DATOS ESTACIN PLUVIOMT

Estacin:
Denominacin:

Coordenadas UTM Huso 31 (m)

DATOS MENSUALES DE PRE

Ao

Enero

Febrero

Marzo

Abril

Mayo

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
MAX

3.00
0.05
5.90
6.00
8.70
20.30
23.80
20.40
109.30
3.50
4.60
11.70
50.20
33.60
74.50
139.70
139.70

0.00
0.14
13.60
10.50
9.70
87.20
56.50
40.50
174.90
7.20
21.50
42.30
102.30
51.80
112.40
218.60
218.60

63.80
0.01
33.50
9.50
20.10
103.20
128.20
99.30
241.70
16.10
35.20
99.00
200.80
67.20
118.60
271.70
271.70

1.90
0.00
11.80
8.30
7.70
29.70
40.70
34.40
150.70
5.00
15.10
35.90
83.50
51.00
81.80
210.30
210.30

0.00
0.00
1.90
1.10
1.50
2.60
2.80
4.80
48.80
0.40
1.00
2.90
11.60
18.90
32.80
80.30
80.30

STACIN PLUVIOMTRICA
X=
Y=

UTM Huso 31 (m)

Cota =

OS MENSUALES DE PRECIPITACIN MXIMA EN 24 Hrs. (mm)

Junio

Julio

Agosto

Septiembre

Octubre

Noviembre

0.00
0.00
0.40
0.10
0.40
0.30
0.50
2.00
17.40
0.40
0.20
0.50
5.30
5.70
9.30
20.70
20.70

0.00
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.30
5.90
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.20
1.50
6.50
8.00
8.00

0.00
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.20
8.80
0.20
0.30
0.20
1.40
2.90
9.70
12.60
12.60

0.00
0.00
0.20
0.50
0.30
0.30
0.20
0.60
15.80
0.30
0.30
0.50
1.60
5.40
11.00
19.80
19.80

0.00
0.00
0.80
0.50
0.90
1.00
1.10
2.00
37.70
0.30
0.80
0.80
3.90
16.40
35.90
50.00
50.00

0.00
0.00
1.30
0.80
1.00
0.80
1.10
1.00
42.00
0.30
0.50
0.80
3.30
13.80
26.60
46.10
46.10

Diciembre
0.00
0.00
9.70
0.70
1.30
1.90
10.80
2.90
61.30
0.30
0.90
2.10
8.50
18.70
33.50
86.50
86.50

Mximo
63.80
0.14
33.50
10.50
20.10
103.20
128.20
99.30
241.70
16.10
35.20
99.00
200.80
67.20
118.60
271.70
271.70

Distribucin de probabilidades pluviomtricas mediante Gum

N

Ao

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
16

Mes

Precipitacin (mm)

Max. Precip.

xi

(xi - x)^2

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Suma

63.80
0.14
33.50
10.50
20.10
103.20
128.20
99.30
241.70
16.10
35.20
99.00
200.80
67.20
118.60
271.70
1509.0

931.17
8868.91
3698.46
7024.96
5507.87
78.94
1148.19
24.85
21722.34
6117.59
3494.58
21.95
11339.05
735.22
589.76
31465.44

102769.3

S=

( xi x)2
i =1

n1

6 s

u=x 0 .5772

mediante Gumbel

S=

x=

xi =
n

( xi x)
i =1

mm

82.77

mm

6 s=

64.54

mm

n1

94.32

u=x 0 .5772 =

57.06

mm

Periodo

Variable

Retorno

Reducida

Aos

YT

2
5
10
25
50
100

0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001

500

6.2136

Precip.

Prob. de

Correccin

(mm)

ocurrencia

intervalo fijo

XT'(mm)

F(xT)

XT (mm)

