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BALOCHISTAN
PILDAT is an independent, non-partisan and not-for-profit indigenous research and training institution with the mission to
strengthen democracy and democratic institutions in Pakistan.
PILDAT is a registered non-profit entity under the Societies Registration Act XXI of 1860, Pakistan.
Copyright Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development And Transparency - PILDAT
Published by
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
CONTENTS
Preface
Executive Summary
05
07
Introduction
- Ethnic Composition
- Resource-rich Province
- Under-developed Balochistan
09
09
13
14
15
15
16
17
19
20
21
22
Continuing Insurgency
- Grievances against the FC
- Labelling Perspectives
23
23
23
25
09
Table 1:
Table 2:
Table 3:
Table 4:
Table 5:
10
10
11
15
Table 6:
Table 7:
Table 8:
Table 9:
Table 10:
17
17
17
19
20
21
27
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
PREFACE
PREFACE
espite 18th Amendment to the Constitution, the 7th NFC Award and the Aghaz-e-Haqooq Balochistan package that have
granted unprecedented financial, political and administrative autonomy to Balochistan in line with the demands of the
nationalist parties and forces, unrest and insurgency in Balochistan have continued. What ails Balochistan in reality?
What are the unmet demands of Balochistan?
Dominant discourse on Balochistan these days is blaming Pakistan's military and security agencies for compounding the
scenario in the province. There is a complete and total absence of a counter-narrative from the Federal Government and the
Establishment. What is the real issue? Who are the real culprit behind the current quagmire in Balochistan and what is the way
forward?
As an indigenous organization, PILDAT believes there is a need to have an objective and fact-based discussion on Balochistan.
This Issue Paper attempts to provide a backdrop for an objective discourse.
Acknowledgments
This paper has been prepared under the PILDAT project titled Dialogue on Civil-Military Relations in Pakistan which is supported
by the British High Commission, Islamabad.
Disclaimer
PILDAT and its team have made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the contents of this paper and do not accept any omission
or error as it is not deliberate. This paper does not, in any way, reflect the views of the British High Commission, Islamabad or the
British Government.
Islamabad
March 2012
05
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
has seen several insurgencies and several military operations to counter these insurgencies. The fifth and onBalochistan
going insurgency intensified after the death of Sardar Akbar Khan Bugti who was killed on August 26, 2006 in Kohlu,
Balochistan along with 21 security personnel in an operation involving the security forces.
The incumbent Government has made significant efforts to address the grievances of the people of Balochistan. Before
assuming office in September 2008 President Asif Ali Zardari apologized to the Baloch nation for years of injustices. Signing of a
consensus 7th National Finance Commission (NFC) award, passage of the 18th Constitutional Amendment, adoption of a
package of reforms and concessions called 'Aghaz-e-Haqooq-e-Balochistan' and completion of devolution process envisaged
in the 18th constitutional amendment have been some of the Government's steps in addressing the long standing concerns of
Balochistan.
Despite introducing substantive reforms, the Government has not been able to reap the benefits of these landmark
developments. It could neither contain the insurgency nor bring simmering scenario in Balochistan to normalcy. Even though
the ruling PPPP at the centre holds a major share of power in the province as well, the party and its provincial leadership does not
seem to be able to sell to the people the landmark developments for the betterment of the province.
Insurgency has intensified over these 4 years and Baloch leaders loudly claim civil governments, both in the centre and in the
province, are not in-charge and have abdicated their constitutional responsibilities to the security agencies.
