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1)
Decision Criteria
Pay back Period:
Number of years needed to recover the initial outlay.
Net Present Value Rule
To analyze the project we need a plan. To materialize the plan we need to
gather information on timing and magnitude of costs and benefits. Then
apply NPV rule.
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To use the rule we find the present value of all future cash flows, and
subtract the initial investment to obtain the net present value (NPV).
As a criterion :
Consider a project :
To calculate the projects NPV we need to specify the capitalization rate (k)
to use to discount the cash flows. This is called the projects cost of capital.
Assume a capitalization rate, K ( discount rate) = 10%. The following
tables show the computation of NPV
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Illustration
To show the affect of the discount rate, three tables are shown based
on different rates
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11.04%
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
Flow
PV
Cum_PV
-1000
-1000
-1000
450
405
-595
350
284
-311
250
183
-128
150
99
-30
50
30
0
NPV
Indifferent
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Profitability Index:
Benefits/ cost
Both in present value terms.
If Benefits/Cost > 1, Accept the project.
This decision will have the same result, as NPV
Common Error
It is a common mistake to start the investment in year 1 rather than
year 0 (when this was not intended)
Now is time 0
Like a child, a project is not one-year old until a year has passed
Summary
In the first scenario, the discount rate was assumed to be 10%, and the
resulting NPV was $20
In the second scenario it was assumed to be 15%, and the NPV was -$69
In the third scenario, the discount rate that resulted in a zero NPV was
found. Whenever the discount rate associated with zero NPV is called
internal rate of return (IRR).
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Suppose, R&D expenses are $10,000 to-date for your project, and you
plan to spend another $20,000, making $30,000 in all.
Sunk Costs: A sunk cost has no impact on future cash flows: it is irrelevant
to shareholders
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Proposed Solution 1
The original project currently using the warehouse is making a loss:
Charge the full $100,000 /year so the company can
recover the very real warehousing costs.
Proposed Solution 2
Half the warehouse is available:
The project should be charged the full $50,000 /year if it
needs to use it. A portion of the warehousing costs will not
be charged-out otherwise.
Proposed Solution 3
The project should be charged for its share of the used space:
Charge $33,333 /year.
Proposed Solution 4
The project is going to use only 25% of the space.
Charge $25,000 /year.
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Proposed Solution 5
The charge should be proportioned according to revenues generated
by each project--that is fair, isnt it?
The old projects revenues = $9,000,000, and the new
project has projected revenues = $1,000,000, so the
charge is 10%, or $10,000/year.
Proposed Solution 6
There is a suitable new (smaller) warehouse available on the market
for $27,000 /year.
Charge the project the market rate of the space,
$27,000.
Proposed Solution 7
The original lease was entered into when warehouse space was cheap,
but now space is twice what it was:
The market value of the leased warehouse is now
$200,000, and the project should take its proper share of
that amount.
Proposed Solution 8
This is a new project, so give it a sporting chance:
The project should be charged nothing.
Solution:
The project should be charged nothing
Reason is: