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INTRODUCTION
164
1
From the School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London,
United Kingdom (S-CC, TN, NM, PHMP, VG, ER, and PV); the Institute of
Cancer Epidemiology, the Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark (AO
and A Tjnneland); the Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health,
Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark (KO); INSERM, Center for Research in
Epidemiology and Public Health, Villejuif, France (MCB-R, FP, and LD);
Paris South University, Villejuif, France (MCB-R, FP, and LD); the Division
of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center, Germany (BT and
RK); the German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke Department of Epidemiology, Nuthetal, Germany (MMB and HB); WHO Collaborating
Center for Food and Nutrition Policies, Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology
and Medical Statistics, University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
(A Trichopoulou); the Hellenic Health Foundation, Athens, Greece (A Trichopoulou); the Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health,
Boston, MA (PL and DT); the Bureau of Epidemiologic Research, Academy
of Athens, Athens, Greece (PL and DT); the Nutritional Epidemiology Unit,
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milano, Italy (SG); CPOPiemonte, Torino, Italy (CS); HuGeF Foundation, Torino, Italy (CS and
PV); the Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Federico II
University, Naples, Italy (SP); the Molecular and Nutritional Epidemiology
Unit, Cancer Research and Prevention InstituteISPO, Florence, Italy (DP);
the Cancer Registry and Histopathology Unit, CivileM.P. Arezzo Hospital, ASP Ragusa, Italy (RT); the Julius Center, University Medical Center
Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands (PHMP); The National Institute for Public
Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, Netherlands (BB-d-M and MMR);
the Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Medical
Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands (BB-d-M); the Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and HTA, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical
Center, Nijmegen, Netherlands (MMR); the Department of Community
Medicine, University of Troms, Troms, Norway (MB, LAA, and GS);
the Public Health and Health Planning Directorate, Asturias, Spain (JRQ);
the Cancer Epidemiology Research Programme, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Barcelona, Spain (CAG); the Andalusian School of Public Health,
Granada, Spain (M-JS); the Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health, Spain (M-JS, CN, EAA, and MD); the Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Authority, Murcia, Spain
(CN); Navarre Public Health Institute, Pamplona, Spain (EAA); the Public
Health Division of Gipuzkoa, Basque Regional Health Department, San
Sebastian, Spain (MD); the Department of Clinical Sciences in Malmo, Lund
Am J Clin Nutr 2012;96:16474. Printed in USA. 2012 American Society for Nutrition
Supplemental Material can be found at:
http://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/suppl/2012/06/29/ajcn.111.0
28415.DC1.html
ABSTRACT
Background: Previous studies have shown that high fiber intake is
associated with lower mortality. However, little is known about the
association of dietary fiber with specific causes of death other than
cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Objective: The aim of this study was to assess the relation between
fiber intake, mortality, and cause-specific mortality in a large European prospective study of 452,717 men and women.
Design: HRs and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards models, stratified by age, sex, and center and adjusted
for education, smoking, alcohol consumption, BMI, physical activity, total energy intake, and, in women, ever use of menopausal
hormone therapy.
Results: During a mean follow-up of 12.7 y, a total of 23,582 deaths
were recorded. Fiber intake was inversely associated with total mortality
(HRper 10-g/d increase: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.92); with mortality from
circulatory (HRper 10-g/d increase: 0.90 and 0.88 for men and women,
respectively), digestive (HR: 0.61 and 0.64), respiratory (HR: 0.77
and 0.62), and non-CVD noncancer inflammatory (HR: 0.85 and 0.80)
diseases; and with smoking-related cancers (HR: 0.86 and 0.89) but
not with nonsmoking-related cancers (HR: 1.05 and 0.97). The associations were more evident for fiber from cereals and vegetables
than from fruit. The associations were similar across BMI and physical activity categories but were stronger in smokers and participants
who consumed .18 g alcohol/d.
Conclusions: Higher fiber intake is associated with lower mortality,
particularly from circulatory, digestive, and non-CVD noncancer inflammatory diseases. Our results support current recommendations of
high dietary fiber intake for health maintenance.
Am J Clin Nutr
2012;96:16474.
University, Sweden (ID and ES); the Departments of Odontology (IJ) and
Public Health and Clinical Medicine (GH), Umea University, Umea, Sweden; the Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, United
Kingdom (TK and FC); the Department of Public Health and Primary Care,
University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (K-TK); the MRC
Epidemiology Unit, Cambridge, United Kingdom (NW); the International
Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France (PF, NS, and IR); and the
Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and
Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom (VG).
