Académique Documents
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Master:
International Business Studies
Finance
Contents
1 Introduction
1.1
Course Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.2
Computing
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.3
Academic Honesty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2 Organisation
2.1
Instructors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2
Literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3
Schedule . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.4
2.5
Computing Classes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
2.6
3 Examination Requirements
22
3.1
3.2
Research Paper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Introduction
1.1
Course Overview
is able to put the work into perspective and to understand the drawbacks
and limiting assumptions in the research. In short, there are many aspects
to the research process that need to be addressed to guarantee well executed
research.
We build on students knowledge from the undergraduate course Quantitative Methods. In conducting empirical research we focus on classical
regression analysis, one of the fundamental building blocks for conducting
empirical research. We cover how good regression analysis is conducted,
and in which cases the classical assumptions for OLS regression are violated.
The classes are practical in nature and students learn how to conduct mainstream financial research, and to evaluate regression output. For example, is
a regression always good if it has a R2 that is close to 1? And what other
statistics are there and what do they mean? Students should become confident about the use of OLS, an important tool used in conducting financial
research.
During the course students attend a number of computer sessions, where
they use the Econometric package Eviews. The emphasis of the course is on
students learning to use and apply a number of familiar Econometric techniques. The course book is geared specifically towards students who require
an introduction to Econometrics with a focus on financial applications. Additional literature is used to investigate in greater depth the methodology
behind the chosen research method.
Students shall learn which resources the University offers in the provision
of financial data. Other online data sources are also available for downloading
financial data. Students learn how to conduct their own empirical research,
using a variety of applications to issues in finance. We use financial time series
data, which covers how a series of data changes over time, such as stock prices
or interest rates. Cross sectional data is also used, which accesses data at a
given point in time, for example the current share price for all companies in
the market index. Finally students are introduced to the use of panel data.
This teaches students the techniques with which to do research on a cross
sectional panel of data, across a period of time. Used together students can
therefore analyse data over space and time.
Throughout the course students acquire theoretical skills and shall actively use these skills on empirical data. The course provides an excellent
basis from which students are able to conduct financial research. The techniques learned and applied are the foundations for writing the final thesis,
which is a required part of the Master program. Students are encouraged
to actively prepare themselves for the final thesis by considering topics and
methods for financial research during the course.
During the tutorials students are expected to discuss and analyse a number of academic research papers. The emphasis is to critically evaluate what
makes the paper a good research paper, and relate this back to the research
methodologies and theory discussed at the beginning of the course. Whilst
also conducting empirical research, the students shall be able to assess the
potential pitfalls and problems associated with conducting research.
Finally, the course concludes with students writing their own piece of
research. This is done in pairs, or at maximum groups of three, assigned
during the first tutorial meeting.
1.2
Computing
All faculty, staff and students of the University are governed by the Acceptable Usage Policy for the use of computers, printers and library facilities.
1.3
Academic Honesty
Organisation
2.1
Instructors
This block book has been compiled by Dr. Rachel A. J. Pownall who is the
course coordinator. If you have any comments, questions or suggestions concerning the course, please address them to Dr. Pownall preferably by e-mail.
If questions are of general interest I shall provide feedback through the course
website on Eleum and the course tutors. The course tutors are Rogier Quaedvlieg and Alessandro Pollastri. Emails: r.quaedvlieg@maastrichtuniversity.nl
and a.pollastri@maastrichtuniversity.nl.
If you want to contact me in person please respect my office hours for
this course, or arrange a meeting via the department secretaries. Their email
address is: Life-sbe@maastrichtuniversity.nl
2.2
Literature
During the course we closely follow the textbook by Chris Brooks, Introductory Econometrics for Finance, 3rd Edition, Cambridge University Press.
ISBN: 978-1-107-66145-5. Students are advised to buy a copy of the book for
the course. A number of additional academic articles are required reading for
the course and shall be available on EleUM, posted throughout the duration
of the course.
