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Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on February 24 - 27, 2016. The margin of sampling error for


results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 920 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 600 interviews among landline respondents and 401
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Monday, February 29 at 6:00 a.m.

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.
2.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this years election-- extremely
enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Voters
Feb. 24-27, 2016

25%

27%

19%

13%

16%

Jan. 21-24, 2016


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

32%
31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%

24%
24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%

21%
24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%

13%
10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%

9%
10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%

*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%

POLL 4
3

-2-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 290 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


128 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 418 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
2.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this years election-- extremely
enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Democrats
Feb. 24-27, 2016

23%

29%

21%

12%

15%

Jan. 21-24, 2016


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

28%
30%
28%
33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%

24%
21%
24%
22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%

26%
26%
26%
23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%

14%
13%
9%
11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%

8%
10%
13%
11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%

*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*

POLL 4
3

-3-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
2.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this years election-- extremely
enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Republicans
Feb. 24-27, 2016

31%

27%

17%

13%

12%

Jan. 21-24, 2016


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

39%
35%
34%
28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%

27%
30%
25%
33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%

16%
22%
24%
23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%

11%
6%
9%
9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%

7%
5%
7%
7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%

*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

POLL 4
3

-4-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.
BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND
121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
BASED ON 290 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
128 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 418 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
3.

Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?
More

Less

Same
(vol.)

No
Opinion

All Registered Voters


Feb. 24-27, 2016
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Oct. 27-29, 2006
Oct. 6-8, 2006
Aug. 30Sep.2, 2006

49%
62%
47%
49%
48%

40%
29%
37%
36%
36%

12%
9%
14%
12%
15%

*
*
2%
3%
1%

Registered Democrats
Feb. 24-27, 2016
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Oct. 27-29, 2006
Oct. 6-8, 2006
Aug. 30Sep.2, 2006

46%
68%
52%
53%
49%

42%
24%
33%
34%
37%

12%
8%
12%
10%
13%

*
*
2%
3%
1%

Registered Republicans
Feb. 24-27, 2016
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Oct. 27-29, 2006
Oct. 6-8, 2006
Aug. 30Sep.2, 2006

58%
54%
42%
46%
46%

30%
38%
40%
37%
35%

12%
8%
16%
15%
18%

*
*
2%
2%
1%

(CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE)

POLL 4
3

-5-

February 24-27, 2016

More
enthusiastic

Less
enthusiastic

Same (vol.)

No
opinion

REGISTERED VOTERS
2004 Oct 14-16*
2004 Sep 3-5*
2004 Aug 23-25*
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1*
2004 Jul 19-21*
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Oct 13-15
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10

67
65
60
69
60
52
56
38
39
45

21
23
29
22
25
29
32
39
38
37

12
11
11
9
14
18
12
20
22
17

*
1
--1
1
*
3
1
1

Republicans
2004 Oct 14-16
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10

70
62
62
64
52
53
54
46
53

21
28
28
25
30
25
30
29
30

12
13
9
11
15
20
15
22
16

1
*
1
*
2
1
1
1
1

Democrats
2004 Oct 14-16
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10

70
62
63
76
67
53
59
35
40

21
28
27
19
20
32
34
45
41

10
7
10
6
12
13
6
19
17

-2
*
--1
1
1
2

Asked of half sample.


NOTE: Trend for presidential elections only.

POLL 4
3

-6-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
4.

I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Ben
Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER)

Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Kasich
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Santorum
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

Feb.
24-27
2016

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept
17-19
2015

Sept.
4-8
2015

49%
16%
15%
10%
6%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
1%
1%

41%
8%
19%
6%
1%
5%
4%
2%
*
NA
3%
NA
NA
3%
NA
*
NA
3%
1%
4%

39%
10%
18%
10%
2%
3%
5%
1%
*
1%
2%
NA
*
4%
NA
*
NA
3%
1%
1%

36%
12%
16%
14%
2%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
2%
NA
*
1%
NA
*
NA
1%
4%
2%

27%
8%
4%
22%
3%
8%
4%
4%
*
1%
5%
*
*
5%
NA
2%
NA
1%
2%
4%

24%
11%
6%
14%
2%
9%
3%
15%
*
*
6%
*
*
4%
NA
1%
*
*
1%
3%

32%
3%
7%
19%
2%
9%
2%
3%
*
1%
5%
1%
*
3%
*
1%
5%
3%
2%
2%

(QUESTION 4 CONTINUED ON THE NEXT PAGE)

POLL 4
3

-7-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
4.

