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Received July 17, 2007; accepted Sept. 5, 2007. From the Department
of Psychology, Boston University, Mass. (Dr. Hofmann); and the
Department of Psychology, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Tex.
(Dr. Smits).
Acknowledgments appear at the end of the article.
Dr. Hofmann has been a consultant to Organon and has received
grant/research support from the National Institute of Mental Health.
Dr. Smits reports no additional financial or other relationships relevant
to the subject of this article.
Corresponding author and reprints: Stefan G. Hofmann, Ph.D.,
Department of Psychology, Boston University, 648 Beacon Street,
6th Floor, Boston, MA 02215 (e-mail: shofmann@bu.edu).
pidemiologic studies indicate that anxiety disorders are the most prevalent class of mental disorders, with 12-month and lifetime prevalence rates of
18.1% and 28.8%, respectively.1,2 Numerous studies have
examined the efficacy of cognitive-behavioral therapy
(CBT) for adult anxiety disorders. CBT here refers to the
class of interventions that are based on the basic premise
that emotional disorders are maintained by cognitive factors and that psychological treatment leads to changes in
these factors through cognitive (cognitive restructuring)
and behavioral (e.g., exposure, behavioral experiments,
relaxation training, social skills training) techniques.3
Meta-analytic reviews of these studies have generally
yielded large effect sizes for the majority of treatment
studies.4 However, these existing meta-analyses are not
without limitations.510 One of the most concerning weaknesses of meta-analyses involving psychotherapy research is related to the quality of the original studies. In
particular, a number of frequently-cited meta-analyses of
CBT for anxiety disorders have included studies that vary
greatly with respect to control procedures, which range
from wait-list, alternative treatments, and placebo inter-
PSYCHIATRIST.COM
621
ventions that were evaluated with or without randomization. Other studies fail to include any control groups.8
Therefore, it has been argued that the results of most existing meta-analyses of CBT for anxiety disorders are of
limited validity because the quality and rigor of metaanalyses are directly related to the quality and rigor of the
studies that are included in these analyses.8,10
The gold standard design in clinical outcome research
is the randomized placebo-controlled trial. Although not
without problems, this design has been used as the primary test of the direct effects of the treatment on outcome
in clinical research.11 Clinicians in pharmacotherapy trials
typically administer a sugar pill to individuals in the placebo condition. Instead of including a pill placebo, a number of psychotherapy trials have employed psychological
placebo conditions to control for nonspecific factors. Although it is difficult, if not impossible, to protect the blind
in placebo-controlled psychotherapy trials, the randomized placebo-controlled design is still the most rigorous
and conservative test of the effects of an active treatment.
The primary aim of this study was to determine the
acute efficacy of CBT as compared to placebo for adult
anxiety disorders. In contrast to existing meta-analyses of
CBT for anxiety disorders, we limited our selection to
randomized placebo-controlled trials of DSM-III-R or
DSM-IV anxiety disorders that directly compared the
treatment efficacy of CBT with a placebo condition. We
further expanded our search to all types of anxiety disorders in order to compare the effects of CBT among the
various anxiety disorders and explored the potential moderating effects of number of treatment sessions, placebo
modality (pill vs. psychological placebo), and publication
year.
