Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
WISE M NEY
4-7
Derivatives
8-9
Commodity
10-13
he markets across the globe rallied during the November month, led by
Currency
14
IPO
15
jobless claims reports have raised concern that Fed may pare back monthly bond
Fixed Deposit
16
purchases in the coming months. Moreover, in the recent European Central Bank
17-18
meeting, Mario Draghi gave no fresh indication that it would ease policy anytime
Mutual Fund
soon and this supported the market. But he said that the ECB is "ready and able to
EDITORIAL STAFF
Editor
Saurabh Jain
act" if inflation shows signs of being too low for too long. Also, the Japan's cabinet
Executive Editor
Jagannadham Thunuguntla
has approved a $182 billion package to pull the economy out of deflation. No
+Editorial Team
Dr. R.P. Singh
Vandana Bharti
Sandeep Joon
Vineet Sood
Dhirender Singh Bisht
Parminder Chauhan
Mudit Goyal
Nitin Murarka
Tejas Seth
Dinesh Joshi
Shitij Gandhi
Subhranil Dey
Ajay Lakra
doubt, an improving U.S. economy, China's biggest export market, and Central
Bankers efforts to support their respective economy have brightened the outlook
for 2014. Actually markets across the world were affected by the fear of tapering
US quantitative easing programme, strengthening of the US dollar, and slowdown
in China and other developed countries.
Content Editor
Graphic Designer
Research Executive
Kamla Devi
Pramod Chhimwal
Sonia Bamba
Back at home, if BJP comes into power in all four states, market sentiment is
likely to improve from here. However, the 2014 general elections are likely to be
REGISTERED OFFICES:
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Tel : 91-33-39847000/39801300, Fax No : 91-33-39847004
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Tel : 91-79-26424801 - 05, 40049801 - 03
CHENNAI OFFICE:
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Tel: 044-39109100, Fax -044- 39109111
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Tel: 91-40-30780298/99, 39109536
DUBAI OFFICE:
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Tel: 97143963120, Mobile : 971502612483
Fax : 9714 3963122
Email ID : pankaj@smccomex.com
smcdmcc@gmail.com
a "big swing factor" for the Indian stock market going ahead. India will always
remain favorable destination for FII as they stick to companies' fundamentals and
their performances before making an investment decision.
India's Index of
As regards commodities market, it was really choppy last week owing to various
news and events. The bullion counter saw wild swings ahead of expiry. Supply
tightness added premium in gold in the physical market. OPEC agreed to keep its
production quota unchanged at 30 million barrels a day at least until June even as
Libya, Iran and Iraq plan to boost exports in coming months. Fed next meet on
Dec. 17-18 will give next direction to the commodities prices. Here at home,
elections results of various states will give impact on the currency move, which
(Saurabh Jain)
NEWS
TREND SHEET
DOMESTIC NEWS
Economy
India's current account deficit fell to $5.2 billion, equivalent to 1.2 percent
of gross domestic product, from $21 billion or 5 percent of GDP registered
during the same period of last year. The lower current account deficit was
primarily on account of a decline in the trade deficit as merchandise exports
picked up and imports moderated, particularly gold imports.
Tata Motors will invest around 30 million pounds (over Rs 300 crore) in the
National Automotive Innovation Campus (NAIC), as part of its
commitment for long term R&D in the UK.
Diamonds, Gems and Jewellery
Titan Company Ltd has forayed into the `400 crore organised helmet
market under its Fastrack brand, priced between `1,495 and `3,495.
Oil & Gas
Petronet LNG Ltd, India's largest buyer of liquid gas, has hired a fourth
LNG ship from a consortium of state-owned Shipping Corp of India (SCI)
and Japanese lines for $75,000-80,000 per day.
Telecom
Idea Cellular has received a grant of over $1 million from the US Trade &
Development Agency (USTDA) to fund a pilot project involving
deployment of Solar Hybrid Methanol-Based Fuel Cell (SHMBFC) at
telecom sites in India.
Pharmaceuticals
NTPC announced that its Unit-I of 660 MW of Barh Super Thermal Power
Project Stage-Il has been commissioned effective from 30 November 2013
and the total installed capacity of NTPC group has become 42454 MW.
US new home sales jumped 25.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate
The ECB has kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 0.25%. The
decision follows its surprise cut from 0.5% in November.
Eurozone's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded 0.1 percent quarteron-quarter in the third quarter after exiting the region's longest-ever
recession in the second quarter with a GDP growth of 0.3 percent.
Stocks
Closing
Trend
Price
Date
Rate
Trend
Trend
S1 R1
S2
R2
Cl.
S/l
Changed Changed
20958
UP
12.09.13
19317 20200
S&P NIFTY
SENSEX
6241
UP
12.09.13
5728
5850
5750
5780
CNX IT
8835
UP
18.07.13
7306
8500
8200
8000
UP
19.09.13
11149 11000
CNX BANK
ACC
11665
1107
DOWN 13.11.13
1041
19800
19400
10600
1080
10500
1100
1120
BHARTIAIRTEL
335
UP
12.09.13
329
340
330
320
BHEL
171
UP
05.09.13
138
155
150
145
CIPLA
388
DOWN 21.11.13
387
405
410
415
DLF
156
DOWN 26.09.13
136
150
160
165
HINDALCO
122
UP
29.08.13
107
110
105
100
ICICI BANK
1136
UP
12.09.13
951
1060
1020
1000
INFOSYS
3351
UP
18.07.13
2800
3200
3070
3020
ITC
309
L&T
1086
DOWN 13.11.13
UP
19.09.13
888
314
1020
330
980
336
950
340
MARUTI
1700
UP
19.09.13
1480
1600
1570
1530
NTPC
144
UP
26.09.13
150
145
140
135
ONGC
291
UP
31.10.13
294
280
270
265
RELIANCE
871
UP
12.09.13
875
850
840
830
TATASTEEL
421
UP
22.08.13
274
380
360
350
NOTES:
1) These levels should not be confused with the daily trend sheet, which is sent every morning by e-mail in the name
of "Morning Mantra ".
2) S1 & S2 indicate first support & second support respectively & R1 & R2 indicate first resistance and second
resistance respectively.
3) Sometimes you will find the stop loss to be too far but if we change the stop loss once, we will find more strength
coming into the stock. At the moment, the stop loss will be far as we are seeing the graphs on weekly basis and
taking a long-term view and not a short-term view.
