Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
at
Regional Conference on Enhancing Social
Protection in the Asia and pacific Region
By
1994 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Real GDP (% 9.1 11.9 8.1 6.6 8.5 10.3 13.3 10.8 10.2 6.7
Growth
{ Agriculture 9.7 2.2 3.6 -2.5 10.5 -0.9 15.7 5.5 5.0 5.7
{ Industry 14.2 21.2 11.2 17.1 12.0 16.6 12.7 18.3 8.4 4.0
{ Services 0.6 14.6 11.1 7.7 5.9 13.2 13.1 10.1 10.1 9.0
GDP per 248 281 312 331 356 402 468 534 623 739
capita (US$)
Annual Growth rate - GDP (%)
14
13.3
12.6
12
10.8
10 10.3 10.2
9.2
8.4 8.6
8 7.7
6.5 6.2
6 6
5.3 5.7 5
4 4
2
1
0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008e
2009p
2010p
Structural Change of the Cambodian
Economy
(percentage change at current prices)
100%
7.5%
Taxes less
subsidies
80%
39% 38.8%
Services
60%
13%
22.4%
40% Industry
45%
20%
32.4% Agriculture
0%
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Economic Model – Stage Theories
Gompertz or S Curve used to illustrate Rostow’s stages of growth
(Charles P. Kindleberger, Economic Development (2nd Edition), Economic Handbook Series, McGraw-Hill Book, NY 1965)
Income Path
Stimulus
Global Economic Crisis from
2008 – present (2010)
Take-Off Phase
2004-2008
Rehabilitation
Phase 1993-1998
Reconstruction
Phase 1999-2003 Time
Traditional Drive to High-Mass
Precondition Take-Off Maturity Consumption
Society
Overall Vulnerability to Climate Change
Adaptive Capacity to climate Change
Summary of the
Consultation Process
• Process of mapping and scoping existing SSNs
• Meetings IWG on Social Safety Nets (TWG-FSN)
• National Forum on FS&N under the Theme of
Social Safety Nets in Cambodia
• Technical Consultations:
• CCT with a focus on addressing malnutrition
• Public Works program
• Education and Child Labor
• Consultations on Draft Strategy
• Approval of the Strategy
• Disseminations
PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING THE
SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGY
Safety Nets in Cambodia: Technical consultations:
Concept Note and Inventory
‐ Note on cash transfers with a focus on addressing
nutrition
‐ Note on Issues and Approach for Public Works
program
‐ Note on Issues of Education and Child Labour
within Social Protection (tbc)
‐ Note on Health Equity Funds (tbc)
Note on the Social Protection Strategy
Government Program A (supported by Donor x and y) Government Program B, C etc (supported by Donor u, v etc)
Background of Strategy Note
1. Introduction
2. Profile of Poverty and vulnerability in
Cambodia
3. Safety nets in Cambodia
4. Policy challenges
5. Conclusions: Towards a social
protection strategy for the poor and
vulnerable
Trends in overall social
spending (% GDP)
Reducing the (2) Poor and vulnerable { Cash and in-kind transfers for
children and women towards one
poverty and children and mothers
integrated program: cash transfers
benefit from social safety focusing on nutrition and maternal
vulnerability of nets to alleviate poverty health, cash transfers promoting
children and and enhance the education and reducing child labor
mothers and (scholarships)
development of human
{ Outreach services and second
enhancing their capital by improving
chance programs for out-of-school
human nutrition, maternal and youth; and supporting social
child health, promoting welfare services
development education and { School feeding, take-home