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Peter A.

Brown, Assistant Director,


Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 535-6203
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: OCTOBER 22, 2015

CARSON TOPS TRUMP IN IOWA GOP CAUCUS,


QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
BUSH TIED IN SIXTH PLACE WITH 5 PERCENT
With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 20 percent among Iowa
likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10
percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of a September 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac
(KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Trump at 27 percent with Carson at 21 percent.
Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 6 percent, with Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb
Bush at 5 percent each. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 3 percent undecided.
Carson tops Trump 33 13 percent among women. Men are divided as 25 percent back
Carson and 24 percent go with Trump.
Trump tops the no way list as 30 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants
say they would definitely not support him for the GOP nomination. Bush is next on this no
way list with 21 percent.
For 28 percent of Republican Caucus-goers a candidate who shares their values is most
important, while 23 percent most want a candidate who is honest and trustworthy.
Carson shares their values, 84 percent of Republicans say, and 89 percent say he is honest
and trustworthy, topping the GOP field for both qualities.
Its Ben Carsons turn in the spotlight, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Poll.
As theyve been pondering for six months, many in the political world still are trying to
understand Carsons appeal and how someone who seems to be operating outside the traditional
news media/political environment is doing so well among the most conservative GOP voters.
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/October 22, 2015 page 2


Todays results show his appeal is especially strong among the states sizeable white,
evangelical Christian community, among whom Carson is receiving 36 percent, twice Trumps
17 percent, Brown added.
Those who know Carson seem to like him. He has an almost unheard of 84 10
percent favorability rating among likely Republican Caucus-goers, compared to Trumps 53 43
percent rating. To borrow the line from Madison Avenue, Almost no one doesnt like Ben
Carson.
Carson cares about their needs and problems, 87 percent of Iowa likely Republican
Caucus participants say, the highest mark among any GOP candidate.
Trump gets the highest mark for strong leadership qualities, 80 percent, to Carsons 76
percent.
Bush has the right kind of experience to be president, 76 percent of Republicans say,
topping Cruz at 70 percent, Rubio at 69 percent, Carson at 57 percent, and Trump at 56 percent.
Iowa likely Republican Caucus-goers give Carson an 84 10 percent favorability rating,
leading Rubio at 70 15 percent, Cruz at 65 18 percent and Trump at 53 43 percent. Bush
has a negative 43 51 percent.
Looking at which candidate can best handle different issues, Carson leads in only one
area, as 31 percent of Republicans say he can best handle social issues. On handling other
issues:

Trump tops Carson 41 12 percent on the economy;


Trump over Carson 32 13 percent on taxes;
Trump tops Carson 37 9 percent on illegal immigration;
Rubio and Trump are close at 18 17 percent, respectively, on foreign policy, with
Carson at 9 percent.
From October 14 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 574 likely Iowa Republican

Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call
land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham,
Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to
choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham,
Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

5%
28
1
10
5
2
3
3
6
13
1
20
3

32
21
6
1
8
9
1
20
2

3%
36
2
13
5
3
3
2
2
9
1
17
4

3%
32
18
5
2
2
1
3
13
1
16
2

3%
27
1
7
7
2
3
2
5
17
1
23
3

9%
23
4
1
4
1
3
7
1
13
10
22
3

4%
25
1
11
5
2
2
4
7
12
1
24
3

5%
33
3
9
6
1
4
1
5
15
1
13
3

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

7%
23
3
11
8
1
3
5
1
4
17
12
4

4%
26
1
12
5
1
6
13
13
18
2

5%
26
1
9
9
4
3
3
3
7
2
25
4

3%
31
1
10
4
2
2
2
7
11
1
24
2

2%
24
1
7
5
3
4
2
7
17
2
22
2

5%
34
2
13
5
2
4
1
1
2
11
1
17
2

8%
27
2
7
8
1
2
1
12
1
26
5

3%
32
1
15
4
2
2
9
11
2
14
5

4%
36
1
8
5
1
3
3
7
12
18
1

6%
14
2
9
6
2
2
4
7
21
1
23
3

CONTD

1.(contd) If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were
Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore,
Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul,
Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, who would you support? (If undecided) If you
had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore,
Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump?
MOST IMPORTANT FOR REP PRES NOMINEE Q55
Shares Strong
Honest/
Values Leader CanWin Trustworthy
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