80.7178
153.8663
202.2970
263.4892
308.8852
353.9459

0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900

91.2111
173.8689
228.5956
297.7428
349.0402
399.9588

458.0743

0.9980

F( x )= e

517.6240
x u

Coeficientes para las relaciones a la lluvia de duracin 24 horas

0.30

0.39

0.46

0.52

Duraciones, en horas
5
0.57

Precipitaciones mximas para diferentes tiempos de duracin de lluvias

Tiempo de
Duracin

Cociente

24 hr
18 hr
12 hr
8 hr
6 hr
5 hr
4 hr
3 hr
2 hr

X24
X18 = 91%
X12 = 80%
X8 = 68%
X6 = 61%
X5 = 57%
X4 = 52%
X3 = 46%
X2 = 39%

91.2111
83.0021
72.9689
62.0236
55.6388
51.9903
47.4298
41.9571
35.5723

173.8689
158.2207
139.0951
118.2309
106.0600
99.1053
90.4118
79.9797
67.8089

228.5956
208.0220
182.8764
155.4450
139.4433
130.2995
118.8697
105.1540
89.1523

1 hr

X1 = 30%

27.3633

52.1607

68.5787

2 aos

Precipitacin mxima Pd (mm) por tiemp

5 aos
10 aos

Fuente: D. F. Campos A., 1978

Duraciones, en horas
6
0.61

12

18

24

0.68

0.80

0.91

1.00

n mxima Pd (mm) por tiempos de duracin

25 aos
50 aos
100 aos

500 aos

297.7428
238.1943
238.1943
202.4651
181.6231
169.7134
154.8263
136.9617
116.1197

349.0402
317.6266
279.2322
237.3474
212.9145
198.9529
181.5009
160.5585
136.1257

399.9588
363.9626
319.9671
271.9720
243.9749
227.9765
207.9786
183.9811
155.9840

517.6240
471.0379
414.0992
351.9843
315.7506
295.0457
269.1645
238.1070
201.8734

89.3228

104.7121

119.9877

155.2872

Intensidades de lluvia a partir de Pd, segn Duracin de precipitacin y Frecuencia de la misma

Tiempo de duracin
Hr
min

2 aos

Intensidad de la lluvia (mm /hr) segn e

5 aos
10 aos

24 hr
18 hr
12 hr
8 hr
6 hr
5 hr
4 hr
3 hr
2 hr

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

3.8005
4.6112
6.0807
7.7529
9.2731
10.3981
11.8574
13.9857
17.7862

7.2445
8.7900
11.5913
14.7789
17.6767
19.8211
22.6030
26.6599
33.9044

9.5248
11.5568
15.2397
19.4306
23.2405
26.0599
29.7174
35.0513
44.5761

1 hr

60

27.3633

52.1607

68.5787

n y Frecuencia de la misma

e la lluvia (mm /hr) segn el Periodo de Retorno

25 aos
50 aos
100 aos

500 aos

12.4060
13.2330
19.8495
25.3081
30.2705
33.9427
38.7066
45.6539
58.0599

14.5433
17.6459
23.2693
29.6684
35.4858
39.7906
45.3752
53.5195
68.0628

16.6650
20.2201
26.6639
33.9965
40.6625
45.5953
51.9947
61.3270
77.9920

21.5677
26.1688
34.5083
43.9980
52.6251
59.0091
67.2911
79.3690
100.9367

89.3228

104.7121

119.9877

155.2872

Representacin matemtica de las curvas Intensidad - Duracin - Perodo de retorno:

d= KT m

Realizando un cambio de variable:

I=

Con lo que de la anterior expresin se obtiene:

d
I =dt
n
t

Periodo de retorno para T = 2 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

3.8005
4.6112
6.0807
7.7529
9.2731
10.3981
11.8574
13.9857
17.7862

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

1.3351
1.5285
1.8051
2.0481
2.2271
2.3416
2.4730
2.6380
2.8784

60

27.3633

4.0943

3.3092

10

4980

112.9092

58.1555

22.5842

Ln (d) =

5.8430

d=

344.8259

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 5 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

7.2445
8.7900
11.5913
14.7789
17.6767
19.8211
22.6030
26.6599
33.9044

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

1.9802
2.1736
2.4503
2.6932
2.8722
2.9867
3.1181
3.2832
3.5235

60

52.1607

4.0943

3.9543

10

4980

215.2304

58.1555

29.0354

Ln (d) =

6.4882

d=

657.3158

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 10 aos

N
1

ln x

ln y

1440

9.5248

7.2724

2.2539

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

11.5568
15.2397
19.4306
23.2405
26.0599
29.7174
35.0513
44.5761

6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

2.4473
2.7239
2.9669
3.1459
3.2604
3.3917
3.5568
3.7972

60

68.5787

4.0943

4.2280

10

4980

282.9759

58.1555

31.7719

Ln (d) =

6.7618

d=

864.2113

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 25 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480

12.4060
13.2330
19.8495
25.3081

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738

2.5182
2.5827
2.9882
3.2311

360
300
240
180
120

30.2705
33.9427
38.7066
45.6539
58.0599

5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

3.4102
3.5247
3.6560
3.8211
4.0615

60

89.3228

4.0943

4.4923

4980

366.7530

58.1555

34.2859

7.1135

d=

1228.3948

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 50 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

