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GENERATION GAME
US Air Force delays F-X
fighter plan as air warfare
review supports research
into family of systems 17
CHINA CRISIS
FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
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FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
NEWS
GENERATION GAME
US Air Force delays F-X
fighter plan as air warfare
review supports research
into family of systems 17
CHINA CRISIS
THIS WEEK
6 Bombardier clear on public funding
7 Comac advances C919 avionics work.
Qatar threatens P&W with cancellation in Neo row
8 NASA signals new interest in airships.
Milestone for SpaceX on road to rocket recovery
9 Push input caused 737 dive.
Airbus to speed up Panther deliveries
FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
50TH ANNIVERSARY
A GIANT
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AIR TRANSPORT
12 Hi Fly A340 offering zero-g experience.
US legal challenge to aircraft emissions
13 Qatar stakes 777s on investment plan.
GE9X powerplant starts full-scale test campaign
14 Tyre burst led to gear failure.
Rebranded Rossiya takes first 747
15 Emirates steps in for cancelled A380s
COVER IMAGE
Our retrospective feature
about the 747s launch half
a century ago is illustrated
with this 1971 shot of a
Pan Am example taking off
from London Heathrow P32
FIN_190416_301.indd 1
NEWS FOCUS
10 US military exports not waning yet
11 The ramp-up risks of booming industry
14/04/2016 09:57
DEFENCE
16 Ottawa to review defence priorities.
PC-21 switch confirmed for Jordan
17 USAF looks beyond generational shift
19 GAO questions Pegasus delivery plan.
Dutch KDC-10 approval key to F-35 deployment
SHOW REPORT
20 Boeing bullish on BBJ Max demand.
Globetrotting Falcon 8X makes Shanghai debut
21 Caravan sees success in Shijiazhuang.
NetJets China bolstered by BAAs 25% stake buy
COVER STORY
32 Big vision big jet Half a century ago, Boeing and
Pan Am took a risky gamble when they agreed to
create the worlds largest airliner and the bet
paid off by redefining air transport
FEATURES
25 ENGINES Thrusting for sales Pratt & Whitney
has finally got its geared turbofan into commercial
service and CFMs Leap is close behind, so
attention is turning to real-world performance and
order books as the two strive for domination of the
nascent narrowbody power revolution. Meanwhile,
these two engines underpin a string of important
new aircraft programmes from Canada, China,
Japan and Russia
REGULARS
5 Comment
36 Straight & Level
38 Classified
40 Jobs
43 Working Week
Flirtey
BUSINESS AVIATION
22 DA62 is off to a flying start.
First G600 takes shape in Savannah
23 Cessna shaping Hemisphere.
Much-delayed Outback gets airborne in Kunovice.
Bombardier and Gulfstream lead Asia-Pacific fleet
Lockheed Martin
HIGH HOPES
NASA FLOATS ITS
STRATOSPHERIC
AIRSHIP AMBITION
REPORT P8
Diamond Aircraft to raise production of DA62 P22. USAF says no single fighter will offer future air superiority P17
flightglobal.com
www.flightglobal.com/milisim
CONTENTS
IMAGE OF
THE WEEK
Avianca
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flight-international
58.9%
$210m
34%
Protect
strategic
assets
restrictions
needed
TOTAL
VOTES:
Harris Corp
6bn
34%
Some
769
32%
Should be a
free market
Aviation Partners Boeing
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COMMENT
Boeing
Style, redefined
flightglobal.com
THIS WEEK
Bombardier clear
on public funding
Canadian airframer attempts to set out how much state aid
it has received, as government debates CSeries assistance
Commonwealth of Australia
BRIEFING
UNMANNED SYSTEMS
The Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) is flying its Israel Aerospace
Industries Heron unmanned air vehicle at RAAF Amberley in
Queensland, marking the first time the aircraft has operated alongside manned military aircraft at one of the services home bases.
The Heron is typically based at the Woomera test range, where it
carries out training sorties, but for a short period it is operating from
Amberley alongside the 24 Boeing F/A-18F Super Hornets from the
RAAFs 1 and 6 Sqns.
In 2015, the RAAF and Airservices Australia signed an agreement
to fly the Heron in civilian airspace for the first time, with the milestone taking place on 24 June at Rockhampton airport.
flightglobal.com
THIS WEEK
installation of wiring.
The software integration work
is taking place at the companys
campus on the outskirts of
Shanghai, where an avionics test
lab is located adjacent to the
C919 iron bird test rig.
During a tour by Flight International, a company official said that
the initial stage of the process has
been completed. This saw avionics integrated with aircraft systems in the lab, with the software
then loaded onto the iron bird.
