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Yet there were also effects on the immigrants themselves, often they were far
underpaid than natives, although some suggest otherwise. Their living conditions
were very poor, often in city slums, the services they received such as education were
likewise poor. Also, one must differentiate as Hatton and Williamson do the difference
between old and new immigrants. New immigrants were from Southern Europe whilst
new were from the West. New immigrants were largely unskilled and were at a great
disadvantage to the Old immigrants, especially in terms of wage. Hatton and
Williamson also highlight how wages varied between the ages immigrants arrived and
second generation immigrants were at a lower wage disadvantage, almost equal to
natives. The US senate instructed an interpretation into immigration which
highlighted assimilation was not successful and that discrimination continued. Such
discrimination can be thought to be reflected in the 1920s Quota Act as natives did
not always like the presence of immigrants this was largely white unskilled labour
(natives) which was replaced by skilled immigrants. The Quota Act was also partially
a follow on from the Red Scare in 1917. Overall, the lives of immigrants may have
improved from back home, however they did not match natives and they were subject
to discrimination.
Post 1945 immigration to the US was highly different. The reasons were largely the
same, although now included greater political refugees escaping wars. Although the
US still welcomed immigrants, there were greater controls such as the requirement of
skilled visas this ensured skilled workers entered the US which would benefit the
economy far more as machines had largely replaced the need for masses of unskilled
labourer in industry. The countries that immigrants came from changed slightly, there
was greater inter European migration so although the US was still the top destination
Europe also saw migration. Colonies and former colonies saw individuals migrating
largely they went to Britain or Europe but some did go to the US. However,
immigration was not necessarily long term, giving rise to the guestworker hypothesis
where immigrants leave the new country when unemployment increases. So even
post 1945, the US welcomed immigrants although to a lesser degree than before and
in a slightly more controlled manner.
A consequence of the US restriction on immigration has given rise to an increase in
illegal immigrants despite the risk of deportation they continue to work where
possible this can be seen for example in the Mexican workers who work illegal in the
US for summer jobs. Also, the restrictions have meant that there has been greater inter
and third world migrants such as Rwanda refugees to Zaire, this has been a boon to
Third World countries. It is also clear that the US actions and policies on immigration
have global effects.
Yet, despite the negative consequences, immigrants today and descendants of
immigrants are enjoying better standards of living, wages have improved and there
are greater equal rights. Those of immigrant origin aid the world globally through
sending remittances back to family from their country of origin helping where
possible. Also the US immigration policy is still reasonably relaxed compared to the
British, with far looser marriage laws (marrying foreigners who then become citizens)
and the possibility of bringing family to the US once you have immigrated is
reasonably easy if you gain citizenship.
In conclusion, the main reason for immigration to the US be it pre-1914 or post is
largely due to the desire for a better standard of living and often an escape from a
disadvantageous society or economy. The US benefitted immensely from immigration
There is much evidence to support the idea that institutions are the determinants of
long-run economic performance. Hall and Jones use evidence to show that there exists
perfect correlation between the income and social infrastructure. They give the
example of Canada and Zaire. Easterly and Levine take the examples of Burundi and
Canada to support the thesis. Burundi had a high settler mortality rate of 28- per 1000
p.a. which lead to the country being used for extractive purposes only. Canada, on the
other hand had a very low settler mortality rate of just 16 per 1000 p.a. which led to it
becoming a settler state. The evidence exists in the gross income disparities between
the two Canada with an income of over $20000 and Burundi with just $200.
There are some countries do not follow this rule. Politics does have a determinant
effect in the strength of institutions. Russia, a non-extractive state, based in a
temperate climate has suffered low growth performance because of political effects on
institutions. Acemoglu et al use the case of Korea as an example of this. At the time
that Korea split in the 1950s, the two parts had identical geography, institutions,
labour force etc. 50 years later South Korea is a part of the OECD countries whereas
North Koreas income is on par with sub-Saharan Africa. This thus proves that
political upheaval can affect the strength of institutions and therefore long-run
performance. However, looking at the very long-run politics and governments are
relatively short term. Communism in Russia lasted only 100 years and yet despite
poor policies the country is still more economically developed than most tropical
countries. Therefore, whilst politics can affect the economic performance of a country,
this is generally short-term.