I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich,
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER)

Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Kasich
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Santorum
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion
5.

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

24%
8%
5%
9%
5%
13%
3%
5%
*
*
4%
*
*
6%
2%
1%
8%
4%
3%
1%

18%
6%
7%
4%
4%
15%
4%
1%
*
1%
5%
2%
1%
6%
3%
2%
10%
4%
4%
3%

12%
7%
3%
8%
3%
17%
3%
1%
NA
1%
5%
2%
*
8%
4%
4%
6%
5%
6%
3%

Would you say you will definitely will support that candidate, or is it possible you would change
your mind?

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion

POLL 4
3

Aug.
13-16
2015

Feb. 24-27
2016

Jan. 21-24
2016

68%
32%
*

53%
46%
*

-8-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 368 REPUBLICAN/REPUBLICAN LEANING VOTERS NOT SUPPORTING TED CRUZ -SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
6.

If Ted Cruz won the Republican Partys nomination for the presidency, would you definitely support
him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him, or
definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Feb. 24-27
2016
Definitely support him
Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion

35%
34%
20%
11%
*

BASED ON 358 REPUBLICAN/REPUBLICAN LEANING VOTERS NOT SUPPORTING MARCO


RUBIO -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
7.

If Marco Rubio won the Republican Partys nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Feb. 24-27
2016
Definitely support him
Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion

38%
31%
17%
12%
1%

BASED ON 227 REPUBLICAN/REPUBLICAN LEANING VOTERS NOT SUPPORTING DONALD


TRUMP -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
8.

If Donald Trump won the Republican Partys nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Feb. 24-27
2016
Definitely support him
Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion

POLL 4
3

25%
27%
13%
35%
1%

-9-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
9.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES AND
ATTRIBUTES)
Feb.24-27 Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2016
2015

Would be most effective at solving the


countrys problems
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Pataki
Paul
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

51%
17%
13%
10%
5%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
*
2%
2%

42%
12%
10%
14%
1%
4%
4%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
3%
2%

48%
17%
15%
8%
7%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
*
3%
1%

37%
16%
10%
11%
1%
8%
4%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
2%
*
*
2%
4%

Can best handle the responsibilities of


being commander-in-chief
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Pataki
Paul
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 4
3

-10-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
9.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: [INTERVIEWER: DO NOT READ LIST AGAIN
UNLESS RESPONDENT ASKS] (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES AND ATTRIBUTES)
Feb.24-27
2016

Best understands the problems facing


people like you
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

46%
18%
15%
11%
7%
*
2%
2%

Is the most honest and trustworthy


Trump
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 4
3

35%
22%
14%
13%
9%
*
6%
1%

-11-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 290 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


128 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 418 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
10.

I'm going to read a list of people who are be running in the Democratic primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Democratic nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Hillary
Clinton or Bernie Sanders (RANDOM ORDER)

Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Chafee
Lessig
OMalley
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Chafee
Lessig
OMalley
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion
11.

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept.
17-19
2015

55%
38%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
2%
2%

52%
38%
NA
NA
NA
2%
NA
7%
1%
1%

50%
34%
NA
NA
NA
3%
NA
7%
4%
1%

58%
30%
NA
NA
NA
2%
NA
7%
2%
1%

45%
29%
18%
*
*
*
1%
2%
3%
2%

42%
24%
22%
*
NA
1%
*
2%
4%
2%

Sept.
4-8
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

37%
27%
20%
*
NA
3%
2%
7%
4%
1%

47%
29%
14%
*
NA
2%
1%
4%
3%
*

56%
19%
15%
*
NA
*
1%
4%
3%
1%

58%
15%
17%
*
NA
1%
1%
2%
4%
1%

Would you say you will definitely will support that candidate, or is it possible you would change
your mind?