1%
27
1
22
5
1
1
1
11
13
1
15
2

6%
18
2
6
7
1
3
1
5
15
35
2

8%
32
2
3
9
1
2
1
6
1
1
20
13
1

3%
40
10
5
2
5
1
1
5
8
2
15
3

2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican
nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA

21%
4
14
7
8
8
15
9
7
9
10
10
5
10
30
30
5

35%
1
24
4
7
12
32
11
6
12
17
9
8
12
18
33
1

23%
3
15
6
9
8
13
6
6
11
10
11
5
8
31
30
5

27%
2
19
5
9
10
19
7
5
14
13
11
6
10
24
30
4

13%
2
7
4
3
4
11
4
5
3
5
7
2
3
27
40
8

22%
7
12
15
10
8
12
17
11
6
8
11
7
15
45
20
3

23%
5
14
8
9
8
17
9
8
10
10
10
6
9
28
32
3

19%
1
14
7
6
7
11
9
5
7
8
10
3
11
35
27
8

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

18%
5
13
9
6
7
12
10
7
8
9
10
5
10
41
30
4

20%
4
9
8
7
4
6
2
4
3
4
2
1
10
44
18
6

18%
8
4
7
7
6
11
3
5
3
9
8
5
9
33
40
1

23%
3
14
7
9
8
17
8
7
9
10
9
5
10
25
31
5

19%
4
19
7
8
7
23
11
9
10
9
9
6
11
31
35
2

24%
3
15
7
6
7
17
12
6
13
12
12
6
9
26
31
5

22%
4
10
10
10
13
12
10
7
9
15
19
4
9
20
39
6

29%
20
7
13
14
17
11
9
10
15
9
6
14
29
28
5

16%
4
10
8
5
5
15
11
5
10
7
10
3
7
32
30
5

22%
3
19
7
8
8
19
9
8
11
9
11
6
12
32
29
5

Q5-19. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't


you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable Unfavorable).
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS...........
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
Carson
Rubio
Cruz
Fiorina
Jindal
Huckabee
Santorum
Trump
Kasich
Paul
Bush
Gilmore
Christie
Pataki
Graham

