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1. Introduction.(3).
2. Candlestick Time zones.......(4).
3. Wave Confirmation pattern..(5).
4. Volume Traded Analysis......(6).
5. Candlesticks Analysis......(9).
6. Fox Wave Trading....(10).
7. Charts..(12).
8. Targets and Stop loss limits.....(14).
9. Fox Wave Golden Time..(15).
1. Introduction
Hello folks, past of 7 years ago I have been developing Trading systems &
creating new strategies for Financial Markets especially Forex Market.
Today, I would like to introduce to you my fifth system FOX Wave.
I focused this time to make it based only Chart Candlesticks & Volume
traded. We will use only a naked chart without any drawings or indicators
used. Thats will make our system simple for trading from anywhere and
will be easy for Onway traders & Mobile trading.
Most of my previous systems was based on Time Zones (we will get
through it again) for analyzing charts and had a Specific Time for enter
Trades. This time our Times Zones will be Candle sticks and no specific
time for trading. You can trade at any available time for you just after a
complete pattern for wave is done, also our entry exit will be known for us
whether entry target or expiration of wave Life Time any of them occurred
first.
Our wave will be based on 9 Candle Sticks as its Life Time ended with a
specific pattern to confirm the wave and start of our entry. We will pass
through wave part by part then we will know how to use it in trading and
identifying targets and stops. Wave analysis will be based on two main
types of analysis: Candle sticks analysis & Volume traded analysis,
both have to confirm each other to confirm an entry.
Sometimes the difference between Open & Close is too small to recognize
so we can use the Cross Hair
tool available in most of trading
platform and pass it on candles to calculate exact Open & close value even
to a fifth digit and identify whether its Bullish or Bearish sub wave.
Thus, if we have two Bullish sub waves and one Bearish sub wave, Fox
wave will be a Bullish one and vice versa if we have two Bearish sub
waves and one Bullish sub wave Fox wave will be a Bearish one.
5. Candlesticks Analysis
After we completed first type of analysis volume traded analysis, we will
pass through the second type we will use on our Fox wave and later I will
explain how to combine these two types of analysis so we can use in our
trading with Fox wave. I would recommend understanding these two types
very well as our trading will depend on most of them.
We will apply Candlesticks on the whole Fox wave not on every sub
wave as we do in volume traded. We will measure the ratio of types of
candlesticks in Fox wave to each other, like how many Bullish candles
we have in the whole Fox wave to Bearish candles. This will give us a
ratio to which type is greater than the other and the greater one will
confirms our analysis.
As Fox wave consists of 9 candlesticks, we will start counting from Five
candlesticks to be the greater ratio of its type means if we have from five
to nine of same type of candlesticks this type will confirms our analysis.
(i.e. if we have 5,6,7,8 or 9 Bullish candlesticks in the whole Fox wave,
the no of Bullish candlesticks will be greater than Bearish ones, thus the
Candlesticks analysis will confirms Bullish side and vice versa if we have
5,6,7,8 or 9 Bearish candlesticks the no of Bearish candlesticks will be
greater than Bullish ones and the Candlesticks analysis will confirms
Bearish side.)
After we passed through the two types of analysis we will apply on our
wave for trading. We will learn how to combine both analyses together for
wave direction confirmation. Both two types of analysis must confirm each
other to be a valid entry to trade and if one of them fails entry will be invalid
and we will be in No Trade. So I would recommend again reading both
types carefully and understanding them well.
Our wave analysis will be step by step, First we will search for valid &
confirmed Fox wave by searching for any confirmation pattern in third sub
wave and determine whether its Bullish or Bearish wave, once we found
a valid wave we will secondly apply Volume Traded analysis on each
sub wave then we will identify whether the whole Fox Wave is Bearish or
Bullish wave.
I have to mention if the type of wave isnt of side of confirmation pattern
entry will be canceled and we will not trade on this wave. (i.e. if we have
Bullish Fox wave and the confirmation pattern is Bearish one entry will
be canceled and vice versa if we have Bearish Fox wave and
confirmation pattern is Bullish one, there will be no trade).
After we have determined the type of Fox wave, then we will apply the
Candlesticks analysis and see also whether its Bullish or Bearish. But in
Full Volume Traded cases for candlesticks analysis where we have three
consecutive sub waves of same kind. We will count each candlestick as
the opposite type of it.
(i.e. if we have 5 Bullish candlesticks & 4 Bearish candlesticks and we
have Full Volume Traded case, we will count them as 4 Bullish
candlesticks & 5 Bearish candlesticks).