14.5433
17.6459
23.2693
29.6684
35.4858
39.7906
45.3752
53.5195
68.0628

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

2.6771
2.8705
3.1471
3.3901
3.5691
3.6836
3.8150
3.9800
4.2204

60

104.7121

4.0943

4.6512

10

4980

432.0730

58.1555

36.0043

Ln (d) =

7.1851

d=

1319.5554

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 100 aos

N
1
2
3
4

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480

16.6650
20.2201
26.6639
33.9965

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738

2.8133
3.0067
3.2833
3.5263

5
6
7
8
9
10

360
300
240
180
120

40.6625
45.5953
51.9947
61.3270
77.9920

5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875

3.7053
3.8198
3.9511
4.1162
4.3566

60

119.9877

4.0943

4.7874

10

4980

495.1046

58.1555

37.3660

Ln (d) =

7.3212

d=

1512.0545

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 500 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240

21.5677
26.1688
34.5083
43.9980
52.6251
59.0091
67.2911

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806

3.0712
3.2646
3.5412
3.7841
3.9632
4.0777
4.2090

180
120

79.3690
100.9367

5.1930
4.7875

4.3741
4.6145

60

155.2872

4.0943

5.0453

4980

640.7610

58.1555

39.9449

7.5791

d=

1956.8906

n=

KT
I=
tn

e retorno:

m
en la cual:
I=
t=
T=
K, m, n =

d
I =dt n
n
t

aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

9.7095
10.6761
11.8764
12.6444
13.1091
13.3561
13.5534
13.6992
13.7804

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

13.5490

16.7637

125.9536

346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

Regresin T= 2 aos

f(x) = 344.8259 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I Vs. t

Power (I Vs. t)

aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

14.4012
15.1821
16.1208
16.6272
16.9063
17.0357
17.0891
17.0493
16.8689

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

16.1904

16.7637

163.4711

346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 5 aos
f(x) = 657.3158 x^-0.6164
R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

Power (I vs T)

ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

16.3913

52.8878

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

0 aos

1000

Regresin T= 10 aos

f(x) = 864.2113 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

17.3108

16.7637

179.3855

346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r

17.0935
17.9212
18.3167
18.5171
18.5966
18.5889
18.4704
18.1791

Regresin T= 10 aos

f(x) = 864.2113 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

1000

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

Power (I vs T)

5 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

18.3132
18.0395
19.6600
19.9483

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156

20.0726
20.1040
20.0373
19.8428
19.4443

34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

18.3928

16.7637

193.8547

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 25 aos

f(x) = 1,228.3948 x^-0.6336

R = 0.9953

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

346.9435

Power (I vs T)

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

19.4692
20.0497
20.7058
20.9296
21.0083
21.0106
20.9085
20.6682
20.2053

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

19.0437

16.7637

203.9988

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6336

Regresin T= 50 aos
f(x) = 1,319.5554 x^-0.6164
R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

346.9435

Power (I vs T)

ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

20.4595
21.0008
21.6017
21.7704

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

0 aos

1000

Regresin T= 100 aos

f(x) = 1,512.0545 x^-0.6164
R = 0.9994

In te n s id

Regresin T= 100 aos

f(x) = 1,512.0545 x^-0.6164
R = 0.9994

21.8098
21.7873
21.6548
21.3754
20.8572

34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201

19.6012

16.7637

211.9181

346.9435

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

Power (I vs T)

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

22.3350
22.8021
23.2984
23.3625
23.3278
23.2583
23.0682

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374

22.7146
22.0918

26.9668
22.9201

20.6571

16.7637

226.9157

346.9435

-0.6164

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 500 aos

f(x) = 1,956.8906 x^-0.6164
R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

1000

Duracin (m in)
Column D

Power (Column D)

Intensidad (mm/hr)
Duracin de la lluvia (min)
Perodo de retorno (aos)
Parmetros de ajuste

Serie T= 2 aos
x

esin T= 2 aos

x^-0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Dur acin (m in)

I Vs. t

1440

3.8005

1080

4.6112

720

6.0807

480

7.7529

360

9.2731

300

10.3981

240

11.8574

180

13.9857

120

17.7862

60

27.3633

Power (I Vs. t)

Serie T= 5 aos

esin T= 5 aos

0.6164

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

1400

1600

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120

7.2445
8.7900
11.5913
14.7789
17.6767
19.8211
22.6030
26.6599
33.9044

60

52.1607

Power (I vs T)

esin T= 10 aos

0.6164

1200

Serie T= 10 aos

y
1440

9.5248

esin T= 10 aos

0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

1080

11.5568

720

15.2397

480

19.4306

360

23.2405

300

26.0599

240

29.7174

180

35.0513

120

44.5761

60

68.5787

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 25 aos

esin T= 25 aos

x^-0.6336

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

y
1440

12.4060

1080

13.2330

720

19.8495

480

25.3081

360

30.2705

300

33.9427

240

38.7066

180

45.6539

120

58.0599

60

89.3228

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 50 aos

sin T= 50 aos

x^-0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

y
1440

14.5433

1080

17.6459

720

23.2693

480

29.6684

360

35.4858

300

39.7906

240

45.3752

180

53.5195

120

68.0628

60

104.7121

Power (I vs T)