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion

POLL 4
3

Feb.
24-27
2016

Feb. 24-27
2016

Jan. 21-24
2016

67%
33%
*

62%
37%
*

-12-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 165 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANING VOTERS NOT SUPPORTING HILLARY


CLINTON-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 7.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
12.

If Hillary Clinton won the Democratic Partys nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support her in the general election in November, probably support her, probably NOT support her, or
definitely NOT support her in the general election in November?
Feb. 24-27
2016
Definitely support her
Probably support her
Probably not support her
Definitely not support her
No opinion

36%
29%
13%
20%
2%

BASED ON 286 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANING VOTERS NOT SUPPORTING BERNIE


SANDERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.
13.

If Bernie Sanders won the Democratic Partys nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Feb. 24-27
2016
Definitely support him
Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion

POLL 4
3

41%
33%
18%
6%
2%

-13-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 290 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


128 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 418 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.
14.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES AND
ATTRIBUTES)
Feb. 24-27
2016
Would be more effective at solving the
countrys problems
Clinton
Sanders
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
Feb. 24-27 Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2016
2015

Can better handle the responsibilities of


being commander-in-chief
Clinton
Sanders
OMalley
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

73%
24%
NA
1%
*
*

64%
24%
6%
2%
3%
1%

QUESTION WORDING PRIOR 2016: Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief.

Feb. 24-27
2016
Better understands the problems facing
people like you
Clinton
Sanders
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
Feb. 24-27
2016

Is more honest and trustworthy


Sanders
Clinton
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 4
3

59%
36%
1%
3%
2%
-14-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS 15 AND 16 ROTATED)
15.

Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president? (RANDOM ORDER)

Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Chafee
OMalley
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
No opinion

Feb. 24-27
2016

Jan. 21-24
2016

Sept. 4-8
2015

July 22-25
2015

70%
25%
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
3%

63%
28%
NA
NA
4%
NA
2%
2%

55%
13%
22%
1%
1%
1%
3%
4%

75%
8%
9%
*
1%
1%
2%
4%

FOR COMPARISON
QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most
likely to win the Democratic nomination for president this year?

Obama
Clinton
No opinion

Apr. 28-30
2008

Jan. 9-10
2008

Oct.12-14
2007

57%
37%
5%

38%
55%
3%

16%
64%
6%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS

POLL 4
3

-15-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
16.

Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER)
Feb. 24-27
2016
Trump
70%
Rubio
13%
Cruz
11%
Carson
2%
Kasich
1%
Bush
NA
Christie
NA
Fiorina
NA
Gilmore
NA
Graham
NA
Huckabee
NA
Jindal
NA
Pataki
NA
Paul
NA
Perry
NA
Santorum
NA
Walker
NA
Someone else (vol.) 2%
No opinion
2%

Jan. 21-24 Sept. 4-8


2016
2015
56%
8%
17%
2%
3%
5%
1%
1%
*
NA
*
NA
NA
1%
NA
1%
NA
1%
4%

41%
4%
3%
9%
2%
22%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
1%
3%
8%

July 22-25
2015
18%
6%
4%
2%
1%
39%
3%
*
*
1%
2%
*
*
3%
1%
1%
11%
2%
6%

FOR COMPARISON
QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most
likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year?

Romney
Santorum
Gingrich
Paul
Someone else (vol.)
Bachmann
Cain
Huntsman
Perry
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Feb. 10-13
2012

Dec. 16-18
2011

Oct. 14-16
2011

Sept. 9-11
2011

68%
13%
11%
5%
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%

41%
2%
37%
4%
*
6%
N/A
*
4%
2%
3%

51%
1%
3%
3%
*
3%
18%
*
14%
N/A
8%

28%
1%
6%
4%
*
3%
5%
1%
41%
3%
2%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS

POLL 4
3

-16-

February 24-27, 2016

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Republicans, and 39% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

POLL 4
3

-17-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 2
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------25%
25%
25%
28%
27%
31%
22%
27%
19%
17%
21%
19%
13%
13%
13%
13%
16%
14%
18%
13%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
19%
13%
16%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------25%
19%
27%
27%
19%
18%
13%
15%
16%
20%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
19%
13%
16%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----25%
31%
21%
9%
14%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
19%
13%
16%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----23%
27%
18%
14%
17%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----25%
24%
26%
14%
11%
*
+/-7.0

South
----30%
28%
16%
12%
14%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
19%
13%
16%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------47%
34%
7%
8%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------16%
23%
22%
15%
23%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----28%
32%
23%
29%
27%
27%
19%
19%
19%
11%
13%
13%
13%
10%
18%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----19%
24%
17%
22%
18%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------19%
26%
19%
12%
24%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----30%
29%
20%
9%
11%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------29%
27%
21%
12%
11%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----33%
29%
17%
11%
9%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------34%
27%
18%
11%
10%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----17%
21%
19%
16%
26%
*
+/-5.5

Republican
-----34%
29%
16%
13%
8%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----22%
27%
17%
14%
20%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----30%
27%
21%
10%
11%
1%
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------21%
26%
19%
14%
19%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----23%
29%
21%
12%
15%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----27%
29%
19%
8%
17%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----18%
25%
20%
17%
21%
*
+/-5.5

West
----18%
27%
18%
12%
24%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----28%
24%
22%
11%
15%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----31%
27%
17%
13%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------33%
27%
18%
13%
9%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----24%
27%
19%
13%
17%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----26%
27%
16%
16%
14%
*
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-18-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 3
Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less
enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
56%
41%
51%
40%
33%
46%
36%
12%
11%
12%
13%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
40%
12%
*
+/-3.0

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
49%
40%
43%
12%
7%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
40%
12%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----47%
39%
14%
*
+/-6.0

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
40%
12%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----47%
44%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----43%
39%
18%
*
+/-7.0

South
----53%
36%
11%
*
+/-5.5

More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
40%
12%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------75%
11%
14%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
52%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----54%
57%
46%
35%
29%
43%
11%
13%
11%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----37%
50%
12%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------44%
48%
9%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----55%
32%
12%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------48%
38%
14%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----58%
29%
13%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------47%
35%
18%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----40%
50%
10%
*
+/-5.5

Republican
-----62%
27%
11%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----45%
43%
12%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----54%
34%
11%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------49%
42%
9%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----46%
42%
12%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----51%
37%
12%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----39%
49%
12%
*
+/-5.5

West
----49%
41%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----49%
38%
13%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----58%
30%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------59%
29%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----47%
42%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----55%
35%
10%
*
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-19-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 4
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
7%
13%
11%
15%
17%
12%
13%
6%
8%
3%
7%
16%
14%
18%
14%
49%
50%
47%
50%
3%
2%
4%
3%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
15%
6%
16%
49%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
13%
15%
15%
6%
3%
16%
17%
49%
49%
3%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
15%
6%
16%
49%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
15%
6%
16%
49%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----9%
12%
5%
13%
56%
4%
1%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------7%
15%
8%
16%
50%
3%
*
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
15%
9%
16%
47%
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------7%
13%
9%
19%
46%
5%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----9%
13%
5%
16%
51%
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----13%
16%
5%
21%
42%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Under
55
----12%
14%
5%
17%
47%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----7%
16%
7%
14%
50%
3%
1%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------11%
15%
5%
15%
50%
2%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----10%
15%
6%
16%
49%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------11%
20%
4%
16%
46%
2%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----6%
13%
6%
16%
51%
4%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-20-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 4
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
15%
6%
16%
49%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Support
------12%
16%
3%
9%
56%
1%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
15%
6%
20%
45%
4%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----16%
5%
20%
11%
5%
7%
12%
18%
44%
52%
1%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-21-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 5
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your
mind?
Base = Registered Republicans who support a candidate

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------68%
67%
68%
68%
32%
33%
32%
32%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.5 +/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
32%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------68%
69%
32%
31%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
32%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
32%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
32%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----72%
28%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------68%
32%
*
+/-7.0

