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& Commodities magazine. 2014 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
CHARTING
In
INGA POSLITUR
In todays markets
& Commodities magazine. 2014 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
Figure 1: typical market campaign of accumulation (200809). Here you see the price target zone where the distribution of long positions by the Composite
Man could occur.
& Commodities magazine. 2014 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
as projected points where a turn could occur, and use the vertical
line chart to show the action as these points are approached.
In the case of a longer-term count, often the last point of support
(LPS) comes at the original level of climax, and this level should be
looked at first in studying the longer-term count. The climax itself
indicated a reversal, with the subsequent action being the forming of
the cause for the next effect. If the last point of support (LPS) comes
at such a level of climax, it usually makes it a more valid count. Often,
the climax is preceded by preliminary support, and the last point of
support often occurs at the same level as the preliminary support.
The spring, which in this case is a number 3 spring or the secondarytest of a number 2 spring, often constitutes the sign of strength and
the last point of support in the same action that is reached at the
same point and at the same time. Usually, a spring will be followed
by a more important sign of strength, and the reaction following that
sign of strength is also a valid last point of support.
Frequently, long-term counts on three- and five-point charts are
confirmed by subsequent minor counts on the one point chart as the
move progresses. Watch for this confirmation carefully, as it often
indicates when a move will resume.
In the case of three-point or five-point charts, the same count line
should be used as for the one-point chart.
H. Pruden
$INDU - Daily
Phase A
Phase B
Phase C
13,000
12,800
12,600
12,400
12,200
12,000
11,800
11,600
Phase D
SOS
AR
11,400
LPS
ST
Volume
2011
Jul
SC
Sep
Oct
11,000
10,800
10,600
2,600,000
2,400,000
2,200,000
2,000,000
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
Spring
Aug
11,200
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
SIDEBAR FIGURE 1: DJIA REACCUMULATION RANGE OF 2011. Here you see the various Wyckoff buying tests for reaccumulation.
& Commodities magazine. 2014 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
BC
ST
LPSY
LPSY
PSY
LPSY
SOW
AR
Markdown phase
ICE
YCHARTS.COM
SOW
Figure 2: spike-top schematic. Here you see the support underneath a line of distribution at a top (ICE), the buying climax (BC), automatic reaction (AR), secondary
test (ST), last point of supply (lpsy), sign of weakness (SOW), and the more important last point of supply (LPSY). On the cusp of this bear market, the Wyckoff nine selling
tests have passed. You would go short, since the market is in the markdown phase.
less than the 10% correction hoped for by the sold-out bulls. A
virtual parabolic price rise into a buying climax could occur,
and the distribution of long positions by the Composite Man to
the public could start somewhere within the price target zone
shown in Figure 1. That scenario would bring his bull market
campaign to a conclusion. That sort of spike-top alternative
would be the road less traveled, which would look something
like the spike top scheme depicted in Figure 2.
The classic crowning formation could be the other end
& Commodities magazine. 2014 Technical Analysis Inc., (800) 832-4642, http://www.traders.com
UTAD
Resistance line
BC
ST
ST
PSY
LPSY
Support line
AR
Phases
A
ICE
FIGURE 3: CROWNING FORMATION. During a classic crowning formation like this one, volume expands and prices oscillate between a support &
resistance level. A few stocks record dramatic price gains.
But what if