Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I would never have been able to finish my final project without the guidance of INDE and
CNAM professors, without the help of my friend who provided me with a subject for the final
project and without the unconditional support from my family.
I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my advisor, Prof. Univ. Dr. DOREL MIHAI
PARASCHIV, for his excellent guidance, caring, patience and providing me with excellent advices
for my final project.
1. Introduction
When the MBA courses where finished and I was in the position to choose a subject for my final
project I have found myself in a strange position. As an owner of a business consultancy company I
had a number of past projects that were already available, but its always easier to make plans when
you have millions available because, as they say, the first million is the hardest to make.
So I started looking around to find something close to a start-up to help grow and evolve. My
best friends were the first to discuss with and I immediately found the subject I was looking for.
Mr. Alexandru Obretin is a medic, owner of Loxan Magnus Medical SRL that activates on the
private healthcare market in Romania.
The company, Loxan Magnus Medical, was established in 2005 and activated until 2012, solely,
on the field of occupational health services, providing private and state owned companies or
institutions with services required by the Romanian legislation.
The company LMM (Loxan Magnus Medical) grew steadily from 2005 to 2008 when it reached
its peak, registering a net profit of 40.000 Euro on a 100.000 turnover.
In 2009 the economic and financial crisis struck Romania and the turnover as well as the profit
diminished in 2010 to a minimum of 2.000 Euro profit on 80.000 Euro turnover.
Since then LMM struggled to stay afloat on the rapid expanding private healthcare market of
Romania and understood it was time to expand its business portfolio including family medicine
(general practitioner), medical optics and medical home care services. The general practitioner
office was included in LMM through the acquisition of a list of clients from a retiree family doctor,
medical optics and medical home care were developed into two daughter companies: Loxan Optics
in 2013 and LMM homecare in 2014. The total turnover went up to 140.000 Euro in 2014 and the
overall net profit registered a promising 26.000 Euro.
After extended discussions with the management in charge with the 3 companies we came to the
conclusion that further diversification of their business portfolio is needed in order to grow the
cumulated turnover and at least maintain the profit margin in the years to come.
The purpose of this MBA project is to analyze the current performances of the companies,
identify the problems they are facing, propose solutions to those problems and last but most
important, give solutions for the future expansion of their business.
2. Diagnosis analysis
4
Corporate
Paying population
The state (basic package available at the state or private owned hospitals and clinics)
Medicover
58.845.990
13.295.524
-4.062.609
-917.896
-6,90%
This big increase in turnover for the first 3 players is realized through continuous investments
in expanding with new clinics and diversifying services.
From the INSSE (National Institute of Statistics) data we can see how the private sector in
Bucharest area developed from 2009 to 2013 (from 2014 only the number of private hospitals is
available - 33)
Table 2.3.3. Private medical units inside Bucharest area 2009/2013
Types of medical units
2009
Hospitals
2013
5
29
2.4.
Name
Loxan Magnus
RC registration number
Main activity
Medical
J40/860/2005
Occupational
10
Loxan Optics
LMM Home
J40/4507/2012
Medical optics
Care
J40/2325/2014
Home care
health medicine
24
services
2
health services
3
contract
Economic activites and clients
1. Occupational health services activity assesses the risk of occupational disease and
monitors the health of employees. According to H. G. No 355/2007 GD completed. 1169/2011
employers in every field of activity, both public sector and private sector are required to comply
with regulations on the health supervision of workers. The company provides this service for a
number of 2.500 workers from different companies in the private and public sector, each year.
The financial benefits are based on payments made by companies.
2. The activity of general practitioner (family medicine) provides continue medical care for a
portfolio of 1,400 active patients.
The financial benefits are based on payments made by National Health Insurance System.
