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Technology-based ventures
and sustainable development:
Cointegrating and causal
relationships with a panel data
approach
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To cite this article: Islem Khefacha & Lotfi Belkacem (2015): Technology-based ventures
and sustainable development: Cointegrating and causal relationships with a panel data
approach, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development: An International
and Comparative Review, DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2015.1048707
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2015.1048707
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1. Introduction
It is well known that economic growth is the key to higher living standards. For
this, economic theory suggests several key institutions and policy factors that
are important to make way for sustainable economic growth (see Onipede 2003).
Recent studies emphasize entrepreneurship as a driver of economic development
and some authors include entrepreneurship as a fourth production factor in the
macroeconomic production function (see Audretsch and Keilbach 2004 cited in
C 2015 Taylor & Francis
techno-entrepreneurship, high-tech firm, knowledge-based firm, new technologybased firm, technology-based ventures and several definitions are applicable. It
follows that technology entrepreneurship is basically the merge of two words from
two disciplines: technology from the innovation discipline and entrepreneurship
from the business discipline.
From the standpoint of economics, there are a number of authors who associate
entrepreneurship with innovation (see Abdullah and Ahcene 2011). Schumpeter
(1950) viewed entrepreneurship as a dynamic process of creative destruction, in
which he put forward the idea of innovation as the creation, development and
introduction of new products, processes, systems and organizational forms that
change the basic technological and demand parameters of the economy.
Freeman (1998) recognized that innovation is developed from technology and
an outcome of new scientific results. Schumpeter (1912) showed that technology
is driven by entrepreneurs, and it is the entrepreneur who plays a major role in
creating inventions through the appropriate implementation of technology. In this
setting, technology is regarded as one of the crucial components in an innovation
activity by creating new things and matching it with market needs.
Technological innovation has long been viewed as an integral part of entrepreneurship (see Drucker 1985). In fact, technology provides the solution of
some problems that are generated by innovation. A technological change comes
from the new and innovative ideas and the firms implement those ideas into reality
on international level. It is from this point of view that Dopfer (1992) defined
technology as an engine of growth, and its application is seen in the branch of
Neo-Schumpeterian research like Technological Paradigm (see Dosi 1988), focusing devices (Rosenberg 1976), Technological Trajectory (see Nelson and
Winter 1977), and others (cited in Abdullah and Ahcene 2011).
To develop innovation and to achieve competitiveness, the accent must be
put on acquiring technological capability that offers the required human skills
such as entrepreneurial, managerial and technical to set up and operate industries
efficiently (see Lall 1990) and to deploy and utilize various resources and knowhow (see Anderson and Tushman 1990; Song et al. 2005; Khefacha, Belkacem,
and Mansouri 2014).
The question here is what distinguishes technology entrepreneurship from
entrepreneurship as defined by the traditional managerial literature.
In fact, the concept of technology entrepreneurship was addressed from various
perspectives relative to economics, business and management sector.
Bailetti (2012) makes the widest research on definitions proposed by different
authors, and in the end, he offers his own definition which identifies and incorporates the various distinctive aspects of technology entrepreneurship discussed
above and its links to the existing domains of economics, entrepreneurship and
management: Technology entrepreneurship is an investment in a project that assembles and deploys specialized individuals and heterogeneous assets that are
intricately related to advances in scientific and technological knowledge for the
purpose of creating and capturing value for a firm. He adds that technological
entrepreneurship can be distinguished from other entrepreneurship types (e.g. social entrepreneurship, small business management and self-employment) by the
collaborative experimentation and production of new products, assets and their
attributes, which are intricately related to advances in scientific and technological
knowledge and the firms asset ownership rights.
Specifically, the technological entrepreneurship process is based on four main
sets of activities related to the creation of new technologies or the identification of
the existing one but not yet previously exploited; the recognition and matching opportunities, thanks to the application of these new technologies to emerging market
needs; technology/applications development; and business creation. It, therefore,
follows that technological entrepreneurship occurs at the intersection of technology development (science and engineering) and business creation (management
and business) involving individuals, businesses and governments that transform
new ideas into economic and societal values.
