EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM EASTERN, NOVEMBER 19, 2015

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK

METHODOLOGY
Mainstreet Research surveyed a random sample of 2,718 Canadians by
Smart IVR on November 16, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell
phones were surveyed. Results were weighed by language, age
and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.This poll has a
margin of error of +/- 1.88 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

REGIONAL MARGINS OF ERROR

ATLANTIC
+/- 5.23%, 19 times out of 20
QUBEC
+/- 3.84%, 19 times out of 20
ONTARIO
+/- 3.9%, 19 times out of 20
PRAIRIES
+/- 5.22%, 19 times out of 20
ALBERTA
+/- 5.25%, 19 times out of 20
BRITISH COLUMBIA
+/- 5.01%, 19 times out of 20

ATTRIBUTION
Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

A3

CANADIANS PREFER BOMBING MISSION - BUT MORE APPROVE OF TRAINING

MISSION
November 19, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new national Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds Canadians
would choose a bombing mission over a training mission 38% to 28% - but more approve of the
training mission, 70%, than the bombing mission, 60%, overall. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has
a margin of error of +/- 1.88 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Support is more intense for the bombing mission than the training mission, said Quito Maggi,
President of Mainstreet Research. But the training mission has wider support. Either way, most
Canadians believe Canada should be taking a role in the ght against ISIS. Only 8% of Canadians
would support no action at all.
Opinion is split on Canadian action on refugees. 46% of Canadians are dissatised (42% satised)
and 53% disapprove of the governments plan to bring in 25,000 refugees by the end of the year.
Conservatives have said the refugee plan needs to be slowed down for proper security
screening, continued Maggi. This has been repeated in the United States with headlines showing
some states wont accept refugees. Our earlier polling showed strong support for bringing
refugees to Canada but after the attacks in Paris security is now a higher concern.
We asked Canadians if they thought an attack was likely here at home, 28% said its very likely
and 38%. Most expect the threat will come from overseas, 41% see international terrorism as a
greater threat than domestic terrorism, 34%, despite the fact Canada has faced signicantly more
domestic terrorist attacks.
Most, 63%, are not concerned about an attack occurring at their home or workplace. And 42% of
Canadians do not believe Canada is ready to confront a terrorist attack, while 26% do, and 32%
dont know, nished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.
30Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A4

Currently Canadian aircraft are carrying out a bombing mission against the Islamic
State, also known as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of the bombing mission?
10%

30%

60%

Approve
STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE
SAMPLE
STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE
SAMPLE

Disapprove

Not Sure

18-34
36%
16%
15%
24%
10%
367

35-49
46%
16%
14%
17%
9%
483

BC
43%
13%
16%
23%
6%
383

50-64
52%
15%
12%
12%
9%
846

65+ Male Female

48% 49% 41%
15% 15%
16%
11% 10%
16%
15% 18%
16%
11%
8%
11%
1022 1302 1416

AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
53% 51% 45% 43% 40%
12% 14%
17% 15%
18%
11%
12%
12% 15%
15%
14% 14%
16% 19%
16%
9%
10%
11% 9%
12%
349 353
630 652
351

A5

Some have suggested that Canada's role should be training local ground troops
from the area to ght against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS. Do you approve
or disapprove of a training mission?
9%

21%

70%

Approve
STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE

STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE

Disapprove
18-34
40%
27%
2%
14%
17%

Not Sure
35-49
43%
26%
12%
14%
5%
BC
38%
25%
8%
14%
16%

50-64
48%
27%
9%
9%
7%
AB
41%
29%
8%
13%
8%

65+
41%
28%
14%
10%
7%

PR
41%
29%
8%
13%
9%

Male Female
50% 36%
24% 30%
8%
9%
12%
13%
7%
12%

ON QC ATL
45% 44% 40%
27% 25% 30%
9% 8% 12%
11% 14% 10%
8% 9%
8%

A6

And if you had to choose Canada's role between a bombing mission, a training
mission, something else, or nothing at all, what would you choose?
9%

8%

38%

17%

28%
Bombing Mission

BOMBING MISSION
TRAINING MISSION
SOMETHING ELSE
NOTHING AT ALL
NOT SURE
BOMBING MISSION
TRAINING MISSION
SOMETHING ELSE
NOTHING AT ALL
NOT SURE

Training Mission

Something Else
18-34
34%
28%
18%
12%
9%

35-49
42%
22%
22%
8%
7%
BC
38%
29%
20%
8%
5%

Nothing At All
50-64
37%
34%
15%
6%
8%
AB
45%
22%
20%
6%
8%

Not Sure

65+ Male Female

40% 41%
35%
30% 28% 28%
15% 17%
18%
5%
9%
7%
10%
5%
12%

PR
36%
34%
16%
6%
8%

ON QC ATL
38% 37% 32%
28% 28% 34%
16% 18% 17%
8% 9%
8%
11% 8%
9%

A7

And, how satised are you with the government of Canada's response so far to
Syria's refugee crisis?
12%

42%

46%

Satisfied

VERY SATISFIED
SOMEWHAT SATISFIED
SOMEWHAT DISSATISFIED
VERY DISSATISFIED
NOT SURE
VERY SATISFIED
SOMEWHAT SATISFIED
SOMEWHAT DISSATISFIED
VERY DISSATISFIED
NOT SURE