3. The medical offices are for the following specialties:
Internal Medicine - diagnoses
Ophthalmology -diagnoses
Neurology -diagnoses
Psychiatry and psychology diagnoses and counseling
Orthopedics and Rheumatology - diagnoses
Dermatology diagnoses and small treatments
Geriatrics - diagnoses
Surgery small treatments
The financial benefits are based on payments made by population out of their own pocket or
by payments made by the National Health Insurance System.
4. The home care health services provide the possibility to continue treatment recommended
by your doctor prior to leaving the hospital.
The financial benefits are based on payments made by National Health Insurance System.
5. Medical optics diagnoses diopter loss of gain by an optometrist and sells eyeglasses,
frames for eyeglasses and contact lenses.
The financial benefits are based on payments made by population.
Location of business
Principal place of business is located in the Bucharest city center, on a secondary street, with
no visibility and no parking places for customers.
11
2012
2013
2014
2015
11
18
21
29
1
9
1
1
15
2
1
16
4
2
21
6
2012
11
7
4
2013
18
10
8
2014
21
11
10
2015
29
14
15
6-10 years
11-15
years
12
10
2
14
4
9
1
2-3 years
3-5 years
4
2
1
1
1
1
< 25 years
25-30
years
Medics
Nurses
Support staff
3
3
13
6
4
8
4
1
Nr
1
2
3
4
5
6
2015
29
20
12
0,69
0,41
1,10
General
manager
Medical
manager
Support staff
3 persons
Accounting
1 person
Nurses
11 people
Medics
12 people
These data were correlated with information from the external environment resulting in the
following SWOT analysis.
THREATS
excessive birocracy
2.008
2.009
100.000 75.000
40.000 15.000
40,00% 20,00%
2.010
2.011
80.000 80.000
1.800 10.000
2,25% 12,50%
2.012
2.013
2.014
90.000 114.000 140.000
7.600
5.200 23.600
8,44% 4,56% 16,86%
For year 2014, we can see a decrease in expenses resulting in an increase of the profit
margin by more than 10 %.
Turnover, net profit/loss and profit margin individualized on each of the companies in the
group are presented in the following table :
Table 2.4.3.2 Financial results at 30.06.2015
Year 2015
Turnover, RON
2,014
140,000
23,600
16.86%
2,015
172,000
28,700
16.69%
Therefore we can plot the evolution of cumulated results in order to see the trend of growth
15
From the plot we can see a linear growth for both turnover and for profit although the slope of the
turnover is steeper.
31.12.2014
497.403
5
0
497.408
414.274
2.682
0
416.956
30.06.2015
251.094
2
0
251.096
217.828
1.100
0
218.928
33.266
-1.098
0
32.168
6.297
25.871
Name
1. Operating income
2. Financial income
3. Exceptional income
4. Total income
5. Operating expenses
6. Financial expenses
7. Exceptional expenses
8. Total expenses
9. Operating result
10. Financial result
11. Exceptional result
12. Brut profit
13. Taxes on profit
12. Net profit
30.06.2015
122.830
1
0
122.831
78.801
0
0
78.801
44.029
1
0
44.031
3.685
40.346
31/12/2013
23.410
127
0
23.537
38.660
0
0
38.660
-15.250
127
0
-15.123
0
17
31/12/2014
11.009
0
0
11.009
25.247
0
0
25.247
-14.238
0
0
-14.238
0
30/06/2015
11.583
0
0
11.583
13.277
0
0
13.277
-1.694
0
0
-1.694
0
-2.042
The activity of Loxan Magnus Medical and LMM Home Care in analyzed years ended with
positive net profit and the activity of Loxan Optics analyzed ended with a negative net profit.
Company profitability analysis using efficiency indicators
The return rate is a ratio between an expression of profit and assets or capital (own,
permanent) or a workflow indicator (turnover, resources consumed, etc.).
Different forms of rates of return have various information values and reflect many
economic and financial aspects regarding the activity of the company.
The main operational rates considered for the financial analysis of the company are: the
profit margin, return on assets and return on equity.
Operating margin
The operating margin relates the net total profit and the turnover, as an expression of the
company's commercial policy.
