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FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

Are you eligible to vote in the upcoming Federal Election being held in October?

EDUCATION

Yes

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

2022
100.0%

125
100.0%

364
100.0%

644
100.0%

882
100.0%

544
100.0%

491
100.0%

583
100.0%

69
100.0%

71
100.0%

594
100.0%

427
100.0%

997
100.0%

TOTAL
Base: All respondents
Weighted

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


How much interest do you have in following news about the upcoming Federal Election?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

154
28.3%

165
33.6%

194
33.3%

15
21.7%

16
22.4%

169
34.5%

197
33.9%

22
32.0%

32
45.3%

116
23.6%
I
31
6.4%

133
22.8%
I
41
7.0%

7
9.8%

16
23.1%

98
16.5%

62
7.0%

131
24.0%
I
42
7.7%

4
5.3%

33
5.6%

37
5.7%
E
4
0.6%

19
2.1%

12
2.2%

7
1.5%

17
2.9%

2
2.6%

16
2.7%

10
2.3%

4
0.5%

1
0.2%

3
0.5%

1
0.1%

12
16.9%
FGH
11
16.4%
FGH
2
3.2%
FGH

123
28.7%
U
162
38.0%
U
105
24.7%
S
24
5.7%

198
19.8%

204
37.5%

245
41.2%
TU
199
33.5%

1
1.2%

3
0.5%

3
0.7%

397
61.7%
BC
87
13.5%
E

622
70.5%
BCD
80
9.1%

358
65.8%

334
68.1%
I
38
7.8%

392
67.2%
I
58
9.9%

37
53.8%

48
67.7%

23
33.2%
FGH

6
8.0%

444
74.7%
TU
50
8.4%

285
66.7%
U
34
8.0%

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

(1) A great deal

568
28.1%

25
20.2%

67
18.5%

(2) Quite a bit

676
33.4%

27
21.8%

100
27.4%

(3) Only some

473
23.4%
185
9.2%

(5) No interest at all

104
5.2%

Don't Know

16
0.8%

105
28.9%
E
54
14.9%
DE
32
8.8%
E
6
1.5%

311
35.3%
BCD
311
35.2%
BC
175
19.9%

(4) Very little

35
27.7%
E
19
15.5%
DE
17
13.3%
DE
2
1.5%

161
25.0%
C
236
36.6%
BC
156
24.3%
E
50
7.8%

T2B(1-2)

1244
61.5%

53
42.0%

167
45.9%

L2B(4-5)