FORTHCOMING EVENTS
EX-DATE
9-DEC-13
10-DEC-13
12-Dec-13
18-DEC-13
18-DEC-13
19-DEC-13
BOARD MEETING
9-DEC-13
9-DEC-13
10-DEC-13
12-DEC-13
13-DEC-13
SYMBOL
COLPAL
ONGC
VIDEOIND
HCLTECH
ALOKTEXT
EDL
SYMBOL
MAHABANK
AHLUCONT
STAR
VIJAYABANK
HEXAWARE
16-DEC-13
16-DEC-13
16-DEC-13
PNB
IOB
CORPBANK
19-DEC-13
ANDHRABANK
20-DEC-14
24-DEC-14
24-DEC-14
MIRC
DENABANK
ALLAHABAD BANK
26-DEC-14
30-DEC-14
IDEA
CANBK
PURPOSE
SECOND INTERIM DIVIDEND - `9/- PER SHARE
INTERIM DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND - `2/- PER SHARE
FINAL DIVIDEND - `6.00
DIVIDEND - `0.30/- PER SHARE
DIVIDEND - `1/- PER SHARE
PURPOSE
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE
RIGHT ISSUE
DIVIDEND
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE
AMENDMENTS IN ARTICLES OF
ASSOC.,CHANGE IN DIRECTORS
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE,PRIVATE PLACEMENT
BASIS,QUALIFIED INSTITUTIONS PLACEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE,RAISING OF
CAPITAL,QUALIFIED INSTITUTIONS PLACEMENTS
RIGHT ISSUE,RAISING FUNDS THROUGH DEBT INSTR.
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE
PREFERENTIAL ISSUE,QUALIFIED
INSTITUTIONS PLACEMENTS
FII INVESTMENT
RAISING OF CAPITAL
1.70
1.80
1.60
4.46
3.87
4.00
1.40
3.00
1.20
2.63
1.05
2.24
0.94
1.00
2.00
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.51
0.60
0.40
0.58
0.51
0.14
0.38
0.00
-0.14
0.20
-1.00
-0.24
-0.65
0.00
Nifty
Sensex
BSE Midcap
BSE
Smallcap
Nifty Junior
-2.00
S&P CNX
500
-3.00
SMC Trend
Nifty Sensex
-3.02
BSE Midcap
Nifty Junior
BSE Smallcap
-4.00
Auto
Index
Cap Goods
Index
Bankex
Cons
FMCG
Durable
Index
Index
IT
Index
Healthcare
Index
Metal
Index
Power
Index
Realty
Index
2.00
1.20
FMCG
Healthcare
IT
Metal
1.00
0.00
-1.00
-0.71
1000.00
-1.15
-1.65
-2.00
-2.29
794.50
745.60
800.00
-1.64
521.90
600.00
-3.00
-3.09
400.00
-4.00
181.60
200.00
167.70
54.40
-4.55
-5.00
Nasdaq
Comp.
Dow Jones
S&P 500
Nikkei
FTSE 100
CAC 40
0.00
-200.00
-171.50
SMC Trend
Nasdaq
Dow jones
S&P 500
Nikkei
Strait times
Hang Seng
Shanghai
Friday
FTSE 100
CAC 40
Monday
FII Activity
Up
Down
Tuesday
Wednesday
MF Activity
Sideways
12.00
10.00
-239.10
-400.00
12.00
9.34
10.00
9.29
9.59
9.26
8.51
7.40
8.00
8.00
7.28
6.39
6.00
5.15
6.00
4.97
4.00
4.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
-2.00
-2.00
-2.89
-4.00
-2.58
-2.24
-4.00
-3.51
-4.72
-6.00
Jindal Steel
BHEL
ICICI Bank
Tata Steel
Tata Power
Co.
Hind.
Unilever
Dr Reddy's
Labs
ONGC
NTPC
-2.74
Dr Reddy's
Labs
ONGC
-2.31
-4.94
-6.00
ITC
-2.82
-3.64
BHEL
Jindal Steel
IDFC
Axis Bank
NMDC
Hind.
Unilever
ITC
NTPC
Foreign
Institutions
Non Promoter Corporate
Holding
Promoters
Public & Others
90
` in cr
Revenue
EBITDA
EBIT
Pre-tax Profit
Net Profit
EPS
BVPS
ROE
Actual
FY Mar-13
5590.10
2007.10
1494.80
1884.30
1297.40
7.73
77.19
10.40
Estimate
FY Mar-14 FY Mar-15
6065.40
6499.80
2278.80
2488.10
1903.20
2111.80
1940.60
2189.50
1326.40
1516.10
8.57
8.99
83.52
90.36
10.50
10.80
2.00
744.05/443.00
8207.42
24.97
26.05
5.28
0.61
BSE
% OF SHARE HOLDING
10.98
Foreign
25.59
Institutions
Non Promoter Corporate
Holding
12.35
45.89
5.19
Promoters
Public & Others
` in cr
Actual
FY Mar-13
Revenue
2753.70
EBITDA
623.20
EBIT
536.50
Pre-tax Profit
454.30
Net Profit
323.60
EPS
25.65
BVPS
123.12
ROE
23.00
Estimate
FY Mar-14 FY Mar-15
3290.50
3836.60
770.40
903.30
672.80
796.50
606.60
782.10
475.20
582.60
38.19
46.21
153.13
203.20
26.60
26.50
Valuation
The company has been adhering to normal production
schedule. The company was looking to acquire two to
three assets abroad for supply of two to 10 million
tonnes of coal in a year. On the estimated FY15E EPS
of `8.99 and two year average P/Ex of 9.09x, we
expect the stock to see a price target of `82 in one
year time frame.
P/BV Chart
CMP: 650.35
VALUE PARAMETERS
Upside: 35%
0.16
4.89 4.81
Target Price: 82
Investment Rationale
10.00
87.80/49.00
10192.09
7.55
8.05
0.79
4.61
BSE
% OF SHARE HOLDING
0.14
CMP: 60.75
Investment Rationale
Upside: 36%
P/E Chart
EQUITY
GAIL
The stock closed at `347.50 on 06th December 2013. It made a 52-week low at
`272.20 on 28th August 2013 and a 52-week high at `395.85 on 18th January
2013. The 200 days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the weekly
chart is currently at `352.70.
It has formed base at lower levels and trading near its 200 EMA in last few weeks.
Looking at the volume, we anticipate that it will give a sharp rise in the near
term and reach our desired targets. One can Buy 342-344 levels with closing
below stop loss of 328 levels for the target of 365-370 levels.
RELCAPITAL
The stock closed at `394.50 on 06th December 2013. It made a 52-week low at
`289.50 on 28th August 2013 and a 52-week high at `507.95 on 07th January
2013. The 200 days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the weekly
chart is currently at `474.61.
It has come out of consolidation and last week it gave a sharp spurt with
volumes, which is a bullish sign. One can Buy in the range of 389-391 levels with
closing below stop loss of 377 levels for the target of 410-420 levels.
UCOBANK
The stock closed at ` 78.80 on 06th December 2013. It made a 52-week low at
`47.20 on 28th August 2013 and a 52-week high of `86.80 on 09th January 2013.
The 200 days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the weekly chart
is currently at `69.66.
It has crossed its 200 EMA, which is indication of upward momentum. One can
Buy in the range of 75-77 levels with closing below stop loss of 69 levels for the
target of 89-91 levels.