2
The EPIC cohort is supported by the Europe Against Cancer Program of
the European Commission. The individual centers also received funding
from the following countries: Denmark (Danish Cancer Society), France
(Ligue Centre le Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Generale de
lEducation Nationale, and Institut National de la Sante et de la Recherche
Medicale), Greece (the Hellenic Health Foundation, the Stavros Niarchos
Foundation, and the Hellenic Ministry of Health and Social Solidarity),
Germany (German Cancer Aid and Federal Ministry of Education and Research), Italy (Italian Association for Research on Cancer and the National
Research Council), Netherlands (Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare
and Sports, Netherlands Cancer Registry, LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch Zorg Onderzoek Nederland, World Cancer Research
Fund, and Statistics Netherlands), Norway (HelgaNordforsk Centre of Excellence in Food, Nutrition and Health, The Norwegian Extra Foundation for
Health and Rehabilitation, and The Norwegian Cancer Society), Spain
[Health Research Fund of the Spanish Ministry of Health (Exp 96/0032,
RETICC DR06/0020), the Spanish Regional Governments of Andalusia,
Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia (N0 6236), and the Navarra and the Catalan Institute of Oncology], Sweden (Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Scientific Council, and regional governments of Skane and Vasterbotten), and
the United Kingdom (Cancer Research UK and Medical Research Council).
3
Address correspondence and reprint requests to T Norat, School of Public
Health, Imperial College London, St Marys Campus, Norfolk Place W2
1PG, London, United Kingdom. E-mail: t.norat@imperial.ac.uk.
4
Abbreviations used: CVD, cardiovascular disease; EPIC, European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition; ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision; SCFA, short-chain fatty acid.
Received October 11, 2011. Accepted for publication April 6, 2012.
First published online May 30, 2012; doi: 10.3945/ajcn.111.028415.
The aim of the current study was to assess the relation between
total dietary fiber intake and fiber from cereals, vegetables, and
fruit and total and cause-specific mortality within EPIC.
SUBJECTS AND METHODS
EPIC cohort
EPIC recruited 518,408 volunteers from 23 centers in 10
countries (Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom)
between 1992 and 2000. The cohort was described in detail
previously (16). In brief, the study population included volunteers
aged ;2570 y at the time of recruitment. Questionnaires on
diet, education, occupation, previous illnesses, alcohol, tobacco
consumption, and physical activity were completed by participants, and anthropometric measurements were collected. Individuals who did not complete the questionnaires or were at the
extreme ranking of the ratio of energy intake to the estimated
energy requirement (17) (top and bottom 1%) were excluded
from the analysis (n = 16,824). We further excluded 22,797
participants who had cancer at baseline; 387 participants with
missing date of death; and 25,683 participants who reported
having a history of at least one of the following diseases at
baseline (4370 of whom reported having more than one disease):
heart attack (n = 6242), angina (n = 7530), stroke (n = 3715),
and diabetes (n = 12,566). The number of participants included
in this analysis was 452,717. The study was approved by the
Institutional Review Board at the International Agency for Research on Cancer and local ethics committees. Informed consent
forms were filled out at each local center.
Diet assessment
Extensive self-administered quantitative dietary questionnaires were used in most centers except in Denmark, Naples,
Norway, Umea, and the United Kingdom, where semiquantitative
food-frequency questionnaires were used, and in Malmo, where
a modified diet-history method combining a quantitative foodfrequency questionnaire and 7-d menu book (food record) was
used (16). The method for estimating total dietary fiber intake was
described previously (9, 18). In brief, the gravimetric method for
estimating total dietary fiber (19) of the Association of Official
Analytic Chemists includes soluble and insoluble forms (including lignin) of nonstarch polysaccharides, and resistant starch
was used in all countries except Greece and the United Kingdom,
where total dietary fiber intake was estimated by using the
Englyst method, which includes only nonstarch polysaccharides.
Bread, fruit, and vegetables represented the largest food sources
of dietary fiber intake in EPIC, but food sources varied considerably between centers (9).
Assessment of endpoints
Mortality data were obtained at the regional or national level
(20). In Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden,
and the United Kingdom, vital status and the causes and the dates
of death were ascertained by death indexes, record linkages with
cancer registries, and boards of health. Active follow-up by mail
or telephone with participants, municipal registries, regional
diseases in the Iowa Womens Health Study (3), and a high dietary fiber intake was associated with a reduced risk of death from
respiratory and infectious diseases, in addition to CVD and cancer, in the NIH-AARP cohort (4). These results suggest that the
beneficial effects from dietary fiber might not be limited to CVD
and cancer.
High dietary fiber intake could promote overall health and be
associated with lower mortality through several mechanisms.
Fiber-rich foods may benefit weight control because they have
a low energy density; dietary fiber is fermented by intestinal bacteria to produce short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), which influence
hepatic insulin sensitivity and lipid synthesis and modulate the
intestinal environment (eg, pH) and macronutrient absorption and
thus play a role in glycemic control; dietary fiber regulates gut
microflora populations and hence influence the metabolism of
bile salt, cholesterol, and fatty acids and the inflammatory response (58).
Previous studies on dietary fiber intake and cause-specific deaths
have been conducted in American populations. The European
Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) is a
large multicenter prospective cohort study with different dietary
patterns across European countries (9). Previous EPIC analyses
showed that plant-based diets rich in fiber were related to increased
survival in the elderly (10), total dietary fiber intake was associated
with reduced colorectal cancer risk (1113), and cereal fiber was
associated with decreased gastric cancer risk (14), whereas total
dietary fiber intake was not associated with prostate cancer (15).
