Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
February 2016
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation, including the accompanying oral presentation (collectively, this presentation), does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any
securities. This presentation is provided by On Deck Capital, Inc. (OnDeck) for informational purposes only. No representations express or implied are being made by
OnDeck or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other legal authority. Forwardlooking statements include statements about scalability, growing distribution channels, credit predictability and information concerning our future financial performance,
business plans and objectives, potential growth opportunities, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment and potential market opportunities. Forwardlooking statements can also be identified by words such as "will," "enables," "expects," "allows," "continues," "believes," "anticipates," "estimates" or similar expressions.
Forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance. They are based only on our current beliefs, expectations and assumptions
regarding the future of our business, anticipated events and trends, the economy and other future conditions. Moreover, we do not assume responsibility for the accuracy
and completeness of forward-looking statements. As such, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, changes in circumstances, known and unknown risks and other
factors that are difficult to predict and in many cases outside our control.
As a result, you should not rely on any forward-looking statements. Our expected results may not be achieved, and actual results may differ materially from our
expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements are the risks that we may not be able to manage our anticipated
or actual growth effectively, that our credit models do not adequately identify potential risks, and other risks, including those under the heading Risk Factors in our Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in other documents that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, from time to time
which are available on the SEC website at www.sec.gov. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this
presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by law.
In addition to the U.S. GAAP financial information, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that non-GAAP measures can provide
useful supplemental information for period-to-period comparisons of our core business and is useful to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating
results. These non-GAAP measures have not been calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. You should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of
our results under U.S. GAAP. There are a number of limitations related to the use of these non-GAAP measures versus their nearest GAAP equivalents. For example,
neither Adjusted EBITDA nor Adjusted Net (Loss) Income is a substitute for Net (Loss) Income and Operating expense (or any of its components) net of stock-based
compensation is not a substitute for Operating expense (or any of its components) presented under GAAP. In addition, other companies may calculate non-GAAP financial
measures differently or may use other measures to evaluate their performance, all of which could reduce the usefulness of our non-GAAP financial measures as tools for
comparison. Adjusted EBITDA excludes some recurring costs, including interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes, non-cash stock-based
compensation, depreciation and amortization expense and fair value adjustment for our warrant liability. Therefore Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect interest expense, the
non-cash impact of stock-based compensation or working capital needs that will continue for the foreseeable future. Adjusted Net (Loss) Income excludes stock-based
compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment which will continue for the foreseeable future and therefore will generally be more favorable than Net
(Loss) Income determined in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliations at the end of this presentation for a description of these non-GAAP
measures and a reconciliation to Net (Loss) Income.
2
$MM
1,158
1,874
2015
557
4Q '14
4Q '15
50
68
4Q '14
4Q '15
25
42
4Q '14
4Q '15
Gross Revenue
$MM
158
255
369
2015
Net Revenue
$MM
160
73
2014
1. Occurred subsequent to December 31, 2015.
2. Based on OnDecks Direct channel.
2015
Investment Highlights
Massive and underserved market
28MM
U.S. Small Businesses
$186Bn
Business Loan
Balances Under
$250,000 in
the U.S.
in Q3 15
45K+
$0.9Bn
Sources: U.S. SBA, FDIC 09/30/15, Oliver Wyman, How New-Form Lending Will Shape Banks Small Business Strategies, 2013
1. As of December 31, 2015. Loans Under Management represents the unpaid principal balance of loans held for investment plus the amount of principal outstanding for
loans held for sale, excluding net deferred origination costs, plus the amount of principal outstanding of term loans the company serviced for others, each at the end of the
period.
CHALLENGES FOR
TRADITIONAL LENDERS
Credit Card Rev.
Cash Rev.
Monthly Exp.
Landscaping Company
Landscaping Rev.
Monthly Exp.
Q1
Subcontractor Rev.
Q2
Monthly Exp.
Q3
Plumbing Company
Repair Rev.
FRUSTRATIONS FOR
SMALL BUSINESSES
Product mismatch
5th Generation
proprietary credit scoring model
Transactional
Data
Score
Public
Records
100+
Credit
Data
Proprietary Data
Analysis Platform
Ensemble learning
Data
Feature engineering
Adaptive learning
D
Social
Data
2,000+
data points per application
Accounting
Risk Grading
10 Million+
Proprietary
Data
F
8
100%
40
% of Defaults Eliminated
90%
20
10
10%
0%
100%
40%
20% 10% 0%
Random
Personal Credit
Score
OnDeck Score
OnDeck
Score
OnDeck Score
1.