The formula is:
PM= NP/TO * 100
Where:
Np net profit
TO turnover
31/12/2014
11.009
-14.568
30.06.2015
251.094
25.871
10,30
30.06.2015
122.830
40.346
32,85
30/06/2015
11.583
-2.042
-17,63
A pozitive net profit margin is a measure of the efficiency of the company (the higher the
rate the better) and a negative net profit margin means that the company is unprofitable. For 2015
the net profit margin is reprezented in the following figure.
Figure.2.4.4.7 Net profit margin on 3 companies 2014 versus 2015 (Loxan optics figures
were downsized 4 times)
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
LMM
-20
Loxan optics
-30
-40
2014
2015
Return on assets
The return on assets(ROA) is an indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total
assets. ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings.
31.12.2014
110.073
62.813
53.980
85,94
30.06.2015
251.096
268.046
32.168
12,00
30.06.2015
122.831
79.085
44.031
55,68
31/12/2013
23.537
11.020
-15.123
31/12/2014
11.009
8.979
-14.238
30/06/2015
11.583
13.603
-1.694
-137,23
-158,57
-12,45
ROTA is positive and over 10% (all big players on the market have below 10% ROTA) for
LMM and LMM home care but is negative for Loxan Optics.
Figure 2.4.4.11 ROTA on 3 companies 2014 versus 2015 (Loxan optics figures were
downsized 4 times)
100
80
60
40
20
0
LMM
-20
-40
Loxan Optics
LMM home care
2014
2015
20
31.12.2014
64.845
497.408
238.422
72.588
165.834
0,13
2,09
1,44
39,10
31.12.2014
50.677
110.073
62.813
11.936
50.877
0,46
1,75
1,23
99,61
30.06.2015
25.871
251.096
268.046
116.186
151.860
0,10
0,94
1,77
17,04
30.06.2015
40.346
122.831
79.085
12.862
66.223
0,33
1,55
1,19
60,92
Analyzing the data above we can see that ROE is a little over the interest rate on bank deposits
for LMM. A very high value, as registered at LMM home care, might mean that shareholders
equity is too low and this should mobilize the shareholders to increase the equity to the value
requested by the size of the business.
21
TI TA Np
100 where:
TA SE TI
TI
- rotation speed of total assets expressed by number of rotations;
TA
TA
- multiplication factor of shareholders equity;
SE
Np
- net rentability of total income.
TI
30.06.2015
25.871
251.096
268.046
116.186
151.860
17,04
0,94
1,77
0,10
30.06.2015
40.346
122.831
79.085
12.862
66.223
60,92
1,55
1,19
0,33
22
I % (2014/2013)
52,14
I.Non-current assets
II.Current assets
38.979
173.617
20.323
218.099
41.577
226.469
125,62
Total assets
212.596
238.422
268.046
112,15
31.12.2013
31.12.2014
30.06.2015
I % (2014/2013)
156.989
0
55.607
165.834
0
72.588
151.860
0
116.186
105,63
212.596
238.422
268.046
112,15
130,54
Table 2.4.5.2. Simplified annual balance sheets for LMM home care
Assets
31.12.2014
30.06.2015
I.Non-current assets
II.Current assets
0
62.813
2.408
76.677
Total assets
62.813
79.085
31.12.2014
30.06.2015
I.Shareholders equity
II. Long-term liabilities
III. Current liabilities
50.877
0
11.936
66.223
0
12.862
Total
62.813
79.085
1.511
9.509
23
1.256
7.723
1.151
12.452
I % (2014/2013)
83,12
81,22
Total assets
31.12.2013
31.12.2014
30.06.2015
81,48
I % (2014/2013)
-20.781
0
31.801
-35.349
0
44.328
-37.390
0
50.993
170,10
11.020
8.979
13.603
81,48
139,39
The increase in current liabilities for LMM is explained by the increase in the permanent
hired staff. Loxan optics is registering a big decrease in shareholders equity as a result of the year
after year loss.