A 21-strong avionics team, with
assistance from foreign suppliers,
is now engaged in a second step,
which will fix bugs and issues
identified in the earlier phase.
AIRCRAFT 101
A tour of the final assembly facility at Shanghai Pudong International airport also revealed that
aircraft 101, the first flying prototype, has had a number of significant components removed since
its roll-out in November 2015.
Its two CFM International
Leap-1C engines are no longer in
place, and all the control surfaces
on the trailing edge of the wing
have been uninstalled. There are
also no leading edge slats mounted. The aircrafts elevators,
however, are fitted to the horizontal stabilisers.
Comac
flightglobal.com
James Mellon/Flightglobal
THIS WEEK
Lockheed Martin
SpaceX
THIS WEEK
US military exports
not waning yet
NEWS FOCUS P10
INQUIRY DAVID KAMINSKI-MORROW LONDON
CONTRACT
BETH STEVENSON LONDON
Marshall set to
convert ATR 72s
for MSA mission
Nose-down shift in fatal Flydubai crash was commanded from control yoke, say investigators
PA
Airbus Helicopters
We have worked
on more than 30
different platforms
making us extremely
experienced
STEVE FITZ-GERALD
CEO, Marshall Aerospace and Defence
NEWS FOCUS
Commonwealth of Australia
Significant overseas deals in 2015 included additional C-17s for the Royal Australian Air Force
think it is overstated, the US is by
far the largest exporter and the
country that receives most of its
exports [accounts for] only 10%.
Russia is dependent on India
for its arms exports, by about
30%. If India decides it doesnt
want to buy Russian weapons
anymore, Russian industry is in
very big trouble. China is also
very highly dependent on Africa
for exports.
However, in the competition for
international fighter o
rders, particularly in the Middle East, the
CONCERN
Kuwait recently reached an
agreement with Italy for 28
Typhoons. It had also signalled
interest in the Boeing F/A-18E/F
Super Hornet, but a deal is yet to
materialise. Boeing expressed
concern last year that Kuwait
might back out unless the US
governments approvals process
moves faster.
Lockheed Martin also finds
itself in limbo as it attempts to
progress pending F-16 deals with
Pakistan and the UAE through
regulatory hoops. The F-16 production line in Fort Worth, Texas,
has no more jets to build after the
last for Iraq in 2017.
Outsiders trying to enter the
market include South Korea
olden Eagle, and
with its T-50 G
the Korea Aerospace Industries
KF-X multirole fighter it has
begun developing in partnership with I ndonesia and the assistance of Lockheed. Turkey is
developing the TFX air superiority fighter, and Japan is pursuing its first domestically produced stealth aircraft based on
the Mitsubishi X-2 Shinshin
prototype. I wouldnt underestimate whats been going on in
these countries, says Fleurant.
Despite economic troubles in its
domestic market, Embraers Super
Tucano continues to be an export
success, having notched up sales to
Ghana, Honduras, L
ebanon and
Mali in the last 12 months.
India, meanwhile, has not
made much progress on its
planned fifth-generation fighter
programme and has been struggling with military industrialisation since its independence.
Fleurant notes China is struggling with aircraft engine
development and nuclear propulsion for surface ships and submarines. Propulsion seems to be an
issue overall for the defence
industry in China, but as long as
they keep funnelling money into
it, at some point theyre going to
manage it, she says, adding that
the quality of Chinese equipment
is getting better. What theyre
transferring now is not the crappy stuff they used to transfer in
the 70s. Not any more.
flightglobal.com
NEWS FOCUS
Airbus
Airbus intends to raise monthly output of A320-family narrowbodies to 60 aircraft by 2019 across four different final assembly lines
ANALYSIS MURDO MORRISON HAMBURG
RISING CONFIDENCE
Seymour noted that, on the surface, global passenger traffic
growth remains robust, with
IATA predicting a 6.9% increase
this year over 2015. After years of
financial turbulence, airlines generally are in the black, with net
profits heading for a new record
in 2016. In addition, almost all
other indicators, such as yields
and load factors, are positive
with the exception of freight traffic growth, which has slowed.
This confidence has led to
strong orders. Although 2015 saw
Twin-aisle
18%
Regional jet
8%
As of 1 March 2016
SOURCE: Flightglobals Fleets Analyzer
RETIREMENT RATE
Lower aircraft productivity is one
possibility, but this would not
help, as it would simply erode
airline profitability and their ability to fund equipment. More likely is a rise in the rate of retirements as airlines use more of
their new aircraft to replace
rather than complement their
existing inventory.
Catch up with all the news and
analysis from Aircraft Interiors:
flightglobal.com/aix
AIR TRANSPORT
TAP Portugal is
raided over its
VEM purchase
nvironmental
advocacy
groups are suing the US
government in an effort to force
regulators to set standards on
greenhouse gas emissions from
aircraft engines.
In a lawsuit dated 12 April, the
Center for Biological Diversity
and Friends of the Earth asked a
District Court to direct the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to determine whether or
not aircraft engine emissions contribute to pollution.
If the court rules in the groups
favour, they will argue that this
would then require the agency to
regulate the emissions under the
US Clean Air Act.
The US government has dawdled for more than a decade in
its efforts to regulate aircraft engine emissions, which account
for 3% of the countrys total domestic greenhouse gas output,
the groups say in their lawsuit.
In 2015, the EPA issued a proposed finding that linked aircraft
Aviation accounts
for 3% of nations
total emissions
AirTeamImages
LEGAL
DAVID KAMINSKI-MORROW LONDON
Commercial operation of
zero-g flights under the status of
an airline company will be a
world premiere, says the
Zurich-based business.
Hi Fly chief executive Paulo
Mirpuri says the carrier brings
innovation, quality and safety
to the venture.
AirTeamImages
AIR TRANSPORT
AirTeamImages
FLEET
flightglobal.com
Millhaem
says
countless
hours have been devoted to
achieving the eventual transition
from rig tests to the full-scale
testing of the 100,000lb-thrustclass (445kN) engine.
GE has promised to deliver
the GE9X with a 10% fuel burn
advantage over the GE90, the
even more powerful, 115,000lbthrust engine powering the
777-300ER and 777 freighter.
The fuel efficiency is achieved
partly by increasing the ratio
bypassing the engine core from
9:1 on the GE90 to 10:1 on the
GE Aviation
AIR TRANSPORT
DEVELOPMENT
FIRDAUS HASHIM SINGAPORE
AirTeamImages
DELIVERY
Rossiya
with
planned
maintenance schedules.
flightglobal.com
AIR TRANSPORT
Ottawa to review
defence priorities
Airbus
DEFENCE P16
Airbus has maintained its backlog for the superjumbo at 135, with a total of 319 orders; Dubai-based airline accounts for the majority
BACKLOG DAVID KAMINSKI-MORROW LONDON
defence d
NARROWBODIES
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DEFENCE
Ottawa to review
defence priorities
C
and
capability
requirements. Sajjan will launch
safety
Pilatus
DEFENCE
Dutch KDC-10
approval key to
F-35 deployment
defence P19
strategy james drew washington dc
US Air Force
US Air Force
Air superiority study concludes that future combat will require family of systems, rather than lengthy wait for F-X fighter
Competitors are vying to replace the Fairchild Republic A-10 in delivering close air support mission
requirement
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Get an insight into the latest aviation trends at our exclusive Flightglobal Finance
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DEFENCE
Globetrotting
Falcon 8X makes
Shanghai debut
SHOW REPORT P20
TESTING
US Air Force
COST RISK
Boeings fixed-price development
contract caps the US governments liability at $4.9 billion. As
of December 2015, the manufacturer and the USAF programme
office estimated that Boeing
would incur additional costs to
complete development of the aircraft of about $769 million and
$1.4 billion, respectively, the
GAO says.
The manufacturer is also selffunding construction of the first
batch of operational tankers in
anticipation of a contract signature, and opening a second completions centre to modify 767-2C
freighters to the military standard.
According to the GAO, Boeing
has resolved most of the issues
encountered to date, and it reports
that the expected cost of KC-46
development, production and
associated military construction
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ABACE 2016
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OUTLOOK
PROMOTION
Dassault Aviation
SALES
ABACE 2016
DA62 is off to a
flying start
SHOW REPORT
Textron Aviation
DEBUT
ACQUISITION
Greg Waldron/Flightglobal
BUSINESS AVIATION
DELIVERY
utch
charter
start-up
Winged-Dutchman
Aero
Service has taken delivery of the
first European-registered Eclipse
550, following handover of the
very light jet (VLJ) registration
OE-FMO on 14 April.
The aircraft, owned by
Austrian
charter
company
MaliAir, will be the first of the
1,300nm (2,400km)-range twinengined type operated commercially in Europe when revenue
flights begin on 20 April.
The EA550 is an ideal aircraft for point-to-point transportation around Europe, says the
founder of Winged-Dutchman,
Sjoerd-Jan van Klaarbergen.
