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Market Report

Northern Virginia | 3rd Quarter 2015

cushmanwakefield.com

Contents

DC Metropolitan Area Oveview...............................................................................3


Northern Virginia & Map........................................................................................4-6
Alexandria.........................................................................................................................7
Arlington...........................................................................................................................8
Tysons Corner................................................................................................................9
Reston/Herndon................... .......................................................................................10
50/66.................................................................................................................................11
Springfriend/Newington............................................................................................12
Route 28 South..............................................................................................................13
Loudoun County...........................................................................................................14
Appendix..........................................................................................................................15
Tables..........................................................................................................................15-24
Methodology & Definitions......................................................................................25
About Cushman & Wakefield.................................................................................26

Cushman & Wakefield | 2

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area

Necessary fiscal clarity coming from the federal government


added to the growing optimism throughout the region. After
nearly six years without a budget, the feds stepped up in
late 2014 with a one year budget that increased spending for
key federal agencies including the Department of Defense
and vital agencies within the Health and Human Services
Department. The passage of this budget was an inflection
point that reversed the tide of negative office-using job
growth of 2014 and led to the robust job growth that we are
currently experiencing. As of the end of the third quarter
of 2015, a follow-on two year budget has been passed that
will offer the regions largest employers a roadmap of fiscal
policy for the near term. This increases federal budget
authority by $80 billion over the caps imposed by budget
sequestration that initially hit the market in 2013. This
additional spending will be evenly split between defense and
domestic programs and will avert a debt ceiling debate and
government shutdown through September 2017. As was the
case with the budget that passed in late 2014, this two year
bill will offer fiscal clarity that will give the regions largest
employers the ability to make sound business decisions
including the acquisition of talent and the procurement of
real estate.
The regional vacancy rate for the office sector ticked
downward from 16.1% to 16.0% in the third quarter. This is
the second consecutive quarter of falling vacancy that has
followed 15 straight quarters of flat or rising vacancy. Net
absorption for quarter stands at 459,158 square feet (sf) which
brings the year-to-date total to 1.095 million sf. 5.3 million sf
is currently under construction. New and repositioned office
product continues to outperform the market as a whole
and the possibility of speculative construction in various
submarkets remains a possibility. Tenant concessions in
the marketplace remain at a highpoint. Look to when these
concessions start to tick down as the sign that leverage is
shifting back to the landlords favor.

Economic Indicators
Q3 14

Q3 15

DC Metro Employment

3.12M

3.18M

DC Metro Unemployment

4.9%

4.4%

U.S. Unemployment

6.1%

5.3%

Q3 14

Q3 15

Overall Vacancy

15.9%

16.0%

Net Absorption

-590k

460k

Under Construction

4.5M

5.3M

Deliveries

865k

1.2M

$35.83

$35.03

12-Month
Forecast

Market Indicators

Average Asking Rent (FS)

12-Month
Forecast

Net Absorption/Asking Rent


4Q TRAILING AVERAGE
2.0

$38.00
$37.00

1.0

$36.00
$35.00

0.0

$34.00
$33.00

-1.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Net Absorption, MSF

2015

$32.00

Asking Rent, $ PSF

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area


NET ABSORPTION - DELIVERIES - VACANCY

12
16%

10
8

12%

6
4

8%

2
0

Vacancy Rate

The Washington, D.C. Metropolitan regions economic


comeback has continued through the third quarter of 2015.
The unemployment rate has consistently declined, falling
to 4.4% in the third quarter compared to 4.9% in the third
quarter of 2014. Job growth throughout the region also
continues to be robust with 62,800 more jobs in September
of 2015, year-over-year, and easily exceeds the ten year
average of 35,000 jobs. Office-using employment has
added 20,800 jobs with the high-paying Professional and
Business Service sector leading the way with 20,500 new
positions.

WASHINGTON, DC METRO

MSF

Two Years of Clarity Ahead for the


Washington, D.C. Metropolitan Region

4%

-2
-4

05

06

07

08

Net Absorption

09

10

11

Deliveries

12

13

14

Vacancy Rate

YTD
15

0%

cushmanwakefield.com | 3

Northern Virginia
Economy
The Washington, D.C. Metropolitan regional economy continued to
gain momentum in the third quarter of 2015. The unemployment rate
for the region stood at 4.3% as of August 2015, with year-over-year
total nonfarm job growth totaling 64,000 positions. It is evident that
the region will handily surpass the historical average employment
creation of 30,000 net new jobs annually. In Northern Virginia (NoVA),
it is clear that the economic slowdown of 2014 that resulted from the
onset of sequestration has now passed. The unemployment rate for
Alexandria, Arlington, Fairfax and Loudoun Counties all ended the
third quarter of 2015 below 4.0%, with job growth surpassing 35,000
net new nonfarm positions compared to this same time last year. By
sector, the largest employment gains were seen in Education and
Healthcare and the Leisure and Hospitality industries. There was also
stronger activity in the Professional and Business Services (PBS)
sector. PBS the largest, highest paying, and most office-intensive
sector in the region added over 6,000 positions to Northern Virginia
payrolls in August 2015 month-over-year, with concentrated growth
in management-level and technical consulting subsectors.

Market Overview
The stronger job growth witnessed in the NoVA market contributed
to 97,400 sf of net absorption in the third quarter of 2015 bringing
the year-to-date total for the market to 270,000 sf. Vacancy
dropped another 0.2 percentage points (pp) to 18.6% at the end
of the third quarter, and is down 0.4 pp from the start of the year.
Federal leasing by the General Services Administration (GSA) has
picked up this quarter after little to no activity throughout the first
half of the year. The leasing arm for the government relocated the
Transportation Safety Administration (TSA) into 606,900 sf at
5001 Eisenhower Avenue, renewed the Department of Homeland
Security in place for 120,400 sf at 1110 North Glebe Road, and
renewed the U.S. Patent and Trademark office for 54,300 sf at 2051
Jamieson Avenue.
Outside of GSA activity, government contractor Calibre Systems
signed a renewal for 72,400 sf in Springfield, WGL Energy Services
signed for 51,200 sf in Tysons Corner, and accounting firm EY
signed for 123,900 sf in Tysons Corner, as well. EY will be the anchor
tenant at 1775 Tysons Boulevard which is expected to deliver in the
first quarter of 2016. Both new and high quality existing spaces
continue to outperform the suburban markets as a whole.
Looking forward, the onslaught of major consolidations within
Northern Virginias government contractor community in the wake
of sequestration appears to be nearing its end with only a few
contractors out of Tysons Corner, Merrifield, and Fairfax Center
currently in the market with headquarters-level requirements. Still,
it remains to be seen whether recent shakeups in senior leadership
in the House of Representatives will put a damper on the two year
budget currently being negotiated one whose passage would
add much needed clarity to the Northern Virginia regions largest
employers.

Market Indicators
Overall Vacancy

Q3 14

Q3 15

18.4%

18.6%

Net Absorption

(35K)

97K

Under Construction

1.9M

1.9M

Deliveries
Average Asking Rent

1.2M

308K

$31.73

$31.50

12-Month
Forecast

Net Absorption/Asking Rent


4Q TRAILING AVERAGE
1.2

$34.00

$33.00

0.8

$32.00

0.6

$31.00

0.4

$30.00

0.2

$29.00

$28.00

-0.2

$27.00

-0.4

2010

2011

2012

2013

Net Absorption, MSF

2014

$26.00

2015

Asking Rent, $ PSF

Overall Vacancy
20%
18%

Historical Average = 16.3%

16%
14%
12%
10%
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Large Blocks of Contiguous Space


