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an American researcher
COHEN
this theory suggests that over time, as the locals become more hostile to
visitors, the number of visitors will not continue to grow at the same previous
rate and may actually decline.
Euphoria
Apathy
Annoyance
Saturation is approached and the local people have misgivings.
Planners
attempt to control via increasing infrastructure
rather than limiting growth.
Antagonism
Open expression of irritation and planning is remedial, yet
promotion is
increased to offset the deteriorating
reputation of the resort.
BUTLER
a geographer
developed his theory or model which was built on the ideas of Christaller,
Plog, Cohen and Doxey.
Butlers theory appeared in 1980 in which he, not only acknowledge that this
theory was based on earlier theories but he also indicated that it was based
on the business concept of the product life cycle.
- He showed that despite some criticisms, after almost 20 years, there was
much support for his original model.
He suggested that the following key points confirmed the validity of his original
theory:
1. The key concept is dynamism. Destinations change over time.
2. There is a common process of development of tourist destinations.
3. There are limits to growth. If the demand for visits is more than the capacity of
the destination, the number of visitors will decrease and subsequently decline.
4. There are triggers or factors that bring about change in a destination.
5. Management is an important factor. Good management is needed to avoid the
decline stage of the destination.
6. Long-term view. There is a need to look ahead for 50 years, not 5 years, to avoid
the failures suggested by the model.