Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Leah Goddard
16 International Trade
Industry Definition
18 Business Locations
32 Industry Assistance
Main Activities
Similar Industries
20 Competitive Landscape
33 Key Statistics
Additional Resources
33 Industry Data
33 Annual Change
33 Key Ratios
4 Industry at a Glance
22 Basis of Competition
5 Industry Performance
23 Barriers to Entry
Executive Summary
23 Industry Globalization
Current Performance
25 Major Companies
Industry Outlook
29 Operating Conditions
29 Capital Intensity
14 Demand Determinants
15 Major Markets
30 Revenue Volatility
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Main Activities
Similar Industries
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Additional Resources
IBISWorld
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Industry at a Glance
Gold & Silver Ore Mining in 2015
Key Statistics
Snapshot
Revenue
Profit
Exports
Businesses
$10.2bn -0.5%
2.4%
$224.2m 177
$3.3bn
Market Share
Barrick Gold
Corporation
30.1%
60
2000
% change
Newmont Mining
Corporation
21.7%
40
20
0
Kinross Gold
Corporation
7.5%
20
Year 07
09
Revenue
11
13
15
17
19
1500
1000
500
Year 06
21
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
Employment
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
p. 25
4.8%
Silver bullion
1.2%
1.4%
Investor uncertainty
Silver dore
Industrial
production index
1.3%
17.3%
Gold dore
74.0%
Gold bullion
p. 5
SOURCE:
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
SOURCE:
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Structure
Mature
Regulation Level
Heavy
Revenue Volatility
High
Technology Change
Capital Intensity
High
Barriers to Entry
High
Industry Assistance
Low
Industry Globalization
Low
Concentration Level
Medium
Competition Level
High
FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 33
Medium
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Industry Performance
Investor uncertainty
Gold has long been regarded as a safe
and secure investment. When economic
uncertainty rises and investors seek to
transfer funds from riskier assets into
safer assets, demand for gold increases.
While investors flight to gold following
the financial crisis has subsided in
recent years, investor uncertainty is
expected to increase in 2015,
representing a potential opportunity for
the industry.
As
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Industry Performance
35
30
1500
25
20
1000
15
500
Year 06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
10
Year 06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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Industry Performance
Current
Performance
Investment demand
Weakened
demand from
downstream markets
accelerated the contraction
in industry revenue
the recession. Consequently, with
deteriorating gold and silver prices,
industry revenue declined as well.
Silver is more closely linked to the
industrial sector and represents less
than 10.0% of industry revenue. Over
the period, industrial demand for silver
has modestly declined due to weak
economic activity, while investment
demand has increased. In fact, since
2010, growing investment demand
inflated gold and silver prices enough for
jewelry demand to drop, causing
domestic jewelry manufacturers share
of industry revenue to decline over the
period. Investment in gold and silver
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Industry Performance
Investment demand
continued
Decreasing
production
Price
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Industry Performance
Steady demand
Industry revenue
40
30
% change
Industry
Outlook
20
10
0
10
20
Year 07
09
11
13
15
17
19
21
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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Industry Performance
Heightened
competition
Depleting
resources will
keep production low and
drive industry operators to
invest abroad
attempt to expand operations to benefit
from economies of scale. Overall profit is
projected to rise slightly due to the stricter
implementation of cost-control measures.
Meanwhile, the total number of industry
participants is expected to grow
marginally at an average annual rate of
0.3% to reach 180 companies over the
next five years. Similarly, industry
employment is anticipated to increase at
an annualized rate of 1.3% to 13,521
workers as the growing size of mines
drives up demand for labor.
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Industry Performance
Rising prices drive revenue growth
20
Maturity
Quality Growth
Company
consolidation;
level of economic
importance stable
15
10
Quantity Growth
Copper, Nickel,
Lead & Zinc
Mining
Jewelry Manufacturing
Decline
-5
Shrinking economic
importance
-10
-10
-5
10
15
20
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Industry Performance
industry
is M
ature
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Supply Chain
33991
52
99
Consumers in the US
Consumers purchase gold and silver for decorative and investment purposes from retail
markets.