DERIVATIVES
WEEKLY VIEW OF THE MARKET
The Index traded sideways with positive bias throughout the week. Overall market cost-of-carry increased on the back of addition in open interest on the long side
indicating long buildup from current level. The month of December began with good rollover with positive cost of carry indicating long carry forward, but post election
poll results Nifty saw gap up opening and profit booking from resistance of 6300 levels. The scenario in the market currently remains bullish. Nifty December futures
closed with 60 points premium. Hereafter, the range of 6220-6300 will remain crucial in the near term. Breach below the 6200 mark could see the Index declining
sharply to 6000 levels. Put-call ratio of open interest closed at 1.02 indicating call writing. Options open interest concentration shifted to the 6000 strike put option
with open interest of above 50 lakh shares. The 6500 call-option strikes have maximum IO of more than 60 lakh shares. The implied volatility (IV) of call options closed
at 21.86%. While the average IV of put options was 22.10%. The Nifty VIX for the week closed at 22.21. Short term indicators are indicating upside momentum to
continue above 6220. It is likely to hover in the range of 6200-6500 levels for the week. The Index is likely to test the 6400 mark.
DERIVATIVE STRATEGIES
BULLISH STRATEGY
OPTION
STRATEGY
BEARISH STRATEGY
TITAN
Buy DEC 240. CALL 5.35
Sell DEC 250. CALL 2.75
GODREJ IND
Buy DEC 290. CALL 7.45
Sell DEC 300. CALL 3.50
LIC HOUSING
Buy DEC 200. PUT 6.30
Sell DEC 190. PUT 3.20
FUTURE
STRATEGY
Buy:
Around `94
Buy:
Around `285
Sell:
Below `392
Target:
`98
Target:
`292
Target:
`384
7000000
6000000
5646200
5783200
50
4864100
5000000
3964400 4170700
4000000
4074100
40
3738200
3634350
3339600
3274150
30
3000000
2367500
2000000
1732850
1735950
1657400
1848700
20
1113750
1000000
409050
499200
5700
5800
629550
560950
987000
431550
10
0
5500
5900
6000
Call
6100
6200
6300
6400
6500
6600
0
21-Nov
Put
22-Nov
25-Nov
26-Nov
27-Nov
28-Nov
29-Nov
02-Dec
03-Dec
04-Dec
(Derivative segment)
05-Dec
3500.00
2921.53
3000.00
2500.00
2047.79
2000.00
1884.51
1670.24
1300.90
1500.00
1272.35
1000.00
500.00
SELL
18.1%
BUY
81.9%
426.94
0.00
-500.00
-337.02
-1000.00
-780.17
-896.72
-1500.00
22-Nov
25-Nov
26-Nov
27-Nov
28-Nov
29-Nov
02-Dec
03-Dec
04-Dec
05-Dec
DERIVATIVES
NIFTY ANALYSIS
25
24
Put Call Ratio Analysis : The Put-Call open interest ratio of Nifty has decreased
to 1.02 from 1.16. At the end of the week, the maximum stocks had a positive of
change in put call open interest ratio.
6300
23
6200
22
21
6100
20
6000
Implied Volatility Analysis : The Implied Volatility (IV) for Nifty futures this week
has increased to 21.86% from 20.68%. The IV of the stock futures has changed this
week ranging from -3.41% to 19.91%.
Open Interest Analysis : The open interest for the index at the end of this week
has increased by 4.75% as compared to the previous week. All future stocks saw
changes in their open interest ranging from -8.48% to 27.72%. HINDUNILVR has
the maximum increase in open interest as compared to other stocks.
19
29-Nov
02-Dec
Nifty Close
03-Dec
Statistical Analysis
Open
6162.00
Low
6148.80
04-Dec
IV
High
Close
6341.40
6279.95
PREV.*
WEEK
12726000
CURRENT**
WEEK
12472000
DLF
26697000
HINDALCO
PCR RATIO
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
%
CHANGE
-2.00
PREV.*
WEEK
0.40
CURRENT**
WEEK
0.51
26414000
-1.06
0.46
0.52
0.06
52.70
54.15
1.45
21338000
22292000
4.47
0.59
0.58
-0.01
39.77
41.99
2.22
4406500
5628000
27.72
1.03
0.57
-0.46
20.66
21.95
1.29
10134000
9780250
-3.49
0.64
1.04
0.40
35.48
40.25
4.77
IDEA
7448000
6976000
-6.34
0.38
0.41
0.03
36.21
33.93
-2.28
INFY
3042250
3176000
4.40
1.05
0.85
-0.20
18.29
18.76
0.47
ITC
26233000
31152000
18.75
0.58
0.43
-0.15
23.94
25.65
1.71
JPASSOCIAT
54948000
50288000
-8.48
0.86
0.87
0.01
64.11
66.91
2.80
NTPC
12818000
15948000
24.42
0.46
0.50
0.04
24.72
26.17
1.45
ONGC
10187000
11361000
11.52
0.71
0.56
-0.15
29.97
29.49
-0.48
RANBAXY
10543500
10433000
-1.05
0.55
0.57
0.02
41.90
43.93
2.03
RCOM
33800000
34916000
3.30
0.58
0.52
-0.06
44.47
48.89
4.42
RELIANCE
12910500
12429750
-3.72
0.49
0.58
0.09
24.32
25.24
0.92
18177100
19039750
4.75
1.16
1.02
-0.14
20.68
21.86
1.18
SAIL
19960000
20068000
0.54
0.49
0.62
0.13
40.47
37.06
-3.41
SBIN
5847250
5812000
-0.60
0.90
0.99
0.09
34.64
37.95
3.31
14751000
15907000
7.84
0.96
1.24
0.28
35.31
38.20
2.89
120680000
123936000
2.70
0.44
0.34
-0.10
59.13
79.04
19.91
HINDUNILVR
ICICIBANK
NIFTY
TATASTEEL
UNITECH
CHANGE
0.11
PREV.
WEEK
31.98
CURRENT
WEEK
33.47
CHANGE
1.49
SPICES
BULLIONS
OTHER COMMODITIES
Guar complex is likely to remain stable supported by factors such as lower
level buying by guargum millers along with restricted supplies by stockiest in
local mandies. Farmers have started bringing in supplies from the new harvest
into local markets. Daily arrivals have been around 80,000-100,000 bags (100
kg each). Sugar futures (Jan) will possibly test 2730 levels, pressurized by
ample supply from mills. It is being reported that the mills in Uttar Pradesh,
the largest cane grower in India, will start operating by Dec. 12. Adding to it,
inventories in India surged to a five-year high of 8.85 million tonnes at the
start of this season, enough to meet demand for four months. On the demand
side, exports demand is bleak in near term as raw sugar on ICE Futures U.S. in
New York made a low of 16.55 levels, the lowest for a most-active contract
since Sept. 9, extending the longest slide since August 2012. As cited by the
Office of the Cane and Sugar Board of Thailand, the country aims to increase
sugar production by 10% to 11 million metric tonnes even after crushing was
delayed. Kapas futures (Apr) is expected to trade in the range of 915-960
levels. The Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) will open 91 purchasing centres
in Andhra Pradesh for the 2013-14 season, to procure cotton damaged in the
recent cyclones and floods, besides procuring cotton from other parts of the
State. Globally, according to International Cotton Advisory Committee in
2013/14 world production is expected to outpace world consumption with
2013/14 world production projected at 25.6 million tons, down by 1.2 million
tons from last season. World cotton consumption is forecast at 23.8 million
tons in 2013/14, up 2% from last season with an upward revision of 85,000 tons
in India from last month.