Structural rates for assets
Non-current assets are at very low levels therefore the structural rates of non-current assets
will not be presented as they do not give any important information on the companies analyzed.
Structural rates for current assets are presented below.
Table 2.4.5.4. Structural rates for assets at Loxan Magnus Medical
Code
Name
31.12.2013
31.12.2014
Rca
Current assets rate
80,53
90,78
a) Stocks rate, Rs
0,18
0,00
b) Receivables rate, Rcr
58,47
54,62
b) Liquidities rate, Rd
21,87
36,16
Table 2.4.5.5. Structural rates for assets at LMM Home Care
Code
Name
31.12.2014
Rca
Current assets rate
99,72
a) Stocks rate, Rs
0,12
b) Receivables rate, Rcr
0,00
b) Liquidities rate, Rd
99,59
Table 2.4.5.6. Structural rates for assets at Loxan Optics
Code
Name
31.12.2013
Rca
Current assets rate
86,29
a) Stocks rate, Rs
83,35
b) Receivables rate, Rcr
0,00
b) Liquidities rate, Rd
2,94
31.12.2014
86,01
84,61
0,00
1,40
30.06.2015
83,94
0,00
61,07
22,87
30.06.2015
96,29
0,00
15,17
81,12
30.06.2015
91,54
73,49
0,00
18,05
Conclusions:
- we can observe that the rates had only minor fluctuations which means the business policy did not
changed essentially.
- stocks rate is very high at Loxan optics (over 80%).
24
26,16
30,45
43,35
Table 2.4.5.8. Liabilities and shareholders equity structural rates at LMM Home Care
Code
Name
31.12.2014
30.06.2015
Recommendation
Rfs
Financial stability rate
81,00
83,74 Higher than 70%
Rgfa
Global financial autonomy rate
81,00
83,74 At least 33%
Rtd
Total debt ratio
19,00
16,26 Maximum 70%
Rltd
Long term debt ratio
0,00
0,00 Minimum 50%
Rstd
Short term debt ratio
19,00
16,26 Smaller than 30%
Table 2.4.5.9. Liabilities and shareholders equity structural rates at Loxan Optics
Code Name
31.12.2013 31.12.2014
30.06.2015 Recommendation
Rfs
Rgfa
Rtd
Rltd
Rstd
-188,58
-188,58
-393,69
-393,69
-274,87
-274,87
0
288,58
0,00
0
493,69
0,00
0
374,87
0,00
Maximum 70%
Minimum 50%
Smaller than 30%
Financial stability rate above 70% shows that permanent sources with short-term obligations
(non-interest bearing) are sufficient to finance current activities. Only LMM Home Care has the
financial stability rate well over 70%. LMM has this ratio at around 70%, the situation must be
controlled. Loxan Optics is in critical situation.
Global financial autonomy rate highlights the share of the company's own sources which
take part in assets financing. The literature recommends a value to ensure normality, as was shown
at over 33% (1/3 of total liabilities). In the case of Loxan Optics, global autonomy rate is well
below the minimum safe threshold.
25
31.12.2014
lei
497.403
30.06.2015
lei
251.094
416.956
191.591
225.365
350.311
1,42
218.928
118.973
99.955
197.655
1,27
438.643
215.406
223.237
398.000
1,22
56.093
46.956
26
30.06.2015
lei
122.830
78.801
59.004
38.660
16.599
22.061
288.052
0,08
19.797
70.341
1,75
31.12.2014
lei
30.06.2015
lei
11.009
25.247
16.339
8.908
85.614
0,13
11.583
13.277
6.876
6.401
15.369
0,75
Looking at the turnover break-even point ratio we can see if the business policies changed
or if the change the occurred has modified the amount of fixed versus variable costs. While for
LMM and LMM home care things have not changed in the analyzed period, Loxan optics shows an
improvement in the area of fixed versus variable expense. This means that the business policy for
Loxan optics is improving and the company might be stabilized over the break-even point by the
end of 2015 or in 2016.