Random
9
Traditional
Lending
1.
2.
3.
Offline
33
Hours2
Approve
Automated
Review
As Fast As
Immediately3
Manual
Review
Weeks or Months
Fund
As Fast As
Same Day
Several
Days
10
Use Case
Line of Credit
(Launched in 2007)
(Launched in 2013)
Hiring
New
Staff
Marketing
Size
$5,000 $500,000
$5,000 $100,000
Term
3 36 months
6 months
Pricing
Payment
Draw on-demand
Availability
1.
2.
Buying
Inventory
Term Loan
11
$580,000
7 Years
700+
Industries
45,000+
Small Businesses Served
in all 50 U.S. states
12
Online
Customer
Experience
Data
Aggregation,
Analytics
and Scoring
Technology
Powered
Servicing &
Collections
$4 Billion+
80,000+
9 Million+
Total Originations1
Total Loans
Customer Payments
13
Direct &
Strategic
Partners
18,790
80%
7,103
2013
2014
2015
8,131
7,625
5,955
20%
Funding
Advisors
2013
2014
2015
Direct and Strategic Partners
Funding Advisors
14
SMB
Solutions
Online
Lending
ISOs/
Processors
Banks
as a service
15
Securitization /
Warehouse
Funding Mix 4Q 15
Marketplace
OnDeck
Target Mix
Investor
Type
Flexibility
Scalable as Originations
Grow
Cost
Resiliency
Capital-Light Structure,
Equity Contribution Aligns
Interests
Securitization
Marketplace
Funding mix includes the principal balance outstanding in Loans Under Management as of December 31, 2015 for loans financed with funding debt or sold to OnDeck
Marketplace investors.
Warehouse
Lines
16
6.9%
6.4%
5.5%
6.9%
6.8%
5.5%
5.2%
4.4%
2.9%
0.9%
0.0%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1Q '15
2Q '15
3Q '15
4Q '15
17
Growth Strategy
Product expansion
Strategic partnerships
Expand customer
lifetime value
International expansion
18
Management Team
Noah
Breslow
Howard
Katzenberg
James
Hobson
CEO
CFO
COO
Pamela
Rice
Paul
Rosen
Krishna
Venkatraman
Technology
Sales
Cynthia
Chen
Andrea
Gellert
Zhengyuan
Lu
Risk
Marketing
Capital Markets
Board of Directors
Noah Breslow
Jane J. Thompson
RRE Ventures
American Express
Ronald Verni
Sandy Miller
Neil Wolfson
Sage Software
SF Capital Group
David Hartwig
Bruce P. Nolop
Sapphire Ventures
Financial Highlights
Originations
$MM
1,158
1,874
Rapid Growth
2014
2015
557
4Q '14
4Q '15
50
68
4Q '14
4Q '15
25
42
4Q '14
4Q '15
Gross Revenue
$MM
158
255
369
2015
Net Revenue
$MM
160
73
2014
2015
20
Expenses
Origination Fee
Interest Income
Acquisition
Processing
and Servicing
Funding Costs
Loan
Profit
Losses
21
$3
$5
3.1x+
ROI
$6
or
$7
$83
$7
Return3
$9
($MM)
after
9 quarters
$8
$20
$27
$27
Investment
$17
Acquisition Contribution2
Cost1
+2Q
+3Q
+4Q
+5Q
+6Q
+7Q
+8Q
+9Q
Through
Dec 31, 2015
2013
1. Includes upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
2. Contribution is defined to include interest income and fees collected on initial and repeat loans, less acquisition costs for repeat loans, less the following items for both initial and repeat loans:
estimated third party processing and servicing expenses, estimated funding costs (excluding any cost of equity capital) and charge offs. For this purpose, processing and servicing expenses are
estimated based on the mix of new and renewal originations and outstanding principal balances. Includes all loans originated in the period. New and repeat loans sold funding cost is estimated
based on the average on-balance sheet cost of funds rate in the period. Estimates may be adjusted in subsequent periods to reflect updated information.