165
166
CHUANG ET AL
Statistical analysis
The HRs and 95% CIs of the relations between total dietary
fiber intake and mortality were estimated by using multivariate
Cox proportional hazards models. Total dietary fiber and fiber
from cereals, fruit, and vegetables were categorized into 5 groups
according to the quintiles of the distribution among the whole
cohort. The lowest quintile was treated as the reference. The associations with legume fiber were also modeled, but as intakes
were low, the results were omitted from the study. The models were
adjusted for the following categorical variables: education (none or
primary school completed, technical or professional school, secondary school, above secondary school, or not specified), smoking
status (never; current 115, 1625, or 26 cigarettes/d; former
quit 10, 1119, or 20 y; current pipe or cigar occasional,
current/former missing number of cigarettes; or unknown status),
alcohol consumption (never or former; current 6, .618, .18
30, .3060, or .60 g/d; or missing), BMI (in kg/m2: ,18.5,
18.524.9, 2529.9, or 30), physical activity [based on physical
activity at work, cycling and sports (23): inactive, moderately
inactive, moderately active, active, or missing], total energy
intake (kcal/d, in continuous), and ever use of menopausal
hormone therapy for women. Models were stratified by age at
recruitment in 1-y categories to address the secular trends within
center and by study center to control for differences in dietary
and lifestyle questionnaires, follow-up procedures, and other
center-specific effects. Age was used as the primary time variable in the Cox proportional hazards models. Age at death or at
censoring date was used as time variable of end of the study.
Further adjustment for intakes of fish, red meat, and folate did
not change the associations materially, so these variables were
excluded from the final multivariate models. In analyses of fiber
from food sources, each fiber source was mutually adjusted by the
167
20.1 to ,23.6
23.6 to ,28.5
28.5
21,360 (23.6)
264,381
21,982 (24.3)
269,596
24,194 (26.7)
297,497
27,551 (30.4)
338,742
35,477 (39.3)
440,643
2226
862
3879
846
983
3751
6048
2765
(10.4)
(4.0)
(18.2)
(4.0)
(4.6)
(17.6)
(28.3)
(12.9)
2553
1448
3571
1226
1785
3914
4169
3316
(11.6)
(6.6)
(16.2)
(5.6)
(8.1)
(17.8)
(19.0)
(15.1)
2743
2165
3524
1675
2115
3974
3887
4111
(11.3)
(8.9)
(14.6)
(6.9)
(8.7)
(16.4)
(16.1)
(17.0)
2772
3388
3933
2281
2234
3962
3507
5474
(10.1)
(12.3)
(14.3)
(8.3)
(8.1)
(14.4)
(12.7)
(19.9)
3130
6105
5657
3244
2238
3624
3281
8198
(8.8)
(17.2)
(15.9)
(9.1)
(6.3)
(10.2)
(9.2)
(23.1)
7155
5392
3193
4981
639
(33.5)
(25.2)
(14.9)
(23.3)
(3.0)
7173
5503
3013
5713
580
(32.6)
(25.0)
(13.7)
(26.0)
(2.6)
7798
5836
3305
6701
554
(32.2)
(24.1)
(13.7)
(27.7)
(2.3)
8897
6650
3576
7734
694
(32.3)
(24.1)
(13.0)
(28.1)
(2.5)
11,525
8246
4484
10,356
866
(32.5)
(23.2)
(12.6)
(29.2)
(2.4)
6499
7049
7472
340
(30.4)
(33.0)
(35.0)
(1.6)
7053
7832
6721
376
(32.1)
(35.6)
(30.6)
(1.7)
8017
8679
7140
358
(33.1)
(35.9)
(29.5)
(1.5)
9495
9684
7979
893
(34.5)
(35.1)
(29.0)
(3.2)
13,224
12,447
9422
384
(37.3)
(35.1)
(26.6)
(1.1)
4894 (22.9)
7174 (33.6)
4845 (22.7)
4060 (19.0)
387 (1.8)
69,084 (76.4)
897,533
4372 (19.9)
7198 (32.7)
5398 (24.6)
4597 (20.9)
417 (1.9)
68,657 (75.7)
87,892
4539 (18.8)
7773 (32.1)
5911 (24.4)
5442 (22.5)
529 (2.2)
66,572 (73.3)
855,872
4372 (15.9)