65+
----70%
30%
*
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------68%
32%
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------73%
27%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------65%
35%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----73%
27%
*
+/-6.0
South
----73%
27%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----67%
33%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----68%
32%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------68%
32%
*
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----68%
32%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------69%
31%
*
+/-6.0

Suburban
----59%
41%
*
+/-7.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----70%
67%
30%
33%
*
*
+/-8.0 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-22-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 6
If Ted Cruz won the Republican Party's nomination for the presidency, would you definitely support
him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him, or
definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Base = Registered Republicans not supporting Ted Cruz

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
35%
36%
37%
34%
34%
33%
34%
20%
21%
18%
18%
11%
10%
12%
10%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------38%
34%
14%
13%
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----47%
34%
6%
12%
1%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------47%
30%
10%
12%
1%
+/-8.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------54%
30%
12%
4%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------28%
35%
27%
10%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----42%
32%
15%
11%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----41%
38%
14%
7%
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----29%
33%
27%
10%
1%
+/-8.5

55 and
Older
-----43%
35%
10%
11%
*
+/-6.5

Non
College
Grad
-------30%
35%
24%
10%
*
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----35%
34%
20%
11%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------46%
30%
15%
9%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----31%
28%
28%
13%
1%
+/-7.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----48%
28%
27%
38%
15%
23%
10%
11%
*
1%
+/-8.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-23-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 7
If Marco Rubio won the Republican Party's nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Base = Registered Republicans not supporting Marco Rubio

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
36%
40%
38%
31%
32%
30%
32%
17%
16%
19%
17%
12%
15%
9%
11%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-5.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------46%
29%
15%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----46%
31%
11%
9%
3%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------48%
28%
17%
5%
2%
+/-8.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------55%
27%
9%
9%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
33%
22%
14%
2%
+/-7.5

Republican
-----43%
31%
14%
11%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----34%
32%
18%
15%
1%
+/-8.5

55 and
Older
-----42%
31%
16%
8%
2%
+/-6.5

Non
College
Grad
-------33%
33%
18%
15%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----38%
31%
17%
12%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------50%
27%
12%
10%
2%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----36%
28%
20%
14%
2%
+/-7.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----45%
33%
31%
32%
13%
20%
10%
14%
*
2%
+/-8.0 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-24-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 8
If Donald Trump won the Republican Party's nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Base = Registered Republicans not supporting Donald Trump

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------25%
31%
27%
26%
13%
13%
35%
30%
1%
1%
+/-6.5 +/-8.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably not support him
Definitely not support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----27%
33%
14%
25%
1%
+/-7.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----28%
28%
14%
29%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non
College
Grad
-------22%
27%
12%
38%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----32%
32%
13%
22%
1%
+/-8.0
Lean
Republican
-----25%
27%
13%
35%
1%
+/-6.5
Conservative
------29%
32%
12%
26%
2%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-25-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
A. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
8%
13%
12%
17%
19%
14%
14%
5%
7%
4%
6%
13%
11%
15%
11%
51%
51%
49%
53%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
17%
5%
13%
51%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
12%
17%
20%
5%
1%
13%
14%
51%
49%
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
17%
5%
13%
51%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----6%
16%
4%
10%
60%
*
3%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------9%
15%
8%
14%
51%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
15%
9%
18%
49%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------6%
12%
10%
18%
52%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----10%
16%
5%
14%
54%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----13%
17%
4%
13%
50%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------12%
19%
4%
11%
50%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----6%
17%
7%
14%
51%
*
3%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----10%
17%
5%
13%
51%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------11%
22%
4%
13%
47%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-26-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
A. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
17%
5%
13%
51%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
17%
5%
13%
51%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------10%
18%
3%
7%
61%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------12%
17%
5%
16%
45%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5

