Global Education Futures (GEF) Map

This map has been created as part of Global Education Futures initiative, prepared
by Re-Engineering Futures Group. This map is a result of five years of work that
brought hundreds of Russian and international experts into co-creative vision
building for the future of education. The maps represents key trends driving the
transformation of educational systems, and the forecast of events and technologies
that will make significant impact on the future education. In the context of this
project, education is understood as a multitude of institutions that support training,
nurturing, professional and personal development throughout their human life
including kindergarten, schools, colleges, universities and other types of educational
institutes.

2015 2020 Zone of Practical Solutions

2020 2030 Zone of Strategic Decisions
2030 2035 Futurology Zone
Italicized, blue text denotes items perceived as
threats.
Blue text denotes policy changes.
Orange text denotes soft technology.
Green text denotes hard technology.

Spread of DIY Culture

2015-2016:
DIY-models Exchange online platforms to trade and exchange blueprints
for 3D printing appear.
Web-based Sandpits - DIY and science clubs for school kids and students
online.

Fab labs become mass scale solution in schools & universities in

developed countries.

2017:
Mickey-Mouse Club Law introduction of legislation regulating intellectual
labor (10+).

2020:
3D Printing Goes Mass Scale 3D printing is fast and affordable to most households.

2024:
Multi-Bio-DIY-Cooker domestic appliances allow to produce foodstuffs and
biomedical products at home.

Multi-Generational Education
2015-2016:
Peer and cross-age tutoring is a means of family reintegration.
Adultgarten organization of urban spaces to allow creative selfexpression for adults.
The Eldery 2.0 Occupation and study programs for the elderly to
reintegrate them into professional life.

2016-2017:
Education as a Way to Overcome Personal Crises education becomes a
means of overcoming existential crises mid-life crisis ageing, etc.
Educational Subscription long-term contracts-subscriptions allow
recurrent access to educational services.
The Capital Exchange establishment of a platform converting alternative meritbased currencies or earned points to pay for online education services.

2018:
Family University courses for families that improve their harmony and
well-being.

2020:
A Captain at Fifteen mixed age education substitutes physical age for social.

2028:
iTouch Generation Makes Themselves Heard the generation of grown up iPad kids
requests more education.

2030:
Age of Gerontocracy average life expectancy rises to 90-100. Power is
concentrated in the hands of the old people.

Net-centric Cultural Values

2015:
Game Engine MOOCs. Game worlds techniques are used in MOOCs.

2016-2017:
Portals Tackling Change Maladjustment adaptation programs for people
experiencing difficulties while dealing with a constantly changing
environment.
Successful Passage of Computer Game Counts as Education Course
achievements in computer games are counted as successfully passed
courses.
Reputation Assessment Models ways to assess persons reputation
capital to be used in various contexts.
The Capital Exchange Establishment of a platform converting alternative meritbased currencies or earned points to pay for online education services.
Gaming Achievement Logic Used in Education real-time monitoring of
persons current educational trajectory and academic achievements.

2018:
Crowd-schooling self-organized schools where boundaries between
teachers and students disappear, and curriculum is assembled by
crowdsourcing methods.
Development of Independent Digital Currencies Amid the crisis of
national economies independent digital currencies become real
alternatives to national currencies.
My First Teacher Pension Fund free-will donation via social networks to
people one considers important in advancing their career.

2019:
New Labour Exchange platforms to exchange project, game problems
and competency profiles (experience, reputation, afterfacts, etc.)

2020:
Second Try Culture game culture in work and everyday life.

2021:
Secret Pathway surprise services in education promotion of tracks and
progress rarely or never attended.

2022:
Virtual World Addicts further development of virtual reality technologies.
Virtual reality addiction becomes a serious problem.

2025:
Cognitive Shortsightedness inability to set long term goals and/or track
your progress in achieving them.

Pragmatization of Education:

(Totality of Game

Reached in 2035)

2015:
Teachers-Innovators teacher-innovators come to schools to replace
teachers-reproducers. Innovations Customized corporations implant
their goals into schools and universities.
Teamplayer team skills development is one of the main goals of
university education programs for adults.
Simulators for Professional Training simulators are routinely used in
higher education and retraining schemes.
Competence Diplomas competence becomes a measuring unit for
education results.

2016:
Start in web web-based platforms to support team start-ups.
World DIY education programs lead to real world transformations.

2017:
Enders Game corporation use simulation games to get real complex
tasks done.

2018:
Education Provider Responsibility for the KPL education providers pay
damages in case of customers failure to get a job/dissatisfaction with
education outcomes.

2020:
Student Holdings as New Type of Universities university study programs

put great emphasis on team formation and team skills.

Era of Self-Organization hybrid (network) organizations dominate economies of
developed countries.