290
14.3%

36
28.8%
DE

86
23.7%
DE

Base: All respondents


Weighted

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

315
31.6%
269
27.0%
S
128
12.8%
ST
78
7.8%
ST
10
1.0%

SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

54
10.0%

513
51.4%
206
20.6%
ST

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

122
20.6%

95
22.2%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

444
90.4%
FHI
0
-

0
-

0
-

19
2.2%

0
-

0
-

541
92.9%
FGI
0
-

0
-

104
24.4%
U
120
28.1%
U
14
3.2%

20
3.0%

34
3.9%

0
-

0
-

0
-

61
88.2%
FGH
0
-

148
24.9%
U
197
33.1%
U
21
3.6%

271
27.2%
S
191
19.1%

62
88.4%

16
2.8%

19
4.3%

27
2.8%

1
0.3%

4
0.6%

2
0.2%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
0.2%

1
0.3%

6
0.6%

21
5.8%
DE
80
21.9%
E

18
2.8%

22
2.5%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

16
2.7%

11
2.5%

46
4.6%

113
17.6%

125
14.2%

54
9.9%

47
9.6%

41
7.1%

8
11.8%

8
11.6%

72
12.1%

64
14.9%

206
20.7%
ST

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

The Conservative Party

490
24.2%

29
23.2%

92
25.2%

169
26.2%

199
22.5%

The Liberal Party

444
21.9%

22
17.8%

60
16.6%

128
19.8%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

541
26.8%

29
22.8%

92
25.2%

171
26.6%

232
26.3%
BCD
249
28.2%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

61
3.0%

12
3.3%

22
3.3%

Green Party

62
3.1%

8
6.3%
E
1
0.8%

6
1.7%

Other

8
0.4%

1
0.9%

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

73
3.6%

Don't Know/Not sure

343
17.0%

11
8.5%
DE
25
19.6%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

490
90.1%
GHI
0
-

225
22.5%
26
2.6%

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
53
54

The Liberal Party


G
49
47

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
43
41

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
8
8

Green Party
J
8
8

Daily
S
67
69

Frequently
T
60
61

Not often
U
207
201

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

10
15.0%

12
19.8%

31
15.6%

0
-

0
-

0
-

13
18.5%

6
10.3%

28
14.0%

0
-

47
100.0%
FHI
0
-

0
-

0
-

21
10.4%

0
-

0
-

0
-

3
5.4%

5
2.4%

3
2.4%

3
2.4%

0
-

0
-

0
-

8
100.0%
FGH
0
-

14
20.6%
U
0
-

6
10.1%

3
2.4%

41
100.0%
FGI
0
-

8
100.0%

1
1.2%

2
3.8%

5
2.5%

0
-

0
-

1
0.8%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
1.5%

0
-

0
-

14
57.8%

43
55.1%

59
54.1%

55
45.9%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

30
43.2%

30
49.2%

111
55.1%

0
-

0
-

1
0.8%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
1.4%

0
-

335
332

<HS
B
24
24

HS
C
81
78

Post Sec
D
108
110

Univ Grad
E
122
121

The Conservative Party

54
16.2%

2
9.9%

13
17.0%

17
15.3%

21
17.7%

The Liberal Party

47
14.2%

1
3.3%

9
11.4%

15
13.6%

23
18.8%

54
100.0%
GHI
0
-

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

41
12.5%

4
16.6%

10
12.8%

13
12.0%

14
11.9%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

8
2.5%

1
4.6%

2
2.6%

2
1.9%

Green Party

8
2.5%

2
7.9%

1
1.1%

Other

1
0.3%

0
-

Don't know

171
51.6%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

1
0.3%

Base: Undecided
Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

133
22.3%

107
25.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

126
29.6%

245
24.6%

22
2.5%

0
-

0
-

583
100.0%
FGI
0
-

0
-

17
4.0%

31
3.1%

22
3.4%

37
4.2%

0
-

0
-

0
-

69
100.0%
FGH
0
-

161
27.1%
U
211
35.5%
U
21
3.6%

110
25.8%

0
-

491
100.0%
FHI
0
-

303
30.4%
ST
219
21.9%

71
100.0%

17
2.9%

21
4.9%

32
3.3%

1
0.3%

4
0.6%

3
0.3%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

2
0.3%

1
0.3%

6
0.6%

21
5.8%
DE
43
11.8%
E
2
0.5%

18
2.8%

22
2.5%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

16
2.7%

11
2.5%

46
4.6%

59
9.2%
E
5
0.7%

55