South
----13%
19%
5%
17%
45%
*
*
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----7%
14%
5%
14%
54%
*
2%
4%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----13%
9%
22%
13%
3%
7%
11%
14%
49%
52%
*
*
1%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-27-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
B. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------8%
5%
13%
10%
17%
21%
13%
16%
7%
8%
5%
8%
15%
14%
18%
14%
48%
50%
45%
48%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
4%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
17%
7%
15%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------8%
14%
17%
16%
7%
2%
15%
15%
48%
50%
*
1%
3%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
17%
7%
15%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----7%
15%
5%
13%
54%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------5%
19%
10%
17%
46%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
18%
10%
15%
47%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------6%
18%
13%
19%
40%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----9%
16%
7%
16%
49%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----10%
17%
6%
16%
47%
*
2%
1%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------9%
17%
4%
14%
50%
*
4%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----6%
18%
8%
14%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----8%
17%
7%
15%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------10%
23%
6%
13%
45%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-28-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
B. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
17%
7%
15%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
17%
7%
15%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------8%
22%
3%
9%
57%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
17%
7%
19%
43%
*
4%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----10%
20%
5%
21%
44%
*
*
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----4%
15%
8%
19%
48%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----13%
5%
22%
15%
6%
8%
13%
17%
45%
49%
*
1%
1%
4%
*
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-29-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9C
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
C. Best understands the problems facing people like you
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------11%
8%
14%
13%
18%
16%
19%
16%
7%
10%
2%
8%
15%
15%
15%
14%
46%
48%
44%
47%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----11%
18%
7%
15%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------11%
13%
18%
22%
7%
2%
15%
13%
46%
48%
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----11%
18%
7%
15%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----10%
12%
6%
13%
55%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------10%
15%
8%
17%
47%
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----9%
19%
13%
15%
40%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------8%
15%
13%
19%
42%
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----11%
15%
5%
17%
49%
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----13%
18%
5%
16%
46%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------12%
19%
4%
13%
48%
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----9%
18%
9%
12%
47%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----11%
18%
7%
15%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------13%
22%
5%
14%
43%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-30-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9C
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
C. Best understands the problems facing people like you
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----11%
18%
7%
15%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----11%
18%
7%
15%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------11%
21%
3%
13%
52%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
18%
8%
15%
43%
1%
3%
2%
+/-6.5

South
----12%
24%
7%
16%
41%
*
*
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----5%
17%
6%
16%
49%
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----13%
10%
24%
13%
4%
8%
12%
16%
44%
48%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-31-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
D. Is the most honest and trustworthy
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------22%
20%
24%
23%
14%
16%
12%
12%
9%
11%
7%
11%
13%
14%
13%
12%
35%
35%
36%
35%
*
*
*
*
6%
4%
8%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
14%
9%
13%
35%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------22%
21%
14%
11%
9%
3%
13%
12%
35%
46%
*
*
6%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
14%
9%
13%
35%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----24%
12%
5%
16%
35%
*
7%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------23%
14%
12%
16%
29%
*
5%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----22%
12%
15%
16%
32%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------18%
18%
14%
18%
29%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----22%
16%
8%
15%
35%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----20%
16%
8%
13%
36%
*
7%
1%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------23%
12%
7%
12%
37%
*
8%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----24%
12%
11%
14%
33%
*
5%
*
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----22%
14%
9%
13%
35%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------24%
17%
8%
10%
34%
*
6%
1%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-32-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 9D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
D. Is the most honest and trustworthy
Base = Registered Republicans

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
14%
9%
13%
35%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
14%
9%
13%
35%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------25%
20%
6%
11%
35%
*
2%
1%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------22%
11%
8%
15%
35%
*
9%
*
+/-6.5

South
----23%
16%
6%
18%
33%
*
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----18%
14%
10%
13%
37%
*
7%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----28%
18%
14%
14%
8%
10%
12%
14%
29%
39%
*
*
8%
5%
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-33-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 10
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Democratic primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Democratic nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------55%
47%
60%
53%
38%
45%
33%
38%
3%
4%
3%
5%
2%
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
38%
3%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------55%
58%
38%
39%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
38%
3%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
38%
3%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
38%
3%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----59%
35%
4%
2%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----63%
26%
5%
3%
3%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------52%
39%
5%
*
4%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
40%
4%
3%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----70%
23%
3%
3%
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------50%
43%
3%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Independent
-----44%
46%
1%
3%
6%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------56%
39%
2%
*
3%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----64%
30%
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------55%
37%
3%
1%
4%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----47%
47%
3%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----66%
24%
3%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------57%
35%
3%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----55%
38%
3%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----47%
48%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----63%
29%
4%
3%
1%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----58%
37%
2%
2%
1%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----54%
39%
2%
1%
4%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
55%
N/A
39%
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-34-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 11
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your
mind?
Base = Registered Democrats who support a candidate