32518
42383
42469
42472
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4.8%
Silver bullion
1.2%
17.3%
Gold dore
1.4%
Silver dore
1.3%
74.0%
Gold bullion
Total $10.2bn
silver bullion from downstream
industries is greater than demand for
unpurified forms. This trend is minimal,
however, and has primarily been evident
in gold dore.
Demand
Determinants
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Output
Mine output for both metals has
experienced long-term declines due to
resource depletion and decreased
infrastructure investment. However, US
gold production increased in 2010 and
2011. Before 2010, gold production in the
United States had declined consistently
since 2001. The recent jump in production
can be attributed to mine exploration and
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Demand
Determinants
continued
Major Markets
9.0%
Other
19.5%
37.8%
33.7%
Total $10.2bn
Jewelry manufacturing
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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International Trade
The United States is the worlds thirdlargest gold producer, behind China and
Australia. Recent declines in total US
production, coupled with increases in
Australian production in the past five
years, have caused it to drop from the
second-place rank it held in 2008. The
United States is also a major silver
producer, ranking ninth in total global
production. Traded gold and silver ores
are usually sent to refineries within the
copper, zinc and lead refining industry
(IBISWorld industry report 33141);
hence, most refined traded gold and
silver is not accounted for in the Gold and
in the
industry are L ow
and D
ecreasing
Exports To...
$ million
Major Markets
continued
200
0
200
Year 07
Exports
09
11
13
Imports
15
17
19
21
Balance
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Imports From...
7%
All others
3%
Belgium
1%
Peru
13%
6%
Dominican Republic
Mexico
52%
China
26%
93%
Japan
Canada
Year: 2015
Total $224.2m
Total $19.5m
SOURCE: USITC
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International Trade
continued
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West
New
England
AK
10.7
Great
Lakes
WA
ND
MT
2.4
Rocky
Mountains
ID
OR
0.0
West NV
71.9
0.0
SD
1.0
WY
0.0
MN
0.0
1.0
Plains
CO
8.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
KY
2.2
OK
0.0
AZ
NM
0.0
0.0
Southwest
TX
0.0
HI
0.0
2 NH
3 MA
4 RI
5 CT
6 NJ
7 DE
8 MD
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
NC
0.0
SC
Southeast
MS
AL
0.0
0.0
GA
0.0
0.0
LA
0.0
FL
0.0
Production (%)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
TN
AR
WV VA
0.0
0.0
CA
West
OH
0.0
MO
KS
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
IN
IL
0.0
UT
PA
0.0
0.0
0.0
1 2
3
NY
0.0
5 4
MI
0.0
IA
NE
0.0
WI
ME
MidAtlantic
9 DC
0.0
Less than 3%
3% to less than 10%
10% to less than 20%
20% or more
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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80
80
60
60
Production
Production
Population
Establishments
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
Plains
New England
Mid-Atlantic
West
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
0
Plains
0
New England
20
Mid-Atlantic
20
Great Lakes
40
West
40
Great Lakes
100
Business Locations
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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20
Competitive Landscape
industry is M
edium
identifies
250 Key Success
Factors for a
business. The most
important for this
industry are:
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Profit
Industry profit margins are high because
there are few companies with the ability
to mine gold and silver, and therefore
industry operators wield some pricesetting power. This power is furthered by
the fact that there are few companies in
the industry and therefore there is
limited competition. In 2015, profit
margins stand at an estimated 32.0% of
revenue. Nevertheless, profit can be
extremely volatile. Revenue has soared
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21
Competitive Landscape
Industry Costs
(2015)
100
17.2
80
Percentage of revenue
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
60
22.1
40
17.3
1.9
20
32.0
9.6
11.1
20.7
3.3
28.6
Profit
Wages
Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
Rent & Utilities
Other
14.4
2.3
5.8
13.7
0
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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22
Competitive Landscape
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
Basis of Competition
in this
industry is H
ighand
the trend is S
teady
Internal competition
Individual producers primarily compete
on the basis of cost because they are
unable to influence gold or silver prices.
The lowest-cost mining operations are
better able to survive periods of low gold
and silver prices or increases in input
costs. Low-cost operations also find it
easier to secure financing, attract labor
and are better able to pursue
technological development.
Competition among major players is
also centered on the acquisition of
attractive mineral properties. Acquiring
or holding rights to properties with high
gold or silver deposits determines the
level of company production, which
highly influences financial results.
International gold and silver mining
activities are a major source of
competition for US producers. While
many US producers also operate abroad,
companies with greater operations
outside the United States can sometimes
gain an advantage through lower labor,
material and energy costs. Furthermore,
government-owned mining operations in
many African countries are backed by
External competition
Gold and silver both face competition in
end-use markets from other materials. In
its major market, jewelry, gold and silver
compete with other precious metals,
including platinum, and, to a lesser extent,
with metals such as stainless steel. This
competition is, however, limited and
declining as demand for gold jewelry has
dropped while demand for gold as an
investment item has greatly increased.
Gold faces competition in the small
dentistry market from substitute
products, such as stainless steel and
various types of plastics and ceramics.
While competition from these products is
rising in developed countries, primarily
for aesthetic reasons, the growth of
improved dentistry in less-developed
countries still relies heavily on gold.
As a precious metal investment option,
gold and silver primarily face competition
from platinum, with gold representing
the greatest portion of this investment.
These metals also face competition from
the general investment market because
many investors focus on precious metals,
especially in difficult and uncertain
economic times. In recent years, the US
economy has seen interest in gold
investments increase in relation to
interest in stocks and bonds and currency
movements. An example of this
relationship is the decreasing ratio of the
Dow Jones Industrial Average value over
the unit price of gold.
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23
Competitive Landscape
Barriers to Entry
Level & Trend
arriers to Entry
B
Industry
Globalization
Level & Trend
lobalization
G
in
this industry is
Lowand the trend
is I ncreasing
Level
High
Medium
Mature
High
Medium
Heavy
Low
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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24
Competitive Landscape
Trade Globalization
200
Export
150
100
50
0 Local
0
200 Export
Exports/Revenue
International trade is a
major determinant of
an industrys level of
globalization.
Exports/Revenue
Industry
Globalization
continued
Import
Gold & Silver Ore Mining
40
80
120
Imports/Domestic Demand
160
Global
150
100
50
2015
0 Local2005
0
40
Import
80
120
160
Imports/Domestic Demand
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Major players
(Market share)
40.7%
Other
Player Performance
Barrick Gold
Corporation
Market share: 30.1%
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Revenue
($ million)
(% change)
Operating Income
($ million)
(% change)
2010
3,524.0
37.7
1,691.6
89.3
2011
4,914.0
39.4
2,947.7
74.3
2012
5,373.0
9.3
3,051.8
3.5
2013
4,117.0
-23.4
2,161.0
-29.2
2014*
3,215.5
-21.9
1,755.7
-18.8
2015*
3,093.3
-3.8
1,639.0
-6.6
*Estimates
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT AND IBISWORLD
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Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Financial performance
In the five years to 2015, company
revenue from US gold mining is
forecast to fall at an average annual rate
of 2.6% to $3.1 billion. Despite strong
growth in the early part of the period,
revenue has decreased in recent years
Player Performance
Newmont Mining
Corporation
Market share: 21.7%
Financial performance
Newmonts US gold mining operations
generate about one-quarter to one-third
of the companys revenue each year.