2.2. Technology entrepreneurship as a factor for sustainable
economic growth
Several economists focused their research on the dynamic role of entrepreneurial
activity in promoting innovation, economic growth and employment (see
Audretsch, Keilbach, and Lehmann 2006; Van Stel 2006; Fritsch and Mueller
2004, 2008). The contribution of technological innovation to national economic
growth has been well established in the economic literature, both theoretically
(see Solow 1956; Romer 1986) as well as empirically (see Mansfield 1972; Nadiri
1993). These studies have established that the level of technological innovation
contributes significantly to economic performance, particularly at the firm and
industry levels (see Wong et al. 2005).
Acs and Audretsch (2003), for example, showed that entrepreneurship stimulates and generates economic growth in several ways. Notably, entrepreneurs may
introduce important innovations by entering markets with new products or production processes. Namely, Evangelista (2000) and Miles (2005) considered the
adoption of new technologies through a dynamic process of creative destruction
based on innovation as the most important factor for achieving long-term economic growth. Autio, Ho, and Wong (2005) using an augmented CobbDouglas
production to explore firm formation and technological innovation as separate
determinants of growth showed that only high growth potential entrepreneurship
is found to have a significant impact on economic growth. More recently, Radosevic and Yoruk (2013) state that the introduction of databases such as the GEM
has enabled research on the impact of entrepreneurship on economic growth to
be tested at the levels of country, industry or firm (see Yli-Renko, Autio, and
Sapienza 2001; Acs and Varga 2005; Minniti, Bygrave, and Autio 2005; Wong
et al. 2005).
However, a closely related concept, technology entrepreneurship, has for a
long time not found a proper place in mainstream empirical economic research on
the sources of sustainable economic growth. Although copious amounts have been
written theoretically and descriptively on how entrepreneurship affects the economic sustainability (see Fritsch and Mueller 2004, 2008; Radosevic and Yoruk
2013; Wong et al. 2005), there is a dearth of evidence based on empirical data.
This is partially due to the difficulty in defining the concept of technology entrepreneurship and formalizing its measurement for empirical modeling.
Those relating to the sustainable economic growth come from World Bank
Indicators (2013) that is the adjusted net saving indicator (ANS) known informally
as genuine savings (GS). The origin of the approach goes back to Pearce and
Atkinson (1993) when they used the term net savings criterion for sustainable
development. These authors showed that the future well-being will be at risk
if the gross saving in a given economy shortfalls than the combined value of
depreciation on physical capital and depletion on natural capital (see Hamilton
2010). Technically,3 GS is based on traditional gross national income (GNI) and
includes the change rates of the three forms of capital: physical (KP ), human (KH )
and natural (KN ) (Boos and Holm-Muller, 2013):
Genuine savings = (GNI CP CG + NCT) KP + KH KN
GNS
NNS
where GNS is the gross national savings, theoretically seen as gross investment in
physical capital; CP and CG are the private and public (governmental) consumptions; NCT is the net current transfers that comprise all exchanges with foreign
countries of goods and services as well as income and financial items without a
quid pro quo; NNS is the net national savings, which at least theoretically is
equivalent to net investment in physical capital (KP ).
Investment in human capital is calculated as net educational expenditure (KH ).
This includes both capital expenditure as well as current expenditure such as investment in school buildings, the purchase of school books or payment of teachers
salaries, that are counted as consumption rather than investment in the traditional
national accounts. Therefore, GS adds current operating expenditures on education as a rather crude approximation for investment in human capital. Finally, net
depreciation of natural capital (KN ) can be divided at a basic level into resource
extraction, on the one hand, and environmental pollution. The World Bank estimates resource extraction for a range of fossil fuels (oil, natural gas, hard coal
and brown coal), minerals (bauxite, copper, iron, lead, nickel, zinc, phosphate, tin,
gold and silver), and one renewable resource (forests). These rents demonstrate
the change in the natural resource asset value associated with their extraction over
the accounting period and, therefore, the change in the natural capital stock (see
Atkinson and Hamilton 2007).