For its part, the Military also seems to be making efforts in Balochistan to dispel the impression that it is in-charge in
Balochistan; in fact it vehemently denies any involvement in Balochistan by citing the worsened law and order situation as an
example claiming that had military been in-charge the law and order situation would have been better. The Chief of Army Staff
has publicly announced withdrawal of forces from the Sui town of Dera Bugti pledging that in the future no military operation will
be carried out without prior approval of the Provincial Government. In November 2011, the Federal Cabinet decided to put the
Frontier Constabulary under the administrative control of the Provincial Government of Balochistan. Not much though seems to
have happened on this count as the Provincial Government recently sought the Federal Government's intervention and asked it
to help improve its relations with the FC. Contrary to political slogans raised by the nationalists in Balochistan, Pakistan Army
has doubled the Baloch representation in the institution from 2 % in 2001 to 4% in 2011 with special steps to speedily bring this
representation equal to the percentage of Balochistan population in the country.
This insurgency is manifested in attacks on security forces and non-Baloch settlers. A new pattern of killings has also emerged
in Balochistan. Young Baloch persons, mostly those who are known for their nationalist views and activism, go missing and
after a few days their dead bodies bearing torture marks are found dumped in some isolated area. There is a discrepancy in
figures of missing persons and casualties both as sited by the Federal and Provincial Governments and the Military sources and
those offered by the Baloch nationalists.
Balochistan is also well-known for its relative under-development among the federating units of Pakistan. Balochistan's literacy
rate at 51.5% is the 3rd lowest among the four provinces. In terms of missing facilities in Government Schools in 2009-2010,
Balochistan ranks the third amongst the provinces. The number of unemployed persons in Balochistan (0.06 million)
constitutes about 20 % of the total number of unemployed persons (3.05 million) in the country which indicates a
disproportionately high number (Balochistan constitutes just 5 % of the total population of Pakistan) Generally, Balochistan has
seen the lowest annual growth rate among the provinces of Pakistan.
Balochistan has always received a higher per capita transfer of funds from the federation than any other province. However, the
magnitude of the transfer has varied, increasing to a high of 2.26 Relative Per Capita Transfer (which means that the per capita
transfer was more than twice that of the one that was due by population) in 1991-92. After the 7th NFC, Balochistan's share in
total transfers has increased to 9.5% in 2010-2011. It also means that Relative Per Capita transfer of funds to Balochistan has
grown to 1.857 in 2010-11, the highest among all federating units of Pakistan.
Major nationalist parties of Balochistan boycotted the 2008 General Election that resulted in their non-representation in National
07
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
and Provincial Assemblies. The paper questions whether the large-scale redressal of long-standing demands of Balochistan
through 18th Amendment to the Constitution and the 7th NFC Award have not borne fruit because parties to the conflict have not
had a seat at the table?
Raising a number of questions on how to move forward, the paper proposes that there has to be a political agreement on
minimum conditions for dialogue.
Pakistan has witnessed a landmark development when on the Supreme Court orders, intelligence agencies produced missing
persons in front of the Supreme Court. What is the implication of this for the missing persons in Balochistan? How this
breakthrough can be taken forward to resolve the issue of Balochistan?
The paper also argues that no legitimate and balanced conversation, and the shaping of a national policy to deal with security
related issues, can be complete or effective without seeking a systematic input of the military into it and without respecting the
principle of civil-democratic supremacy. This requires a coordinated set-up through which regular input is sought and received.
Whether this set-up is named as National Security Council or the Cabinet Committee on Defence is less important than the
requirement that it must have a permanent secretariat, support by a dedicated think tank and is pro-active rather than reactive in
matters of national security.
The paper also points to the need for a code of conduct by the media to provide a balanced perspective on Balochistan.
A free, fair and credible election in Balochistan, in which all political parties of Balochistan can and must participate freely, is a
key requirement to future prosperity of Balochistan. It is only through this process that parties to the conflict can find a seat at the
table for addressing Balochistan's issues. How can the parties to the conflict be brought back into the electoral field and how can
a free and fair election be made possible in Balochistan are the key questions that need to be addressed at this stage.
