ALBERTA ELECTION 2015 [CALGARY FOOTHILLS BY ELECTION] METHODOLOGY Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 543 Calgary Foothills residents by Smart IVR™ on August 18, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of Error: +/- 4.18%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census. MAINSTREET [w]/ P| POSTMEDIAAz “Exclusive Mainstreet/Pestmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia” MAINSTREET [P|] POSTMEDIA FOOTHILLS SHOWDOWN: WILDROSE NARROWLY LEADS August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) - A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the Wildrose party narrowly leading the race in Calgary Foothills with the NDP a strong second. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.18%, 19 times out of 20. “This race is going to be 100% about turnout,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “With the parties currently polling so close together, within the poll's margin of error, this is going to be about who can bring the most voters out on Election Day.” Complicating matters is the fact a federal election campaign is underway and that voters may be suffering from a severe case of democracy. Calgary Foothills voters have gone to the polls again, and again, and again. And after the by election is over they will have the federal vote to look forward to. “This situation is unprecedented. | really cannot remember the last time resident have face this many elections in such a short time span - while a Federal campaign rages on in the background. Right now the most motivated supporters are those of the NDP and PCs (27% and 24%, certain to vote) but the Wildrose is doing very well with those likely to vote (36%), one tier below.” “It should come as no surprise that the runaway issue is the economy. The price of oil continues to drop and unemployment numbers for Calgary and Alberta continue to rise. Meanwhile, Premier Notley holds a 43% approval rating though 1in 4 residents of Calgary Foothills aren't sure what to make of her yet and hold no opinion at all. It’s these voters, and those who are undecided, that are up for grabs for both the NDP and the opposition parties,” he finished. About Mainstreet Research Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November's Toronto mayoral election. -30- Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.caMAINSTREET [P| POSTMEDIA Including Undecided , Prasad Panda (Wildrose) 23% prasad panes twichon 29% Janet Keeping (Green) 5% o. Bisir Houcton (2c) tose Janet Keeping (Green) 7% Blair Houston (PC) 20% Bob Hawkesworth (NDP) 21% ° Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals) 10% Bob Hawkesworth (NDP) 26% Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals) 12% Mark Taylor (Alberta Party) 5% Ca eer yy om Undecided 19% lor (Alberta Party) 7% 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female Prasad Panda (Wildrose) 19% 24% 28% 23% 26% 21% Janet Keeping (Green) 7% 6% 2% 1% 7% 4% Blair Houston (PC) 12% 17% 22% 17% 14% 19% Bob Hawkesworth (NDP) 21% 22% 17% + 25% +22% 19% Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals) 11% 13% 6% 5%OTIK%—-9% Mark Taylor (Alberta Party) 5% 4% 6% 8% 4% 7% Undecided 25% 13% 20% 16% 16% 21% Sample 83 34 160 166 252 291 Certain Likely Might Unlikely Prasad Panda (Wildrose) 19% 36% 27% = 11% Janet Keeping (Green) 2% 3% 28% 9% Blair Houston (PC) 24% 7% 5% 3% Bob Hawkesworth (NDP) 27% 16% 0% «16% Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals) 9% 6% 19% 13% Mark Taylor (Alberta Party) 4% 2% 9% + 24% Undecided 15% 30% 12% 25%Aa MAINSTREET [P|] POSTMEDIA aaqiogqnn vlNsety qvasan dan Od Naauo, asONdTIM caMAINSTREET [P| POSTMEDIA Coatenra eel: TSMC Siena JOBS AND THE ECONOMY 45% TAXES AND GOVERNMENT FINANCES 5%. ENERGY POLICY AND ROYALTY REVIEW 11% EDUCATION AND SCHOOL 9% HEALTH CARE 10% ETHICS WITHIN GOVERNMENT 4% THE ENVIRONMENT 5% SOMETHING ELSE 7% NOT SURE 4% 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female JOBS AND THE ECONOMY 53% 43% 40% 40% 43% 48% TAXES AND GOVERNMENT FINANCES. 2% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% ENERGY POLICY AND ROYALTY REVIEW, 1% 10% 12% 11% 10% 11% EDUCATION AND SCHOOL 7% 7% 1% 12% 12% 6% HEALTH CARE 12% 6% 13% 12% 9% 12% ETHICS WITHIN GOVERNMENT 1% 6% 5% 4% 5% 3% THE ENVIRONMENT 4% 4% 5% 8% 5% 5% SOMETHING ELSE 10% 7% 4% 4% 8% 6% NOT SURE 8% 5% 3% 5% 4% 4% SAMPLE 83 134 160 166 252 291MAINSTREET [P| POSTMEDIA @ Jobs & Economy @ Taxes & Government Finances @ Energy & Royalty Review @ Education and School @ Health Care e @ The Environment @ Something Else hics Within Government Not SureMAINSTREET POSTMEDIA @ Approve @Disapprove @ Not Sure APPROVE: 43% 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female STRONGLY APPROVE 20% 22% 23% 25% 18% 25% SOMEWHAT APPROVE 24% 23% 15% 16% 22% 19% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 14% 10% 22% 14% 14% 16% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 13% 19% 21% 22% 18% 18% NOT SURE 28% 26% 20% 22% 28% 22% SAMPLE, 83 34 160 166 252 291MAINSTREET [P] POSTMEDIA SCRIPT How likely are you to vote in the provincial by election? Certain to vote Likely to vote Might vote Unlikely to vote And if the provincial by election were held today, which candidate would you support? Prasad Panda (Wildrose) Janet Keeping (Green) Blair Houston (PC) Bob Hawkesworth (NDP) Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals) Mark Taylor (Alberta Party) Undecided And, which of these is the most important issue in deciding your vote in the provincial by election? Is it, Jobs and the Economy, Taxes and Government Finances, Energy Policy and the Royalty Review, Education and Schools, Health Care, Ethics within Government, the Environment or Something Else? Jobs & Economy Taxes and Government Finances Energy Policy and Royalty Review Education and School Health Care Ethics Within Government The Environment Something Else Not Sure And, do you approve or disapprove of the way Rachel Notley is handling her job as Premier? Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not SureABOUT MAINSTREET Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November's Toronto mayoral election ON aa rT Resi Sa Roa tnd mainstreetresearch.ca Consens) erating