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Volume 6, Issue 10, Oct 2015, pp. 77-96, Article ID: IJCIET_06_10_007
Available online at
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=6&IType=10
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
IAEME Publication
1. INTRODUCTION
Global warming indicates an average increase in the earths temperature, which in
turn results in climate change. Average temperature of earth is about 590F (150C).
During the last century, the average temperature has risen by about 10F. By 2100, it is
believed that the temperature rise would be between 2.5 and 100F. Rise in temperature
will cause dramatic changes such as rise in sea level, changes in rainfall patterns, wide
range of impacts on plants, wildlife and humans.
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There are many research / studies going on in India and aboard around the ground
water depletion, as per the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)
Satellites data of NASA, at an average rate of 4 cm a year is being depleted in northwestern India, this works out to be 18 cu.km of water a year. Over a period of 6 years
of study indicates that the depletion was 109 cu.km
The lowering of ground water level force the community/farmers to go for deeper
aquifer to meet their fresh water needs for drinking and agriculture. The farmers
spent a huge sum to find a deep source and while go for deep aquifer, they encounter
many water quality issues as well. Presence of excess chemicals /minerals higher
than the prescribed limit by World Health Organization (WHO) /Government make
the water unfit for drinking and use for agriculture. The WHO data shows that over
exploitation of ground water necessitate to go for deeper aquifers, result a major water
quality issues such as Arsenic, Fluoride etc., over 13 million people in 4 states in
India are at risk due to arsenic contamination and 66 million people in 17 states in
India are at risk due to Fluoride contamination. The table 2 lists various water quality
issues prevailing in India.
Table 2 Water quality issues in India
Water Quality Problem
Fluoride
Arsenic
Iron
Nitrate
Brackishness
Remarks
The population at risk is estimated to be around 66 million
in 17 states
The population at risk is estimated to be more than 13 million in 4
states
Around 1.5 lacks habitations spread over 16 states in the country are
found to be affected
Nitrate is emerging as a major problem in the States of
Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Uttar
Pradesh
A major problem in parts of the States of Gujarat,
Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Orissa, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil
Nadu, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh
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The rise in temperature and precipitation will result in many outbreaks of diseases.
Also, increate in temperature will force the living organism to shift or move and also
extinct. The figure 4 depicts the increase and decrease Annual Mean Temperature
across the country for a period of 60 years from 1951 to 2010.
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Also, analysis of for the past 100 years average rainfall data of India, especially
three and five years moving average reveals that there is mild shift the quantum of
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rainfall received and in the one decade, the data is almost equal to average annual
rainfall and number of rainy years over the average is reducing compared to the past
(Figure 8). The data from 1916 to 1964 and 1965 to 2000 indicates that number of
rainy year over the national average is reduced in the later segment. It is a clear
indication that there is change in the rainfall patter in India. The same is confirmed
the analysis and annual rainfall trend released by IMD for a period of 60 years from
1951 to 2010.
100 Years Rainfall and Moving Average Trend
1600
1400
Rainfall in mm
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
1901
1904
1907
1910
1913
1916
1919
1922
1925
1928
1931
1934
1937
1940
1943
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
Annual Rainfall
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2.4. Health
The change in climate threatens health and well-being of human being in multiple
ways, including through more extreme weather events, wildfires and decreased air
quality, diseases transmitted by insects, food and water. Climate change impacts on
human health can be divided into direct and indirect effects. The extreme events such
as droughts, flood, heat waves, wind storms, might case direct health issues and
indirect effects may arise from the disruption of natural systems, causing infectious
disease, malnutrition, food and water borne illness, and increased air pollution.
Increases in heat waves will increase the number of deaths and illnesses occurring
from heat stress, heatstroke, cardiovascular disease and kidney disease. Increases in
temperature and rainfall are expected to contribute to increased outbreaks of cholera,
diarrhoea, salmonella, campylobacter, enteric infections, and rotavirus.
Climate change would aggravate over the next few decades include heat stress,
vector borne diseases (such as malaria, dengue fever and yellow fever); extreme
weather events; air pollution; communicable diseases (such as HIV/AIDS, TB and
cholera) and non-communicable diseases (such as cardio-vascular and respiratory
diseases). Climate change could also have deleterious effects on mental and
occupational health, and its adverse impacts would be worsened by food insecurity,
hunger and malnutrition.
Sea level rise is already putting low-lying coastal populations at risk, and intense
rainfall events are projected to increase with climate change. This increases the risk of
flooding, which can introduce chemicals, pesticides, and heavy metals into water
systems and increase the risk of water-borne disease outbreak. Droughts, which are
expected to become more common, can destroy crops and grazing land, reduce the
quantity and quality of water resources, and increase risk of fire.
As per IPCC report, these impacts of climate change on human health and social
wellbeing are varied and occur through many different pathways. Among the key
risks are:
Death, injury, ill-health or disrupted livelihoods in low-lying coastal zones and island
states
Breakdown of infrastructure networks and critical services such as electricity, water
supply, and health and emergency services
Higher mortality and morbidity during periods of extreme heat and
Food insecurity and the breakdown of food systems, particularly for poorer
populations.
