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Comentarios
El Congreso de los EE.UU. aprobó ayer la ley sobre el sistema de Seguridad Social de Obama, y el USD se reforzó. El EURUSD casi alcanzó el nivel clave de 1,35. Los
bonos de los EE.UU. cayeron ligeramente, pero nada importante. La ley ha influido en los precios.
La renta variable asiática ha caído por la preocupación de que la política monetaria se va a endurecer para combatir la inflación. India está subiendo los tipos por
primera vez en 2 años.
Hoy no hay muchos datos, pero creemos que el sentimiento derrotista puede expandirse por la sesión europea; aún así, deberíamos tomarlo como una oportunidad de
compra.
Publicaciones de ganancias
País Hora (GMT) Nombre GPA prevista GPA anterior Comentario
(G(GMT)(GMT)
Informe Diario de Mercado
2.5
120
100
1.5
1
80
0.5
60
0
-0.5
40
14-okt 14-dec 14-feb 14-apr 14-jun 14-aug 14-okt 14-dec 14-feb
24-02-2009 24-04-2009 24-06-2009 24-08-2009 24-10-2009 24-12-2009
US Breakeven 10 Year Saxo CDS Index
USD breakeven 10 Year – an expression for measuring Credit Default Swaps are expressions for the
inflation expectations. perceived default risk in a company. Now at 51.
AAA and BAA Corporate Bonds vs. 30yr US Treasuries
EURUSD Opt. Vol.
35 7
30 6
25 5
20 4
15 3
2
10
1
5
0
0
jul-08 okt-08 jan-09 apr-09 jul-09 okt-09 jan-10
02-08 04-08 06-08 08-08 10-08 12-08 02-09 04-09 06-09 08-09 10-09 12-09 02-10
EUR-USD OPT VOL 1W EUR-USD OPT VOL 1M EUR-USD OPT VOL 1Y Moody BAA - US Generic Govt 30 Year Yield Moody AAA - US Generic Govt 30 Year Yield
Volatility at different time horizons. Too low, now? Spreads are easing, but still showing tight
corporate debt markets.
CEE-German Govt. Bond Spreads CBOE SPX VOLATILITY INDEX
8 35
7 30
6
25
5
20
4
15
3
10
2
5
1
0
0
aug-09 sep-09 okt-09 nov-09 dec-09 jan-10 feb-10
apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09 okt-09 nov-09 dec-09 jan-10
CBOE SPX VOLATILITY INDX
GDMA Hungarian - German Czech Republic - German Poland - German
1
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