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2-year
256ths
5-year
10-year
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2-year
5-year
10-year
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
5-year
10-year
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2-year
5-year
10-year
25
20
15
10
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
20
15
10
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Source: FRBNY staff calculations, based on data from the Federal Reserve Board.
Notes: The exhibit plots the 21-day moving average of absolute yield curve fitting errors for two- to ten-year coupon securities from the Nelson-SiegelSvensson model of Gurkaynak, Sack, and Wright (described in "The U.S. Treasury Yield Curve: 1961 to Present," Journal of Monetary Economics 54, [2007]).
Number of Trades
Number (Thousands)
120
900
100
800
700
80
600
500
60
400
40
300
200
20
100
0
2005
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1.5
0.5
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Jump Count
25
Corporate bonds
Treasuries
20
15
10
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Source: FRBNY staff calculations, based on data from BrokerTec and FINRA.
Notes: Liquidity risk is defined as the number of jumps in a liquidity index in a trailing 18-month window. The liquidity index is the first principal component of
several liquidity metrics. Jumps are calculated relative to a local estimate of continuous variation.