08
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
Introduction
Ethnic Composition
Ba
lo c
hi s
tan
Pr
ov
in c
e
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
Balochistan
Urdu
Punjabi
Sindhi
Pushto
Balochi
Seraiki
Others
Total
0.97
2.52
5.58
29.64
54.76
2.42
4.11
Rural
0.21
0.43
5.27
32.16
57.55
1.87
2.51
Urban
3.42
9.16
6.57
21.61
45.84
4.16
9.24
Province/Area 2009-2010
Total
Balochistan
0.06
Male
0.03
Female
0.03
Rural
0.04
0.02
0.02
Urban
0.02
0.01
0.01
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
2005-06 to 2007-08
2007-08 to 2009-10
Urban
Rural
Total
Urban
Rural
Total
Urban
Rural
Total
Punjab
5.9
10.5
9.1
-1.3
-0.6
-0.9
3.4
6.7
5.6
Sindh
1.9
8.9
6.1
2.2
-9.6
-2.9
2.0
2.3
3.0
9.0
8.8
9.1
-7.3
-1.5
-2.7
3.3
5.3
5.0
-3.0
-3.0
-2.5
8.1
-1.6
3.2
0.5
-2.5
-0.6
4.4
9.3
7.8
-0.3
-2.2
-1.4
2.8
5.3
4.7
Khuber
Pakhutunkhwa
Balochistan
Pakistan
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
7. Baluchistan- Case and Demand. PILDAT Briefing Paper, authored by Mr. Qazi Faez Isa, April 2007:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/balochistanconflict/BalochistanCaseAndDemand.pdf
8. Rahman, SA. Baluchistan's accession to Pakistan, The Post, dated June 20, 2006
13
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
1955.
The accession of Balochistan, or at least of Kalat, to
Pakistan left a bitter taste which nationalist Balochs used
as base to build a movement for autonomy or separation.
This movement has seen several ups and downs during
the past 64 years.
2.
3.
4.
5.
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
ii.
Table 4: Overview of National Gas Production & Consumption among the Provinces 10
Total Gas Produced, MMCf
(Percent of Total Production)
Consumption as
percentage of Production
Sindh
1,000,415 (70 %)
459,369 (37.59 %)
45.91 %
Punjab
68,608 (4 %)
638,008 (52.21 %)
930 %
KP
26,370 (1 %)
42,480 (3.48 %)
161 %
318,188 (22 %)
82,138 (6.72 %)
25.81 %
1,413,581 (100 %)
1,221,995 (100 %)
Province
Balochistan
Total
9. The Balochistan Conflict, PILDAT Background Paper (May 2006), authored by Lt. Gen. (Retd.) Abdul Qadir Baloch:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/balochistanconflict/TheBalochistanConflict.pdf
10. Pakistan Energy Book, 2007
The Final Showdown, Newsline Special Report, June 2009
15
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
v.
vi. T h e r e a r e n o l a r g e s c a l e i n d u s t r i e s ,
international/national enterprises/corporations based
in Balochistan that deny the people the benefit of local
employment and commerce and the provincial
government share of local revenues. This is the result
of discriminatory treatment against Balochistan and
preferential for Sindh and Punjab. In this connection
there is an often repeated demand for relocating head
offices of national corporations like Oil & Gas
Development Company Limited (OGDCL) in Quett
vii. There is a suspicion that the real motivation behind
mega projects like Gawadar Deep Sea Port
Development in Balochistan is to further economic
exploitation of the province. They fear the buying out
of the locals at throw away land prices for big gains by
the non-locals. Even the employment opportunities,
they contend, would go to non-locals for reasons of
skills/professional standards. They often cite the
case of Sui Gas installations that cover 50 of its
operations but limits the local employment to low
grade unskilled cadres.
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
No
Party
1.
PPPP
2.
JUI F
3.
BNP-A
4.
PML
5.
ANP
6.
NP
7.
PKMAP
8.
JWP
9.
MMAP
10.
Ind.
Seats in
Senate from
Balochistan
(2012)14
Seats in
Senate from
Balochistan
(2009)15
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
Party
PPPP
PML
PMLN
MMAP
BNP-M
BNP-A
NA
JWP
PKMAP
IND.
