
907
10,190
130
141
129
135
93
71
74
110
113
68
155
104
1,242
3,936
3,208
8,386
103
n/a
118
128
133
n/a
100
115
222
196
144
173
883
0
698
1,581
85
344
125
136
n/a
8
95
93
7
7
121
115
644
242
1,650
2,536
78
208
132
131
71
74
137
107
78
87
172
129
33,069
22,202
36,980
92,251
Soybeans
Total
Mississippi Gulf
2013 YTD
Total
% of 2013 YTD
Pacific Northwest
Wheat
Corn
Last 4-weeks as % of
3-yr. avg.
2013
Source: Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration/USDA (www.gipsa.usda.gov); YTD= year-to-date; n/a = not applicable
The United States exports approximately one-quarter of the grain it produces. On average, this includes nearly 45 percent of U.S.-grown
wheat, 35 percent of U.S.-grown soybeans, and 20 percent of the U.S.-grown corn. Approximately 61 percent of the U.S. export grain shipments departed through the U.S. Gulf region in 2013.
17
Figure 14
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Current week
04/23/15
03/26/15
02/26/15
01/29/15
01/01/15
12/04/14
11/06/14
10/09/14
09/11/14
08/14/14
07/17/14
06/19/14
05/22/14
04/24/14
03/27/14
02/27/14
01/30/14
01/02/14
12/05/13
11/07/13
10/10/13
09/12/13
08/15/13
07/18/13
06/20/13
05/23/13
04/25/13
03/28/13
02/28/13
01/31/13
01/03/13
20
3-year average
Figure 15
1
U.S. Grain Inspections: U.S. Gulf and PNW (wheat, corn, and soybeans)
100
Miss. Gulf
PNW
Texas Gulf
90
80
70
60
50
40
32.4*
30
20
4.7*
6/2/15
4/2/15
5/2/15
2/2/15
3/2/15
1/2/15
11/2/14
12/2/14
9/2/14
10/2/14
8/2/14
6/2/14
7/2/14
4/2/14
5/2/14
2/2/14
3/2/14
1/2/14
11/2/13
12/2/13
9/2/13
10/2/13
8/2/13
6/2/13
7/2/13
4/2/13
5/2/13
2/2/13
3/2/13
1/2/13
11/2/12
12/2/12
9/2/12
10/2/12
8/2/12
10
Source: Grain Inspection, P ackers and Stockyards Administration/USDA (www.gipsa.usda.gov); *mbu, this week.
MS Gulf
up 29
up 18
up 57
18
T X Gulf
up 34
up 23
down 22
U.S. Gulf
up 29
up 18
up 48
PNW
up 14
up 24
up 30
Ocean Transportation
Table 17
Date
Gulf
Loaded
7-days
50
42
(20..56)
33
In port
33
28
(16..60)
32
12/18/2014
12/11/2014
2013 range
2013 avg.
Due next
10-days
76
88
(31..81)
51
Pacific
Northwest
Vancouver
B.C.
