Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
History
Product
Business model
Segment breakup
Industry
Key Parameters
Peers
Reasons to buy
Guidance
Reasons not to BUY
Mental models
Stock template
% allocation
When to sell
Industry history
Prior probability
Company history
What all went WRONG IN INUDSTRY
Why Re-rating
Ecosystem
See CF Analysis
Working capital
D/E =
Debt
Business model
BS analysis
Sh pattern
leverage =
Promoters
XX
AVG [2006]
Profitability
PB
Valuation
Current [TTM]
EV/EBITA
Owner Earnings ~ = EBITA
EBITA excluding
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Capital employed
Revenue mix
Segment breakup
EBITA mix
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Brand power
Pricing power
Economies of scale
Easy/difficult for competitor to replicate
Quality
Entry Barriers
Porter 5 forces
Environmental issues
Intensity of competition among existing players.
Scale, capacity
Competitive advantage
Access to skilled labour
Capital intensive ?
Business model
Threat of substitutes
Bargaining power of customers
Bargaining power of suppliers
Debt/EBITA
Debt/4yr avg OCF
Debt/4yr avg FCF
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Consistency
LT
Durablility
Growth
ROCE
Predictability
No material growth
Equities = Bonds
Product [Business]
Capex
Working capital
Re-investment potential
Strong entry barriers
High RoCE
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Market perception
Margin expansion
PE expansion/Contraction
Revenue growth
Price Risk
Business Risk
Growth
Key Risks
Scale of opportunity
Mgt Risk
Key Parameters
EBITA
Implied EV
Current EV
Yes
EV/EBITA [TTM]
Core EBITA FY14
Valuation
PB
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Capital Allocation
Objective
INTERVIEW
Size of opportunity
Threat
Mgt
People
Competency
Operating skills
Vision
Execution
Compensation
Good business
Remuneration
1999-2002
2003-09
2010-14
2014
CCC
2002-08
2009-14
Receivable days
2014
Gross profit
People
Product
Potential
Other positives
4Ps
Predictability
Reasons to buy
LT Trends
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Other negatives
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Other negatives
Possibility of equity dilution
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Do Pre-mortem
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INR 30-36
1993-97
INR 40-48
1998-2011
53
FY12
58
FY13
60
FY14
INR USD
FY05-11
FY99-2002
ASP
FY97-98
xx
FY04-14
FY09-14
xx
xx
FY11-14
FY04-14
2009..14 = xx%
xx
Sales CAGR
USD terms
FY11-14
Margin analysis
xx
xx
EBITDA margin
Depreciation % sales
PBT breakup
xx
Interest % sales
xx
PBT Margin
xx
FY14
8 Y AVG
Asset turnover
15 yr AVG
xx
Pre-tax RoA
PBT/Total assets
Profitability
xx
Leverage [Assets/Equity]
FY14 =1.8x
42%
34%
30%
Tax rate
x%
Net margin
xx
1997-2001
xx
FY03-10
xx
xx
Capacity Utilisation
FY11
FY 14
xx
1997-2004
xx
2005
xx
xx
2007
Capacity
2008-11
xx
FY 14
EBITA
Asset turnover
ROIC
ROIC - Interest rate
ROIC + Spread * Debt-equity ratio
Spread
Derived ROE
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xx
xx
FY99-2010
FY11-14
Power
FY02-11 avg
FY12-14
Capacity
Core sales
EBITDA margin
FY04 to 08
xxx
Emp cost
Emp cost CAGR
Margin analysis
7% CAGR
FY09 to 14
Capacity
Accounting adjustments
xx
FY 99-2001
xx
FY03-10
xx
FY12-14
Gross margin
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FY12-14
Gross margin
FY03-10
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Distribution channels
Society trends
Exposure to inflation
Environmental issues
State of labour
Ecosystem
Changes in technology
Customers
Subtopic 1
Suppliers
Regulations
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2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
1995
2008
History
2004
2002
2000
1999
1998
1997
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FY01-08
Receivable days
FY10-14
FY 14
xx
FG
NWC
FY 01-07
xx
Inventory
RM days
FY08-13
FY14
FY01-08
XX
FY11-14
XX
FY09 & 10
xx
XX
XX
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Mental models
Working against business
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Since 1999
Other positives
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