5
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
6
1
1
1
1
1
No
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Party
PPPP
PML
PMLN
MMAP
BNP-A
BNP-M
ANP
National Party
PKMAP
JWP
NP
IND.
Seats in
Balochistan
Provincial
Assembly
(2008
on wareds)
15
19
1
11
7
3
1
8
Seats in
Balochistan
Provincial
Assembly
(2003-2007)
2
21
17
2
5
3
4
7
1
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
17
(Percent)
19901991
19911992
19961997
19971998
20052006
20072008
20092010
Total Federal
Transfers to
Provinces
(Rs in Billion)
33.8
65.8
139.4
131.7
316.0
506.7
718.3
1068.7
Punjab (%)
55.3
45.1
51.3
47.0
47.1
47.3
47.2
46.7
Sindh (%)
24.0
12.7
23.9
19.0
24.9
15.9
23.8
17.8
30.1
14.4
29.8
14.8
29.3
15.2
26.7
17.1
7.9
12.0
7.9
11.4
8.4
8.0
8.3
9.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
KP (%)
Balochistan
(%)
Pakistan
20102011
17. Frdric Grare, Pakistan: The Resurgence of Baluch Nationalism, Carnegie Papers, January 2006 (Number 65). 2006 Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace.
18. The State of Economy: Devolution in Pakistan, Fourth Annual Report 2011, Institute of Public Policy, Beaconhouse National University:
http://ippbnu.org/files/4AR2011.pdf
19
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
19911992
19961997
19971998
20052006
20072008
20092010
20102011
Punjab
0.953
0.778
0.884
0.810
0.821
0.824
0.822
0.815
Sindh
1.030
1.026
1.069
1.021
1.270
1.257
1.235
1.127
KP
0.948
1.418
1.186
1.328
1.043
1.072
1.099
1.234
Balochistan
1.453
2.264
1.491
2.151
1.647
1.569
1.565
1.857
Pakistan
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
2001
2009
2011
Punjab
KPK
Sindh
Balochistan
61.77
13.65
13.00
2.00
9.29
0.29
100
55.85
14.09
15.92
3.62
54.50
14.50
17.00
4.00
9.72
0.80
100
9.00
1.00
100
22. PM asks agencies to respect Balochistan govt's mandate, Dawn, March 11, 2012: http://www.dawn.com/2012/03/11/pm-asks-agencies-to-respectbalochistan-govts-mandate.html
23. Aghaz-e-Haqooq-e-Balochistan: 80% work complete, says Gilani: The Express Tribune, November 30, 2011: http://tribune.com.pk/story/299979/aghaze-haqooq-e-balochistan-80-work-complete-says-gilani/
24. Balochistan Package: government failed to implement major demand: Business Recorder, February 11, 2012: http://www.brecorder.com/generalnews/single/599/172/1152550/
21
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25. PM asks agencies to respect Balochistan govt's mandate, Dawn, March 11, 2012: http://www.dawn.com/2012/03/11/pm-asks-agencies-to-respectbalochistan-govts-mandate.html
26. Balochistan at point of no return, Dawn, December 20, 2011: http://www.dawn.com/2011/12/20/balochistan-at-point-of-no-return-mengal-tellsnawaz.html
22
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Continuing Insurgency
While proponents of Baloch 'liberation' from Pakistan term
granting of rights and resources to Balochistan under 18th
Amendment and 7th NFC Award, albeit in their private
conversations, to be more than what they could ever
dream of, insurgency in Balochistan has intensified since
after 2008.
This insurgency is manifested in attacks on security forces
and non-Baloch settlers. It is estimated that in nearly 1500
attacks by insurgents in Balochistan, over a 1000 civilians
have lost their lives while nearly a 100 personnel of law
enforcement agencies have sacrificed themselves. This
list does not take into account the injured and seriously
wounded in these attacks.
