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A Clean Break:
A New Strategy for Securing the Realm
Following is a report prepared by The Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies "Study Group on a New Israeli Strategy Toward
2000." The main substantive ideas in this paper emerge from a discussion in which prominent opinion makers, including Richard Perle, James
Colbert, Charles Fairbanks, Jr., Douglas Feith, Robert Loewenberg, David Wurmser, and Meyrav Wurmser participated. The report, entitled
"A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm," is the framework for a series of follow-up reports on strategy.
Israel has a large problem. Labor Zionism, which for 70 years has dominated the Zionist movement, has generated a stalled and shackled
economy. Efforts to salvage Israels socialist institutionswhich include pursuing supranational over national sovereignty and pursuing a
peace process that embraces the slogan, "New Middle East"undermine the legitimacy of the nation and lead Israel into strategic paralysis
and the previous governments "peace process." That peace process obscured the evidence of eroding national critical mass including a
palpable sense of national exhaustionand forfeited strategic initiative. The loss of national critical mass was illustrated best by Israels efforts
to draw in the United States to sell unpopular policies domestically, to agree to negotiate sovereignty over its capital, and to respond with
resignation to a spate of terror so intense and tragic that it deterred Israelis from engaging in normal daily functions, such as commuting to
work in buses.
Benjamin Netanyahus government comes in with a new set of ideas. While there are those who will counsel continuity, Israel has the
opportunity to make a clean break; it can forge a peace process and strategy based on an entirely new intellectual foundation, one that restores
strategic initiative and provides the nation the room to engage every possible energy on rebuilding Zionism, the starting point of which must be
economic reform. To secure the nations streets and borders in the immediate future, Israel can:
Work closely with Turkey and Jordan to contain, destabilize, and roll-back some of its most dangerous threats. This implies clean break
from the slogan, "comprehensive peace" to a traditional concept of strategy based on balance of power.
Change the nature of its relations with the Palestinians, including upholding the right of hot pursuit for self defense into all Palestinian
areas and nurturing alternatives to Arafats exclusive grip on Palestinian society.
Forge a new basis for relations with the United Statesstressing self-reliance, maturity, strategic cooperation on areas of mutual
concern, and furthering values inherent to the West. This can only be done if Israel takes serious steps to terminate aid, which prevents
economic reform.
This report is written with key passages of a possible speech marked TEXT, that highlight the clean break which the new government has an
opportunity to make. The body of the report is the commentary explaining the purpose and laying out the strategic context of the passages.
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including by:
striking Syrias drug-money and counterfeiting infrastructure in Lebanon, all of which focuses on Razi Qanan.
paralleling Syrias behavior by establishing the precedent that Syrian territory is not immune to attacks emanating from Lebanon by
Israeli proxy forces.
striking Syrian military targets in Lebanon, and should that prove insufficient, striking at select targets in Syria proper.
Israel also can take this opportunity to remind the world of the nature of the Syrian regime. Syria repeatedly breaks its word. It violated
numerous agreements with the Turks, and has betrayed the United States by continuing to occupy Lebanon in violation of the Taef agreement
in 1989. Instead, Syria staged a sham election, installed a quisling regime, and forced Lebanon to sign a "Brotherhood Agreement" in 1991,
that terminated Lebanese sovereignty. And Syria has begun colonizing Lebanon with hundreds of thousands of Syrians, while killing tens of
thousands of its own citizens at a time, as it did in only three days in 1983 in Hama.
Under Syrian tutelage, the Lebanese drug trade, for which local Syrian military officers receive protection payments, flourishes. Syrias regime
supports the terrorist groups operationally and financially in Lebanon and on its soil. Indeed, the Syrian-controlled Bekaa Valley in Lebanon
has become for terror what the Silicon Valley has become for computers. The Bekaa Valley has become one of the main distribution sources, if
not production points, of the "supernote" counterfeit US currency so well done that it is impossible to detect.
Text:
Negotiations with repressive regimes like Syrias require cautious realism. One cannot sensibly assume the other sides good
faith. It is dangerous for Israel to deal naively with a regime murderous of its own people, openly aggressive toward its
neighbors, criminally involved with international drug traffickers and counterfeiters, and supportive of the most deadly terrorist
organizations.
Given the nature of the regime in Damascus, it is both natural and moral that Israel abandon the slogan "comprehensive peace" and move to
contain Syria, drawing attention to its weapons of mass destruction program, and rejecting "land for peace" deals on the Golan Heights.
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Israel has a chance to forge a new relationship between itself and the Palestinians. First and foremost, Israels efforts to secure its streets may
require hot pursuit into Palestinian-controlled areas, a justifiable practice with which Americans can sympathize.
A key element of peace is compliance with agreements already signed. Therefore, Israel has the right to insist on compliance, including closing
Orient House and disbanding Jibril Rujoubs operatives in Jerusalem. Moreover, Israel and the United States can establish a Joint Compliance
Monitoring Committee to study periodically whether the PLO meets minimum standards of compliance, authority and responsibility, human
rights, and judicial and fiduciary accountability.
TEXT:
We believe that the Palestinian Authority must be held to the same minimal standards of accountability as other recipients of
U.S. foreign aid. A firm peace cannot tolerate repression and injustice. A regime that cannot fulfill the most rudimentary
obligations to its own people cannot be counted upon to fulfill its obligations to its neighbors.
Israel has no obligations under the Oslo agreements if the PLO does not fulfill its obligations. If the PLO cannot comply with these minimal
standards, then it can be neither a hope for the future nor a proper interlocutor for present. To prepare for this, Israel may want to cultivate
alternatives to Arafats base of power. Jordan has ideas on this.
To emphasize the point that Israel regards the actions of the PLO problematic, but not the Arab people, Israel might want to consider making a
special effort to reward friends and advance human rights among Arabs. Many Arabs are willing to work with Israel; identifying and helping
them are important. Israel may also find that many of her neighbors, such as Jordan, have problems with Arafat and may want to cooperate.
Israel may also want to better integrate its own Arabs.
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the Arab-Israeli conflict; it will transcend it. As a senior Iraqi opposition leader said recently: "Israel must rejuvenate and revitalize its moral
and intellectual leadership. It is an important if not the most important--element in the history of the Middle East." Israel proud, wealthy,
solid, and strong would be the basis of a truly new and peaceful Middle East.
Participants in the Study Group on "A New Israeli Strategy Toward 2000:"
Richard Perle, American Enterprise Institute, Study Group Leader
James Colbert, Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs
Charles Fairbanks, Jr., Johns Hopkins University/SAIS
Douglas Feith, Feith and Zell Associates
Robert Loewenberg, President, Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies
Jonathan Torop, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
David Wurmser, Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies
Meyrav Wurmser, Johns Hopkins University
http://www.israeleconomy.org/strat1.ht
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