3.2. Hypothesis
The paper is based on the following hypotheses for testing the causality and
cointegration between the World Bank sustainability indicator and technology
entrepreneurship:
(1)
where GSit is genuine savings in country i and year t and it is an error term.
The test for causal relationship between technology entrepreneurship and sustainable economic growth in a panel context is usually conducted in four steps.
3.3.1. Step 1: unit root tests for panel data
Prior to testing for cointegration and Granger causality, it is necessary to study the
univariate time-series properties of each variable by performing unit root tests.
A series is said to be stationary if the mean and the variance remain constant
over time for all t, and the covariance and hence the correlation between any two
values taken from different time periods depend on the difference apart in time
between the two values for all t = s. By contrast, a non-stationary time series will
have a time-varying mean or a time-varying variance or both. In the first case,
the variable is described as trend stationary (TS), while for time-varying variance,
the model is called difference stationary (DS). Hence, for the two models, the
moments of the stochastic process depend on time and, therefore, the standard
assumptions for asymptotic analysis in the Granger test will not be valid. We
should hence perform tests for unit root in potentially non-stationary time series.
In fact, a number of unit root tests for panel data have been developed in
the recent literature, including most notably those by Levin, Lin, and Chu (2002)
(herein referred to as LLC), Im, Pesaran, and Shin (2003) (herein referred to as
IPS), Maddala and Wu (1999) (herein referred to as MW), Choi (2001) and Hadri
(2000).
The basic autoregressive model can be expressed following the basic Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) specification for panel data:
yit = it + 1i yit1 + 2i t +
m
j =1
ij yitj + it
(2)
The lag order for the difference terms m is allowed by specification to vary
across the cross section.
Using different null and alternative hypothesis, we can distinguish the following three situations:
3.3.3. Step 3: robustness tests: panel causality test and the error correction
model (ECM)
The finding of cointegration between variables indicates the existence of causality
and an ECM must be estimated. However, cointegration analysis can evaluate
whether the panel variables follow each others suit but it does not provide any
information about the cause and effect, or the direction of causality between the
variables.
10
For this we will use the Granger causality test. This technique tests short-term
causality and validates a long-term relationship. Two stages are suggested by Engle
and Granger (1987) in order to investigate the short-run and long-run relationships
between these variables. The first stage is to recover the estimated residuals in
Equation (1) and the second stage estimates the parameters related to the shortrun adjustment while incorporating the estimated residuals from Equation (1) in
the following ECM equations:
m
GSit = 1i +
11ij GSitj +
j =1
m
m
12ij TEATECitj
j =1
13ij TEANT1itj +
j =1
m
14ij TEANT2itj
j =1
+ 1i ECTit1 + 1it
TEATECit = 2i +
m
21ij GSitj +
m
m
22ij TEATECitj
j =1
j=1
(3)
23ij TEANT1itj +
j =1
m
24ij TEANT2itj
j =1
+ 2i ECTit1 + 2it
TEANT1it = 3i +
m
31ij GSitj +
j =1
m
(4)
m
32ij TEATECitj
j =1
33ij TEANT1itj +
j =1
m
34ij TEANT2itj
j =1
+ 3i ECTit1 + 3it
TEANT2it = 4i +
m
41ij GSitj +
j =1
m
(5)
m
43ij TEANT1itj +
j =1
+ 4i ECTit1 + 4it
42ij TEATECitj
j =1
m
44ij TEANT2itj
j =1
(6)
With 1i and 2i are individual fixed effects, denotes the first difference of
the variable, GSit , TEATECit ; TEANT1it and TEANT2it are the two cointegrated
variables; ECT is the error correction term; m denotes the lag length determined
automatically by the Schwarz Information Criterion; and it are the error terms.