Bankruptcy risk analysis
Knowledge of economic and financial independence, timely detection of the different causes
that can generate unwanted changes in the company's activity, requires synthetic bankruptcy risk
assessment. To predict accurately the risk of bankruptcy Anghel method was used.
On the basis of the financial year 2013, 2014, and the first 6 months of 2015 determination
by this method scores led to these results:
Table 2.4.6.4 Bankruptcy risk at Loxan Magnus Medical
31.12.2013 31.12.2014 30.06.2015
Net profit
38.586
64.845
25.871
Total revenues
486.817
497.408
251.096
Cash-flow
46.500
86.220
61.303
Total assets
212.596
238.422
268.046
Liabilities
55.607
72.588
116.186
Short term liabilities
55.607
72.588
116.186
Turnover
486.589
497.403
251.094
A= 5,676+6,3718X1+5,3932X2-5,1427X3-0,0105X4
where Xi represents different financial variables:
X1= Net profit/Total revenues
0,079
0,130
0,103
X2= Cash-flow/Total assets
0,219
0,362
0,229
27
0,433
168,892
3,563
30.06.2015
40.346
122.831
64.150
79.085
12.862
12.862
122.830
0,328
0,811
0,163
38,221
10,906
28
29
2.5.
After a thorough analysis of the companies by means of the market they activates in, the
visibility they have on the market, the human resources they are using to generate added value and
make profit and the financial analysis made, we can summarize all that in one SWOT analysis for
all 3 companies taken as a group.
Strengths
Weaknesses
1. The group is performing better and better in 1. The group is a small player on the private
terms of turnover generated, profit and profit health care market
margin. The profit margin is much bigger (5 2. Loxan Optics is basically in bankruptcy.
times fold) than the one registered by the big 3. The offices are placed on streets where
players on the market.
2. The customers are from all areas available for companys logo poor.
this type of business: other private companies, 4. There is no marketing department and no real
the state and the paying people.
marketing strategy
3. The customer base is growing year by year 5. Management is not able to pull the plug on
(because the company is, basically, not losing unsuccessful projects.
any customers) which shows that the company 6. Very high fluctuation of employees.
provides high quality medical services.
Threats
3.Legislation instability.
2. People are increasingly willing to pay more in 4.High demand for medical personal in UE
order to get high quality medical services which countries (much higher salaries).
will result in an increase of the private medical 5.Legislation
services market.
can
make
certain
activities
3. Expansion proposal
3.1. Investment plan
Idea
While reading a press release from 2013 made by MedNet, a marketing research center, that
is available on the internet, an idea for expansion began to take shape. The study MedNet made in
2013 had one very interesting question: What types of companies that offer health services
privately, you turned to last year? The private medical analysis laboratory was present in 4 out of
7 answers showing that 57.6% of the people interviewed from Bucharest had an interest in this type
of service. [7]
Figure 3.1.1. Mednets 2013 press release showing the interest of the population in the
types of private medical services
31
In this chapter I will calculate the necessary investment and draw the business plan for a
private medical analysis laboratory as a potential new type of business for Loxan Magnus Medical.
Services and clients
The medical analysis laboratory will provide medical test results for hematology, biology,
toxicology and parasitology to the following clients:
- medical analyses for patients from the activities of general practitioner, occupational health
services and specialty medical offices that are already a part of Loxan Magnus Medical;
- collaboration with other general practitioners from Bucharest (excluding the north which has many
specialty clinics) and from Ilfov county in order to harvest biological samples and perform medical
tests (according to existing legislation blood sampling can be done only by the company that owns
the medical analysis laboratory).