ENERGY COMPLEX
Recovery in Crude oil can persist further amid falling inventories and
improvement in US economic numbers. According to Energy Information
Administration data Crude inventories slid for the first time in 11 weeks in
the period ended Nov. 29. U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 3.6
percent annual rate in the third quarter. Overall crude oil can move in the
range of 5850-6250 in MCX and $94-100 in NYMEX. Refineries boosted their
operating rate to 92.4 percent, the most since September. Weekly
petroleum consumption climbed 1.7 percent last week to 20 million barrels
a day. Brent and WTI crude oil spread can narrow further and can test 11 in
near term. Recently this spread has narrowed from 17 to 13. West Texas
Intermediate's discount to Brent shrank to the narrowest level in two weeks
as the U.S. economy improved more than forecast in the third quarter and
supply slid amid rising demand. The spread has tightened more than $4 in
three days as refineries processed more crude, trimming stockpiles, and
TransCanada Corp. (TRP) said it will start a pipeline to Texas from Oklahoma
next month. Winter demand can assist Natural gas higher as it can test 265 in
MCX. The Energy Information Administration reported that natural-gas
stockpiles fell by 162 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 29, the
biggest withdrawal since February. According to MDA Weather Services
Intense, potentially record-breaking cold" could spread across the nation in
the next week to 10 days, starting on the West Coast
BASE METALS
Base metals complex may trade in range with some buying seen at the lower
levels. China plans to roll out financial sector reforms in the Shanghai
special economic zone in the next three months and most will be
implemented in a year as leaders quicken the implementation of reforms to
support growth. Red metal copper can trade in the range of 440-460. Russia
may scrap a 5 percent export duty on nickel and copper in 2014, two years
earlier than planned, to support indebted metals and mining companies.
Zinc prices can hover in the range of 113-119 in MCX. Nickel prices can trade
in the range of 830-900 in MCX. Indonesia, the top exporter of mined nickel
stated that plan to ban ore exports will proceed next month. China's refined
nickel importers are negotiating 2014 term deals with suppliers that give
them the flexibility of adjusting shipment volumes depending on how
Indonesia's proposed ban on ore exports turns out. Battery metal lead can
move in the range of 125-132. According to the ILZSG data global supply of
refined Zinc metal has exceeded demand by 44000 tonne during Jan-June
2013. Total reported inventory levels over this period decreased by 123000
tonne. Aluminum can move in the range of 106-110. Norsk Hydro, one of the
world's largest producers of aluminium, will increase capital expenditure by
almost 40 percent next year to modernize equipment in expectation of
accelerating global demand over the next decade. As per Glencore Xstrata
Plc Indonesia will export 60 million tonnes of nickel ore in 2013 from 45
million tonnes in 2012 due to record shipments to China
10
COMMODITY
TREND SHEET
EXCHANGE CONTRACT
CLOSING
PRICE*
NCDEX
SOYABEAN (DEC)
NCDEX
JEERA (DEC)
DATE TREND
TREND
CHANGED
RATE TREND
S1
R1
S2
R2
CHANGED
CLOSING
STOP/LOSS
3756.00
10.10.13
UP
3681.00
3600.00
12407.50
03.10.13
DOWN
12607.00
13000.00
3300.00
3050.00
13500.00
13700.00
NCDEX
6638.00
10.10.13
UP
6074.00
6400.00
6200.00
6000.00
NCDEX
RM SEEDS (DEC)
3716.00
13.11.13
UP
3816.00
3500.00
3300.00
3100.00
MCX
865.10
13.11.13
SIDEWAYS
MCX
CARDAMOM (JAN)
726.80
28.02.13
DOWN
965.00
800.00
830.00
860.00
MCX
SILVER (MARCH)
44461.00
26.09.13
DOWN
48639.00
48000.00
51000.00
55000.00
MCX
GOLD (FEB )
29205.00
26.09.13
DOWN
29865.00
30500.00
31100.00
31800.00
MCX
COPPER (FEB)
447.10
12.09.13
DOWN
459.25
460.00
480.00
490.00
MCX
LEAD (DEC )
128.00
24.10.13
SIDEWAYS
MCX
ZINC (DEC )
116.00
31.10.13
SIDEWAYS
MCX
NICKEL(DEC )
849.50
12.09.13
DOWN
879.20
920.00
950.00
980.00
MCX
ALUMINUM (DEC )
106.95
26.09.13
DOWN
111.65
115.00
120.00
125.00
MCX
6034.00
26.09.13
DOWN
6415.00
6200.00
6400.00
6550.00
MCX
254.50
28.11.13
UP
247.20
230.00
220.00
210.00
Closing as on 05.12.2013
NOTES :
1)
2)
3)
4)
Buy / Sell 25% of Commodity at S1/R1 respectively & rest 75% at S2/R2 respectively.
S1 & S2 indicate first support & second support & R1 & R 2 indicate first resistance & second resistance.
Sometimes you will find the stop loss to be too far but if we change the stop loss once, we will find more strength coming into the commodity. At the moment, the stop loss will be far as we are seeing the graphs on weekly
basis and taking a long-term view and not a short-term view.
These levels should not be confused with the daily trend sheet, which is sent every morning by e-mail in the name of Daily report- commodities.
TECHNICAL RECOMMENDATIONS
NICKEL MCX (DECEMBER)
NICKEL MCX (DECEMBER) contract closed at `849.50 on 5th December '13. The contract made its high
of `922.00 on 23rd October '13 and a low of `833.50 on 2nd December '13. The 18-day Exponential
Moving Average of the commodity is currently at `857.
On the daily chart, the commodity has Relative Strength Index (14-day) value of 40. One can buy in the
range 845-835 with the stop loss of `825 for a target of `865.
TURMERIC NCDEX (APRIL) contract closed at `5706.00 on 5th December '13. The contract made its high
of `6092.00 on 19th November '13 and a low of `5440.00 on 6th November '13.The 18-day Exponential
Moving Average of the Commodity is currently at `5744.
On the daily chart, the commodity has Relative Strength Index (14-day) value of 50. One can sell in the
range 5800-5850 with the stop loss of `6000 for a target of `5500.