6.3%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

30
5.0%

30
7.0%

5
0.5%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

3
0.5%

4
0.9%

111
11.1%
ST
5
0.5%

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

The Conservative Party

544
26.9%

32
25.1%

105
28.9%

185
28.8%

220
25.0%

The Liberal Party

491
24.3%

23
18.5%

69
19.0%

143
22.2%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

583
28.8%

33
25.9%

102
27.9%

184
28.6%

255
28.9%
BCD
263
29.8%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

69
3.4%

14
3.9%

24
3.7%

Green Party

71
3.5%

9
7.2%
E
3
2.3%

7
2.0%

Other

9
0.4%

1
0.9%

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

73
3.6%

Don't Know

171
8.5%

11
8.5%
DE
14
10.9%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

12
0.6%

1
0.7%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

544
100.0%
GHI
0
-

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
525
545

Frequently
T
374
383

Not often
U
865
836

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

133
24.3%

107
28.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

161
29.5%

110
28.8%

0
-

491
100.0%
FHI
0
-

303
36.2%
ST
219
26.2%

0
-

0
-

245
29.4%

0
-

0
-

0
-

17
4.5%

31
3.7%

22
4.0%

37
4.6%

0
-

0
-

0
-

69
100.0%
FGH
0
-

211
38.7%
U
21
3.9%

126
33.0%

22
2.8%

583
100.0%
FGI
0
-

71
100.0%

17
3.2%

21
5.5%

32
3.9%

4
0.7%

3
0.3%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

2
0.4%

1
0.3%

6
0.7%

1766
1766

<HS
B
105
100

HS
C
305
298

Post Sec
D
548
562

Univ Grad
E
802
800

The Conservative Party

544
30.8%

32
31.5%

491
27.8%

23
23.1%

185
33.0%
E
143
25.4%

220
27.5%

The Liberal Party

105
35.2%
E
69
23.2%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

583
33.0%

33
32.4%

102
34.1%

184
32.8%

255
31.8%
CD
263
32.9%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

69
3.9%

14
4.8%

24
4.2%

Green Party

71
4.0%

9
9.0%
DE
3
2.9%

7
2.4%

Other

9
0.5%

1
1.1%

1
0.4%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

544
100.0%
GHI
0
-

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


How certain are you that this is the party that you will actually support on Election Day:

EDUCATION

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

TOTAL

<HS
B

HS
C

Post Sec
D

Univ Grad
E

The
Conservative
Party
F

The Liberal Party


G

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I

Green Party
J

Daily
S

Frequently
T

Not often
U

1616
1618

94
91

271
265

504
516

741
739

469
490

456
444

548
541

61
61

62
62

489
509

347
356

778
751

Absolutely certain

699
43.2%

287
38.9%

217
40.0%

28
46.8%

11
16.9%

220
43.2%

149
41.9%

329
43.8%

165
46.5%

318
42.3%

29
10.8%

37
7.5%

4
7.1%

16
25.6%

51
9.9%

36
10.0%

87
11.6%

Not at all certain

28
1.7%

2
0.7%

8
1.5%

14
1.9%

7
1.5%

7
1.6%

2
3.0%

3
4.2%

6
1.2%

6
1.6%

16
2.1%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

3
0.2%

4
4.6%
C
0
-

254
46.9%
F
68
12.5%
F
3
0.6%

231
45.5%

8
8.7%

214
48.3%
F
46
10.4%

32
51.4%

173
10.7%

357
48.2%
BC
79
10.7%

26
43.1%

Not very certain

233
45.2%
BC
56
10.9%

265
54.0%
GH
181
37.0%

175
39.5%

714
44.2%

136
51.3%
DE
98
37.0%

219
42.4%

Fairly certain

54
59.2%
DE
25
27.5%

1
0.2%

0
-

2
0.3%

0
-

1
0.1%

0
-

0
-

1
1.9%

1
0.2%

0
-

2
0.2%

T2B

1414
87.4%

79
86.8%

234
88.3%

452
87.6%

644
87.1%

390
87.8%

470
86.9%

55
89.9%

43
68.3%

451
88.7%

314
88.4%

646
86.0%

L2B

201
12.4%

12
13.2%

30
11.5%

64
12.4%

93
12.6%

446
91.0%
H
44
9.0%

54
12.1%

71
13.1%
F

6
10.1%

19
29.8%

57
11.1%

41
11.6%

103
13.7%

Base: Cons/Libs/NDP/Bloc/Other Party @ Q1A


Weighted

SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


And is this the first time you are voting for this party in a Federal Election?