From the discussions with Loxan Magnus Medical I noted that the usual medical tests should
be performed at least once a year. For example they are requesting such tests for 700 patients/year
from the total of 1,400 active patients of general practitioner office. Those tests are paid by the
National Health System as part of the basic services package. In Bucharest alone there are almost
1.000 general practitioners registered and with contract with the National Health System. Another
factor taken into account to substantiate the market analysis is the framing settled by the National
House of Health for the charges for each analysis. Below is shown the standard package of medical
32
Type of test
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14.01
5.74
5.74
7.69
8.19
7.04
5.86
5.92
5.86
5.86
5.83
7.88
7.10
5.37
21.00
2.63
13.68
15.29
150.69
An important element in the analysis is to determine the target population. The current social
situation of patients is caused by poor delivery of social health services by the state. At this time of
growing emphasis is on prevention in the health system and on the increasing role of the general
practitioners.
Location and necessary investment
The investment can be made at the company's headquarters.
Obtaining the necessary permits is closely related to the specific arrangements of a medical
analysis laboratory, in compliance with Order no.119 of 9 February 2004 of the Ministry of Health
for the approval of the Norms regarding the authorization and functioning of laboratories carrying
out medical analysis.[10]
Minimum size and no. of rooms, according to the legislation are presented in the following
table:
Table 3.1.3. Minimum rooms and surface for a medical analysis laboratory
33
Name
Minimum
room surface,
sqm
3
1
1
1
16
8
4
2
32
1
Laboratory spaces:
Hematology, biochemistry and toxicology can coexist in the same
Building a laboratory must apply the principle of no return plan: laboratory work must be in
a unidirectional flow and the work with patients must be completely separated from the laboratory
work (both are possible in space existing in the headquarters).
The minimum investment in equipment in order to provide the proposed services is
presented in the table below. The amortization of the equipment will be calculated for 5 years.
11.800
1.575
6.500
3.620
900
2.000
91.000
The general cost estimate of the investment Laboratory of medical analysis is amounting to
a total of 111.000 Euro, the equivalent in lei being 489.000 lei, at an exchange rate of 4.4145 lei/
(from 09.10.2015).
The cost estimate is presented by chapters in the following table.
Table 3.1.5. General cost estimate of the investment
No.
Chapters and subchapters title by type of expenses
Value(excluding VAT)
EURO
LEI
Chapter 1
Expenses for permits
1.1 Obtaining approvals, agreements and authorizations
Subtotal cap. 1
Chapter 2
Expenses for the basic investment
2.1 Decorations and instalations
2.2. Equipment
Subtotal cap. 2
Chapter 3
Other expenses
3.1 Marketing and unpredicted Expenses
Subtotal cap. 3
Grand total
2.000
2.000
8.830
8.830
15.000
91.000
106.000
66.220
401.720
467.940
3.000
3.000
111.000
12.230
12.230
489.000
In order to assess the profitability of the investment I will consider a pessimist approach, a
moderate-optimist approach and I will perform a risk analysis.
36
37
RON
Category
Year 5
UM
RON
RON
RON
RON
0 4.757
6.342
6.342
6.342
0 111.778 149.037 149.037 149.037
RON
RON
RON
8 Amortization expenses
9 Operating expenses - total
RON
RON
No.
1
2
11.891
15.855
15.855
Table 3.2.4. Profit and loss account projection the pessimist approach
Total
Total
Total
Total
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Category
Operating income
Operating turnover
Operating income total
Operating expenses
RON
RON
0
0
38
475.650
475.650
634.200
634.200
634.200
634.200
15.855
Total
Year 5
634.200
634.200
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
I.
A.
B.
C.
D.
II.
E.
H.
I.
I1.
I2.
I3.
I5.
I6.
J.
K.
O.
Year 4
149.037
181.440
97.800
428.277
205.923
8.211
-8.211
197.712
31.634
166.078
Year 5
0
151.596
151.572
151.596
151.572
-151.596
-151.572
786.408
786.408
786.408
366.246
786.408
366.246
157.282
157.282
19.660
19.660
7.864
144.000
37.440
7.864
144.000
37.440
420.162
420.162
145.647
148.073
116.439
29.208
145.647
116.439
31.634
148.073
272.089
120.517
397.298
517.815
The financial rates calculated based on these estimates are presented below.
