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Methodology
Suppose you want to find out how income taxes affect aggregate consumption.
One approach would be to get data on income tax rates (t ) and on aggregate
consumption since 1950 (Ct ). Then one could run an OLS regression of the
form
Ct = + t + t
(1)
1. Intuitively, what does an OLS regression do?
2. What is the interpretation of ?
3. Why does not answer the question: a 10% increase in taxes would
reduce consumption by 10%?
4. How could one answer the question: how do taxes affect consumption?
Production function
1. What properties of the Cobb-Douglas production function, Y = AK L1 ,
lead us to believe that it is a good approximation of the data?
2. How could one estimate the important parameter ?
3. For the production function Y = AK L find the marginal products
of capital and labor.
4. If + = 1, what share of income goes to capital and labor? The rest
goes to pure profits. What is the profit share? Assume that capital
and labor are paid their marginal products.
1
2.1
Measuring Productivity
1. Given data on capital, labor, and output, how can the production model
be used to measure total factor productivity (A)?
2
2. Why is the value of critical for answering the question: How important is capital for cross-country income gaps?
3.1
1. Assume a production function. For reasons we discussed, a CobbDouglas function makes sense: Y = AK L1 . Get data on Y, K, L.
Solve the production function for A: A = K LY 1 . Plug in the data
values to estimate A for each country.
2. Low means quickly diminishing MPK. A given cross-country gap in
capital implies a small gap in output. The opposite is true with high
.
Country comparisons
Consider two countries: the U.S. with Y /L = $42, 000 and K/L = $100, 000
and China with Y /L = $3, 000 and K/L = $6, 000. Assume the production
1/3 L2/3 .
function Y = AK
1. The actual output gap between the U.S. and China is 42/3 = 14. Which
output gap does the model attribute to the fact that K/L in the U.S.
is 16 times higher than in China?
2. How large is the ratio of A of the U.S. relative to China implied by the
model?
3. Plot the production functions of the two countries (not to scale). Show
the contributions of K/L and A to the Y /L gap between the 2 countries.
4.1
Answer
USA
y gap due to k
CHN
y gap due to A
kUSA
kCHN
3. See figure 1.
What happens to the conclusions if we relax the assumption that the production function is of the Cobb-Douglas form? Assume that
Yc = Ac [Kc + (1 )Lc ]1/
c indexes the country. Otherwise the notation is unchanged. Note that we
can write
Yc = Ac Lc [(Kc /Lc ) + 1 ]1/
This shows that output per worker (Y /L) depends on capital per worker
(K/L) and it is useful below.
This is a CES production function, which you should have seen in micro.
The parameter governs the elasticity of substitution between capital and
labor. In case you care, that elasticity is (1/1 ). When 1 the
production function becomes Cobb-Douglas (not an obvious point, but true).
4
Comparative statics
K/LA
K/LB
cause?
Y /LA
Y /LB
6.1
Answer