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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 639 Regina Lewvan residents, 651 Saint Boniface - Saint Vital

residents & 658 Saskatoon West residents by Smart IVR on September 21, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a
mixture of landlines and cell phones. Regina Lewvan margin of error: +/- 3.85%; Saint Boniface Saint Vital margin of error: +/- 3.83%, Saskatoon West margin of error: +/- 3.83%, 19 times out of
20. Results were weighed by age & gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

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"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

REGINA LEWVAN, SAINT BONIFACE & SASKATOON WEST


September 25, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the
Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the
NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of
3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.
REGINA LEWVAN
In Regina, we see a lead by the Conservative candidate with 34% a 6 point lead over the NDP. This
race may yet tighten up with more than 3 weeks to go, but right now, it looks like Trent Fraser may
have enough to win - 80% of his supporters say they wont switch, said Quito Maggi, President of
Mainstreet Research.
SAINT BONIFACE - SAINT VITAL
In Saint Boniface, the Liberals have a lead with 33% and 37% among decided and leaning voters.
This looks to be a chance for Liberal candidate Vandal to add to the Liberal seat count in Manitoba.
We are expecting a difficult climate for the Conservatives in the province particularly in the city of
Winnipeg.
SASKATOON WEST
Saskatoon West will be one of those rare three way races that we don't often see in federal or
provincial elections in Canada. Although the NDPs Benson leads over Conservative Randy Donaur
by 6%, the third place Liberals are not far off with 22%. It's still anybody's to win, with three weeks
to go, this will be a fun finish to watch though Benson is favoured, finished Maggi.
ABOUT MAINSTREET
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels
of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public
affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently,
Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.
-30Available for phone interview: Quito Maggi, President - quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

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ReginaLewvan

All Voters
Fraser

TRENT FRASER (CPC)


ERIN WEIR (NDP)
LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)
TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
TRENT FRASER (CPC)
ERIN WEIR (NDP)
LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)
TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)
UNDECIDED

Weir

5%

21%

34%

40%

17%

4%

17%

28%

34%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided & Leaning


Browne

Friesen

Undecided

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female


29% 38%
32% 40% 34% 34%
32% 27%
28% 26% 28% 29%
24% 16%
12% 13% 21%
13%
2%
3%
5%
5% 3%
5%
13%
17%
22% 16% 15%
19%
97
137
175
230 254 385
Certain
35%
29%
29%
4%
15%

Likely
29%
28%
18%
2%
22%

Might
23%
28%
10%
0%
39%

Unlikely
38%
9%
3%
4%
47%

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ReginaLewvan

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

10%

9%

11%

2%
68%

Fraser

Weir

Browne

Friesen

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a


chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC
80%
17%
3%

NDP
59%
29%
12%

LPC
54%
30%
17%

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Saint BonifaceSaint Vital

All Voters
Catellier

FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)


ERIN SELBY (NDP)
DAN VANDAL (LPC)
GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)
ERIN SELBY (NDP)
DAN VANDAL (LPC)
GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)
UNDECIDED

5%

37%

25%

33%

14%

4%

33%

21%

28%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided & Leaning


Selby

Vandal

Zaretski

18-34
29%
17%
36%
4%
13%
89

Undecided

35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female


25%
28% 34% 33% 23%
24%
23% 22% 19% 23%
29% 34% 32% 28% 37%
5%
3%
3% 5%
3%
18%
12% 10% 15%
13%
175
225
162 261
390

Certain
28%
23%
34%
3%
12%

Likely
25%
14%
38%
3%
20%

Might
13%
14%
23%
0%
50%

Unlikely
28%
5%
10%
33%
24%

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Saint BonifaceSaint Vital

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

19%

12%

60%
5%
4%

Catellier

Selby

Vandal

Zaretski

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a


chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC
81%
17%
2%

NDP
48%
48%
4%

LPC
53%
39%
8%

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Saskatoon West

All Voters
Donauer

RANDY DONAUER (CPC)


SHERI BENSON (NDP)
LISA ABBOTT (LPC)
GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
RANDY DONAUER (CPC)
SHERI BENSON (NDP)
LISA ABBOTT (LPC)
GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)
UNDECIDED

Benson

9%

25%

36%

31%

13%

8%

22%

32%

26%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided & Leaning


Abbott

Toews

Undecided

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female


17% 26% 34% 26% 25% 26%
38% 27%
22% 27% 32% 31%
21%
31%
16% 19% 22% 22%
14%
3%
8%
6% 9%
7%
10% 13%
20% 22% 12%
14%
86
123
208
241 323
335
Certain
26%
31%
23%
8%
13%

Likely
29%
39%
18%
2%
13%

Might
30%
32%
23%
0%
15%

Unlikely
15%
42%
13%
10%
20%

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Saskatoon West

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

23%

51%
11%

13%
2%

Donauer

Benson

Abbott

Toews

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a


chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC
81%
17%
2%

NDP
48%
48%
4%

LPC
53%
39%
8%

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REGINA LEWVAN SCRIPT


How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Certain
Likely
Might
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Louis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]
Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Louis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party,
or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know

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SAINT BONIFACE-SAINT VITAL SCRIPT


How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Certain
Likely
Might
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Dan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Glenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]
Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Dan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Glenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party,
or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know

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SASKATOON WEST SCRIPT


How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Certain
Likely
Might
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]
Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party,
or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all
three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator
on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority
Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.
Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral
election.

2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved