Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
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Manila Observatory
Ateneo de Manila University Campus
Loyola Heights, Katipunan Rd.
1101 Quezon City, MM
Philippines
Ayala Foundation Inc.
10th Floor, Ayala Wing
BPI Building
6768 Ayala Ave. cor. Paseo de Roxas
Makati City, MM
Philippines
This publication was made possible through funding support provided by the Ayala Foundation, Inc. (AFI).
The opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect views of the AFI nor the Municipality of Baclayon,
Bohol.
ISBN:
Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet their own needs. - Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC)
Foreword
This handheld tool represents a disaster risk and vulnerability decision-support system for Baclayon Municipality in
the island of Bohol. It is a result of local stakeholders seeking alternative futures for their historic community. In
response to their appreciation of the vulnerability of their municipality to physical and socio-economic pressures,
Baclayons Local Government Unit began to weigh its development options and found a staunch partner in the
Ayala Foundation Inc., who sought to assist in conserving built heritage, preserving rich marine ecosystems and
diversifying livelihoods. The Ayala Foundation, under the leadership Ms. Bea Zobel de Ayala, Mr. Joel Uichico,
and their network of community and civil society partners have remained a significant driving force towards the
sustainable development of Baclayon. In mid 2008 Ayala Foundation partnered with the Manila Observatory to
produce the Sustainable Development Guidebook for Baclayon, Bohol to complement the efforts of the local
government unit towards adequate environmental governance.
This Handbook provides a qualitative rating system which considers present and probable future conditions
surrounding Baclayons development. This system consists of four categories of interrelated factors, namely:
Climate, Land, Marine and Socio-Economic, when considered together can approximate risk. It aids its users in
evaluating development plans to optimize gains and ensure sustainability, but does not prescribe development
options or offer solutions.
CLIMATE
Climate
Factors
Warmer months are from April to October with temperature from 27C
or higher. November temperature starts to go down with February
coolest. Temperature ranges from 25.5 C (February) to 28 C in May.
Projections indicate a progressive rise in temperature in the next 50
years.
Some impacts of increased temperature are:
Greater demand for water
More algal blooms
Increased exposure to mosquito and water-borne
illnesses
Has possible temperature change been considered?
Have the impacts of potential increasing temperatures been
considered?
Would project activities/ plans withstand increasing
temperatures?
Climate
Factors
Climate
3. Extreme Events
Factors
Dry Land
Inquirer News Service, Philippine Daily
Inquirer, 2003 (Edwin Bacasmas)
Drought
A period of dry weather, esp. a long one that is injurious to crops.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Drought)
Drought
Inquirer News Service, Philippine Daily
Inquirer, 1997
Climate
Factors
Typhoon
A cyclone that originates over a tropical ocean area and can develop into
the destructive storm known in the western Pacific region as a typhoon.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Tropical%20Cyclone)
10
Climate
Factors
El Nio/ La Nia
El Nio
A warm ocean current of variable intensity that develops after late December
along the coast of Ecuador and Peru and sometimes causes catastrophic
weather conditions.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/El%20Ni%C3%B1o)
La Nia
A cooling of the ocean surface off the western coast of South America,
occurring periodically every 4 to 12 years and affecting Pacific and other
weather patterns.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/La%20Ni%C3%B1a)
Fig.7
11
Climate
Flooding
Factors
Flooding in Iloilo during Typhoon Frank
Christian Aid UK, 2008
12
Climate
Storm Surge
Factors
Exposed Talisay Roots in Pamilacan Island
MO Project Team (Emmi B. Capili), 2009
13
Climate
Factors
A 1-m SLR will enhance erosion potential, inundate low-lying areas along
the shore and may completely inundate Pamilacan. According to IPCC
findings, SLR will gradually increase from .3 to .65m between now and
2100.
Other impacts of future SLR are as follows:
Salinization of fresh and salt water for agriculture and human use
Migration
Damage to infrastructure
Coastal erosion (tens to hundreds of times the rate of sea-level rise)
Increasing sea levels + potential increases in the number of intense
tropical cyclones = increase risk of major flooding events and loss of life
in the future
Has the possibility of future Sea Level Rise been considered?
Have potential impacts of SLR been considered?
Have solutions been sought to address potential impacts of SLR ?
Will plans/ activities withstand the effects of future SLR?