Automation of Mundane Intellectual

Processes
2015-2016:
Dead-End at School - the gap between wired students and non-wired
teachers becomes unbridgeable forcing the latter to leave.

2017:
Bench Time, Human! a significant number of people lose their
professions to automation and cannot adapt to new conditions.
iTouch Generation schools welcome a generation of kids who have
trouble differentiating between virtual and real worlds. ADHD problem
deepens.

2018:
Semantic Translation Engines machines start to understand and process
meanings, and are able to translate between languages based on content.
Internet as a Human Right developed countries and major cities in the developing
countries become free narrow-band Wi-Fi zones.
Living Textbook - textbooks with up-to-date dynamic content.
Copy-paste culture students information search and processing skills
deteriorate.

2020:
Robogogy education for AI and robotics. (STEM push in 2016. STEM
Magnet schools created across the country in 2016. FL legislation
approves STEM pilot programs and STEM teacher forgiveness).
Semantic Web organization of knowledge creation, storing and transfer in the web
is based on automatic processing of meanings.
Threshold of Omniscience total digitization: a point in time when all
human culture has been digitized. Everyone can have access to all
information produced in the past.
Global University of Professional Trajectories global database of
educational, vocational and personal development trajectories is set up.
Interactive Teachers Simulators interactive teachers that student does

not know whether his or her teacher is a human being or AI.

New Infographics and Sensorgraphics Technologies development of
dynamic infographics activated by neural interfaces and semantic AI.
Creation of a visual language.

2024:
T-9 Dyslexia: Mass Predictive Texting-Induced Learning Disorders the
culture of written text changes dramatically or dies out due to reliance on
and heavy use of predictive texting.

2027:
The Diamond Age Primer textbooks with an in-built AI appear. The textbook
becomes a personal tutor finely tuned to meet each students needs.

2030:
Death of Renaissance Man Arrival of the generation of dyslexics results
in the disappearance of polymath. People have trouble coping with
unorthodox challenges.
Cyberspace Graphomaniacs Noosphere becomes polluted with the output
of AI activity.
Universal Declaration of Robot Rights introduction of pioneering
legislation regulating the right to run off robots and delete their work.

New Knowledge Creation Models

2015-2016:
Wiki-Foresights innovators are taught on-line cooperative thinking.
New Business Education convergence of business education and personal
development.
Education Works with Thinking Style education helps to develop various
thinking style and switch between them when necessary.

2017:
Automatic Systematization & Clusterization of Scientific Knowledge
image recognition systems allow automatic classification and
systematization of all knowledge types.

2019:
Artificial Intelligence Organization Research Teams artificial intelligence
helps identify potential areas of scientific exploration and promising team
members.

Crisis of basic research growing complexity and raising costs of basic

research, couples with decline in the number of new fundamental
discoveries, reduces investments into basic research.
Open Applied Research Market exchange trading in research equipment,
materials, teams, ideas, etc.

2020:
Competition in Libre Knowledge changes in scientific knowledge creation
models. Digital models of reality compete in virtual space.
Open-Source Knowledge the current model of assigning intellectual
property rights disappears. Distributed assignment of rights using digital
footprints is introduced. (AIR American Institutes for Research owner of Open-Source and is one of 2 testing consortia for state
standardized tests in all states).
Schools of Thought a Thing of the Past traditional schools of thought
coming from specific territory/language, are completely replaced by multilingual transnational communities of thought.

Development of Cognitive Ability

Improvement Industry
2015-2016:
The Doors of Perception a line of pharmaceutical drugs improving cognitive
skills appears.

2016:
Attention Management Schools to fight ADHD, training programs and
courses are developed. Information overload makes attention one of the
key resources.
Spidey-Sense Simulators virtual simulation systems for high-risk
activities. After 2020: psychological patterns can be simulated.

2107:
Natural Interfaces digital devices in mobile and wearable form adopt to
ergonomics and natural patterns of human bodies. Desktop computers
start to disappear.
Biofeedback Coach biofeedback system becomes a widespread solution.

2018:
Neurointerfaces for Mass Market cheap and user-friendly neural
interfaces become mass market consumer product.

2019:
Sensorium obtaining complex sensory experiences becomes possible through
biofeedback (games, movies, edutainment, etc.).

2020:
Watch-Out virtual simulators of dangerous situations trained with biofeedback.

2025: NEW MODEL OF SCIENCE

The Second Psychedelic Revolution Widespread use of legal substances altering
the state of the neural system, fighting stress of having recreational potential.
Synthesizing such substances is possible at home.

2028:
Altered States of Consciousness Trainings training programs appear that
help deal with various altered states of consciousness to boost efficiency
of your work.

IMS Acquisition.

(Gates controlled IMS).