8339 (30.3)
7100 (25.8)
7060 (25.6)
680 (2.5)
63,034 (69.6)
815,213
4635 (13.1)
9514 (26.8)
9040 (25.5)
11,350 (32.0)
938 (2.6)
54,806 (60.7)
711,456
11,651
7108
4837
8402
3960
3264
6840
9996
4286
8740
(16.9)
(10.3)
(7.0)
(12.2)
(5.7)
(4.7)
(9.9)
(14.5)
(6.2)
(12.7)
13,473
6435
4831
8585
6039
3701
6418
6244
4816
8115
(19.6)
(9.4)
(7.0)
(12.5)
(8.8)
(5.4)
(9.3)
(9.1)
(7.0)
(11.8)
14,337
5740
4856
8998
6679
3051
5520
4375
5064
7952
(21.5)
(8.6)
(7.3)
(13.5)
(10.0)
(4.6)
(8.3)
(6.6)
(7.6)
(11.9)
14,372
5463
4607
10,430
6008
2266
4527
3059
5900
6402
(22.8)
(8.7)
(7.3)
(16.5)
(9.5)
(3.6)
(7.2)
(4.9)
(9.4)
(10.2)
11,772
4771
4231
14,096
3081
1364
2983
1935
7265
3308
22,518
15,628
14,848
13,817
2273
(32.6)
(22.6)
(21.5)
(20.0)
(3.3)
19,972
15,090
16,319
14,996
2280
(29.1)
(22.0)
(23.8)
(21.8)
(3.3)
17,962 (27.0)
14,317 (21.5)
16,576 (24.9)
15,449 23.2)
2268 (3.4)
15,779
13,372
16,063
15,356
2464
(25.0)
(21.2)
(25.5)
(24.4)
(3.9)
12,512 (22.8)
11,311 (20.6)
13,194 (24.1)
14,791 27.0)
2998 (5.5)
34,160
14,319
19,063
1542
(49.4)
(20.7)
(27.6)
(2.2)
37,214
15,291
14,434
1717
(54.2)
(22.3)
(21.0)
(2.5)
37,561
15,179
12,229
1603
(56.4)
(22.8)
(18.4)
(2.4)
36,677
14,683
10,154
1520
(58.2)
(23.3)
(16.1)
(2.4)
32,998
13,127
7510
1171
(60.2)
(24.0)
(13.7)
(2.1)
16,333
22,478
13,396
7509
9368
(23.6)
(32.5)
(19.4)
(10.9)
(13.6)
14,514
22,261
14,435
8519
8928
(21.1)
(32.4)
(21.0)
(12.4)
(13.0)
13,179
20,975
14,486
9131
8801
(19.8)
(31.5)
(21.8)
(13.7)
(13.2)
12,022
19,538
14,443
9822
7209
(19.1)
(31.0)
(22.9)
(15.6)
(11.4)
10,438
16,924
12,962
10,584
3898
(19.0)
(30.9)
(23.7)
(19.3)
(7.1)
(21.5)
(8.7)
(7.7)
(25.7)
(5.6)
(2.5)
(5.4)
(3.5)
(13.3)
(6.0)
1
Participants who reported having a history of heart attack, angina, stroke, or diabetes at baseline were excluded; thus, the percentages were not exactly
20% when the data for men and women were combined.
2
Fiber intakes were rounded to one decimal place.
3
The French and Norwegian cohorts recruited only women.
Men [n (%)]
Person-years
Country [n (%)]3
Italy
Spain
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Greece
Germany
Sweden
Denmark
Education [n (%)]
None or primary school completed
Technical/professional school
Secondary school
Longer education (including university degree)
Not specified
Smoking status [n (%)]
Never
Former
Current
Unknown
Physical activity [n (%)]
Inactive
Moderately inactive
Moderately active
Active
Missing
Women [n (%)]
Person-years
Country [n (%)]3
France
Italy
Spain
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Greece
Germany
Sweden
Denmark
Norway
Education [n (%)]
None or primary school completed
Technical/professional school
Secondary school
Longer education (including university degree)
Not specified
Smoking status [n (%)]
Never
Former
Current
Unknown
Physical activity [n (%)]
Inactive
Moderately inactive
Moderately active
Active
Missing
,16.4
168
CHUANG ET AL
TABLE 2
Characteristics, in continuous scale, of study participants by categories of total dietary fiber intake
Total dietary fiber intake (g/d)1
,16.4
16.4 to ,20.1
20.1 to ,23.6
23.6 to ,28.5
28.5
1
2
Person-years
264,381
269,596
297,497
338,742
440,643
Men
52.3 6 10.0
51.8 6 9.9
51.5 6 9.9
50.6 6 10.1
Age at recruitment (y)
52.0 6 10.12
Age at death (y)
64.3 6 10.1
64.5 6 10.0
64.1 6 10.0
63.8 6 10.0
63.0 6 10.1
Duration of follow-up (y)
12.4 6 2.9
12.3 6 2.8
12.3 6 2.7
12.3 6 2.6
12.4 6 2.5