Table 3.2.5. Financial rates for the investment the pessimist approach
Year
No.
1
Unit
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Financial indicator
Investment value(Iv)
RON
RON
475.650
634.200
634.200
634.200
RON
30.240
336.328
428.277
428.277
428.277
29,29%
32,47%
32,47%
32,47%
Years
7
8
9
Value
489.000
4,2809
20,79%
101.660
40,69%
56,63%
56,14%
55,64%
1,9790
2,7716
2,7716
2,7720
26,85%
25,60%
24,56%
23,68%
149.035
274.379
397.298
517.815
40
No
1
2
Unit
Quantity
piece
piece
Total price,
euro
1
6.500
1
6.500
13.000
Total value of the investment will be 124.000 Euro, lei equivalent being 547.400 lei.
Table 3.3.2. General cost estimate of the investment moderate/optimist approach
No.
Chapters and subchapters title by type of expenses
Value (excluding VAT)
EURO
LEI
Chapter 1
Expenses for permits
1.1 Obtaining approvals, agreements and authorizations
Subtotal cap. 1
Chapter 2
Expenses for the basic investment
2.1 Decorations and instalations
2.2. Equipment
Subtotal cap. 2
Chapter 3
Other expenses
3.1 Marketing and unpredicted Expenses
41
2.000
2.000
8.830
8.830
15.000
104.000
119.000
66.220
459.110
525.330
3.000
13.240
13.240
547.400
In order to make the investment a bank loan will be in lei will be considered for the entire
amount including VAT under normal conditions offered by the banks in Romania. From the
considerations above will result a bank loan of 678,776 lei.
42
UM
RON
RON
0 22.508
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
8 Amortization expenses
9 Operating expenses - total
RON
RON
No.
30.011
30.011
Operating income
1 Operating turnover
2 Operating income total
Operating expenses
3 Material expenses total
4 Hired staff expenses total
5 Expenses with amortization
6 Operating expenses - total
7 Operating result
8 Venituri financiare total
9 Expenses with interest
10 Financial result
11 Gross profit
12 Taxes
30.011
Year 5
RON
RON
0
0
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
RON
0
30.240
0
30.240
-30.240
211.579
105.840
82.110
399.529
500.808
282.106
181.440
109.480
573.026
627.424
282.106
181.440
109.480
573.026
627.424
282.106
181.440
109.480
573.026
627.424
67.872
-67.872
-98.112
-15.698
60.100
-60.100
440.708
70.513
43.131
-43.131
584.293
93.487
26.161
-26.161
601.263
96.202
9.192
-9.192
618.232
98.917
43
13 Net profit
519.315
Year 5
0
0
136.856
136.856
-136.856
1.488.558
1.488.558
531.251
297.712
37.214
14.886
144.000
37.440
957.307
319.320
220.403
98.917
319.320
637.987
501.131
1.502.814
2.003.945
The financial rates calculated based on these estimates are presented below.
Table 3.3.8. Financial rates for the investment the pessimist approach
Year
No.
1
Unit
Financial indicator
Investment value(Iv)
RON
RON
RON
years
7
8
9
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Value
547.400
30.240
900.338
1.200.450
1.200.450
1.200.450
399.529
573.026
573.026
573.026
55,62%
52,27%
52,27%
52,27%
1,7267
21,34%
116.834
93,61%
117,54%
117,04%
116,55%
5,4675
6,9954
6,9954
6,9950
17,72%
12,53%
9,70%
7,93%
492.391
998.960
1.502.814
2.003.945
1.Investment recovery time much smaller than the amortization period of the equipment
which is 5 years
2.Return on invested capital (ROIC) is much higher than 10% (average of the healthcare
services EU market Damodaran data)
3.The rate of coverage through cash flow must be higher or equal to 1.3
4.Indebtedness rate on medium and long term - maximum 60%
5.Cash available at the end of the period must be positive
From the values obtained we can see that the investment is very profitable based on this
scenario.