Cognitive Revolution:
2015-2016:
The Internet of Things deep interaction of networks connecting material
objects opens fresh opportunities for security, analytics and management.

2017:
Quest Learning using unmanned spaces with augmented reality sensors
in games and training (quests design, etc.)
Effective Telepresence Technologies the new generation of telepresence
technologies allow complete immersion effect.

2018:
School as a Playroom Pre-school and primary school become playgrounds
that use augmented reality technology.

Pre-natal university technologies that enable pre-natal education, based

on big data, audiovisual stimulation, and biofeedback.

2019:
Health Assessment for Education periodic online assessment of
psychophysical status to adjust individual education trajectory.

2020:
Inhumane! conservatively minded people oppose the development of
cognitive technologies.
Students Genetic Passport students get individualized recommendations
on their education in accordance with their genotype.

2021:
Semantic AI advent of strong artificial intelligence capable of
understanding meanings and contexts.

2022:
HTTP 2.0 (Human Thought Transfer Protocol) visual language protocols
of direct information exchange between neural networks via the web.

2023:
Planet V in developed countries, a person spends around around eight
hours a day in simulated virtual worlds.

2025:
School in the Womb prenatal study programs: acquisition of
knowledge and skills in the womb.
Tamagotchi Inside states offer interactive long-games to revert birth
rate reduction and to encourage families to raise more children.

2028:
Neuroweb of Learning nonverbal message exchange through neural
interfaces become a learning tool.
The Great Psychic Divide divide between users and non-users of
cognitive products deepens.

The War for Talent

2015:
National Educational Standards Regulate Building of Individual

Educational Trajectories standardization of competency clusters and

qualifications becomes an instrument of regulation and national
educational systems.
Branding of Individual Educational Trajectories academic course is a unit
of measurement of educational trajectory as distinct from number of years
of study.
Talent Hunt business tracks talented students, offers them career
trajectory and invests into their education.
EDUCATIONAL TRAJECTORY AS A COMMODITY libraries of educational
trajectories with individual tracks are created.
Educational Starbucks development of franchising in education
industry.
Precedent-based Diploma automatic systems monitor and record
students performance and behavior.
Independent Academic Audit and Certification independent audit and
certification become an integral part of academic environment (at
schools/universities).

2016:
Patented Genes could reengineered human genes be patented?
AR-based Learning Systems augmented reality is used in learning tools
and systems. Insurance Schemes in Education insurance against low
quality education are drawn.
Gerbil on the Treadmill helping socially marginalized people to selfactualize through involving them into alternate reality games.
Educational Navigation Service education GPS education advisor
services.
Digital Work Hygiene attempts to fight the adverse effects of information
overload on ones mental health. Information diets and mental fitness
programs appear.

2017:
Electronic Tutor certified educational trajectories are supported by
electronic gadgets.
Workplay online and virtual games are extensively engaged to help solve
real task.
Education Lawyers.

2018:
Crisis of industrial Education Model follows Economic Recession in
Developed Countries the crisis necessitates cuts in education budgets.
New education formats are in high demand.
Your Heros Path student follow continuous education career

trajectories. Culsterization of education trajectories.

New Model of Human Capital Investment new models of investment into
promising youth human futures adopted by pension funds and
private investors.
Educational Sovereignty in a number of developing countries,
moderation of the global online education providers content and
procedures is impose.
Kyoto Protocol in Education nations get compensated for exporting
valuable specialists.

2019:
Educational designer toolbox personal data and advancing big data
models allow efficient mass-scale recommendation services for education
and career tracks.
Educational Offshores developing countries attract students by creating
education spaces free from strict state regulation.

2020:
The Matrix Has You standardization of educational trajectories imposes
limitations on special skills development.
HR Companies Become Talent Investors HR companies merge with
MOOCs to become investors in talents.
50% Employed Population Work Flexitime knowledge nomads work flexitime with
no fixed workplace.
Virtual Jail compulsory correctional education of criminals occurs in
virtual occurs in virtual reality simulators.

2022:
Our Common Kids Global unification of school standards.

2025:
Collapse of Bismarcks Pension Plans in OECD Countries OECD countries
adopt post-soviet pension model: minimum subsistence level.

2028:
Peoplenaire fortunes are made up of people. The fortune size depends
on the quality of the human capital. New endoments.

Asian Leadership in Education

2016:
Non-western cultures make significant impact on the internet environment and the
educational system.

2020:
India and China are top countries in the number of scientists.

2022:
The Asian Century culture codes of India and China set new standards of thinking
and lifestyles.

2023:
90% of the Population of Developing Countries Wired. The vast majority of the
population of developing countries have Internet access.

2024:
The Digital Decline of the Old World. 70% of the Internet population are from nonOECD.