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------67%
65%
68%
70%
33%
35%
32%
30%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
33%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------67%
69%
33%
31%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
33%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
33%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
33%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----69%
31%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----80%
20%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------65%
35%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----75%
25%
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------64%
36%
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------74%
26%
*
+/-6.5

Under
55
----60%
40%
*
+/-8.5

55 and
Older
-----78%
22%
*
+/-6.5

Non
College
Grad
-------68%
32%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----67%
33%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----73%
27%
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----58%
42%
*
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----67%
33%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
66%
N/A
34%
N/A
*
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-35-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 12
If Hillary Clinton won the Democratic Party's nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support her in the general election in November, probably support her, probably NOT support her,
or definitely NOT support her in the general election in November?
Base = Registered Democrats not supporting Hillary Clinton

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Definitely support her


Probably support her
Probably NOT support her
Definitely NOT support her
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Men
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non
College
Grad
-------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Democrat
-----36%
29%
13%
20%
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
36%
N/A
32%
N/A
11%
N/A
18%
N/A
2%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-36-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 13
If Bernie Sanders won the Democratic Party's nomination for the presidency, would you definitely
support him in the general election in November, probably support him, probably NOT support him,
or definitely NOT support him in the general election in November?
Base = Registered Democrats not supporting Bernie Sanders

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Definitely support him


Probably support him
Probably NOT support him
Definitely NOT support him
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Men
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
White
--------40%
37%
39%
34%
15%
17%
5%
10%
1%
2%
+/-7.5 +/-7.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----42%
33%
15%
8%
2%
+/-7.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------49%
30%
14%
6%
2%
+/-8.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------53%
29%
11%
5%
1%
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------55%
23%
14%
6%
2%
+/-7.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----37%
40%
9%
10%
4%
+/-7.0

Non
College
Grad
-------36%
35%
20%
7%
2%
+/-8.0

Lean
Democrat
-----41%
33%
18%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----27%
41%
25%
5%
2%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----43%
32%
18%
5%
2%
+/-8.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
42%
N/A
34%
N/A
17%
N/A
5%
N/A
2%
+/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-37-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 14A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
A. Would be MORE effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------63%
53%
71%
60%
33%
43%
26%
36%
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------63%
61%
33%
37%
2%
2%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----69%
27%
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----69%
28%
1%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------63%
32%
2%
*
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------66%
29%
3%
*
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----74%
24%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------55%
40%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Independent
-----48%
49%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------66%
31%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----72%
24%
4%
1%
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------61%
36%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----56%
40%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----74%
23%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------68%
29%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----63%
33%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----56%
42%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----69%
27%
3%
*
1%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----68%
29%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----59%
38%
2%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
64%
N/A
33%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-38-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 14B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
B. Can BETTER handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------73%
65%
79%
70%
24%
32%
19%
28%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----73%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------73%
70%
24%
29%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----73%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----73%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----73%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----76%
22%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----77%
21%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------78%
20%
2%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------75%
22%
2%
*
*
+/-8.5