EDUCATION

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

TOTAL

<HS
B

HS
C

Post Sec
D

Univ Grad
E

The
Conservative
Party
F

The Liberal Party


G

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I

Green Party
J

Daily
S

Frequently
T

Not often
U

1616
1618

94
91

271
265

504
516

741
739

469
490

456
444

548
541

61
61

62
62

489
509

347
356

778
751

Yes

409
25.3%

183
24.7%

61
12.5%

169
22.5%

267
74.9%

0
-

0
-

50
81.9%
H
0
-

33
52.3%

1
0

429
87.5%
GH
0
-

150
29.5%
U
358
70.5%

89
25.1%

556
75.2%

200
37.0%
FGI
341
63.0%

30
47.7%

401
77.7%
BC
0
-

100
22.6%
F
343
77.2%
H
1
0.2%

11
18.1%

1208
74.7%

82
30.9%
D
184
69.1%

115
22.3%

No

29
32.1%
D
62
67.9%

0
-

0
-

0
-

581
77.4%
S
1
0.1%

Base: Cons/Libs/NDP/Bloc/Other Party @ Q1A


Weighted

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

1
0.1%

0
-

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


And, assuming you can't vote for your first choice, which party would you support as a second choice?

EDUCATION

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

TOTAL

<HS
B

HS
C

Post Sec
D

Univ Grad
E

The
Conservative
Party
F

The Liberal Party


G

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I

Green Party
J

Daily
S

Frequently
T

Not often
U

Base: Cons/Libs/NDP/Bloc/Other Party @ Q1A


Weighted

1616
1618

94
91

271
265

504
516

741
739

469
490

456
444

548
541

61
61

62
62

489
509

347
356

778
751

The Conservative Party

139
8.6%

6
7.1%

24
9.1%

52
10.1%

56
7.5%

0
-

25
7.2%

68
9.1%

21
22.5%

67
25.4%

112
21.7%

171
22.7%

18
20.3%

63
23.7%

118
22.9%

27
43.1%

148
29.2%
U
123
24.2%

86
24.1%

394
24.4%

91
25.5%

180
24.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

58
3.6%

3
3.2%

10
3.6%

16
3.2%

29
4.0%

120
24.4%
GI
111
22.7%
H
2
0.4%

18
28.6%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

205
27.7%
D
194
26.2%

2
3.3%
F
5
8.7%
G
11
17.8%
H
0
-

46
9.0%

405
25.0%

55
10.2%
F
261
48.2%
FGI
2
0.3%

3
5.4%

The Liberal Party

74
16.8%
FHI
0
-

0
-

16
3.2%

16
4.6%

26
3.4%

Green Party

93
5.7%

3
2.8%

14
5.2%

25
4.8%

50
6.8%

26
5.4%

1
1.4%

1
1.8%

31
6.1%

22
6.2%

40
5.3%

Other

19
1.2%

1
1.2%

3
1.0%

9
1.7%

6
0.8%

0
-

1
1.5%

3
0.7%

5
1.3%

11
1.5%

Don't know/Not sure

344
21.3%

57
21.5%

120
23.2%

138
18.7%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

165
10.2%

27
29.9%
E
12
12.8%

28
10.4%

64
12.5%
E

62
8.3%

10
2.0%
G
169
34.5%
GHI
52
10.6%

188
25.0%
S
67
9.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

243
54.7%
FHI
10
2.2%
F
16
3.5%
2
0.4%

47
8.7%
FGI
47
8.7%
FGI
5
1.0%

68
15.3%

73
13.4%

12
19.0%

12
19.5%

80
15.7%

74
20.8%

32
7.2%

51
9.5%

30
49.8%
FGH

0
-

61
11.9%

37
10.5%

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

Some people say that the Conservative government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected on October 19th. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election