The four-passenger aircraft
will be based at Groningen
airport in the northeast of the
Netherlands,
where
van
Klaarbergen says the growing
Lead example of the 6,200nm-range aircraft is scheduled to make its flight debut later this year
ASSEMBLY KATE SARSFIELD LONDON
BillyPix
Gulfstream
Winged charter
service ready to
Eclipse its rivals
BUSINESS AVIATION
Thrusting for sales
SPECIAL REPORT P25
DEVELOPMENT KATE SARSFIELD LONDON
INVENTORY
GREG WALDRON SINGAPORE
Bombardier and
Gulfstream lead
Asia-Pacific fleet
Textron seeking feedback on clean-sheet, large-cabin business jet from selected operators
T
Textron Aviation
Evektor
www.baesystems.com/enginecontrols
ENGINES
special REPORT
Airbus
thrusting
for sales
Pratt & Whitney has finally got its geared turbofan into
commercial service and CFMs Leap is close behind, so
attention is turning to real-world performance and order
books as the two strive for domination of the nascent
narrowbody power revolution. Meanwhile, these two
powerplants underpin a string of important new aircraft
programmes from Canada, China, Japan and Russia
Contents
ENGINES
special REPORT
getting it
into gear
cooling cycle
But it is taking a hardware upgrade to address
the PW1100Gs most prominent flaw. In turboecome
fan engines, superheated air can b
trapped inside the casing after engine shutdown. Restarting with that air inside can cause
component deformations and extensive dam-
Boeing
ENGINES
Mitsubishi performed the debut flight of its PW1200G-powered MRJ in November 2015
As of early March, the certification campaign for the Leap-1B that powers the Boeing
737 Max was approaching its conclusion,
working through final, minor, tests, ahead
of US Federal Aviation Administration approval, said Ebanga at the ISTAT Americas
conference. In addition to being on time, CFM
officials assert both engines for the A320neo
and 737 Max are meeting promised fuel burn
performance.
big fans
P&W promises a 20% reduction in specific
fuel consumption, mostly owing to the gearbox between the PW1100Gs low-pressure
turbine and inlet fan, allowing designers to
increase the length of the fan blades and raise
the ratio of air bypassing the engine core from
about 6:1, as in the International Aero Engines
V2500, to about 12:1.
CFM relies on a conventional architecture,
with the low pressure turbine driving the front
fan. That arrangement limited expansion of the
bypass ratio to 10:1, but CFM compensated by
increasing the efficiency of the engine core.
CFM added a stage to the high-pressure
compressor, raising the pressure ratio from
around 30:1 in the CFM56 to around 40:1 in
the Leap-1 series. As pressure loads rose, CFM
added a second stage to the high-pressure turbine. Internal cooling demands were reduced
by inserting heat-resistant ceramic matrix comflightglobal.com
Allen Paxson adds that the same engines delivered to Airbus have demonstrated fuel
burn results on GE Aviations flying testbed: I
am confident the engines we have delivered
to Airbus are on specification.
Airbus has not named the launch operator
for the Leap-powered A320neo, but CFM
expects to deliver engines to six airlines within three months of entry into service, Paxson
says. The Leap-1B engines on the first 737
Max 8 had completed 22 test sorties within a
month of the types first flight, on 3 February,
Paxson says. We are running the engines
Mitsubishi
NEW POWERPLANTS
now on the ground and they are right on specification and Im talking ten-thousandths of
a percent, he adds. We are very, very confident. Is it done? No, because we have not
delivered it. But the engines are drinking the
amount of fuel to meet our spec level. We are
very confident the -1A and the -1B will meet
the committed level of performance.
A version of the Leap-1A is developed for
the Comac C919. CFM delivered the first
Leap-1Cs to the Chinese narrowbody programme last year, as the C919 was scheduled
to be first to enter flight tests. First flight of the
C919 is scheduled in the third quarter.
P&Ws development work is ramping up.
The PW1500G is set to enter service this year
on the Swiss International Air Lines
Bombardier CS100. Russian manufacturer
ENGINES
special REPORT
power struggle
A320neo launch operator Lufthansa has followed its precedent and split its order across both engine options
Lessors important
Operating lessors are an important component
of the Neo customer base and to the success of a
new type. With 984 orders, 11 lessors have a
22% share of the orderbook. Their engine choices are 34% Leap, 28% P&W and 38% undecided. However, excluding GECAS, which only
orders CFM, the lessor share swings to 32%
P&W. Most will order a mix of engines to meet
demand and maximise portfolio liquidity.
