~ Hogan.Kathleen@epamall.epa.

gov
~ . 05/21/200204:50:29 PM

Record Type: Record

To: Phil Cooney/CEQlEOP@EOP, Kameran L. BalleyICEQlEOP@EOP

cc: Kruger.Dina@epamail.epa.gov
Subject: update on our discussions of two weeks ago

We have been working to pull the methane information across key

countries and by major methane source. I will have something to you by
COB Thursday that will show the top ten countries and the possible
methane reductions through largely cost-effective best management
practices. I will also have a list of those best management practices
that would be appropriate to a broad number of countries

CEQ 009552
 Methane Overview

* A potent greenhouse gas with short abnospheric lifetime

- lOO-year GWP = 2.~
- Lifetime = 8.5 years
- Mitigation could lead to stabilization of atmospheric
concentrations within 10 to 20 years
- Significant near-tenn.impacts on reduced wamring
* Emitted by few key sources, in energy, agriculture &
waste sectors
* Emissions can be re-duced substantially but not eliminated
- primary c0IIll!Qllent of natural gas

Global GHG Emissions

Global Net emIssions of C02, CH4, N20, High GWP gases,
and LUCF (Total 40,702 Mt C02 Eq.)

···········_···1
C02. LUCF
I!
C02· Fuel and 19% i
cement
55% II
~ __. Non-Fuell
; Cement
i EmIssIans" 45'1'0

.) ii
. f~ !
High GWP gases ~ _.• J
1% 9%

CEQ 009553
 Methane Emission Sources
Source CIIl:BOIY DcscnpUOD I!slimall:d
1990
1~~c1.'f
Enlult: FumMlrJ/lt»I a..::=..~vcslDCk (caU1c,,~~, ,ao113) CIIlII CH, ..
Ib ct oCthcir DOIUllI ell_lIVe DIOCCtS 80-97
LlvuIOcJ: Manure Man-
0_£111
Dccompoailioo ;t
tiona ulOducc:r C
mimal WUII In IIIIcroblC CODdi-
Nallnal Gas and au MOlhm. II the IIIIIjor COlJIPOUCIlI (95 _ I ) of Jl8lu-
$y"cms nlau IIId is emiaed clllriDS ib productioD, plOC:CU- 68-94
mlL-lnumlaiOll Iud diJtn"blltioll .
Coal Mlnln, Methane is lnppcd widlin coil ams md the 1111-
rulllldlnS RICk .lrall dluinS coil filrmatiOll md II ~

lcued d1Ulua coal mlniDa

Landfill' I LaJldIlIJs produce CH, ",hoD orpJlic DlIlOrtlls .... do-
composed by bacteria \lllder lIlaeroblc COIIditiOlU. 51-62
This Is lbe principal IICllmC oC CR, in the BwopQu
UUIOD .ud the US
Wallewaler MctIwIc II emil1ed ~ wastewater Ibll decomposes
UDder IlIlcrobic coudilionl
Rlu PrtJductlon Rille II B\'Own aD flooded fields where orglllic maltcT 29-61
I :::'::':1~omPOlcs UDder lIIIerobic coudIliona Iud
BI:':.,:,' Burnln8 and
810 ttl
Bllmma relcalcs areeuhousc PIllS, iDclDdmll CH, 27 ·46

Source: IPCC, TAR, 200 I

Global Methane Emissions

Methane EmissIons by Sictor for Select RegIons Sued on 2010
Baseline EmissIons

300

Manure ".anag8mln1
260
Iii'
f.)
NalunlGas

!i 200
!.
•
I:
.2
.; . 160
.Ii
•Ii 100
:: '"e·' r; r= r" '"'j Ion
i::E
60

Other

US EU Runla China

Source, US EPA Region

CEQ 009554
 International Cost Curves for Select
Emission Sources
u.s. SectDr06aled Marginal Aba18rnent Curves for Selected Regions
Year20fO
S2S1.,--------------------.,-------
RtIIlanal TaIIl
wS2!tl

I.t~
NaIUnIGiI

1$1~

III S80
'&
!
~ $0

~50.l...--------------------------'
_In. Rlducllanl (MMTCl!1
Scxmr. USEPA, 2l!O2

Mitigation Potential from Select

Emission Sources

Selected Region Baseline Emissions Bnd Reductions1 for 2010

1'<8181811:8 lSaseune Reddons at
SOU'C8 2010 (MMTCE) $10fTCE (MMTCE) %ofBBseOne
NabJalGas 216 65 30%
UndergroU'ld Coal M1n11ll 2 88 35 40%
Lardfllls 159 45 28%
UwslDck Manure Mana~ernent 3 44 10 23%
13 Reolonal Total 507 155 31%
Global Total 4 for abow sources 725 Coverage as % of Global 70%
Global To181 5 for aD SOIl'CeS 1 588 Cowrace as % of Glob~1 32%
/'bIDI: AIgbIo n:ble:A....... 'Now _.IInIzI.QIIIda,lN'lO, faollm 1SIqle, U*>n. a.-
_I_
. . . Jop;In. _./bo", Scull KIno, LJa-.1Illl1h. us.
IRod_booodon~·USI ........ odlol'.Q1boachl1lQbn'lloc:tnwd~1lI'.

I Utdtll'gnlllld ..... ~ ..~ lurf_"**'"

·MIlI1n~h:b1es.wNn1_.IuI ..cbIes"OtW"I"'USCl'llr.
'I' GIoboI·II'IIlIuIre .._ hontr.tlCAM ..... - v Ii. Achor. FtH.. GbboITollllll.oun:es
add. _ r......,IaIIln.I1c.Il'Ddll:1tln, b_llu1t"Cl.1lamt1l: lOW IIlltI b "" 4 pr1IYbuI 1lUC1!S.

CEQ 009555
 Temperature Increase in 2050
of Stabilizing CH 4 or G02 at 1990 levels

5-r------------- ./
4.5 +----------/~-­
4 +-------.,.........-/""""'T'-----
3.5 - 1 - - - - - - - - - , >
./G...----....-_ ...- ---,
3 ./ •.. ...... -BAU
/' ~ / •• -Stabllze CH4
2.5 + - - - - - - - :/:rI"-"""'~~--,.--=-­
./ ./ _..--"- - - Cap C02
2 +----b-:;..7~":,,:-::::o'./~
..- == C_--=B::..:O:.;:,;th~_--,
1.5 -I---~-:;:;--"""".!S'~"?-"'''--------­
1+--711'~---------­

0.5 + - - - - - - - - - - - - ' - - -
O-t-----,---,.---y---,-------,
2000 2025 2050 2075 2100

, Stabilizing Methane is a Realistic Goal

*Stabilizing emissions in 2010 requires reductions

of about 25 Tg LIS 0 M M. ,ce)
- 'This is approximately equal to the "no cosf' reductions
*Methane eniissions tend to be "concentrated"
- For most sources, a few countries are responsible for
most of the emissions
- Within a country, a small number of sites generally are
responsible for most ofthe emissions
- Where sources are diverse, nationaIlregional demo
projects can be used to raise visibility

CEQ 009556
 US playing leadership role --
Stabilized Methane emissions throu h 2010

U.S. MethaoeEmlulon ProJectlDns

200.,.--------------
180+---

! 160
S
E 140

120

100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

I_ Baseline. w/Adlonsl

US Could Help Deliver on IntI" Goal

* Focus:
- We know which countries have opportunity
*Credibility and Knowledge:
- US is world leader in methane recovery
- US knows the players, technologies, & economics
*Leveraging:
- We can reach the US companies that are poised to
provide ''methane recovery services"