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REAL ESTATE CONSULTANTS SANTA ROSA, CA
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Michael Allen
Collaborative Housing Solutions
P.O. Box 4870
Santa Rosa, CA 95402
Dear Michael,
Collaborative Housing Solutions and the Sonoma County Water Agency has given us a clear directive
for the redevelopment of 2150 West College Ave. In response, we are pleased to present you with the
College Creek Conceptual Master Plan and Business Plan Outline. College Creek is a 100% affordable
workforce housing community that brings together the highest level of Green Development Practices
and community benefit.
This is a working document presented to Collaborative Housing Solutions and the Water Agency as a
first draft. It was prepared with a limited budget and so many exhibits, tables and drawings are not yet
in presentation format. We expect there to be modifications, additions and subtractions as we
progress through the review, entitlement, financing and construction phase of the project. Affordable
housing calculations will need to be updated to meet just-released 2008 figures.
In a separate document we will recommend the next steps for the Collaborative Housing Solutions and
Water Agency to take to move this project forward in the most efficient manner.
Thank you,
Background
The Neighborhood
• 2150 West College Ave, Santa Rosa, CA
• Site of former Sonoma County Water Agency headquarters
• Fully improved with office buildings, maintenance facilitates, landscaping and
infrastructure
• Road width of 4 lane drops to 2 lane in front of property, will eventually be 4 lane
• Small strip commercial across street provides conveniences
• A few vacant parcels that could go commercial with proper residential development of
subject property
• California Department of Forestry Fire Dept adjacent to the west.
• Single family beyond to the west
• Single family across street to the north
• Fire Department and Transit Station to the East
• Finley Community Park and Aquatic Center beyond to the east
The Site
• Generally level site bounded by College Creek to the south and east, and West College
Ave to the North.
• Fully landscaped
• Fully improved with roads, water, sewer & drainage
The Market
• The for-sale real estate market in Santa Rosa has collapsed.
The Assignment
• Provide about 140 units of housing in a creative setting
• Approx 10 units for SWCA employees affordable to those employees at their current pay
scale
• Use green building practices and the latest sustainable techniques in land planning, site
work, construction and operations.
• Use the site as a laboratory for the North America Climate Initiative.
Master Plan, Development Program & Business Plan as a Framework to Guide Development
• Master Plan identifies zones and land uses.
• Site Plan applies those land uses to the specifics of existing conditions
• Development Program identifies product sizes and ownership types.
• Business Plan provides alternatives development programs that give positive financial
results.
A lot of infrastructure has been built in to the site - reuse what is possible
• Map the storm drainage system and preserve and re-use all major lines, inlets and
outfalls.
• Align roads and buildings to make use of existing improvements
• Re-use of existing drainage means no new outfalls into College Creek. This avoids Fish &
Game as well as Army Corps of Engineers permits.
• Attempt to re-use sewer and water points of connection.
A lot of work has gone into landscaping the site - preserve as many trees as possible
Improve the quality of life for those who live here above normal workforce housing
conditions
• Cluster buildings into settings
Additional goals and refinements of the above goals will be described in future assignments.
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Existing Conditions
HARTSONOMA
REAL ESTATE CONSULTANTS
The Master Plan
Goals Identified
Master Plan, Development Program & Business Plan as a Framework to Guide Development
• Master Plan identifies zones and land uses.
• Site Plan applies those land uses to the specifics of existing conditions
• Business Plan provides alternatives development programs that give positive financial
results.
A lot of infrastructure has been built in to the site - reuse what is possible
• Map the storm drainage system and preserve and re-use all major lines, inlets and
outfalls.
• Align roads and buildings to make use of existing improvements
• Re-use of existing drainage means no new outfalls into College Creek. This avoids Fish &
Game as well as Army Corps of Engineers permits.
• Attempt to re-use sewer and water points of connection.
A lot of work has gone into landscaping the site - preserve as many trees as possible
Improve the quality of life for those who live here above normal workforce housing
conditions
• Cluster buildings into settings
• Provide large useable open spaces, not landscape slivers
• All parking half-buried underground
• Provide a multitude of on-site amenities that foster activity without using precious
natural resources.
• Provide flexibility in amenity end-use to meet as yet unknown community needs
• Resort-quality at a workforce level
Additional goals and refinements of the above goals will be described in future assignments.
"ARCEL B_
Appro*. 1 gross acre
22 multi family units
over 48 parking spaces Architect
Opportunity site
Cinl Engineer
So Js Engineer
Landscape Archm
CONCEPTUAL
MASTER
PLAN
MP1
HARTSONOMA
The Product
Due to the density established as a goal by the client, all products are multifamily units. To
avoid the typical multifamily scene of large expanse of parking surrounding apartment blocks,
almost all parking in half-buried below the units. There is at least one of each unit type at
raised grade for adaptable universal design.