84
70
65
61
59
63
50
53
28
45
43
3
36
9
18

10
15
18
18
16
29
32
43
25
43
51
14
52
28
47

6
14
16
21
24
8
17
3
46
11
5
82
11
62
34

1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
-

74
55
47
43
43
34
18
10
3
2
-8
-11
-16
-19
-29

5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

43%
51
5
1

28%
67
4
2

40%
51
6
2

39%
55
4
1

45%
45
9
2

47%
49
4
-

41%
55
4
1

46%
45
8
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

54%
40
3
2

34%
59
6
1

38%
48
10
3

36%
57
6
1

40%
55
4
1

46%
47
4
2

52%
40
7
1

32%
65
3
-

46%
45
7
2

50%
49
1
-

6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

84%
10
6
-

92%
7
1

87%
6
7
-

93%
4
3
-

84%
5
10
-

68%
24
8
-

81%
12
6
-

89%
6
6
-

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

81%
13
6
-

73%
18
8
-

74%
16
10
-

85%
9
6
-

82%
10
8
-

89%
6
5
-

92%
5
2
1

85%
10
4
1

84%
8
9
-

85%
10
5
-

7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

36%
52
11
1

20%
72
7
1

30%
53
15
2

32%
58
9
1

38%
42
18
2

41%
51
7
1

34%
55
9
1

40%
45
14
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

46%
43
9
2

29%
56
15
-

33%
47
18
2

31%
57
11
1

37%
54
8
1

37%
52
7
3

49%
39
10
1

35%
56
9
1

39%
49
11
1

40%
49
9
2

8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

65%
18
16
1

90%
1
7
2

72%
11
16
-

82%
7
10
-

68%
13
18
1

32%
39
27
2

70%
19
10
1

57%
15
27
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

61%
22
16
1

54%
21
25
-

67%
17
16
-

67%
15
17
1

60%
20
18
2

72%
15
12
1

74%
17
8
1

56%
21
20
3

68%
14
18
-

62%
25
13
1

9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

61%
18
21
-

70%
15
14
-

57%
17
25
-

68%
16
15
1

61%
14
25
-

48%
25
27
-

62%
20
18
-

58%
16
26
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

68%
17
14
1

43%
22
35
-

64%
13
21
1

57%
18
24
-

65%
18
17
-

67%
15
17
-

72%
14
12
2

58%
22
19
1

62%
15
23
-

64%
17
19
-

10. Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

3%
14
82
-

8%
18
75
-

3%
12
85
-

4%
19
77
1

2%
9
88
1

3%
11
86
-

4%
17
79
1

2%
9
89
-

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

5%
12
82
1

3%
8
89
-

8%
10
82
-

2%
15
83
-

7%
15
79
-

1%
16
81
1

2%
18
79
-

3%
17
80
-

2%
12
85
1

3%
16
80
1

11. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

18%
47
34
-

9%
64
26
-

20%
42
38
-

17%
53
30
-

17%
44
37
1

21%
37
41
-

18%
52
30
-

20%
38
42
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

24%
43
32
1

14%
30
55
-

19%
37
43
-

16%
48
36
-

18%
56
26
-

18%
52
29
1

25%
47
27
1

11%
56
33
1

19%
45
36
1

22%
47
31
-

12. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

63%
29
8
1

77%
18
3
1

74%
15
9
1

74%
18
7
1

71%
23
5
-

33%
52
13
2

63%
30
5
1

61%
26
12
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

59%
35
6
-

54%
35
9
2

64%
24
10
3

65%
25
9
1

60%
28
11
1

65%
28
6
-

70%
25
4
1

55%
35
10
-

61%
28
10
-

63%
33
2
2

13. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59%
16
24
1

79%
8
11
2

65%
13
21
1

72%
10
17
1

64%
13
24
-

32%
32
35
-

62%
18
19
-

54%
14
32
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

62%
19
18
1

34%
23
43
-

62%
12
25
1

58%
15
27
1

68%
16
17
-

68%
14
17
-

65%
16
17
2

54%
17
27
1

64%
16
20
-

54%
18
28
-

14. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

28%
25
46
1

32%
36
31
1

23%
22
53
1

30%
31
38
2

27%
19
53
2

27%
19
53
-

30%
27
42
1

26%
20
52
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

37%
21
42
1

15%
19
65
1

20%
23
55
2

24%
26
48
1

28%
26
44
1

29%
29
40
1

44%
24
32
1

23%
25
50
1

28%
23
49
-

36%
28
35
-

15. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

9%
28
62
-

10%
42
48
-

8%
25
66
-

8%
38
54
-

7%
20
73
1

12%
22
65
-

12%
32
56
-

4%
22
73
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

11%
26
62
1

4%
10
86
-

11%
25
64
-

8%
30
62
-

14%
30
56
-

7%
36
57
1

12%
37
50
-

9%
36
55
1

8%
24
68
-

11%
29
59
-

16. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

45%
43
11
1

51%
38
10
1

41%
45
13
2

41%
49
9
-

44%
39
16
2

50%
39
9
1

46%
43
10
1

42%
45
13
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

44%
43
10
3

54%
34
11
1

48%
37
15
-

45%
43
12
-

52%
37
11
1

40%
46
12
2

28%
61
11
1

43%
45
13
-

45%
41
13
1

51%
41
5
3

17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

70%
15
14
-

72%
16
11
-

67%
13
20
-

76%
15
10
-

73%
8
19
1

58%
25
17
-

71%
16
13
-

69%
14
17
-

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

75%
13
11
1

60%
17
23
-

65%
11
23
-

67%
17
16
-

70%
16
13
-

76%
12
11
1

76%
13
10
-

64%
20
16
-

74%
12
13
-

74%
17
8
1

18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

50%
32
17
1

65%
21
14
-

61%
19
19
1

66%
20
14
-

52%
27
20
1

22%
55
21
2

50%
32
17
1

50%
30
19
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

47%
40
12
1

40%
36
24
-

49%
27
24
-

52%
27
20
1

53%
31
15
1

51%
30
17
2

57%
29
14
-

54%
31
13
2

50%
31
19
1

50%
35
15
1

10

19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

53%
43
3
2

59%
34
4
3

51%
43
4
2

54%
39
4
3

63%
36
1
-

40%
57
1
2

56%
40
1
2

46%
47
5
1

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

40%
56
4
1

33%
63
1
3

45%
47
5
3

59%
37
2
2

57%
41
2
-

59%
36
3
1

63%
31
3
3

51%
45
2
1

54%
42
3
1

52%
44
2
1

20. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - the economy?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