In the recent months a new pattern of killings has emerged
in Balochistan. Young Baloch persons, mostly those who
are known for their nationalist views and activism,
suddenly go missing and after a few days their dead bodies
bearing torture marks are found dumped in some isolated
area. Since June 2010 bodies of at least 233 men have
been found dumped in the usual kill and dump operations
in Balochistan.27 Since 2008 at least 1200 settlers have
also been killed in Balochistan. During the year 2011, 99
such bodies have been found. According to reports 59
settlers have been targeted this year compared to above
100 in 2010. 28
However, figures vary as provided through official and
unofficial sources. The discrepancy in figures itself,
creates serious concerns.
Baloch leaders have been vocal in registering their
concerns over the prevailing law and order situation. To
this effect, Sardar Ataullah Mengal, a senior leader of the
BNP-M warned that Baloch youths don't want such a
Pakistan in which they receive mutilated bodies of their
compatriots. It is for them to decide [about their future],
because they are being systematically eliminated and
forced to seek refuge in the mountains. He also held out a
ray of hope: If one last effort is made with sincerity, there
is a possibility that Baloch youths might agree to discuss
Labelling Perspectives
From the perspective of Pakistan Army, a military
operation takes places when tanks and helicopters as well
as weaponry are employed to accomplish a goal.
On the other hand, the Baloch equate extra-judicial killings,
disappearances, and even the checking at check-posts
with operation. Every time the Army Chief or the Federal
Interior Minister Rehman Malik decline any ongoing
operations in Balochistan, the Baloch instantly cite the
killing or disappearance of some young political workers
and activists.
In a similar stance, the interpretation of the term
27 Missing Persons: Two bullet-riddled bodies found in Pasni, November 21, 2011::http://tribune.com.pk/story/295092/missing-persons-two-bulletriddled-bodies-found-in-pasni/
28 Settlers caught in Crossfire, Dawn, June 29, 2011:http://www.dawn.com/2011/06/29/settlers-caught-in-crossfire-2.html
Balochistan security review: Sharp fall in target killing of settlers, Express Tribune, December 28,
2011:http://tribune.com.pk/story/312911/balochistan-security-review-sharp-fall-in-target-killing-of-settlers/
29 Balochistan at point of not return, Mangal, Dawn, December 20, 2011: http://www.dawn.com/2011/12/20/balochistan-at-point-of-no-return-mengaltells-nawaz.html
30. A lasting Solution for, Balochistan, Dawn, July 06, 2011: http://www.dawn.com/2011/04/25/a-lasting-solution-for-balochistan.html
23
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24
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2.
3.
31. Missing Persons Case: Fiery SC lays down the law for spy agencies, The Express Tribune, March 2, 2012:
http://tribune.com.pk/story/344312/missing-persons-fiery-sc-lays-down-the-law-for-spy-agencies
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32. Report highlights pathetic plight of the media in Balochistan, The News, February 27, 2012: http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-13-12782 Reporthighlights-pathetic-plight-of-the-media-in-Balochistan
33. Media and Terrorism, Report by Committee on Culture, Science and Education, The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe. Doc. 10557,
May 20, 2005.Rapporteur: Mr Josef Jaab, Czech Republic, Liberal, Democratic and Reformers' Group:
http://assembly.coe.int/Documents/WorkingDocs/Doc05/edoc10557.htm
34. State of Electoral Reforms in Pakistan: 1st Quarterly Citizens Monitoring Report, PILDAT. February 2012.
Http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/elections/StateOfElectoralReformsInPakistan_CitizensMonitoringReport.pdf
26
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District
Area (km)
1.
Awaran
29,510
118,173
2.
Barkhan
3,514
103,545
29
3.
Bolan
7,499
288,056
38
4.
Chagai
50,545
202,564
5.
Dera Bugti
10,160
181,310
18
6.
Gwadar
12,637
185,498
15
7.