METHOD
Data Sources
Several approaches were used to identify studies. First,
we searched MEDLINE, PsycINFO, PubMed, Scopus,
the Institute of Scientific Information, and Dissertation
Abstracts International. We searched for treatment outcome studies of anxiety disorders from the first available
date to March 1, 2007. We used the search term random*
in order to identify randomized controlled studies, and we
used the following terms to identify studies that included
a CBT condition: cognitive behavior*therap*, cognitive
therap*, or behavior*therap*. In order to identify studies
targeting specific anxiety disorders, we used the following search terms: GAD, generalized anxiety disorder,
OCD, obsessive compulsive disorder, social phobia, social anxiety disorder, specific phobia, simple phobia,
PTSD, post-traumatic stress disorder, and acute stress
disorder. Second, we asked colleagues from Germany,
Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain to identify
randomized controlled CBT trials that were published in
622
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CBT PLA
(nCBT 1)SD 2CBT + (nPLA 1)SD 2PLA
(ntotal 2)
3
4(nCBT + nPLA) 9
_
, where is the mean pretreatment to posttreatment
change, SD is the standard deviation of posttreatment
scores, n is the sample size, CBT refers to the CBT condition, and PLA refers to the placebo condition. These
controlled effect sizes may be conservatively interpreted
with Cohens14 convention of small (0.2), medium (0.5),
and large (0.8) effects. We calculated an average Hedges
g effect size for studies that included multiple continuous
measures of anxiety disorder severity and separate
Hedges g effect sizes for measures of depressive symptom severity.
Effect size estimates of dichotomous measures. For
dichotomous measures, we calculated the odds ratio
(OR) and its 95% CI using the Cox-Hinkley-MiettinenNurminen method.15 The OR is a measure of the effect
size that is defined as the ratio of the odds of an event (i.e.,
attrition and treatment response) occurring in 1 group (patients in the CBT condition) to the ratio of the event in
another group (patients in the placebo condition). Thus,
OR was calculated using the following formula:
OR =
p/(1 p)
q/(1 q)
, where p refers to the percentage of responders or dropouts in the CBT condition and q to the percentage of responders or dropouts in the placebo condition. An OR of 1
indicates that the event is equally likely in both groups. If
necessary, we reversed signs to ensure that a positive OR
for treatment response indicated an advantage of CBT
over placebo.
Pooled effect size estimates. The effect size
estimates (Hedges g and OR, separately) were combined
across studies to obtain a summary statistic. We adopted
random-effects models16,17 instead of fixed-effects models
because random-effects models are more appropriate
when the aim is to generalize beyond the observed studies.16 Average effect sizes for the primary outcome measures (i.e., anxiety disorder severity and treatment response) were computed for ITT data in addition to
completer data.
Publication bias. It has been argued that metaanalyses may overestimate the overall effect size because
studies with nonsignificant findings are often not published, a bias that is also known as the file-drawer problem.18 A conservative method often employed to address
No CBT Condition
(N = 161)
Nonrandomized or
Qualitative Studies
(N = 276)
No Placebo
Comparison Condition
(N = 167)
CBT Efficiency
Not Examined
(N = 352)
No Sufficient
Data Provided
(N = 1)
Included in
Meta-Analysis
(N = 27)
PSYCHIATRIST.COM
623
624
Obsessive-compulsive
disorder
Obsessive-compulsive
disorder
Obsessive-compulsive
disorder
Panic disorder
Panic disorder
Panic disorder
Foa et al38
2005
Greist et al42
2002
Lindsay et al46
1997
Bakker et al47
1999
Barlow et al50
2000
PSYCHIATRIST.COM
Black et al52
1993
CBT
CBT
Panic disorder
Panic disorder
Posttraumatic stress
disorder
Craske et al54
1995
Sharp et al59
1996
Blanchard et al60
2003
CBT