5%
12
2
8
8
1
4
6
6
41
8

1%
11
1
19
6
1
10
4
41
5

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No
9%
3%
10
13
2
1
5
10
12
5
1
1
6
2
3
8
7
5
33
44
11
6

5%
16
2
11
9
1
3
3
6
1
37
8

4%
14
2
15
8
1
1
4
7
39
5

5%
10
1
4
8
1
3
6
8
1
46
7

8%
11
2
1
6
1
8
11
3
37
13

AGE IN
18-34
1%
20
3
7
6
6
17
6
25
11

YRS..............
35-49 50-64 65+
3%
8%
9%
9
11
9
1
2
7
10
8
12
6
7
2
2
1
4
2
3
4
3
1
6
4
8
1
45
44
47
7
8
5

4%
9
2
8
7
1
5
7
5
43
8

8%
16
1
7
9
1
1
5
6
1
36
8

ANNUAL
<30K
2%
15
7
9
1
4
4
3
5
41
8

HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
30-50 50-100 >100K
5%
7%
4%
9
15
6
3
1
2
8
8
7
8
5
11
2
1
1
3
6
9
7
6
6
4
9
2
37
43
39
10
8
8

11

21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - foreign policy?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

8%
9
2
11
6
3
2
3
2
5
18
1
17
13

2%
11
1
26
6
1
1
3
2
5
13
1
19
9

5%
13
1
14
8
3
4
4
1
2
13
1
15
15

6%
9
21
6
2
2
3
1
1
19
18
12

7%
9
2
7
7
2
3
4
4
4
19
2
18
13

12%
10
3
1
4
5
1
3
1
15
15
1
15
16

8%
9
1
11
3
3
2
3
3
6
17
1
20
12

7%
9
3
11
11
2
2
2
4
19
1
13
15

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

11%
8
1
9
7
7
2
3
3
1
1
19
1
9
18

8%
15
2
7
9
3
1
4
1
15
10
1
14
10

4%
7
1
12
11
1
2
7
2
6
10
24
12

6%
9
2
13
6
2
2
2
8
17
1
21
10

5%
6
1
10
3
3
3
2
5
6
22
19
15

10%
7
2
15
5
2
3
3
1
1
1
20
2
14
13

12%
9
3
12
8
2
1
1
17
24
11

5%
10
1
13
8
2
2
1
10
17
1
12
17

8%
11
1
10
5
4
2
2
1
5
19
1
16
13

12%
5
2
10
3
3
2
2
6
5
20
1
18
11

12

22. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - illegal immigration?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

5%
9
1
14
1
1
2
1
5
15
37
8

1%
7
30
1
1
2
2
6
4
41
6

4%
12
1
19
2
2
2
15
34
8

4%
8
1
23
1
1
1
1
1
15
1
36
8

3%
8
9
2
3
1
5
15
44
9

10%
13
1
3
1
1
2
1
11
16
32
9

5%
8
15
2
1
1
1
5
14
40
8

6%
10
2
13
1
1
3
4
18
33
8

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

10%
9
1
14
2
1
2
1
2
21
26
11

5%
14
9
1
12
17
31
11

6%
17
16
1
2
2
3
13
2
35
4

3%
9
14
1
2
1
6
12
43
7

4%
4
1
14
1
2
4
1
1
4
15
1
38
9

6%
11
2
19
1
1
2
2
14
37
5

8%
8
12
1
17
47
6

1%
12
1
14
4
8
15
31
13

5%
9
1
11
1
1
4
3
15
42
7

8%
3
1
17
2
1
2
5
18
34
9

13

23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

3%
31
1
13
8
5
3
2
6
9
2
11
7

37
24
5
4
2
6
7
1
11
2

3%
35
1
18
7
9
3
1
2
7
1
9
5

2%
37
20
7
7
3
1
2
9
2
7
4

2%
32
1
12
9
8
3
1
4
10
1
10
7

7%
22
3
1
6
1
2
6
1
15
7
1
15
11

4%
29
1
14
6
6
3
3
6
8
1
13
6

3%
35
2
10
10
4
3
5
10
2
7
9

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

5%
27
2
9
9
9
4
3
1
4
10
1
5
10

1%
33
1
12
13
5
5
10
8
6
6

2%
25
16
9
4
3
3
3
13
2
15
4

3%
33
1
14
7
4
2
1
7
8
2
13
6

3%
28
1
10
5
5
4
2
1
9
11
3
11
6

4%
33
1
15
5
4
5
1
1
2
8
2
12
8

6%
31
3
12
8
8
1
7
1
16
7

6%
32
1
11
8
3
1
10
8
4
7
8

2%
36
1
11
5
7
3
2
6
9
11
7

4%
28
2
12
11
5
3
3
1
7
6
2
9
9

14

24. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - taxes?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA

7%
13
1
10
3
2
3
3
9
6
1
32
10

3%
15
23
2
3
1
1
12
3
32
5

6%
20
12
5
2
3
3
4
4
30
11

5%
14
18
4
2
3
2
4
8
1
30
9

5%
17
1
7
2
2
3
3
11
5
36
8

11%
7
2
1
3
2
3
7
1
15
4
1
29
13

6%
11
1
11
2
3
3
5
11
5
34
9

8%
17
1
9
5
1
4
1
5
8
2
28
11

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

10%
11
2
10
5
3
4
5
1
4
7
1
27
10

5%
18
1
7
2
3
6
19
5
3
23
9

2%
17
9
5
4
4
4
3
1
34
16

5%
14
10
2
2
3
3
11
5
1
34
9

3%
10
1
10
4
2
4
3
1
12
7
36
8

10%
14
15
3
2
5
2
2
4
32
10

10%
11
2
6
6
1
2
3
1
9
38
10

5%
12
1
15
5
4
9
6
33
9

8%
16
9
2
2
4
4
13
5
29
9

7%
10
2
8
4
2
2
6
1
7
9
4
31
8

25. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

63%
32
4

55%
42
3

61%
34
6

63%
33
4

71%
26
3

56%
40
5

59%
37
4

70%
25
6

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

72%
23
5

56%
40
4

59%
31
10

58%
38
4

56%
39
5

70%
27
2

75%
19
6

54%
40
7

65%
32
3

69%
30
1

15

26. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

75%
15
11

73%
20
7

72%
15
13

78%
10
11

79%
13
8

64%
23
14

74%
17
9

75%
11
13

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

81%
9
9

66%
18
16

72%
19
9

71%
17
12

68%
20
12

81%
10
9

88%
5
6

69%
23
8

76%
12
12

81%
11
9

27. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

89%
8
2

94%
5
1

91%
6
2

95%
3
2

93%
6
1

75%
19
5

88%
11
1

91%
5
4

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

92%
5
2

79%
20
1

76%
22
2

87%
10
3

88%
7
4

93%
5
2

98%
2
1

83%
15
3

93%
4
3

94%
4
2

28. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

48%
45
7

53%
43
4

48%
46
5

49%
42
8

55%
37
8

37%
60
3

52%
43
5

43%
49
8

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

43%
52
5

38%
62
-

46%
49
5

51%
42
7

50%
46
4

49%
42
8

55%
31
14

33%
59
8

50%
43
7

54%
43
3

16

29. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

66%
18
16

71%
17
12

65%
14
21

72%
12
17

70%
16
14

52%
32
17

66%
20
14

65%
15
19

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

71%
14
15

52%
24
24

64%
22
15

63%
20
16

69%
20
11

70%
18
12

77%
8
15

56%
29
15

68%
16
16

75%
12
13

30. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

73%
17
10

91%
5
4

77%
12
11

87%
7
6

76%
15
10

46%
35
19

75%
20
5

70%
12
18

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

72%
17
10

59%
26
15

73%
20
7

74%
16
10

70%
20
10

78%
11
11

88%
9
4

66%
25
9

75%
15
10

76%
14
10

31. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

67%
29
4

53%
40
7

66%
29
5

61%
33
6

71%
26
3

71%
25
3

64%
32
4

71%
24
5

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

73%
23
4

70%
24
7

76%
22
3

64%
32
4

63%
34
3

67%
29
4

70%
26
4

55%
35
9

70%
27
3

66%
32
2

17

32. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

73%
16
12

74%
15
11

66%
18
16

79%
13
8

72%
17
12

65%
19
16

73%
18
8

72%
12
17

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

79%
12
9

65%
17
18

69%
20
11

69%
18
13

68%
23
9

77%
13
10

83%
7
9

71%
19
10

76%
11
13

74%
20
6

33. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

76%
19
5

84%
10
6

82%
12
6

83%
13
3

79%
12
9

61%
35
4

72%
22
6

83%
13
4

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

70%
22
8

69%
26
5

75%
17
8

79%
17
4

81%
18
2

74%
18
7

79%
15
6

74%
23
3

80%
15
5

71%
23
6

34. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

80%
18
2

88%
11
1

82%
16
2

83%
14
3

86%
13
1

70%
29
1

82%
17
1

77%
19
4

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

75%
22
2

77%
22
1

80%
19
1

83%
15
2

84%
15
1

82%
16
2

74%
21
5

75%
22
3

83%
15
2

81%
19
-

18

35. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

69%
18
13

75%
13
12

69%
15
16

74%
12
14

73%
16
11

57%
29
14

68%
21
10

71%
11
18

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