25-50k SF
Loudoun County

50-100k SF

Route 28 South

100-150k SF

Springfield/Newington

150-200k SF
200k+ SF

50/66
Reston/Herndon
Tysons Corner
Arlington
Alexandria
0

20

40

60

80

# of Blocks

Cushman & Wakefield | 4

Northern Virginia Office Submarkets


Northern Virginia Office Submarkets

LOUDOUN
LOUDOUN
PHASE II
2016

267

MARYLAND
metro

ROUTE
772

metro

ROUTE
606

metro

RESTON
RESTON

267

INNOVATION
CENTER

WASHINGTON
DULLES
INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT

PHASE I

metro

HERNDON

metro

RESTON TOWN
CENTER

metro

267

WIEHLE - RESTON
EAST
TY
UN

TY

CO

UN

CO
X

SPRING
HILL

FA

OU

WASHINGTON, DC
metro

IR

UD

123

28

Y
NT TY
OU UN
X C CO
FA N
IR TO
FA ING
L
R
A

FA

LO

DI
ST

DULLES
AIRPORT

D
AN
YL IA
AR IN
M IRG
V

metro

RI MA
RY
CT
OF LA
N
D
CO
LU
M
BI
A

HERNDON
HERNDON

LOUDOUN COUNTY

50

FAIRFAX COUNTY

GREENSBORO

metro

metro

metro

MCLEAN

TYSONS
CORNER

286

ARLINGTON COUNTY

TYSONS

metro

495

WEST FALLS
CHURCH

metro

EAST FALLS
CHURCH

VIR

66

metro
metro
metro

BALLSTON
P
ALGONKIAN

50

metro

COURT HOUSE

CLARENDON

VIRGINIA SQUARE - GMU

495

VIENNA

66

IA

ROSSLYN

R-B CORRIDOR

29

FAIRFAX CENTER

AR

28

metro
metro

DUNN LORING/
MERRIFIELD

123

ROUTE 28 SOUTH

GIN

metro

29
66

50

50

metro

PENTAGON

CRYSTAL CITY

MERRIFIELD

AY
KW

29

395

RONALD
REAGAN
WASHINGTON
NATIONAL
NATIONAL
AIRPORT
AIRPORT
metro

236

I-395 CORRIDOR
286

FAIRFAX COUN

TY

PRINCE WILLIAM C
O

POTOMAC
RIVER

metro

VAN DORN
STREET

UNTY

EISENHOWER
AVENUE

metro

KING STREET

metro

OLD TOWN
ALEXANDRIA

EISENHOWER
AVENUE
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY

95

metro

FRANCONIA/
SPRINGFIELD

SPRINGFIELD/
NEWINGTON

cushmanwakefield.com | 5

Top Transactions
Key Lease Transactions 3Q 15
PROPERTY

SF

TENANT

TRANSACTION TYPE

SUBMARKET

5001 Eisenhower Avenue

606,900

TSA

New

I-395 Corridor

1775 Tysons Boulevard

123,900

EY

Relet

Tysons Corner

1110 North Glebe Road

120,400

GSA - Department of Homeland Security

Renewal

Ballston

6354 Walker Drive

72,400

Calibre Systems

Renewal

Springfield

2501 Jamieson Avenue

54,300

US Patent and Trademark Office

Renewal

Old Town Alexandria

8614 Westwood Center Drive

51,400

WGL Energy Services

Relet

Tysons Corner

PROPERTY

SF

SELLER/BUYER

PRICE

SUBMARKET

11911 Freedom Drive

802,323

Beacon Capital Partners / Boston Properties

$400,000,000

Reston

7950 Jones Branch Drive

787,000

Gannett / Tameres Group and Ilmarinen

$270,000,000

Tysons Corner

1500 Wilson Boulevard

248,909

American Real Estate Partners / Dune Capital

$100,000,000

Rosslyn

1550 Westbranch

152,000

Corporate Office Properties Trust / Rubenstein


Partners JV Griffith Properties

$27,750,000

Tysons Corner

Key Sales Transactions 3Q 15

Northern Virginia Office Market

Northern Virginia Office Market

Net Absorption - Deliveries - Vacancy, Third Quarter 2015

Inventory and Vacancy by Submarket, Third Quarter 2015


20%

35

8%

4%
-4

04

05

06

07

08

Net Absorption

09

10

Deliveries

11

12

13

14 YTD
15
Vacancy Rate

0%

25%

30
20%

25
MSF

MSF

12%

Vacancy Rate

16%
4

30%

40

15%

20
15

10%

Vacancy Rate

10
5%

5
0

Alexandria Arlington

Tysons

Leased

Toll Road

Vacant

50/66

Springfield Route 28
South

Loudoun

0%

Vacancy Rate

Cushman & Wakefield | 6

Alexandria
Market Indicators
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
19.1%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

538,200 SF

720,000 SF

Deliveries

Asking Rent

0 SF

$31.02 FS

Between the end of 2014 and Q3 2015, Alexandrias vacancy

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

Alexandria contains one of the highest vacancy rates in Northern


area without mixed-use development. Additionally, the Old Town
submarket has one of the lowest rates due to lack of new supply
and consistent demand amongst tenants.
The I-395 Corridor submarket within Alexandria was the
epicenter of Northern Virginias largest office lease of the year

Square Feet, 000s

Virginia due to contractor move-outs and lack of interest in an

as Transportation Security Agency (TSA) signed a 15-year deal

1,800

24%

1,300

20%

800

16%

300

12%

-200

8%

-700

4%

-1,200

for 606,921 square feet (sf) at 5001 Eisenhower Avenue. This led
to a positive net absorption of 538,231 sf during the quarter, and

04

brings year-to-date absorption to a positive 321,003 sf. The TSA

05

06

07

08

Net Absorption

will be moving out of several buildings in the Pentagon City Area

09

10

11

12

Deliveries

13

14 YTD
15

Vacancy Rate

rate dropped from 20.6% to 19.1%. The I-395 Corridor within

0%

Vacancy Rate

when it occupies the entirety of the currently vacant building in


Q3 2018. This move is part of the General Service Administrations

Vacant and Available Space

commitment to cut its federal leasing footprint and consolidate

agency headquarters into one central location. In a year

characterized by contractor relocations out of the submarket and


downsizings within it, this large federal lease provides hope for

I-395 corridor. Other deals this quarter included: the US Patent &
Trademark Offices 54,300-sf renewal at 2051 Jamieson Avenue

MSF

nearby landlords that this deal will bring contractors back to the

1.6

1.5

3.9

3.8

Cherokee Avenue in I-395 Corridor, Bacon & Thomas renewal of

9,475 sf at 635 Slaters Lane in Old Town and Guardtimes new

lease of 5,033 sf at 1700 Diagonal Road, also in Old Town.

Q4 12

Q4 13

0.8

0.8

4.3

4.4

4.5

0.7

2.3
1.5

in Old Town, Marsh & McLennans 12,000-sf renewal at 5500

0.8

2.3

Q4 10

2.8

Q4 11

Vacant

In terms of development activity, the 720,000-sf future

Q4 14

Q1 15 Q2 15

4.0

Q3 15

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

headquarters of the National Science Foundation is currently


under construction and set for a 2017 delivery. No other office
buildings are currently under construction, nor do any proposed

Asking Rent

buildings appear to be moving forward at the moment.

$37

Outlook

The TSA lease award noted above is currently subject


of dispute which adds some further uncertainty to the
Alexandria market.

Full Service PSF

$35
$33
$31
$29
$27
$25

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 7

Arlington
Market Indicators
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
23.6%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

(418,300) SF

552,800 SF

Asking Rent

Deliveries

$39.69 FS

0 SF

Arlingtons vacancy rate has steadily risen over the past 5 years

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

vacancy currently stands at 22.1% and class B at 27.5%. Arlington


year-to-date. The class A average direct asking rental rate for
Arlington currently stands at $41.93 per square foot (psf), an
increase of 0.8% from a year ago. Class B remains at $37.33 psf,
a decrease of 1.2% from a year ago. Arlington, with its location on
the doorstep of DC and an abundance of Metro stops, currently
contains the highest rents in Northern Virginia.

Square Feet, 000s

reported 302,100 square feet (sf) of negative net absorption

Each of the four largest leases of Q3 were renewals: the Department

1,500

28%

1,000

24%

500

20%

16%

-500

12%

-1,000

8%

-1,500

4%

-2,000

of Defense renewed 355,000 sf at 2521 Jefferson Davis Highway

04

in Crystal City, Department of Homeland Security renewed

that of the American Society for Radiation Oncology, which

08

09

10

11

Deliveries

12

13

14 YTD
15
Vacancy Rate

0%

12

from Merrifield. The largest move-in of the quarter was 57,600

10

Arch Properties/Koch moved into 53,823 sf at 2300 Wilson,

8
MSF

sf by Politico, a relocation from 1000 to 1001 Wilson. In addition,

Courthouse Road.