2.3
Schedule
WEEK 2
09-FEB-15
Research Philosophy
Methodology for financial research
12-FEB-15
Running Regressions
Introduction to Eviews
Calculating returns
Basic functions
Statistical Inference & Testing Outperformance
WEEK 3
23-FEB-15
Statistical Inference
Classical linear regression
Reading distributions tables
26-FEB-15
Lecture
WEEK 4
02-MAR-15
Downloading Data
Risk and Return
Capital Asset Pricing Model
05-MAR-15
Classroom Tutorial 3
WEEK 5
09-MAR-15
12-MAR-15
Classroom Tutorial 4
WEEK 6
16-MAR-15
Writing a Program
Applied Course Review
Class output to be printed and handed in at the end of the class
Dummy Variables
19-MAR-15
Classroom Tutorial 5
WEEK 7
23-MAR-15
Half hour Individual Group meeting with tutor on final research project
26-MAR-15
EXAM WEEK
ASSESSMENT
03-APR-15
Hand in on EleUM
2.4
There are five PBL tutorial meetings throughout the course. In the first
week, we deal with research methods in general. In the following four tutorials the material from the course book is covered along with a number of
supplementary articles. The tutorial meetings enable the theory and methods of financial research to be discussed. Sequential to each tutorial meeting
is a computing session where the material from Brooks is applied to a number of research topics in finance, allowing students to develop their applied
skills, to put the theory into practice. These computing classes are a valuable
addition to the teaching of the course material. This is further outlined in
section 2.5 on the computing classes.
During the classroom tutorials the aim is for students to critically review
and evaluate research that has been conducted by others, using the concepts
discussed during the tutorial on research philosophy, and the econometric
fundamentals from the course book. Discussing research articles highlights
how the quantitative techniques that you acquire during the course are applied in practice.
In this course the primary aim is to learn and understand about research
methods. The goal is to present the research project. This implies that you
should discuss issues such as, for example, defining the problem statement?
How are the hypotheses derived? How do the authors get to their results?
Why are they using (or not using) a particular statistical technique? Why
and how is a sample selected and what is the corresponding relevant population? etc. In short, you are asked to show that you understand the intuition
and the motivation of the research. The approach by Whetten (1989) provides a good point of reference in providing the pointers when presenting and
discussing research papers.
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It is also important to focus on the quality of the research and the choice
of the econometric techniques used. In your analysis incorporate for instance:
Why you think that the respective articles are good or bad, where would you
expect the research to be published? How would you improve the articles,
etc.? Furthermore, also try to contrast research with other articles and how
they add to the encompassing literature. To what extent is it better in
terms of, for example, further use and application of the results, contribution,
techniques, etc.? For further guidelines on critical aspects of research paper,
please refer to the book of Brooks (2002), Chapter 1, Section 6.
Additional articles must be obtained by students themselves. This is to
ensure that students know how, and where, to find research papers themselves.
During the tutorial meetings learning objectives and goals are formulated.
The EViews output shall be discussed. The tutor may ask individuals at
random to present their results. Remember that it is important to the functioning of the course that all individuals are well prepared for the meetings.
Remember to bring a copy of the EViews output from the computing class
preceding the tutorial meeting and be able to access your workfile. Students
should be prepared to use EViews during the tutorial meetings to discuss
their work as and when is required. At the end of each tutorial meeting
students are required to hand in the question with an asterisk (*)
to their tutor. This forms part of the participation grade for the meetings.
Please refer to the examination requirements, in section 3 for further details.
The outline for the tutorial meetings is given below. All students are
expected to prepare and be able to discuss the following points for each of
the five tutorial sessions. The course material is subject to changes.
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12
Reading
Brooks (Chapter 14), Friedman (1966), Krauss (2005) and Whetten
(1989).
Ryan, Scapens and Theobald (Chapter 1).