14
LAND
15
Land
Factors
1. Geology
Geology
The science that deals with the dynamics and physical history of the
earth, the rocks of which it is composed, and the physical, chemical, and
biological changes that the earth has undergone or is undergoing.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Geology)
16
Land
Factors
2. Elevation/ Slope
Elevation
The altitude of a place above sea level or ground level.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Elevation)
Slope
Ground that has a natural incline, as the side of a hill.
Inclination or slant, esp. Downward or upward.
(Source : http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Slope)
17
Land
Factors
3. Soil Chemistry
Soil
A particular kind of earth.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Soil)
Chemistry
The slopes of Pamilacan are rocky while the lower coastal plain
is sandy with a lot of coral sediments, so the island not very
suitable for extensive agriculture.
18
Land
Factors
4. Hydrology/ Drainage
Drainage
The act or process of draining.
A system of drains, artificial or natural.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Drainage)
Hydrology
The science dealing with the occurrence, circulation, distribution, and
properties of the waters of the earth and its atmosphere.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Hydrology)
19
Land
Factors
4. Hydrology/ Drainage Contd
Have site drainage and hydrology been considered?
Will plans/ activities impact drainage and hydrology
positively?
Have alternatives been considered to improve water supply,
such as rainwater harvesting and reforestation?
Have projections on water demand been studied and
applied?
20
Land
Factors
5. Biodiversity
Biodiversity
Diversity among and within plant and animal species in an environment.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Biodiversity)
21
MARINE
22
Marine
Factors
1. Marine Geology/ Bathymetry
Marine Geology
The branch of geology dealing with the rocks, sediments, and processes
of the floors and margins of the oceans.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Marine%20Geology)
Bathymetry
The measurement of the depths of oceans, seas, or other large bodies
of water.
The data derived from such measurement, esp. as compiled in a
topographic map.
(Source : http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Bathymetry)
23
Marine
Factors
3. Spatial Distribution
It is important to note the spatial distribution of marine resources to
ensure that these are not compromised by development and that
interventions are consistent with resource conservation and
management.
Will marine ecosystems and/ or marine protected areas be
protected from the impacts of human encroachment?
24
Marine
Factors
4. Biodiversity
Biodiversity
Diversity among and within plant and animal species in an environment.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Biodiversity)
25
Marine
Factors
5. Water Chemistry
The science that deals with the composition and properties of substances
and various elementary forms of matter [in water].
(Source : http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Chemistry)
Pollution
The introduction of harmful substances or products into the environment.
Pamilacan Island
M O Project Team (Emmi B. Capili), 2009
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Pollution)
26
Marine
Factors
Red Tide
Occurs when algae, simple plants that live in the sea,
produce toxic or harmful effects on people, fish, shellfish,
marine mammals, and birds.
(Source: NOAA)
Shellfish
Eatingasia.typepad.com//2007/02/index.html
27
Marine
Factors
Ocean Acidification
Takes place when carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere is absorbed by
oceans resulting in more acidic waters. The corrosive nature of acidic ocean
waters decreases the ability of many marine organisms to build their shells
and skeletal structure. More CO2 in warming oceans may also slowdown the
overall growth of marine organisms, slowdown reproduction and thus reduce
abundance. It can also suppress reef formation and production.
Field studies suggest that impacts of acidification on some major marine
resources may already be detectable, and naturally high-CO2 marine
environments exhibit major shifts in marine ecosystems following trends
expected from laboratory experiments.
(Source: UNESCO Symposium 2004 The Ocean in a High CO2 World )
Source: http://www.sciencedaily.com/
Marine
Factors
Coral Bleaching
Warming waters, heavy rains flooding the reef, pollution or improper fishing
practices can put stress on coral reefs and interrupt necessary processes
required for food production resulting in bleaching.
(Source: www.science.org.au/nova/076/076key.htm)
Coral reefs provide habitats and shelter for many organisms and are the
source of nitrogen and other nutrients essential for the food chain. Hundreds
of thousands of marine species live in coral reefs.
(Source: www.science.org.au/nova/076/076key.htm)
The Philippines is one of the worlds richest marine biodiversities and has 400
different species of corals. These are threatened by global warming because
corals have a limited tolerance to changes in temperature and do not recover
easily once they experience bleaching.
(Source: Greenpeace)
Source:
news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/
7709103.stm
29
SOCIO-ECONOMIC
PROFILES
30
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
1. Demography
The science of vital and social statistics, as of the births, deaths, diseases,
marriages, etc., of populations.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Demography)
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
Do local adaptation and risk reduction strategies already
exist?
