Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Lecture outline
Interest rate forwards and futures
Swaps
Treasury rates
Rates on instruments issued by a government in its own
currency
Interbank rates
Daily rates of interest at which a panel of banks is
prepared to lend or borrow money in an interbank
market
Lending -> offer rate
Borrowing -> bid rate
Examples:
LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate)
EURIBOR (Euro Interbank Offered Rate)
BELIBOR (Belgrade Interbank Offered Rate)
Repo rates
Repurchase agreement (or repo) is an agreement
where a financial institution that owns securities agrees to
sell them today for X and buy them bank in the future for
a slightly higher price, Y
The financial institution obtains a loan.
The rate of interest is calculated from the difference
between X and Y and is known as the repo rate
Zero rates
A zero rate (or spot rate), for maturity T is the rate of
interest earned on an investment that provides a payoff
only at time T
Forward rates
The forward rate is the rate of interest agreed today for
borrowing that will occur in the future.
It is implied by todays term structure of spot interest rates.
No-arbitrage argument
Example
One-year spot rate = 4%
18-month spot rate = 4.5%
Find the forward rate between 12 and 18 months.
Solution:
t2 !t1
= [1+ R(0, t2 )]
t2
Continuous compounding:
11
Example
Consider a long position in a 3-month forward on LIBOR 3x6:
We pay F(3m,6m) = 4.85% in 6 months.
We receive 3m spot LIBOR determined after 3 months, R(3m,6m).
N = $ 2,000,000.
Day count convention is 30/360.
14
Treasury Bonds:
Actual/Actual
Corporate Bonds:
30/360
Actual/360
15
16
17
18
Example
Most recent settlement price = 90.00
Conversion factor of bond delivered = 1.3800
Accrued interest on bond = 3.00
Price received for bond is 1.380090.00+3.00 = 127.20
19
Conversion factor
The conversion factor is the present value of cash flows
generated by the bond.
Inputs:
Yield curve is flat at 6%
Semiannual compounding
20
21
Eurodollar futures
A Eurodollar is a dollar deposited in a bank outside the
United States
Eurodollar futures are futures on the 3-month Eurodollar
deposit rate (same as 3-month LIBOR rate)
One contract is on the rate earned on $1 million
A change of one basis point or 0.01 percentage points in
a Eurodollar futures quote corresponds to a contract
price change of $25
22
Eurodollar futures
A Eurodollar futures contract is settled in cash
When it expires (on the third Wednesday of the delivery
month) the final settlement price is 100 minus the actual
three month Eurodollar deposit rate
23
Eurodollar futures
Date
Quote
Nov 1
97.12
Nov 2
97.23
Nov 3
96.98
Dec 21
97.42
24
Example
Suppose you take a long position in a contract on
November 1
The contract expires on December 21
The prices are as shown
25
Example
If on Nov. 1 you know that you will have $1 million to
invest on for three months on Dec 21, the contract locks
in a rate of
100 97.12 = 2.88%
At expiry, the rate is
100 97.42 = 2.58%
Total gain on the futures contract is 30$25 =$750
26
TED spread
27
Swaps
28
Nature of swaps
A swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows at
specified future times according to certain specified rules
29
30
LIBOR
Floating Cash
Flow
Fixed Cash
Flow
Net Cash
Flow
Mar 5, 2012
4.20%
Sep 5, 2012
4.80%
+2.10
2.50
0.40
Mar 5, 2013
5.30%
+2.40
2.50
0.10
Sep 5, 2013
5.50%
+2.65
2.50
+ 0.15
Mar 5, 2014
5.60%
+2.75
2.50
+0.25
Sep 5, 2014
5.90%
+2.80
2.50
+0.30
+2.95
2.50
+0.45
Mar 5, 2015
31
32
5%
5.2%
Intel
MS
LIBOR+0.1%
LIBOR
33
5.015%
5.2%
Intel
F.I.
MS
LIBOR+0.1%
LIBOR
LIBOR
34
MS
LIBOR-0.2%
LIBOR
35
4.985%
4.7%
Intel
F.I.
MS
LIBOR-0.2%
LIBOR
LIBOR
36
Bid (%)
Offer (%)
2 years
6.03
6.06
6.045
3 years
6.21
6.24
6.225
4 years
6.35
6.39
6.370
5 years
6.47
6.51
6.490
7 years
6.65
6.68
6.665
10 years
6.83
6.87
6.850
37
38
Fixed
Floating
AAACorp
4.0%
BBBCorp
5.2%
39
4.33%
4.37%
4%
AAACorp
F.I.
BBBCorp
LIBOR+0.6%
LIBOR
LIBOR
40
41
42
t*
Valuation
Date
First Pmt
Date
Floating
Pmt =k*
Value = L
Second
Pmt Date
Maturity
Date
43
Example
Pay six-month LIBOR, receive 8% (s.a. compounding) on a
principal of $100 million
Remaining life 1.25 years
LIBOR rates for 3-months, 9-months and 15-months are
10%, 10.5%, and 11% (cont comp)
6-month LIBOR on last payment date was 10.2% (s.a.
compounding)
44
Bfix cash
flow
Bfl cash
flow
Disc
factor
PV
Bfix
PV
Bfl
0.25
4.0
105.100
0.9753
3.901
102.505
0.75
4.0
0.9243
3.697
1.25
104.0
0.8715
90.640
Total
98.238
102.505
46
Fixed
Floating Net Cash
cash flow cash flow
Flow
Disc
factor
PV
Bfl
0.25
4.0
-5.100
-1.100
0.9753
-1.073
0.75
4.0
-5.522
-1.522
0.9243
-1.407
1.25
4.0
-6.051
-2.051
0.8715
-1.787
Total
-4.267
47
48
Exchange of principal
In an interest rate swap the principal is not exchanged
In a currency swap the principal is usually exchanged at
the beginning and the end of the swaps life
49
Dollar Cash
Flows
(millions)
Sterling cash
flow
(millions)
Feb 1, 2011
18.0
+10.0
Feb 1, 2012
+1.08
0.50
Feb 1, 2012
+1.08
0.50
Feb 1, 2014
+1.08
0.50
Feb 1, 2015
+1.08
0.50
Feb 1, 2016
+19.08
10.50
50
51
52
Example
All JPY LIBOR rates are 4%
All USD LIBOR rates are 9%
5% is received in yen; 8% is paid in dollars. Payments are
made annually
Principals are $10 million and 1,200 million yen
Swap will last for 3 more years
Current exchange rate is 110 yen per dollar
53
Time
PV ($)
0.8
0.7311
60
57.65
0.8
0.6682
60
55.39
0.8
0.6107
60
53.22
10.0
7.6338
1,200
1,064.30
Total
9.6439
1,230.55
Time
$ cash
flow
Net
Cash
Flow
Present
value
-0.8
60
0.009557
0.5734
-0.2266
-0.2071
-0.8
60
0.010047
0.6028
-0.1972
-0.1647
-0.8
60
0.010562
0.6337
-0.1663
-0.1269
-10.0
1200
0.010562
12.6746
+2.6746
2.0417
Total
1.5430
55
56
Credit risk
A swap is worth zero to a company initially
At a future time its value is liable to be either positive or
negative
The company has credit risk exposure only when its value
is positive
Some swaps are more likely to lead to credit risk exposure
than others
57
58