11
COMMODITY
NEWS DIGEST
WEEKLY COMMENTARY
Commodities traded choppy last week owing to various news and events. Gold witnessed speedy
upside due to fall in dollar index whereas white metals silver was in complete grip of bears. Silver
was six week down, even some rebound in base metals couldn't hold it on upper side. Better-thanexpected U.S. manufacturing data prompted funds to boost their bearish bets in silver. Market
participants were stunned by the magical upside in crude oil. It took support near 5800 in MCX and
breached the mark 0f 6100 on decline in inventory and news of Keystone pipeline supply amid
better economic data's. Crude inventories shrank for the first time in 11 weeks in the U.S. It fell
by 5.59 million barrels last week as refiners boosted processing. OPEC agreed to maintain its
production target at a meeting last week. It agreed to keep its production quota at 30 million
barrels a day at least until June even as Libya, Iran and Iraq plan to boost exports in coming
months. Natural gas continued its upside journey but with slower pace. About 49% of U.S.
households use gas for heating, and 39% use electricity, data show from the EIA show. The peak
heating-demand season extends from November through March. In base metals counter, nickel
and aluminium priced jumped while lead, zinc and copper nosedived.
As regards agro commodities, guargum and guarseed couldn't face their resistance of 15000 and
5400 respectively weak cues from the spot market where supplies from the new season crop were
higher. Even withdrawal of margin couldn't give much support to the prices. NCDEX withdrew a
10% special margin on the long side of all guar seed and guar gum contracts with effect from last
Wednesday. Chana futures dropped due to ongoing sowing, conducive weather and tepid local
demand. Spices were moreover bearish. Turmeric futures knocked down due to subdued demand
for exports amid large carry-forward stocks, while the approaching new season supply also
weighed on sentiment. Stockists were expecting lower prices in coming days due to higher stocks
available in the domestic market in jeera. Steady to weak sentiment witnessed in chilli. In Guntur
region, there is a stock of 18 lakh bags in the cold storages and pressurizes the prices. Higher
arrivals reported last week also pressurizes at prices. Sugar prices fell to their lowest level in
more than two years as most factories started the new crushing season with ample carry-forward
stocks amid sluggish demand from bulk consumers.
6.00
4.00
3.34
4.00
3.86
3.16
3.00
2.92
2.72
2.90
2.02
2.00
2.44
2.00
0.92
1.00
0.21
0.00
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
-3.23
-3.35
-4.00
-1.29
-1.38
-2.00
-4.12
-3.00
-6.00
-6.00
-2.85
-3.03
-5.65
-4.00
-4.12
-8.00
CRUDE OIL
KAPAS
COTTON
GUR NEW OILSEED CAKE PVC NEW
(AKL)
RED CHILLI
CHANA
TURMERIC
SILVER
NEW
SUGAR M 200
UNIT
BARLEY
MT
CASTOR SEED
27.11.13
QTY.
2678.00
04.12.13
QTY.
2266.00
DIFFERENCE
49007.00
30238.00
-18769.00
CHANA
MT
33588.00
29532.00
-4056.00
MT
140.00
170.00
30.00
COTTONSEED OILCAKE
MT
0.00
498.00
498.00
JEERA
MT
858.00
528.00
-330.00
MAIZE
MT
857.00
1675.00
818.00
MT
12906.00
8909.00
-3997.00
MT
1295.00
2131.00
836.00
SUGAR M
MT
2719.00
1369.00
-1350.00
1875.00
0.00
NATURAL
GAS
KAPAS
POTATO
GOLD M
COMMODITY
UNIT
CARDAMOM SILVER M
-1875.00
28.11.13
QTY.
-412.00
MT
MT
CRUDE
OIL
GUAR
SEED
MENTHA
OIL
ALUMINIUM
CHILLI
WHEAT
-5.00
CARDAMOM
KAPASIA KHALLI
GOLD
05.12.13 DIFFERENCE
QTY.
MT
77.50
67.30
-10.20
BALES
1381.78
2269.31
887.53
KGS
61.00
165.00
104.00
GOLD MINI
KGS
12.30
102.80
90.50
GOLD GUINEA
KGS
2.91
2.74
-0.18
MENTHA OIL
KGS
2587490.90
2592913.40
5422.50
MILD STEEL
SILVER (30 KG Bar)
MT
344.85
344.85
0.00
KGS
12669.09
47995.79
35326.70
12
COMMODITY
SPOT PRICES (% change)
3.54
BARLEY (JAIPUR)
2.16
GUR (MUZAFFARNGR.)
0.86
0.75
Palm oil is now the major edible oil consumed in India with a market share of 46
percent and has become an essential part of our daily lives. India consumes about
90-92 lakh tonnes of palm oil every year and the edible oil consumption is growing
at a rate of 4-5% per year. With an increasing demand for palm oil, price risk
management for a consuming nation as India is very important. Considering this
the Leading agri-commodity bourse NCDEX has re-launched crude palm oil (CPO)
futures contract on November 26, 2013. Currently, December 2013, January,
February and March 2014 contracts are available for trading. The re-launch of CPO
completes the basket of oil and oilseeds futures on the NCDEX platform. These
contracts are highly co-related with BMD, where crude palm oil futures are
actively traded.
0.16
Contract Specifications
-0.03
RUBBER (KOCHI)
-0.81
MASOOR (INDORE)
-0.85
CORIANDER (KOTA)
Tick Size
10 paise
Unit of trading
10 MT
Delivery unit
10 MT
Quotation/base value
Rs per 10 kg
Position limits
-0.88
JEERA (UNJHA)
-0.95
Open position in
whichever is higher
MUSTARD (JAIPUR)
-0.99
the
Commodity
SOYABEAN (INDORE)
Quantity variation
+ /- 2%
Delivery center
Delivery specification
Price band
-1.70
SILVER 5 KG (DELHI)
-2.04
TURMERIC (NIZAMABAD)
-2.06
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
ALUMINIUM
STOCK POSITION
STOCK POSITION
DIFFERENCE
28.11.13
05.12.13
5395175
5472450
77275
-16475
COPPER
431900
415425
NICKEL
250572
252816
2244
LEAD
232375
229450
-2925
ZINC
968975
951000
-17975
05.12.13 CHANGE%
ALUMINIUM
LME
3 MONTHS
1754.00
1773.50
1.11
COPPER
LME
3 MONTHS
7030.00
7086.00
0.80
LEAD
LME
3 MONTHS
2076.00
2100.00
1.16
NICKEL
LME
3 MONTHS 13480.00
13850.00
2.74
ZINC
LME
3 MONTHS
1877.50
1902.50
1.33
500 MT
5%
Active participation has been witnessed in crude palm oil contract with an average
daily traded volume is close to 1820 MT and an open interest of 6,810 MT as on
December 2, and the total volume in crude palm oil since launch, up to December 2
is Rs 62 crore. The growing volume is evidence that NCDEX crude palm oil futures
are ideal to meet the price risk management needs of the processors, traders,
physical participants and end users.
