Graded Worksheet C1

Dziubek___________________

Name: __Jacob

A researcher reports a survey result as 37.2%, with a margin of error of 2.9%.

1. Write the corresponding confidence interval.
90%
2. The researchers confidence level was 90%. This means that the researcher has used a method
that yields an incorrect result _10____________% of the time.
3. In general, if we keep the same sample size, increasing the margin of error will
_______increase_________ (increase / decrease) the confidence level.

4. In general, if we keep the same margin of error, using a smaller sample will
__________increase_____ (increase / decrease) the confidence level.
5. Calculate the standard error (se) for the following situations.
a.

268 people said yes out of a sample of size 1049

b.

717 people out of 1237 believe that the governor is doing a satisfactory job

SE= .013465

SE= .0140348

6. For each part of the exercise 5, give a 95% confidence interval. Write the answer in a form similar
to this: (45.73%, 59.14%).
A.) 22.91%, 28.19
B.) 55.21%, 60.71%

Second Worksheet

Homework worksheet #13

page 2

A professional pollster takes an exit poll for an election of a governor in Pennsylvania. Of the
1400 people surveyed, 660 say they voted for the Democratic candidate. We will treat this exit
poll as a random sample of all the people who voted in that election.
1. What is the population?
The people who voted in Pennsylvania election
2. The parameter of interest is described using the variable p. Circle all the correct
statements:
a. p is the proportion of the sample that voted for the Democrat.
b. p is the proportion of all those voting who voted for the Democrat.
c. The value of p is unknown.
3. What is the value of p for this situation?
=.471428

4. To use the methods we use, n must be large enough. Show the calculations necessary
to show that n is large enough.

Yes it it
5. Calculate a 99% confidence interval for this situation. Show your work, and write the
final answer in the form (43.71------, 50.58-------). Write your answers as percents, rounded to 2
places after the decimal.
P+ or z square root of p(1-p)/n
.47142+ or 2.58 square root .47142(1-.47142)/1400
.47124+ or - .0344
(.4371, .5058)=43.71 and 50.58

6. Fill in the blanks. I am 99% confident that between _43.71______% and

_____50.58__% of all the people voting voted for the Democrat.
7. Based on your calculations, is it plausible to believe that the Democrat won the election?
(YES / NO)

Homework worksheet #13

page 3

3rd Worksheeet

In 1975 it was estimated that 65% of U.S. consumers regularly used discount coupons when
shopping. A research firm plans to investigate whether this percentage has changed in the
meantime. In a sample of 1034 people, 796 reported regularly using discount coupons.
1. Identify the claim being investigated, in the form = 0

2. Find the mean and standard error the test will be based on.

SE=.0130908582
MEAN =.65

3. Are both 0 and (1 0 ) at least 15? Show the calculation.

4. Find the z-value, and the (two-tail) P-value

P=.76982
Z=.738254

5. Decide if you would reject the original claim from part (a) if your cutoff for making the
decision is 0.05. (Yes or no)
6. Decide if you would reject the original claim from part (a) if your cutoff for making the
decision is 0.01. (Yes or no)

Homework worksheet #13

page 4

4th Worksheet

For pig farmers in Kansas, researchers are interested in the education level of the farmer. A study
ten years ago had indicated that 48% of all Kansas pig farmers had a college degree. Is there
evidence to indicate that this has changed in the past ten years?
1. To answer the question, the researchers sample 262 randomly chosen pig farmers, and
find that 144 have a college degree. Do the complete analysis, including correctly stating the
hypotheses, calculating the test statistic and p-value, giving a graph in which the area
corresponding to the p-value is shaded, and answering these two questions by circling the answer.
At = 0.05, did they reject the null hypothesis? YES NO
At = 0.05, is there evidence that the proportion has changed in the past ten years? YES
NO

2. Use the data from problem 1 to give both a point estimate and a 99% confidence interval
for the proportion of all Kansas pig farmers today who do have a college education.
+ or 7.92
47.04% to 62.88%