07

Vacant and Available Space

signed for 26,631 sf at 251 18th Street in Crystal City, a relocation

while Americans for Prosperity occupied 42,133 sf at 1310 North

06

Net Absorption

120,435 sf at 1110 North Glebe, and Tetra Tech recommitted to


47,856 sf at 1515 Wilson Boulevard. The largest new lease was

05

Vacancy Rate

and currently sits at 23.6%, its highest rate in over 10 years. Class A

552,800-sf Corporate Executive Board Tower, which is 67% preleased to the anchor tenant and due for a mid-2017 completion.

The corridor has failed to attract the attention of many larger


tenants that have signed deals in Tysons and Reston/Herndon.

3.3

2.6

8.1

8.0

8.0

8.4

Q4 14

Q1 15

Q2 15

Q3 15

2.1

7.9

Q4 13

2.0

6
4

The only building currently under construction in the market is the

3.3

1.9
2.9
2.6
2.7
Q4 10

6.1

4.4

Q4 11

Q4 12

Vacant

Arlington lost a large potential deal for Advisory Board, which

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

has been offered up to $60 million in tax breaks and signed a


conditional lease in DC.

Asking Rent
$46

$44

Due to their close proximities to the Pentagon and


DC, the Rosslyn-Ballston Corridor and Crystal City
submarkets have been predominantly comprised of
federal government and government contractors.
Now that the market has weathered one sequestration,
and with the effects of BRAC also waning, the impacts
of any future sequestrations on the Crystal City
submarket should be more subdued. Many federal
agencies and government contractors have already
right-sized in response to the last sequestration,
signing over 6.7 msf throughout Northern Virginia
since 2012, with a majority of these leases now expiring
after 2022. Arlington appears to be one of the last
submarkets to recover from these recent shocks.

Full Service PSF

Outlook

$42
$40
$38
$36
$34
$32

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 8

Tysons Corner
Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(11,700) SF

476,900 SF

0 SF

$31.05 FS

Through the first three quarters of the year, Tysons Corner


submarket has absorbed nearly 62,000 sf of office space. The
vacancy has dropped from 18.9% at year-end 2014 to 18.0% and
continues to experience some of the strongest leasing activity
across Northern Virginia (NoVA). Throughout the third quarter,
the submarket was home to 56 deals which totaled 558,600 sf.
The top deal of the quarter was that of Ernst & Young at 1775
Tysons Boulevard, the first lease within the new project and also
the largest private- sector lease in NoVA this quarter. One of the
big four audit firms, expanded their footprint in the submarket
and leased the top four floors of the project set to deliver in
the first quarter of 2016. One development that has performed
extremely well is Tysons Tower at 7900 Tysons One Boulevard.
After signing Transwestern to a modest 13,200 sf last quarter, the
building became home to another 13,000- sf tenant in IronNet
Cyber Security. The technology and cyber security consultant
will bring the building to nearly 85% leased as NoVA tenants
have continued to display a preference for top-quality product in
locations proximate to Metro.
Rents dropped slightly from the previous quarter to $31 .05
from $31.19 psf. The spread between Class A and B rents in
the submarket rose to $6.80 with Class A rents currently at
$34.04 psf. Owners of commodity product have lowered rates
in an attempt to compete on a pricing basis with higher quality
buildings. Vacancy could increase in the near term with the
delivery of 1775 Tysons Boulevard in the first quarter of 2016 as
new product is added to inventory and pulls tenants from existing
buildings. But as older buildings are renovated, repositioned or
demolished, vacancy should return to equilibrium.

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


1,500

20%

1,000

16%

500

12%

8%

-500

4%

-1,000

04

05

06

07

08

Net Absorption

09

10

11

12

14 YTD
15
Vacancy Rate

Deliveries

13

Vacancy Rate

Vacancy
18.0%

Square Feet, 000s

*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

0%

Vacant and Available Space


7
6
1.8

0.9

1.3

4.3

4.5

4.1

4.1

Q4 10

Q4 11

Q4 12

Q4 13

5
MSF

Market Indicators

1.9

1.3

1.3

1.8

1.9

4.9

4.9

4.7

4.7

Q4 14

Q1 15

Q2 15

Q3 15

4
3
2
1
0

Vacant

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

Asking Rent
$39

The arrival of the Silver Line Metro in Tysons has created


a bifurcated market in which buildings proximate to
Metro stations have captured the majority of demand
and those farther off Metro have either returned space
or lost deals. In an effort to become more competitive,
owners of buildings located off Metro will either have
to lower rates, build competitive spec suites, or find
a way to activate retail in the properties to entice
tenants.

$37
Full Service PSF

Outlook

$35
$33
$31
$29
$27
$25

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 9

Reston/Herndon
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
13.1%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

43,400 SF

0 SF

0 SF

$27.78 FS

The Toll Road submarkets command rates which are among the
highest asking rents outside the Beltway, averaged $30.09 per

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


2,500

20%

end of the third quarter of 2015. Over the past five years, the Toll

2,000

16%

Road submarkets have displayed strong leasing fundamentals,


as Reston and Herndon have absorbed 946,000 square feet per
year. In the third quarter alone, Reston/Herndon accounted for
nearly 43,500 sf of net absorption. Tenants in Northern Virginia
continue to exhibit a preference for quality space and the Toll
Road submarket boasts 23.7 million square feet of Class A

Square Feet, 000s

square foot, full service for existing Class A direct space at the

1,500

12%

1,000

product. With a large supply of quality product, the Toll Road

8%

500

4%

0
-500

continues to benefit from robust demand drivers and amid limited

Vacancy Rate

Market Indicators

04

new deliveries, Reston and Herndon have seen their vacancy

05

plummet. Vacancy currently sits at 13.1%, well below the 18.6%

06

07

08

Net Absorption

measured across the entire region and by far the lowest among

09

10

11

12

Deliveries

13

14 YTD
15

0%

Vacancy Rate

NoVA submarkets. There were a number or large leases signed


throughout the submarket in the third quarter notably Parsons

Vacant and Available Space

Brinckerhoffs 31,000 sf lease at 13530 Dulles Technology Drive

and American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics 16,600

sf lease at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive.

in Northern Virginia, but among suburban markets nationwide.

2.3

1.2

1.8

4.8

4.6

4.5

Q4 10

Q4 11

Q4 12

5
MSF

Reston Town Center (RTC) continues to be a stronghold not only

countless amenities, RTC has the lowest vacancy rate of any

minimarket in Northern Virginia at 3.0% (Northern Virginia at

1
0

high as $44.81 per square foot.

Vacant

Outlook

Construction could be around the corner for the Toll


Road as the last completed office project delivered in
2009.

With the ever-increasing competitive nature of RTC,


expect tenants to extend their search for quality space
in the direct surrounding areas in order to remain close
to the amenities and the strong tenant base located
at RTC. This search for quality also makes speculative
development a distinct possibility in the next two

2.2

4.0

4.2

4.2

4.0

4.0

Q4 13

Q4 14

Q1 15

Q2 15

Q3 15

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

$32

The Toll Road currently has 23.7 msf of Class A


product but only 2.5 msf of that was built after 2006.

2.2

Asking Rent

$30
Full Service PSF

2.2

With a majority of the office product built after 2000 and

18.6% overall). In 2013 and 2014, RTC achieved average rents as

2.7

2.2

$28
$26
$24
$22
$20

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

years.

Cushman & Wakefield | 10

50/66
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
16.3%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(91,900) SF

0 SF

0 SF

$28.59 FS

The 50/66 corridor, composed of the submarkets Merrifield,


Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center and Fairfax City, saw a decline in

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


600

(sf) during the third quarter of 2015. The largest lease in the

400

corridor during the third quarter was that of Pulte which signed
for 32,500 sf of relet space at 9302 Lee Highway in Vienna.
For the 26-building, 1.2 million sf submarket, Vienna noticed its
vacancy rate dip by a full 2.0% from the previous quarter, down to
5.0%. The submarket continued to show noticeable activity in the

Square Feet, 000s

demand as net absorption totaled negative 91,900 square feet

20%
16%

200
0

12%

-200
8%

-400
-600

government contractor sector. Providing NASA and the Federal

-800

government with cloud support and state-of-the-art IT solutions,

-1,000

Accelera Solutions Inc. signed a renewal and expansion for a total

Vacancy Rate

Market Indicators

4%

04

05

of 21,500 sf at 12150 Monument Drive in Fairfax Center.