Alcohol intake (g/d)
22.0 6 26.1
21.0 6 23.2
20.3 6 22.2
20.4 6 22.2
19.5 6 21.8
BMI (kg/m2)
26.3 6 3.6
26.5 6 3.6
26.5 6 3.6
26.4 6 3.6
26.3 6 3.7
Vegetable intake (g/d)
105.7 6 76.3
150.4 6 103.3 177.1 6 121.1 204.2 6 139.7 265.7 6 187.1
Fruit intake (g/d)
97.4 6 80.9
152.3 6 111.5 186.4 6 131.9 224.8 6 156.0 332.4 6 249.6
Red meat intake (g/d)
46.2 6 37.7
52.0 6 38.7
55.3 6 40.2
58.7 6 42.9
60.7 6 47.2
Total energy intake (kcal/d) 1854.0 6 478.0 2129.0 6 75.0 2330.0 6 494
2546.0 6 538
2933.0 6 648
Cereal fiber (%)
41.4 6 15.9
42.1 6 15.7
43.2 6 15.7
44.0 6 16.1
44.1 6 16.8
Fruit fiber (%)
13.7 6 9.9
15.4 6 10.2
15.9 6 10.2
16.2 6 10.4
17.9 6 11.5
Vegetable fiber (%)
17.1 6 10.8
17.8 6 10.7
17.5 6 10.4
17.1 6 10.1
16.7 6 9.8
Other fiber (%)
28.1 6 12.7
24.8 6 11.8
23.5 6 11.5
22.7 6 11.2
21.4 6 11.4
Women
Age at recruitment (y)
50.4 6 9.7
50.6 6 9.5
50.7 6 9.5
50.5 6 9.6
50.3 6 10.3
Age at death (y)
63.2 6 10.0
63.4 6 9.8
63.5 6 9.8
63.4 6 9.9
63.3 6 10.5
Duration of follow-up (y)
12.7 6 2.4
12.8 6 2.3
12.9 6 2.3
12.9 6 2.3
13.0 6 2.2
Alcohol (g/d)
8.4 6 12.9
8.0 6 11.6
7.8 6 11.2
7.8 6 11.0
7.7 6 10.8
BMI (kg/m2)
24.9 6 4.4
25.0 6 4.4
24.9 6 4.3
24.8 6 4.3
24.7 6 4.4
Fruit intake (g/d)
134.0 6 82.4
182.0 6 102.2 213.3 6 117.1 251.3 6 133.0 335.1 6 186.1
Vegetable intake (g/d)
134.6 6 93.6
197.5 6 114.4 242.0 6 132.7 295.1 6 155.6 417.7 6 251.5
Red meat intake (g/d)
33.6 6 28.2
37.7 6 29.8
39.3 6 30.8
40.4 6 32.4
38.1 6 34.9
Total energy intake (kcal/d) 1493.0 6 372
1764.0 6 386
1949.0 6 415
2148.0 6 458
2447.0 6 549
Cereal fiber (%)
36.0 6 15.3
35.9 6 14.8
36.1 6 14.9
36.1 6 14.7
36.1 6 15.3
Fruit fiber (%)
19.0 6 11.6
20.6 6 11.1
21.3 6 11.0
22.1 6 11.0
23.3 6 12.0
Vegetable fiber (%)
21.8 6 11.9
22.0 6 11.1
21.9 6 10.7
22.0 6 10.4
22.0 6 10.3
Other fiber (%)
23.4 6 11.3
21.5 6 10.7
20.7 6 9.7
19.9 6 9.5
18.6 6 9.5
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
23,582
10,366
2189
3794
4228
718
5247
4025
94
3534
4834
1904
6133
3979
13,216
6486
2916
3533
1878
8678
1957
337
6657
4235
1987
8557
3780
1.28
0.78
0.79
0.78
(0.25,
(0.69,
(0.71,
(0.66,
6.56)
0.88)
0.88)
0.92)
0.51
0.75
0.75
0.74
(0.08,
(0.65,
(0.66,
(0.61,
3.28)
0.672
0.86)
0.001
0.84) ,0.001
0.90)
0.005
1.20
0.91
0.89
0.90
(0.60,
(0.85,
(0.84,
(0.82,
2.40)
0.96)
0.94)
0.98)
(0.52,
(0.82,
(0.77,
(0.76,
1.14)
0.96)
0.94)
1.02)
0.86
0.82
0.82
0.90
(0.56,
(0.75,
(0.73,
(0.77,
1.32)
0.90)
0.91)
1.05)
0.58
0.82
0.83
0.81
(0.35,
(0.74,
(0.74,
(0.68,
0.96)
0.90)
0.94)
0.97)
0.69
0.75
0.79
0.82
(0.41,
(0.67,
(0.69,
(0.66,
1.19)
0.138
0.84) ,0.001
0.91)
0.003
1.00)
0.043
0.87 (0.81, 0.93) 0.83 (0.77, 0.89) 0.81 (0.74, 0.88) 0.78 (0.71, 0.86) ,0.001
0.87 (0.78, 0.97) 0.82 (0.73, 0.92) 0.80 (0.70, 0.90) 0.72 (0.62, 0.83) ,0.001
0.77
0.89
0.85
0.88
(0.64,
(0.86,
(0.86,
(0.80,
1.05)
0.95)
0.98)
0.97)
0.91 (0.87, 0.95)
0.87 (0.82, 0.93)
0.82
0.90
0.92
0.88
3.86)
0.90)
0.82)
0.94)
0.85 (0.74, 0.98) 0.92 (0.79, 1.07) 0.83 (0.70, 0.98) 0.77 (0.63, 0.94)
0.014
0.91 (0.85, 0.97) 0.83 (0.77, 0.89) 0.83 (0.77, 0.90) 0.78 (0.71, 0.85) ,0.001
0.74 (0.64, 0.86) 0.73 (0.63, 0.86) 0.74 (0.62, 0.87) 0.75 (0.61, 0.92)
0.008
(0.10,
(0.71,
(0.67,
(0.68,
0.62
0.80
0.74
0.80
0.87 (0.80, 0.95) 0.86 (0.79, 0.94) 0.85 (0.77, 0.94) 0.80 (0.72, 0.90)
0.001
0.88 (0.78, 1.00) 0.77 (0.68, 0.88) 0.76 (0.66, 0.87) 0.75 (0.64, 0.88) ,0.001
0.80 (0.72, 0.89) 0.77 (0.69, 0.87) 0.75 (0.66, 0.86) 0.66 (0.56, 0.78) ,0.001