45
where:
NPV represents the net present value project;
I - the cost of the total investment = 489,000
q is the quantity of products commercialized in one year = 4,200
p - product price = 151
Ef - unit expenses with the labor force = 43.2
Em - unit expenses materials and amortization = 58.8
i- the risk-free rate = 2%
rp risk premium =2%
The formula below represents the cumulated discount factor adjusted to risk:
This is also called annuity factor for a period of n years and a discount rate a (where a = i+rp).
The annuity factor is noted with Aan . The formula becomes:
Considering the risk free rate at 2% and the risk premium at 2% the annuity factor for the
investment project analyzed is 4.452.
In order to measure the level of an influence factor that could impact the outcome of the
investment, the size of the net present value, is considered to be 0.
The critical level of sales is calculated with:
47
Efcr = 151-58.8-489,000/(4,200*4.452) = 66
The critical level of the material and amortization expenses/product is:
Fcr is the critical value of the influence factor for which the NPV is 0 and F the value of the factor from the
forecasted data.
critical
levels
4200
151
43.2
58.8
Relative
deviation
2242
128
66
81.6
-46.62
-15.23
52.78
38.78
The factors which have a low variation (positive or negative) are the more risky elements for
the investment project.
48
Int=60,636 lei.
Salaries paid, expenses with the office (rent, electricity etc.) and amortization are considered
fixed expenses. Fixed expenses totalize 317,292 lei at year 3.
All other expenses are considered variable. Variable expenses value is 110,985 lei at third
year.
The turnover in the 3rd year is 634,200 lei
Table 3.4.2 Break-even point for the investment pessimist scenario
1. Turnover, lei
2. Total expenses, lei
3. Fixed expenses, lei
4. Variable expenses, lei
5. Highest interest registered (year
1)
Break-even point, lei
TO/BEp
Year 3
634,200
428,277
317,292
110,985
60,636
311,791
2.03
The break-even point analysis shows that we have a very safe investment scenario.
49
4. Recommendations
Following the conclusions we draw from the diagnosis analysis of the group of companies
and from the investment project analysis there a number of recommendations that should be made
in order to improve the performances of the companies.
1. Loxan Optics should be either introduced in bankruptcy or, if the management considers
that the activity of the company is important from status point of view, that is not wanted, here are a
few steps in order to make the company profitable:
a) The operating expenses lowered even more. This can be done by leaving only a part time
employee (2 Hours/day) on the company and making a partnership with Loxan Magnus Medical
that will provide workforce when needed. This should lower the expenses by half and potentially
make Loxan Optics profitable.
b) In order to increase the turnover of Loxan Optics an office with good visibility should be
chosen in order to attract new customers. This will involve an investment in new offices and should
only be considered at a later stage because the risk involved with such investment is high taking into
account the current state of the business
c) The prices are very low compared to what is available on the market (they operate with
10-15% commercial margin) and should be increased by at least 15%. This way the turnover will
increase and they will still be one the cheapest on the market.
2. LMM home care is performing very well and the current state of business should be
maintained. However the management should keep an eye on the investments (no investments made
in this company apart from HR) and help the workforce with the necessary investments when time
comes (cars, equipment)
3. Loxan Magnus Medical, is the main workhorse of the group, the one that is registering
most of the expenses and the one that is making the highest turnover.
a) First recommendation has to do with the absence of a sound marketing strategy
(networking has already reached its limits) and of a dedicated marketing department. The company
should either invest in the creation of an internal marketing department or should start collaboration
with a dedicated marketing company. This should be done with the aim to provide the Loxan
Magnus Medical management with the necessary strategy that will increase the awareness and the
visibility on the market of the company and of the services provided.
50
51