11
The parameters of the previous equation include the following important shortterm and long-term implications: i parameters can be thought of as speed of
adjustment parameters. If i = 0, then there would be no evidence for a long-run
relationship. This parameter is expected to be significantly negative under the prior
assumption that the variables show a return to a long-run equilibrium.
0.437
(0.669)
0.9039
(0.183)
4.336
(0.000)
3.249
(0.999)
Level
Level
0.3953
(0.653)
1.108
( 0.133)
2.431
(0.059)
1.433
(0.924)
First difference
7.674
(0.000)
11.087
(0.000)
7.403
(0.000)
7.890
(0.000)
3.271
(0.005)
8.310
(0.000)
4.236
(0.000)
2.588
(0.004)
First difference
IPS
25.884
(0.4695)
31.334
(0.216)
39.804
(0.030)
5.414
(0.999)
Level
58.759
(0.002)
88.436
(0.000)
53.768
(0.000)
56.147
(0.000)
Level
20.885
(0.7478)
44.111
(0.014)
45.933
(0.031)
22.765
(0.300)
MW
First difference
ADF-Fisher
TEANT2
TEANT1
TEATEC
GS
Variables
LLC
Table 1.
61.317
(0.001)
114.200
(0.000)
81.131
(0.000)
120.592
(0.000)
First difference
PP-Fisher
12
I. Khefacha and L. Belkacem
13
Prob.
1.0000
0.9921
0.0000
0.0000
0.9998
0.0000
0.0000
The test statistics suggest that the sustainable economic growth as measured by
genuine savings and two of the three variables measuring technology entrepreneurship have a unit root which implies non-stationarity. However, when we apply the
first difference of all variables we can reject the null hypothesis of unit root, and
GS, TEATEC and TEANT2 are stationary. It means that these three variables are
integrated of order one I(1) and are appropriate for cointegration analysis (except
for TEANT1 which is I(0)).
Hence, the variables with the same order facilitate the examination of possible
long-run relations through cointegration panel tests of Pedroni. Table 2 indicates
two within-dimension tests and two between-dimension tests providing the presence of cointegration. In fact, the null hypothesis of no cointegration is rejected
for the two statistical tests panel-ADF and group-ADF at 5% and 1% levels, respectively. In addition, panel and group PP statistics are also significant. Due to
these promising results, it is possible to estimate the long-run relationship between
the variables.
The finding of cointegration between variables indicates the existence of
causality and an ECM must be estimated based on the following regressions:
m
1i
11ij 12ij 13ij
GSitj
GSit
21ij 22ij 23ij TEATECitj
TEATECit = 2i +
TEANT2it
3i
31ij 32ij 33ij
TEANT2itj
j =1
1i
1it
+ 2i ECTit1 + 2it
31i
3it
Table 3 reports the short-run and long-run causality results for sustainable economic growth model and indicates that there is evidence of bidirectional causality
between TEATEC, TEANT2 and GS at 1% level of significance in the short-run.
14
Table 3.
GS
TEATEC
TEANT2
Long-run
GS
TEATEC
TEANT2
ECT
0.109049
[0.18012]
0.230188
[0.53713]
0.236518
[3.20118]
0.018125
[2.18653]
0.094011
[3.15969]
0.107691
[5.11334]
0.061875
[2.12772]
0.067754
[1.67713]
0.176450
[1.21687]
Note: indicates statistical significance at the 1% level. The t-statistic is listed in brackets.
Table 4.
Variables
TEATEC
TEANT2
DOLS
FMOLS
0.692409 (0.0034)
0.036999 (0.0013)
0.053601 (0.8583)
0.110594 (0.1771)
The error correction term is statistically significant only for percentage of all
TEA business entities reporting business activity in a technology sector (high or
medium), according to OECD classification and sustainable economic growth at
1% level. This finding indicates that there is evidence of long-run equilibrium
between technology entrepreneurship and sustainable development.
Finally, after having established the existence of a cointegration relationship
and the direction of causality between sustainable growth and TEA, the last step
consists in the long-run estimation of Equation (1) where the dependent variable is genuine savings, and the independent variables the two TEA measures of
technology entrepreneurship.