623
30.8%

42
33.7%

123
33.8%
E

209
32.5%

247
28.0%

Time for another federal party to take over

1352
66.9%

78
62.3%

231
63.5%

425
66.0%

47
2.3%

5
4.0%

10
2.7%

9
1.4%

613
69.4%
C
23
2.6%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

491
90.4%
GHI

26
5.3%

37
6.4%

47
8.7%

460
93.7%
FI
5
0.9%

542
93.1%
F
3
0.6%

5
1.0%

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

8
11.4%
G

3
4.8%

150
25.3%

121
28.4%

349
35.0%
ST

60
87.0%
F
1
1.6%

65
91.6%

435
73.3%
U
8
1.4%

299
69.9%
U
7
1.6%

617
61.8%

2
3.5%

32
3.2%
S

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Right direction

824
40.7%

49
39.2%

156
42.7%

270
41.9%

349
39.5%

Wrong track

1139
56.3%

69
54.9%

201
55.3%

360
56.0%

504
57.1%

448
82.4%
GHI
84
15.5%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

59
2.9%

7
5.9%
CD

7
2.0%

14
2.1%

30
3.4%

12
2.2%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The Liberal Party


G
505
491
136
27.7%
H
336
68.5%
F
19
3.8%

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

124
21.2%

15
21.9%

13
18.3%

207
34.9%

175
41.0%

448
76.9%
FG
11
1.9%

53
77.0%
F
1
1.1%

57
80.4%

372
62.7%
U
15
2.5%

243
56.8%

439
44.0%
S
523
52.5%

9
2.2%

35
3.5%

1
1.3%

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


Did you watch the leaders' debate the evening of August 6 th hosted by Macleans?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Yes

539
26.6%

24
18.9%

74
20.2%

151
23.5%

No

1482
73.3%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

2
0.1%

102
81.1%
E
0
-

291
79.8%
E
0
-

491
76.3%
E
1
0.2%

289
32.8%
BCD
592
67.1%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

1
0.1%

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544
143
26.3%
I
400
73.5%
G
1
0.2%

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

159
32.4%
FI
332
67.6%

177
30.4%
I
405
69.5%

0
-

1
0.1%

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

9
12.9%

26
36.6%
45
63.4%
0
-

0
-

114
26.6%
U
314
73.4%
S
0
-

202
20.2%

60
87.1%
FGH
0
-

221
37.2%
TU
373
62.8%

794
79.6%
ST
2
0.2%

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)


In your opinion, who won the debate?

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
138
143

546
539

<HS
B
23
24

HS
C
78
74

Post Sec
D
149
151

Univ Grad
E
295
289

Stephen Harper

115
21.3%

5
22.0%

16
21.3%

52
17.9%

Justin Trudeau

138
25.5%

6
24.5%

17
22.8%

42
28.0%
E
38
25.1%

77
26.7%

95
66.6%
GHI
7
5.2%

Thomas Mulcair

137
25.4%

9
39.6%

22
30.4%

34
22.8%

71
24.4%

18
12.4%

Elizabeth May

105
19.5%

1
3.2%

12
16.1%

24
16.2%

7
4.9%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

44
8.2%

3
10.6%

7
9.6%

12
8.0%

67
23.3%
B
22
7.7%

Base: Watched the leaders' debate


Weighted

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

16
11.0%
H

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

The Liberal Party


G
167
159

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
178
177

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
9
9

Green Party
J
26
26

Daily
S
213
221

Frequently
T
114
114

Not often
U
217
202

5
3.1%

11
6.4%

1
12.4%

1
3.0%

35
15.6%

45
22.6%

94
59.3%
FHI
22
13.7%

25
13.9%
F
87
49.3%
FG
46
25.9%
F
8
4.5%

1
12.4%

5
17.6%

65
29.4%

33
28.6%
S
25
22.0%

3
33.2%

1
4.5%

60
27.2%

27
24.2%

49
24.4%

2
21.0%

16
63.2%

50
22.6%

19
16.8%

36
17.9%

2
21.2%
H

3
11.6%

11
5.1%

10
8.4%

23
11.6%
S

29
18.5%
F
9
5.4%

48
23.6%

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[I prefer the new format for leaders' debates] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in French. However, Stephen Harper has said he won't
participate in the consortium debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held thereby increasing the number of debates, but none of
them will receive prime-time airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

