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DATE

:
.
:

TIME

IAT*it*k'

EAB2123/EBB2123 - P"ROBA'ETY STA11STICS

20 NOVEMBER 2010 (SATURDAY).
2.3 O PM (3 hours)

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
I

Answer ALL questin the Answer Bocket..

2.

Begin EACH answer on a new page.

ricicata cIeary answers that are cancafled, fany.

4w

Where appcabaa, show cearly steps taken Nnarriving at the salufions and
ALL
ndcate
assumptions.

5.

Do not open this Question BoaMet until instructed.

There are

:L

(Ii) pages in this Question Booklet

including the cover page.

L

Engineering Data & Formu'ae Book'iet is provkied (B24, - B41)

Un:.i. vor`sit.

'. '".
.
.

"
,
1
:

c,
,
.

EAB I EBB 2123

I

a!

A contractor wishes to 'hkl for a construction project in Bandar Sri

iskandar. The profit (in thousand RM) of the project is described by
Figure
Qi.
density
function,.
in
the f1'Nowing
f(x),
given
probability

-2N

FI%URE

Profit, x

(RNI

I 000)

QI

Determine the probabHtyden&ty function, f(x).

[2 marksj
ri

Find the probabiity that contractor will lose money in this job.
[2 marks]

iiL

akuIate the proba'htythat his profit s more than RM"'

NOOOd
[2 marks]

iv

Find the cumuiatve distribution io of the random variabe.

[4 marks]

EAB ! EBB 2123

brklge
has
booth
toll
The number of cars arr'vrg
a
on a particular
at a
Poisson distributorw with a mean arri of 2.5 cars per minute.
Wb the probability that in any given minute
no

cars

arrive?

N
IRMI

12 marks]
not rorthan two cars arrive?
[3 marks]

c.

(b)
booth
toll
the
s
lf the expected number of cars arriving at
part
20
between
that
find
the
lntervalp
25 cars per tenrnlnute
probability
lr
ten-nnnute
booth
toll
the
30
given
any
at
arrive
cars
will
and
intervaL

[5 marks]

EAB I EBB 2123

2.

a.

The syflow contaminant from an ndustrxaIplant eUed by a

4.
10
normal random aclab!e with a mean vakie of
and variance of
When the contaminant flow rate exceeds 14 units on a given day, it is
considered excessive.
L

Find the probabiflty that the industria plant iH have excessive

flow
day.
rate on a given
contaminant
[3 marks]

ii.

Regulation requires the measurement of contaminant flow rate

for days. The p'ant wiD be charged with a vio'ation if excessive
flow

rate

observed

during

the

consecutive

days.

Find the prohahiIty that the plant will not he charged with
vio'ation.
[3 marks]

iiQ. Suppose the ps to mitthe probabi of to

1%. U parts (a)(i) and (ii), find the day mean contarnnant
flow rate.
E4marks]

EAB I EBB 2123

b.

The time taken for data collection operator to flU out an electror
form for a database is normally distributed with a mean of 3 minutes
Assuming
0,25
deviation
time
that
the
minutes.
of
and a standard
taken to fifl out the forms are Independent, determine
the distribution of the e mean of time taken to fil out twenty
fve electronic forms edat random.
[2 marks]
..

iI

twenty
the
the probabUity that the average time taken to
out
five forms is more than 295 minutes
[5 mar

lL the number of &ectronic forms that would give a standard error

O.
O6.
to
equals

[3 marksj

EAB I EBB 2123

1679
Athletic
Trairiers
Association
by
National
the
surveyed
study

aA

high school freshmen and 1366 high school seniors in fllinos.

Resuits showed that 34 of the freshmen and 24 of the seniors had
used anahoic steroiis.

Can the s Fi yp1 =p

01
0..
the
evei?
rejected at

versus
: p1 pbe

[5 marks]
U
W

for
interva'
the difference
90%

two sided confidence

the two proportions.

[2 mar
.
N

IMM

Give 95% two skied confidence nterva for the proportion and
the
this
the
ntervaI with
compare and comment on
width of
ntervain part (a)(U).
[3 marks]

EAB I EBB 2123

b.

Air samples are pumped into an agar plate and "colony forming un'its1
incubation
to
the
are counted after an
period
measure
presence of
data
The
from
`ifl
that
the
37,
OOO
spores.
room' of a p'ant
processes
day,
four
different
days
taken
in
the summer (s) and
chickens per
on
the winter (w) are given in Tab! e Q3(b).

TABLE Q3(b)

i.

Do the data nthe that the true mean va'ue s and

are

different? Assume that the er o- Carry out a test at a=0.05

[:5 marks]
ii

Find the akie for this test and draw COrIUSOflM

[2 rnarksj
ii.

Give 90% two sided confidence nterfor the difference n

means
N

[3 marks]

EAB I EBB 2123

4w

(,
in
investigate
to
the
Y)
shear strength of oH
study was performed

aA

()()
in
to
depth
meter
relation
and percentage of moisture content
(X.Eight observations were collected and the data were recorded as
in the Table Q4(a)*

TABU

Find

::

x1

Q4(a)

j4 marks]
a mutipIe linear regressionmodel to these data.
[4 marks]
ill.

4.5'%"w
X2
X=3.5
Find the prstrength when
meter and =
(2 marksi

EAB / EBB 2123

b.

Table Q4(b) sh the A

for the mu1tipe regression analysis in

few
independent
(a),
part
more
variables were added and
when a
more observations were collected.
TABLE Q4(b)

From the table:

i

the number of independent variab'esM

[l mark]
IL

Determine the of observations.

[1 rnarkj
the coefficient of deterrnnationM
[2 marke

. Compute the standard error of estimate.

[2 marks}
v

Determine whether the muttipie regression model s significant at

0.05.
ei:

[4 marks]

A'B I EBB 2123

a,.

Perak
the
The TP Staff Sports Chub has arranged a golf ou at
in
the
to
have
Twenty
Cub.
Golf
Royal
outing.
p
signed up
peop
the
for
is
(PGA)
The Perak Golf Association
arranging
responsible
foursomes

(four golfers

together)
playing

How many different

foursomes are possible?

[3 marks]
b.

bulbs
Two
deiecUves
4
bulbs
are
ont
are
of which
s
What
the
drawn at an one at a time without repacernent.
that
probabflity

defective?
is
drawn
bulb
not
a second
,
[3 marks]

be
to
is
known
bulb
if
the
first
drawn
bulb
is working
the
second
ive?
not
[4 marks]

I0

EAB J EBB 2123

C.

According to the Ministry of Health report, To% of the Malaysian

has
lung
disease.
Of
those
having
lung
population
cancer
cancer
disease, 90.0% of them are smokers. Meanwhile, of those not having
lung cancer disease, only 25.0% of them are smokers. Suppose that
is
is
a person selected at random, what the probability that the person
L

has no lung cancer disease?

[2 marks]

ii.

is a smoker?
[4 marks]

iii*

has lung cancer disease given that he is a smoker?

[4 marks]

PAPERENDOF
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