UNIT
GOLD
COMEX
FEB
1250.40
1231.90
-1.48
Soya
CBOT
JAN
1336.50
1328.00
SILVER
COMEX
MAR
20.03
19.57
-2.31
Maize
CBOT
DEC
415.25
422.75
-0.64
1.81
NYMEX
JAN
92.72
97.38
5.03
CPO
BMD
JAN
MYR per MT
2650.00
2628.00
-0.83
NATURAL GAS
NYMEX
JAN
3.95
4.13
4.50
Sugar
LIFFE
MAR
10 cents per MT
464.00
449.90
-3.04
13
CURRENCY
Currency Table
Currency Pair
Open
High
Low
Close
USD/INR
62.82
62.94
61.86
62.02
EUR/INR
85.65
85.52
84.06
84.24
GBP/INR
102.50
103.10
101.23
101.38
JPY/INR
61.42
61.42
60.44
60.82
04th Dec:
04th Dec:
05th Dec:
05th Dec:
05th Dec:
(Source: FX Central, Open: Monday 9.00 AM IST, Close: Thursday (5.00 PM IST)
Market Stance
Rupee edged up sharply in the week gone by and breached 62 level as against
dollar mainly tracking sharp gains in euro. In New York market, the dollar fell
to its lowest level against the euro in more than a month after European
Central Bank President Mario Draghi signalled that the bank doesn't have any
immediate plans to ease policy further. Moreover, state polls results, which
are due on Sunday, also supported the currency. A strong showing by the
opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will be viewed as an endorsement for
its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi, who is perceived as businessfriendly and may lead to INR gains. Adding to that, Banks and exporters
preferred to reduce their dollar position on the back of strong capital inflows
from foreign funds coupled with lower dollar in the global market.
Technical Recommendation
04th Dec:
04th Dec:
USD/INR
USD/INR (DEC) contract closed at `62.02 on 05th December'13. The contract made
its high of `62.94 on 04th December'13 and a low of `61.86 on 05th December'13
(Weekly Basis). The 14-day Exponential Moving Average of the USD/INR is currently
at `62.49.
On the daily chart, the USD/INR has Relative Strength Index (14-day) value of
40.17. One can sell around 62.30 for a target of 61.20 with the stop loss of 62.90
GBP/INR
Date
Currency Event
09th Dec
EUR
Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence
09th Dec
EUR
German Industrial Production n.s.a. and w.d.a. (YoY)
10th Dec
GBP
Manufacturing Production (YoY)
10th Dec
GBP
Total Trade Balance (Pounds)
10th Dec
GBP
Industrial Production (YoY)
10th Dec
GBP
NIESR Gross Domestic Product Estimate
11th Dec
EUR
German Consumer Price Index (YoY)
11th Dec
USD
Monthly Budget Statement
12th Dec
EUR
ECB Publishes Monthly Report
12th Dec
EUR
Euro-Zone Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY)
12th Dec
USD
Advance Retail Sales
12th Dec
USD
Initial Jobless Claims
12th Dec
USD
Continuing Claims
PREVIOUS
9.3
1.00%
0.80%
-3268
2.20%
0.70%
1.30%
1.10%
0.40%
EUR/INR
JPY/INR
JPY/INR (DEC) contract closed at `60.82 on 05th December'13. The contract made
its high of `61.42 on 02nd December'13 and a low of `60.44 on 05th December'13
(Weekly Basis). The 14-day Exponential Moving Average of the JPY/INR is currently
at `61.51.
On the daily chart, JPY/INR has Relative Strength Index (14-day) value of 28.00.
One can sell around 61.25 for a target of 60.20 with the stop loss of `61.85.
14
IPO
IPO NEWS
SEBI seeks clarification on Great Eastern Energy's IPO
Market regulator Sebi has sought clarifications from the merchant banker of Great Eastern Energy Corp, a coal-bed methane explorer, regarding the
company's proposed initial public offering (IPO). Without disclosing the details of the clarifications sought, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi)
has said that "clarifications (are) awaited from Lead Manager" for the proposed public offer. Sebi said it might issue observations on Great Eastern Energy's
draft offer document within 30 days from the date of receipt of satisfactory reply from the lead merchant bankers to the clarification or additional
information sought from them. The regulator had received the draft offer documents on September 17 through its lead manager ICICI Securities Ltd. The
company plans to come with a public issue of up to 82 lakh equity shares of face value of `10 each.
Mirc Electronics to raise `33 crore by rights issue
Mirc Electronics, which sells the Onida brand of TVs, said it would raise funds up to `33 crore by issuing equity shares to existing shareholders of the
company. The board has approved the proposal to issue equity shares and a committee has been formed for its implementation, Mirc Electronics said in a
filing to the BSE stock exchange. According to the notice, the board has approved for "raising of funds of up to `33 crore by way of issue of equity shares to
the existing shareholders of the company on a rights basis (Rights Issue) subject to all applicable statutory and regulatory approvals.
SBI to raise $1.53 billion through share sale
The nation's largest lender State Bank of India (SBI) has decided to raise up to ` 9,576 crore or $ 1.53 billion through a share sale to institutional investors or a
follow-on public offer, the bank said in an exchange filing. The bank also plans to raise another `2,000 crore through a share sale to the government on a
preferential basis as part of the capital infusion announced by the finance ministry. The government held 62.31 per cent in the bank at the end of the
September. While the government cannot reduce its holding in state-run banks to below 51 per cent, the Manmohan Singh government had decided not to
lower its holding to less than 58 per cent in any of the 26 banks.
Open offers touch 2-month high of `1,060 cr in Oct
After two months of lull, open offers by listed companies crossed the `1,000 crore level, largely on account of share purchase by HT Global in Hexaware
Technologies. As per Sebi's latest monthly report, the market regulator approved two open offers for shares amounting to `1,060.15 crore in October, made
towards consolidation of holdings. In August and September, shareholders had got open offers worth just `106 crore and `317 crore respectively. With this,
the cumulative value of open offers made during the April-October period of current financial year has reached `39,789 crore through 48 issues. One of the
open offers in October was made by HT Global IT Solution Holdings, an affiliate of Baring Private Equity Asia, to buy 26% stake in the outsourcing firm
Hexaware from minority shareholders. A total of 7.83 crore shares of Hexaware were acquired by HT Global at average price of `135 apiece amounting to
nearly `1,058 crore. The offer opened on October 25 and closed on November 8, 2013.
IPO TRACKER
Company
Sector
Just Dial
M.Cap(In Cr.)
Service provider
8425.92
950.11
List Date
Issue Price
List Price
Last Price*
%Gain/Loss(from
Issue price)
5-Jun-13
530.00
590.00
1202.50
126.89
Finance
2020.20
270.39
1-Apr-13
172.00
165.00
325.00
88.95
V-Mart Retail
Trading
386.23
123.00
20-Feb-13
210.00
216.00
215.05
2.40
Bharti Infra.
