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Abstract: The study examined the impact of crude oil discovery, exploitation and exportation on the
agricultural commodity export (AGO) in Nigeria in the period 1970-2011. Specifically, the study sought to
evaluate how the discovery and exportation of crude oil has impacted on the production and export of
agricultural output. Annual time series data sourced mainly from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical
bulletins for various years were analyzed using co-integration and vector error correction model in a bid to
delineate the long run relationship between (AGO) and oil export (OX). Our results show that in the long run,
Dutch disease (DD) is present in Nigeria. A 1% increase in OX will depress AGO by 16%, that is, the more
Nigeria produces and exports oil, the lower the output and less competitive the traditional tradable sector
(AGO) becomes. The paper recommends that policy makers should make considerable investments in
developing other economic sectors, re-channel the extra revenue from oil to accumulate income-producing
foreign assets, and come up with a number of tax and import duty waivers, import substitution and
diversification measures in order to boost productivity in the lagging traditional tradable sector and develop
other agro-allied industries to improve the value chain.
Keywords: Agricultural Export, Booming Oil Sector, Dutch Disease, Lagging Tradable Sector, Nigerian
Economy,
I.
Introduction
Nigerias external sector has remained the same since independence in 1960 characterized by the
dominance of a single export commodity. In the decades of 1960s and 1970s, the external sector was dominated
by agricultural commodity export. It accounted for about 50% of the GDP, employed more than 75% of the
labour force and produced over 70% of total food consumption (Reynolds, 1966)[1]. Perhaps, more significant
was the sectors foreign exchange earning capacity. In the 60s, Nigeria was the worlds largest exporter of
groundnut, the second largest exporter of cocoa and palm produce, and occupied a prominent position in rubber,
cotton, and hides and skin export (WB 1975)[2]. In real terms, the country produced the following tones:
305,000, 800,000, and over 1,000,000 of cocoa, palm oil and kernel, and groundnut respectively (CBN,
2000)[3]. As percent share in total export, agricultural commodity export accounted for approximately 71%
before the 70s (Iyoha, 2002)[4] and was the predominant earner of foreign exchange used to pay for imported
manufactured goods. Thus, agricultural commodity export dominated the external sector accounting for about
77% of foreign exchange earnings in the first decade of independence.
The world-class performance of the primary agricultural commodity export could not be sustained as
from the mid 70s. The discovery of oil in Nigeria by the Shell DArcy (now Shell BP) in 1956 and its first
export of crude consignment in 1958 (WB 1975)[2] marked the beginning of oil exploitation in Nigeria. The
production of crude oil which is of the light and sweet type and highly sought after in the international oil
market, and the unrest in the Persian Gulf in 1973, which led to the four-fold increase in the per barrel price of
crude marked the era of oil boom. From 1975 to 2011 crude oil export dominated the external sector accounting
for between 92.7% and 98.7% of total export. As percent of federal government revenue, oil export dominated
the external sector earnings accounting for 26.3 in 1970, 77.5 in 1975, 83.5 in 2000, 85.8 in 2005, and 73.9 in
2010 (TABLE 1.1). The foregoing suggests the unimpressive and lagging performance of the traditional
agricultural exportable in the past three decades. According to Bitrus (2011)[5], agriculture was relegated to the
background both as occupation and as a major foreign exchange earner. Most Nigerians hitherto employed in
the sector, moved to the now booming sector of the economy which was at that time providing over 90% of the
nations revenue. However, shortly after the collapse of agricultural sector and its domination by the newly
discovered oil, the situation changed. From 2.5 million barrels per day and 40 dollars price tag per barrel, oil
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
production fell to less than 1 million barrels per day and less than 30 dollars per barrel in 1979 (FGN 1983[6] in
Bitrus 2011)[5].
The policy concern over the years has therefore been to expand the non-oil export in a bid to diversify
the countrys export base. The diversification of the nations economy is important for many reasons. Firstly,
the sale of oil and its products and government revenue from these were not sustainable during the past decades
due largely to the volatility in the international oil market. Secondly, crude oil is an exhaustible resource and
therefore unreliable for sustainable development. Thirdly, to overcome the known and unimpressive feature of
the Nigerian external sector the dominance of a single export commodity since independence.
The wholesale adoption of the IMF induced Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in the second
part of 1986 (Ogbonna, et al, 2012)[7], the foundation membership of World Trade Organisation (WTO) in
1995, and the adoption of the Export Processing Zone (EPZ) policy in 1999 ushered in diversification,
deregulation and the restructuring of the productive base with positive bias for the production of agricultural
exports. The foreign exchange reform that facilitated the cumulative depreciation of the effective exchange rate
was expected to increase the domestic prices of agricultural exports and therefore boost domestic production.
However, despite these pro diversification and deregulation policies, the growth in the supply of
primary agricultural products for export has remained sluggish relative to the oil export. Specifically, while the
former as proportion of total export was 97.3% in 1960, and 42.4% in 1970, the latter was 2.7% and 57.6%
respectively in the same periods. However, in 1989, agricultural exportable fell drastically to 5.1% and further
to 2.3% in 2006 before rising marginally and insignificantly to 3.6% in 2010. On its part, oil export, instead
rose to 94.9% in 1989, further to 97.7% in 2006 before falling marginally and insignificantly to 96.4% in 2010
(TABLE 1.1).
The rise in the exploitation and export of natural resource (oil) side by side with the decline in
agricultural export symbolizes the Dutch Disease (DD). The DD called the resource curse or the curse of oil
is an affliction that often affects relatively small resource-rich countries as a result of the exploitation and export
of natural resources. The concept was coined from the experience of Netherlands in the 60s when, as a result of
the exploitation and subsequent export of the newly discovered large deposits of natural gas in the North Sea,
the manufacturing tradable sector became less competitive, declined and assumed lagging tradable sector with
a ripple effect on the whole economy which also declined. The objective of this paper is therefore to determine
the extent of DD in Nigeria and its impact on the economy taking the agricultural sector as the traditional
declining tradable sector. The study is for the period 1970 to 2011.
The knowledge gap this work intends to fill is the empirical examination of the extent and impact of
DD in Nigeria since the discovery of oil, hence addressing the countries specific dimension to oil exploitationDD debate. The study is different from previous studies as the agricultural sector is taken as the traditional
tradable sector as against earlier studies that took the manufacturing sector as the declining tradable sector in the
Least Developed Countries (LDCs) (see for example Kuralbayeva, et al, 2001[8]; Roemer, 1985)[9]. In this
context, the study takes as a point of departure the empirical evaluation of the extent and impact of DD in a
small open economy, Nigeria, using agricultural sector as the declining tradable sector. The rest of the work is
structured as follows: section 2 examines the DD theory and literature. Section 3 presents the model and data
sources; section 4 presents econometric methodology and discusses the results while section 5 concludes the
work.
Table 1.1: Agricultural Commodity Export, Oil Export and Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) in
Nigeria: 1960-2011
YEAR
1960
1970
1975
1980
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2011
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
%
% TOTAL
% TOTAL
GDP
EXPORT
REVENUE
63.9
97.3
89.6
41.3
33.1
73.7
7.4
22.5
20.6
2.1
35.8
32.7
1.3
26.7
31.6
1.2
29.4
33.8
1.3
16.5
32.8
1.7
14.2
35.2
3.6
26.1
30.9
3.9
24.9
%
GDP
6.9
11.5
17.2
21.4
37.5
39.6
47.7
38.9
33.4
35.9
OIL PRODUCTION
% TOTAL
% TOTAL
EXPORT
REVENUE
2.7
58.2
26.3
92.6
77.5
96.1
64.2
97.1
73.3
97.6
70.6
98.7
83.5
98.3
85.8
96.4
73.9
96.1
75.1
*Note: 1996-2007 base period is May 2003; 2008-2011 base period is November 2009
Source: CBN Statistical Bulletin, various years
II.
REAL EFFECTIVE
EXCHANGE RATE
(REER)*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
18.01
58.25
143.78
92.38
89.91
; NA = Not Available.
One of the well known economic models on DD is found in the seminal work of Corden and Neary
(1982)[10]. Known as the Spending Effect and Resource Movement Effect, this model is used to describe
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
the mechanisms of the paradoxical deleterious consequence of natural resource exploitation on the countries
where they occur. DD is an economic term and was first used in the magazine The Economist in 1977 to
describe the negative correlation between natural resource exploitation and economic growth if harmonious
management and diversification strategy are not pursued after having acquired the windfall profit from
increased price of natural resource. In their core model, Corden and Neary in explaining the spending and
resource movement effects divided the open economy into three sectors the booming export sector (B), which
centres on natural resource discovery and the ensuing exploitation. The lagging export sector (L), which often is
the traditional manufacturing activity (traditional agriculture in our case here), and the non-tradable sector (N),
which consists of goods and services produced only for domestic consumption. B and L produce tradable goods
and face given world price. All outputs are produced specifically by the factors that belong to each sector and
labour is domestically mobile between all sectors. They then showed that the lagging traditional tradable sector
(L) is crowded out by the other two sectors B and N as a result of an appreciation of the real exchange (REER)
of the domestic currency (guilder) following the large inflow of foreign currency, resulting from sharp surge in
natural resource prices and resource movement away from L which makes the traditional lagging exports (L)
less competitive and therefore less attractive to importers.
Corden (1984)[11] explains three reasons why the boom has occurred: The first is a once-for-all
exogenous technical improvement in B, represented by a favourable shift in the production function, confined
within the country concerned. Two, there has been a windfall discovery of the new resources which increased in
supply of the specific factor, and, three, B produces only for export, with no sales at home and there has been an
exogenous rise in the price of its product on the world market relative to the price of imports.
The spending effect occurs when some part of extra income made in B is spent either directly by the
employer or indirectly by the government through extra tax revenue from B. This extra spending would
produce an appreciation of the real exchange rate so that if the income elasticity of demand for N is positive, its
price becomes higher and more profitable to produce compared to tradable. This increase in price of N caused
by increase in the demand of N derived from the occurrence of the resource boom is spending effect. On the
other hand, resource movement effect is the reaction derived from the boom in natural resource sectors that
requires more labour into B. But because the domestic non-tradable goods sector also thrives, labour shift
comes at the expense of the lagging export sector, which is already under performing due to the unfavourable
real exchange rate appreciation. Thus, according to Corden and Neary (1982)[10], the movement of labour out
of L into B lowers output in L, and they called it de-industrialization. This shift occurs with no effect on the real
exchange rate and hence on N market. There is also a movement of labour out of N into B at a constant real
exchange rate, but because the demand for N has risen due to increase in both output and revenue of B, these
jointly brings about labour shift from L into N dropping the demand and output of L. As a result, the natural
resource boom (direct de-industrialization) reduces both the demand and output of L but increases that of N
(indirect de-industrialization). In other words spending effect tends to make output of N higher than initial
situation and resource movement effect tends to leave it unaffected.
Ruehle and Kulkarni(2007)[12] further assert that the DD can also be explained by examining the
effect of resource discovery, exploitation and subsequent rise in income in the domestic economy. An increase
in the exports of B results to inflow of reserves and in the broadly defined money supply (MS), such that:
MS = Md + Rf
Where MS is broad money supply, Md is domestic money supply, and Rf is foreign reserves. Any positive
change in either the Md or Rf result in increase in MS and hence inflation in the domestic economy. An increase
in the export price of B will increase the Rf, increase MS and hence inflation.
Ebrahim-Zadeh (2003)[13] notes that the weakening of the competitiveness of the lagging export sector
is irrespective of the exchange rate regime the country operates the REER appreciates whether fixed of
floating. However, it should be noted that while in the developed countries (DCs), the industrial sector is the
traditional tradable sector, in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), the traditional tradable sector, which is
crowded out with a resource boom is most often the agricultural sector. Corden and Neary (1982)[10], Stijns
(2003)[14] call the case in DCs de-industrialization and Stijns (2003)[14] calls it de-agriculturation in the
LDCs if the DD takes effect.
Henry (1991)[15] in Bitrus (2011)[5], indicated that in the middle of 1980, Nigeria was the only
country out of six countries (Nigeria, Indonesia, Algeria, Iran, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago), where the
quality of life of its citizens had fallen below the shock level. He thus summarized the performance of Nigerian
economy into three main points as follows:
i) The specific uses to which petroleum revenue was put conditioned the structure of socio-political sharing. The
social interest and class contrast were low because the state was under pressure to render services to the people
which continued from military government to military government.
ii) There was no much pressure to use petroleum revenue to ameliorate the agricultural sector productivity. This
is where Nigeria differs from Indonesia in the study. In Indonesia, petroleum revenue was used to ameliorate the
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
agricultural sector. In Nigeria, that was not done. Thus, Indonesia progressed, while Nigeria declined
economically.
iii) Macroeconomic adjustment of Nigeria led to declining national revenue, and this differs from other
petroleum exporting countries. Indonesia adopted a rapid exchange rate between 1978 and 1980 in form of
devaluation. Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago experienced a large devaluation in 1981 without any hesitation on
such adjustment.
By the forgoing analysis, Nigeria seems to be cited in some works as an example of a country with the
characteristics of the DD in West Africa. This is as a result of a fall in the exportation of the non-oil sector,
particularly agricultural products such as cocoa, groundnut, cotton, tin and columbite and palm oil. The resultant
effect was that petrol became the only exporting sector. Coussy (1991)[16] has maintained that while Cameroon,
on the other hand, seems to have escaped the DD, the potential difficulties involved in relying on primary
exports have been on the export prices and revenue instability, declining terms of trade, and balance of payment
crises resulting from the collapse of primary exports market prices.
Utomi (2003)[17] in Bitrus (2011)[5] has asserted that every oil windfall has created policy shocks that
have increased uncertainty and resulted in retrenchment rather than real growth of the Nigerian economy. He
further cited definite instances to corroborate his stance as follows:
The Yom Kippur War windfall of 1973 facilitated the Udoji awards and the damage to the consumption ethic of
Nigerians, which hunts us today. The Iranian revolution windfall of 1979/80 sets us up for DD after DD as
expanding budget begot the open general license for imports that led us down the path of debt crisis. The
ultimate was 1991 windfall following the Gulf War which increased our recklessness so much that in the year of
that windfall we ended up with perhaps the worst deficit we had up to that point, creating the inflationary
pressures that did havoc to real incomes.
Olusi and Olanguju (2005)[18] noted that while labour migrate from the traditional tradable sector to
the booming tradable sector leading to a decline in the former in DCs, migration of labour in the LDCs is rather
from the traditional tradable to the non-tradable small manufacturing sector also leading to a decline in the
former. Except for the retail outlets in the booming tradable sector, the high skill required in the capitalintensive segments of the oil sector is in short supply in the LDCs. FOS (1996)[19] report that the proportion of
the labour force engaged in agricultural sector increased from 56.6% to 60.4% from 1984-1994 is in tandem
with this proposition. In support of the proposition that the high skill required in the capital-intensive segments
of the oil sector is in short supply in the LDCs, Ajakaiye (2001)[20] submits that the oil sector is mainly
extractive with little linkage to the domestic economy. The booming oil sector thus remains largely an enclave
industry that it had been since its discovery, hence, in Nigeria, as in many other LDCs, labour instead, migrates
to the non-tradable sector of building and construction, services and the relatively small modern import
substituting manufacturing sector.
II.1 Empirical Literature
The empirical literature on DD may be grouped into two: those studies relating to DCs and those
relating to LDCs. On DCs, Jimenez-Rodriguez and Sanchez (2003)[21] results of their investigation on whether
oil exploitation and exportation benefited Norway and United Kingdom (UK) are mixed. While their results
showed that Norway benefited significantly from oil price increases, such increase in the price of oil showed a
significant negative impact on the UK GDP growth. Similarly, Ross (1986)[22] also investigated the case of
DD in the UK and found that after discovery and exploitation of crude oil in the country from 1975, REER
appreciated by between 51% to 55% in the period 1977 to 1980 leading to the decline in the manufacturing
output from 4% in the period 1973 and 1979 to 14% between 1979 and 1982.
Ellman (1981)[23] reports that as a result of the exploitation and export of large deposits of natural gas
in the North Sea in Holland, the textile and clothing industries nearly varnished, while others metal
manufacturing, vehicles, ships, mechanical engineering and construction industries decline. The report showed
that only services (non-tradable) sector expanded. Stijns (2003)[14] in a comprehensive study using World
Trade Data, found that energy-price led booms have systematically tended to hurt energy exporters
manufacturing exports.
As for LDCs, Warr (1985)[24] asserts that the Indonesian economy, though witnessed energy boom
which had distinctive effects on domestic prices, it is not clear that the structure of her economy was affected by
the DD due largely to prudent management of her exchange rate. Other studies, Kuralbayeva, et al (2001)[8],
Roemer (1985)[9], Jazeyeri (1986)[25] reject the presence of DD function on LDCs investigated. Olusi and
Olagunju (2005)[13] examined the existence of DD in Nigeria using quarterly data of variables of interest and
adopting VAR model consisting of impulse response functions and variance decomposition analyses found
evidence of DD in Nigerian economy, albeit, as a delayed occurrence. The duo recommends that Nigerian
government should lay more emphasis on the agricultural sector hitherto not given deserved attention. Other
studies for Nigeria (Abdullahi, 1981[26], Chukwuemeka and Nzewi, 2011[27], Sekumade, 2009)[28] all found
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
evidence of DD and affirmed that agricultural sector was neglected during the oil boom era.
Aliyu (2011)[29] in his empirical work using graphic descriptive statistics and the one-way analysis of
variance technique, sought to know whether the neglect of agricultural sector was as a result of the discovery
and exploitation of oil in Nigeria during the oil boom period of 1973-1983. The study found a significant
increase in the quantity of capital expenditure allocated to agricultural sector during the oil boom period and that
more capital expenditure was allocated to agricultural sector than was allocated to either of health, education or
defence sector in Nigeria during the period. He concludes by rejecting the hypothesis that the neglect of
agricultural sector was as a result of oil boom.
III.
III.1
Model
Having examined theoretically the DD situation in Nigeria, we turn to empirical examination of its
extent, impact and attendant consequences on the agricultural output in Nigerian economy. We regress
agricultural output proxied by non-oil export against oil export and other control variables. The intention is to
determine the impact of oil exploitation and exportation on the agricultural production and exportation in
Nigeria. In doing so, we are able to determine the extent and impact of DD in agricultural commodity export in
Nigerian economy. Hence, following the works of Olusi and Olagunju (2005)[18], Bitrus (2011)[5], JimenezRodriguez and Sanchez (2003)[21], we represent the reduced form of a standard open economy macroeconomic
model as a multivariate dynamic system and thus specify with some modifications, and proceed to test the long
run relationship among the variables in the model:
AGO = o + 1OX + 2RGDP + 3REER + 4INF + 5OPN +
.
(1)
a-priori = ()
(+)
()
()
(+)
where: AGO = Agricultural commodity output (proxied by non-oil export revenue); RGDP = Real
Gross Domestic Product; OX = Crude Oil Export; REER = Real Effective Exchange Rate; INF = Inflation Rate;
OPN = Openness, and is the error term.
III.2
Data Sources
The macro data such as AGO, RGDP, OX, REER, INF and OPN for the estimation of the equation are
sourced from CBN statistical bulletin various years and covered the period 1970-2011.
III.3
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
measured as a ratio of total trade to GDP (Ogbonna, et al 2013)[30]. According to Olaniyi (2005)[32], the trade
openness implemented in the post 1986 structural adjustment period contributed to Nigerias export
performance. Thus, it is expected that openness relates positively with the AGO in Nigeria.
IV.
IV.1
Econometric Methodology
In order to check the time series properties of the variables used in the model, we apply the unit root tests.
We utilize the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Philips Perron (PP) unit root tests to investigate the order of
integration of the variables in the model. Equation 2 which include a constant and trend term is used:
Yt = 1+2+sYt-1+SYt-1+
(2)
1 1 + ..
where = difference operator, Yt = each of the series, Yt-1 = the lag of each series and is pure white noise
satisfying all the classical assumptions. Equation 2 permits the test to determine if the variable Yt is a stationary
series. The null hypothesis in the ADF/PP tests is that Yt is non-stationary, that is, has a unit root (Ho: =0) and
is rejected if is significantly negative (Ha: <0). If the calculated ADF/PP statistic is higher than McKinnons
critical values, then the null hypothesis (Ho) is rejected and the series is stationary or integrated of order zero
I(0). Alternatively, non-rejection of the Ho implies non-stationarity leading to the conduct of the test on the
difference of the series until stationarity is achieved and the Ho is rejected.