60
12.2%

56
9.5%

7
9.6%

4
5.8%

45
10.6%

98
9.8%

197
40.1%

225
38.6%

19
28.3%

18
25.1%

79
13.3%
U
238
40.0%

182
42.5%

375
37.6%

251
28.4%

74
13.6%
H
249
45.8%
HI
139
25.6%

142
28.9%

151
26.0%

19
26.9%

21
30.0%

158
26.5%

117
27.4%

275
27.6%

102
15.8%

164
18.6%

57
10.5%

70
14.2%

94
15.9%

58
13.6%

26
4.0%

57
6.5%
D

25
4.5%

22
4.5%

18
26.1%
FG
6
9.0%

23
32.9%

17
4.6%

117
20.0%
FG
34
5.9%

4
6.1%

25
4.3%

25
5.9%

189
18.9%
T
61
6.1%

192
52.8%
E
155
42.6%

347
53.9%
E
271
42.1%

410
46.5%

323
59.4%
GHI
196
36.1%

257
52.4%
I
212
43.1%
F

280
48.1%

26
37.9%

22
31.0%

227
53.1%

472
47.4%

268
46.0%
F

37
53.1%
F

44
63.0%

317
53.3%
U
252
42.4%

175
41.0%

464
46.5%

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Strongly agree

222
11.0%

17
13.4%

37
10.2%

81
12.6%

87
9.8%

Somewhat agree

797
39.4%

51
40.9%

155
42.6%

266
41.3%

323
36.6%

Somewhat disagree

550
27.2%

30
23.7%

98
27.0%

169
26.3%

Strongly disagree

341
16.9%

17
13.2%

57
15.7%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

112
5.5%

11
8.8%
D

T2B

1019
50.4%

68
54.3%

L2B

891
44.1%

46
36.9%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

I prefer the new format for leaders' debates

SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

415
47.0%
B

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[I think the Prime Minister should participate in the TV consortium debates] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in French. However, Stephen
Harper has said he won't participate in the consortium debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held thereby increasing the number
of debates, but none of them will receive prime-time airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Strongly agree

1086
53.7%

56
44.4%

189
51.8%

330
51.3%

Somewhat agree

601
29.7%

109
30.0%

203
31.5%

Somewhat disagree

202
10.0%

46
36.6%
E
12
9.7%

506
57.3%
BD
243
27.5%

43
11.8%

61
9.5%

85
9.6%

Strongly disagree

113
5.6%

10
8.4%

17
4.6%

43
6.7%

42
4.8%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

20
1.0%

1
0.9%

6
1.6%

6
1.0%

7
0.8%

210
38.6%
GH
117
21.5%
GHI
55
10.1%
GH
7
1.3%

T2B

1686
83.4%

102
81.0%

298
81.9%

533
82.8%

748
84.8%

365
67.2%

L2B

315
15.6%

23
18.1%

60
16.5%

105
16.2%

127
14.4%

172
31.6%
GHI

Base: All respondents


Weighted

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

340
69.3%
F
119
24.2%

411
70.6%
F
132
22.7%

23
4.7%

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

42
61.1%
F
23
33.4%

50
70.9%

231
54.2%

492
49.3%

14
19.9%

362
60.9%
TU
155
26.0%

133
31.1%

24
4.0%

1
1.6%

2
3.2%

53
8.8%

38
8.9%

312
31.2%
S
112
11.2%

5
0.9%

15
2.5%

4
5.9%

25
4.2%

20
4.6%

4
0.9%

2
0.3%

3
3.9%
G
0
-

0
-

1
0.1%

5
1.1%
S

459
93.5%
F
28
5.6%

543
93.2%
F
38
6.5%

65
94.5%
F
4
5.5%

64
90.9%

516
86.9%
U
77
13.0%

364
85.3%
U
58
13.6%

I think the Prime Minister should participate in the TV consortium


debates
155
28.6%

67
6.8%
S
15
1.5%
S

SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

6
9.1%

803
80.5%
179
18.0%
ST

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[I am more likely to watch the major TV consortium debate than tune in to the smaller debates held] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in
French. However, Stephen Harper has said he won't participate in the consortium debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held
thereby increasing the number of debates, but none of them will receive prime-time airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