75%
16
9

60%
22
18

65%
19
16

66%
18
16

71%
19
10

73%
15
11

75%
15
11

64%
22
14

70%
18
12

78%
14
8

36. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
19
11

88%
4
8

73%
13
13

82%
8
10

73%
19
7

47%
38
15

71%
21
9

68%
16
16

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

66%
22
12

62%
25
13

72%
17
11

71%
17
11

68%
21
10

73%
15
12

74%
15
11

68%
21
11

68%
21
11

70%
21
9

37. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

53%
40
7

39%
54
7

53%
38
8

56%
36
8

59%
36
4

41%
51
8

50%
46
5

58%
32
10

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

62%
29
9

46%
46
8

51%
41
7

48%
46
6

49%
45
5

57%
38
5

65%
29
6

44%
49
7

60%
36
4

55%
41
4

19

38. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

74%
17
9

73%
18
9

71%
17
12

79%
13
8

76%
15
9

62%
24
13

71%
21
8

79%
10
11

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

76%
13
11

65%
22
13

71%
26
2

73%
19
9

71%
19
10

80%
14
7

85%
9
6

74%
20
6

74%
15
11

79%
14
7

39. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

87%
9
4

94%
5
1

90%
7
3

96%
1
3

88%
11
2

72%
20
8

86%
12
3

89%
5
6

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

87%
7
6

78%
18
4

76%
23
2

87%
10
3

88%
8
4

90%
7
3

96%
4
-

85%
13
2

92%
4
4

89%
7
5

40. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

49%
46
5

57%
38
5

48%
47
5

53%
41
7

55%
42
4

35%
60
6

51%
44
5

44%
49
6

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

39%
53
8

39%
57
4

43%
51
6

53%
42
4

52%
46
2

47%
45
8

60%
35
5

44%
51
5

48%
47
4

52%
44
4

20

41. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

65%
20
15

71%
19
11

64%
17
19

70%
16
14

68%
20
12

51%
28
21

65%
23
12

63%
16
21

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

69%
17
13

56%
23
21

61%
28
11

62%
22
16

65%
23
12

69%
20
11

72%
12
16

60%
24
16

71%
17
12

67%
18
15

42. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

71%
18
11

86%
8
6

74%
12
14

86%
6
9

75%
15
10

42%
42
15

71%
22
7

70%
13
17

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

66%
21
13

61%
26
14

69%
27
5

73%
17
10

71%
22
7

73%
16
11

81%
9
10

69%
19
12

73%
16
12

71%
21
8

43. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

76%
21
3

70%
26
3

76%
22
2

75%
21
4

82%
18
-

72%
22
6

74%
23
3

79%
17
4

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

83%
14
3

77%
20
3

73%
23
4

72%
24
4

77%
22
2

79%
18
3

73%
21
6

69%
27
4

83%
17
1

80%
18
2

21

44. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

69%
22
9

72%
18
10

67%
22
11

75%
17
8

70%
22
9

58%
32
10

71%
23
7

66%
21
13

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

74%
20
6

60%
27
13

63%
27
10

67%
23
10

72%
21
7

75%
20
5

70%
18
12

72%
24
4

71%
19
9

71%
23
6

45. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

57%
35
8

74%
20
6

68%
25
7

66%
29
5

60%
29
10

39%
50
11

56%
37
7

60%
30
10

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

48%
44
8

48%
42
10

63%
27
10

62%
30
8

59%
36
5

55%
36
9

66%
26
8

57%
34
8

58%
35
7

49%
43
8

46. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

56%
41
3

70%
26
4

55%
42
3

58%
38
4

65%
33
3

42%
55
3

57%
40
3

54%
42
5

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

46%
50
4

44%
56
-

53%
44
3

61%
36
3

62%
35
4

57%
38
5

60%
34
7

55%
41
4

61%
37
2

52%
46
2

22

47. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

51%
37
12

63%
29
8

55%
31
14

57%
35
8

59%
29
13

33%
50
18

51%
39
10

52%
33
15

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

55%
35
10

43%
41
17

46%
40
13

50%
38
13

57%
35
8

49%
41
10

57%
31
12

43%
42
15

52%
37
11

62%
31
7

48. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
20
10

87%
6
7