06

07

08

Net Absorption

09

10

Deliveries

11

12

13

14 YTD
15

0%

Vacancy Rate

After a second quarter that registered competition in both class


A and class B properties, the third quarter experienced quite the

Vacant and Available Space

opposite. Throughout the third quarter, class A product captured

6.0

the majority of demand registering 40,600 sf of net absorption

5.0

while Class B commodity product was subject to 136,500 sf of

4.0

(psf) from $28.69 psf at mid-year to $28.59 at the end of the


third quarter. The separation between class A properties and

MSF

negative net absorption. Rents dropped by $0.10 per square foot

3.0

commodity product continues to be particularly wide as top class

2.0

properties are asking for $6.76 psf higher rents than class B.

1.0
0.0

0.9

3.1

Q4 10

0.3

1.2

1.2

1.1

3.1

2.9

3.0

3.0

With no construction projects currently underway and


with the success of the Mosaic District, expect future
development in the area to place more emphasis
on amenities to meet changing tenant preferences.
Rumors that the Mosaic District could move on a spec
office site to follow on the success of 2905 District
Avenue have been whispered.
Government contractors continue to be one of the
primary drivers of the 50/66 office market. The
two year budget recently passed with $80 billion in
increased spending should provide increased demand
for office space through 2017.

1.4

3.2

3.2

3.3

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

Asking Rent
$34
$32
Full Service PSF

1.6

Q4 11 Q4 12 Q4 13 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15
Vacant

Outlook

1.3

$30
$28
$26
$24
$22

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 11

Springfield/Newington
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
26.4%

Under Construction

Net Absorption

0 SF

17,200 SF

The Springfield/Newington submarket experienced positive Q3


net absorption of 17,189 square feet (sf), bumping year-to-date

Deliveries

Asking Rent

0 SF

$31.51 FS

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy


500

32%

at 26.1%, 2.1 percentage points lower than the level seen at the

400

28%

300

24%

200

20%

100

16%

12%

end of 2014, but much higher than its 2010 level of 7.9%. Class
A vacancy is the highest in the region, at 37.7%, with class B at
19.0%. Despite maintaining the highest class A vacancy in the
region, class A rents remain higher than those of any submarket

Square Feet, 000s

absorption up to 83,700 sf. The vacancy rate currently stands

-100

8%

deal of the quarter was Calibre Systems renewal of 72,344 sf at

-200

4%

6354 Walker Drive. This deal is characteristic of the contracting

-300

outside the Beltway, averaging $37.93 per square foot. The largest

sector as a whole, which after several years of downsizing due

04

05

to sequestration and general budgetary uncertainty, is now

06

07

08

Net Absorption

stabilizing.

09

10

11

12

Deliveries

13

14 YTD
15

Vacancy Rate

Market Indicators

0%

Vacancy Rate

Vacant and Available Space


The Springfield/Newington submarket appeared to lose out

2.5

on landing the half-million-sf TSA requirement as the agency


announced that it had signed a deal at 5001 Eisenhower Avenue.

2.0

now being considered in federal courts. Boston Properties had


lobbied for an alternate location near the Franconia-Springfield

MSF

But a dispute surrounding the merits of awarding that deal is

Metro and maintains that its location is superior given the agency
requirements and criteria. The Springfield/Newington submarket

1.5

0.5

is the smallest out of 8 tracked submarkets in Northern Virginia,


at 5.6 msf (million square feet), and would thus disproportionally

0.0

benefit from landing a large tenant such as the TSA, or a few

0.4

1.0
0.3

0.9

0.4

0.4

0.5

1.5

1.6

1.5

0.7

0.7

1.5

1.4

0.4

0.9

0.4
Q4 10

years into the future, the FBI, which has also expressed interest

Q4 11 Q4 12 Q4 13 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15
Vacant

in the area.

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

Asking Rent
$40

With the Springfield Malls overhaul and transformation


into the Springfield Town Center, the surrounding area
may soon be seeing over 1.0 msf of office development
and various multifamily projects. Springfield will have
an opportunity to turn the mall and surrounding area
into a hub of activity centered on a retail district,
similar to how the Mosaic District has transformed
Merrifield. Springfields location at the interstation of
I-95, I-495, and I-395 make this an attractive location
for logistics companies and workers seeking lessexpensive housing with a quick commute to Tysons,
Alexandria, and Arlington.

Full Service PSF

Outlook

$36
$32
$28
$24
$20

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 12

Route 28 South
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
19.6%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

35,000 SF

161,000 SF

0 SF

$24.69 FS

Vacancy in the Route 28 South submarket currently stands at


19.6%. This level has increased steadily since 2011, as leasing

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

has trended towards more transit-accessible submarkets such


currently stand at $26.34 per square foot (psf), an increase of
0.3% from a year ago, and class B at $21.38 psf, a year-overyear decrease of 5.6%. Rental rates in western Fairfax County
submarkets, including the Route 28 South corridor, provide a
meaningful discount to closer-in markets such as Tysons Corner
and Merrifield. As such, these western submarkets continue to

Square Feet, 000s

as Reston/Herndon and Tysons. The class A average direct rent

2,000

24%

1,500

20%
16%

1,000

attract companies looking to capitalize on this value while still

12%
500
0
-500

demanding quality space. The submarket experienced positive

8%

net absorption this quarter, as OG Systems moved into 35,000

4%
04

05

square feet (sf) at 14291 Park Meadow Drive and a confidential


contractor expanded by 35,000 sf at 15059 Conference Center
Drive. The largest new lease was that of Stanley Martin Companies,

07

08

09

10

11

12

Deliveries

13

14 YTD
15

0%

Vacancy Rate

Vacant and Available Space


4.0
3.5

In July, Akridge proposed infusing the Westfields Corporate

1.0

3.0

Center campus with 650 multifamily units, 20,000 sf of retail,

2.5
MSF

walking trails, and a performance center. This mixed-use project


and provide inspiration for other high-vacancy suburban office

06

Net Absorption

which took 14,299 sf at 14200 Park Meadow Drive.

could breathe life into submarket lacking mixed-use development

Vacancy Rate

Market Indicators

parks looking for a refresh. The second of COPTs two Stonecroft

2.0

0.5

0.5

date in the second quarter of 2016. Initially, it was thought the

0.5

U.S. Government would occupy both 4850 and 4870 Stonecroft

0.0

Boulevard; while that remains a possibility it now appears that

2.3

Q4 10

the building will be marketed for lease. Demand for a new quality

1.9

1.1

2.2

2.5

2.7

2.7

2.7

Q4 11 Q4 12 Q4 13 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15
Vacant

building proximate to a government tenant will be a good

2.1

0.9

0.9

1.5
1.0

buildings remains under construction with an anticipated delivery

0.4

0.8

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

indicator of where the submarket is trending.

The passing of a 2-year budget deal with $80 billion


in increased spending authority provides longneeded clarity to government contractor tenants that
dominate the Route 28 S market. Tenants interested
in being close to the National Reconnaissance Office,
Central Intelligence Agency, and a variety of private
contractors such as SRA, Scitor, Lockheed Martin,
Boeing, and Booz Allen, would be well-suited to
consider this corridor. With the effects of sequestration
and BRAC waning, existing government contractors in
the area are experiencing relative stability, and those
looking to locate near this critical mass of agencies
and defense companies have the ability to do so at
attractive rental rates.