Strongly agree

654
32.3%

35
27.8%

104
28.6%

191
29.6%

Somewhat agree

655
32.4%

27
21.5%

Somewhat disagree

441
21.8%

35
27.7%

126
34.6%
B
84
23.1%

232
36.1%
BE
129
20.1%

322
36.5%
CD
268
30.3%
B
193
21.8%

Strongly disagree

244
12.1%

47
12.8%

84
13.1%

89
10.1%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

28
1.4%

22
17.9%
E
6
5.1%
CDE

3
0.9%

7
1.1%

11
1.2%

230
63.2%
B
131
35.9%

423
65.7%
B
213
33.2%

590
66.8%
B
282
32.0%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

201
41.0%
F
158
32.2%

129
23.7%
I
64
11.7%
G
13
2.3%
H
338
62.2%

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

209
35.9%
F
195
33.4%

24
34.8%

21
29.1%

142
33.1%

286
28.7%

22
32.2%

22
31.4%

225
37.9%
U
187
31.5%

151
35.3%

315
31.6%

96
19.5%

126
21.7%

9
12.5%

13
18.4%

115
19.3%

91
21.3%

235
23.5%

29
5.8%

49
8.4%

14
19.7%

61
10.3%

39
9.1%

7
1.4%

3
0.6%

12
16.7%
GH
3
3.8%
H

1
1.4%

6
1.0%

5
1.2%

144
14.5%
ST
18
1.8%

360
73.3%
F
124
25.3%

404
69.4%
F
175
30.0%

46
67.0%

43
60.5%

20
29.2%

27
38.1%

412
69.4%
U
176
29.6%

292
68.4%
U
130
30.4%

I am more likely to watch the major TV consortium debate than


tune in to the smaller debates held
151
27.7%
187
34.4%

SUMMARY
T2B

1308
64.7%

62
49.3%

L2B

685
33.9%

57
45.6%
DE

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

193
35.5%
G

601
60.2%
379
38.0%
ST

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[National TV debates are important to me in determining how I will vote] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in French. However, Stephen
Harper has said he won't participate in the consortium debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held thereby increasing the number
of debates, but none of them will receive prime-time airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

Strongly agree

490
24.3%

32
25.9%

89
24.3%

155
24.1%

213
24.2%

73
13.5%

Somewhat agree

738
36.5%

36
28.5%

121
33.2%

239
37.2%

177
32.6%

Somewhat disagree

465
23.0%

33
26.0%

79
21.6%

145
22.6%

341
38.7%
B
207
23.5%

Strongly disagree

322
15.9%

24
18.8%

103
16.0%

118
13.4%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

6
0.3%

1
0.8%

74
20.4%
E
2
0.5%

1
0.1%

3
0.3%

161
29.5%
GH
133
24.4%
GHI
0
-

T2B

1228
60.7%

68
54.4%

209
57.5%

395
61.3%

554
62.8%

251
46.1%

L2B

787
38.9%

56
44.8%

153
42.0%

248
38.6%

325
36.9%

293
53.9%
GHI

TOTAL
Base: All respondents
Weighted

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

151
30.8%
F
208
42.4%
F
86
17.6%

176
30.3%
F
225
38.7%
F
119
20.5%

44
9.0%

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

18
26.8%
F
25
36.6%

20
27.6%

103
24.1%

202
20.3%

15
20.8%

180
42.1%
U
86
20.1%

325
32.6%

17
24.0%

185
31.2%
TU
230
38.7%
U
118
19.9%

60
10.3%

8
11.2%

11
15.9%

61
10.2%

58
13.5%

2
0.3%

2
0.3%

1
1.4%
F

0
-

0
-

1
0.2%

359
73.1%
F
130
26.6%

402
68.9%
F
179
30.7%

44
63.4%
F
24
35.2%

45
63.3%

415
69.9%
U
179
30.1%

283
66.2%
U
143
33.6%

National TV debates are important to me in determining how I will


vote

25
35.7%

261
26.2%
ST
203
20.4%
ST
5
0.5%

SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

26
36.7%

528
52.9%
464
46.6%
ST

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[T2B Summary] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in French. However, Stephen Harper has said he won't participate in the consortium
debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held thereby increasing the number of debates, but none of them will receive prime-time
airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