74%
14
12

78%
13
9

76%
14
10

50%
38
13

72%
22
6

66%
16
18

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

63%
24
14

71%
18
12

72%
27
1

74%
18
8

69%
21
10

69%
23
8

70%
21
9

73%
14
13

68%
22
10

69%
21
10

49. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

50%
41
9

34%
56
10

50%
40
10

47%
44
9

58%
37
5

47%
42
10

46%
47
7

57%
32
11

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

59%
31
10

51%
42
7

56%
37
6

45%
47
8

46%
42
12

48%
45
7

60%
34
6

39%
46
14

49%
42
9

57%
39
4

23

50. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

68%
19
14

74%
16
10

66%
17
16

74%
15
10

68%
14
18

55%
29
16

66%
22
12

71%
13
16

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

72%
15
12

56%
23
22

65%
20
15

65%
20
14

66%
20
13

74%
15
11

80%
13
7

60%
25
14

69%
19
12

75%
15
10

51. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

84%
12
4

92%
4
4

87%
8
5

94%
4
1

87%
8
5

62%
30
8

80%
16
4

89%
5
6

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

83%
11
5

69%
23
8

77%
16
8

84%
12
4

87%
10
2

86%
9
5

93%
5
2

76%
21
3

86%
8
6

88%
10
2

52. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

42%
52
6

46%
44
9

37%
56
7

42%
50
8

52%
42
6

29%
68
3

45%
50
5

35%
56
9

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

34%
59
8

30%
70
-

34%
57
9

46%
49
6

47%
47
6

39%
53
8

52%
35
13

37%
56
8

39%
56
5

50%
47
4

24

53. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

58%
23
19

62%
17
21

57%
19
24

62%
20
18

64%
14
22

45%
36
19

56%
26
18

62%
17
22

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

63%
18
19

46%
28
26

64%
23
13

56%
25
19

59%
22
19

62%
23
15

69%
15
16

53%
31
16

58%
19
23

61%
21
18

54. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

67%
23
10

87%
7
5

75%
14
11

86%
8
7

70%
20
9

34%
50
16

69%
24
7

65%
21
15

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

63%
25
12

57%
33
10

64%
28
8

70%
22
9

63%
26
11

73%
17
9

77%
15
9

64%
23
12

67%
22
10

70%
24
6

25

55. Thinking about the Republican nominee


most important to you: Someone who shares
of people like you, has strong leadership
right kind of experience, or has the best

for president in 2016, which of the following is


your values, cares about the needs and problems
qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the
chance of winning?

LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................


Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA

Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA

28%
9
19
23
5
13
3

38%
6
16
29
2
8
2

35%
9
18
24
4
8
3

35%
8
16
23
2
12
3

23%
6
25
21
4
16
5

22%
14
15
25
10
10
2

29%
7
19
23
5
12
4

27%
12
18
24
4
14
2

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

25%
6
23
21
6
16
3

42%
13
9
22
4
9
1

26%
14
9
28
6
13
4

30%
10
16
24
4
11
4

29%
8
20
23
5
12
2

22%
9
21
25
6
14
4

17%
6
27
22
4
18
6

30%
9
19
26
4
8
4

26%
7
21
23
6
14
4

34%
8
20
17
4
17
-

56. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has
served as a Governor of a state, someone who has served in the U.S. Senate or House of
Representatives, or someone who has never held an elected office?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Governor
U.S. Senate/House
Never held office
DK/NA

Governor
U.S. Senate/House
Never held office
DK/NA

38%
15
34
13

33%
9
41
17

32%
16
36
16

35%
13
35
16

36%
15
38
12

45%
19
28
9

38%
12
38
12

37%
20
28
15

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...


<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K

52%
12
23
14

28%
32
28
12

30%
17
40
12

30%
16
40
13

40%
12
39
9

44%
9
33
14

39%
6
39
16

33%
19
29
19

40%
16
35
10

49%
10
30
11

26

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