Dissatisfied
18-34
14%
23%
16%
32%
15%

Not Sure
35-49
19%
27%
17%
26%
11%
BC
14%
25%
17%
28%
16%

50-64
18%
24%
17%
28%
13%
AB
14%
21%
15%
39%
11%

65+
22%
21%
19%
27%
10%

PR
15%
21%
16%
37%
11%

Male Female
22%
14%
24% 25%
18%
16%
27% 30%
10%
15%

ON
20%
24%
18%
27%
12%

QC
18%
27%
18%
25%
12%

ATL
20%
24%
17%
26%
13%

A8

The Government of Canada has announced plans to settle 25,000 refugees in

Canada before the end of the year. Do you approve or disapprove of this plan?
5%

42%

53%

Approve

STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE

STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE

Disapprove
18-34
29%
10%
23%
30%
8%

Not Sure
35-49
23%
20%
14%
40%
3%
BC
27%
19%
15%
30%
10%

50-64
20%
22%
15%
39%
4%
AB
19%
12%
20%
45%
4%

65+
21%
21%
17%
38%
4%

PR
19%
12%
19%
45%
5%

Male Female
26% 22%
18%
18%
16%
19%
37% 36%
4%
6%

ON
23%
19%
18%
36%
4%

QC
26%
18%
17%
35%
4%

ATL
23%
24%
14%
34%
5%

A10

And how likely do you think a terrorist attack in Canada is? Is it very likely,
somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely or not likely at all?
4%
8%
28%

22%

38%
Very Likely

Somewhat Likely

VERY LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY
NOT LIKELY AT ALL
NOT SURE

VERY LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY
NOT LIKELY AT ALL
NOT SURE

Somewhat Unlikely
18-34
20%
35%
25%
14%
6%

Not At All Likely

35-49
26%
41%
24%
6%
3%

50-64
38%
37%
16%
5%
4%

Not Sure

65+ Male Female

29% 28% 28%
42% 33% 44%
20% 24%
19%
4% 10%
6%
4%
4%
4%

BC
AB PR
27% 36% 36%
40% 31% 33%
22% 20% 18%
7%
8% 8%
3%
5% 6%

ON QC ATL
27% 25% 23%
39% 40% 42%
22% 23% 22%
8% 8%
9%
4% 4% 4%

A11

And in your opinion what is a greater threat to Canada? Is it homegrown terrorism,

terrorism carried out by Canadians, or international terrorism, terrorism carried out
by foreigners?

25%
34%

41%
Homegrown Terrorism

HOMEGROWN TERRORISM
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
NOT SURE

HOMEGROWN TERRORISM
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
NOT SURE

International Terrorism

18-34
34%
40%
26%

35-49
30%
47%
24%

Not Sure

50-64
37%
37%
26%

65+
35%
41%
24%

BC
AB PR
30% 34% 35%
44% 40% 42%
27% 26% 23%

Male Female
38% 30%
41%
41%
21%
29%

ON QC ATL
36% 32% 36%
39% 44% 36%
25% 24% 28%

A12

And, are you personally concerned about a terrorist attack in the area where you
live or work?

17%

20%

63%

Yes

YES
NO
NOT SURE

YES
NO
NOT SURE

No

Not Sure
18-34
25%
61%
14%

35-49
21%
63%
17%
BC
10%
73%
17%

50-64
18%
64%
18%

65+ Male Female

16% 21%
20%
64% 62% 63%
21% 17%
18%

AB PR ON QC ATL
25% 10% 25% 20% 16%
56% 82% 57% 63% 68%
19% 8% 18% 17% 17%

A12

And, in your opinion, is Canada prepared to deal with a terrorist attack, or not?

26%
32%

42%

Yes

YES
NO
NOT SURE

YES
NO
NOT SURE

No

Not Sure
18-34
36%
39%
25%

35-49
25%
42%
33%
BC
30%
43%
27%

50-64
21%
46%
34%

65+ Male Female

20% 32% 20%
43% 42% 43%
38% 26% 37%

AB PR ON QC
24% 24% 25% 27%
54% 51% 40% 40%
23% 25% 36% 33%

ATL
27%
36%
37%

A13

SCRIPT
Currently Canadian aircraft are carrying out a bombing mission against the Islamic State, also
known as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of the bombing mission?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Dissapprove
Strongly Dissapprove
Not Sure
Some have suggested that Canadas role should be training local ground troops from the area to
ght against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of a training
mission?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Dissapprove
Strongly Dissapprove
Not Sure
And if you had to choose Canadas role between a bombing mission, a training mission, something
else, or nothing at all, what would you choose?
Bombing Mission
Training Mission
Something Else
Nothing At All
Not Sure
And, how satised are you with the government of Canadas response so far to Syrias refugee
crisis?
Very Satised
Somewhat Satised
Somewhat Dissatised
Strongly Dissatised
Not Sure
The Government of Canada has announced plans to settle 25,000 refugees in Canada before the
end of the year. Do you approve or disapprove of this plan?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Dissapprove
Strongly Dissapprove
Not Sure

A14

SCRIPT
And how likely do you think a terrorist attack in Canada is? Is it very likely, somewhat likely,
somewhat unlikely or not likely at all?
Very Likely
Somewhat Likely
Somewhat Unlikely
Not Likely At All
Not Sure
And in your opinion what is a greater threat to Canada? Is it homegrown terrorism, terrorism
carried out by Canadians, or international terrorism, terrorism carried out by foreigners?
Homegrown Terrorism
International Terrorism
Not Sure
And, are you personally concerned about a terrorist attack in the area where you live or work?
Yes
No
Not Sure
And, in your opinion, is Canada prepared to deal with a terrorist attack, or not?
Yes
No
Not Sure

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.

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