In conclusion, the strength of institutions are what determines long-run economic
performance. In the short run these can be affected by politics but in the very long
run, it is geography that determines the strength of an institutions. Geography
determined where and how people settled and thus the social infrastructure they
created. The effects of this are still evident in the patterns of economic development
across the globe and this geography can explain for the most part, economic
performance in the long run.
Examiners Comments
Grade: 73-74
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2.1s
There is no agreement on the principal causes of the interwar depression. Outline at
least three different hypotheses. (not all of which need to be mutually exclusive)
The interwar depression, most commonly referred to as the Great Depression,
occurred between the late 1920s (1929 more precisely) and ended up in the 1930s
depending on the country but most generally in 1933. The Great Depression has
been caused by different factors and thus it is a multi-factorial event meaning that
there is no single factor alone that had driven the great depression. We will first
discuss the monetarist view that had the monetary system and monetary policies of
the interwar period as a responsible for the depression. Then we will discuss the
contribution of the fall of the agricultural crisis along with the fall of commodity
prices that, in Keynes view this fall led to the depression since the demand was too
low. Finally it will be discussed the financial crisis, first with the stock market crash
and then the banking panics. These three reasons are not the only factors that drove
the great depression, international payments for example also deepened and worsened
the economic situation of the interwar period.
The monetarist view holds the monetary policies as responsible for the depression and
monetarists argue that the depression could have been only a recession if things had
been handled differently by the Federal Reserve. Milton Friedman claims that the
inaction of the Federal Reserve had negative consequences on the economy and had
had the Federal Reserve managed differently, the depression would not have gone so
badly. The argument here is that at the time, the Federal Reserve was adopting
contractionary monetary policies. This had disastrous effect, since the economy was
experiencing deflation and output contraction was quite severe. According to Milton
Friedman, the federal reserve, instead of setting high interest rates, should have
lowered the interest rates which would have encouraged investment and hence affect
growth. But instead, the Federal Reserve did nothing and thus the depression got
worse. In the same line, some argue that the Federal Reserve used contractionary
monetary policy and high interest rates to stay committed to the Gold Standard. This
view thus holds the gold standard as responsible. While this is much debated, there is
no doubt that the Gold Standard at least played a role in transmitting the depression
throughout the world. Because of the high interest rates, in the US, the other countries
had to keep up with the USA and thus use monetary policy to higher their interest
rates. This had bad impacts on output leading to contractions in output.
The second view is that the Great Depression was caused by demand shocks which
led to lower prices (especially in commodity prices). Keynes holds the demand shock
as responsible. In the interwar period, consumers demand fell dramatically.
Consumers spent less on goods and services and thus suppliers decreased their
production due to the realization of unattended inventories (supply shock). The
decline in demand led to low prices. This had an impact on, for example, commodity
prices which fell a lot. Thus American farmers who had heavily borrowed in the
1920s because of high agricultural prices could not keep up with their repayment of
debts. This impacted on the financial market, contributing to the bankruptcy of many
banks.
Finally, financial crises did help contributing to the worsening of the great depression.
The great depression began in 1929 when the stock market crashed. In the previous
years, the Dow Jones industrial index had been considerably increasing. But in
October 1929, it fell by very much. But this was not systematically followed by
banking panics. It is only in 1931 that a banking panic occurred in the USA but it was
expected to recover soon. However, bad news came from Europe where there had
been also banking panics (France, Germany).
Because of the agricultural crisis and because of the depression in Germany, Latin
America and Germany who had heavy debts started defaulting on debts. These debts
had to be repaid to France, UK and US. So the default of these countries made things
even worse.
Many other causes played a role in the great depression, due to limited time they
wont be discussed, but an example of this could be the rise of protectionism (e.g.
Smoot-Hawley Act tariff in the US). Moreover, these causes interacted with each
other.
As a conclusion, monetarists view the great depression as a result of contractionary
monetary policy and inaction for the Federal Reserve. The gold standard also helped
in transmitting the depression from the US to the rest of the world. Keysianists blame
the great depression on demand shocks. Demand shocks led to a decrease in
production but also to lower prices. This had an impact on agricultural prices which
led to some extent to the agricultural crisis. Finally, the stock market crash which
generated the depression and the banking panics worsened the economic situation.
However, we must take into account that some causes interacted leading to further
depression and that other factors caused the depression such as the role of
employment (with increase of wages, decrease in hours worked, higher benefits for
unemployment etc.) and international payments.
Examiners Comments
Grade: 68
-
a reasonable basic survey that covers the main issues but offers little depth of
analysis, consideration of the literature or critical argument.