Phillips and Perron (1988)[33] use a nonparametric method to correct for the serial correlation of the
disturbances. The test is based on the estimate of the long run variance of residuals. There modification of the
Dickey and Fuller test is called Z() test. The critical values for and Z() are the same if the residuals
are generated by an independent and identical process. Although the Phillips and Perron (PP) tests and the
Dickey and Fuller tests provide identical results, the power of the ADF tests is more than the PP tests in the
presence of negative moving average components (Adeniyi 2010)[34].
IV.2
Results
Table 4.1: ADF and PP Unit Root Test Results
Varia
bles
AGO
OX
RGDP
ECM
Level I(0)
ADF
PP
-4.648*
-4.648*
Variab
les
REER
INF
OPN
OPN
Level I(0)
ADF
PP
-3.241***
-3.241***
-3.945**
-3.945**
-3.945**
-3.945**
Notes: (1) ADF and PP = Unit root tests with constant and trend
(2) *, ** and *** indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level respectively
(3) McKinnon (1973)[35] critical values are: -4.242(1%), -3.536(5%) and -3.204(10%).
The results presented in TABLE 4.1 indicate that only INF and OPN are stationary at levels while
AGO, OX, RGDP, and REER are non-stationary at levels. However, they became stationary after first
difference, which implies they are I(I) series. Given the unit root properties of the series, we proceeded to test
for actual numbers of co-integration equations that exist among the variables, that is, whether a long run cointegrating relationship exist among the variables in (1). Co-integration tests are undertaken based on the
Johansen and Juselius (1990)[36] maximum likelihood framework. The purpose is to see whether there exists a
long run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The results of the tests are presented in TABLE 4.2.
Starting with the null hypothesis (Ho) that there are no co-integrating vectors (r = 0) in the model, the
results show that there exist at least one co-integrating (long run) relation in the model since both the trace (
trace) and maximum Eigen ( max) statistics reject the Ho of r 0 against the alternate of r 1 at the 5% level
of significance. This is indicative of at least one co-integrating vector (three for trace statistic and one for
maximum eigenvalue statistic) in the model which moves the relationship towards long run equilibrium. That
there are three co-integrating vectors for trace statistic and one for maximum eigenvalue statistic suggest a
conflict, but this is recognized in the literature and the argument is that since the trace statistic takes into account
all of the smallest eigenvalues, it possess more power than the maximum eigenvalue statistic. Johansen and
Juselius (1990)[36] recommend the use of the trace statistic when there is a conflict between the two statistics
(TABLE 4.2). Thus, OX, RGDP, REER, INF and OPN co-integrate with agricultural commodity export (AGO),
thereby confirming the presence of a fundamental long run relationship among the variables.
Given the stationary behavior of the agricultural commodity export (AGO) and its co-integration with
oil export (OX) and other control variables, the most natural approach is an error correction model with OX as
the long run anchor term. The significance of ECM in the model is to indicate how disequilibrium in AGO can
be adjusted in the short run. Thus, we determine how AGO reacts in the long run to changes in OX in Nigeria.
Following dynamic version of error correction model (ECM) is specified with some variables in their
logarithmic form:
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
LnAGOt = o + 1LnOXt + 2LnRGDPt-1 + 3REERt + 4INFt + 5OPNt-1 + 6ECMt-1 +
. (3)
Where: 6 is the speed of adjustment of Nigerias agricultural export sector to changes in oil export; Ln stands
for natural log; ECM is the value of the residuals in (1); , o-5, OX, RGDP, REER, INF, OPN, and are as
earlier defined.
Table 4.2: Results from Johansen Co-integration Rank Test (Trace) and (Maximum Eigen-value)
Null
Trace Statistic
Critical Value at 5
Null Hypothesis
Maximum-Eigen
Critical value at 5
Hypothesis
per cent
Statistic
percent
r = 0*
189.1873
94.15
r = 0*
123.4878
94.15*
r = 1*
95.2141
68.52
r=1
59.32279
68.52
r = 2*
48.7798
47.21
r=2
47.21
54.46
r=3
16.8648
29.68
r=3
29.68
35.65
r=4
6.3894
15.41
r=4
15.41
20.04
r=5
0.1011
3.76
r=5
3.76
6.65
Note: r represents number of co-integrating vectors. Trace test and Max. eigenvalue tests indicate 3 and 1 cointegrating equations
respectively at the 5% level. * Denotes rejection of the null hypothesis at the 5% level.
From the estimates of (3) as presented in TABLE 4.3, the coefficient of ECM is -0.58, which is a
reasonably good adjustment process. The speed of adjustment which is significant at 5% is indicative that about
58% of the disequilibrium in the previous years shock adjusts back to the long run equilibrium in the current
year. Patterson (2000)[37] in Ogbonna, et al (2013)[30] asserts that the negative sign of the ECM coefficient is
indicative that an increase is required through the independent variables.
Table 4.3: Error Correction Model (Results of (3))
Dependent
Variable
AGO
P>|z |
Std. Err.
Constant
.0103606
0.956
.1864557
OX
-0.15592
0.477
0.21911
RGDP
-8.03e-08
0.393
9.39e-08
Independent Variables
REER
INF
-0.001109
-0.002079
0.844
0.722
.0056401
.0058459
OPN
0.050526
0.944
.7183749
ECM
-0.575532
0.029
.3384331
IV.3
Discussion
The long run analysis reveals the existence of Dutch disease in Nigeria. With the negative coefficient
of -0.15592 for oil export (OX), it implies that a percent increase in OX will depress agricultural commodity
export (AGO) by about 16%, an indication that the discovery, exploitation and exportation of oil in Nigeria
since the 70s has contributed in making the once upon a time AGO less competitive, decline, and assume the
lagging tradable sector. As a result, the expected contribution of AGO in growing the Nigerian economy is not
being realized as attention shifts away into oil exploitation and exportation. The P>|t| of 0.477, however, is
indicative of an insignificant impact. The finding is consistent with some studies for Nigeria (Olusi and
Olagunju, 2005[18]; Bitrus, 2011)[5], but inconsistent with the findings of Aliyu (2011)[29], Roemer (1985)[9]
and Jazayeri (1986)[25]. Aliyu study was on Nigeria; Roemer study was on Nigeria, Mexico and Venezuela;
while Jazayeri studied Iran and Nigeria. Except for Aliyu, others however, assumed oil and manufacturing as
the tradable sectors instead of agriculture and crude oil. In most developing economies, agriculture is the
traditional export sector, while crude oil sector is relatively newly discovered.
Equivalently, with the negative coefficients of -8.03e-08 for RGDP, -0.0011 for REER and -0.0021 for
INF, the implications are that increases in these variables depress AGO. Specifically, it implies that a percent
change in RGDP will depress AGO by 803%, an indication that the spending of extra revenue from oil hurt
AGO as such are channeled towards the production and consumption of domestic goods and services. For REER
it means that when it goes up (depreciates), AGO will grow but because of extra spending on non-tradable
domestic goods and services, caused by extra revenue from oil, derived from resource (oil) boom (spending
effect), the REER of the domestic currency (the naira) appreciates making the traditional agricultural export less
competitive, less attractive to importers, lower farmers income earnings, decline in output production and a
reduction in export trade. On its part, the negative coefficient of inflation depicts its depressing effect on AGO.
This is expected since the increase in the price of OX as a result of the boom leads to positive change in foreign
reserves, increase in money supply (MS), rise in inflation and a depressing effect on AGO. However, the P>|t|
value for each of these variables is greater than 0.05 indicating an insignificant statistical relationship between
the variables and AGO. OPN coefficient is 0.051, implying that higher degree of openness will improve
agricultural commodity export.
To redress this known feature of Nigeria since independence in 1960 the dominance of a single export
commodity there is a need to diversify the economy away from oil based to other sectors such as agriculture,
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
science and technology, manufacturing among others; and this will prevent Dutch disease by preserving these
sectors from being crowded out by the oil sector. Policy makers should thus make considerable investments in
developing other economic sectors as well as come up with a number of tax and import duty waivers and import
substitution measures in order to boost productivity in these sectors, develop other agro-allied industries and
hence improve the value chain. The central bank of Nigeria (CBN), Bank of Industry (BoI) and other specialized
banks should collaborate in the area of providing intervention funds for the sectors at softer terms than
obtainable in the open market. Finally, policy makers should re-channel the extra revenue from oil away from
the production and consumption of domestic goods and accumulate instead income-producing foreign assets and
thus reduce REER appreciation, improve AGO competitiveness and attraction to importers, increase farmers
export earnings, increase output production and hence increase export trade
V.
Conclusion
The study empirically examined the presence of Dutch disease in Nigeria since the discovery, exploitation
and exportation of oil. Cointegration technique and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) were used to
examine the long run and short run relationships respectively. The results show that agricultural commodity
production for export (AGO) is influenced negatively by the discovery and exportation of oil in Nigeria. A 1%
increase in oil export revenue and real GDP will depress agricultural commodity export proceeds by 16% and
803% respectively. Equally, a 1% appreciation of real effective exchange rate (REER) will impact negatively on
traditional export proceeds by 001%. The negative coefficient featured by oil export as a function of traditional
agricultural exportable symbolizes the existence of DD or resource curse in Nigeria. From the results obtained,
the main drivers of the lagging traditional export sector are oil export revenue and real GDP. It is evident from
the study that extra revenue from oil has been hurting the AGO because the purpose and manner of usage always
favour goods and services produced only for domestic consumption. It is imperative that the management and
disbursement of the extra revenue from oil should be to accumulate income-producing foreign assets channeled
towards diversification of the economy and improved methods of agricultural production for export so as to
improve the supply of foreign exchange from other sectors, avoid further damage to agricultural commodity
export, and hence, improve Nigerian economy.
Our study has demonstrated that contrary to some earlier findings (Aliyu (2011)[29], Roemer
(1985)[9], Jazayeri (1986))[25], and consistent with some recent findings (Olusi and Olagunju, 2005[18]; Bitrus,
2011)[5], resource curse is present in Nigeria, but in the long run. Earlier works on Nigeria had used
manufacturing export as the traditional declining tradable sector but this study instead used agricultural tradable
sector as the sector crowded out (de-agriculturation) by the resource boom the oil export. The existence of
DD in Nigeria confirms the existing neglect on agricultural commodity production and export since the
discovery of oil early 70s.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
Reynolds, L. C. (1966). Peasant Agriculture and Economic Growth in Nigeria. The Economic Growth Center, Yale: Yale University
World Bank (WB) (1975) Nigeria: Options for Long-term Development. Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University
Press
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) (2000) The Changing Structure of the Nigerian Economy and Implications for Development, Lagos:
Research Department (August) Iyoha, M.A. (2002) Explaining African Growth Performance: The Case of Nigeria. Revised Interim
Report on Nigerian Case Study prepared for the African Economic Research Consortium Research Project titled:Explaining African
Economic Growth Performance May 1-95
Bitrus, N. B. (2011) An Evaluation of the Impact of the Dutch Disease on the Nigerian Economy (1970-2006) A Ph.D Thesis
submitted to the School of Post-graduate Studies, University of Jos, in fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of
Doctor of Philosophy in Economics, (October)
F. G. N. (1983). Oil Glut-Effects on the Nigerian Economy, what you should know. Published by Federal Department of Information,
public Enlightenment Division, Lagos.
Ogbonna, I.C, N.R. Uwajumogu, E. Nwokoye and G. Nzeribe (2012) Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria:
An Empirical Investigation International Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, Vol. 3 No. 13, November, pp.34 -40
Kuralbayeva, K., A. Kutan and M. Wyzan (2001) Is Kazakhstan Vulnerable to the Dutch Disease? Zentrumfur Europaische
Integrations forschung Working Paper B.29, pp. 1-36
Roemer, M. (1985) Dutch Disease in Developing Countries: Swallowing Bitter Medicine. In The Primary Sector in Economic
Development: Proceedings of the Seventh Arne Ryde Symposium, (August)
Corden, W. and J.P. Neary (1982) Booming Sector and De-industrialisation in a Small Open Economy. The Economic Journal, Vol.
92, No. 368 (December), pp. 825-848
Corden, W. M. (1984). Booming sector and Dutch Disease Economics: Survey and Consolation. Oxford Econ.. Papers 36, 3:pp.359380
Ruehle, A.A and K.G. Kulkarni (2007) in www.flang.keio.ac.jp/webfile/awc/awc2007/ug2_ym.pdf. 0 Size: 252 KB
Ebrahim-Zadeh, C. (2003) Dutch Disease: To Much Wealth Managed Unwisely. Finance and Development Vol. 40, No. 1 pp.1-4 in
Olusi, J.O. and M.A. Olagunju (2005) The Primary Sectors of the Economy and the Dutch Disease in Nigeria. The Pakistan
Development Review 44:2, pp. 159-175
Stijns, J. (2003) An Empirical test of the Dutch Disease Hypothesis using Gravity Model. Paper presented at the Congress of EEA,
Stockholm, (August)
Henry, (1991). Nigeria: From Windfall Gains to Welfare Looses? Sustaining Development in Mineral Economies. The resources
curse thesis
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Oil Exploitation and Agricultural Commodity Export in Nigeria: An Empirical Evaluation of the
[16]
Coussy, J. (1991). formes spcifiques du Dutch Disease en Afrique de lOuest : le cas du Nigeria et du Cameroon.Revue Tiers
Monde, No 125, Janvier/Mars.
[17] Utomi, P. (2003). Managing the Curse of Oil. http://www.nigeriavillagesquarel.com/Articles/utomil.html
[18] Olusi, J. O. and , M. A.Olagunju (2005). The Primary Sectors of the Economy and the Dutch Disease in Nigeria. The Pakistan
Development Review 44 2: 159-175
[19] Federal Office of Statistics (FOS) (1996) Socio-Economic Profile of Nigeria. Lagos.
[20] Ajakaiye, O. (2001) Economic Development in Nigeria. Issues and Experience, in Proceedings of the First CBN Annual Monetary
Police Conference titled, Growing the Nigerian Economy (November) pp 12-36
[21] Jimenez-Rodriguez, R. and M. Sanchez (2003) Oil Price Shocks and Real GDP Growth: Empirical Evidence for Some OECD
Countries (Mimeographed)
[22] Ross, A. (1986) The United Kingdoms Experience with North Sea Oil and Gas. IDS Bulletin (October), pp. 14 -21
[23] Ellman, M. (1981) Natural Gas, Restructuring and Reindustrialisation: The Ddutch Experience of Industrial policy. In T. Barker and
V. Brailovsky (eds.) Oil or Industry. London: Academic Press.
[24] Warr, P. (1985) Indonesias Other Dutch Disease. In P. Neary and S.V. Winbergen (eds.) Natural Resources and the Macroeconomy.
Oxford: Basil Blackwell Ltd.
[25] Jazayeri, A. (1986) Prices and Output in Two Oil-based Economies: The Dutch Disease in Iran and Nigeria. IDS Bulletin (October),
pp. 14-21
[26] Abdullahi, A. (1981). The Problems and Prospects of the Green Revolution for Agricultural and Rural Development of Nigeria:
Technical and Environmental Perspectives. In Abalu, G.O.I., Abdullahi, Y. and Imam. A. M. (Eds). The Green Revolution in
Nigeria? Proceedings of a National Seminar organised by the Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, Ahmadu
Bello University and held in Zaria, Nigeria from September 21st 24th . pp 1-11
[27] Chukwuemeka, E. and Nzewi, H. N. (2011). An empirical study of World Bank agricultural development programme in Nigeria.
American Journal of Social and Management Sciences 2(1): 176-187
[28] Sekumade, A. B. (2009).The effects of petroleum dependency on agricultural trade in Nigeria: An error correlation model-ing (ECM)
approach. Scientific Research and Essay 4 (11) : 1385-1391
[29] Aliyu, A.A. (2011) Nigerias Oilboom Period (1973-1983): Was Agriculture Real Neglected? International Journal of Statistics and
Applications 1(1) 6-9
[30 Ogbonna,I.C., N.R. Uwajumogu, C. Godwin and S.V. Agu (2013) Economic Globalization: Its Impact on the Growth of Non-oil
Supply in Nigeria International Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, Vol. 4 No 7, May, pp. 66 -74
[31] Okoh, R.N (2004) Globalization and Growth of Nigerian Non-oil Exports. A Paper Presented at the Centre for the Study of African
Economies, African Conference, 2004, on Growth, Poverty Reduction and Human Development in Africa 21 st 22nd March, 2004,
Oxford, UK.
[32] Olaniyi, O. (2005) Nigerias Trade Policy from 1960-2004: A Critical Review. Paper presented at the Workshop on Capacity Building
on International Trade. National Assembly in Collaboration with Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (Nigeria), Jos. Pp. 25-27
[33] Phillips, P.C.B. and P. Perron (1988) Testing for a Unit Root in Time-Series Regression. Biometrika Vol. 75, pp. 335-346
[34] Adeniyi, O.A. (2010) Stock Market Development Indicators and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1990-2009): Empirical Investigations.
CBN Economic and Financial Review, Vol. 48, No. 1 March, pp.33-70
[35] McKinnon, R.I. (1973) Money and Capital in Economic Development. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institute
[36] Johansen, S and K. Juselius (1990) Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration with Applications to the
Demand for Money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2) 169-210
[37] Patterson, K. (2000): An Introduction to Applied Econometrics, A Time Series Approach. Palgrave Publishers in Ogbonna,I.C., N.R.
Uwajumogu, C. Godwin and S.V. Agu (2013) Economic Globalization: Its Impact on the Growth of Non-oil Supply in Nigeria
International Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, Vol. 4 No 7, May, pp. 66-74
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I.
Introduction
II.
Size Of Sample
For the purpose of the present study, information pertaining to the State of Use of Internet was
collected from 200 Faculty Members working in 03 Government Medicals Colleges spread over three
geographical revenue divisions of Orissa.
III.
Objectives
(i)
Medical Science towards internet
use.
(ii) To find out the place and frequency of use of internet resources and services by the faculty members of
medical science.
(iii) To unmask the quantum of time spent by these faculty members in browsing the internet.
IV.
Limitations
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V.
Analysis
Designation
1
2
3
4
5
Professor
Associate professor
Assistant professor
Lecturer/Senior resident
Any other
No.
Respondents
25
53
46
16
0
Total=140
of
Percentage (%)
17.85
37.85
32.85
11.45
0
Total=100
Figure-1
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Any other
Lecturer/Senior
resident
Assistant
professor
Associate
professor
Percentage(%)
Professor
% of respondents
Designation
Questionnaire
Distributed
65
No.
of
Respondents
50
Percentage (%)
70
50
71.42
65
40
61.53
Total=200
Total=140
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11 | Page
% of respondents
80
70
60
50
Percentage(%)
40
30
20
10
0
MKCG Medical
college, Berhampur
Types of Responses
Yes
No
No. of Respondents
110
30
Total=140
Percentage(%)
78.57
21.43
Total=100
Figure-3
Use of internet by Faculty Members
21.43%
Yes
No
78.57%
No. of Respondents
58
12
39
32
35
12
188
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Percentage(%)
52.72
10.90
35.45
29.09
31.81
10.90
170.87%
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60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Any other
To update
professional
knowledge
Professional
communication
Health
Education/clinica
l information
Entertainment
Percentage(%)
Research
% of respondents
Purpose of use
Year of Experience
Less than 6 month
6 months-1 year
1-2 years
2-4 years
Any other duration
No. of Respondents
12
12
22
9
55
Total=110
Percentage(%)
10.91
10.91
20
8.18
50
Total=100
Figure-5
Experience in use of internet
60
% of respondents
50
40
30
Percentage(%)
20
10
0
Less than 6 6 months-1
month
year
1-2 years
2-4 years
Any other
duration
Year of Experience
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Frequency of time
Daily
2-3 times a week
Once in a month
2-3 times a month
Any other duration
No. of Respondents
34
46
16
9
5
Total=110
Percentage(%)
30.93
41.81
14.54
8.18
4.54
Total=100
Figure-6
% of respondents
Percentage(%)
Daily
2-3 times a
week
Once in a
month
2-3 times a
month
Any other
duration
Frequency of time
Variables
At college or work place
At hospital library
At home and/or clinic
At commercial cyber caf
Any other
Total
No. of Respondents
12
7
92
23
3
137
Percentage (%)
10.91
6.36
83.63
20.90
2.72
124.52%
Figure-7
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Any other
At
commercial
cyber caf
At hospital
library
At home
and/or clinic
Percentage(%)
At college
or work
place
% of respondents
Variables
VI.