Cognitive therapy
CBT
Exposure and
response
prevention
Cognitive therapy
Exposure and
response
prevention
Behavior therapy
CBT
CBT
Generalized anxiety
disorder
CBT
CBT
CBT
Generalized anxiety
disorder
CBT Type
CBT
Target Disorder
Acute stress disorder
Borkovec and
Costello28
1993
Wetherell et al35
2003
Study
Bryant et al22
1998
Bryant et al25
1999
Bryant et al26
2003
Bryant et al27
2005
Supportive counseling
Pill placebo
Nondirective-supportive
therapy
Pill placebo
Pill placebo
Pill placebo
Anxiety management
Systematic relaxation
Pill placebo
Discussion group
Nondirective therapy
Supportive counseling
Supportive counseling
Supportive counseling
Placebo Type
Supportive counseling
73
80
30
50
101
67
18
167
55
52
43
57
24
38
12
10
12
12
15
10
15
12
12
ADIS-IV-severity,36 HAM-A,
PSWQ, Beck Anxiety
Inventory37
CGI-S39, YBOCS,40 NIMH
Global ObsessiveCompulsive Scale41
YBOCS, Work and Social
Adjustment Scale43
YBOCS, The Padua Inventory,44
MOCI,45 Interference Rating
Scale46
CGI-S, MSPS,48 Patient Global
Evaluation,48 panic frequency,
Overall Phobia Score,
Anticipatory Anxiety Score
Panic Disorder Severity Scale51
HAM-A,29 ADIS-R-severity,30
STAI-T,32 ZSRA,33 PSWQ34
MADRS
MADRS
MADRS49
HAM-D
Jadad
Score
1
(continued)
Completer
Intention
to treat
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer
Completer
Completer
Completer
Completer
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer
Completer
Depression Measure
Analysis
Beck Depression Inventory24 Completer
N
(CBT plus No. of
placebo) Sessions
Anxiety Measure
24
5
Impact of Event Scale23
Posttraumatic stress
disorder
Posttraumatic stress
disorder
Foa et al67
1991
Marks et al69
1998
Supportive therapy
Pill placebo
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Lucas87
1994
Educational-supportive
group therapy
Educational-supportive
group therapy,
pill placebo
44
69
120
63
43
31
12
12
14
16
SCL-90-R-depression86
Completer
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer
Completer
Completer
Completer,
intention
to treat
Completer
Completer
Completer
Analysis
Completer
Depression Measure
Beck Depression Inventory
Jadad
Score
3
Smits et al88
Psychological placebo
38
3
LSAS-SR,89 impromptu speech
Completer
2
2006
task
Turner et al90
Social anxiety disorder Behavior therapy Pill placebo
47
20
Completer
2
1994
Abbreviations: ADIS-IV = Anxiety Disorder Interview Schedule for DSM-IV; ADIS-R = Anxiety Disorder Interview Schedule-Revised; CAPS-2 = Clinician-Administered Posttraumatic Stress
Disorder Scale, version 2; CBT = cognitive-behavioral therapy; CCBT = comprehensive cognitive-behavioral therapy; CGI-S = Clinical Global Impressions-Severity of Illness scale; FDAS = Four
Dimensional Anxiety Scale; FNE = Fear of Negative Evaluation scale; FQ-SP = Fear Questionnaire-Social Phobia scale; HAM-A = Hamilton Rating Scale for Anxiety; HAM-D = Hamilton Rating
Scale for Depression; LIFE = Longitudinal Interval Follow-up Evaluation; LSAS = Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale; LSAS-SR = Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale-Self Report;
MADRS = Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale; MOCI = Maudsley Obsessive Compulsive Inventory; MSPS = Marks-Sheehan Phobia Scale; NIMH = National Institute of Mental Health;
PCL = Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Checklist; PGE = Patient Global Evaluation; PSWQ = Penn State Worry Questionnaire; SAD = Social Avoidance and Distress scale; SCL-90-R-PA = Symptom
Checklist-90-Revised-Phobic Anxiety; SCL-90-R-IS = Symptom Checklist-90-Revised-Interpersonal Sensitivity; SF-12 = 12-item Short Form Health Survey; SIAS = Social Interaction Anxiety
Scale; SISST = Social Interaction Self-Statement Test; SPDS = Social Phobic Disorder Severity and Change Form; SPS = Social Phobia Scale; SPWSS = Social Phobia Weekly Summary Scale;
STAI-T = State Trait Anxiety Inventory-Trait subscale; YBOCS = Yale-Brown Obsessive Compulsive Scale; ZSRA = Zung Self-Rating of Anxiety Scale.
Symbol: = no measures administered.