3. Return on Investment (ROI) is contribution divided by initial acquisition cost. Acquisition costs include upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
4. Figures may not foot due to rounding
22
Return on Investment 2
3.5x
$8,000
2013
2013
2014
2014
2.5x
$3,000
1.5x
+5 Quarters
$(2,000)
+9 Quarters
0.5x
+5 Quarters
+9 Quarters
23
81%
Operating Leverage
Potential
68%
63%
61%
54%
51%
37%
2012
2013
Funding Costs
2014
2015
2012
2013
2014
2015
$0.6
($0.2)
$0.3
($0.8)
($1.1)
($4.6)
2014
2015
Adjusted EBITDA
4Q 14
4Q 15
25
Drive sustainable net revenue growth for the longer term, prioritizing stable credit
quality across the portfolio
Diversify our funding sources by type and investor to balance risk retention with
flexibility and resiliency over an economic cycle
26
APPENDIX
Revised
Historical
Interest Income
Divided by Average Loans
Funding Cost
Divided by Revised Average Funding Debt Outstanding
Funding Cost
Divided by Average Funding Debt Outstanding
Average Loans
1. For summary purposes only and is qualified in its entirety by the descriptions of the Key Performance Metrics in our earnings release issued February 22, 2016.
2. In April 2015, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued ASU 2015-03, Simplifying the Presentation of Debt Issuance Costs, which amends ASC 835-30, Interest - Imputation of
Interest. ASU 2015-03 requires entities to reclassify the presentation of deferred debt issuance costs in their financial statements. Under the update to the accounting standard, an entity will
be required to present such deferred costs in the balance sheet as a direct deduction from the related debt liability rather than as an asset. This accounting standard is effective beginning
January 1, 2016 and is to be applied retrospectively.
28
Average Loans
$MM
530.3 534.5
Historical
535.2
550.5
541.2
513.2
564.8
35.7%
37.6%
1Q '15
2Q '15
3Q '15
35.9%
1Q '15
4Q '15
37.9%
37.6%
36.7%
532.6
2Q '15
$MM
385.6
383.4
1Q '15
363.9
359.8
2Q '15
34.2%
3Q '15
4Q '15
5.8%
5.8%
5.7%
5.8%
3Q '15
4Q '15
34.8%
351.7
3Q '15
365.6
5.2%
364.4
4Q '15
5.2%
5.1%
5.0%
1Q '15
2Q '15
1Q 15
2Q 15
3Q 15
4Q 15
1Q 16
2Q 16
3Q 16
4Q 16
61
64
65
62
62
64
64
61
4.1311
3.9375
3.8769
4.0645
4.0484
3.9219
3.9219
4.1148
1. Beginning with the quarter ending March 31, 2016, the Company is refining the calculation of Effective Interest Yield (EIY) and certain related definitions to reflect the substantial growth and
impact of OnDeck Marketplace and to present EIY on a business day adjusted basis. In addition, effective January 1, 2016, the company is adopting a new a GAAP requirement regarding the
presentation of deferred debt issuance costs related to average funding debt outstanding. In preparation for these changes and to enhance comparability of prior periods, the above table
contains the relevant Key Performance Metrics (1) as originally presented historically and (2) as revised to conform to the pending adoption of the 2016 calculation methodology and the
retrospective application of the new GAAP requirement regarding the presentation of deferred debt issuance costs. For summary purposes only and is qualified in its entirety by the descriptions
of the Key Performance Metrics in our earnings release issued February 22, 2016.
29
Maturity Date
WA Interest
Rate
Principal
Outstanding
Borrowing
Capacity
May-18
3.4%
$175.0
$175.0
June-17
2.7%
59.4
100.0
May-17
3.3%
47.5
50.0
Sept-17
2.6%
42.1
150.0
May-17
8.6%
27.7
50.0
6.9%
12.8
12.8
Aug-17 3
5.0%
8.7
100.0
Various
6.9
6.9
$380.1
$644.7
$2.7
$20.0
Oct-16
4.50%
30
As of December 31, 2015, net charge-off as a percentage of original Unpaid Principal Balance, all term loans in Loans Under Management represented.