Some the above mentioned extreme weather related health issues can be
summarized in table 6.
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Drought
Fire
Burns and smoke
inhalation
Soil erosion and increased
risks of land slides
Increased mortality and
morbidity
Increased risk of hospital
and emergency
admissions
2.5. Forest
Forests play a critical role in maintaining a varied range of delicate relationships with
nature and its ecosystems. Forests are highly sensitive to climate change. Climate is
one of the most important determinants of vegetation patterns globally and thus
climate change can significantly alter the distribution, structure and ecology of
forests. Forest type distribution, carbon stocks or emissions and climate change are
interlinked processes. Impacts on the wellbeing of forests likely to be caused by
climate change will therefore have a dramatic effect. According to the latest
projections by UNEP (2015), changes in climate will mean that by 2050 the worlds
ecosystems, including its all-important forests, will be releasing more carbon than
they are capable of absorbing. Increase in temperatures might force many living
organisms to migrate to cooler areas, while new organisms arrive. Such movements
involve all species, including plants. Various studies have noted that a number of bird,
tree, scrub and herb species have migrated by an average of six kilometres every ten
years, or have sought higher altitudes of between one and four metres (Parmesan et
al.,2003).
The present environmental situation is heavily inuenced by climate change and it
could lead to a massive destruction of forests and the extinction of countless species.
For example, modeling focusing on the Amazon region has indicated that 43 per cent
of 193 representative plant species could become non-viable by the year 2095 due to
the fact that changes in climate will have fundamentally altered the composition of
species habitats (UNEP/Miles et al. 2004).
Changes in the growth and regeneration capacity of many tree species can be
possible, even a mild increases of as little as 1C in mean annual air temperature.
This mild increase in air temperature can significantly alter the function and
composition of forests and also possibly can cause forest cover to disappear
completely. Since the forest is water dependent, either the extreme drought or water
logging will force the forest cover decline. The changes in the temperature and
rainfall might influence the change in soil water availability; as a result tropical
forests existence and survival become an issue. Decreases in soil moisture may
accelerate forest loss in many areas where water availability is already marginal. In
other areas, increasing precipitation may be more than adequate to meet increased
evaporative demand and may even lead to erosion.
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As per EPA, one of the most obvious effects of climate change on human made
structures is sea level rise, which causes destruction through erosion and the intrusion
of salt water into the water table. According to the IPCC (2001) and (Church et al.,
2001), it is very likely that warming will contribute signicantly to future sea level
rise, through thermal expansion of sea water and widespread loss of land ice. Human
habitat could be affected signicantly, as nearly 20 per cent of the worlds population
lives within 30 km of the sea, and approximately 40 per cent live within 100 km of the
coast (Cohen et al., 1997 and Gommeset al., 1998). As indicated by Nurse et al.
(2001), low-lying coastal regions and islands in particular are the most vulnerable to
rising seas. The problem may be even more severe in the future as coastal populations
worldwide expand. The major effects of a rise in sea level are the loss of land due to
inundation and erosion, increased ooding during storm surges and rainstorms, and
the intrusion of saltwater into aquifers, estuaries and wetlands (Tituset al., 1993).
Coastal ecosystems are of vital socio-economic and ecological importance to humans.
A 1997 study estimated the total value of ecosystem services provided by coastal
marine habitats to be in excess of 14 trillion U.S. dollars per year: over 40% of the
worlds total (Robert et al., (1997). Therefore, understanding the future of coastal
ecosystems has major implications for human society.
2.7. Biodiversity
Biological diversity deals with the degree of natures variety in the biosphere.
Biological diversity or biodiversity, encompasses the variety of all life on earth.
Biodiversity manifests itself at three levels: Species diversity which refers to the
numbers and kinds of living organisms. Genetic diversity refers to genetic variation
within species and ecosystem diversity which denotes the variety of habitats,
biological communities and ecological processes (MoE&F, GoI). During the last
century, population growth, market pressures and new technological development in
agriculture have influenced the pattern of agricultural development tending towards
agriculture intensification, (i.e. increasing scales of monoculture production, intensive
mechanical tillage, irrigation and the use of synthetic fertilizer, pest control agents and
a restricted diversity of crop and livestock varieties), often leading to natural
resources degradation. Biodiversity losses can be attributed to the resource demands
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3. SUMMARY
It is evident that impacts of climate change are cutting across all major sectors,
especially agriculture, water resource, health, forest, coastal ecosystem and
biodiversity. Also, the review of existing climate change related studies, literature,
future projection, mitigation, adaptive techniques are indicating that the existing facts
and figures are still limited and these learning cannot be applied universally, in order
to plan a realistic adaptive measures to cope with the changing climate, location and
issue based in depth studies are essential. Also, it is very clear that out of all sectors,
agriculture going to be affected very severally, especially preparing small and
marginal farmers to undertake a realistic adaptive measure is very critical in order to
keep them active in the business of agriculture to ensure food security of the global
population.
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