Asking Rent
$30
$28
Full Service PSF

Outlook

$26
$24
$22
$20
$18

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

cushmanwakefield.com | 13

Loudoun County
*Arrows = Current Qtr Trend

Vacancy
16.9%

Net Absorption

Under Construction

Deliveries

Asking Rent

(14,600) SF

20,500 SF

0 SF

$23.53 FS

Although Loudoun County experienced negative net moveouts in Q3 to the tune of 14,622 square feet (sf), year-to-date

Net Absorption Deliveries Vacancy

net absorption remains positive at 159,200 sf. Vacancy currently

quarter. The class A rental rate currently stands at $24.53 psf (per
square foot), a decrease of 1.2% from last year, and class B at
$19.75 psf, a year-over-year decrease of 5.4%. Loudoun rents are
the lowest out of the 8 tracked submarkets in Northern Virginia.
The largest move-in of the quarter was that of CGI, which took
58,000 sf at 22980 Indian Creek Drive. The largest new deal of

Square Feet, 000s

stands at 16.9%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from last

800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
-200

the quarter was Carpathia signing for 25,024 sf at 21000 Atlantic

24%
20%
16%
12%
8%

Vacancy Rate

Market Indicators

4%
04

05

Boulevard. CGI and Carpathia are both technology companies

06

07

08

Net Absorption

and further add to the base of government contractors and

09

10

11

12

Deliveries

13

14 YTD
15

0%

Vacancy Rate

tech companies taking advantage of lower rents and abundant


fiber connections found in Loudoun County. Over the past two

Vacant and Available Space

years, the Loudoun data center market has experienced more

3.0

absorption than other data center market in the country, and this

2.5

demand is expected to grow.

5 million-sf development on 335 acres. Plans involve transforming

MSF

In September, the Loudoun board voted to approve Waterside, a

0.7

2.0

0.4

0.4

0.1

0.3

0.3

0.1

1.5
1.0

a former quarry into a walkable, mixed-use community to include

0.6

1.9

2.0

1.9

2.1

2.1

2.0

1.9

1.9

Q4 10

Q4 11

Q4 12

Q4 13

Q4 14

Q1 15

Q2 15

Q3 15

0.5

2,200 multifamily units, and 3.8 million sf of office, hotel, retail,

0.0

and civic use. Although this development will take several decades
to complete, it has the potential to transform an area known for

Vacant

office parks and industrial facilities into a future edge city and can

Marketed Available (not yet vacant)

provide a blueprint and case study for other communities looking


to do the same.

Asking Rent
$28

Outlook
Loudoun County is one of the fastest growing counties
in the nation. It has struggled to find an appropriate
balance between residential developmentwhich
is in high demand but takes a heavy toll on public
resources (such as roads and schools)and
commercial development which generally pays more
into the tax base than it draws. Expect to continue to
see conditions that require the commercial portions
of large developments to be constructed prior to
allowing additional residential development.

Full Service PSF

$26
$24
$22
$20
$18
$16

2009

2010

2011
Class A

2012

2013

2014

2015

Class B

Cushman & Wakefield | 14

Appendix

Table Summaries
Metro Washington Office
Market Summary
13
Employment Data
13
Office Availability, Vacancy,
and Net Absorption
14

Metro Washington Office Market Summary: Third Quarter 2015p


Total
Inventory

Total Space
Vacant

Vacancy
Rate

Q3 2015
Absorption

YTD
Absorption

Washington, DC

123,122,911

13,612,467

11.1%

268,706

518,835

Northern Virginia

163,278,088

30,366,384

18.6%

97,405

270,010

Suburban Maryland

72,899,650

13,600,005

18.7%

93,027

306,374

Regional Totals

359,300,649

57,578,856

16.0%

459,138

1,095,219

Trailing 12-Month Data


15
Historical Year-End Data
16

Metro Washington Current Employment Data


Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Sep 2014)

Non Farm
Employment
(Jan-Sep 2015p)

Jobs Added/
Lost*

Percent Change

Washington, DC

751,400

763,400

12,000

1.6%

Northern Virginia

1,377,800

1,401,700

23,900

1.7%

957,900

976,700

18,800

2.0%

3,104,700

3,162,800

58,100

1.9%

Market Statistics by Class


17-18
Survey of New Office Space
by Submarket
19-22
Methodology & Definitions
23

Suburban Maryland
Regional Totals

SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not seasonally adjusted)


* Average per year to date
p - preliminary

cushmanwakefield.com | 15

441,774
1,337,375
895,601

0
336,174

7,821,644
11,036,748
1,781,463
35,700,235
22,882,024
8,059,172
4,883,598
7,914,855
20,857,625
56,557,860
26,087,223
18,308,262
11,737,088
7,878,879
1,170,945
1,010,261
6,538,055

Ballston

Crystal City

Pentagon City

Arlington County

Old Town

Eisenhower

I-395

Alexandria

Inside the Beltway2

Tysons Corner

Reston

Herndon

Merrifield

Vienna

Oakton

Fairfax Center
0

84,660
212,761

19,950,905
6,160,982
4,290,607
1,048,948
11,500,537
106,720,228

163,278,088

50/663

28 North

Route 7

Leesburg

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway2

Northern Virginia

551,291

25,590,398

15,439,313

1,548,796

110,373

731,223

707,200

3,145,756

13,890,517

775,700

2,348,500

466,893

980,457

278,090

58,507

1,361,809

1,205,930

2,326,840

4,087,791

10,151,085

3,315,723

2,340,324

147,417

827,982

4,121,383

6,835,362

791,219

1,922,760

1,263,632

239,508

495,823

2,122,420

Relet Space
Vacant

1,724,078

1,151,078

85,688

6,560

10,640

68,488

71,251

1,065,390

119,272

134,164

9,788

31,486

5,453

24,524

156,951

208,411

375,341

573,000

327,017

236,919

19,743

70,355

192,756

245,983

53,227

46,671

52,023

62,126

31,936

Sublet Space
Vacant

30,366,384

17,968,750

1,942,512

127,540

954,624

860,348

3,252,070

16,026,238

1,446,263

2,666,229

476,681

1,011,943

283,543

58,507

1,421,396

1,399,036

2,571,812

4,690,828

12,397,634

3,978,914

2,577,243

500,097

901,574

5,209,740

8,418,720

791,219

2,417,761

1,385,250

291,531

831,801

2,701,158

Total Space
Vacant

18.6%

16.8%

16.9%

12.2%

22.2%

14.0%

16.3%

16.8%

26.1%

19.6%

14.2%

15.5%

28.1%

5.0%

18.0%

11.9%

14.0%

18.0%

21.9%

19.1%

32.6%

10.2%

11.2%

22.8%

23.6%

44.4%

21.9%

17.7%

26.0%

16.2%

30.6%

Vacancy
Rate

679,764

40,162

13,547

1,338

7,690

4,519

26,615

5,178

21,437

639,602

605,998

605,998

33,604

33,604

33,604

New Space
Absorption

(717,056)

(174,779)

(29,392)

(3,533)

(2,767)

(23,092)

(133,841)

(145,387)

5,589

43,960

(28,340)

(66,571)

(45,209)

26,283

(20,004)

(42,404)

39,209

(57,900)

(542,277)

(66,133)

(36,807)

4,786

(34,112)

(44,605)

(476,144)

(509,463)

77,924

(66,508)

107,846

(85,943)

Relet
Absorption

134,697

112,041

1,223

(1,150)

(9,102)

11,475

41,921

110,818

6,422

(8,964)

400

21,139

(2,244)

22,626

(10,071)

56,715

24,795

22,656

(1,634)

(9,318)

(8,940)

16,624

44,071

24,290

(19,781)

3,221

1,876

7,638

31,336

Sublet
Absorption

Cushman & Wakefield | 16

P - Preliminary

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

****New Space Available and New Space Absorption based on buildings delivered 2005 to present

3,051,908

1,378,359

308,028

10,607

35,063

1,070,331

5,551,040
95,219,691

183,565

Fairfax County

28 South

35,063

36,155

36,561

227,696

1,673,549

332,937

3,237

Springfield/Newington

3,352,765
13,585,173

Fairfax City

R/B Corridor

74,947

1,120,831

Virginia Square

273,852

5,122,147

Clarendon/Courthouse

546,802

8,817,402

New Space
Vacant

Rosslyn

Total
Inventory

Office Availability, Vacancy, and Net Absorption, Third Quarter 2015p

97,405

(22,576)

(14,622)

(3,345)

(4,179)

(7,098)

(91,920)

(7,954)

17,189

34,996

(27,940)

(45,432)

(47,453)

26,283

2,622

(52,475)

95,924

(11,668)

119,981

538,231

559,873

(4,154)

(17,488)

33,070

(418,250)

(509,463)

58,143

(63,287)

1,876

149,088

(54,607)