32
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
Income
The monetary payment received for goods or services, or from other sources,
as rents or investments.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Income)
Education
33
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
Livelihood: Agriculture and Fisheries
A means of supporting one's existence, esp. financially or
vocationally; living.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Livelihood)
Agriculture
The science, art, or occupation concerned with cultivating
land, raising crops, and feeding, breeding, and raising
livestock; farming.
The production of crops, livestock, or poultry.
Farming in Baclayon
MO Project Team (Joan M. Reotita), 2009
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Agriculture)
Fisheries
The occupation or industry of catching, processing, or
selling fish or shellfish.
(Source : http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Fisheries)
34
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
3. Heritage and Culture
The behaviors and beliefs characteristic of a particular social, ethnic, or age
group.
(Source: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Culture)
Socio-Economic Profiles
Factors
4. Ecotourism
Tourism to places having unspoiled natural resources, with minimal impact
on the environment being a primary concern.
(Source : http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/Ecotourism)
Project Name:
Total Tally
+
CLIMATE
MARINE
Temperature
Rainfall
Spatial Distribution
Extreme Events
Biodiversity
Water Chemistry
Drought
Typhoon
Wastewater Discharge
El Nio/ La Nia
Pollution
Flooding
Red Tide
Storm Surge
Ocean Acidification
Coral Bleaching
Sub-Total
Sub-Total
LAND
SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROFILES
Geology
Demography
Elevation/ Slope
Soil
Hydrology/ Drainage
Biodiversity
Ecotourism
Sub-Total
Livelihood
Sub-Total
38
SAMPLE
CLIMATE
2
Rainfall
Extreme Events
Drought
Typhoon
El Nio/ La Nia
Flooding
Storm Surge
MARINE
Temperature
Spatial Distribution
Biodiversity
Water Chemistry
Red Tide
Ocean Acidification
Coral Bleaching
4
4
4
4
3
4
Sub-Total
22
LAND
Sub-Total
14
Demography
SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROFILES
Geology
Elevation/ Slope
Soil
Hydrology/ Drainage
Biodiversity
Sub-Total
13
Livelihood
Ecotourism
Sub-Total
18
5
39
Notes
1. This Handbook is part of 2 volumes comprising the SD Guidebook for Baclayon, Bohol. The complete
findings of this scientific research project may be found in the SD Technical Report.
2. To facilitate understanding, an attempt was made to utilize open source and non-technical definitions
for scientific terms; the technical explanations and definitions for these terms are contained in the SD
Guidebook Glossary annexed to the Technical Report.
40
CLIMATE
Temperature
Rainfall
Page No.
MARINE
Extreme Events
LAND
18
Spatial Distribution
24
Biodiversity
Drought
5, 27
Water Chemistry
Typhoon
7, 29
El Nio/ La Nia
51, 55
Red Tide
Flooding
4, 27
Ocean Acidification
Storm Surge
7, 29
Coral Bleaching
30, 31
Geology
10, 13
Elevation/ Slope
10, 13
Soil
13, 21
Livelihood
SOCIOECONOMIC
Demography
Hydrology/ Drainage
19
Biodiversity
Ecotourism
1, 33
54, 55, 59
41
Acknowledgments
We would like to acknowledge the following institutions and individuals for their valuable contributions.
A. Alvin J. Uy, Mayor of Baclayon
Joy Arado and Arnulfo C. Mangyao, Mayors Office
Marilyn R. Uy, Vice-Mayor of Baclayon
Baclayon Sanggunniang Bayan
Marvin Apale, Baclayon MPDO
Bezo Recreational and Aquatic Activities for Bohol (BRAABO)
Ruth T. Siringan
Celina Y. Loyzaga
42
Project Team
Ayala Foundation Incorporated
Beatriz Zobel Jr.
Joel Uichico
Guillermo Luz
Ma. Paz Baylon
Edgar Baylon
Ces Nazareno
Manila Observatory
Antonia Y. Loyzaga Executive Director, Manila Observatory
Rosa T. Perez, PhD Team Leader
May Celine T.M. Vicente, PhD - Co-Investigator, Risk Mapping
Gemma T. N. Narisma, PhD - Co-Investigator, Climate Analysis
Fernando P. Siringan, PhD - Co-Investigator, Geophysical and Coastal Geology
Emmi B. Capili Project Research Assistant
Joel de Mesa Geomatics Specialist
Deborah B. Tolentino Communications
Joan M. Reotita and Riovie D. Ramos, Field Assistants
Resource Persons
Renato Solidum Director, PHIVOLCS
Leah P. Castro - Economist
43
Figure
Caption
Page No.