This revenue has risen and fallen over
Revenue
($ million)
EBIT
($ million)
(% change)
2010
2,111.0
2011
2,700.0
8.6
738.0
32.5
27.9
1,213.0
64.4
2012
2,851.0
5.6
1,372.0
13.1
2013
2,413.0
-15.4
-1,227.0
-189.4
2014*
2,015.0
-16.5
594.3
148.4
2015*
2,232.6
10.8
657.3
10.6
(% change)
*Estimates
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT AND IBISWORLD
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Player Performance
Kinross Gold
Corporation
Market share: 7.5%
Financial performance
Kinross US industry-relevant revenue
is projected to decrease at an
annualized rate of 3.2% to $768.3
million in the five years to 2015.
Overall, growing production in new
and existing mines and higher gold
prices resulted in impressive domestic
revenue growth in the early part of the
period. However, deteriorating gold
and silver prices in recent years have
reversed this trend, leading to steep
revenue declines since 2013.
(% change)
Net Income
($ million)
(% change)
2010
903.0
38.3
349.7
123.8
2011
1,028.4
13.9
439.8
25.8
2012
1,133.6
10.2
502.3
14.2
2013
1,039.6
-8.3
197.9
-60.6
2014*
847.1
-18.5
175.4
-11.4
2015*
768.3
-9.3
145.4
-17.1
Year
*Estimates
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT AND IBISWORLD
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Major Companies
Other Companies
Rio Tinto
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Operating Conditions
of capital
intensity is H
igh
Capital intensity
Economy
Mining
Information, Communications,
Mining, Finance and Real
Estate. To increase revenue
firms need superior debt
management, a stable
macroeconomic environment
and a sound investment plan.
Capital Intensive
Labor Intensive
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Operating Conditions
Level
The level
of
Technology Change
is M
edium
Revenue Volatility
Level
The level
of
Volatility is H
igh
Volatility vs Growth
1000
Technology
& Systems
Hazardous
Rollercoaster
100
10
1
0.1
Stagnant
30
10
Blue Chip
10
30
50
70
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Operating Conditions
Revenue Volatility
continued
Regulation is
Heavyand the
trend is S
teady
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Operating Conditions
Industry Assistance
Level & Trend
he level of
T
Industry Assistance
is L owand the
trend is S
teady
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Key Statistics
Industry Data
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Industry
Value Added Establish($m)
ments
3,300.3
157
2,765.0
158
4,131.6
162
4,736.0
166
7,022.1
179
9,482.0
200
10,048.3
225
4,706.5
207
6,087.5
199
5,835.8
197
5,851.0
198
5,968.5
196
6,006.9
197
6,392.0
198
6,732.9
201
7/14
10/14
428/1329 1105/1329
Enterprises Employment
132
9,146
139
12,959
145
11,113
148
11,322
160
11,392
180
11,555
200
15,431
186
13,668
180
12,664
177
12,692
178
12,754
176
12,839
177
12,860
178
13,223
180
13,521
10/14
8/14
1065/1329
916/1329
Exports
($m)
58.1
75.6
284.3
228.6
276.3
448.4
342.4
390.0
222.8
224.2
232.5
239.1
248.2