sin T= 100 aos

1,512.0545 x^-0.6164
0.9994

Serie T= 100 aos

y
1440

16.6650

1080

20.2201

720

26.6639

480

33.9965

sin T= 100 aos

1,512.0545 x^-0.6164
0.9994

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

360

40.6625

300

45.5953

240

51.9947

180

61.3270

120

77.9920

60

119.9877

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 500 aos

esin T= 500 aos

(x) = 1,956.8906 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

600

800

1000

Duracin (m in)
Column D

Power (Column D)

1200

1400

1600

y
1440

21.5677

1080

26.1688

720

34.5083

480

43.9980

360

52.6251

300

59.0091

240

67.2911

180

79.3690

120

100.9367

60

155.2872

Resumen de aplicacin de regresin potencial

Periodo de
Retorno (aos)

Trmino ctte. de
regresin (d)

2
5
10
25
50
100
500
Promedio =

344.82591342651
657.31579113092
864.21128081268
1228.39475647483
1319.55537707374
1512.05451687698
1956.89064246982
1126.17832546650

En funcin del cambio de variable realizado, se realiza otra regresin de potencia entre las columnas del
para obtener valores de la ecuacin:

d= KT

Regresin potenci
N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

2
5
10
25
50
100

344.8259
657.3158
864.2113
1228.3948
1319.5554
1512.0545

500

1956.8906

692

7883.2483

Ln (K) =

5.9444

Termino constante de regresin (K) =

Coef. de regresin (m) =

K=

381.6239
0.296190

egresin potencial
Coef. de
regresin [n]
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.63362500463
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61884879045

d= KT

Regresin potencial
ln x

ln y

ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

0.6931
1.6094
2.3026
3.2189
3.9120
4.6052

5.8430
6.4882
6.7618
7.1135
7.1851
7.3212

4.0501
10.4423
15.5697
22.8974
28.1081
33.7155

0.4805
2.5903
5.3019
10.3612
15.3039
21.2076

6.2146

7.5791

47.1012

38.6214

22.5558

48.2919

161.8842

93.8667

381.6239

m=

0.2962

C o n s t a n t e d e R e g r e s i n d

otencia entre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y el trmino constante de regresin (d),

2100.0000

f
R

1600.0000
1100.0000
600.0000
100.0000
0

C o n s t a n t e d e R e g r e s i n d

2100.0000

f(x) = 381.6239 x^0.2962

R = 0.8973

1600.0000
1100.0000
600.0000
100.0000
0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Per odo de Re torno (aos )

d Vs. T

Power (d Vs. T)

350

400

450

500

y
2

344.8259

657.3158

10

864.2113

25

1228.3948

50

1319.5554

100

1512.0545

500

1956.8906

La ecuacin de intensidad vlida para la cuenca resulta:

381.6239

I=

Tabla de intensi
Frecuencia
aos
2
5
10
25
50
100

5
173.08
227.04
278.78
365.71
449.05
551.39

10
112.71
147.85
181.54
238.15
292.42
359.06

15
87.70
115.04
141.25
185.30
227.53
279.38

20
73.39
96.28
118.22
155.08
190.42
233.82

500

888.15

578.36

450.01

376.62

INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

Curva

10

15

20

TIEM

10

15

20

TIEM

Donde:

0.296190

I = intensidad de precipitacin (mm/hr)

T = Periodo de Retorno (aos)

* T
0.61885

t = Tiempo de duracin de precipitacin (min)

Tabla de intensidades - Tiempo de duracin

Duracin en minutos
25
63.93
83.86
102.97
135.08
165.86
203.66

30
57.11
74.91
91.98
120.66
148.16
181.93

35
51.91
68.10
83.61
109.68
134.68
165.38

40
47.79
62.69
76.98
100.99
124.00
152.26

45
44.43
58.29
71.57
93.89
115.28
141.56

50
41.63
54.61
67.05
87.96
108.01
132.62

328.04

293.04

266.38

245.25

228.01

213.62

Curvas IDF de la cuenca

15

20

25

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

30

35

40

45

50

55

15

20

25

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

30

35

40

45

50

55

pitacin (mm/hr)

n de precipitacin (min)

50

55
39.24
51.48
63.21
82.92
101.82
125.02

60
37.19
48.78
59.90
78.58
96.48
118.47

201.38

190.83

55

60

50

55

60