Total Net
Absorption

Appendix

7,332,378
11,245,356

7,914,855
20,908,388

7,878,879
1,170,945

1,120,831

7,332,378

11,245,356

1,781,463

35,160,246

22,133,427

8,109,935

4,883,598

7,914,855

20,908,388

56,068,634

26,087,223

18,308,262

11,737,088

7,878,879

1,219,275

1,010,261

6,538,055

VA Square

Ballston

Crystal City

Pentagon City

Arlington Cnty

R/B Corridor1

Old Town

Eisenhower

I-3954

Alexandria

Inside the Beltway2

Tysons

Reston

Herndon

Merrifield

Vienna

Oakton

Fairfax Center

162,590,838

Northern Virginia
162,681,793

106,671,129

11,451,438

6,111,883

19,950,905

95,219,691

5,551,040

162,739,763

106,720,228

11,500,537

1,048,948

4,290,607

6,160,982

19,950,905

95,219,691

5,551,040

13,585,173

3,352,765

6,538,055

1,010,261

1,170,945

7,878,879

11,737,088

18,308,262

26,087,223

56,557,860

20,857,625

7,914,855

4,883,598

8,059,172

22,882,024

35,700,235

1,781,463

11,036,748

7,821,644

1,120,831

5,122,147

8,817,402

2nd Qtr
2015

163,278,088

106,720,228

11,500,537

1,048,948

4,290,607

6,160,982

19,950,905

95,219,691

5,551,040

13,585,173

3,352,765

6,538,055

1,010,261

1,170,945

7,878,879

11,737,088

18,308,262

26,087,223

56,557,860

20,857,625

7,914,855

4,883,598

8,059,172

22,882,024

35,700,235

1,781,463

11,036,748

7,821,644

1,120,831

5,122,147

8,817,402

3rd Qtr
2015p

18.8%

17.1%

17.9%

12.9%

24.4%

14.2%

15.1%

17.0%

28.2%

18.8%

13.9%

14.8%

23.0%

10.5%

15.7%

12.7%

14.4%

18.9%

22.1%

20.6%

36.6%

10.2%

11.2%

22.9%

22.9%

14.4%

24.4%

19.0%

26.1%

14.0%

30.7%

4th Qtr
2014

19.0%

17.3%

17.1%

13.7%

23.2%

13.5%

16.3%

17.4%

26.8%

20.2%

13.7%

15.0%

23.1%

7.2%

18.9%

12.4%

14.6%

18.9%

22.1%

20.9%

37.1%

10.6%

11.4%

22.6%

22.8%

14.4%

24.5%

18.8%

26.0%

14.0%

30.2%

1st Qtr
2015

18.7%

16.8%

16.8%

11.8%

22.2%

13.8%

15.8%

16.8%

26.4%

19.9%

13.4%

14.8%

23.4%

7.2%

18.1%

11.5%

14.6%

17.9%

22.1%

21.7%

39.6%

10.2%

11.0%

22.9%

22.4%

15.8%

22.4%

16.9%

26.2%

19.1%

30.0%

2nd Qtr
2015

Office Vacancy Rate

18.6%

16.8%

16.9%

12.2%

22.2%

14.0%

16.3%

16.8%

26.1%

19.6%

14.2%

15.5%

28.1%

5.0%

18.0%

11.9%

14.0%

18.0%

21.9%

19.1%

32.6%

10.2%

11.2%

22.8%

23.6%

44.4%

21.9%

17.7%

26.0%

16.2%

30.6%

3rd Qtr
2015p

(426,322)

(361,641)

25,197

2,246

17,335

5,616

8,350

(386,838)

(71,313)

(67,674)

(5,722)

10,012

7,584

3,116

(6,640)

(25,003)

102,302

(333,500)

(64,681)

(111,871)

(168,789)

25,021

31,897

(73,891)

47,190

121,081

(55,519)

(10,746)

(18,880)

11,254

4th Qtr
2014

(197,473)

(166,656)

91,512

(7,481)

52,399

46,594

(219,294)

(258,168)

42,427

(63,042)

5,522

(13,442)

(800)

(4,644)

(205,930)

40,964

(41,206)

(18,017)

(30,817)

(74,420)

(35,734)

(18,575)

(20,111)

56,346

43,603

(12,743)

13,587

1,143

1,430

40,186

1st Qtr
2015p

370,078

440,293

82,262

19,042

43,631

19,589

89,454

358,031

24,120

37,960

11,249

12,228

(2,775)

(99)

68,851

103,512

11,948

91,037

(70,215)

(142,808)

(203,437)

19,343

41,286

28,770

72,593

(24,907)

68,730

54,352

(1,726)

(42,144)

18,288

2nd Qtr
2015

Total Office Absorption

1 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

2 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

p- preliminary

106,613,159

Outside the Beltway2

1,048,948

Route 7

1,048,948

6,111,883

4,290,607

28 North

11,451,438

19,999,235

50/663

Leesburg

95,161,721

Fairfax County

Loudoun County

4,290,607

5,598,640

Springfield/
Newington4

3,352,765

28 South
13,585,173

3,352,765

13,431,273

Fairfax City

6,538,055

1,010,261

11,737,088

18,308,262

26,087,223

56,068,634

4,883,598

8,109,935

22,133,427

35,160,246

1,781,463

1,120,831

4,862,816

4,862,816

Clarendon/
Courthouse

8,817,402

8,817,402

1st Qtr
2015

Total Office Inventory

Rosslyn

4th Qtr
2014

Trailing 12-Month Data

97,405

(22,576)

(14,622)

(3,345)

(4,179)

(7,098)

(91,920)

(7,954)

17,189

34,996

(27,940)

(45,432)

(47,453)

26,283

2,622

(52,475)

95,924

(11,668)

119,981

538,231

559,873

(4,154)

(17,488)

33,070

(418,250)

(509,463)

58,143

(63,287)

1,876

149,088

(54,607)

3rd Qtr
2015p

Appendix

cushmanwakefield.com | 17

22,001,420

20,908,388

56,095,887

25,471,289

18,308,262

11,737,088

20,063,883

13,056,023
5,558,640

94,195,185

11,395,757

105,590,942

161,686,829

R/B Corridor2

Alexandria4

Inside the Beltway1

Tysons Corner

Reston

Herndon

50/663

28 South

Springfield/Newington4

Fairfax County

Loudoun County

Outside the Beltway*

Northern Virginia
162,681,793

106,613,159

11,451,438

95,161,721

5,598,640

13,431,273

19,999,235

11,737,088

18,308,262

26,087,223

56,068,634

20,908,388

22,133,427

35,160,246

2014

Total Inventory

163,278,088

106,720,228

11,500,537

95,219,691

5,551,040

13,585,173

19,950,905

11,737,088

18,308,262

26,087,223

56,557,860

20,857,625

22,882,024

35,700,235

2015p

17.6%

15.9%

18.0%

15.7%

27.2%

16.5%

14.8%

11.2%

14.7%

16.3%

20.9%

18.1%

20.5%

22.5%

2013

18.8%

17.1%

17.9%

17.0%

28.2%

18.8%

15.1%

12.7%

14.4%

18.9%

22.1%

20.6%

22.9%

22.9%

2014

Vacancy Rate (%)

18.6%

16.8%

16.9%

16.8%

26.1%

19.6%

16.3%

11.9%

14.0%

18.0%

21.9%

19.1%

22.8%

23.6%

2015p

(174,990)

399,258

(127,022)

526,280

(239,973)

270,089

(77,341)

280,780

400,148

(107,423)

(574,459)

145,837

(836,033)

(720,085)

2013

(379,784)

(117,331)

87,697

(205,028)

(27,485)

217,655

(116,436)

(181,319)

33,134

(130,577)

(262,453)

(179,900)

(321,501)

(82,553)

2014

85,116

116,196

2015p

172,605

273,637

173,774

99,863

66,547

(25,082)

(129,840)

144,476

(29,258)

73,020

(101,032)

(217,228)

Total Annual Absorption

1 Inside the Beltway is comprised of Arlington County and Alexandria/Outside the Beltway is comprised of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

2 The Rosslyn/Ballston (R/B) corridor is comprised of Rosslyn, Clarendon/Courthouse, Virginia Square, and Ballston submarkets.