Entries in Full Volume Traded cases are best trade to take as price has
reached its over Bought or over Sold and is ready to reverse its side and
we enter at the beginning of the swing.
After we apply candlesticks analysis to our wave and determine its type
Bearish or Bullish, we will see if its in same side of Volume traded
analysis or not and as I said a valid entry will be only when the two type of
analysis are in the same side.
Backward to all steps above, if we have a Bullish confirmation pattern
and after we applied Volume traded analysis we found that we have a
Bullish Fox wave confirms the side of confirmation pattern then we will
apply the Candlesticks analysis and if we found that its also Bullish one,
Then we have a valid Bullish entry.
Vice versa, if we have a Bearish confirmation pattern and after we
applied Volume traded analysis we found that we have a Bearish Fox
wave confirms the side of confirmation pattern then we will apply the
Candlesticks analysis and if we found that its also a Bearish one, Then
we have a valid Bearish entry.
7. Charts
Golden Analysis:
As we divide our chart into days if we are using H1 time frame, and we will
count 9 candlesticks of the beginning of each day and to search for our
entry just after the ninth candlestick close, this should be at 9 a.m. of our
platform market watch. I prefer to put vertical line on the ninth candlestick
so we can separate our wave in our trading day. We can simply do this by
using Cycle Lines tool
and pull it from ninth candlestick of any day to
the ninth candlestick of the following day and will automatically put its
vertical lines on the ninth candlestick of each upcoming day. Our chart will
appear like following:
In Golden Analysis we will also divide our wave into three sub waves as
we used to do in original Fox wave but its different from the two types of
analysis as we wont count from Open to Close of each sub wave to see
whether its Bullish or Bearish sub wave, we will do this by counting
Bullish/Bearish candlesticks in each sub wave and the one has the ratio
2:1 or even three candlesticks of same kind will be that type of he high
ratio.
(i.e. if we have two Bullish candlesticks or even three and one Bearish
candlestick in a sub wave, this will be recognized as a Bullish sub wave
and Vice versa for Bearish, if we have two Bearish candlesticks or even
three and one Bullish candlestick in a sub wave, this will be recognized
as a Bearish sub wave).
I recommend using Cross hair tool as we are on low time frames, we will
have candlesticks that nearly have a body to recognize whether its Bullish
or Bearish candlestick. We will look to its open & close of the candlestick
to determine exactly its type and we can count to the fifth digit as
sometimes open & close are away just by 0.01 pip and candlestick that has
the same open & close till the fifth digit and type of sub wave is depending
on it as it may occur between one Bullish and one Bearish candlesticks.
We wont consider it and we will have No Trade in this day.
Golden Trading:
After we determine the type of our Golden wave whether its Bullish or
Bearish and this should be after the Close of the ninth candle, we will
wait for any confirmation pattern we used in original Fox wave to occur
any type of it will be our entry. As we are one H1 time frame, we will check
the chart after the close of every H1 candlestick to see pattern formation
and after an entry is valid we can open the trade and put our Targets and
Limits and leave the chart you can set your alarm to remind you every
hour to check the chart instead of waiting in front of chat waiting pattern
formation.
Trade will be opened according and with the direction of Golden Fox Wave
and will be closed by the end of each day if it didnt reach Targets or hit its
limits and I will use also the concept of Full Volume Traded as in original
Fox Wave if we have three sub wave of same kind, Golden wave will be to
the opposite type. I will use 1:1 risk/reward ratio in Trading as I believe
1:1 ratio is fair enough for day trading as high volatility, so we arent using
big target to reach and not too small stop loss limit easily hit. Targets will
be the same as in original Fox wave in case of 1:1 ratio will be the total no.
of pips of length of the nine candlesticks from high to low and Stop Loss
will be the same.
Charts :
At last I hope this work will be helpful for you all, with the effort of days and
nights I tried to put this system in its best situation and I didnt hesitate to
share it with you. As I usually say I would be happy if this system work with
anyone even by 1% but I will be very glad if someone continue from where
I stopped and start to develop it to come with total new something. I
provided charts as much I can to make it simple to understand and I will
also be glad to answer all of your questions about this system. You can
contact me directly at my facebook page (fb.com/am.fxt). I would like to be
thankful to reason of all effort presented here to someone I appreciate #N.
Sincerely,
Ahmed Maher
Egypt, 2015