65+
----80%
17%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------75%
22%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----68%
31%
1%
*
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------77%
21%
1%
*
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----79%
18%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------73%
25%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----69%
29%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----79%
17%
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------72%
26%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----73%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----68%
31%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----79%
20%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----76%
22%
*
1%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----75%
23%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
75%
N/A
23%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-39-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 14C
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
C. BETTER understands the problems facing people like you
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
41%
55%
47%
48%
53%
44%
49%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
2%
*
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
50%
48%
47%
1%
*
2%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----54%
43%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----55%
42%
1%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------46%
50%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------48%
46%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----64%
32%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------44%
53%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Independent
-----36%
59%
1%
2%
2%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------51%
46%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----62%
36%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------48%
50%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----42%
56%
*
2%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----60%
36%
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------52%
45%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----49%
48%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----42%
56%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----52%
44%
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----49%
46%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----49%
49%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
49%
N/A
49%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-40-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 14D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
D. Is MORE honest and trustworthy
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------36%
26%
44%
34%
59%
68%
52%
60%
1%
1%
*
1%
3%
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
59%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------36%
40%
59%
58%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
59%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
59%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
59%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----41%
53%
1%
4%
2%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----43%
52%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------31%
62%
1%
3%
3%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
55%
1%
2%
3%
+/-8.5

65+
----59%
34%
2%
3%
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------26%
68%
*
3%
3%
+/-7.0

Independent
-----23%
74%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------38%
58%
*
1%
3%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----48%
48%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------33%
63%
*
3%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----26%
71%
*
2%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----51%
42%
1%
4%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------41%
54%
1%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----36%
59%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----26%
71%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----42%
53%
*
3%
2%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----37%
61%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----35%
60%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
36%
N/A
60%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-41-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 15
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------70%
72%
69%
71%
25%
25%
25%
24%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
1%
4%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
25%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------70%
62%
25%
32%
2%
2%
3%
4%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
25%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----81%
18%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
25%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

North
east
----65%
29%
2%
5%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----65%
28%
2%
5%
+/-7.0

South
----78%
19%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
25%
2%
3%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------71%
25%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------65%
28%
3%
4%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----80%
70%
70%
19%
21%
26%
1%
3%
2%
1%
6%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----75%
19%
1%
5%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------68%
28%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----72%
23%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------79%
17%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----82%
15%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------80%
18%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----61%
31%
4%
4%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----69%
27%
*
4%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----64%
31%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----80%
16%
2%
2%
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------66%
29%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----79%
20%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----72%
27%
*
1%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----71%
23%
3%
3%
+/-5.5

West
----68%
28%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----72%
24%
3%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----67%
29%
1%
3%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------69%
25%
2%
3%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----70%
25%
2%
3%
+/-4.5

Rural
----65%
29%
1%
5%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-42-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 16
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president?
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------2%
1%
3%
1%
11%
10%
11%
9%
1%
2%
1%
2%
13%
10%
16%
12%
70%
75%
64%
74%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----2%
11%
1%
13%
70%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------2%
2%
11%
11%
1%
1%
13%
11%
70%
70%
2%
3%
2%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----2%
11%
1%
13%
70%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----2%
10%
1%
16%
65%
4%
2%
+/-6.0

3549
----1%
11%
*
14%
71%
1%
1%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------3%
15%
1%
15%
59%
4%
3%
+/-7.0

5064
----3%
6%
1%
14%
69%
4%
3%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------1%
10%
1%
14%
71%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

65+
----*
10%
3%
9%
74%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------*
12%
*
17%
67%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----1%
12%
2%
11%
69%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----2%
10%
1%
11%
76%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----2%
12%
*
14%
69%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------3%
10%
2%
11%
71%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----2%
12%
2%
16%
64%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----1%
6%
2%
19%
68%
3%
2%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----3%
11%
1%
13%
68%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----2%
9%
3%
11%
70%
3%
3%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----1%
11%
1%
9%
78%
*
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------2%
13%
*
8%
74%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-43-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 16
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president?
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----2%
11%
1%
13%
70%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----2%
8%
2%
15%
70%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----2%
14%
3%
15%
65%
2%
*
+/-7.0

South
----3%
12%
*
13%
68%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----2%
11%
1%
13%
70%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------1%
7%
*
7%
82%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------2%
14%
1%
11%
69%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----1%
2%
2%
8%
8%
12%
2%
1%
1%
19%
11%
13%
64%
77%
68%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----*
9%
1%
8%
75%
3%
3%
+/-7.0

Urban
----3%
7%
1%
17%
65%
4%
2%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----1%
12%
2%
13%
69%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----2%
12%
2%
6%
75%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-44-

February 24-27, 2016

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