6. Recall how you would conduct some basic statistical inference and a
difference in means tests?
7. What is the difference between a Type I and a Type II error?
8. Discuss the EViews output and questions from the first computing
class*.
Reading
Brooks Chapter 1, 3 & 7.1. (Prior knowledge: Brooks Chapter 2).
Granger (2004), Krueger (2001), Zellner (2007), Hausman (2001), Drakopoulus
and Torrance (1994).
Tutorial 3: Theoretical framework for financial research
Once a research problem has been identified and justified, then the next
step is to analyse the problem by formulating a hypothesis. Hypotheses are
constructed based on abstract theory. The research method chosen depends
upon the philosophy upon which the stream of current research on the topic
is built. The process which dominates much of mainstream finance is the
positivist quantitative approach.
The notion of the model as an abstraction of reality is a more meaningful
concept within the finance discipline than the notion of theory. Financial
research requires a clearly defined hypothesis and model from which to test;
often with empirical data. In order to produce good research it is important
to set out clearly your theory and entails the development of theoretical
models which are then tested by confronting hypotheses derived from these
models with empirical data.
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16
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2.5
Computing Classes
Starting in the second week we have four computing classes, which take
place in the University Library Computing rooms. There is one computer
session per week. Students are introduced to the statistical software Eviews
which can be accessed during the classes. This gives students a hands on
chance to learn some useful econometric tools for the analysis of financial
data sets and statistical inference. The sessions are backed up by the tutorial
group meetings which alternate between the computing sessions. Providing a
focus on both theory and practise for financial research. The software is also
available via the UB anywhere link. www.maastrichtuniversity.nl/anywhere.
At the beginning of each computing class the tutor shall introduce the
topic and explain what is required during the class. Students shall be given a
task to prepare, which needs to be completed during the class. It is expected
that students work independently, each at an individual computer. The tutor shall be able to assist students in the classroom. In some cases students
shall need to download data beforehand, which will be used in class. When
this is the case this shall be discussed in detail during the tutorial meeting
proceeding the computing class. At the end of the session students are required to hand in a copy of their output for the class. For each class an
individual grade is given to each student. This comprises 32% of
the final grade. It is therefore important that students read the relevant
chapter of the course book (and any other additional material required) in
preparation for the class.
The content and the order of the course closely follows the book of Brooks
(2014), which is the compulsory literature for this course. We strongly recommend, that you also consider additional literature, especially when preparing
for teaching your fellow students. Wooldridge (2000) is particularly useful.
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2.6
As a final task, you are expected to carry out your own small-scale research
project and to write a short empirical paper. This has several purposes.
Firstly, students are expected to show that they are able to implement the
concepts of research methodology to a real-life project. Secondly, this gives
students the opportunity to prove that they have understood the quantitative techniques that have been taught and can apply the tools to real data.
Thirdly, the use of EViews will become easier once applied to a chosen empirical investigation. Finally, students have the opportunity to show that they
can write in a scientific manner and are able to write in an understandable,
condensed and sophisticated manner. These are all attributes which are useful in preparing you for writing your final thesis at the end of the Master
program.
While working on your paper, there are no tutorial meetings scheduled. You
are expected to work on the paper mainly by yourselves within your subgroup. If you get stuck or need to back-up your progress, please send your
tutor an email and/or we can arrange an appointment. In any case I strongly
recommend that you consult at least once with the respective supervisor of
your topic, to make sure that your research is going in the right direction.
In addition, you can refer to Wooldridge (2002), Chapter 19 for guidelines in
writing your paper.
Towards the end of the course we will distribute the topics for your empirical project. In case the number of groups are not more or less evenly
distributed across the subjects, we reserve the right to assign you to topics.