Haranai *
8.
Jaffarabad
2,445
432,817
177
9.
Jhal Magsi
3,615
109,941
30
10.
Kalat
6,622
237,834
36
11.
Kech (Turbat)
22,539
413,204
18
12.
Kharan
48,051
206,909
13.
Khuzdar
35,380
417,466
12
14.
Kohlu
7,610
99,846
13
15.
Lasbela
15,153
312,695
21
16.
Loralai
9,830
295,555
30
17.
Mastung
5,896
179,784
30
18.
Musakhel
5,728
134,056
23
19.
Nasirabad
3,387
245,894
73
20.
Nushki*
21.
Panjgur
16,891
234,051
14
22.
Pishin
7,819
367,183
47
23.
Qilla Abdullah
3,293
370,269
112
24.
Qilla Saifullah
6,831
193,553
28
25.
Quetta
2,653
744,802
281
26.
Sibi
7,796
180,398
23
27.
Sheerani *
28.
Zhob
20,297
275,142
14
29.
Ziarat
1,489
33,340
22
30.
Washuk *
347,190
6,563,885
19
Balochistan Province
Population (1998)
Density (persons/km)
P I L D AT
Issue Paper
The Balochistan Conflict
March 2012
2.
The Aghaz-e-Huqooq-e-Balochistan Package: An Analysis, Background Paper, December 2009, Authored by Mr.
Shahid Hamid:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/balochistanconflict/PILDATBalochistanPackageAnalysis101209.pdf
3.
The Aghaz-e-Huqooq-e-Balochistan Package: An Analysis [Urdu], Background Paper, December 2009, Authored by
Mr. Shahid Hamid: http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/Balochistanconflict/PILDATAnalysisAghaazHuqooq-eBalochistanPackage-UrduDec2009.pdf
4.
Rule of Law and Democracy in Pakistan, The Road to the Future Issues in Balochistan, FATA and Civil-Military
Equation in Pakistan, Background Paper, June 2008, Authored by Mr. Shahid Hamid:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/CMR/RuleOfLawAndDemocracyInPakistanIssuesInBalochistanFATAandCi
vilMilitaryEquationInPakistan.pdf
5.
The Balochistan Conflict, Background Paper, May 2007, Authored by Lt. Gen (Retd.) Abdul Qadir Baloch:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/balochistanconflict/TheBalochistanConflict.pdf
6.
Balochistan Case and Demand, Briefing Paper, April 2007, Authored by Mr. Qazi Faez Isa:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/balochistanconflict/BalochistanCaseAndDemand.pdf
7.
Election 2007: Challenges & Prospects with Special Focus on NWFP and Balochistan, National Workshop Report,
April 2007: http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/elections/Election2007ChallengesandProspectsspecialfocusonnwfpandbalochistan-NationalConferenceReport.pdf
8.
Dynamics of Federalism in Pakistan: Current Challenges and Future Directions, Briefing Paper, December 2006,
Authored by Dr. Hasan Askari Rizvi:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/FPLGS/DynamicsofFederalismInPakistanDec2006.pdf
9.
Overview of the Constitution of Pakistan, PILDAT Briefing Paper, August 2004, Authored by Syed Jaffar Ahmed:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/constitution/OverviewoftheConstitutionofPakistan-Aug2004.pdf
10. Pakistan Ka Wifaqi Nizam: Pusmanzar, Ertika Aur Derpaesh Challenges (Urdu), Briefing Paper, August 2003:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/FPLGS/FederalGovernmentSystem-urdu.pdf
11. Federal, Provincial and Local Governments: Demarcation of Roles, Issues and Possible Solutions, Workshop for
Members of the Provincial Assembly of Balochistan, Workshop Report, July 2003:
http://www.pildat.org/Publications/publication/FPLGS/FederalProvincialandLocalGovernmentsDemarcationofRolesIssuesandpossiblesolution-Quetta.pdf
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