3.94)
0.87)
0.93)
1.00)
0.89 (0.85, 0.94)
0.90 (0.85, 0.95)
0.90 (0.87, 0.93)
(0.16,
(0.70,
(0.77,
(0.74,
0.87 (0.80, 0.94) 0.78 (0.71, 0.85) 0.80 (0.73, 0.88) 0.78 (0.70, 0.86) ,0.001
0.76 (0.68, 0.85) 0.76 (0.68, 0.85) 0.75 (0.67, 0.84) 0.68 (0.60, 0.78) ,0.001
0.90 (0.82, 0.92) 0.80 (0.76, 0.87) 0.80 (0.76, 0.87) 0.80 (0.71, 0.82) ,0.001
0.80
0.78
0.85
0.86
0.91 (0.70, 1.18) 1.03 (0.79, 1.34) 0.89 (0.67, 1.18) 0.84 (0.62, 1.14)
0.259
0.90 (0.82, 0.98) 0.80 (0.73, 0.89) 0.84 (0.76, 0.93) 0.83 (0.75, 0.93)
0.005
0.72 (0.65, 0.80) 0.66 (0.60, 0.74) 0.68 (0.61, 0.76) 0.57 (0.50, 0.65) ,0.001
0.249
0.748
0.394
0.024
0.771
0.872
,0.001
,0.001
0.6442
(0.37,
(0.77,
(0.78,
(0.74,
5.00)
0.93)
0.93)
0.98)
(0.43,
(0.75,
(0.72,
(0.65,
1.14)
0.91)
0.92)
0.93)
0.81 (0.74, 0.89)
0.78 (0.70, 0.87)
0.70
0.83
0.82
0.78
1.35
0.85
0.85
0.85
28.5
1.00 (0.85, 1.16) 0.97 (0.83, 1.13) 0.79 (0.67, 0.93) 0.91 (0.76, 1.09)
0.131
0.80 (0.72, 0.89) 0.69 (0.62, 0.78) 0.81 (0.72, 0.91) 0.71 (0.63, 0.81) ,0.001
0.74 (0.67, 0.82) 0.70 (0.63, 0.77) 0.70 (0.62, 0.78) 0.61 (0.53, 0.69) ,0.001
23.6 to ,28.5
0.90 (0.88, 0.92)
0.89 (0.86, 0.92)
20.1 to ,23.6
0.85 (0.82, 0.89) 0.80 (0.76, 0.84) 0.81 (0.77, 0.84) 0.76 (0.72, 0.80) ,0.001
0.80 (0.77, 0.88) 0.80 (0.72, 0.82) 0.80 (0.73, 0.84) 0.70 (0.68,0.79) ,0.001
16.4 to ,20.1
1
The HRs were estimated by using a Cox proportional hazard model. Age was used as the primary time variable in the Cox proportional hazard models. Age at death or at the censoring date was used as the
time variable for the end of the study. The models excluded the first 2 y of follow-up and stratified by age at recruitment, sex, and center and adjusted for education (none or primary school completed, technical
or professional school, secondary school, longer education, and not specified), smoking (never; current 115, 1625, or 26 cigarettes/d; former quit 10, 1120, or 20 y; current pipe or cigar occasional,
current/former missing, or unknown), alcohol consumption (never or former; current 6, .618, .1830, .3060, or .60 g/d; or missing), BMI (in kg/m2: ,18.5, 18.524.9, 2529.9, or 30), physical
activity (based on the Cambridge/Bilthoven Physical Activity Index: inactive, moderately inactive, moderately active, active, or missing), and total energy intake (kcal/d).
2
Heterogeneity between men and women.
3
Excludes smoking status unknown.
4
Excludes drinking intensity missing.
5
Excludes physical activity missing. Inactive: combination of inactive and moderately inactive; active: combination of moderately active and active.
6
Further adjusted for ever use of menopausal hormone therapy.
Overall
Men
Smoking status3
Never smoker
Former smoker
Current smoker
Alcohol consumption4
Never or former drinkers
Current drinker, 18 g/d
Current drinker, .18 g/d
BMI
,18.5 kg/m2
18.524.9 kg/m2
2529.9 kg/m2
30 kg/m2
Physical activity5
Inactive
Active
Women6
Smoking status3
Never smoker
Former smoker
Current smoker
Alcohol consumption4
Never or former drinkers
Current drinker, 18 g/d
Current drinker, .18 g/d
BMI
,18.5 kg/m2
18.524.9 kg/m2
2529.9 kg/m2
30 kg/m2
Physical activity5
Inactive
Active
TABLE 3
HRs of death (and 95% CIs) by total dietary fiber intake and per 10-g increase in intake1
169
170
CHUANG ET AL
investigate cause-specific mortality adjusted for the main potential confounders. The prospective design of the study rules out
recall bias.
