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HistoryDiscussworldhistoryfromancienttimestothe20thcenturywitharevolutionaryviewpoint.
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WhatwastheBolshevikendgameifWarsawfell?
ThestoryIoftenhearisthatupuntilthepointwheretheRedArmywasdefeatedinPoland,
theplanwastoseizethatcountryanduseitto"exportrevolution"toGermanyandother
countriesinCentralEurope,inthehopethatGermanindustrywouldrebuild.However,this
seemslikeitcouldwellhavebeenaQuixoticenterpriseinthefirstplace.
First,whatexactlywastheSovietplaninPoland?Wasittobepoliticallyincorporatedwiththe
restoftheSSRs,orwastheintentionmerelytooccupyit?Eitherway,itseemslikethiscould
havebeenatallorderforaweakenedandimpoverishedSovietstate.
Second,howexactlydidtheyplanon"exportingrevolution"toGermany?Wasthehopejust
thatseeingarevolutionarystateontheirdoorstepwouldinspiretheworkerswhohadbeen
recentlycrushedtomakeanothergoforit?OrwastheplantocommittheyoungSovietstate
toanactofmilitaryadventurism?IdoubtBritainandFrancewouldhavejustallowed
Germanytofall,andthefledglingSovietstatewasweakenedbyWWIandtheRussian
RevolutioninawaynootherEuropeanstatewas.Iwonderifitcouldsustainawarevenwith
ademilitarizedGermany,letaloneonewhereFranceandBritaincontinuedmeddling.Long
supplylines,aweakenedindustrialbaseandanexhaustedifexperiencedandcapablemilitary
forceinterveningintheindustrialheartlandofEuropesoundslikealongshot,evenifmany
localGermanworkersandveteranswouldhavesupportedit.
WhileitseemslikearevolutionelsewherewouldhavebeenagodsendfortheBolshevikstate,
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3/21/2016
WhatwastheBolshevikendgameifWarsawfell?RevLeft
Icanseewhy"socialisminonestate"mayhavebeenthemostlikelyoutcomenomatter
whathappened,evenifitwasnotnecessarilyso,simplybecauseRussiain1920seemedless
suitedforexportingitsrevolutionthanFranceinthe18thCentury.
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