Conclusion
Internet provides a number of medical websites and medical resources which are quite helpful for
health professionals. Health professional used internet primarily for research purpose and to update their clinical
knowledge. They used internet to access health-related information to guide them in their day to day practice
and use E-mail to communicate to the people and their fellow colleagues.
References
[1].
Rao(M),Mudhoi(Mahesh V.)and K.(Shivananda Bhat).2008. Towards Quality of Health Information on the Internet. DESIDOC
Journal of Library and Information Technology;28(6);pp.27-33
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Abstract: The present study has been initiated to explore the authoritative accounts of Judicial System of
Manipur in early period (33-1122 A.D). As an independent, autonomous and sovereign kingdom, Manipur had
distinct system of Judiciary during the period. The findings may also be benefited to the researchers working in
the field of anthropology, human geography, politics, law etc.
Key Words: Stone Age, Judiciary, Womens Court, Indian Independence
I.
Introduction
Manipur is the extreme northeastern state of India with a rich cultural heritage. The language, dance,
songs, dress, festivals, beliefs, agriculture, administration, and sports have greatly contributed towards Indian
culture as a whole. Her unique historical tradition are recorded in the literature, epigraphs and the testimonies of
the Greek, Chinese and the Persian travelers and adventures. M. Mc. Culloh was a political Agent of Manipur in
two terms during the periods say 1844-1862 and 1863-1867 during the reign of Meidingu Nara Singh and
Meidingu Chandrakirti. He remarked that Manipur had different names to call by different neighboring
countries. It is called Meitheileipak by the Maniporees, the local people of Manipur. The Burmese called it
Kathe, the Bengalees, Moglai and the Assamese, Mekle (Pande, 1985).
Since the ancient time, Manipur was a trade route. In the 4th century B.C, Chinese cotton and bamboo
were carried through Manipur-Burma route from China to Bactria. It was also through Manipur-Burma route
that the Chinese-silk came to Bharu kaccha (Barygaza) which later as was imported in the emporia of Seleucia
and Alexandria (Pande, 1985). It has been firmly established by archaeological discoveries that the humanity on
the earth is more than three million years old. Manipur is an ancient civilization having the evidence of
habitation of Stone Aged men. The archaeological remains of Manipur reveal that Manipur was inhabited since
Stone Age which has wide cultural affinity in Asia, particularly with Stone Age, culture of South-East Asia
(Husain, 1998).
Singh (1969) observed that the history of Manipur like all parts of India had its root in the Stone Age
period. He also found a limestone cave at Khangkhui, at a distance of eleven kilometre to the South East of
Ukhrul town in Manipur. The excavation carried on by him in the cave yielded evidence of habitation of Stone
Age men in the cave. On the basis of the cultural material consisting of stone and bone tools in addition to found
remains, it can be argued that Khangkhui cave yielded evidence of upper or late Palaeolithic period, the first
evidence of Pleislocene man in Manipur dating back to about thirty thousand B.C. Singh (1935) also carried out
the excavation work at ancient site near Imphal and found pottery, the rectangular bronze in Devanagari script
(with a sign of dated 107 A.D).
Neolithic culture is found in both the hill and valley of Manipur. Recent
excavation works at Napachik and Nongpok Keithelmanbi have yielded good number of Neolithic materials
including Celts and Potsherds (Devi, 2003).
II.
Objectives
In view of the above facts, the present investigation aims to review the authoritative accounts of
historical changes in the structure of judicial function and administration of justice in the early period (33-1122
AD) of Manipur.
III.
Manipur was an ancient independent Kingdom and it continues till 1891 A.D. before the occupancy of
the British Empire. It has a long and glorious history from beginning of the Christian era. The recorded history
of kingship started from 33 A.D. and it mark the coronation of Meidingu Pakhangba. After Meidingu Pakhangba
a series of seventy five kings who rule over the kingdom of Manipur. Meidingu Budhachandra Singh (19411955) was the last king of Manipur (Singh, 1966). After the independent of India, Manipur had also merged in
the Indian Territory on the 15th October, 1949 (Sanajaoba, 1999). After the merger to the Indian Territory,
Manipur has totally changed in the system of administration. The focus of the present study is to explore the
concept and review of the judicial in Manipur in early period (33-1122 A.D). The word Judicial has two
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V.
Conclusion
Since the ancient time, Manipur was an independent, autonomous and sovereign kingdom. Monarchism
prevailed from the beginning of the history of Manipur and it is belief that all the monarchs were benevolent in
character and mercifulness in the characteristics. There were a strong public opinions that in past a group of old
ladies of the country could go to the king to appeal/complain if and when miscarriage of administration of
justice. All the people of kingdom were to serve the king, ten days after a monarch called Lallup. In the early
period of Manipur there was females/womens court by the name of Pacha Wayenshang in the judicial
administration of Manipur. Some scholars remark that Pacha Court existed since the time of Meidingu
Pakhangba (33-154 A.D) and Laisna the Rani of Pakhangba was the president of the Pacha. Meidingu
Naophungba (428-518 A.D) was the first king of Manipur to use the function of judicial administration in
associated with the natural law and mainly devoted to the penal system. These function of judicial
administration is traditionally function till the regime of Meidingu Irengba (984-1074 A.D). After Meidingu
Irengba, the great law giver, Meidingu Loyumba had thrown Manipur (1074 to 1122 A.D.). During his time,
Manipur was divided into six Panas (Division of land) allotted by the authority of the monarchial kingdom.
Meidingu Loiyamba is said to have frame regulations to conduct and administer the affairs of the human labour
participating or allotment of labours and administration of justice in the society by framing a constitution,
Loyamba Shinyen.
All the procedures of the court were in oral submission. There is no written statement
or petition. Before the year 1891 A.D there was no codified code of law in Manipur and justice was
administered according to traditional common law in the context of the state of society prevailed in the Manipur.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
[16]
[17]
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Abstract: This study examined the influence of parental musical interest; and academic background on
childrens interest in music as a course of study. Two research questions and two hypotheses were raised to
guide the study. The study used ex-post facto research design. The study sample comprised 390 Basic 9 Music
students selected from the 12 public secondary schools in Uyo Local Government offering music using simple
random sampling technique. Researcher-developed instrument titled: Parental Musical Interest, Background
and Children Musical Interest Questionnaire (PMIBCMIQ), a 22-item opinion scale with four response options
was used for data collection. The instrument had a reliability index of .84 determined using Cronbachs alpha
reliability coefficient formula. The results of data analysis using the independent t-test statistics showed that
students whose parents are highly interested in music tend to be highly interested in musical studies too. Based
on the findings, it was recommended, among others, that parents should properly guide their wards in their
choice of career rather than dissuade them from their career of interest or try to force them into careers that
they are not interested in.
Keywords: Childrens interest in music; Parental academic background;;Parental musical interest; musical
study
I.
Background
Humanity refers to the human (man and woman) creature made in the likeness of the Supreme Being.
Endowed with qualities and attributes unknown to him to develop, utilize, and create impact on his immediate
and outer environment, this being, created with unrestricted freedom and liberty to choose between options,
may like, love, hate, approve/disapprove, counter, condemn in totality what his nature beams the light. He tends
to prefer certain things to some others. When he chooses a life partner, his likes/dislikes are religiously nurtured
or condemned, though at times with severe reprimand. This transcends into their first important close associates,
their offspring.
Psychologists have made several attempts at laying bare to us certain conditions/changes which take
place in man and his reactions, positive or negative. They have made us to understand that humans possess
some traits which are innate (probably acquired hereditarily) or born out of influences from
relations/interactions/experiences with the outer society. Musical traits stand out as one of such traits which
could be acquired hereditarily, that is, springing from a childs parental musical interest/inclinations. A child is
born with it and may, in the course of his growth, development, and exposure, exhibit this trait, or may
deliberately ignore it. To Sloboda, Davidson, and Howe (2009: 48),
Folk psychology assumes that differences between people in musical ability are directly caused by
inherent biological variability. From birth, some individuals are supposed to have an inborn potential
to be musical, or have a natural talent or gift for music, or innate aptitude for it.
Ignoring the musical trait may depend on a childs sense of valuing. He has several options, like his parents, to
choose from. He may naturally prefer what his parents prefer or value. He may, in the same vein, shun his
parents favourites. Barnett and Chick, Kelly, Kleiber, Hutchinson, Baldwin and Cladwell, all cited in Ho
(2011), assert that parents are significant factors in the development of childrens leisure interests and values.
Abeles, Hoffer, and Klotman (1976) see music as a form of human behaviour created by human beings
for human beings. This musical behaviour, according to them, is bound to be influenced by certain factors,
namely, biological, social, cultural, and technological factors. Biological factors tend to relate with the make up
of the human and his intrinsic qualities. Humans have the tendency to follow or accept what others do or think
and this conformist behaviour can be strong enough to affect musical interests (Abeles et al). It is only when
there is a sense of valuing and appreciation of attributes that conformity is likely to take effect. Interest, valuing
and appreciation, according to Tyler (1986) are sub-categories of the affective objectives of education. To
Tyler, valuing is an emotional commitment, to those cherished objects, activities or ideas which drive or direct
the interests, attitudes, and satisfactions of individuals cherishing the objects, activities or ideas. Interest refers
to a feeling of curiosity or concern about something that makes the attention turn towards it; or a power, quality
or aspect of something that attracts attention, concern or curiosity (Microsoft Encarta, 2009).
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Effect Of Parental Musical Interest Background On Their Childrens Choice Of Music As A Course Of
These definitions imply that there must be an appreciation of the object or thing which the individual
derives joy and satisfaction from. Tyler (1986) opines that one desires more of the thing he/she appreciates;
desires to express himself/herself creatively; and identifies himself/herself with the object appreciated. In the
light of this, children may tend to appreciate and identify themselves with what their parents hold in high
esteem and are inclined to. In a study conducted by Ho (2011), the findings revealed that 47.4% of respondents
(students) perceived their parents as the most influential people for their learning instruments, 26% rated private
instrumental tutor; 7.6% rated school music teacher; 7.3% - friends/classmates; 3.5% - brothers and sisters;
3.5% - orchestra conductor; while 3.0% rated orchestra member and others 1.8%. In the same study, 14-rank
reasons for learning music instruments were stated by Ho for respondents rating. Students interest (48.4%)
was rated highest followed by parental encouragement (18.8%). The study also revealed that these parents
learned musical instruments. Though the study was based on the learning of musical instruments, it has
implication for general classroom music studies.
II.
The Problem
Music education is seen as a weapon for combating ignorance, poverty, and disease; a bridge between
confusion and comprehension, a dam for conserving mans stores of civilisation, a rocket subservient to a state
of intellectual sovereignty, and an instrument par excellence for effective national development ( Amoyedi cited
in Essien, 2011). These, therefore, place a great demand and responsibility on not only music educators, but
everyone inhabiting a geographical entity including parents. Parents prepare the grounds for teachers while
governments provide the enabling environment/tools for these ideals to be achieved. The level of preparations
and provisions of ideal environments/tools, in this regard, determine whether these ideals will flourish or
remain moribund. With the high emphasis on science and technology and low intake of students into music
departments of Universities across the nation, opinion of some people points to the fact that academic music
study may lose its pride of place in the scheme of things. Besides, most families are not giving their
children/wards the needed encouragement and support even when musical traits are glaring in them. RusselBowie, Mclnerney, and Yeung (2001) assert that many families fail to provide children with nurturing musical
background. The home, they opine, is the bedrock of every childs developmental prospect. Several studies
have shown that the home constitutes the most influential factor on student learning (Garber & Ware, 1972;
Shapiro & Bloom, 1977; Revicki, 1981; Kalinowski & Sloane, 1981; Olson, 1984; Brand, 1986; Asmus, 1986;
Olszewski, Kulieke, & Buescher, 1987; Kemp, 1996; Shiraishi, 1997; Cleveland, Jacobson, Lipinski, & Rowe,
2000). Kemp (1996) sees the home environment as the key element in the development of musical talent,
particularly in the early stages of development. In the same vein, Olszewski, Kulieke, and Buescher (1987)
opine that parents often have the power to direct their children away or toward certain activities, particularly
when their children are young. Parents interest and involvement in their childrens/wards musical training
determine whether the children/wards will continue with music lessons and practice ( Creech & Hallam;
Moore, Burland, & Davidson; cited in Ho, 2011). It is most likely that parental musical interest background
may be the strongest predictor of their childrens interest in music as a course of study.
This researcher had witnessed many situations where students, having been admitted into and enrolled
in the department to study music, had opted out for other courses. One of the major reasons for such
withdrawals had been parental factors (Parents dislike for music as an academic discipline in schools). Such
parents see music as a course not worth studying in school.
There is need, therefore, to ascertain the root cause of this malady. Could the cause be attributed to the
childrens musical background? Could parental musical interest background affect their childrens/wards
interest in academic music pursuit? Could students interest in academic music study be a function of the
academic background of the parents? This paper, therefore, set out to examine the influence of parental musical
interest background as a factor in childrens interest in music as a course of study.
Purpose of the Study
This study examined the influence of parental musical interest and academic background on childrens
interest in music as a course of study. The objectives were:
1. To determine the influence of parents musical interest on their childrens interest in musical study.
2. To examine the influence of parents musical interest on their childrens interest in musical study given
their academic background.
Research Questions
In order to give this study a focus, the following research questions were posed:
1.
How does parents musical interest influence their childrens
interest in musical study?
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Effect Of Parental Musical Interest Background On Their Childrens Choice Of Music As A Course Of
2.
Hypotheses
The following hypotheses were formulated and tested at .05 level of significance.
1. There is no significant influence of parental musical background on childrens interest in music study.
2. There is no significant influence of parental academic background on childrens interest in music study.
III.
Methodology
Design
The study used ex-post facto research design. This design was chosen since both the independent and
dependent variables had already occurred and the researcher only had to make inference based on the facts
already on ground.
Population
The target population consisted of all the 5471Junior Secondary three (Basic 9) students in the 12
public schools in Uyo Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria, where music is taught.
Sample and Sampling Technique
The study sample comprised 390 Basic 9 Music students selected from the 12 public secondary
schools in Uyo Local Government offering music using simple random sampling technique.
Instrumentation
Researcher-developed instrument titled: Parental Musical Interest Background and Children Musical
Interest Questionnaire (PMIBCMIQ), a 22-item Likert scale with four response options was used for data
collection. The options were Strongly Agree (4), Agree (3), Disagree (2), and Strongly Disagree (1). Four music
experts validated the instrument. The final copy of the instrument was drawn after the experts scrutiny and
suggestions. The reliability index of the instrument, determined using Cronbachs Alpha yielded a reliability
index of .84.
Method of Data Collection
The researcher, with the assistance of the Music teachers in the selected schools, administered the
questionnaire to the respondents during their normal Music periods. The completed copies of the questionnaire
were collected on the spot, immediately after completion. This was necessary to forestall non-return of the
questionnaire.
Method of Data Analysis
Data generated from the study were analysed using the independent t-test statistics.
IV.
Results
Research Hypothesis One: There is no significant influence of parental musical background on childrens
interest in music study.
Table 1: Independent t-test Analysis of Scores on Parents Musical Interest and Childrens Interest in Musical
Study (n = 390)
Parents Musical Interest
Mean
High
Low
266
124
28.38
26.14
Std.
Deviation
2.08
2.68
t cal
Df
Sig.
1.54
388
0.02
Decision
S
In Table 1, the results show that the calculated t value, t-cal, for parents musical interest and their
childrens interest in musical study is 1.54 at df 388, and that the calculated level of confidence, Sig., is 0.02.
This probability level is less than 0.05 in which decision is based indicating that there is a significant influence
of parents musical interest on their childrens interest in musical study. Hence, hypothesis 1- There is no
significant influence of parental musical background on childrens interest in music study was rejected. The
mean scores of 28.38 for those whose parents are highly interested in music and 26.14 for those whose parents
are not interested in music in Table 1indicates that students whose parents are highly interested in music tend to
be highly interested in musical studies.
Research Hypothesis Two: There is no significant influence of parental academic background on childrens
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Effect Of Parental Musical Interest Background On Their Childrens Choice Of Music As A Course Of
interest in music study.
Table 2: Independent t-test Analysis of Scores on Parental Academic Background and Childrens Interest in
Musical Study (n = 390)
Parental Academic Background
Mean
High
Low
279
111
26.38
26.14
Std.
Deviation
2.08
2.33
t cal
Df
Sig.
Decision
2.82
388
0.12
NS
In Table 2, the results show that the calculated t value, t-cal, for parents musical interest and their
childrens interest in musical study is 2.82 at df 388, and that the calculated level of confidence, Sig., is 0.12.
This probability level is greater than 0.05 in which decision is based. This indicates that there is no significant
influence of parental academic background on their childrens interest in musical study. Hence, hypothesis 1There is no significant influence of parental musical background on childrens interest in music study was
upheld.
V.
Discussion
VI.
Conclusion
This study examined the influence of parental musical interest and academic background on childrens
interest in music as a course of study. The results in Tables 1 and 2 indicated that there is a significant influence
of parents musical interest on their childrens interest in musical study and that there is no significant influence
of parental academic background on childrens interest in musical study. Students whose parents are highly
interested in music tend to be highly interested in musical studies too. This is in tandem with Hos (2011)
findings that parents who are interested in music would support their childrens interest in musical study. The
no significant influence of parental academic background on their childrens interest in musical study implies
that parental academic background is not a significant predictor of childrens interest in musical study.
Consequent upon the findings of this study, it is hereby concluded that parents musical interest is a
significant predictor of childrens interest in musical study but parental academic background is not.
VII.
Recommendations
Based on the observations made, it is recommended that parents should properly guide their wards in
their choice of career rather than dissuade them from their career of interest or try to force them into careers that
they are not interested in. It is also recommended that this study should be replicated in other parts of the
country to allow for effective generalization of findings.
References
[1].
[2].
[3].
[4].
[5].
[6].
[7].
[8].
[9].
[10].
[11].
[12].
[13].
[14].
[15].
Abeles, H. F., Hoffer, C. R., & Klotman, R. H. (1979). Foundations of music education. New York: Schirmer Books.
Asmus, E. P. (1985). Students beliefs about the causes of success and failure in music: A study of achievement motivation. Journal
of Research in Music Education, 34, 262 278.
Brand, M. !986). Relationship between home musical environment and selected musical attributes of second-grade children.
Journal of Research in Music Education, 34, 112 -120.
Cleveland, H. H., Jacobson, K.C., Lipinski, J. J., & Rowe, D. C. (2000). Genetic and shared environmental contributions to the
relationship between the home environment and child and adolescent achievement. Intelligence, 28(1), 69 86.
Essien, M. A. (2011). Indigenous instructional materials in the music education of secondary schools in Akwa Ibom State. Journal
of the Association of Nigerian Musicologists (JANIM), (5), 130 140.
Garber, M., & Ware, W. B. (1972). The home environment as a predictor of school achievement. Theory into Practice, 11(3), 190
195.
Ho, W. C. (2011). Parental support and student learning of musical instruments in Hong Kong. Visions of Research in Music
Education, 19. Retrieved from http://www-usr.rider.edu/vrme-/
Kalinowski, A., & Sloane, K. (1981). The home environment and school achievement. Studies in Educational Evaluation, 7(1), 85
96.
Kemp, A. E. (1996). The musical temperament. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Olson, C. C. (1984). Effects of parenting and home environment on student achievement in grades 3 to 5. A paper presented at the
Annual Meeting of The American Educational Research Association (68 th), New Orleans, L. A., April 23 -27, 1984). (ERIC
Document Reproduction Service No. ED 247002).
Olsewski, P., Kulieke, M., & Buescher, T. (1987). The influence of the family environment on the development of talent: A
literature review. Journal for the Education of the Gifted, 11, (1), 6 28.
Revicki, D. A. (1981). The relationship among socioeconomic status, home environment, parent involvement, child self-concept,
and child achievement. ERIC Document Reproduction Service No. ED206645.
Shapiro, C., & Bloom, J. S. (1977). Home environment, self-concept, and urban students achievement: A bibliography and review
of research. Trenton, N. J.:
New Jersey State Department of Education. (ERIC Document Reproduction Service No. ED161972).