One of the limitations of our study was dietary measurement
error. The observed associations were strengthened after calibration for partial correction for measurement error. Previous
studies suggested that women and obese subjects tend to underreport energy and protein intakes (36), but this differential
reporting does not seem to have influenced our results. The
strength of the association between total dietary fiber intake and
total mortality was similar in men and women and in different
strata of BMI. We excluded the first 2 y of follow-up to reduce the
effect of reverse causation (changes in lifestyle after preclinical
symptoms). In addition, we excluded participants with selfreported chronic diseases at baseline. As we considered total
dietary fiber intake in relation to several causes of death, some of
the observed associations may be due to chance.
Our results on total mortality are consistent with previous
reports (4, 3739). We observed a 10% lower risk of death per
10-g/d increase in total dietary fiber intake, compared with a 9%
lower risk observed in the Zutphen study (37) and a 12% and 15%
lower risk among men and women, respectively, in the NIHAARP cohort (4). The associations did not differ across categories of BMI or physical activity, but they were stronger in
smokers and participants in the highest category of alcohol intake
(.18 g/d). In our analyses, we had evidence of heterogeneity
of results across countries. Differences in questionnaires and
methods for estimating fiber intake do not appear to explain the
observed heterogeneity. A possible explanation might be that the
main sources of total dietary fiber intake differed across coun-
FIGURE 1. HRs of death according to total dietary fiber intake. The HRs were estimated by using a Cox proportional hazard model. The solid line indicates
HRs, and the dashed lines indicate 95% CIs derived from a restricted cubic spline regression, with knots placed at the medians of each quintile of the
distribution of total dietary fiber intake. The reference point for total dietary fiber intake is 25 g/d. Age was used as the primary time variable in the Cox
proportional hazard models. Age at death or at censoring date was used as the time variable for the end of the study. The models excluded the first 2 y of
follow-up and stratified by age at recruitment, sex, and center and adjusted for education (none or primary school completed, technical or professional school,
secondary school, longer education, and not specified), smoking (never; current 115, 1625, or 26 cigarettes/d; former quit 10, 1120, or 20 y; current
pipe or cigar occasional, current/former missing, or unknown), alcohol consumption (never or former; current 6, .618, .1830, .3060, or .60 g/d; or
missing), BMI (in kg/m2: ,18.5, 18.524.9, 2529.9, or 30), physical activity (based on the Cambridge/Bilthoven Physical Activity Index: inactive,
moderately inactive, moderately active, active, or missing), and total energy intake (kcal/d).
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
5575
2478
3097
2115
397
311
1110
418
,16.4
4039
2640
1399
2489
323
310
909
489
No. of deaths
0.88
0.87
1.06
0.83
0.80
0.81
0.80
0.94
0.93
0.90
0.99
0.91
0.77
0.54
0.66
0.62
(0.81,
(0.77,
(0.93,
(0.72,
(0.59,
(0.56,
(0.66,
(0.68,
(0.84,
(0.79,
(0.85,
(0.79,
(0.55,
(0.38,
(0.53,
(0.44,
0.95)
0.99)
1.20)
0.95)
1.09)
1.16)
0.97)
1.29)
1.03)
1.03)
1.16)
1.03)
1.09)
0.76)
0.81)
0.86)
16.4 to ,20.1
0.92
0.92
1.01
0.80
0.51
0.72
0.65
0.79
0.84
0.80
0.94
0.82
0.56
0.53
0.52
0.89
(0.84,
(0.80,
(0.89,
(0.69,
(0.35,
(0.49,
(0.52,
(0.55,
(0.75,
(0.69,
(0.79,
(0.71,
(0.38,
(0.37,
(0.41,
(0.66,
1.00)
1.05)
1.14)
0.93)
0.73)
1.05)
0.80)
1.13)
0.93)
0.91)
1.11)
0.94)
0.83)
0.76)
0.66)
1.22)
20.1 to ,23.6
0.90
0.87
0.93
0.73
0.67
0.58
0.65
0.85
0.92
0.86
0.96
0.81
0.57
0.42
0.63
0.64
(0.81,
(0.75,
(0.82,
(0.61,
(0.46,
(0.38,
(0.52,
(0.59,
(0.82,
(0.75,
(0.80,
(0.70,
(0.38,
(0.28,
(0.50,
(0.46,
0.99)
1.01)
1.06)
0.86)
0.98)
0.89)
0.82)
1.24)
1.03)
0.99)
1.15)
0.94)
0.85)
0.63)
0.79)
0.90)
23.6 to ,28.5
(0.72,
(0.63,
(0.96,
(0.71,
(0.30,
(0.18,
(0.41,
(0.57,
(0.73,
(0.63,
(0.87,
(0.55,
(0.25,
(0.25,
(0.47,
(0.61,
0.82
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.40
0.42
0.62
0.94
28.5
0.82
0.75
1.16
0.83
0.47
0.29
0.54
0.81
0.92)
0.89)
1.14)
0.82)
0.64)
0.70)
0.80)
1.43)