Telecom
31252.02
4533.60
28-Dec-12
220.00
200.00
165.45
-24.80
PC Jeweller
Jewellary
1588.62
609.30
27-Dec-12
135.00
135.50
88.70
-34.30
CARE
Rating Agency
2125.85
540.00
26-Dec-12
750.00
949.00
733.05
-2.26
Tara Jewels
Jewellary
212.96
179.50
6-Dec-12
230.00
242.00
86.50
-62.39
VKS Projects
Engineering
54.81
55.00
18-Jul-12
55.00
55.80
0.87
-98.42
Speciality Rest.
Restaurants
562.35
181.96
30-May-12
150.00
153.00
119.75
-20.17
TBZ
Jewellary
876.10
210.00
9-May-12
120.00
115.00
131.35
9.46
MT Educare
Miscellaneous
361.00
99.00
12-Apr-12
80.00
86.05
90.75
13.44
1773.60
124.97
12-Apr-12
106.00
100.00
147.80
39.43
45.83
24.75
28-Mar-12
30.00
29.95
28.10
-6.33
2297.81
663.31
9-Mar-12
1032.00
1387.00
450.55
-56.34
12.27
29.60
2-Nov-11
74.00
75.00
12.27
-83.42
NBCC
Construction
Olympic card.
Media
Exchange
Finance
15
16
MUTUAL FUND
NEWS
Birla Sun Life MF introduces Fixed Term Plan - Series JF (367 days)
Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of Birla Sun Life Fixed Term Plan - Series JF (367 days), a close ended income scheme. The NFO
opens for subscription on Dec 6, 2013, and closes on Dec 9, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income by investing in a portfolio of
fixed income securities maturing on or before the duration of the scheme.
Sundaram MF introduces Hybrid Fund - Series D (3 years)
Sundaram Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of Sundaram Hybrid Fund - Series D (3 years), a close ended income scheme. The NFO opens for
subscription on Dec 5, 2013, and closes on Dec 19, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate capital appreciation and current income, through
a judicious mix of investments in equities and fixed income securities.
ICICI Prudential MF introduces Fixed Maturity Plan-Series 71-505 Days Plan H
ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of ICICI Prudential Fixed Maturity Plan-Series 71-505 Days Plan H, a close ended income
scheme. The NFO opens for subscription on Dec 5, 2013, and closes on Dec 10, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income by investing in
a portfolio of fixed income securities/debt instruments maturing on or before the maturity of the Scheme. However, there can be no assurance that the
investment objective of the Scheme will be realized.
DSP BlackRock MF introduces FMP - Series 129 - 12M
DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of DSP BlackRock FMP - Series 129 - 12M, a Close Ended Income scheme. The NFO opens for
subscription on Dec 5, 2013, and closes on Dec 12, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate returns and capital appreciation by investing in a
portfolio of Debt and Money Market Securities. The Scheme will invest only in such securities which mature on or before the date of maturity of the Scheme.
Reliance MF introduces Fixed Horizon Fund - XXV - Series 7
Reliance Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of Reliance Fixed Horizon Fund - XXV - Series 7, a Close Ended Income scheme. The NFO opens for
subscription on Dec 4, 2013, and closes on Dec 10, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate returns and growth of capital by investing in a
diversified portfolio of the following securities which are maturing on or before the date of maturity of the scheme with the object of limiting interest rate
volatility Central and State Government securities and other fixed income/ debt securities.
HDFC MF introduces FMP 540D December 2013 (1)
HDFC Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of HDFC FMP 540D December 2013 (1), a close ended income scheme. The NFO opens for subscription
on Dec 4, 2013, and closes on Dec 9, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income through investments in Debt / Money Market
Instruments and Government Securities maturing on or before the maturity date of the respective Plan(s). There is no assurance that the investment objective of
the Scheme will be realized.
Kotak Mutual Fund files offer document for FMP Series 133-153
Kotak Mutual Fund has filed offer document with SEBI to launch Close ended debt scheme(s)named as "Kotak FMP Series 133-153". The New Fund Offer price is Rs
10 per unit. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate returns through investments in debt and money market instruments with a view to reduce the
interest rate risk. The Scheme will invest in debt and money market securities, maturing on or before maturity of the scheme.
L&T MF introduces FMP - Series IX-Plan H
L&T Mutual Fund has launched the New Fund Offer (NFO) of L&T FMP -Series IX-Plan H, a Close Ended Income scheme. The NFO opens for subscription on Dec 3,
2013, and closes on Dec 13, 2013. The investment objective of the scheme is to achieve growth of capital through investments made in a basket of debt/fixed
income securities (including money market instruments) maturing on or before the maturity of the Scheme. The Scheme does not assure or guarantee any
returns
Baroda Pioneer Mutual Fund files offer document for Money Market Opportunities Fund
Baroda Pioneer Mutual Fund has filed offer document with SEBI to launch an open ended money market scheme named as "Baroda Pioneer Money Market
Opportunities Fund". The New Fund Offer price is `10 per unit. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income by investing in a diversified
portfolio of money market instruments. There is no assurance or guarantee that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized.
UTI Mutual Fund files offer document for Medium Term Fund
UTI Mutual Fund has filed offer document with SEBI to launch an open ended money market scheme named as "UTI Medium Term Fund". The New Fund Offer price
is Rs 10 per unit. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate steady and reasonable income, with low risk and high level of liquidity from a portfolio of
money market securities and high quality debt.
HDFC Mutual Fund files offer document for Capital Protection Oriented Fund - Series II
HDFC Mutual Fund has filed offer document with SEBI to launch a Close-ended Capital Protection Oriented Income Scheme named as "HDFC Capital Protection
Oriented Fund - Series II". The New Fund Offer price is Rs 10 per unit. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate returns by investing in a portfolio of
debt and money market instruments which mature on or before the date of maturity of the Scheme. The Scheme also seeks to invest a portion of the portfolio in
equity and equity related instruments to achieve capital appreciation. There is no assurance that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized.
Kotak Mutual Fund files offer document for Hybrid Fixed Term Plan Series 2 and 3
Kotak Mutual Fund has filed offer document with SEBI to launch a close ended debt scheme named as "Kotak Hybrid Fixed Term Plan Series 2 and 3". The New Fund
Offer price is `10 per unit. The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income and minimize interest rate volatility by investing in Debt & Money
Market securities that mature on or before the maturity of the scheme, and also to generate capital appreciation by investing in equity/ equity related
instruments
NFOs WATCH
Fund Name
NFO
Opens on
NFO
Closes on
Scheme Objective
Fund Type
Fund Class
Fund Manager
Satyabrata
Mohanty
Minimum
Amount
`5000/-
17
MUTUAL FUND
Performance Charts
EQUITY (Diversified)
Due to their inherent long term nature, the following 3 categories have been sorted on the basis of 1 year returns
Returns (%)
Scheme Name
3M
6M
1Y
Risk
NAV
Launch
AUM
3Y
Since
Std.Dev Beta
(`)
Date
(` Cr.)