Shiraishi, I. M. (1997). A home-based music therapy program for multi-risk mothers. Music Therapy Perspectives, 15(1), 16 23.
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Effect Of Parental Musical Interest Background On Their Childrens Choice Of Music As A Course Of
[16].
Tyler, R. W. (1986). Changing concepts of educational evaluation. International Journal of Educational Research, 10(4), 94 101.
Internet Sources
[17].
[18].
[19].
[20].
Asmus, E. P. (2009). The impact of music education on home, school, and community.
http://www.uncg.edu/mus/SoundsOfLearning/HomeSchoolCommunity.pdf [Accessed June 24, 2009].
Encarta Dictionary On-line (2009). Interest. http://encarta.msn.com/dictionary/Interest.html [Accessed June 8, 2009].
Russell-Bowie, D., Mclnerney, D. M., & Yeung, A. (2001). Student teachers perceptions of anxiety and confidence in relation to
music education. <http://www.aare.edu.au/01pap/rus01123.htm> [Accessed June 8, 2009].
Parental Musical Interest Background And Children Musical Interest Questionnaire (Pmibcmiq),
Section A: Parental Musical/Academic Background
1.
Gender: Male
Female
2.
3.
4.
If Yes, Which?
Father
Mother
No
None
N.C.E.
b. Your father?
FSLC
WASC or Equivalent
N.C.E.
B. A/B.Sc/B.Ed.
M.A/M.Sc/M.Ed. and Above
6.
None
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Item Description
SA
4
A
3
D
2
SD
1
Item Description
SA
4
A
3
D
2
SD
1
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Effect Of Parental Musical Interest Background On Their Childrens Choice Of Music As A Course Of
Junior Secondary Three (Basic 9) Music Students Population In Uyo Local Government, Akwa Ibom
S/N
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
Name of Schools
Cornelia Cornelly College, Uyo
Christian Secondary School, Uyo
Community Secondary Commercial School,
Ikot Oku Ikono
Community Comprehensive Secondary School,
Fourtowns
Ikono Ibom Community Secondary School
Community Secondary School, Aka Offot
Community Secondary Commercial School,
Ikot Okubo Offot
Community Secondary School, Mbak Etoi
Offot Ukwa Secondary School, Obio Offot
Secondary School, Etoi
Community Secondary Commercial School,
Ikot Ekpeyak Ikono
Northern Ikono Secondary School, Ikot Odung
Uyo High School, Uyo.
Total
Students
Population
500
600
142
630
100
1054
250
250
215
580
250
NIL
900
5,471
Grace E. Ekong is currently a lecturer in the Department of Music, University of Uyo, Akwa Ibom
State, Nigeria. She had her academic musical training at the University of Cross River State, Uyo (Nigeria
Certificate in Education); the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria (Bachelor of Arts and Master of Arts); and
finally at the Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria (Ph.D). Her area of specialization is Music Pedagogy
and Performance. She teaches courses in music education, African music, research, history of Western music,
performance (Western/African dance, Oboe, and voice). She is a singer, dancer, music pedagogue, researcher,
choral music/dance adjudicator. She has taught at the primary, secondary, and tertiary levels of education in her
country. Her hobbies include singing, games and sports, dancing, reading, meeting great minds for exchange of
ideas. Her interest is in music pedagogy, research and practice in music education, African music studies,
performance, and inter/intra musical culture exchange. She has several articles to her credit.
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24 | Page
Abstract: Population health is a major area of concern for researchers in developing nations with large
demographic base. Most of the geographical studies done in India have focused on modelling communicable
diseases only. The importance of constructing spatial models for non-communicable diseases has risen
tremendously in recent times due to their ever-increasing burden. The present paper attempts to create a
regression model of cardiovascular mortality in Bist Doab region of Punjab (India) . A composite risk factor
score was calculated block-wise and was used as an explanatory variable for the observed spatial patterns of
cardiovascular mortality. The regression modelling was done using Ordinary Least Squares method of Spatial
Analyst tool in ArcGIS 9.3. The resultant regression coefficient was 0.44 and the model was capable of
explaining nearly 35% of variation in the observed spatial patterns of cardiovascular deaths. The model was
statistically significant at 0.05 level. Given the complex aetiology of cardiovascular diseases and the lack of
block-wise data on several key risk factors, it was concluded that this model displayed considerably good
performance. Finally, Morans I test was used to check spatial autocorrelation to ensure that the residuals are
not spatially autocorrelated.
Keywords: Cardiovascular diseases, GIS, Punjab, Regression model, Risk factors.
I.
Introduction
The importance of constructing spatial models for non-communicable diseases has risen tremendously
in recent times due to their ever-increasing burden. The spatial etiology of a disease can be investigated by
discovering where the disease occurs and subsequently relating its spatial characteristics to the relevant features
of physical and human environment. Out of all diseases, cardiovascular diseases are the worlds largest killers
that claim 17.1 million lives every year, representing 29% of all global deaths. About 82% of the deaths caused
by cardiovascular diseases occur in low- and middle-income countries [1]. These diseases are typically multicausal in which several factors are implicated.
The problem of cardiovascular diseases in India has assumed epidemic proportions, earning it the
dubious sobriquet of being the Heart Disease Capital of the World [2]. The World Health Report (2002) has
projected cardiovascular diseases to be the largest cause of death and disability in India by 2020, which will
account for 42% of the total mortality from all causes [3]. Within the country, the state of Punjab has the highest
proportion (approximately 50%) of cardiovascular deaths out of the total mortality. Punjab can be divided into
three distinct cultural regions namely, Majha, Malwa and Bist Doab (Map 1 and 2). The present paper aims to
construct a regression model of cardiovascular mortality recorded in rural areas of the states Bist Doab region
specifically.
Bist Doab is a natural region which extends from 3057 N to 327 N latitude and 754 E to 7638 E
longitude. It is bounded by river Beas in the north-west, Satluj in the south and Shiwalik hills in the east. The
region accounts for nearly 20% of Punjabs total population and around 68% of its people live in rural areas. In
terms of administration, the region has four districts namely, Jalandhar, Hoshiarpur, Kapurthala and S.B.S.
Nagar (Nawanshahar), which encompass 30 Community Development Blocks. There are 3,528 villages, 35
towns and 2 cities (Jalandhar and Hoshiarpur) in the region. The present study pertains to the rural areas of the
region.
II.
The study has been conducted for the year 2009 and the analysis was done at block-level. The causespecific mortality data for this study has been obtained from village-wise death registers available in the Office
of Registrar (Births and Deaths) of all the four districts of the Bist Doab region and was aggregated at blocklevel. Apart from it, data on various risk factors of cardiovascular diseases has been compiled from Block at a
Glance publication of Economic and Statistical Organization (Punjab), Website of Excise and Taxation
Department (Punjab) and Defense Mapping Agency Topographic Center, Washington, D.C. (U.S.A.).
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Spatial Modelling of Cardiovascular Mortality Patterns: A GIS based Study of Rural Bist Doab
The following methods and techniques were applied for analysis and representation of data:
1. Proportional Mortality Rate: The Proportional Mortality Rate was calculated block-wise using the formula
given below and the values were plotted on map using Choropleth technique in ArcGIS 9.3 software.
Proportional Mortality Rate = Number of deaths from Cardiovascular Diseases 100
Number of deaths from All Causes
2. Cardiovascular Risk Index: This index was developed to study the extent of risk to cardiovascular health in
different parts of the study region by exploring the composite spatial distribution of various risk factors. The
indicators used in the formulation of this index were chosen after a thorough review of literature and keeping in
view the availability of relevant data. The cardiovascular risk index (CRI) consisted of the following five
components:
(i.)
Alcohol Vends Index (AVI): It has been observed that the mere presence or absence of an alcohol
vend in a village directly affects the availability and level of alcohol consumption in the surrounding
area. Thus the Alcohol Vends Index was used to portray the availability of alcohol in the region. The
indicator used for its calculation was number of males per alcohol vend in each block. Lower the
number of males per alcohol vend in an area, higher will be the risk to cardiovascular health owing to
higher per capita availability of alcohol. Alcohol Vends Index (AVI) was arrived at using the following
formula:
AVI =
max (x ) - x
max (x ) - min (x )
(ii.)
Milch Cattle Index (MCI): This index reflected the availability of milk and milk products in the study
area. Since block-wise data on availability or consumption of milk and milk products was not available,
so the number of milch cattle per person was used as a surrogate indicator such that higher the
number of milch cattle per person, higher will be the risk of developing cardiovascular ailment due to
greater fat consumption. Milch Cattle Index (MCI) was calculated as follows:
MCI =
x - min (x )
max (x ) - min (x )
(iii.)
Health Services Index (HSI): Health Services Index was calculated from the indicator named
population served per health institution. Lower the population served per health institution in an area,
lower is the risk to cardiovascular health. Since the data on the number of private health institutions
was not available at block-level, so only government ones were considered. The formula used for
computing Health Services Index (HSI) was:
HSI =
x - min (x )
max (x ) - min (x )
(iv.)
Average Slope Index (ASI): The role of living on moderate altitudes with uneven terrain in promoting
physical activity has been well accepted in existing literature. The eastern parts of Bist Doab region are
hilly while the central and western parts are flat plains. Thus physiography of the region has significant
influence on the spatial distribution of cardiovascular mortality. Robinsons method of slope analysis
was applied on contour map of the region for calculating the block-wise average slope in degrees.
Higher the average slope of an area, lower will be the risk of acquiring cardiovascular diseases, owing
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Spatial Modelling of Cardiovascular Mortality Patterns: A GIS based Study of Rural Bist Doab
(v.)
to the greater level of physical activity involved. The Average Slope Index (ASI) was calculated as
given below:
ASI =
max (x ) - x
max (x ) - min (x )
Industrial Units Index (IUI): The industries present in an area are a marker of physically inactive
workforce and in some cases, high levels of air pollution as well. Therefore, higher the number of
industrial units per hectare, higher is the risk to cardiovascular health. The Industrial Units Index was
calculated from this indicator using the following formula:
IUI =
x - min (x )
max (x ) - min (x )
Thus, the overall Cardiovascular Risk Index (CRI) was calculated as follows:
CRI = (AVI + MCI + HSI + ASI + IUI)
5
A choropleth map was prepared to depict the block-wise distribution of CRI and this score was
eventually used in the regression analysis of cardiovascular mortality.
3. Regression Analysis: The regression analysis was done at block level using Ordinary Least Squares
(OLS) method in ArcGIS 9.3 software. The OLS tool created a single regression equation as follows:
Y = a + bX + E
where, Y = dependent variable
X = independent / explanatory variable
a = intercept
b = regression coefficient
E = random error / residual
The Proportional Mortality Rate (PMR) was the dependent variable and Cardiovascular Risk Index
(CRI) was used as the explanatory variable. The value and sign of regression coefficient denotes the strength
and type of relationship the explanatory variable has to the dependent variable. In case of linear regression, the
regression coefficient is a constant that represents the rate of change of dependent variable as a function of
change in explanatory variable. The intercept represents the expected value for the dependent variable if the
explanatory variable is zero. The residuals denote the difference between observed and predicted values of the
dependent variable and are shown in the OLS output map as under predictions (where the actual proportion of
cardiovascular mortality is lower than predicted) and over predictions (where the actual proportion of
cardiovascular deaths is higher than predicted). In a properly specified regression model, the over and under
predictions display a random spatial distribution. Morans-I spatial autocorrelation test was used to ensure that
the over/under predictions do not portray spatial clustering. If the over/under predictions tend to cluster, it
implies that some key explanatory variable is missing. The results of regression analysis were interpreted from
the numeric output of OLS method.
III.
The total number of deaths from all causes occurring in rural areas of Bist Doab region in 2009 was
24,573. Out of these, 6,796 deaths (nearly 28%) were caused due to cardiovascular disorders. Approximately
65% of the persons who died from cardiovascular diseases were males, while the rest 35% were females. The
distribution of cardiovascular mortality observed at block level shows the following spatial patterns (Map 3):
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Spatial Modelling of Cardiovascular Mortality Patterns: A GIS based Study of Rural Bist Doab
(i.)
(ii.)
(iii.)
(iv.)
Areas of Very High PMR (above 35%): The central parts of the region portray a very high rate of
mortality (PMR above 35%), which include the blocks of Nadala (53%), Phagwara (45%), Nakodar
(45%), Jalandhar East (43%), Shahkot (41%), Rurka Kalan (37%) and Jalandhar West (36%).
Areas of Moderately High PMR (25 to 35%): The eastern parts and some blocks of the western parts
of the region reflect moderately high cardiovascular mortality (PMR from 25 to 35%), which consist of
Tanda (32%), Dasuya (31%), Dhilwan (30%), Adampur (29%), Lohian (28%), Hoshiarpur-II (27%),
Sultanpur Lodhi (27%) and Kapurthala block (26%).
Areas of Moderately Low PMR (20 to 25%): The blocks falling in the category of moderately low
cardiovascular mortality (PMR from 20 to 25%) are largely situated in the south-eastern parts of the
region and some of them lie in the east-central parts. These blocks include Saroya (25%), Garhshankar
(24%), Nawanshahar (24%), Balachaur (23%), Hoshiarpur-I (22%), Phillaur (22%), Bhogpur (22%),
Talwara (21%) and Aur (20%).
Areas of Low PMR (below 20%): The category of low cardiovascular mortality (PMR below 20%)
encompasses most of the blocks lying in the eastern hilly parts of the study area and one block of the
south. These include Nurmahal (19%), Bhunga (19%), Mahilpur (18%), Mukerian (18%), Hajipur
(17%) and Banga block (11%).
IV.
The pattern of cardiovascular risk index displays the distribution of geographically antecedent sources
of major risk factors of cardiovascular diseases. The index has great variation from one part of study area to the
other, as discussed below (Map 4):
(iii.)
(iv.)
Areas having High CRI (above 0.6): The level of risk is high (CRI above 0.6) in and around the
central parts of the region encompassing the blocks of Nadala (0.73), Phagwara (0.70), Phillaur (0.69),
Jalandhar East (0.69), Shahkot (0.67), Dhilwan (0.65), Jalandhar West (0.63) and Nurmahal (0.62).
Areas having Moderately High CRI (0.5 to 0.6): The risk score is moderately high (0.5 to 0.6) in the
adjoining areas lying both to the east and west of this high risk axis. This group includes the blocks of
Rurka Kalan (0.59), Nakodar (0.59), Kapurthala (0.58), Adampur (0.58), Bhogpur (0.57), Lohian
(0.57), Sultanpur Lodhi (0.56), Tanda (0.52), Mukerian (0.52) and Aur (0.51).
Areas having Moderately Low CRI (0.4 to 0.5): The third category of moderately low risk score (0.4
to 0.5) is spread over the south-eastern parts and some blocks of the north-eastern parts. The blocks
falling in this group include Banga (0.47), Garhshankar (0.47), Mahilpur (0.46), Hajipur (0.45), Dasuya
(0.42), Balachaur (0.42), Hoshiarpur-I (0.41) and Saroya (0.41).
Areas having Low CRI (below 0.4): The spatial expanse of the areas recording low cardiovascular
risk score (below 0.4) is spread over the eastern blocks of Nawanshahar (0.38), Hoshiarpur-II (0.37),
Talwara (0.23) and Bhunga (0.20).
V.
In order to explain the variation in cardiovascular mortality, a regression model has been created at
block level by considering Proportional Mortality Rate (PMR) as the dependent variable and Cardiovascular
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Spatial Modelling of Cardiovascular Mortality Patterns: A GIS based Study of Rural Bist Doab
Risk Index (CRI) as the explanatory variable. The model has been used to determine the spatial dependence of
variation in cardiovascular mortality on the devised cardiovascular risk score. The value of regression
coefficient comes out to be +0.44. The sign of the coefficient reflects positive linear direction of the
relationship. This means that as the cardiovascular risk score goes up, the rate of cardiovascular mortality also
goes up.
The regression coefficient is statistically significant at 0.05 level. The coefficient of determination (Rsquared) is 0.35 which implies that the resultant model explains about 35% of the variation in cardiovascular
mortality. The performance of the model could not be enhanced due to serious limitation of data on important
behavioural risk factors of cardiovascular diseases like smoking, physical inactivity etc.
VI.
Conclusion
The present research work has its own peculiar strengths and limitations. The paper attempted to fill the
glaring research gap on geographical patterns of cardiovascular mortality in Punjab state of India, which holds
the top slot in prevalence of cardiovascular diseases among all states of the country. In order to sum up the
effect of major cardiovascular risk factors, the present research work devised a composite risk index. The main
advantage of using this index was that it summarized the geographical antecedents of some of the important risk
factors proven to influence cardiovascular health of people. Additionally, it was easier to interpret one number
than finding patterns across multiple indicators. Cardiovascular diseases are extremely multi-causal in nature.
Therefore, the construction of a reasonably good regression model using individual independent
variables was not an easy task. Hence the composite index was calculated to overcome this problem and
facilitate the regression analysis of cardiovascular mortality patterns.
The main limitation of this study was the unavailability of spatial data on key cardiovascular risk
factors like physical inactivity, smoking, alcohol consumption, intake of fats, psychosocial stress etc. Therefore,
indirect measures and surrogate indicators were used to determine the extent of risk to cardiovascular health in
various parts of the region. However, the paper provides a strong basis for exploring deeper research questions
in this direction. In order to determine why the composite index was rising or falling in spatial terms and what to
do in response, there is a need to go back to the factors upon which the index was based. For addressing this
issue, the individual determinants of cardiovascular diseases should be dealt with separately. This raises
important agenda for future research on the geography of cardiovascular diseases.
Keeping in view the complex aetiology of cardiovascular diseases and the lack of block-wise data on
several key risk factors, it can be concluded that the regression model constructed in this paper displayed
considerably good performance. The value of the resultant regression coefficient turned out to be 0.44 and the
model was capable of explaining nearly 35% of variation in the observed spatial patterns of cardiovascular
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Spatial Modelling of Cardiovascular Mortality Patterns: A GIS based Study of Rural Bist Doab
mortality in the Bist Doab region of Punjab. The regression model was statistically significant at 0.05 level. In
Health Geography, the potential of GIS should be tapped in building such models for studying the causal factors
of both infectious and non-infectious diseases. Additionally, the spatial visualization of disease patterns can
provide valuable inputs to rural-targeted health policies.
Acknowledgements
The author duly acknowledges the financial support provided by University Grants Commission (India)
in the form of Senior Research Fellowship for carrying out the present research work.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
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I.
Introduction
Habermas has done a seminal work on the concept of public sphere (Habermas, 2001). Doubt also
exists as to whether his work about the concept describes a historical reality that existed or whether he was
describing a set of ideas that are yet to be put into practice (Gripsrud, 2002). Whatever the case, it is generally
accepted that the activities of the classical public sphere pressured pre-modern European feudal lords into
granting civil liberty to their citizens.
The first of what is known as public sphere was the plebeian public sphere (Gripsrud, 2002).
Repressive excesses and feudal vanity marked their proceedings. The plebeian public sphere later
transformed into the literary public sphere. The literary public sphere was an arena where learned men (men of
letters) confronted feudal and papal oppression with logical argumentation/debate.
When the bourgeoisie joined forces with the literary public sphere, that move restricted the
membership of the public sphere to only learned and rich men (Gripsrud, 2002). The restriction was meant to
ensure that nobody in the public sphere owed their livelihood to an employer. The restrictive move also
premised the belief that only rich men could be free from the fears of losing their means of livelihood. The
thinking was that men who entertained no such fear were the ones who could muster the courage to express their
views without hindrance. Adherence to the twin conditions of financial independence and appropriate education
was the reason women, artisans and other petit bourgeoisies were excluded in the bourgeois public sphere
(Gripsrud, 2002).
Custodians of the pre-modern public sphere were never in doubt regarding the power of the spoken
word (Gouldner, 1976). Commentators (Gouldner, 1976) agree that the linguistic activism expressed in the
debates and argumentations of the pre-modern public sphere was what changed the conscience of the feudal
oppressors and readied them for a liberal outlook on the world and on their fellow men. In fact Lerner (1958)
attributes the contemporary affluence of the western world to the liberating ideas that flowed from the activism
of the classical and bourgeois public spheres. Lerners (1958) faith in the efficacy of the public sphere
compelled him to urge third world countries to replicate the debating activism of the pre-modern public sphere.