264.1
275.1
10/11
297/409
Imports
($m)
16.6
11.2
20.6
40.6
69.0
169.3
60.7
26.1
20.5
19.5
18.9
18.6
18.3
19.1
20.0
11/11
393/409
Wages
($m)
753.4
895.3
1,009.2
1,074.8
1,154.9
1,157.1
1,425.1
1,222.5
1,112.0
1,117.0
1,125.8
1,136.9
1,141.1
1,182.6
1,217.3
9/14
746/1329
Domestic
Demand
6,349.0
7,001.7
7,398.5
7,861.2
10,242.3
13,200.0
13,279.0
10,902.7
9,876.9
9,966.4
10,093.7
10,242.0
10,313.0
10,784.6
11,189.1
7/11
174/409
Price of Gold
($ per ounce)
604.7
696.9
872.5
972.1
1,225.5
1,569.6
1,668.5
1,410.8
1,271.8
1,282.8
1,300.3
1,320.3
1,330.3
1,395.9
1,451.6
N/A
N/A
Industry
EstablishRevenue Value Added
ments
(%)
(%)
(%)
10.6
-16.2
0.6
8.4
49.4
2.5
5.1
14.6
2.5
29.8
48.3
7.8
29.0
35.0
11.7
0.6
6.0
12.5
-16.9
-53.2
-8.0
-10.5
29.3
-3.9
0.9
-4.1
-1.0
1.3
0.3
0.5
1.5
2.0
-1.0
0.8
0.6
0.5
4.6
6.4
0.5
3.8
5.3
1.5
11/14
14/14
12/14
1081/1329 1271/1329 1127/1329
Enterprises Employment
(%)
(%)
5.3
41.7
4.3
-14.2
2.1
1.9
8.1
0.6
12.5
1.4
11.1
33.5
-7.0
-11.4
-3.2
-7.3
-1.7
0.2
0.6
0.5
-1.1
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.6
2.8
1.1
2.3
11/14
12/14
1172/1329 1010/1329
Exports
(%)
30.1
276.1
-19.6
20.9
62.3
-23.6
13.9
-42.9
0.6
3.7
2.8
3.8
6.4
4.2
8/11
302/409
Imports
(%)
-32.5
83.9
97.1
70.0
145.4
-64.1
-57.0
-21.5
-4.9
-3.1
-1.6
-1.6
4.4
4.7
11/11
395/409
Wages
(%)
18.8
12.7
6.5
7.5
0.2
23.2
-14.2
-9.0
0.4
0.8
1.0
0.4
3.6
2.9
13/14
1044/1329
Domestic
Demand
(%)
10.3
5.7
6.3
30.3
28.9
0.6
-17.9
-9.4
0.9
1.3
1.5
0.7
4.6
3.8
8/11
321/409
Price of Gold
(%)
15.2
25.2
11.4
26.1
28.1
6.3
-15.4
-9.9
0.9
1.4
1.5
0.8
4.9
4.0
N/A
N/A
Revenue
($m)
6,390.5
7,066.1
7,662.2
8,049.2
10,449.6
13,479.1
13,560.7
11,266.6
10,079.2
10,171.1
10,307.3
10,462.5
10,542.9
11,029.6
11,444.2
10/14
637/1329
Annual Change
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Key Ratios
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
IVA/Revenue
(%)
51.64
39.13
53.92
58.84
67.20
70.35
74.10
41.77
60.40
57.38
56.77
57.05
56.98
57.95
58.83
1/14
161/1329
Imports/
Demand
(%)
0.26
0.16
0.28
0.52
0.67
1.28
0.46
0.24
0.21
0.20
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
11/11
405/409
Exports/
Revenue
(%)
0.91
1.07
3.71
2.84
2.64
3.33
2.52
3.46
2.21
2.20
2.26
2.29
2.35
2.39
2.40
10/11
371/409
Revenue per
Employee
($000)
698.72
545.27
689.48
710.93
917.28
1,166.52
878.80
824.30
795.89
801.38
808.16
814.90
819.82
834.12
846.40
5/14
178/1329
Wages/Revenue
(%)
11.79
12.67
13.17
13.35
11.05
8.58
10.51
10.85
11.03
10.98
10.92
10.87
10.82
10.72
10.64
10/14
985/1329
Employees
per Est.
58.25
82.02
68.60
68.20
63.64
57.78
68.58
66.03
63.64
64.43
64.41
65.51
65.28
66.78
67.27
6/14
170/1329
Average Wage
($)
82,374.81
69,087.12
90,812.56
94,930.22
101,378.16
100,138.47
92,353.06
89,442.49
87,807.96
88,008.19
88,270.35
88,550.51
88,732.50
89,435.08
90,030.32
6/14
134/1329
Share of the
Economy
(%)
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.04
7/14
428/1329
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
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