25.75
30-Nov-2005
155.04
13.94
31.24
35.88
11.81 12.52
1.57
0.37
131.38
31-Oct-2002
3398.03 14.63
17.18
13.93
6.01
1.58
0.61
LARGE
MID
SMALL
DEBT &
CAP
CAP
CAP
OTHER
0.51
61.58
33.20
0.62
4.60
0.14
55.71
19.37
2.69
22.23
Launch
26.10
18.55
13-Jan-2006
281.76
22.23
10.83
12.26
6.19
8.14
1.98
0.67
0.13
14.11
66.18
12.20
7.51
81.50
24-May-1996
108.20
8.48
10.45
11.73
5.65
16.45
1.31
0.48
0.09
69.57
25.52
1.02
3.89
13.44
05-Jan-2010
563.06
11.17
5.41
11.72
4.79
7.84
1.75
0.79
0.13
81.26
9.13
4.77
4.84
168.92
09-Jul-1998
379.06
13.06
13.54
11.18
6.09
20.12
1.86
0.78
0.11
84.82
7.04
N.A
8.14
29.25
29-Mar-2005
173.07
25.91
11.60
10.76
5.61
13.14
2.07
0.63
0.16
7.57
76.66
10.63
5.14
NAV
(`)
Launch
Date
AUM
(` Cr.)
3M
Since
Launch
Std.Dev
BALANCED
Returns (%)
Scheme Name
6M
1Y
Risk
3Y
Jenson
MID
CAP
SMALL
CAP
DEBT &
OTHER
61.80
09-Oct-1995
398.12 13.84
7.42
10.58
4.96
15.70
1.34
0.08
33.76
29.29
8.28
28.66
60.18
03-Nov-1999
535.01 11.61
7.27
9.74
8.52
13.58
1.34
0.08
49.20
16.09
2.74
31.96
57.93
10-Dec-1999
193.03 11.57
3.31
6.77
4.90
13.37
1.54
0.03
57.89
14.25
N.A
27.86
67.28
11-Sep-2000
1099.18 14.12
7.37
6.43
6.02
15.48
1.40
-0.01
26.57
40.95
3.91
28.56
359.02
10-Feb-1995
584.69 10.10
3.66
4.64
3.94
20.94
1.47
N.A
58.75
12.16
1.01
28.09
90.92
20-Jan-1995
869.48 11.36
5.55
4.64
2.67
15.97
1.36
-0.01
56.75
15.54
2.74
24.97
102.56
08-Oct-1995
562.98
3.64
4.06
6.08
15.62
1.52
-0.01
51.24
22.48
1.08
25.21
NAV
Launch
AUM
(`)
Date
(`Cr.)
18.45
14.00
12.67
12.21
25.77
1136.18
19.03
03-Sep-2003
11-Dec-2009
03-Jun-2009
07-Dec-2011
28-Mar-2002
08-Jun-2012
11-Nov-2002
9.89
INCOME FUND
Returns (%)
Scheme Name
Tata Dynamic Bond Fund - Plan A - G
Templeton India Income Opportunities Fund - G
Morgan Stanley Active Bond Fund - Reg - G
Templeton India Corporate Bond Opp Fund - G
ICICI Prudential LTP - Reg - Cumulative
Axis Banking Debt Fund - Growth
Tata Income Plus Fund - Plan A - Growth
392.85
3742.69
589.86
4871.08
303.39
256.69
174.49
Risk
Annualised
1W
15.76
14.19
0.25
15.54
7.36
15.76
12.77
2W
1M
18.34 6.75
18.61 8.08
13.21 -1.91
20.18 8.02
7.84 8.11
13.52 9.27
18.86 4.51
Since
Std.
6M
1Y
3Y
Launch
Dev.
2.12
4.93
-4.03
5.25
8.82
8.21
-1.11
11.27
8.86
8.80
8.69
8.67
8.64
8.62
8.52
9.16
7.32
N.A
8.48
N.A
7.95
6.15
8.80
5.40
10.53
8.43
8.93
5.98
40.67
17.46
28.93
18.28
2.53
8.38
33.31
0.10
0.08
0.05
0.07
0.46
0.15
0.04
Yield till
8.78
10.81
7.95
11.03
9.73
8.99
8.95
Due to their inherent short term nature, the following 2 categories have been sorted on the basis of 6month returns
Returns (%)
Scheme Name
Average
Sharpe
NAV
Launch
AUM
Risk
Since
Std.
Dev.
Average
Sharpe
Yield till
(`)
Date
6M
1Y
3Y
Launch
18.38
30-Dec-2004
750.64
11.89 10.95
7.53
6.80
7.80
8.27
7.04
8.61
0.04
142.00
9.00
13.50
25-Mar-2010
8.35
6.62
8.41
9.11
8.45
10.26
0.10
833.00
9.45
13.41
25-Jun-2010
9.87
6.41
8.41
9.21
8.87
13.51
0.07
471.00
9.58
19.92
24-Apr-2003
8.67
6.38
10.16
10.20
6.70
14.43
0.18
N.A
10.22
(`Cr.)
1W
Annualised
2W
1M
22.93
08-Aug-2002
320.22
13.04 13.95
7.62
6.37
9.19
8.95
7.60
12.78
0.13
N.A
9.13
21.35
04-Sep-2002
305.37
12.73 12.94
7.52
6.20
10.10
11.06
6.97
13.93
0.19
409.00
9.66
14.07
06-Mar-2009
8.47
6.17
8.56
9.36
7.44
11.82
0.08
N.A
9.41
Average
Yield till
NAV
Launch
Since
Std.
Dev.
AUM
Risk
Sharpe
(`)
Date
6M
1Y
3Y
Launch
1691.88
31-Jul-2006
8.66
9.61
9.14
8.81
7.41
4.95
0.32
104.00
N.A
20.16
21-Oct-2003
1842.88 10.68
8.90
9.37
9.14
9.13
7.17
4.40
0.37
66.00
9.60
(`Cr.)
1W
Annualised
2W
1M
9.84
1869.70
06-Sep-2005
9.25
9.25
9.35
9.38
7.88
4.37
0.42
N.A
9.21
15.93
18-Dec-2007
8.76
9.24
9.37
9.31
8.11
3.74
0.49
95.00
9.65
225.09
19-Apr-2002
9.74
9.15
9.33
9.24
7.22
4.59
0.39
N.A
9.98
17.35
17-Jan-2006
9.30
9.15
9.38
9.70
7.23
4.88
0.39
87.00
9.30
230.99
27-Nov-2001
9.56
9.14
9.26
9.18
7.21
5.14
0.33
N.A
9.85
Note: Indicative corpus are including Growth & Dividend option. The above mentioned data is on the basis of 05/12/2013
Beta, Sharpe and Standard Deviation are calculated on the basis of period: 1 year, frequency: Weekly Friday, RF: 7%
18
Mr Ajay Garg (Director, SMC Group) sharing his thoughts with the subbrokers during
'Investor Awareness Meet' organised by SMC at Hyderabad.