In port
16
16
(0..24)
12
In port
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Figure 16
U.S . Gulf1 Vessel Loading Activity
100
Number of vessels
90
80
70
Loaded
22%
34.2%
Due
10.1%
48.3%
60
50
40
30
20
10
12/18/2015
12/11/2014
12/04/2014
11/27/2014
11/20/2014
11/13/2014
11/06/2014
10/30/2014
10/23/2014
10/16/2014
10/09/2014
10/02/2014
09/25/2014
09/18/2014
09/11/2014
09/04/2014
08/28/2014
08/21/2014
08/14/2014
08/07/2014
07/31/2014
19
Figure 17
60
Gulf
$44.58
-17.3%
-16.4%
PNW
Spread
$24.50 $20.08
-15.8% -19.0%
-17.6% -14.9%
US$/metric ton
50
40
30
20
Nov. 14
Sept. 14
July 14
May 14
Mar. 14
Jan. 14
Nov. 13
Sept. 13
July 13
May 13
Mar. 13
Jan. 13
Nov. 12
10
Table 18
Oce an Fre ight Rate s For Se le cte d Shipme nts, We e k Ending 12/20/2014
Export
region
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
U.S. Gulf
PNW
PNW
Import
region
China
China
China
China
China
China
China
China
China
China
Brazil
Djibouti1
China
China
Grain
types
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Heavy Grain
Wheat
Wheat/Sorghum
Heavy Grain
Grain
Loading
date
Dec 15/30
Dec 15/20
Dec 10/17
Dec 10/20
Nov 25/30
Nov 20/30
Nov 15/25
Nov 10/20
Nov 5/15
Nov 1/8
Nov 8/14
Nov 20/30
Nov 1/30
Oct 20/30
Volume loads
(metric tons)
5,500
55,000
55,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
55,000
60,000
60,000
58,000
25,000
22,000
60,000
60,000
Freight rate
(US $/metric ton)
40.25
50.00
41.75
41.25
43.00
44.75
44.25
44.25
45.25
46.00
22.00
68.50
26.50
23.00
Rat es shown are for met ric t on (2,204.62 lbs. = 1 met ric ton), F.O.B., except where otherwise indicates; op = opt ion
1
50 percent of food aid from t he Unit ed St ates is required to be shipped on U.S.-flag vessels.
Source: Marit ime Research Inc. (www.maritime-research.com)
5/15
20
In 2013, containers were used to transport 10 percent of total U.S. waterborne grain exports, up 2 percentage points from
2012. Approximately 61 percent of U.S. waterborne grain exports in 2013 went to Asia, of which 16 percent were moved in containers. Asia is the top destination for U.S. containerized grain exports97 percent in 2013.
Figure 18
Top 10 Destination Markets for U.S. Containerized Grain Exports, January-October, 2014
Indonesia
12%
Taiwan
14%
Vietnam
8%
Korea
6%
Thailand
6%
China
37%
Japan
4%
Other
7%
Hong Kong
1%
Malaysia
2%
Philippines
3%
Source: USDA/Agricultural Marketing Service/T ransport ation Services Division analysis of Port Import Export
Reporting Service (PIERS)
data
g
g
100200, 100300, 100400, 100590, 100700, 110100, 230310, 110220, 110290, 120100, 230210, 230990, 230330,
and 120810.
Dec.
Nov
.
Oct.
Sep.
Jul.
Jun.
May
Apr.
Mar.
Aug
.
2013
2014
5-year avg
Feb.
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan.
Figure 19
Monthly Shipments of Containerized Grain to Asia
Source: USDA/Agricultural Marketing Service/T ransportation Services Division analysis of Port Import Export Reporting Service
(PIERS) data.
Note: T he following Harmonized T ariff Codes are used to calculate containerized grains movements: 100190, 100200, 100300,
100400, 100590, 100700, 110100, 230310, 110220, 110290, 120100, 230210, 230990, 230330, and 120810.
21
surajudeen.olowolayemo@ams.usda.gov
pierre.bahizi@ams.usda.gov
adam.sparger@ams.usda.gov
marina.denicoff@ams.usda.gov
surajudeen.olowolayemo@ams.usda.gov
april.taylor@ams.usda.gov
nick.marathon@ams.usda.gov
surajudeen.olowolayemo@ams.usda.gov
Rail Transportation
Marvin Prater
Johnny Hill
Adam Sparger
marvin.prater@ams.usda.gov
johnny.hill@ams.usda.gov
adam.sparger@ams.usda.gov
Barge Transportation
Nicholas Marathon
April Taylor
nick.marathon@ams.usda.gov
april.taylor@ams.usda.gov
Truck Transportation
April Taylor
april.taylor@ams.usda.gov
Grain Exports
Johnny Hill
Marina Denicoff
johnny.hill@ams.usda.gov
marina.denicoff@ams.usda.gov
surajudeen.olowolayemo@ams.usda.gov
april.taylor@ams.usda.gov
Ocean Transportation
Surajudeen (Deen) Olowolayemo
(Freight rates and vessels)
April Taylor
(Container movements)
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all of its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability,
and where applicable, sex (including gender identity and expression), marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, political beliefs,
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programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact
USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD).
22