2025:
Hindu-socialism new social models promote values of traditional Asian cultures.

Era of Global Players in Education Rise

of Global Values
2015:
Teaching humanity teaching empathy, compassion, love and joy.
Think globally, act locally teaching global values: kids from different
countries are taught tolerance and inter-cultural skills at a young age.
Education Hubs as Drivers for Global Development education hubs with
developed entrepreneurial culture put forward a global development
agenda.
Balkanization of the Web national/regional limitations on the use of
internet from abroad.
National Educational Systems Boycotted Due to Differences in Values
national education authorities and education institutions start boycotting
educational systems of other countries (refuse to recognize diplomas,
degrees, etc).

2016:
Financial Bubble in Blooming New Education Model new formats of
education based on simulators, biofeedback, etc. The bubble bursts.
A Billion-Student University development of global education giants
(EdX, Coursera, Udacity), capable of teaching one billion students
simultaneously. ********
Cross-Cultural Filtering content can be filtered according to cultural,
historical and religious views.
Playing with External Values online virtual games from personal values.

2017:
IT Companies emerge as Leaders of Global Education Market IT
companies use their advantage to lead creation of educational content.
******** (See A Billion-Student University - 2016)
Minimum education minimal package of MOOC-based educational
services is made available to every human on the planet.

2018:
European Rigidity European traditions in education hinder the
development of new education models.
Transparent competencies system that allows translation between
different competence models.
Shadow Wars of Education Providers copyright and brand wars
unleashed. Certified and uncertified, counterfeit and generic courses
appear.
e-ID Obligatory Universal Net ID is introduced.

2019:
Coursera, Udacity, EdX become Nos. 1, 2 and 3 in ratings MOOCs are at
the top of world university ranking lists.
*Notes from meeting - These companies are flying under the radar today
3/12/16. Jobs for the future!! HUGE!! Rolled out in Phoenix and Denver.
EdX from Harvard and Udacity from Stanford. BIG $$$ coming in. EdX
linked to LinkedIN. ASU and CO piloting digital badging now Skillful
EdX. Badge = career. Business partners. Businesses sponsor kids (from
badge) businesses paying for kids. Aligning SLDS to talk to each
other so companies can see education records can see the kids they
are investing in. CTE career standards data tags to align with
education. CO need law to share data CO align system with SLDS will
automatically talk to other databases. Tucker, Gates (2005) setting up.

2020:
Educational DarkNet shadow market of educational services, including

illegal skills.
Design of human values rational design of ethical systems in cyberspace.

2021:
School 24/7 online courses, simulators and personalized learning
management systems allow to study everywhere and at any time. (FL
legislators passed the CBE bill on Thursday, 3/10/16).
Another Earth virtual experimental states.

2022:
Death of Rankings inadequacy of ranking systems (QS, PISA, etc.)
prompts their total rejection.

Commitment to Nature and

Sustainability:
2018:
Massive IT-Detox facilities/centers appear specializing in treatment of
Internet addiction/phobia of internet deprivation.

2025:
Resource-Generating City cities start generating all necessary resources (clean air,
energy, etc.).

2028:
Educational Buildings are Rehabilitated for Modern Urban Use.

Authors: Pavel Luksha and Dimitry Peskov

The following people contributed to preparing the Report texts: Maxim Afanyasev,
Aleksei Gusev, Denis Korichin, Catherine Luksha, Tatyana Makarova, Timur
Shchoukine, Ivan Smagin, Ivan Stolyarov, Dimitry Sudakov and others.
Co-authors of material used in the report: moderators and session participants of
Education foresight at Educamp 2010, Foresight Steamboat 2012, Foresight Fleet
2013, Competence Foresight 2012-2014, Global Education Foresight 2013-2014,
Foresight Neuroweb 2013-2014.

Design: Motka.ru
The following are acknowledged for their support significant contributions to
creating the map of the global education futures: Agency for Strategic Initiative,
Association of Childrens Goods Industry, Center for Strategic Research NorthWest, Cisco, Institute for Education Higher School of Economics, Intel/Project
Harmony International, Junior Academy of Sciences Intellect Buduschego,
Konstuirovania Buduschego Group, Konstruktory Soobschestv Praktiki Group,
Metaver Group, Progressor Consortium, Russian Community of Managers, Russian
Ministry of Education and Science, Russian Venture Company, SBERINVEST Asset
Management, Skolkova Institute of Science & Technology, SKOLKOVO Moscow
School of Management, SOLING Education Bureau.
Re-Engineering Futures 2010 2015, www.refuture.me and
www.edu2035.org.
Companies:
Skoltech
RVC
Tomsk State University
Agency for Strategic Initiatives
Skolkovo
Re-Engineering Futures