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Static Modeling Workflows for

Rapid Model Update and


Integration with
Reservoir Simulation

Serdar Kaya, Grenergy LLC

Outline

Addressing the Challenge


Why automated processes?
Solutions
Workflows

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Challenges

Marginal Fields
Heavy Operations and large
amount of data collection
Market and Administrative
Pressures

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Challenging Fields

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Operational Challenges

Prognosis and frequent amendments


Geosteering
Frequent Volumetric Evaluation
More Frequent Model Update
Data Management

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Typical Development Workflow

Well Plan
Prognosis

Revise Prognosis

X, Y Location
Geosteering
Thickness & tops X, Y Location
Thickness & tops Coring Point
Landing Point

Log Evaluation

Structural Updates
Velocity Model
3D Model Update Map Update

Property Update
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Framework Update

Time Delay in Data Flow


Field
Operations
Vendor

Specialist

Real Time or Same Day


Same Day
1-7 Days

Geologist Petrophysicist

5-10 Days
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RE

Report

30-60 Days

Database Update

Data
Wells Data

Log Data
I

Seismic
Data

II

III

Production Tests
Outcrops

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Why Integration ?

Due to sub-surface uncertainty &


multi disciplinary approach
?

?
?

?
?

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Integration Approach
Seismic
Borehole
Geophysics

Geophysicists
Knowledge

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Outcrop
Studies

Whole Core
Core Plug
Well Log

Geologists Knowledge

Well Tests
Production
Data

Engineers
Knowledge

Conditional Property
Modeling
Amplitude
or
Attributes

Saturation

Rocktype

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Conditional Modeling

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Running Petrel Workflows

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Maps From Isochore

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Statistics of Property
Realizations

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Generating Average Property


Maps

Processing Surfaces

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Statistics Per Sub-Zone

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Multiple Permeability
Realizations

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Monte Carlo Model: STOIIP


The basic formulas used for volume calculations are:
STOIIP

= Net Pore Volume * So / Bo

Net Pore Volume

= Bulk Volume * Net/Gross * Porosity

INPUT PARAMETERS:

GRV = Bulk volume

Porosity = Average porosity in oil pool

So = Oil saturation within oil pool

Bo = Formation Volume Factor

Net/Gross = Ration of non-porous rock type

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Running Monte Carlo in


Petrel

Process manager
Range of parameters and distribution
are input
Results are listed in output sheet
Output is transferred back as point data
with attribute

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Monte Carlo Workflow


Output sheet header
Number of Run
Input Data

Calculation
Output result and
parameters of
each calculation

Input parameters:
GRV ( ft3)
Sw, Poro (fraction)
Bo (Res.ft3/St ft3)
STOIIP (bbl)
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Tornado Chart
What does the Tornado chart do?
Manipulates one input variable
at a time, measuring the impact
on the output
Display the results on tornado
and spider charts

Purpose of Tornado chart

To show the effect of the input parameters without correlation


To show impact of assumptions and/or decision variables one
at a time
To measure the absolute change in an output value due to a
change in the input parameter
To determine where to begin adding assumptions to your
model
To perform sensitivity analysis before defining assumptions

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Cross-Plotting 3 Parameters

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Filtering 3rd Parameter

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3D Model With Images

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Permeability Simulated
(SGS) Independently

70,000 Point from reservoir cells


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7,000 Cells

Quantification of Uncertainty

Precision:
Accuracy : Systematic shifts due to environmental
correction or measurement tools/techniques

Difference between Core porosity and Phie

Variation in Modeling steps

Difference between well log porosity and scaledup porosity

Difference between scaled-up porosity and


modeled porosity

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Difference between realizations on seed number


Difference between variogram range

Porosity Measurement Statistic


Core Porosity

Log Porosity

Statistics for Core Porosity


Name

Type

Min

Max

Delta

Scaled-up

Cont.

2.35

27.24

24.89

227

Well logs

Cont.

2.35

28.62

26.26

0.68

29.91

30.72

Mean

Std

Var

Sum

18.08

5.292

28.003

4104.0497

592

18.855

5.157

26.59

11162.171

29.23

441

17.8

6.37

40.57

7850.9

30.72

2706

18.41

6.39

40.84

49812.24

Statistics for Log Porosity


Scaled-up

Cont.

Well logs
Cont.
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Uncertainty on
Stochastic Modeling
Statistics of Porosity Realizations Oil
Accumulation
Min

Max

Mean

Realization #1

2.06

28.79

14.54

Realization #2

1.23

29.07

14.6

Realization #3

0.83

27.48

14.63

Realization #4

1.16

27.61

14.33

Realization #5

0.74

27.54

14.42

Realization #6

1.2

28.3

14.52

Realization #7

1.33

27.38

14.46

Realization #8

0.69

27.65

14.99

Realization #9

1.13

28.13

14.5

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R8 has highest mean 14.99


R4 has minimum mean 14.33
Difference is 0.66

One Well Porosity Comparison


Phie

Cpor

Porosity Statistics
Phie
Min

2.79

9.212

Max

29.34

28.616

Delta
Number of Defined
Values

26.54

19.404

296

92

Mean

18.36

20.41

Std. dev.

6.44

4.1544

Variance

41.54

17.259

5434.2

1877.7

Sum

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Cpor

Difference in
mean is 2.05 PU

Quantification of Uncertainty
on Porosity Modeling
Log Porosity
Scaled
-Up

Log
N
Mean

592

227

18.86

18.08

5.16

Std
Difference
Precision Error

0.21

Core Porosity
Model

Log
2706

441

17.78

18.41

17.80

5.29

6.23

6.39

6.37

0.78

1.08

0.61

0.35

0.12

Porosity Values
HC Porosity Uncertainty

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Scaled
-Up

2.06

Mean porosity

18.36

LC Porosity uncertainty

-2.06

0.30

Conclusion
Reservoir

integration reduces
uncertainty significantly

Workflow

both helps rapid modeling


and data integration

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