3 The 50/66 corridor is comprised of Merrifield, Vienna, Oakton, Fairfax Center, and Fairfax City submarkets.

4 The I-395 and Springfield/Newington submarkets were updated in the second quarter of 2012 with additional inventory.

35,187,499

Arlington County

2013

Historical Year-End Data

Appendix

Cushman & Wakefield | 18

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 3rd Quarter 2015 Market Statistics

Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New
Vacancy
(%)

Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Total
Availability
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average
Asking
Rent
(FS)

Alexandria
Class
A

77

11,247,435

3.0%

13.4%

2.6%

19.0%

23.8%

566,713

720,000

$31.83

138

8,717,254

0.0%

20.3%

0.4%

20.7%

21.5%

(18,266)

$30.55

36

892,936

0.0%

4.0%

0.0%

4.0%

4.5%

(10,216)

$22.98

TOTAL

251

20,857,625

2.6%

15.9%

1.6%

19.1%

22.3%

538,231

720,000

$31.02

87

22,558,060

5.9%

15.3%

0.9%

22.1%

31.3%

50,811

552,781

$41.93

67

11,813,994

0.0%

27.1%

0.4%

27.5%

29.2%

(446,049)

$37.33

15

1,328,181

0.0%

14.0%

0.0%

14.0%

52.0%

(23,012)

$33.66

TOTAL

169

35,700,235

3.7%

18.2%

0.7%

23.6%

31.0%

(418,250)

552,781

$39.69

Arlington
Class

Tysons Corner
Class
A

76

17,554,706

1.3%

14.8%

1.5%

17.6%

24.6%

(15,929)

476,913

$33.74

89

8,395,873

0.0%

17.5%

1.3%

18.8%

27.5%

2,661

$27.20

136,644

0.0%

11.3%

0.0%

11.3%

7.3%

1,600

$23.81

170

26,087,223

1.1%

15.7%

1.4%

18.0%

25.2%

(11,668)

476,913

$31.05

TOTAL

Reston/Herndon
Class
A

150

23,736,978

0.2%

10.7%

1.5%

12.4%

20.3%

76,128

$29.41

151

6,101,108

0.0%

16.0%

0.2%

16.3%

20.3%

(18,881)

$21.73

207,264

0.0%

19.2%

0.0%

19.2%

34.6%

(13,798)

$21.84

310

30,045,350

0.2%

11.8%

1.2%

13.1%

20.5%

43,449

$27.78

89

12,343,025

0.3%

18.3%

0.3%

18.9%

27.7%

40,640

$30.39

167

7,109,828

0.0%

11.9%

0.4%

12.4%

16.9%

(136,457)

$23.63

29

498,052

0.0%

7.5%

1.1%

8.6%

12.8%

3,897

$22.08

TOTAL

285

19,950,905

0.2%

15.7%

0.4%

16.3%

23.3%

(91,920)

$28.59

TOTAL
50/66
Class

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.

cushmanwakefield.com | 19

Market Statistics
Northern Virginia 3rd Quarter 2015 Market Statistics

Buildings

Total
Inventory
(SF)

New Vacancy
(%)

Relet
Vacancy
(%)

Sublet
Vacancy
(%)

Total
Vacancy*
(%)

Total
Availability
(%)

Net
Absorption
Current QTR
(SF)

Under
Construction
(SF)

Average Asking
Rent
(FS)

Springfield/Newington
Class
A

19

2,302,487

23.9%

8.6%

5.2%

37.7%

40.6%

8,014

$37.93

44

3,033,365

0.0%

19.0%

0.0%

19.0%

39.4%

9,175

$23.24

215,188

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

TOTAL

64

5,551,040

9.9%

14.0%

2.1%

26.1%

38.4%

17,189

$31.51

Route 28 South
Class
A

70

9,718,536

1.9%

16.8%

0.4%

19.1%

28.2%

29,915

161,030

$26.34

75

3,848,845

0.0%

18.2%

2.5%

20.7%

29.7%

5,081

$21.38

17,792

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

44.4%

$14.79

148

13,585,173

1.4%

17.3%

1.0%

19.6%

27.9%

34,996

161,030

$24.69

TOTAL

Loudoun County
Class
A

69

6,965,385

4.4%

12.3%

1.1%

17.8%

17.9%

2,594

$24.53

128

4,371,562

0.0%

15.3%

0.2%

15.4%

17.6%

(18,376)

20,500

$19.75

163,590

0.0%

15.7%

0.5%

16.3%

27.3%

1,160

$18.01

202

11,500,537

2.7%

13.5%

0.7%

16.9%

18.0%

(14,622)

49,099

$23.53

TOTAL

Northern Virginia
Class
A

637

106,426,612

3.6%

14.1%

1.3%

18.3%

25.4%

758,886

1,910,724

$32.56

859

53,391,829

0.0%

19.1%

0.6%

19.7%

24.7%

(621,112)

20,500

$28.81

103

3,459,647

0.0%

10.3%

0.2%

10.5%

21.9%

(40,369)

$28.80

1,599

163,278,088

2.3%

15.7%

1.1%

18.6%

24.6%

97,405

1,931,224

$31.50

TOTAL

* Vacancy Current - the vacancy rate is calculated using the combined total of vacant direct, sublease and new space.

Cushman & Wakefield | 20

cushmanwakefield.com | 21

The JBG Companies

1201 Wilson Boulevard

David Cantrall & Associates

109-111 East Market Street

Corporate Office Properties Trust

4870 Stonecroft Boulevard

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base


FS = Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char
N = Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes
NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

Status

N/A

RENTAL RATE

$25.00-$27.00 FS

U/C = Under Construction


U/R = Under Renovation

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Route 28 South

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Leesburg
RENTAL RATE

N/A

USAA Real Estate Company/Lowe


Enterprises

2401 Eisenhower Avenue

Total

RENTAL RATE

OWNER/DEVELOPER

$55.00-$65.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

BUILDING ADDRESS

Eisenhower Avenue

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Rosslyn

2Q16

DELIVERY
DATE

4Q15

DELIVERY
DATE

1Q17

DELIVERY
DATE

1Q18

DELIVERY
DATE

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

U/C

STATUS

161,030

161,030

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

20,500

20,500

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

720,000

720,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

552,781

552,781

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

161,030

161,030

AVAILABLE
SPACE

20,500

20,500

AVAILABLE
SPACE

18,012

AVAILABLE
SPACE

195,700

195,700

AVAILABLE
SPACE

0%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

0%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

100%

97%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

65%

65%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

The National Science Foundation

MAJOR TENANTS

Corporate Executive Board

MAJOR TENANTS

Cushman & Wakefield | 22

Lerner Enterprises

1775 Tysons Boulevard

1Q16

DELIVERY
DATE

U/R = Under Renovation


NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

1,931,224

TOTAL CURRENTLY UNDER


CONSTRUCTION/RENOVATION

FS

552,781

2018 DELIVERIES

Status

720,000

2017 DELIVERIES

U/C = Under Construction

20,500

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

476,913

476,913

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

637,943

N/A = No Space Available

U/C

STATUS

2016 DELIVERIES

$55.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

2015 DELIVERIES

Northern Virginia
Summary

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

Tysons Corner

Northern Virginia Survey of Office Space Under Construction/Under Renovation

748,198

195,700

18,012

513,986

20,500

AVAILABLE
SPACE

352,956

352,956

AVAILABLE
SPACE

61%

65%

97%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED

26%

0%

PERCENT
PRELEASED
N/A

MAJOR TENANTS

cushmanwakefield.com | 23

Penzance Companies

Invesco Realty Advisors / Penzance

Macerich / Hines

The Peterson Companies

Buckeye Development, LLC

Hoffman Management Company

MRP Realty, Inc.