• Rental Product:
• For-Sale Product:
o Housing expense ratio: 30% including utilities, taxes, insurance & HOA dues
One bedroom units have the distinction that the price the market will bear results in for-sale
pricing at below "low income" levels. There is not a lot of demand for one bedroom units, and
not very many of the proposed.
• Rental Product 1:
o Housing expense ratio: 30% including utilities
o Affordability index: 78% of median.
o Rental rate: $1,250 per month
• Rental Product 2:
o Housing expense ratio: 30% including utilities
o Affordability index: 100% of median.
o Rental rate: $1,350 per month
Parking
There are 256 covered parking spaces and 14 uncovered parking spaces proposed in the
Conceptual Master Plan. This is a ratio of 1 space for every one-bedroom unit and 2 spaces for
every two & three bedroom unit.
Care
Utilities & Maintenance 780 - - - -
Type A Sleep
1 Bedroom
720 sq ft
Type B
2 Bedroom
924 sq ft
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The Settings
Estate Units
A small cluster of multifamily units configured to look
like a large single family home.
Village Units
• 5 to 9 unit buildings on a pedestrian terrace over half-
buried parking
• Three stories
• Townhouse over flat
• No entrance higher than second floor
• Garage, first and second floors served by elevator
• The photo to the right is a representation of possible architectural style and appearance.
The parking is not quite half-buried in this photo.
Parcel B
• Opportunity site
• Available to sell to a specialty user for special needs housing, affordable for-sale, rental
or market rate housing. Some alternatives are analyzed below.
• Land product would be one gross acre with entitlements and infrastructure in place for
22 units and 48 half-buried parking spaces.
Development Cost
Under all alternatives presented below there are a series of development costs that remain
constant. It is difficult to estimate construction costs far in the future. Right now, lumber is
down and steel is up. Tomorrow that may change. The costs presented below are in today's
dollars and confirmed by contractors and local experience as a reasonable starting point. There
are many variables to be analyzed, some of which have not yet been determined.
To compare all development alternatives, we use a total development cost of $27,500,000 for
140 units [196,429 per unit]. A complete breakdown of how we arrive at this figure is shown at
the end of this report. The infrastructure budget details roads, water, sewer, drainage, utilities
and landscaping unit costs. The project budget provides detailed indirect costs and professional
fees and a summary of direct costs. The development program details unit mix and individual
unit construction, sale and rental costs. The affordability sheets show the affordable housing
formulas for each unit type. The unit mix matrix shows the number and type of units in each
building.
The total development cost assumes that HartSonoma acts as contract developer and carries
out the project as an agent for the client. We have no way to predict costs if this is not the
case, other than to suggest that they will probably be much higher.
By altering the development program and unit mix, any variety of scenarios can be modeled.
The development cost assumes approximately 50% "prevailing wage" employment. In the
housing construction sector of the current economy, the term "prevailing wage" has become
somewhat blurred. Typically "prevailing wage" has meant union rates. In the North Bay
housing market however, union rates are not the prevailing wage in the dictionary sense of the
word. Nevertheless, it is important that this project be built with skilled workman being paid a
fair wage. No un-documented/foreign/unlicensed/unskilled workers would be permitted on
site. Union hiring and employment would be encouraged. If the client were to require strict
We are in the very early stages of the financial analysis of this project. The total development
cost presented above includes about $1,580,000 in unassigned expenses to cover unanticipated
items. Client revisions to the above described Master Plan will impact project expenses. The
way in which the project is presented and received, the amount of affordable housing and the
standing of the land owner will all affect development costs. Many projects do not even
consider detailed development costs and alternative development scenarios as we have at this
early stage. HartSonoma feels that economic sustainability is as important as environmental
sustainability or even more so. If a project is not financially viable, it will not get built, and not
provide the environmental benefits proposed. Thus we give great focus to the economic
viability of the Master Plan. Many of our assumptions may be low or high, but our goal is to
give the client a starting point to compare development alternatives and understand the
financial implications of developing this important site. In this current analysis, the elements
that are not included in the total development cost are:
• Land - land is assumed to be contributed by the land owner in return for the profits
generated by the project.
• Entitlements - since there could be such a wide swing in costs depending on how the
SCWA proceeds - not included
• School fees, water meter fees, sewer hookup fees - not included
• Insurance - a $250,000 project specific developer policy is included. General liability for
the Builder is included. Wrap insurance for an all condo project is not included.
• Property Taxes - not included
• Appraisal Fees - not included
• Construction Financing - not included but the opportunity exists
• Alternative Energy Systems - not included but the opportunity exists
The $1,580,000 of unassigned cost could be assigned to some of the items above as directed by
the client. Detailed analysis of the above items will be described in future assignments. Four
alternative development scenarios are described below. No warranty is expressed or implied as
to the accuracy of the figures in this report.
Product Mix
# Type Affordability
15 1 Bedroom 68% of median
6 2 Bedroom 78% of median
73 2 Bedroom 100% of median
12 3 bedroom 78% of median
34 3 Bedroom 100% of median
Type # %
1 Bedroom 15 11
2 Bedroom 79 56
3 Bedroom 46 33
Item Amount
Project Cost: $27,500,000
Annual income: 2,505,300
Less Debt Service: (1,650,000)
Cash Flow after debt service: 855,300
Less Operations: (358,611)
Net Annual Income: 496,689
Return on land @ $5,000,000: 10%
Product Mix
# Type Ownership Afford ability
4 1 Bedroom For sale 76% of median
16 2 Bedroom For sale 100% of median
4 3 Bedroom For sale 100% of median
11 1 bedroom Rental 68% of median
6 2 bedroom Rental 78% of median
57 2 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
12 3 bedroom Rental 78% of median
30 3 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
Type #
1 Bedroom 15 11
2 Bedroom 79 56
3 Bedroom 46 33
Item Amount
Project Cost: $27,500,000
Operations: (331,647)
Product Floor Total Land Const Const Total Unit Total Monthly Annual
# Unit Type Ownership Style Pricing Area Fl Area Area S/sf Cost Const Cost Sale Revenue Income Income Percent Code
1 A j 4 1 Bedroom Unit Fee simple Condominium HMHT Affordable 720 2,880 0.07 115 82,800 331,200 149,500 598,000 - - 1% 2
1 B 16 2 Bedroom Unit Fee simple Condominium HM HT Affordable 924 14,784 0.34 115 106,260 1,700,160 230,000 3,680,000 - ! 8% 3
1 F 4 3 Bedroom Unit Fee simple Condominium HM HT Affordable 1,248 4,992 0.11 115 143,520 574,080 282,000 1,128,000 - - 3% 4
2 A 4 1 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium 70% of Median 720 2,880 0.07 115 82,800 331 ,200 - - 975 46,800 1% 2
2 B 6 2 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium 80% of Median 924 5,544 0.13 115 106,260 637,560 - - 1,250 90,000 3% 3
2 E 12 3 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium 80% of Median 1,299 15,588 0.36 115 149,385 1,792,620 - - 1,500 216,000 8% 4
3 A 7 1 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium 70% of Median 720 5,040 0.12 115 82,800 579,600 - - 975 81,900 3% 2
3 D 57 2 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium Market 1,107 63,099 1.45 115 127,305 7,256,385 - - 1,350 923,400 32% 3
3 E 30 3 Bedroom Unit Rental Condominium Market 1,299 38,970 0.89 115 149,385 4,481 ,550 - - 1,650 594,000 P 20% 4
1 14 Circulation - - - 80 1,120 0.03 50 4,000 56,000 0% -
Product Mix
# Type Ownership Affordability
4 1 Bedroom Rental 76% of median
16 2 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
4 3 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
22 Parcel B Land $57,000 per unit
7 1 bedroom Rental 68% of median
57 2 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
30 3 Bedroom Rental 100% of median
Type
1 Bedroom 15 11
2 Bedroom 79 56
3 Bedroom 46 33
Item Amount
Project Cost: $24,500,000
Revenue: $1,254,000
Net Project cost: 23,246,000
Operations: (333,915)
Item Amount
Project Cost: $27,500,000
Net Sales Revenue: $32,038,130
Due to the condition of the market described above, and the fact that it returns less than
$5,000,000, this is not a preferred alternative.
The Process
One strategy would be to proceed as if College Creek were an all rental project. This form of
ownership affords the highest value, least entitlement risk and least liability for the client/land
owner. Once entitlements have been granted, then during or after construction, the client may
opt to file a condominium map on the project. This is a less controversial and more focused
process that gives the client flexibility should they decided to sell some of the units in the
future. We will provide a detailed analysis of community outreach, the government approval
process and pre-construction logistics in future assignments.
Thank you,
Rob Hart
Background
The Neighborhood
• 2150 West College Ave, Santa Rosa, CA
The Site
• Generally level site bounded by College Creek to the south and east, and West College
Ave to the North.
• Fully landscaped
• Fully improved with roads, water, sewer & drainage
The Market
• The for-sale real estate market in Santa Rosa has collapsed.
The Assignment
• Provide about 140 units of housing in a creative setting
• Approx 10 units for SWCA employees affordable to those employees at their current pay
scale
• Use green building practices and the latest sustainable techniques in land planning, site
work, construction and operations.
• Use the site as a laboratory for the North America Climate Initiative.