Solid but not impressive
Need to demonstrate a clearer analysis of ISI in practice
2.2s
To what extent does geography explain long run economic performance?
Geography is a vital component in determining economic performance. It can affect
growth both directly and indirectly but ultimately economic growth in the long run is
strongly determined by geography.
Firstly, physical geography is an important aspect to consider. This aspect
encompasses factors such as climate and disease. Climate plays a key role in
determining the comparative advantage of a country, for example, Barbados climate
is ideal for sugar production. This affects the countrys balance of payments which is
a key factor which must be considered when determining long run economic growth.
The prevalence of disease is key in affecting economic performance as it has
implications for the economys labour force. In Africa, for example, where there is a
prevalence of diseases such as malaria and AIDS/HIV, sickness rates and mortality
rates are high and as a result, the countrys workforce is adversely affected. Labour
force size decreases with higher rates of mortality and productivity is affected by high
sickness rates. On the flip side, the deteriorating health of human capital also places a
burden on the countrys social infrastructure such as its health provision and so results
in an increase in costs. This scissor effect has huge implication on an economy and
demonstrates the impacts of disease on economic performance.
Physical geography also determines the size of an economy as an unfavourable
physical geography can lead to areas with no substantial human settlements such as
Siberia and Antartica. However, this aspect of geography explains long run economic
performance of a select number of areas and places heavy emphasis on extremes such
as countries with low diseases and high diseases. The indirect effects can be applied
more broadly and those effects are less succinct.
However, aside to direct factors, there are also indirect factors involving institutions.
It is argued that historically, geography affects the quality and number of institutions.
A country with high mortality rates for example will attract less settlers and thus
institutions are of low quality. This means that governments are less responsible and
an ineffective legal system etc. as a result of these low quality institutions, economic
growth in the long run is difficult to sustain as factors such as well-defined property
rights are essential for strong long term economic growth. Conversely, countries
where there is low mortality often have increased number of settlers which often
result in high quality institutions were governments are run effectively and social
infrastructure is efficient.
With good quality institutions such a government there is less corruption which can
seriously harm the development of an economy. With corruption there is a
misallocation of resources and thus an economy cannot achieve allocative efficiency.
Markets are distorted and the economy is not operating at efficient levels. There is
also less desire or capability for a government to run with a clientist or despotist
approach whereas in countries with poor institutions, this is prevalent. For example, in
Zimbabwe, Robert Mugabes leadership approach could be argued to be clientist
which is to say that it is about distributing the pie in your favour and not about
increasing the pie.
Education is a social infrastructure that may be compromised as a result of poor
quality institutions. This would be especially harmful as the skills of the labour force
are of paramount importance in determining long-run economic performance. With a
low skilled labour force, there is a low human capital and thus, economic performance
is limited to the capability of its work.
Geography also determines the style of production within an economy. For example,
in Africa where human capital is high the use of slaves was increasing and thus
resulted in an economy with few elite at the top who had the majority of the capital
and slaves performing low skill tasks. This in contrast with other economies which are
based on a capital intensive production and thus require less human capital, resulting
in an economy with everyone owning a share of the capital.
Geography can also have effects on public infrastructure such as roads which can
affect economic performance. This reduces transport and access to markets which can
have stifling effects on economic performance. This can be observed in Africa where
provision of rail transport is severely lacking, being only 7% as dense as India. As
Africa shows, physical geography affects can have disastrous effects on the economy.
As Africa is landlocked, it suffers from poor access to trading routes which ultimately
have adverse effects on Africas trading capacity and therefore, trading hubs are
mostly dispersed and localized.
However, there are other factors to consider. An aspect that is completely separate to
geography is the method of governing a country. Historically free market economics
have experienced success whilst communist planned economies have failed. The
choice between leadership styles is a crucial one in determining long run economic
performance and one that is independent of geography.
Nevertheless, geography does play a large role and encompasses a whole range of
determinants especially when one considers the indirect effects of geography. Overall
there is much reason to analyse the importance of geography as it plays a vital role in
determining long run economic growth.
Examiners Comments
Grade: 52-53
-
Not the best you can do: needs clear and factual example
Weak in context and argument, tends to be off topic
Shows some sense of the main points in outline but riddled with errors and
lacking in a sound grasp of the implication of the debate
limited understanding
summary of few cases that offer a superficial review of benefits without much
detail and without any real sense of the costs incurred