31
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
4Q '15
$17.1
4Q '14
$11.4
2015
$60.6
2014
$33.2
(0.9)
(0.4)
(3.1)
(0.7)
$16.2
$11.0
$57.5
$32.5
Stock-based compensation
25.3%
22.6%
23.8%
21.0%
(1.3)
(0.7)
(1.2)
(0.4)
23.9%
21.9%
22.6%
20.6%
GAAP expense
3.1%
3.1%
3.2%
2.9%
Stock-based compensation
(0.2)
(0.1)
(0.2)
(0.1)
2.9%
3.0%
3.1%
2.8%
GAAP expense
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
4Q '14
2015
2014
$4.0
$2.3
$13.1
$8.2
Stock-based compensation
(0.2)
(0.1)
(0.8)
(0.2)
$3.7
$2.2
$12.3
$8.0
GAAP expense
5.9%
4.6%
5.1%
5.2%
Stock-based compensation
(0.4)
(0.2)
(0.3)
(0.1)
5.5%
4.4%
4.8%
5.1%
4Q '15
4Q '14
12.7
6.0
4Q '15
($MM)
GAAP expense
2015
42.7
2014
GAAP expense
Stock-based compensation
(0.6)
(0.2)
(2.4)
(0.5)
$5.8
$40.3
$16.9
18.9%
12.0%
16.7%
11.0%
(0.9)
(0.5)
(0.9)
(0.3)
17.9%
11.5%
15.8%
10.7%
4Q '14
$13.6
$7.7
2015
$45.3
2014
$21.7
(1.7)
(0.7)
(5.4)
(1.4)
$11.8
$7.0
$39.9
$20.3
20.1%
15.3%
17.8%
13.7%
17.4
$12.1
4Q '15
(2.6)
(1.4)
(2.1)
(0.9)
17.5%
13.9%
15.7%
12.8%
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
Operating expense (or its components) excluding stock-based compensation expense and the percentages computed using those metrics are not presented in accordance with GAAP and are
non-GAAP financial measures. Management believes they can provide useful supplemental information to investors and others for comparisons in understanding and evaluating our operating
expenses without the impact of non-cash stock-based compensation which can vary significantly from period to period.
32
(000s)
2014
2015
2014
2015
Net Loss
($18,708)
($2,231)
($4,291)
($5,144)
398
306
124
56
4,071
6,508
1,223
1,886
2,842
11,582
1,395
3,517
11,232
2,110
($165)
$16,165
$561
$315
Adjustments:
Corporate Interest Expense
Adjusted EBITDA represents our net income (loss), adjusted to exclude interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes (rather than funding costs associated with
lending activities), income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment. EBITDA is impacted by changes
from period to period in the fair value of the liability related to preferred stock warrants. Management believes that adjusting EBITDA to eliminate the impact of the changes in fair value
of these warrants is useful to analyze the operating performance of the business, unaffected by changes in the fair value of preferred stock warrants which are not relevant to the
ongoing operations of the business. All such preferred stock warrants converted to common stock warrants upon initial our initial public offering in December 2014.
33
(000s)
2014
2015
2014
2015
($18,708)
($2,231)
($4,291)
($5,144)
2,842
11,582
1,395
3,517
958
500
11,232
2,110
($4,634)
$10,309
($786)
($1,127)
Adjustments:
Stock-Based Compensation Expense
Net loss attributable to non-controlling interest
Warrant Liability Fair Value Adjustment
Adjusted Net (Loss) Income
Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per share represents our net income (loss) adjusted to exclude net loss attributable to non-controlling interest, stock-based compensation expense and warrant
liability fair value adjustment, each on the same basis and with the same limitations as described above for Adjusted EBITDA, divided by the weighted average common shares outstanding
during the period. Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per share does not include the impact of accretion of dividends on redeemable convertible preferred stock or Series A and B preferred stock
redemptions. All such preferred stock converted to common stock upon our initial public offering in December 2014.
34
$19,183
20,231
729
(20)
1,613
5
$12,271
18,989
444
145
664
4
$41,741
$32,517
$1,756
4,613
3,394
$1,049
214
5,164
$9,763
$6,427
31,978
26,090
(31,978)
(26,090)
1. Our net operating loss carryforwards for federal income tax purposes were approximately $50.6 million, $32.2 million and $47.5 million at December 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively,
and, if not utilized, will expire at various dates beginning in 2027. State net operating loss carryforwards were $49.8 million, $31.4 million and $47.2 million at December 31, 2015, 2014 and
2013, respectively. Net operating loss carryforwards and tax credit carryforwards reflected above may be limited due to historical and future ownership changes.
35