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The grade for the research paper depends on the following five, equally
weighted elements:
- Justification of your research methodology
- Reviewing the relevant literature
- Formulation of a research hypothesis and a testable framework
- Empirical Analysis
- Interpretation of results and discussion
The deadline of your max. 12 page (without graphs and tables) paper
is midnight on Friday April 3rd, 2015! As usual, you are expected to write
in Times New Roman font, 12 pt, 1.5 line spacing.
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Examination Requirements
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In case you fail only the final paper, you will have the possibility to register for a re-sit in the corresponding re-sit period. You will be asked to
complete another final research paper. This will be of a similar form and
scope as the original task. Paper topics will be assigned to you by one the
course coordinator beforehand, such that you will have a comparable period
to work on the paper as students had in the first attempt. Note however
that opposed to the original paper project, you will be working individually
on your re-sit paper.
3.1
Generally, you are expected to be present at all group meetings and lectures
throughout the first five weeks of the block. If you do miss a tutorial meeting
or one of the computing sessions you will get a zero grade for the participation and the assignment. In exceptional circumstances please discuss your
situation with your tutors. Not actively participating in the tutorial meetings
shall also result in a zero grade.
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3.2
Research Paper
Note that you will have approximately two weeks to work on your own final
project. This is sufficient time to complete the task. Hence, please make sure
that you strictly stick to the deadlines that will be announced in the course
of the block.
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References
[1] Brooks, Chris (2014) Introductory Econometrics for Finance Cambridge University Press, 3rd Edition.
[2] Drakopoulos, Stavros. A., and Thomas S. Torrance (1994) Causality
and Determinism in Economics Scottish Journal of Political Economy,
Vol 41(2) pp. 176-193.
[3] DiNardo, John and Justin L. Tobias (2001) Nonparametric Density and
Regression Estimation. Journal of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4),
pp. 11-28.
[4] Engle, Robert (2001) GARCH 101: The Use of ARCH/GARCH Models
in Applied Econometrics. Journal of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4),
pp. 157-168.
[5] Engle, Robert (2004) Risk and Volatility: Econometric Models and
Financial Practice. The American Economic Review. Vol. 94(3) pp.
405-531.
[6] Friedman, Milton (1966) The Methodology of Positive Economics
in Essays in Positive Economics. University of Chicago Press. pp. 3-16,
30-43.
[7] Granger, Clive W. (2004) Time Series Analysis, Cointegration, and
Applications. The American Economic Review. Vol. 94(3) pp. 421425.
[8] Hansen, Bruce E. (2001) The New Econometrics of Structural Change:
Dating Breaks in U.S. Labor Productivity. Journal of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4), pp. 117-128.
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[9] Hausman, Jerry (2001) Mismeasured Variables in Econometric Analysis: Problems from the Right and Problems from the Left. Journal of
Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4), pp. 57-67.
[10] Horowitz Joel L., and N. E. Savin (2001) Binary Response Models:
Logits, Probits and Semiparametrics. Journal of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4) pp. 43-56.
[11] Jagannathan, Ravi and Ellen R. McGrattan (1995) The CAPM debate.
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review. Vol 19(4) pp.
2-17.
[12] Krauss, Steven E. (2005) Research Paradigms and Meaning Making:
A Primer. The Qualitative Report, Vol 10(4) pp. 758-770.
[13] Krueger, Alan B. (2001) Symposium on Econometric Tools. Journal
of Economic Perspectives. Vol. 15(4) pp. 3-10.
[14] Ryan, Bob., Robert W. Scapens, and Michael Theobald. (2002) Research Method and Methodology in Finance and Accounting. SouthWestern Cengage Learning.
[15] Whetten, David A. (1989) What Constitutes a Theoretical Contribution? The Academy of Management Review, Vol. 14(4), pp. 490-495.
[16] Wooldridge, J. M. (2002) Econometric Analysis of Cross-Section and
Panel Data. MIT Press, Massachusetts.
[17] Zellner, Arnold (2007) Philosophy and Objectives of Econometrics.
Journal of Econometrics 136, pp. 331-339.
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