Heimberg et al84
1998
Pill placebo
Cottraux et al79
2000
Davidson et al81
2004
Clark et al75
2003
Supportive counseling
Narrative
exposure
therapy
Social anxiety disorder Cognitive therapy
Posttraumatic stress
disorder
CBT
Prolonged
exposure
CBT
CBT Type
CBT
Neuner et al72
2004
Target Disorder
Posttraumatic stress
disorder
Study
Bryant et al65
2003
N
(CBT plus No. of
Placebo Type
placebo) Sessions
Anxiety Measure
Supportive counseling
38
8
CAPS-2, Impact of Event Scale,
Catastrophic Cognitions
Questionnaire66
Supportive counseling
28
9
Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
Symptom Scale68
Relaxation
45
10
Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
Symptom Scale, Impact of
Event Scale
Problem-solving therapy
51
14
CAPS-2, Quality of Life
Inventory71
625
626
PSYCHIATRIST.COM
Figure 2. Effect Size Estimates (Hedges g) and the Statistical Tests of the Acute Treatment Efficacy of CBT Compared to Placebo
on the Primary Continuous Anxiety Measures for the Identified Studiesa
Statistic
Study
Acute Stress Disorder
Bryant et al22 (1998)
Bryant et al25 (1999)
Bryant et al26 (2003)
Bryant et al27 (2005)
Generalized Anxiety Disorder
Borkovec and Costello28 (1993)
Wetherell et al35 (2003)
Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder
Foa et al38 (2005)
Greist et al42 (2002)
Lindsay et al46 (1997)
Panic Disorder
Bakker et al47 (1999)
Barlow et al50 (2000)
Black et al52 (1993)
Craske et al54 (1995)
PTSD
Blanchard et al60 (2003)
Bryant et al65 (2003)
Foa et al67 (1991)
Marks et al69 (1998)
McDonagh et al70 (2005)
Neuner et al72 (2004)
Social Anxiety Disorder
Clark et al75 (2003)
Cottreaux et al79 (2000)
Davidson et al81 (2004)
Heimberg et al84 (1998)
Lucas87 (1994)
Smits et al88 (2006)
Overall
Hedges
g
z
Value
p
Value
2.38
2.04
2.58
1.69
3.29
3.29
3.57
3.47
.00
.00
.00
.00
0.57
0.44
0.08 to 1.21
0.21 to 1.10
1.71
1.34
.09
.18
1.65
0.74
2.08
0.95 to 2.35
0.40 to 1.08
0.91 to 3.26
4.62
4.32
3.48
.00
.00
.00
1.49
1.28
1.66
1.08
95% CI
0.60 to
0.52 to
0.75 to
0.47 to
0.43
0.23
0.26
0.49
0.09 to
0.35 to
0.40 to
0.25 to
0.96
0.81
0.92
1.22
1.62
0.77
0.78
1.29
.11
.44
.44
.20
0.65
1.48
0.44
0.75
0.13
0.41
0.11 to
0.68 to
0.39 to
0.11 to
0.50 to
0.32 to
1.20
2.29
1.28
1.40
0.77
1.14
2.35
3.61
1.05
2.28
0.41
1.10
.02
.00
.30
.02
.68
.27
0.89
0.51
0.52
0.94
0.43
0.53
0.73
0.25 to
0.02 to
0.09 to
0.36 to
-0.23 to
0.15 to
0.56 to
1.53
1.04
0.96
1.52
1.09
1.21
0.90
2.72
1.89
2.36
3.15
1.28
1.52
8.62
.01
.06
.02
.00
.20
.13
.00
4.00
2.00
Favors Placebo
2.00
4.00
Favors CBT
With the exception of the Barlow et al.50 trial, all effect size estimates are based on the combination of the main outcome measures.
The Barlow et al.50 trial was based on the Panic Disorder Severity Scale.51
Abbreviation: CBT = cognitive-behavioral therapy.