0.93)
0.87)
1.40)
0.98)
0.75)
0.46)
0.70)
1.17)
0.001
0.004
0.258
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
0.771
0.009
,0.001
0.884
0.032
0.001
,0.001
,0.001
0.559
P-trend
0.91
0.89
0.97
0.88
0.62
0.64
0.80
1.06
0.93
0.86
1.05
0.90
0.77
0.61
0.85
0.99
(0.86,
(0.82,
(0.90,
(0.81,
(0.50,
(0.51,
(0.71,
(0.88,
(0.88,
(0.80,
(0.96,
(0.84,
(0.62,
(0.49,
(0.76,
(0.85,
0.96)
0.96)
1.03)
0.97)
0.76)
0.80)
0.91)
1.27)
0.98)
0.92)
1.15)
0.97)
0.94)
0.76)
0.96)
1.15)
0.86
0.80
0.92
0.79
0.62
0.42
0.66
1.02
0.91
0.89
1.06
0.84
0.67
0.44
0.76
1.00
(0.78,
(0.70,
(0.80,
(0.67,
(0.43,
(0.27,
(0.53,
(0.71,
(0.84,
(0.80,
(0.92,
(0.74,
(0.48,
(0.31,
(0.62,
(0.79,
0.95)
0.93)
1.05)
0.94)
0.89)
0.66)
0.83)
1.48)
0.99)
0.99)
1.22)
0.94)
0.94)
0.62)
0.92)
1.28)
Per 10-g
increase,
calibrated
1
The HRs were estimated by using a Cox proportional hazard model. Age was used as the primary time variable in the Cox proportional hazard models. Age at death or at the censoring date was used as the
time variable for the end of the study. The models excluded the first 2 y of follow-up and stratified by age at recruitment, sex, and center and adjusted for education (none or primary school completed, technical
or professional school, secondary school, longer education, and not specified), smoking (never; current, 115, 1625, or 26 cigarettes/d; former quit 10, 1120, or 20 y; current pipe or cigar, occasional,
current/former missing; or unknown), alcohol consumption (never or former; current 6, .618, .1830, .3060, or .60 g/d; or missing), BMI (in kg/m2: ,18.5, 18.524.9, 2529.9, or 30), physical
activity (based on the Cambridge/Bilthoven Physical Activity Index: inactive, moderately inactive, moderately active, active, or missing), and total energy intake (kcal/d). ICD-10, International Classification of
Diseases, 10th Revision.
2
Smoking-related cancers (22) include cancers in the oral cavity (C01-C06, C08), oropharynx (C09, C10, and C12-C14), nasopharynx (C11), esophagus (C15), stomach (C16), colon and rectum (C18, C19,
and C20), liver (C22), pancreas (C25), nasal cavity and sinuses (C300, C31), larynx (C32), lung (C34), kidney (C64), bladder (C65, C67), and myeloid leukemia (C92).
3
Nonsmoking-related cancers include all other cancers not included in the smoking-related cancers.
4
Further adjusted for ever use of menopausal hormone therapy.
Men
Cancer (C00-D48)
Smoking-related cancers2
Non-smoking-related cancers3
Circulatory diseases (I00-I99)
Respiratory diseases (J30-J98)
Digestive diseases (K20-K92)
Non-CVD noncancer inflammatory diseases
External causes (S00-Y98)
Women4
Cancer (C00-D48)
Smoking-related cancers2
Non-smoking-related cancers3
Circulatory diseases (I00-I99)
Respiratory diseases (J30-J98)
Digestive diseases (K20-K92)
Non-CVD noncancer inflammatory diseases
External causes (S00-Y98)
TABLE 4
Hazard ratios of cause-specific death (and 95% CIs) by quintile of total dietary fiber intake1
171
172
CHUANG ET AL
FIGURE 2. HRs and 95% CIs of total death and cause-specific deaths per 5-g/d increase in fiber intake in men (A) and women (B). The HRs were
estimated by using a Cox proportional hazard model. Age was used as the primary time variable in the Cox proportional hazard models. Age at death or at
censoring date was used as time variable of end of the study. The models excluded the first 2 y of follow-up and stratified by age at recruitment, sex, and center
and adjusted for education (none or primary school completed, technical or professional school, secondary school, longer education, and not specified),
smoking (never; current 115, 1625, or 26 cigarettes/d; former quit 10, 1120, or 20 y; current pipe or cigar occasional, current/former missing, or
unknown), alcohol consumption (never or former; current 6, .618, .1830, .3060, or .60 g/d; or missing), BMI (in kg/m2: ,18.5, 18.524.9, 2529.9,
or 30), physical activity (based on the Cambridge/Bilthoven Physical Activity Index: inactive, moderately inactive, moderately active, active, or missing),
total energy intake (kcal/d), other sources of fiber intake, and ever use of menopausal hormone therapy for women. aFurther adjusted for ever use of
menopausal hormone therapy. The x axis refers to HRs.
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174
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CHUANG ET AL