410
46.5%

323
59.4%
GHI

257
52.4%
I

280
48.1%

26
37.9%

22
31.0%

317
53.3%
U

227
53.1%

472
47.4%

533
82.8%

748
84.8%

365
67.2%

459
93.5%
F

543
93.2%
F

65
94.5%
F

64
90.9%

516
86.9%
U

364
85.3%
U

803
80.5%

230
63.2%
B

423
65.7%
B

590
66.8%
B

338
62.2%

360
73.3%
F

404
69.4%
F

46
67.0%

43
60.5%

412
69.4%
U

292
68.4%
U

601
60.2%

209
57.5%

395
61.3%

554
62.8%

251
46.1%

359
73.1%
F

402
68.9%
F

44
63.4%
F

45
63.3%

415
69.9%
U

283
66.2%
U

528
52.9%

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

I prefer the new format for leaders' debates

1019
50.4%

68
54.3%

192
52.8%
E

347
53.9%
E

I think the Prime Minister should participate in the TV consortium


debates

1686
83.4%

102
81.0%

298
81.9%

1308
64.7%

62
49.3%

1228
60.7%

68
54.4%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

I am more likely to watch the major TV consortium debate than tune in


to the smaller debates held

National TV debates are important to me in determining how I will vote

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

FED ELECTION BENCHMARK (15-057032-01)

[L2B Summary] As you may know, the historic traditional format for leaders' debates was that it was organized by a consortium of TV broadcasters, and it was aired on all of the major networks - one debate in English, the other in French. However, Stephen Harper has said he won't participate in the consortium
debate, and Thomas Mulcair says he won't participate in debates that Stephen Harper does not participate in, effectively killing the debate. Meanwhile, a number of smaller debates hosted by individual news outlets are being held thereby increasing the number of debates, but none of them will receive prime-time
airing on all the major TV networks. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following:

EDUCATION

TOTAL

DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

The Liberal Party


G
505
491

The New
Democratic
Party (NDP)
H
591
583

The Bloc
Quebecois (BQ)
I
69
69

196
36.1%

212
43.1%
F

268
46.0%
F

127
14.4%

172
31.6%
GHI

28
5.6%

213
33.2%

282
32.0%

193
35.5%
G

248
38.6%

325
36.9%

293
53.9%
GHI

2022
2022

<HS
B
128
125

HS
C
373
364

Post Sec
D
631
644

Univ Grad
E
883
882

I prefer the new format for leaders' debates

891
44.1%

46
36.9%

155
42.6%

271
42.1%

415
47.0%
B

I think the Prime Minister should participate in the TV consortium


debates

315
15.6%

23
18.1%

60
16.5%

105
16.2%

685
33.9%

57
45.6%
DE

131
35.9%

787
38.9%

56
44.8%

153
42.0%

Base: All respondents


Weighted

I am more likely to watch the major TV consortium debate than tune in


to the smaller debates held

National TV debates are important to me in determining how I will vote

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - B/C/D/E - F/G/H/I - N/O/P - Q/R - S/T/U

The
Conservative
Party
F
522
544

SOCIAL MEDIA USAGE

Green Party
J
70
71

Daily
S
572
594

Frequently
T
418
427

Not often
U
1029
997

37
53.1%
F

44
63.0%

252
42.4%

175
41.0%

464
46.5%

38
6.5%

4
5.5%

6
9.1%

77
13.0%

58
13.6%

179
18.0%
ST

124
25.3%

175
30.0%

20
29.2%

27
38.1%

176
29.6%

130
30.4%

379
38.0%
ST

130
26.6%

179
30.7%

24
35.2%

26
36.7%

179
30.1%

143
33.6%

464
46.6%
ST