SE = .02, p = .37), or placebo modality (i.e., psychological vs. pill placebo; = 0.14, SE = .20, p = .46). Similarly, the effect sizes for continuous measures of depression symptom severity did not depend on the number of
sessions ( = 0.24, SE = .03, p = .41), publication year
( = 0.13, SE = .02, p = .59), or placebo modality
( = 0.21, SE = .26, p = .42).
DISCUSSION
A number of meta-analyses support the efficacy of
CBT for anxiety disorders. However, existing metaanalyses of CBT focused on only 1 or a few selected disorders and included a heterogeneous number of studies
ranging from randomized placebo-controlled trials to
small uncontrolled, open-label studies. This led some authors to question the validity of the findings from these
analyses.8 Limiting a meta-analysis to only randomized
PSYCHIATRIST.COM
627
628
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2.55
5.67
2.33
12.63
25.33
4.06
3.77
9.75
2.67
1.65
2.00
1.67
3.47
3.07
53.95
8.52
CGI-I = 1
CGI-I < 3
4.81
1.00
55.00
8.00
15.40
2.02
Outcome
12.27
59.70
19.71
6.20
13.26
1.05 to 6.21
1.75 to 18.38
0.48 to 11.40
0.64 to 250.04
2.84 to 226.07
2.78 to 5.92
1.16 to
1.59 to
0.36 to
0.44 to
0.30 to
0.48 to 5.81
0.73 to 16.53
0.91 to 10.30
2.88 to 1009.80
3.83 to 18.96
1.14 to 20.25
0.21 to 4.81
4.30 to 703.43
1.33 to 48.18
1.47 to 160.97
0.62 to 6.55
95% CI
Statistic
2.07
2.89
1.05
1.66
2.89
7.26
2.20
2.46
0.96
0.74
0.72
0.80
1.56
1.81
2.67
5.25
2.14
0.00
3.08
2.27
2.28
1.17
z
Value
.04
.00
.30
.10
.00
.00
.03
.01
.34
.46
.47
.42
.12
.07
.01
.00
.03
1.00
.00
.02
.02
.24
p
Value
0.01
Favors Placebo
0.1
10
Favors CBT
100
Abbreviations: CAPS-2 = Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale, version 2; CBT = cognitive-behavioral therapy; CGI-I = Clinical Global Impressions-Improvement scale; CGI-S = Clinical Global
Impressions-Severity of Illness scale; CIDI = Composite International Diagnostic Interview; CSC = clinically significant change; LSAS-SR = Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale-Self Report;
PTSD = posttraumatic stress disorder; SPDS-C = Social Phobic Disorders Severity and Change Form; SPDS-S = Social Phobic Disorder Severity and Change Form-Severity;
SRQ-20 = Self-Reporting Questionnaire 20; SRT = Symptom Rating Test.
Study
Acute Stress Disorder
Bryant et al22 (1998)
Bryant et al25 (1999)
Bryant et al26 (2003)
Bryant et al27 (2005)
Generalized Anxiety Disorder
Borkovec and Costello28 (1993)
Wetherell et al35 (2003)
Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder
Foa et al38 (2005)
Greist et al42 (2002)
Panic Disorder
Barlow et al50 (2000)
Black et al52 (1993)
Sharp et al59 (1996)
PTSD
Blanchard et al60 (2003)
Bryant et al65 (2003)
Foa et al67 (1991)
McDonagh et al70 (2005)
Neuner et al72 (2004)
Social Anxiety Disorder
Davidson et al81 (2004)
Heimberg et al84 (1998)
Lucas87 (1994)
Smits et al88 (2006)
Turner et al90 (1994)
Overall
Odds
Ratio
Figure 3. Odds Ratios and Statistical Tests of the Acute Treatment Response to CBT Versus Placebo for the Identified Studies
Panic Disorder
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
**
Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder
**
**
**
10
12
Odds Ratio
*p < .05.
**p < .001.
Abbreviation: CBT = cognitive-behavioral therapy.
14
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