The long-run structural coefficients are estimated using the DOLS and FMOLS
panel approaches (Pedroni, 2001, 2004).
The results are presented in Table 4 which shows positive relationship between
technology entrepreneurship measured by the percentage of all TEA business entities reporting business activity in a technology sector (high or medium), according
to OECD classification and sustainable growth.
These results indicate that technology entrepreneurship is an important determinant of economic development for the period under study and for the 13
developed countries. The pace of progress in information technologies, microelectronics, robotics, new materials, biomedical sciences, space and other advanced
fields continues to quicken, and in turn, to significantly change the way we live
and work.
15
Particularly, creating business based on new technologies stimulates the welfare of a nations economy by enhancing the social and environmental conditions
of the living beings.
Socially, the creation of technology-based ventures by investing in research
and development as well as innovation in the discovery of new technologies or
the perfection of existing ones improves the quality of life of people and the
satisfaction of newly originated needs. It will also underpin economic, social and
territorial cohesion. For instance, a greater capacity for technological research and
development in the industrial sector promote innovation and knowledge transfer,
make full use of information and communication technologies, and ensure that
innovative ideas can be turned into new products and services that create growth,
quality jobs and global societal challenges. Combined with the increased resource
efficiency, technological entrepreneurship will also improve competitiveness and
foster job creation by pushing the businesses to do what they know best, that is,
create productive enterprises with high-potential employability.
Environmentally, the implementation of new and better technologies in different productions could minimize the effects of economic activity on the environment. Investing in cleaner and exploiting fully the potential of new technologies
such as carbon capture and sequestration possibilities would significantly help
limit emissions and contribute to fighting climate change.
Many firms do recognize that caring for the environment is good business
energy efficiency, waste reduction and pollution prevention save money which
can increase profits and boost economic growth by creating new business and
employment opportunities.
Meeting these targets should mobilize our collective attention. All sectors of the
economy, not just emission-intensive, are concerned: governments, environmental
experts and industry itself, as the principal source and user of technological knowledge. Especially, entrepreneurs would do well to heed the lessons of ecology as new
technologies will be needed to clean up past mistakes and achieve new industrial
growth safely. Businesses must make the ethic for living sustainably an integral
part of their corporate goal, taking care that their practices, processes and products
conserve energy and resources and have a minimum impact on ecosystems.
The implication of these findings is that countries that promoted technological entrepreneurship make their economy and businesses more sustainable while
protecting environmental aspects and improving social conditions. Therefore, the
government and other stakeholders should put in place measures that develop new
processes and technologies, including green technologies, accelerating the roll out
of smart grids using information and communication technologies and creating
a good business environment that encourages the creation and growth of new
technology-based firms. This can mean the following:
Adopting practices that take into account not only the well-being of humans
but also the ecosystem as a whole; practices that avoid damage and require
consultation with local communities and the public at large;
16
17
relationship between technology entrepreneurship and sustainability for developing countries and make a comparison with the results obtained for developed
countries.
Acknowledgements
This research has received funding from the Global Entrepreneurship Research Association
(GERA), London Business School, Regents Park, London NW1 4SA, UK.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Funding
Global Entrepreneurship Research Association (GERA).
Notes
1.
2.
3.
High technology: aerospace, computers, office machinery, electronics communications, pharmaceuticals, scientific instruments. Medium--high technology: motor vehicles, electrical machinery, chemicals, other transport equipment, non-electrical machinery. Medium--low technology: rubber and plastic products, shipbuilding, other
manufacturing, non-ferrous metals, non-metallic mineral products, fabricated metal
products, petroleum refining, ferrous metals.
Countries belong to the Group of Twelve or G12 which is a group of industrially
advanced countries whose central banks co-operate to regulate international finance.
Detailed calculation descriptions and definitions can be found in Bolt, Matete, and
Clemens (2002), Hamilton (2006) or World Bank (2011).
ORCID
Islem Khefacha
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1635-5274
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