3001 Washington Boulevard

3003 Washington Boulevard

7900 Tysons One Place

3443 Historic Sully Way

19490 Sandridge Way

2461 Eisenhower Avenue

7940 Jones Branch Drive

$16.00 NNN

N/A

$55.00-$60.00 FS

$54.00 FS

N/A = No Space Available

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available

Tysons Corner

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

$50.00-$52.00 FS

Eisenhower Avenue Corridor

Route 7

Route 28 South

Tysons Corner

Clarendon/Courthouse

Clarendon/Courthouse

Springfield/Newington

SUBMARKET

Route 28 South

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Delivered 4Q14

Renovation
$39.75-$45.00 FS
Completed 3Q14

Delivered 3Q14

Delivered 2Q14

Delivered 2Q14

Delivered 2Q14

Withheld

N/A

RENTAL RATE

N/A

Route 28 North

Clarendon/Courthouse

SUBMARKET

FS

Total

Delivered 1Q14

I-95 Business Parks / Colchester Land


Company

10718 Richmond Highway


Delivered 2Q14

STATUS

OWNER/DEVELOPER

Delivered 1Q15

BUILDING ADDRESS

2014 Deliveries

Total

Corporate Office Properties Trust

4850 Stonecroft Boulevard

$28.00-$29.00 FS

Comstock Partners

43777 Central Station Drive

Delivered 2Q15

Renovation
$44.00-$49.00 FS
Completed 2Q15

Piedmont Office Realty Trust

3100 Clarendon Boulevard

RENTAL RATE

STATUS

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2015 Deliveries

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

1,949,576

321,965

328,626

55,681

375,020

524,979

211,170

92,135

40,000

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

462,330

153,900

49,099

259,331

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

658,969

140,094

328,404

24,318

97,535

6,649

61,969

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

280,983

49,099

231,884

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

34%

44%

100%

44%

0%

19%

3%

67%

0%

VACANCY RATE (AS OF


CURRENT QUARTER) *

61%

0%

100%

89%

VACANCY RATE (AS OF


CURRENT QUARTER) *

66%

56%

0%

0%

100%

61%

89%

1%

100%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

39%

100%

0%

11%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Cushman & Wakefield | 24

Monday Properties

Lowe Enterprises

Monument Enterprises

Rubenstein Partners, LP

Halle Enterprises

Beulah Street LLC II

Zumot Real Estate Management

Duke Realty

1812 North Moore Street

1400 Crystal Drive

901 South Clark Street

7951-7961 Loisdale Road

5680 King Center Drive

6400 Beulah Street Office II

14399 Penrose Place

4801 Stonecroft Boulevard

Clark Enterprises/Fred Schnider Investment


Group/The Shooshan Company

The JBG Companies

Edens, Inc.

ING Clarion Partners, LLC

COPT, Inc.

675 North Randolph Street

800 North Glebe Road

2910 District Avenue

6361 Walker Lane

7770 Backlick Road

N/A = No Space Available

= Plus Electric NT = Plus Taxes

NNN = Net of all Operating Expenses and Taxes

*Vacancy rate for new space- does not include relet or sublet space available

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Merrifield

= Full Service NN = Plus Electric & Char

N/A

$41.00-$43.50 FS

N/A

Ballston

Ballston

Rosslyn

SUBMARKET

Route 28 South

Route 28 South

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Springfield/Newington

Pentagon City

Crystal City

Rosslyn

SUBMARKET

Operating Expense and Real Estate Tax Base

Delivered 4Q12

Delivered 1Q12

Delivered 2Q12

$49.00-$52.00 FS

N/A

$46.00-$47.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

N/A

$29.50 FS

$32.00 FS

$34.50-$37.50

Withheld

N/A

$44.00-$52.00 FS

$50.00-$65.00 FS

RENTAL RATE

FS

Total

Delivered 1Q12

Skanska

1776 Wilson Boulevard

Delivered 1Q12

Delivered 4Q12

OWNER/DEVELOPER

STATUS

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 2Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

Delivered 3Q13

Delivered 4Q13

STATUS

BUILDING ADDRESS

2012 Deliveries

Total

OWNER/DEVELOPER

BUILDING ADDRESS

2013 Deliveries

Northern Virginia Survey of New Office Space

1,452,697

240,565

330,582

78,499

311,776

352,740

138,535

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

1,922,260

254,578

104,000

35,000

110,047

242,272

332,084

308,898

535,381

RENTABLE
BUILDING AREA

369,207

116,670

166,150

74,947

11,440

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

1,136,318

73,000

2,353

73,867

221,316

230,401

535,381

NEW SPACE
AVAILABLE

25%

48%

50%

0%

24%

0%

8%

VACANCY RATE (AS OF


CURRENT QUARTER)*

59%

0%

70%

23%

67%

100%

0%

75%

100%

VACANCY RATE (AS OF


CURRENT QUARTER)*

75%

43%

27%

7%

32%

100%

82%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

41%

100%

25%

67%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

PERCENT LEASED
UPON DELIVERY

Methodology & Definitions


Methodology

Explanation of Terms

Market statistics are calculated


from a base building inventory
made up of office properties
deemed to be competitive in the
typical Washington, DC office
market. Single-tenant buildings and
privately-owned buildings in which
the federal government leases space
are included.
Generally, owneroccupied
and
federally-owned
buildings are not included. Older
buildings unfit for occupancy or ones
that require substantial renovation
before
tenancy
are
generally
not included in the competitive
inventory. Vacant space is defined
as space that is physically vacant and
available immediately. Sublet space
still occupied by the tenant is not
counted as vacant space.

Total Inventory: The total amount


of office space (in buildings greater
than 10,000 square feet) that can be
rented by a Fourth party.
New Space Vacant: First generation,
never-occupied office space in
newly constructed or substantially
renovated buildings, being actively
marketed by a landlord.
Relet
Space
Vacant:
Secondgeneration,
unoccupied
office
space being actively marketed by a
landlord. (Space that is marketed but
largely occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Sublet Space Vacant: Secondgeneration, unoccupied space being
actively marketed by a tenant.
(Sublet space that is marketed but
still occupied is not counted as
vacant space.)
Total Space Vacant: The sum of
new, relet, and sublet space that
is unoccupied and being actively
marketed.
Vacancy Rate: The amount of
unoccupied space (new, relet, and
sublet) expressed as a percentage of
total inventory. (Total Space Vacant
divided by Total Inventory.)

Total Space Available: The total


amount of space, both vacant and
occupied, being actively marketed
for lease by a tenant or landlord.
(This includes space that is currently
occupied but marketed for future
availability.)
Availability Rate: The total amount
of space being actively marketed for
lease (both vacant and occupied)
expressed as a percentage of total
inventory. (Total Space Available
divided by Total Inventory.)
Absorption: The net change in
occupied space between two points
in time. (Total occupied space in the
previous quarter minus total occupied
space in the current quarter, quoted
on a net, not gross, basis.)
New Space Absorption: The net
change in occupied new space
between two quarters.
Relet/Sublet Absorption: The net
change in occupied relet and sublet
space between two quarters.
Total Absorption: The The net
change in total occupied (new, relet,
and sublet) space between two
quarters.

Disclaimer
This report and other research materials may be found on our website at www.cushmanwakefield.com. This is a research document of Cushman
& Wakefield in Washington, DC. Questions related to information herein should be directed to the Research Department at 202-463-2100.
Information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof.
About Cushman & Wakefield
Cushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients transform the way people work, shop, and live. The firms
43,000 employees in more than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for occupiers and investors
around the world. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest commercial real estate services firms with revenue of $5 billion across core services
of agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facility services (C&W Services), global occupier services, investment & asset management
(DTZ Investors), project & development services, tenant representation, and valuation & advisory. To learn more, visit www.cushmanwakefield.
com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

cushmanwakefield.com | 25

Visit cushmanwakefield.com for more information on the full range of


Cushman & Wakefield commercial real estate services or contact:
Nathan Edwards
Regional Director
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Joseph Wood
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100
Sam Prendergast
Research Analyst
2101 L Street, NW, Suite 700
Washington, DC 20037
+1 202 463 2100

About Cushman & Wakefield


Cushman & Wakefield is a leading global real estate services firm that helps clients
transform the way people work, shop, and live. The firms 43,000 employees in more
than 60 countries provide deep local and global insights that create significant value for
occupiers and investors around the world. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest
commercial real estate services firms with revenue of $5 billion across core services
of agency leasing, asset services, capital markets, facility services (C&W Services),
global occupier services, investment & asset management (DTZ Investors), project &
development services, tenant representation, and valuation & advisory. To learn more,
visit www.cushmanwakefield.com or follow @CushWake on Twitter.

Publication date: 11.12.15


Copyright 2015 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved.

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