The Problem
Many developing countries in Africa have attained independence for more than 45 years. During this
period, much dialogue and other forms of linguistic activism have been taking place. Nigeria is an example.
Many observers agree that there has been much discussion on a range of issues in Nigeria (Onojovwo, 2008;
Ogbondah, 2005). Despite this agreement, commentators (Nwakanma, 2010) believe that Nigeria has nothing to
celebrate in terms of development after 50 years of independence. A closer look at many other African countries
might yield comments that decry lack of development. Lack of development, despite much debates and
argumentations, constitutes a problem. Using Nigeria as a setting, this paper examines the proceedings of the
2005 National Political Reform Conference that was organized by the then Obasanjos administration in
Nigeria. The examination is designed to ascertain whether the use of language during the conference undermine,
in any way, the principle of rational discourse.
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II.
Methodology
The textual exemplars presented as data in the text box below were purposively selected from three
leading Nigerian national newspapers. The textual exemplars were selected from the stories the newspapers
wrote when they covered the National Political Reform Conference staged in Abuja between February to July
2005. Newspaper coverage of the proceedings of that conference is considered a worthy source of data for this
paper because proceedings in that conference marked a special instance where Nigerians gathered in a good
number to engage one another in a debate. The three leading Nigerian newspapers from which the textual
exemplars were selected are Guardian, Punch and Vanguard. This sampling choice reflects the notion that
sampling in a qualitative research is often done with a small sample purposively selected for its typicality as
the best example that represents or reflects the other samples that were left out, (Maxwell, 1996, pp. 71 &79;
Wodak& Meyer, 2006, p. 18; Silverman, 2006, p. 308; Strauss & Corbin, 1990, p. 181;Cresswell, 2007, p. 125).
This choice is also informed by a need to pick textual exemplars that exemplify how contemporary media
discourse in Nigeria is yielding ground to the erroneous belief that a message does not necessarily need to have
a concrete real life referent (Mayhew, 1997, p. 125). Choosing the selected exemplars as data is also done in
the context of the notion that a one-word quotation or a lengthy story-like description could count as data in
qualitative research, (Keyton, 2001, p. 70).
Given the view that spoken words are not neutral, Critical Discourse Analysis was used to analyze the
textual exemplars (Wodak& Meyer, 2008). Critical discourse analysis is widely viewed as appropriate for
describing, interpreting, analyzing and critiquing social life as reflected in texts (Luke, 1997). Critical Discourse
Analysis is also useful for revealing the discursive sources of power, dominance and inequality (Vandijk, 1988).
When researchers use Critical Discourse Analysis, what they do is to attribute a class of phenomena to
segments of text, (Fielding & Lee, 1998, p. 41). The need to check possible interpretative bias made me verify
my interpretation of the textual exemplars with the journalists and media organizations that wrote and/or
published the interpreted text. I did this verification along the line of the standard procedure for data
triangulation in qualitative research. It is a well-documented view that the use of a variety of data sources in the
way I did in this paper injects more validity in the findings and conclusions of a study/paper (Keyton. 2001, p.
77; Jankowski and Wester, 1991, pp. 62-63).
BOX 1: Contradictory and Manipulation Texts
S/No
1.
Newspapers
Guardian
2.
Guardian
3.
Vanguard
4.
Punch
5.
6.
Punch
Vanguard
7.
Punch
8.
Punch
Textual Exemplar
Up till now, I have not seen the document; I remember it very
well that the draft constitution was in the bag given to the
delegates at the inauguration (p. 23).
When the conference started, we had directives and mandates
but there was nothing about this constitution, it wasnt part of
the document put in our folder, it was not part of any
memoranda that we received (p.3).
The draft constitution argues for a single term of six years for
the president with clear proviso that anyone who has completed
two terms under the current constitution is not qualified to stand
(p. 14).
Kukah said the conference would continue to be transparent and
would shun any surreptitious move at teleguiding it (p. 2).
Im not Obasanjos spy (p. 14).
Obasanjo said the issue of funding for the conference has been
taken care of (p. 14).
Here is a president doing well for his nation, I dont know why
we should be making noise about adding extra two years to his
tenure (p. 3).
But he made it clear that there was yet no evidence that any
delegate was campaigning for an extension of the stay of the
present administration (p. 2).
Date
24/4/05
26/4/05
24/4/05
27/4/05
5/3/05
16/2/05
26/4/05
27/4/05
Sources: Vanguard, Punch & Guardian newspapers of Nigeria, February July 2005.
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I do not think the readers curiosity was sated by this story; clearly a lot could still have been done to
enlighten the public. It was a story with a short coming.
Source: interview on May 30th 2007 with vanguards Chief correspondent to the conference.
Take a look at exemplars 7 and 8in the Box. If you have done so you probably would have noticed a
glaring case of structural amnesia. Structural amnesia is a flaw that instantiates how the audience are denied
critical perspectives on issues/events because of a failure on the part of journalists to ask all necessary
questions of newsmakers (Kunczik, 1995, p. 161). In exemplar 7, the Punch newspaper (re) presented Greg
Mbadiwe, one of President Obasanjos appointees to the conference, making the proposition embodied in that
exemplar. In exemplar 8, on the other hand, the same Punch newspaper allowed Hasan Kukah, the co-secretary
of the conference, to be constructed as denying what the same newspaper had reported Greg Mbadiwe doing
only a day before. The most intriguing thing here is that the reporter who reported what Kukah was denying was
the same reporter who reported the entailment of exemplar 7 just a day before.
Amazingly, when I sought Punch newspapers opinion on why the reporter did not draw Kukahs attention to
the reporters earlier story where a delegate as prominent as Greg Mbadiwe did what Kukah was denying, the
responses I got were.
1. E-e-e its assumed that Kukah must have read it himself. Its not the duty of the reporter to
show another source. Yes! Its not his duty! What he should have done as a reporter was to
ask question that in the light of what Greg Mbadiwe said yesterday, what would be the
opinion of Reverend Kukah. But he missed that aspect.
Source: interview on 6th July 2007 with Editor in Chief of Punch newspapers
2.
Perhaps to get concrete position on the issue from Hassan Kukah since he was a principal
officer of the conference. Kukahs position would have been more authoritative than
Mbadiwes especially if the conference received such request for extension.
Source: Interview on May 24th 2007 with Punch newspapers special correspondent to the conference
III.
Conclusion
There are two intriguing statements by Kunczik (1995, p.53). The first statement is that the worst
thing threatening every societys social equilibrium is its mass media. The second is that the real battle for
freedom of speech is the freedom of the informed from the informers. This studys recommendations are
presaged with these two statements because of their interface with the reasons that prompted Kunczik to make
those statements. Amongst these reasons is journalists illusion of their work as that of free, independent and
objective professionals who report selflessly in service of humanity, (Kunczik, 1995, p.35f). This illusion does
not only make journalists to believe that they are born and not made (Kunczik, 1995, p.234) but worse still, this
illusion makes journalists believe that they know more than the audience what the audiences media need should
be (Kunczik, 1995, p.119f).
The recommendation this paper makes premises the rejection of journalists claim that they understand
more than the audience, what draws audiences interest in the media. Against this backdrop, this paper
recommends that journalism school intellectuals should stop, as suggested by Rosen, (1999, p.301), seeing
journalism the way journalists see it. The way of achieving this goal is to raise the consciousness of journalists
and journalism-school academics. Consciousness is targeted because consciousness is seen as the centre from
which power radiates (Gouldner, 1976, p.84). The raising of consciousness in this context must be targeted at
language. It must target how language contributes to the domination of some people by others and how
language-consciousness can, also, constitute an emancipatory tool. Journalists who are conscious of the
manipulative potentials of language would be able to check the myopia of assuming that asking news sources
for detailed comments amounts to biased imputations by a reporter.
References
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Lerner,D. (1964). The passing of traditional society: modernizing the Middle East. Glencoe IL: Free Press.
Onojovwo, D. (2008, July 16). Niger Delta: still preparing to talk. Punch, p.8
Ogbondah, C., (2005, November, 24). The Role of the Press in Conflict Resolution. A Critical
Analysis of the Niger Delta
Crisis, a paper presented at the Nigerian Guild of Editors Seminar, Port
Harcourt.
Nwakanma, O. ( 2010, October 3) Jubilee without Jubilant. Vanguard, p.32.
Mayhew, L. (1997). The new public London. Cambridge University Press.
Littlejohn, S. (1996). Theories of human communication. Toronto: Wadsworth Publishing Company.
Tucker, K. (1998). Anthony Giddens and modern social theory.
London: Sage Publications.
Fairclough, N. (2001). Language and power. London: Longman.
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Abstract: The purpose of this research is describe and analyze the implementation process of agricultural
development policy for agropolitan corn programs in terms of its legal basis, bureaucratic planning, and
performance in Gorontalo province. This research type is qualitatif with using of naturalistic method. The
findingsof this research are; 1). Agricultural development policies for corn agropolitanprogram as the leading
program in its execution has got support from the Government of Gorontalo beginning with the establishment of
the Department of agriculture and food security as executor; 2).To improve the performance of the
bureaucracy, government provide incentives in the form of regional performance allowances (TKD), provision
of agricultural technology (Alsintan, seeds, fertilizers, medicines and agropolitan task force as an escort for
farmers started land preparation to post-harvest; 3). Corn agropolitan program hasn't been able to increase the
farmers ' income, meaning that it has not fully enjoyed by farmers, especially farmers who have a narrow land
(less than one hectare).
Keywords: Agricultural Development Policy, Farmers Revenue
I.
Introdution
Today, new paradigm development is focused on distribution and public participation begins with
enactment act no 22 1999 that has been fine-tuned on act no 32 / 2004 about local government. In the
presidential regulation no.7 / 2005 on national medium term development plan (RPJMN) year 2004-2009, there
are five program revitalization agriculture that has been performed by the government namely: (1) Increasing
food security; (2) the development of agribusiness; (3) increasing the agriculturist prosperity; (4) fisheries
resources development; (5) enhancement of the utilization of fishery resources (Arifin, 2007)
In the medium term development plan (RPMJ) 2001-2006 and continued RPJ M 2007-2011 has been
set three priorities: development economics, education, and health. On the economic development of the
agricultural sector is represented by the particular corn agropolitanprogram, reason being it is widespread among
the community of farmers, the land available is extensive, it is supported by the technology of agricultural tools,
seeds and fertilizer. In addition, corn is also the sector that at most accommodateof labor, short-lived, so
economically more profitable farmers.
Based on some those reasons, then the agricultural development corn agropolitan program got very
good response from the farming community. This can be seen in the interest of farmers to replant corn that is
widespread in Gorontalo province so that corn production increased from 2-3 tons per hectare to be 4-6 tons per
hectare. The success in increasing production of corn and corn export to various neighbouring countries such as
Singgapura and Malaysia made the province of Gorontaloknown in Indonesia even internationally. Not only
that, at 2012 Gorontalo province had been believed to be the first international seminar of corn that was attended
by various corn-producing countries of the world.
The success achieved was not perceived by the farming community especially for corn farmerswho
have a narrow land (less than one hectare). Several supporting facilities such as seed corn agropolitan programs,
fertilizer, agricultural implements as well as bank credit is only enjoyed by farmers who have a large land (more
than two hectares). Otherthings such as scarcity of maize seed, fertilizer, drugs on the planting season and a low
price of corn at the harvest season so much enjoy the fruits of an increase in maize production was extensive and
farmers who are employers of corn while corn growers are narrower still in poor condition. It means corn
agropolitan program has brought the province of Gorontalo became famous in Indonesia and internationally has
not contributed in increasing farmers' income and welfare.
II.
Methods
This research using a qualitative approach with naturalistic methods (Sugiyono, 2008). The focus of
this research is; 1). Identify the process of agricultural development policy in corn agropolitanprogram include
the legal basis for execution work programs, and the results. 2). The impact of agricultural development policy
against the government, businessmen, corn agropolitanand agriculturist community program (increase in
production, an increase in income and welfare of the family farmer).
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III.
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V.
5.1 Conclusion.
1. A policy of agricultural development for corn agropolitanprogram as priority programs have received
support from the government gorontalo through regulation the formation of dept. of agriculture and food
security as the executor of work programs, improving the performance of the bureaucracy by providing
incentives keputusan performance allowance (TKD), as the motivation for the employees the provision of
agricultural technology (Alsintan, preminent seeds; fertilizer, drugs and the task force agropolitan as a
companion to farmers both in planning and after harvest.
2. Improving performance employees have been able to motivate farmers to receive agricultural technology
and thus hope to increase productivity of corn to reality every year
3. Increased productivity of corn and farmers' income has pushed economic growth, reduction of
unemployment and reducing poverty
4. Theutilization of agricultural technology has not been fully enjoyed by farmers is mainly farmers whose
land is narrow (one hectare to the bottom).
5. Lackof farmer access to financial institutions
6. The utilization of institutional husbandman still limited function of coordination to get help from the
government, as a fertilizer, preminent seeds and medicines though yet a good run while in the activities of
capital unable
7. Partiesmore enjoys the profits was the government, traders, merchant and exporters
5.2. Suggestion
1. Theneed for a policy review is being undertaken now to improve alignments to smallholder farmers
especially those away from government services such as the provision of land to farmers at least twoacres
each farmer, the provision of working capital and take advantage of farmers ' agricultural extension workers
and respect for an active season in addition to accompany farmers or post-harvest.
2. Anisolated area for transportation must immediately be addressed.
3. Improve the function of supervision and coordination between related services department.
Referrence
[1]
[2]
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Arifin, Bustamin. 2007. Diagnosis Ekonomi Politik Pangan dan Pertanian. PenerbitPT. Grafindo Persada. Jakarta.
Sugiyono. 2008. MetodePenelitianBisnis. Bandung: Alfabeta
Milles, M.B. Huberman, A. M..1992. Qualitative Data Analysis. (Terjemahan). Translated by TjetjepRohendiRohidi. Analisis Data
Kualitatif. Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta.
Parsons, Wayne. 1997. Public Pulicy : An Introduction to the Theory and Practiceof Policy Analysis, Edward Elgar Publishing,
Inc. Cambridge.
Solichin, Abdul Wahab. 1997. Analisis Kebijaksanaan: Dari Formulasi Implementasi Kebijakan Negara. Bumi Aksara. Jakarta.
Badan Deptan. 2002. General Guidelines of agropolitanarea developmentandGuidelines of Pilot agropolitanprogramregion for
agriculturalHumanResourceDevelopment, Department of Agriculture. Jakarta.
Dwiyanto, Agus. 2006. ReformasiBirokrasiPublik di Indonesia. Gajah Mada University Press. Yokyakarta.
Dun, William. 2004. Pengantar AnalisisKebijakanPublik. Yokyakarta: Gajah Mada University Press.
Friedmann, J, M. Douglass. 1975. Agropolitan Development: Towards a New Strategy for Regional Development in Asia.Paper
presented in United Nations Centre for Regional Development. Nagoya, November 1975.
5thof Gorontalo Agropolitan. 2007. Dinas Pertanian Dan KP Propinsi Gorontalo
Mazmanian, Daniel Adan Sabatier, Paul A.. 1983. Implementation and PublicPolicy, Scot, Foresmen and Company, California.
Muhammad, Fadel. 2007. Reformasi Birokrasi Pemerintah ProvinsiGorontalo, Power Point, disampaikan pada Workshop Best
Practices Reformasi Birokrasi.
Indonesian Government RegulationNo..8Year 2003on Guidelines forthe regional organization
Gupta, Ranjit.2003.Note on Institution Building. Oxford and IBH Publishing House, New Delhi.
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Hutahean, Marlan. 2004. Institutional Up grading, Paradigm Change and PolicyChoice as Strategies of Alleviating Poverty;
PublicAdministrationPerpective.Economic and Finacial Management Worskhop. Asia Development Bank andNetwork of
Asia Pasific Schools and Institutes of Public Adminstration and Governance ( NAPSIPAG ) Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Grieco, M. 1990. Development in the Developed World: Revealing and the Hidden Agenda in Rural Development : Problems
and Practices (Editors : H. Buller and Wright, S.). Athenaeum Press Ltd. Great Britain.
Aggrawal, J. 2002. Training Method for Community Development in India. Country Paperin the Asian Productivity Organization
Seminar. Held in the Republic of Korea. Asian Productivity Organization. Tokyo.
Cranton, Patricia.2001. Interpretive and Critical Evaluation.New Directions for Teaching and Learning Journal. No. 88, Winter:
John Wiley & Sons, Inc
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I.
Introduction
E.V.Ramasamy, popularly known as Periyar (the great man), was born at Erode town in Tamil Nadu,
India, on 17th September 1879. He started the Self-Respect Movement in 1925. The principles of Self-Respect
Movement are against the irrational unscientific beliefs of the people. He insisted that the beliefs and practices
of human beings should be subjected to justification. The thoughts that are incompatible to reason should be
shelved. E.V.Ramasamy was bold enough to speak out explicitly and freely, without mincing words. He was
not hesitant to tell the people that they were suffering, their lives were miserable only because of the unfair and
unreasonable oppression to which they were being subjected to. To him, belief in god, religious faith, caste
feelings, meaningless rituals and customs are irrational. On the contrary his views are based on legitimacy. He
dislikes anything that is against reasoning.
E.V.Ramasamy rejected all superfluous and fallacious fact-claims no matter how prestigious the
authority who holds them or how deeply one would personally like to believe them. E.V.Ramasamy without
any fear vociferously expressed his views on the concepts of god, soul, the nature of man, religion, ethics, and
education. To him, the ancient people conceived the idea of god to explain the meaning of wind, rain, sun and
other phenomena. In India, the earth, mountains, air, fire, rivers, the sun the moon, rain, thunder, lightning and
even certain diseases are deemed to be gods. They understood them as creations of god. Faith in the existence
of god provided easy explanations for all phenomena and silenced the restless inquisitiveness of ignorant
people. The belief in god remained because the codes of morals were based on it.
II.
Superstition, religious fanaticism, irrational beliefs, supremacy of upper castes, untouchability and
upholding of widowhood were all extensive in those days. There were most horrible forms of social
hierarchical structure throughout the state in the name of god and religion. People were divided into number of
castes. Almost all the members of working society were exploited. They were treated as untouchables. People
belonging to the lowest caste amongst the Hindus of India, have continued to be uncared and unloved. These
people were not only despised, ostracized and looked down upon, but also humiliated by the caste Hindus, and
were being treated by them as untouchables. E.V.Ramasamys mind was filled with annoyance and passion on
seeing the discriminations in the name of god and religion. He considered all the prohibited activities such as
aggression, denial of entry into the temples based on birth were a great injustice done to human beings. . He
wanted that each one should have equal rights. This motivation of egalitarianism developed in his mind,
embedded greater enormity and became a tireless commitment in him. His ardent desire was to bring equality,
freedom and fraternity in the society by instilling rational thoughts. His untainted atheistic principles are
objective and rational. The aim of this study is to propagate his atheism.
III.
Growth of scientific knowledge enabled to understand phenomena such as birth, consciousness, dream
and death in a different way, which on the other hand needed no belief in god. After the advent of astronomy,
we are aware of the rotation of earth, the journey of the sun and its reaching equinox, etc. When we were unable
to find out the reason for solar and lunar eclipses we concocted a story of rahu and ketu, the snakes swallowing
the sun and the moon respectively. Considering it to be a ceremonial contamination, people also took ritual bath
and offered oblations. These notions were understandable when we had no knowledge of astronomy. Now we
do not believe the story of a snake swallowing the sun or moon. Research in human anatomy and social hygiene
has dispelled our notions of diseases. Those events that are unexplainable with cause and effect are said to be
the actions of god. As mans knowledge grows in course of time, these notions are bound to disappear. It is
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IV.
He vociferously declared that no single reasonable argument to believe the existence of god is there,
but we have many reasons to disbelieve it. The cosmological proof also, like other proofs, can be disproved.
According to this proof, whatever exists must have a cause or reason. This premise implies that god is the
uncaused cause of the universe. It is obvious that the premise of the argument is contradicted by its conclusion.2
Therefore, god is the creation of mankind with their superstition. Most of the people believe god not
because they have any valid reason but only because they have been trained to do so from their childhood. The
arguments against the existence of god aim at showing that some particular conception of a god either is
inherently meaningless, contradictory, or contradicts known scientific or historical facts, and that therefore a god
thus described does not exist. Another argument held that the presence of evil in the world disproves the
existence of any god, because any benevolent god would want to eliminate evil, and any omnipotent god would
be able to do so. And, since there are unbelievers, either god does not exist or god does not influence mankind.
Anyway, the existence of god is not proved. 3
In his article published in the Journal Pakutharivu4, E.V.Ramasamy clearly mentioned that no
theologian could convincingly explain what is meant by god. It is presumed therefore that every theologian
clings dogmatically to what he calls god which is neither understandable to him nor explainable by him in detail.
Most of the people including theologians regret that they themselves are responsible for all their faults,
bad qualities, poverty and sufferings and praying to god to get rid of those impediments. The Hindus fictitiously
personates god and attribute a wife, children, a concubine, dress, food, a vehicle and a mansion to him as they
attribute to human beings. Even Christians and Muslims do attribute good, bad, likes, dislikes and happiness to
god. They have also imputed to him a quality of doing harm to those who do not pray and bless those who
worship him and act according to his command.
He held that many theologians preached that god administers his providential rule only through human
beings. Perhaps that is the reason why a beggar says that he got alms with the blessings of god. One who has
secured a job says that he too got it because of the blessings of god. One who obtained some assistance from
others too says the same thing. Even a man who gets himself relieved from a throng of people says that it is god
who rescued him. If it is true, we cannot attribute responsibility to a man for all the good and bad occurrences.
When god himself is omnipresent, keenly observing human thoughts and deeds, it is needless to pray to him. If
god himself is solely responsible for both good and bad, we can see to it that there is no evil at all in the world.
An inherently benevolent god should not create poisonous insects, germs and viruses, deadly diseases,
poverty, homicide, pillage, robbery, plunder cunningness, prostitution, serfdom, tyranny, felony and such evils.
As different kinds of evil are always present in the world, we cannot accept the existence of a benevolent god.
The theist says that everything is done or actuated by god and without his knowledge nothing could
take place. But in reality, man himself does everything. If a man falls sick, he goes to the doctor; but does not
keep quiet thinking that his sickness is the act of god and it will be against gods wish if he seeks remedy. The
theist says that god is omnipresent i.e., existing everywhere. But he goes to the temple to worship god. It is a
repudiation of his own assertion of gods omnipresence. It is said that god is omnipresent, omnipotent and
omniscient and he created the universe and controls the activities of mankind. E.V.Ramasamy replied that if we
accept that there should be a creator for this universe, the question arises as to who created god. Further he
questioned why god should create thieves, murderers, rogues, the sickly and some people rich and the vast
majority as poor. He is responsible for all the miseries of the people. If it is so he could not be merciful.5
V.
In his life time, E.V.Ramasamy for more than sixty years consistently expressed his opinion that there
is no god and god is only a mere imagination of idiots. He opined that roughly three to five thousand years ago,
reference about god must have been prevalent. Though man is keeping himself ready for further advancement
and changes, the miserable fact is that in respect of god only, he keeps himself in a cocoon and proves to be a
fool and an ignorant. Theists explain god as he is non-understandable, it goes far beyond ones thoughts and
expressions, a mere belief that there is a god is itself a definition and none should ask definition about god and
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VI.
E.V.Ramasamy asserted that nobody has so far given any clear-cut meaning to god nor has anybody
perceived it. It has been used to terrify the people and also to keep them in permanent obedience. On a close
analysis of the belief of god, it is found that its definition not only vary but also contradictory and controversial. 8
To drive away the imagery snags, he declared and made his followers pronounce boldly that,
There is no god, there is no god, and there is no god at all.
He who invented god is a fool,
He who propagates god is a scoundrel,
He who worships god is a barbarian. 9
E.V.Ramasamy held that the people who believed in the existence of god are considered to be
irrational. God is not a necessity for an intelligent man. God is not like food that is indispensable. It is only
just like dress worn to suit the surroundings. That is the truth about god. If anyone is to say that the belief in
god is absolutely necessary for life, such a person is merely a distilled dud or a log of wood. Moreover, such a
person would not come forward to prove the existence of god to us. He will leave it to god himself to prove his
existence. So, there is no denying the fact that god is the creation of fools. 10
E.V.Ramasamy proclaimed that he who preaches god is a scoundrel. For, he has given a definite
nature to god and attributed high qualities to him. Those who define god go on saying that god is omnipotent,
omniscient and so on. They say that god has no shape and he is kind. Ignorant people could not say so. We can
say that a person is ignorant, if he is unable to know a particular thing. But these people come forward to define
and explain god. They intentionally dupe the people. When we ask a person how god looks like, he says that he
is shapeless. One could not see a thing that has no shape. There are certain things which we can feel even
though they have no definite shape. Senses of taste, smell, touch, sight and sound make us feel and infer from
their impact. Similarly, though we cannot see the electricity we feel its functions. We realize it when we find
its light or heat. It is absurd to believe a thing that we can neither see nor feel. He who wants us to believe must
be a rogue. He who indulges in dishonest means can never be considered as honest. People are intentionally
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47 | Page
VII.
Conclusion
He expressed that the cause for caste discrimination, inequality, untouchability, superstition is religion.
The causes for religion are puranas, sastras, smrtis, etc. The cause for puranas, sastras, smrtis, etc., is god.
Therefore, the root cause for the deteriorated conditions of the depressed is god. Hence, god must be
abolished.12
The philosophical outlook of E.V.Ramasamy on the concept of god reveals that his ideas arose out of
his keen intellect and compassionate heart in the light of practical affairs. His thought process was the evolution
of what he experienced with men and matters in day-to-day life, what he observed keenly around and what he
came to know about the happenings in the world. The standpoints of E.V.Ramasamy on the concept of god
instilled changes in the minds of the people by making them reflect introspectively.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
[12]
Singaravelu, Ma, Kadavulum Prapancamum, (Tamil Version), Periyar Suyamariyadhai Prachara Niruvana Veliyeedu, Chennai,
1997, p.15
Vetriyalagan, N., 100 Kealvigalukku Thanthai Periyarin Bathilgal, (Tamil version), Navamani Pathippagam, Pullambadi, 1996,
p.30.
Paguttharivaalar Kazhaga Kaiyedu, (Tamil version), Paguttharivaalar Kazhagam, Thanjavur, 1976, p.67.
Palany Arangasamy (trans.), Periyar Is There A God?, Emerald Publishers, 1996, p.5.
Periyar An Anthology, The Periyar Self-Respect Propaganda Institution, Madras, 1992, p.130.
Palany Arangasamy (trans.), Periyar Is There A God?, Emerald Publishers, 1996, p.13.
Veeramani, K. Dr., (compiled by), Collected Works of Periyar E.V.R., The Periyar Self-Respect Propaganda Institution, Chennai,
2005, p.487.
Thanthai Periyar, Thatthuva Vilakkam, (Tamil Version), Periyar Suyamariathai Prachara Niruvana Veliyeedu, Chennai, 1987,
pp.16-20.
Thavamani, M., Gods of Ingersoll, Shaw, Periyar, Russell, Emerald Publishers Rationalists Forum, Chennai, 1997, p.65.
Vetriyalagan, N., 100 Kealvigalukku Thanthai Periyarin Bathilgal, (Tamil version), Navamani Pathippagam, Pullambadi, 1996,
p.31.
Periyar An Anthology, The Periyar Self-Respect Propaganda Institution, Madras, 1992, p.131.
Vetriyalagan, N., 100 Kealvigalukku Thanthai Periyarin Bathilgal, (Tamil Version), Namani Pathippagam, Pullambadi, 1996, p.16.
www.iosrjournals.org
48 | Page
Abstract: The aims of this research is to analyze (1). The description the officers performance at Departement
of Makassar, (2). Factors determinant that influence the officers performance at Department of Education of
Makassar. The population of research is the whole officers at Department of Education of Makassar. The
research respondents were 68 officers taken by using Disproportionate Stratified Random Sampling. The
hypothetical influence between variable tested and multiple regression analysis. Data processing used software
SPSS 15.0 version.The result of research shows that variable of working motivation, income, education, age,
working period, officers attitude and working environment influence significantly the officers working
variable simultaneously either partially. The result of the research as well determines the strong relationship
between working motivation, income, education, age, working, period, officers attitude and working
environment with the officers education at department of education of Makassar.
I.
Introduction
Ideally Public administration is truly able to use the expertise and skills in the areas of policy,
organization, management, applying the principles of ethics, and is able to recognize and adapt to the dynamics
of the environment, as well as delivering tangible results and can be accounted for in terms of performance
(Keban, 2004). According to Keban (2004) dimensions of performance is an important element of the public
adimnistrasi. It is a vital part of the effectiveness of public services.
Public service from government officials, especially in the city of Makassar today, many units which
weakness so hasnt met the excellent service expected society. It is characterized by still be found or found
various society complaints is conveyed through mass media who inflicts image less good against government
officials. Considering the main function of government serve people is then the government need to improve
service quality.
The low level of performance of employees in carrying out the public service becomes a problem which
must be resolved in order for the employees of Makassar Education Department can carry out their duties
properly in providing excellent service to the community. It is caused by the rapid development and progress in
education department. The focus activity, both the quantity and quality of the facilities and infrastructure of
education ranging from pre-school education, primary education, out-of-school education, secondary education,
to higher education.
Based on empirical observations, interviews, and supported by information from various parties, the
issues relating to low employee performance in carrying out public services can be identified;
1. Lack of leaders attention and motivation
2. The lack of facilities of work
3. The weakness income distribution additional allowance
4. Government regulation about extension pension age for employees were excellent for pimpinan would
undermine systems develop the career staff according to work performance.
5. The low chance to implement of public service activities.
6. Attitude employees in providing services are lacking.
7. A work environment lacking support
Based on description, mentioned above the question research is whether the work motivation, employee
income, education, age, length of service, attitude of employees, and the work environment affects employee
performance?
II.
Theoritical framework
49 | Page
Employees Performance
Vroom (1964) explained that the performance affected by the interaction of ability and motivation.
Blumberg and pringle in muhammad (2008) to improve the theory with mention that performance not only
affected by the capacity and willingness, but also by the opportunity afforded by a situation or environment with
identifies factors chance as the missing dimension in the theory of performance. Thus, performance is a function
of the interaction of a factor that is an opportunity, capacity and willingness (Karatepe et al., 2006; Sadikoglu
and Zehir, 2010).
Gaspersz (2004) explained that the dimensions of the overall performance should be associated with
the mission, goals, and objectives, relying on the ability to measure (measurability), valid and reliable, giving it
a clear responsibility, attention to priorities and is useful for internal and external customers, stakeholders, and
policy makers.
3. Motivation
McClelland in Robbins (2002) propose three main motives or the relevant needs of the workplace. The
results of his research mentioned that there are three basic human needs that motivated;
1. Needs for achievement (nAch): The drive to excellence, to achieve a series of standards to achieve
success;
2. The need for power (nPow): the need to make people behave in ways that expected manner;
3. The need for afiliasi (nAff): affiliates (nAff): Craving closeness and friendship relationship interpersonal.
Improving performance employees within an organization can be done through the provision of
motivation (Steers et al., 2004).
4. Income/rewards
The kinds of income to be received someone employees that is, (1). Financial reward, (2). Non
financial reward that is salaries and/or wages, bonus, premium and others decent accepted by trade and
accomplishment rise (Siagian, 1995). There are significant relation between extrinsic and intrinsic rewards and
employee performance (Aktar et al., 2012)
5.
Education
Davis & Newstrom in Anwaruddin (2000) explains that the ability of employees consists of the ability
of potential (intelegent quotient-IQ) and the ability of reality (knowledge skills) with the appropriate educational
background with his post moves and skilled in their work on a daily basis easily reach the expected
performance. The better and the right one's educational background and the better its performance (Bowman and
Stephen, 1999)
6. Age
Waldman and Avolio in gomes (2003) explained that only a slight tendency that pass judgment low
against the clerk who is older. These symptoms does not occur in a professional organizations. In environments
that are full of rivalry, clashes between generations could affect the judgment and a perception of justice. Ng
and Feldman (2008) explained that Education will be able to improve skills and expertise so that it can improve
the performance of the organization
7. Time of work
Time of work an employee is an employee experience of the work since appointed officers with terms
that have been defined and assigned duties in a State Office or other assignments as well as wages in accordance
with the legislation in force until corresponding entered retirement. Martoyo in Subawa (2005) argues that the
work experience or an employee is a person that is considered more capable in performing his duties, which will
be awarded in addition to the intelegensinya capability as well as the basis for further considerations.
8. Attitude
Rosemberg in Gibson (1997) explained that people seek conformity between trust and feelings towards
an object and suggested that a change in attitude hanging from one change (feeling) or of trust (beliefs) to be
leveraging performance someone (Ostroff. 1992)
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50 | Page
Hypothesis
Motivation, reward, education, age, time of work, attitude, work environment influence employee
performance of Makassar education department
III.
Research methods
Proportion of sample
Number of
0,30
1,30
6,83
59,54
51 | Page
Discussion
Variable
Performance
Motivation
Income
Education
Age
Time of work
Attitude
Work environmet
Mean
70,24
53,13
2.622.198,5
16,47
44,10
16,56
59,35
73,97
Description
Score
58-71
44-55
IDR2.500.100 - 2.725.000
16-17
45-48
16-18
49-60
61-75
Frequency
46
43
20
33
19
25
48
44
%
67,65
63,24
29,41
48,53
27,94
36,76
70,59
76,47
Remark
High
High
Moderate
High
High
Moderate
Positive
High
52 | Page
Multiple R
Ry.x1,x2,x3,x4,x5,x6,x7
0,964
Remark
0,80 1,000 = Very strong
0,60 0,799 = Strong
0,40 0,599 = average
0,20 0,399 = Low
0,00 0,199 = Very low
The effect of motivation, income, age, time of work, attitude, and work environment through
employee performance at Makassar education department
Tabel 3; ANOVA(b)
Model
1
Regression
Residual
Total
Sum of Squares
1936,743
145,493
2082,235
Df
7
60
67
Mean Square
276,678
2,425
F
114,100
Sig.
,000
R Square
Adjusted R Square
,964(a)
,930
,922
(Constant)
Motivation
Income
Education
Age
Time of work
Attitude
Work environment
Unstandardized
Coefficients
B
Std.
17,725
3,736
,359
,065
1,132
,414
,301
,149
-,184
,085
,287
,104
,242
,073
,247
,066
Standardized
Coefficients
Beta
,315
,137
,113
-,135
,183
,245
,258
T
B
4,745
5,535
2,731
2,028
-2,178
2,763
3,293
3,749
Sig.
,000
,000
,008
,047
,033
,008
,002
,000
53 | Page
V.
5.1 Conclusions
1. The high performance employees at Makassar dept. of education in giving the public services, due to the
encouragement motivation work tinggi, an income adequate, formal education, high after the civil
servants who established, working time enough, a positive attitude employees and work environment
conducive as well as civil servants who are comfortable in carrying out a public service
2. There is a very strong relationship between the motivation, income, employee's age, duration of
employees work, employee attitudes, and work environment with employees performance on Makassar
Education Department.
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54 | Page
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Muhammad, Fadel dan Toruan, Rayendra L. 2008. Reinventing local government: Pengalaman dari daerah. Penerbit Elex Media
Komputindo
Karatepe, O.M., O. Uludag, I. Menevis, L. Hadzimehmedagic and C.L. Baddar, 2006. The effects of selected individual
characteristics on frontline employee performance and job satisfaction. Tourism Management, 27: 547-560.
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Gaspersz, Vincent. 2004. Production Planning and Inventory Control. PT Gramedia Pustaka Umum. Jakarta
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55 | Page
Abstract: Depressive symptoms in adolescents are matter of concern because of its high prevalence and
impairment of functioning in the affected individual. Present research was conducted to examine parental
rejection effect on personality maladjustment and depressive symptoms in female adolescents in Pakistan. 100
female adolescents (M = 16.03, SD = 1.74) with minor medical conditions were recruited from thee different
hospitals. Parental Acceptance-Rejection Questionnaire (Rohner 2005), Personality Assessment Questionnaire
(Rohner, 2005) and Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D; Radloff, 1977) were used to
assess parental rejection, personality maladjustment and depressive symptoms respectively. Results revealed
that parental rejection had significant positive correlation with personality maladjustment and depressive
symptoms. Significant positive relationship was found between parental rejection, personality maladjustment
and depressive symptoms in adolescents. Personality Maladjustment and parental rejection emerged as
significant predictors of depressive symptoms in adolescents. Implications of the findings for parents, health
professionals and policy makers are discussed in the context of Pakistani culture.
Keywords: Parental rejection, personality maladjustment, depressive symptoms, adolescents
I.
Introduction
Parental rejection is considered an important factor for psychological, behavioral and developmental
problems of children, adolescents, and adults. Research findings proved that perceived parental rejection has
been correlated with development of several psychopathologies including personality maladjustment and
depression in adolescents (Rohner, 1986). Researches has well established the relationship and association of
parental rejection and depressive symptoms in adolescents (Lefkowitz & Tesiny, 1984; Puig-Antich, Lukens,
Davies, Goetz, Quattrock, & Todak, 1985) and in children. Puig-Antich et al. found higher rejection from
mothers of six to twelve years old depressed children in comparison with the non-depressed children.
Researchers (Lefkowitz & Tesiny, 1984) found positive correlation between maternal rejection and
depression as assessed by mother, peer and self. The researchers also argued that paternal rejection predicted
depression in daughters in future but not sons. Using the similar constructs like rejection and depression,
Wichstrom, Anderson, Holte, and Wynne (1996) investigated harmful interpersonal relations concerning
perceived rejection of childrens thoughts, emotions and perceptions and its relation with depression and
deterioration in general functioning of these children. These researchers found higher level of psychological
distress and impaired global functioning in children who were subjected to negative interpersonal
communications. Negative interpersonal communication between parents and children is widely studied by
Rohner, Khaleque & Cournoyer (2007) who presented parental acceptance-rejection theory (PARTheory).
PARTheory argues that parental rejection in childs life bring to bear significant impact on the
development of childs personality. Children are disapproved by rejecting parents as these parents are likely to
impart emotional rejection and give hard punishment which are significant risk factors for developing
psychopathology in adolescents (Barnow, Lucht, & Freyberger, 2001). Parents are important in shaping and
maintenance of interpersonal communication with children which exert controlling and molding influences on
each other. For long, researches have been reported the relationship between parental behavior and deviation in
adolescents (Simons, Robertson, & Downs, 1989). Scott, W. A., Scott, R., and McCobe (1991) describes that
parental aggression, hostility, neglect and rejection were the major variables in the history of adolescents with
behavioral problems.
Rohners theory is supported by Baron and MacGillivray (1989) who investigated relationship between
perceived rejection from parents and depressive symptoms in adolescents. They found father's rejection as the
most powerful predictors of depressive symptoms in these adolescents. Similarly, Hammen (2005) reported
childhood parental rejection as the strongest predictor of depression in adults and adolescents. Some researchers
noted relationship between parental rejection and depression as well as with maladjusted behavior in
adolescents. Najam and Kausar (2012) found that fathers rejection had significant positive relationship with
hostility, depression and conduct problems in adolescents. The researchers also found that fathers involvement
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57 | Page
II.
Method
Sample: One-hundred female adolescents with minor medical conditions were recruited from the
departments of general outdoor patients of three different hospitals of Lahore, Pakistan. Minor medical
conditions mean the adolescents were suffering from fever, cough, throat infection and flue. In Pakistan, the
medical treatment in hospitals is totally free for people. Most of the people who benefit from free treatment in
these hospitals belong to lower-socio-economic class or lower middle socio-economic class. The girls were
recruited from these outdoor departments after making sure that they belong to homogenous family and socioeconomic background. The age range of the adolescents was between 13 to 18 years (Mean age = 16.00 years).
Demographic characteristics of the sample are presented in table 1.
Table 1. Demographic Characteristics of Sample (N=100).
Variables
Age
Fathers age
Mothers age
Monthly family income (Pakistani Rupees)
Education Grade 6-8
Education Grade9-10
Education Grade 11-12
Education Continued
Education Discontinued
Joint Family System
Nuclear Family System
Birth Order
1st
2nd
3rd
4th 7th
M
16.00
45.03
42.82
13525
F
31
34
28
72
28
73
27
SD
8.63
4.18
4.37
5608
%
31
34
28
72
28
73
27
25
39
27
9
25
39
27
9
Ethical Considerations
Permission from the authors of assessment tools was obtained to use and translate the assessment
measures for the present research. For data collection, permission was gained from the respective heads of
General Outdoor Patients Departments of the hospitals. Participants and their parents/guardians informed
consent was obtained to take part in the study. Participants were assured about the confidentiality of the
information provided by them.
Procedure
The assessment measures were translated into Urdu language (National language of Pakistan) after
taking permission from authors. After taking approval from IRB, we recruited the female adolescent with minor
medical conditions from the General outdoor Departments of three public sector hospitals from Lahore,
Pakistan. The adolescents and their parents/guardians were given detailed information about the aims of
research and they were provided with informed consent forms. After taking informed consent from the
participants/parents, the process of assessment was carried out. The assessment procedure was carried out in a
separate room. Parents were not allowed to accompany the adolescents where the assessment procedure was
taken place. Total 130 girls were approached in which twenty girls refused to take part in study. Ten girls left
much information blank while filling the assessment measures so these ten girls were also excluded. After the
completion of assessment measures from sample, data of 100 girls were analyzed and results were calculated.
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58 | Page
III.
Results
Results were calculated by using (a) Pearson Product-Moment Correlation to see the relationship
between parental rejection, personality maladjustment and depressive symptoms, (b) regression analyses to see
the parental rejection as a predictor of personality maladjustment, (c) regression analyses to see the parental
rejection and personality maladjustment in combination as predictors of depressive symptoms. The results
related to correlation are presented in table 2.
Table 2 Relationship between Parental Rejection, Personality Maladjustment and Depressive Symptoms
(N=100).
Variables
PARQ Mother
Coldness
Hostility/Aggression
Indifferent/Neglect
Undiff/Rejection
Total
PARQ Father
Coldness
Hostility/Aggression
Indifferent/Neglect
Undiff/Rejection
Total
H/A
(PAQ)
Dep
(PAQ)
NSE
(PAQ)
NSA
(PAQ)
EU
(PAQ)
.61**
.57**
.57**
.57**
.63**
.23**
.16*
.16**
.09
.23**
.62**
.51**
.56**
.49**
.61**
.70**
.57**
.64**
.58**
.69**
.71**
.57**
.64**
.59**
.70**
.60**
.58**
.54**
.67**
.67**
.21**
.21**
.21**
.20**
.26**
.58**
.48**
.51**
.49**
.58**
.70**
.60**
.63**
.67**
.73**
.74**
.59**
.62**
.66**
.75**
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EI
(PAQ)
NWV
(PAQ)
Total
PAQ
Depressive
Symptoms
.67**
.63**
.73**
.53**
.54**
.68**
.57**
.70**
.49**
.55**
.52**
.61**
.61**
.67**
.61**
.73**
.34**
.60**
.29**
.62**
.68**
.55**
.63**
.61**
.70**
.62**
.55**
.54**
.55**
.63**
.73**
.64**
.65**
.69**
.77**
.56**
.27**
.54**
.32**
.55**
59 | Page
1
2
1
2
3
Negative
Esteem
Self-
1
2
Negative
Adequacy
Self-
1
2
3
Emotional
Unresponsiveness
1
2
3
Emotional Instability
1
2
3
Negative worldview
1
2
3
Personality
Maladjustment (PAQ
total)
1
2
3
Predictors
R2
Undifferentiated/Rejection (father)
Undifferentiated/Rejection (father)
Coldness/lack of affection (mother)
Coldness/lack of affection (mother)
Coldness/lack of affection (mother)
Undifferentiated/Rejection (mother)
Coldness/lack of affection (mother)
Undifferentiated/Rejection (mother)
Hostility/Aggression (father)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
.45
.50
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection (father)
Coldness/lack of affection (father)
.42
R2
Chang
e
165.00**
102.38**
.67
.30
12.84**
4.70**
11.12**
8.31**
.23
.26
3.33**
2.29*
7.37**
.19
2.26*
126.61**
.62
11.25**
73.81**
.28
3.36**
.49
194.45**
.70
13.94**
.56
131.08**
.40
5.88**
100.54**
.27
4.18**
.55
252.91**
.74
15.90**
.61
161.57**
.31
5.60**
.63
115.60**
.17
3.09**
.46
.55
172. 29**
122.72**
.68
.40
13.12**
6.29**
Indifferent/neglect
mother
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Undifferentiated/Rejection (father)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection(father)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection(father)
Hostility/aggression (father)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection(mother)
Coldness/lack of affection (father)
Coldness/lack of affection (father)
Coldness/lack of (mother)
Undifferentiated/Rejection (father)
.56
86.09**
.17
2.50**
130.22**
82.94**
.63
.35
11.41**
4.68**
60.18**
.19
2.90**
236.91**
166.71**
.73
.42
15.39**
6.67**
126.54**
.25
4.21**
.05
.04
.06
.08
.02
.38
.60
.03
.03
.01
.39
.45
.47
.02
.54
.62
.65
.03
*p<0.05, **p<0.01
Note. PARQ: Parental Acceptance-Rejection Questionnaire, PAQ: Personality Assessment Questionnaire.
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Predictor
R2
3
4
R2
Change
.62
335.09**
.79
18.30**
.68
221.32**
.35
6.37**
.71
163.18**
.23
3.89**
.72
128.83**
.11
2.84**
.72
107.49**
.13
2.60**
.73
93.44**
.18
2.62**
81.87**
.13
1.98**
.74
.00
*p<0.05, **p<0.01
Regression analyses show that negative self-adequacy (PAQ), coldness/lack of affection (father),
negative self-esteem (PAQ), dependency (PAQ), indifference/neglect (father) and coldness/lack of affection
(father) and negative worldview (PAQ) emerged as significant predictors of depressive symptoms in
adolescents. These variables accounted seventy-four percent of the variance.
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IV.
Discussion
Present study examined the relationship between rejection from parents, personality maladjustment and
depressive symptoms in female adolescents in general population in Pakistan. In addition, parental rejection and
personality maladjustment were also explored as predictors of depressive symptoms in female adolescents.
In our research, results show significant positive relationship between parental rejection (both father &
mother), personality maladjustment and depressive symptoms in adolescents. Results also showed that different
sub-scales of parental rejection emerged as significant predictors of different sub-scales of personality. These
sub-scales included hostility/aggression, dependency, negative self-esteem, negative self-adequacy, emotional
unresponsiveness, emotional instability and negative worldview. We explain the results through personality subtheory of PARTheory which describes that environment and subjective factors influence behavior. These factors
lead to the personality outcomes that include hostility, aggression, emotional unresponsiveness, immature
dependence, impaired self-esteem, impaired self-adequacy, emotional instability and negative worldview.
According to this theory, if adolescents experience negative life events especially interpersonal trauma
(rejection from parents), this will lead to develop personality maladjustment as well as psychopathology in
future (Rohner et al., 2007). Thus, perceived rejection by a child postulates high effects on adolescents
psychological and personality adjustment. Parental rejection leads to develop negative personality outcomes.
These negative personality outcomes tend to reduce rejected children's capacity to handle successfully with
stresses. Consequently, these children develop depressive symptoms and other behavior problems. Our results
are in agreement with those of Sassaroli and Ruggieros (2005) research who reported that low self-esteem,
tension and critical attitude of parents were significantly associated with the development of adult
psychopathology.
In our research, rejection from father and coldness from mother emerged as significant predictors of
hostility/aggression (PAQ) in adolescents. Results have shown that coldness/lack of affection from mother,
rejection from mother and hostility and aggression from father rejection from father emerged as significant
predictor of dependency in adolescents. Dependency as Rohner and Khaleque (2005) describes, refers to
feelings of psychological wish for emotional support from parents. Dependent children have intense desire for
positive response. Rejected children are likely to develop feelings of insecurity which make them more
dependent. These results are supported by a research by Najam and Kausar (2012) in which the researchers
found significant negative relationship of paternal warmth with adolescents dependency and depressive
symptoms. They also found fathers rejection had significant positive relationship with hostility, depression and
conduct problems in adolescents. Father involvement had negative relationship with adolescent hostility,
dependency, negative self esteem, negative self adequacy, emotional unresponsiveness, negative world view and
depression in adolescents.
Next, rejection from father, adolescent dependency and emotional instability emerged as significant
predictors of depressive symptoms in adolescents. These results are in line with the research by Barnow and
colleagues (2001) who reported that negative interpersonal communication, abusive behavior of parents and
family circumstances was highly correlated with the aggression in children and in adolescents.
These results are consistent with PARTheory (Rohner & Khaleque, 2005) which describes that
rejection by parents has a decisive impact on childs personality development. The rejecting parents dislike and
disapprove their children. These negative attitudes from parents like rejection and severe punishment are risky
in creating violence and aggression in adolescents (Barnow et al., 2001). Rohner in a sub-section of PARTheory
that is personality sub-theory, describes that childs awareness of emotional health and security is correlated
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V.
Conclusion
Acknowledgement
Note: This research manuscript is a part of first authors Ph. D research.
Acknowledgements: We acknowledge the participants and their parents for their participation in this research
work. We also acknowledge Higher Education Commission, Pakistan for funding this research project.
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Abstract: Much scholarly work has been done on Khushwant Singh but it is fair to say, little work has been
done on his treatment of love in his novels. The present paper seeks to provide a modest study of the novels of
Khushwant Singh, the most popular Indian writer in English. It attempts to make comprehensive critical
comments on his fiction I Shall Not Hear The Nightingale with an emphasis on his treatment of love in the above
said novel. His second novel I shall not hear the Nightingale basically deals with the maternal love. It is
Sabhrai, whose matriarchal strength sustains the family in its time of crisis. On one side, where the novel is
replete with sexual, amorous activities, practiced by different characters, Khushwant on the other side portrays
a pious, religious character, which is without a stain. She is a source of inspiration not only for her husband but
also for her son and daughter. It is through Sabhrais Character, we come across another illusive kind of love
i.e. divine love. A religious woman like Sabharai believes that this love is the greatest of all. While for
Champak, Beena, Shunno love is skin communicated thing.
Key words: divine love, I Shall Not Hear the Nightingale, Khushwant Singh, Maternal love, Treatment of Love
I shall not hear the Nightingale centres on a middle class Sikh extended family in the days before
Indias independence. The story is set at the backdrop of 1942. The novel reveals events very realistically.
Although the novel deals with the political situations, it cannot, however, be termed as a political novel. It is
because he does not make any significant reference to an elaboration of the Quit India movement. More over,
none of the characters is seen to be involved in political philosophy seriously. But it gives us a peep into the life
and atmosphere during that period. It does give some details about the countrymens longing for freedom and
attempts by some enthusiastic young men preparing for terrorist activities to free the nation from foreign
oppression. J.W.Bryant aptly says, This short novel by a cosmopolitan Indian scholar presents a drama of
family loyalties which can be enjoyed by the Western reader with little or no knowledge of Eastern
affairs. (qtd. in Singh P.K. p.57)1
The opening scene is highly significant and carries a symbolic meaning. Sher Singh and Madan, like
many other misguided young men wanted to bring Indias freedom through violence. They participate in a target
practice as they all want to be terrorists and are with firm resolution to kill as many English men as they like.
So, in order to baptize their weapons Sher Singh shoots a crane. Its mate followed and tried to
attack them because If one of a pair is killed, the other dies of grief (Singh P-06) .The Sarus crane has been
presented here as a symbol of the motif of love, mating and sacrifice. On the contrary the cry of the crane
symbolizes the present era of violence and venom and bloodshed. This symbolic representation is well
expressed in the following lines:
The anguished cry of the flying crane was almost human. If he did not silence it, it would continue to
haunt him for a long time. If both of the pair were dead; perhaps they would be together wherever cranes went
after death. Sher Singh took out the magazine of his rifle and pressed six bullets in it. He followed the cranes
flight with his barrel and fired when the bird was almost above him. The bullets went through one of the wings.
The bird wavered badly in its flight and some feathers came floating down. (Singh p.6)
Love in its pure form can be seen among the animals also. It is really heart warming to see cranes love
for its dead mate in the following lines
Before they got clear of the Swamp the other crane flew back and started circling over them. They saw
it high above in the deep blue sky catch the light of the setting sun then heard its cries piercing the stillness of
the dusk. Sher Singh ignored requests to have another go at the flying bird, in any case it was too high and the
light was failing fast. When got to the canal bank, it became dark. The cranes flew lower and lower till they
could see its grey form with its long legs almost above their heads. They shood it off. The bird disappeared in
the dark only to come back again and again. Its crying told them it was there all the time, trying to reclaim its
dead mate. (Singh 7)
Khushwant Singh, by presenting the scene of Sarus killing, has indirectly pointed out that neither Sher
Singh nor Madan Lal understood as to what love is and what mans feelings for woman are. Due to Sher Singhs
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Abstract: This study deals with the estimation of impact of various Intelligent Transportation Modules such as
APMS, VMS and ATIS in New Delhi. Major findings of a survey of drivers or users conducted in New Delhi are
presented in this report. From this study, the demand for the particular types of traffic / traveler information
was also undertaken in order to understand the effectiveness of the system in the way they affect the users /
drivers transport choices. The personal and travel characteristics of the users / drivers which affect the users /
drivers desire for different types of information were found. And also it is found that many of those factors are
in direct relationship with the drivers awareness on Intelligent Transportation System.
I.
Introduction
Almost everyone in the world of Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) agrees that Intelligent
Transportation System (ITS) advances are conceived to improve transport efficiency, enabling inter-modality
among different transport means, diminishing the environmental impact and enhancing the experience of
travelers. In order to achieve these objectives, it has been proven that new information and communication
technologies are key elements. Among the different transportation modes involved in Intelligent Transportation
System (ITS), it is probably the road sector the one that has focused most of the efforts during the past years.
There has been increasing awareness of the negative effects of road traffic, especially in terms of
accidents and environmental impairment. This awareness provides the public support for establishing modern
traffic system management using advanced traffic control strategies and technologies. Intelligent Transportation
System (ITS) is a broad range of diverse technologies applied to transportation to make systems safer, efficient,
reliable and environmentally friendly, without necessarily having to physically alter existing infrastructure. A
range of technologies includes sensor and control technologies, communications, and computer informatics and
cuts across disciplines such as transportation engineering, telecommunications, computer science, finance,
electronic commerce and automobile manufacturing. As the Intelligent Transportation systems (ITSs) are
information technology oriented devices, which offer drivers a wide range of information on the user behavior.
Therefore, it is important to investigate driver response to the existing Intelligent Transportation System (ITS)
modules since it is not clear what types of drivers are using them and how they are influencing.
II.
Delhi is the second largest metropolis in India, with a population of 16.7 million as per 2011 census. As
of 2008, Delhi had 5.5 million vehicles within its municipal limits, making most vehicle populous city of the
world. In order to ensure and monitor the safe movement of city traffic, the Intelligent Transportation Systems
(ITSs) technologies and facilities will be installed on major roads and areas of Delhi. This highly intelligent and
autonomous system shall enable all individual traffic systems to operate collaboratively and seamlessly to
manage major traffic incidents that have wider impact on the road network.
The NCT of Delhi is divided into 3 ranges, 10 districts and further sub-divided into 39 traffic circles for
administrative purposes. A Central traffic Control room is established and also a separate control room for
SCOOT (Split Cycle Offset Optimization Technique) based ATC (Area traffic Control) system. The central
control room is a communication hub which uses conventional and trunked wireless and telephone facilities to
communicate with field officers. There is a dedicated computer centre coordinating all IT related activities of
Delhi Traffic Police. There are 701 signalized traffic junctions out of which 100 junctions are managed through
SCOOT based ATC system. The other signalized junctions are currently fixed time VTMS controller based or
vehicle actuated traffic blinkers, 100 signalized junctions are managed through real time on line the SCOOT
based area traffic control system. There are seven traffic signals which are vehicle actuated signals, 38 pelican
signals with a facility of VTMS and S-32 type of controllers, 15 intersections are covered by red light and speed
check cameras and nine junctions are fitted with 10 PTZ cameras and 26 fixed cameras. There are three fixed
variable message sign boards and six numbers road disaster management vehicles and five parking locations
working with APMS technology.
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Components of ITS
In 2000, the Faculty approved the formation of the multi-disciplinary Intelligent Transportation and
Vehicle Systems (ITVS) programme to be coordinated by the Centre for Transportation Research. This
programme draws on the expertise of academic staff from the Department of Civil Engineering, Department of
Electrical and Computer Engineering, Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering and Department of
Mechanical Engineering. Our Facultys initiative has a V added to the commonly used ITS acronym to
emphasize the fact that vehicles are an integral part of the entire transportation system.
The ITVS programme has three components:
Research Programme
Education Programme
Professional Activities
Majority of the research activities are hosted by the ITVS Laboratory in the Department of Civil
Engineering, with several other research projects hosted by the Vision and Image Processing Laboratory, and
Digital Systems & Applications Laboratory in the Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering. The
research activities at the ITVS laboratory are supported by three laboratory officers, two research fellows, one
research engineer and 18 research scholars. The research thrust, as reflected by the research projects conducted
by faculty members and full-time research staff, may be grouped under the following categories:
Real-time traffic detection and prediction
Traffic control and management
Traffic safety and human factors
Traveller and spatial information systems
Road network management systems
Transportation logistics
Image processing
Voice recognition for vehicle navigation and control
Vehicle dynamics
Figure shows the components
75 | Page
model based processes, ubiquitous computing and other programs designed to be integrated into a greater
transportation system.
Floating Car Data or FCD
Floating car data on the other hand makes use of the availability of location data garnered from mobile
phones by the network carriers. Since this data is updated constantly throughout the day, they can be used
as traffic probes showing points where there is traffic congestion, the average traffic speed and traffic
direction. Moreover, since this system requires no costly infrastructures and equipment like cameras or
sensors and is not affected by adverse weather, it is one of the strongest contenders for intelligent
transportation systems.
Sensing Technologies
Sensing technologies involve embedding sensors along the road or the surrounding infrastructure like traffic
posts, signs and buildings. These sensors include inductive loops that can sense the vehicles speed, the
number of vehicles passing as well as the size of these vehicles. Video detection, on the other hand,
involves the installation of video cameras onto road structures such as poles or billboards to detect
occupancy information on the lanes, vehicle speeds, vehicles heading the wrong way, etc.
IV.
Literature Review
Russell et al, (1995) studied the understanding of parking guidance information systems in Shinkuju of
Japan and found that 61 percent drivers of the total interviewed noticed sign boards and 81 percent of drivers
understood information to total drivers who noticed the sign boards and out of total understood drivers around
34 percent drivers used or followed sign boards. Chatterjee, et al (2002) conducted interview surveys in London
revealed that 97 percent of drivers were aware of the existence of Variable Message Signs, 62 percent
completely understood the information presented on Variable Message Sign, 84 percent considered the
information presented to be useful, and 46 percent had at least on occasion diverted in response to the travel
time information. Marell et al (1996) studied the difficulty to the drivers to keep speed within the permissible
limits at a very short duration in the restricted areas like hospitals, primary schools, etc; where ESC functions as
an alerter in such situations. It was found that 43 percent of respondents perceived that they would be able to
keep speed limit with the help of an ESC. Richards et al (2007) focused on user acceptance of VMS located
Southampton in UK, and investigated publics perceived effectiveness and usefulness of these signs through the
use of revealed preference questionnaire surveys and travel diaries. The study showed that less than 1 percent of
the commuter sample stated that they had diverted to an alternative route during the travel diary week as a result
of VMS information, although this did correspond to 53 percent of drivers originally intending to travel past the
incident location. The results showed that the VMS messages were well understood and legible, and also
indicated that a default VMS message reporting no problems in the network can indirectly affect a drivers route
choice.
Benson, 1996 conducted a survey of more than 500 motorists in Washington D.C. area and assessed
motorists attitudes toward VMS and the effect of demographic characteristics on these attitudes. In response to
the survey question regarding how often VMS influenced their driving, half the respondents replied often, 40
percent answered occasionally, and others indicated not at all. It was also found that demographic variables,
such as age, income and gender, appeared to have little influence on motorists attitudes about VMS.S.S. Jain, et
al, 2011 conducted a study of about 200 users are surveyed and among them, about 50 percent of age group 40
to 50 years, 60 percent of the drivers who were educated up to 12 th class and 68 percent of occasional trip
frequency respondents have not understood the information of VMS. And it also states that around 45 percent of
the requested information of the drivers is for parking guidance while 31 percent is for parking location.
3.1. Advanced Public Transportation System using Information Techniques
Information from roadside surveillance and monitor equipment and other traffic organizations are
delivered to Traffic Control Center, where information is gathered, analyzed, processed, and distributed to allow
traffic control personnel to react, recognize, determine rapidly, and the public can also get the real-time traffic
information through the Internet, mobile phones, traffic signals, and other facilities. Such information is also
published to general public through all types of sign boards or related equipment on the roads. Below is an
illustration of Intelligent Transportation Systems as shown in figure 2and figure 3.
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V.
Methodology
The following section describes the approach adopted in this study and the surveys carried out for
accomplishing each of the envisaged tasks. The study approach adopted includes the review of earlier study
reports, research papers and existing proposed development in ITS both in India and abroad, design and conduct
of primary surveys, secondary data collection from Opinion survey conducted at Palika Bazar.
The primary data collection will help to determine actual response of the users to the new system
installed in Delhi. Systematic planning of the survey will generate empirical data and analyzing these data will
help to identify and quantify the characteristic of users. The questionnaire sheet is designed for conducting field
surveys keeping in view local conditions to cover all important and relevant aspects in order to achieve
objectives of the study.
In order to test the suitability of questions framed in Performa for their correctness, sequence and the
time taken for filling them, pilot surveys were carried out for parking at Connaught Place. Field study forms the
basis for a majority of traffic and transportation works as better planned and an accurate collection of data will
work as a sound foundation for building up the final recommendations of the study.
This survey is useful in understanding responses of users to information presented by the VMS boards. They can
also give an indication of the level of improvement that can be expected.
VI.
Data collection
A Questionnaire has been prepared which consists of two sections, one presenting the
personal information of the users, and the other presenting users responses to the system. Opinion
Questionnaire survey has been conducted at Palika Bazar, New Delhi as well as from the Scientists of CRRI,
New Delhi. Data collected from users included demographic characteristics like age, experience, etc; as well as
vehicle type; information regarding purpose of visit or trip; about the system awareness, understand and usage
by a user; and information requested by the users in order to make the system effective.
With the questionnaire, the drivers are interviewed about the notice, understanding and usage or follow
up of the parking. Nearly 50 drivers gave responses. Totally 72 responses has been collected including the
responses of the scientists. This sample size was achieved in 4 days. Drivers were asked information system as
well as their desire for various other types of parking related information. Data about numerous personal and
trip characteristics are also collected.
VII.
Analysis
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Modal Share
3%
15%
82%
Car
Two wheeler
Others
Cheap
Modest
Costly
No
83%
Yes No
6.7. Visibility of the Variable Message Sign Boards:
It is clear that, more than 50 percent of the respondents can see the Variable Message Sign Boards
during driving.
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Always
Often
VIII.
8%
49%
Sometimes
Never
Conclusion
Most of the frequent users are more likely aware, understood and followed the parking information at
the Connaught Place parking in New Delhi. About 53 percent of age group 18 to 25 years, 50 percent of drivers
were educated up to Under Graduation and 72 percent of the regular frequency respondents have not understood
the parking information presented on the sign boards. This shows that personal variables (age and education)
and trip frequency of the drivers have prominent influence in understanding the parking information presented
on the VMS boards in New Delhi. Around 74 percent of the requested information of the drivers is for parking
location while 22 percent is for Parking guidance. This shows that proper Parking guidance information should
be provided and also proper Parking map should be provided.
Nearly 75 percent of the occasional trip respondents are not aware of the traveler information presented
on the boards. This shows that the trip frequency influences awareness about the traveler information. About
half of the respondents who are educated up to 12th class and more than 70 percent of occasional trip
respondents have not understood the information. Therefore the attributes education and trip frequency of the
users are affecting them in understanding information provided on the message boards.This study shows that
personal variables such as age and education have significant effect on driver in understanding the information
presented on the VMS boards. Due to traffic congestion problem in Delhi, most of the respondents requested
traffic congestion
7.1. Applications of Intelligent Transportation Systems
Automatic Toll Collection
Intelligent transport systems are used for automatic toll collection where the vehicles can pass through
without slowing down. This eliminates choke points along routes having toll booths and enforces cordon
zones in some cities. Automatic toll collection systems make use of radio devices, infrared systems,
RFIDs, license plate recognition systems and barcode stickers.
Vehicle Notification Systems
Intelligent transport systems particularly the FCD model can also be used to provide advance warning to
motorists of traffic jams, accidents and other emergency situations. This system can then provide
alternative routes or recommendations to motorists so as to avoid congestion and travel delays.
Cordon Zones
With the intelligent transportation system, cordon zones can also be enforced where mass transportation
systems are available and their use encouraged. Cordon systems make it possible to collect taxes from
those entering city areas with high traffic while encouraging the use of mass transit.
information.
7.2. Benefits From ITS Deployments In Urban Areas
These have the potential to offer the following benefits:
Arterial management systems can potentially reduce delays between 5% and 40%with the implementation of
advanced control systems and traveller information dissemination.
Freeway management systems can reduce the occurrence of crashes by up to 40%, increase capacity, and
decrease overall travel times by up to 60%.
Freight management systems reduce costs to motor carriers by 35% with the implementation of the
commercial vehicle information systems and networks.
Transit management systems may reduce travel times by up to 50% and increased reliability by 35% with
automatic vehicle location and transit signal priority implementation.
Incident management systems potentially reduce incident duration by 40% and offer numerous other benefits,
such as increased public support for DOT activities and goodwill.
Many areas of the urban transportation system can be effectively improved through ITS deployments.
These areas include arterial, freeway, freight, transit, incident, emergency, regional multimodal traveller
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Abstract: Collective-action problems occur when it takes the inputs and efforts of multiple individuals in order
to achieve joint outcomes and it is difficult to exclude beneficiaries of these actions from benefiting even if they
do not contribute. Collective-action problems vary in scale from very small problems involving only a few
individuals to extremely large problems involving global resources, such as the atmosphere and the oceans.
Solving collective-action problems requires opening public and private spheres of activities ranging from the
small to the very large so as to encourage effective problem solving.
Environmental problems and challenges require a multidisciplinary and serious study. It needs an
integrated approach on economy, politics, ecology, social stability, sustainability and spatial planning.
Environmental policies are the principal means by which societies attempt to adapt to ecological constraints,
and to mediate between competing demands and values. various strategies can be adopted to make a green
world like Sustainable development, Resource Conservation, Green Economy, Bio-regionalism, Ecological
Citizenship, Green Democracy, Changing Lifestyles, Enegy Policies, Legislature, Voluntary Control and Green
Values.
Sustainable development is a huge and complex challenge at least in ethical terms. The nature of this
ethical challenge may be summarized in terms of the three types of obligation to which sustainable development
relates: towards people who are already living, towards people who are not yet born and towards species other
than humans..
The basic thrust of the Resource Conservation standpoint was to restrain the reckless exploitation of
forests, soils, etc., characteristic of the pioneer stage of modern social development by imposing ethical and
legal requirements that natural resources be used wisely, meaning (in Gifford Pinchot's words)that they should
be used "for the greatest good of the greatest number" (of humans), as distinct from being used to profit a few,
and that the good should be considered in "the long run," that is, in terms of a sustainable society.
Most Green economists have tackled the problem of scale (i.e., the protection of ecological carrying capacity)
by advocating (i) a range of new fiscal measures (such as resource depletion quotas and higher resource taxes
and pollution charges) designed to control resource depletion and reduce material-energy throughput (ii) more
comprehensive, and longer-range, environmental impact assessment and technology assessment and (iii) the
replacement of indiscriminate GDP statistics with an alternative index of economic progress designed to
provide a more meaningful yardstick by which to measure economic well-being.
Bioregionalism represents a specifically ecological rendition of the contemporary movement toward the break
up of nation-states. It differs from the separatists on the ground that they demand the ecological preconditions
of nationhood.
Environmental citizenship borrows the idea of transnational citizenship from the cosmopolitan
tradition. Thus environmental citizenship speaks the language of obligation, of the common good and of the
global reach of citizenship relations. In these respects it takes a rather different view of human motivation to the
fiscal incentive strategy. It recognizes (or assumes) that people sometimes act in order to do good as well as to
try to ensure some gain for themselves.
Keywords: Adaptation, Anthroppogenic, Bioregionalism, Climate change, Collective action,Ecological
citizenship, Eco-system, Emission, Greenhouse gases, Green economy, Kyoto Protocol, Resource conservation,
Spritiual approach, Sustainable development, Values, Voluntarnism.
I.
Introduction
The environmental crisis and popular environmental concern have prompted a considerable
transformation in Western politics over the last three decades. This transformation has culminated in the
development of new political cleavages, the formation of Green political parties, and the revision of old political
platforms by the existing parties. Three major ecopolitical preoccupations are: participation, survival, and
emancipation .The emergence of a general Green philosophy and Green political parties in the late 1970s and
1980s may be seen as representing this third emancipatory moment.
The 1960s marked the beginning of widespread public concern over environmental degradation in the
developed countries of the West. However, it took roughly a decade of persistent political agitation over such
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Robyn Eckersley, Environmentalism and political Theory- towards an ecocentric approach (London: UCL Press, 1992).
Redcliff Michael, Sustainable development- exploring the contradictions (London and New York: Rutledge,1987).
Olle Nordberg, Carbon trading- a critical conversation on climate change, privatization and power, Development Dialogue ,48,
2006, 5-12.
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II.
Possible Position
1. Sustainable Development
Development is usually defined principally in terms of economic growth. The familiar indicator is
gross national product. Limitations of the Gross National Product (GNP) are: not inclusive. It does not include
household activities and Informal sectors. There are many ways to define sustainable development. As
Ecological systems and agricultural development: the world conservation strategy argued that the maintenance
of ecological processes could only be brought about if urgent consideration were given to three specific
conservation objectives: the utilsation of good cropland, the ecologically sound management of crops and the
protection of watershed forests. As Energy efficiency and agriculture development: the search for more
sustainable development necessarily involves two interrelated dimensions. First we need to consider to what
extent we use energy efficiently within agriculture at the present time. Second, we need to consider population,
together with ecological sustainability and energy efficiency. As Population growth and carrying capacity: rapid
population growth in poor countries.
The term sustainable development was used at the time of Cocoyoc declaration on environment and
development in the early 1970s. The term has catalyzed the debate over the relationship between economic
change and the natural resource. The term suggests that the lessons of ecology should be applied to economic
processes. It encompasses the idea in the world conservation strategy, providing an environmental rationale
through which the claims of development to improve the quality of life can be challenged and tested. 6
Sustainable development is an ambiguous concept. It covers government policy, business strategy and lifestyle
decision. The phrase has been continually refined to cover wider issues. It has become a complex
4.
5.
6.
A.N. Sarkar , Global climate change: beyond copenhagen, (New York: Pentagon Earth, 2008).
Stephen Byers and Olympia Snowe, Meeting the Climate Change: Recommendation of International Climate Change Task Force
(London. Public Policy Research, 2005).
Redcliff Michael, Sustainable development- exploring the contradictions(London and New York: Rutledge,1987).
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7.
8.
9.
Mark Mawhinney, Sustainable development: understanding the green debates (UK: Blackwell, 2002).
Mcneill Desmond , Ethics, politics, economics and global environment, in Karen O Brien (Ed), Climate change, ethics and
human security, ( U.K: Cambridge,2010).
Ostrom Elinor, Polycentric systems as one approach to solving collective action problem , in M.A Mohammed Salih (Ed.),
Climate change and sustainable development- new challenges for poverty reduction ,(U.K: Edward Elgar,2009).
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Mark Mawhinney, Sustainable development- understanding the green debates, (U.K: Blackwell, 2002).
11.
12.
Robyn Eckersley, Environmentalism and political Theory- towards an ecocentric approach (London: UCL Press,1992).
John Rodman, Four forms of ecological consciousness reconsidered, in George Sessions (Ed), Deep Ecology for the TwentyFirst Century, (U.S.A: Shambhala Publication, 1995).
Redcliff Michael, Sustainable development- exploring the contradictions (London and New York: Rutledge, 1987).
13.
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14.
15.
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Robyn Eckersley, Environmentalism and political Theory- towards an ecocentric approach (London: UCL Press,1992).
17.
Elinor Ostrom, Polycentric systems as one approach to solving collective action problem, in M.A Mohammed Salih, (Ed.),
Climate Change and Sustainable Development- New Challenges for Poverty Reduction (UK: Edward Elgar, 2009).
Young Zoe, A new green order? the world bank and the politics of the global enviornmental facility, (London: Pluto Press,2002).
18.
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5.Bioregionalism
This doctrine connects some of the principle of community economics. Bioregionalism represents a
specifically ecological rendition of the contemporary movement toward the break up of nation-states. It differs
from the separatists on the ground that they demand the ecological preconditions of nationhood. This is not
merely a location but the concrete ecological workings of a part of the earth: the flows of watersheds, kinds of
soils, the biota that inhabit a bioregion. From this perspective, the bioregion is essential ground within which the
principle of sustainability and its reliance on ecological technology and economics may be applied. The problem
is who is to decide who live where?19 Kirkpatrick Sale simply expressed the bioregional paradigm: We must
get to know the land around us, learn its lore and its potential, and live with it and not against it. We must see
that living with the land means living in, and according to the ways and rhythms of, its natural regions its
bioregions. Living bioregionally involves identifying bioregional boundaries and living (for the most part) with
what those territories provide in the way of, for example, given ores and minerals, woods and leathers, cloths
and yarns. The bioregional community would seek to minimize resource-use, emphasize conservation and
recycling and avoid pollution and waste (Sale, 1984, p. 230), and all of this would be aimed at achieving
sustainability through what Sale calls self-sufficiency. Bioregionalists will usually insist that land be
communally owned because the fruits of nature are fruits for everyone, and they will urge that polities follow
the natural worlds example and abhor systems of centralized control. Consequently, they advocate the
spreading of power to small and widely dispersed units (Sale, 1985, p. 91). Associated with this is the idea that
natures lesson as far as social relations are concerned is one of equality, or what Sale calls complementarity.
The guiding principle of bioregionalism, then, is that the natural world should determine the political, economic
and social life of communities.
6.Market Based Instruments
The aim of market based instrument (MBIs) is to prevent market failure by applying the polluter pays
principle. A market-based instrument internalizes into the price of a good or product the external costs to the
environment of producing and using it. Market based instruments involves : Eco-taxes- user charges, fees
payable for treatment, collection and disposal costs of wastes or other environmental administration , emission
charges, charges on the discharge of pollutants into air, water or soil (i.e. directly linked to quantity and quality
of pollutant), e.g. taxes on sulphur emissions and Product charges, charges on harmful products, e.g. fertilizers
and tradable permits.20
7.Energy Policy
If reduced consumption rather than more technological devices is the answer to the problems raised by
the absolute scarcity of resources, then greens will point out that the same must apply to the use of energy.
Energy is, of course, a resource, and, to the extent that current global energy policies rely principally on nonrenewable sources of energy, is also a limited resource. Nuclear power itself is produced from the limited
resource of uranium and so seems unlikely to solve the problems brought about by resource scarcity. At the
same time, while actual resource levels may be quite high, available non-renewable energy resource levels will
be somewhat lower. In the face of the perceived disadvantages of relying for energy on limited stocks of
polluting and dangerous non-renewable resources, greens usually base their energy strategy around renewable
sources of energy, the conservation of energy, and reduced consumption, of both energy and the durable objects
that it helps us produce. However green suspects technological solution and they assert that true solution lies in
reducing the consumption of energy.21
Sustainable energy strategies must address both the supply and demand sides of the energy equation:
electricity generation must shift away from a dependency on fossil fuels, notably coal and oil, towards
19.
20.
21.
Joel Kovel, The enemy of nature- the end of capitalism or the end of the world?( London: Zed Books, 2002).
Neil Carter, The Politics of the environment- ideas. activism. policy, (U.K: Cambridge,2007).
Andrew Dobson , Green political thoughts (London and New York: Rutledge,2007).
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22.
Neil Carter, The Politics of the environment- ideas. activism. policy, (U.K: Cambridge,2007).
23.
Stephen Byers and Olympia Snowe, Meeting the Climate Change: Recommendation of International Climate Change Task Force
(London. Public Policy Research, 2005).
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Mark Mann , Its easy being green, (U.K: Summersdale Publishers, 2007).
Joel Kovel, The enemy of nature- the end of capitalism or the end of the world?( London: Zed Books, 2002).
26.
27.
Mark Mann , Its easy being green, (U.K: Summersdale Publishers, 2007).
Andrew Dobson , Green political thoughts (London and New York: Rutledge,2007).
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28.
29.
30.
Mark Mann , Its easy being green, (U.K: Summersdale Publishers, 2007).
Mark Mann , Its easy being green, (U.K: Summersdale Publishers, 2007).
Ronald Grimes, Ritual theory and environment, in Bronislaw Szerszynski, Wallace Heim and Claire Waterton (Ed), Nature
performed: environment, culture and performance (U.K: Blackwell, 2003).
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31.
32.
33.
Lawrence E. Johnson , A morally deep world- an essay on moral significance and environmental ethics (U.S.A: Cambridge
University Press, 1991).
Andrew Dobson , Green political thoughts (London and New York: Rutledge,2007).
Wouter Achterberg, Can liberal democracy survive the crisis? sustainability, liberal neutrality and overlapping consensus ,in
Andrew Dobson and Paul Lucardie (Ed), The Politics of nature- exploration in green political theory (London: Rutledge, 2003).
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16.Values
There is a predominant view that human beings are of exclusive moral significance though there are
dissenting opinions. The problem is how best to utilize the nature and moral question concerned the implications
for other humans. The non- human values are generally scaled on vertical rather than horizontal axis. Various
reasons, religious and sentiments have been given for the supremacy of moral standing of human beings.
Humans unlike others are considered morally superior. In recent years there is a debate on the revival of interest
in the question of the values of non-human world. In the past also we find many instance of it. Plutarch,
advocated a vegetarian diet and many non- western tradition recognize moral significance of natural world. The
impact of the human activities on the non- human are evaluated like in Peter singers book, animal liberation.
Another group is concerned with the ethical significance of our actions affecting the environment. Their
concerned is with ecosystem e.g. pollution, extinction of species. Extending humanity beyond humans and there
is diversity of opinions to extend the moral universe. Now the argument arises is that there is common principles
dealing with animals and human beings. Moral consideration is due to us because we have interests. But our
interests are integral part of life process. Even animals, plants, species and ecosystem have interests which have
moral significance. If human interests are to have any moral weight at all, then all genuine interests must be
recognized.36
What drives environmental political thought and action is the green theory of value. According to this
theory, something is especially valuable if it has come about through natural rather than through artificial human
processes. The task of the political ecologist, then, is to work for the preservation of this natural value through
time. Goodin carefully distinguishes between this theory of value and a putative green theory of agency. Green
also question the rising population. In terms of reducing overall consumption, theres nothing more effective
than reducing the number of people doing the consuming. Greens are aware that some people in some countries
consume much more than other people in other countries. The green sustainable society raises the issue of the
34.
Andrew Dobson , Green political thoughts (London and New York: Rutledge,2007).
35.
36.
R.J Johnson, Environmental Problems: Nature, Economy and State ( London: Belhaven Press, 1989).
Lawrence E. Johnson, A Morally Deep World- An Essay on Moral Significance and Environmental Ethics ( New York:
Cambridge University Press, 1991).
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III.
Conclusion
The chapter highlighted that only an integrated approach can solve the climate problem. The integrated
approach includes economy, ecology, social stability, sustainability and spatial planning. This chapter highlights
four environmental visions- market- liberal vision, institutionalis vision, bioenvrionemtalism and social green. It
highlights technological strategy like using saving energy devices, clean development project and joint
implementation projects. It also highlights the problem with the present development path and explore
sustainable development as the possible strategy. Only collective action is effective. Eco-feminists advances
their solution in term of developing feminists tendencies. Resource conservation is also an effective strategy.
Further ecologists talk of developing ec0system which deals with ecological economy. Eco-marxists and ecosocialism can also act as solution to this acute crisis. There is also required a change in energy policy, transport
policy and developing green principles. At the individual and community level voluntarinism, lifestyles and
developing eco-values are good strategies. Ecologists also promote the idea of ecological citizenship and
spiritual approach. Legislature can also help in managing the climate change by establishing environmental
laws. Finally we can apply democractic or authoritarian means to save the climate as when required.
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