Temperature Profile for Bohol. The trends indicate hotter summer months from April to May. The temperatures from April to October range from
27C or higher. By November, the temperature starts to go down with February coolest. From February to May, the temperature ranges from 25.5C
to 28C. The data was taken from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia and processed by the Manila Observatory Regional Climate Systems.
Temperature Projections for Bohol. The projections indicate a progressive rise in temperature in the next 50 years. The data was taken from the
Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and processed by the Manila Observatory - Regional Climate Systems.
Rainfall Profile for Bohol. Based on data from 1961-1990, rainfall is more pronounced from October to December, with highest monthly average of
193 mm in November. The recorded rainfall from February to May is relatively low at 72 mm. The annual average rainfall is 1,229 mm. The data
was taken from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia and processed by the Manila Observatory - Regional Climate
Systems.
Rainfall Projections for Bohol. The rainfall projections show a progressive decrease in precipitation in the next 50 years. The data was taken from
the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and processed by the Manila Observatory - Regional Climate Systems.
A. Typhoon Nida churning in the waters 414 miles east-southeast of Manila. The image was taken on May 17, 2004 by the Moderate Resolution
Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) onboard NASAs Aqua Satellite (http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/view_rec.php?id=6746). B. Hundreds of people are
feared dead in the eastern Philippines, after a powerful typhoon hit the country. C. Rescuers are finding it difficult to reach isolated villages as many
roads are inaccessible. Photos courtesy of BBC News (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/6199318.stm).
Typhoon Trends in the Western Pacific (1945-2003). The number of tropical cyclones appearing in the Western Pacific has been increasing. In the
Philippines, the rise in typhoon crossings is most pronounced over Visayas. The analysis was done by Dr. Emmanuel G. Anglo.
Rice Vulnerability to El Nino. The province of Bohol is classified as high risk when it comes to El Nino based on the map generated by the Manila
Observatory in partnership with the Department of Environment and Natural Resources.
10
Areas at Risk to 1m Sea Level Rise in Mainland, Baclayon, Bohol. The areas along the coast are most vulnerable to 1m sea level rise in mainland
Baclayon.
13
Areas at Risk to 1m Sea Level Rise in Pamilacan Island, Baclayon, Bohol. The entire island is vulnerable to 1m sea level rise.
13
10
Bathymetry Profile of Pamilacan Island, Baclayon, Bohol. The bathymetry profile was generated using datum taken at Mean Low Low Tide. The
steep flanks on the Northwest and Southwest sides of the island are probably fault controlled.
23
11
31
12
33
13
Built Heritage Map for Pamilacan Island, Baclayon (map courtesy of Holy Name University).
44
36
Title
Credits
Page No.
Dry Land
Drought
11
11
12
12
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
19
20
45
Title
Credits
Page No.
20
23
24
24
25
25
Pamilacan Island
26
26
27
Shellfish
Eatingasia.typepad.com//2007/02/index.html
27
Underwater Life
http://www.sciencedaily.com/
28
29
News.bbc.co.uk/2hi/science/nature/7709103.stm
29
31
32
33
46
Title
Credits
Page No.
Farming in Baclayon
34
34
35
Baclayon Church
36
37
37
47
Manila Observatory
The Manila Observatory is a private non-stock, non-profit, scientific research institution that was established in 1865 by the Jesuit
mission in the Philippines. With Federico Faura at its inception, it was engaged in the systematic observation of Philippine weather. It
began serving typhoon warnings in 1879, and embarked on earthquake observations in 1880. In 1884, The Spanish government issued
a royal decree formally recognizing the Manila Observatory as the official Philippine institution for weather forecasting.
At the turn of the 21st century, the Observatory finds itself at the nexus of global concerns for environment and development. With
its tradition of excellence and service in scientific research, the Observatory envisions itself as a vital partner in these critically global
yet locally relevant concerns. Through its present research programs, the Observatory now actively confronts these new challenges
through a science that must inform and guide the shaping of a safe and sustainable future for humankind.
48