To date 31 customers 52% have only
chosen one engine type, for 1,969 orders
(44%); 12 have chosen the Leap for 1,226
orders against 19 for 743 of the P&W engine.
flightglobal.com
Lufthansa
Where a choice has been made, the Leap1A has won 1,544 orders 54% against
1,312 for the PW1100G. In customer terms,
the P&W engine has 30 versus 23 for the Leap
and also leads direct airline orders, 22 versus
15. Nine lessors have ordered from CFM and
eight from P&W.
Airbus
ENGINES
competition
customer Loyalty
The engine business is fiercely competitive
and customer loyalty is crucial. To date, 18
customers with either the CFM56 or V2500
on the A320ceo family have stayed with the
same suppliers for almost 1,500 neos.
Nine CFM A320ceo customers have ordered 995 Leap-powered A320neos with a
further 100 ordered by Avianca yet to make a
choice. Nine customers with V2500s powering their A320ceos stayed with P&W on the
Neo, a ccounting for almost 500 orders 38%
of their backlog. Again, one customer IndiGo has yet to reveal a choice for 250 orders.
The number of customers who have
changed supplier from their A320ceo fleet is
relatively small just eight airlines (five CFM
and three P&W) for 392 aircraft: 9% of the
backlog. Six operators using both CFM56s
and V2500s on their Ceo fleet have decided
on one supplier for 254 Neos the largest
being American, which chose the Leap despite operating almost 250 V2500 versus 150
CFM56 aircraft. LATAM Group, with slightly
more CFM56 types as a result of the LAN and
TAM merger, has decided on the P&W engine.
Airbus and Boeing are fiercely competitive
Selected CFM
Selected P&W
Undecided
Selected one
Selected both
0
10
15
Chosen
mix of mfrs
552
New customer
131
Undecided
1,646
Changed mfr
392
flightglobal.com
25
30
35
40
20
Number of customers
looking ahead
In terms of sales, neither the Leap nor the
PW1100G has a clear advantage and there
are still almost 1,650 orders where a decision
is yet to be made. Looking further ahead, Ascends Flightglobal Fleet Forecast is predicting demand for at least 9,800 Neos in the
next 20 years, which equates to an open market for 5,300 more aircraft. There is an expectation that the better seat-mile costs of the
A321neo will lead to a continued upsizing of
the type. P&W has promised to deliver a performance improvement package in 2019
with a 2% reduction in specific fuel consumption and has launched a 35,000lbthrust (160kN) version which has enabled
Airbus to launch the long-range A321neo
LR, with 30 orders already from Air Lease.
CFM is expected to also develop upgrades in
future on the Leap.
Currently the P&W engine has a 58% share
of the A321neo order choice and if that share
can be maintained then the overall engine
market share over the longer term may just
swing in favour of P&W. It could be a reverse
of what is currently on the A320ceo, where
CFM currently has a 56% share.
However, it is unlikely that either engine
will gain a significant lead over the other, as the
market for single-aisles is broad and diverse.
19-25 April 2016 | Flight International | 29
thrust
in the
numbers
Airbus
This year is a significant one for the engine manufacturers, as the two new-generation
powerplants make their service debut. Pratt & Whitney kicked things off in January when
its PW1000G geared turbofan entered service on the A320neo. It will be swiftly followed
on the Airbus twinjet by the all-new rival offering from CFM International, the Leap-1A.
Meanwhile in Seattle, the Leap is key to the enhancements now in flight test at Boeing on
its 737 Max and is the initial powerplant option on Comacs C919, which should fly this
year. Work is even more hectic for P&W. It is preparing the PW1500G for service-entry on
the Bombardier CSeries this summer, while testing is under way on the PW1200Gpowered Mitsubishi MRJ and about to start on the similarly-equipped Embraer E-Jet E2.
The GTF is also the lead powerplant on Irkuts MC-21, which will roll out in mid-2016.
Here, the latest market trends are examined using Flightglobals Fleets Analyzer database
A320 FAMILY ENGINE MANUFACTURER SHARE
2015 deliveries share
Backlog* Share
Max Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal
International
Aero Engines 6%
Undecided 38%
flightglobal.com
ENGINES
Rank
Manufacturer
1
2
3
4
5
6
CFM International
General Electric
International Aero Engines
Rolls-Royce
Engine Alliance
Pratt & Whitney
Undecided
Backlog*
2015 deliveries
Engines
Share
Engines
Share
1,482
504
448
292
84
14
2,824
52%
18%
16%
10%
3%
1%
-
12,428
2,086
696
2,770
136
2,538
4,786
25,440
49%
8%
2%
11%
1%
10%
19%
TOTAL
General Electric
Pratt & Whitney
TOTAL
Aircraft
16
0
16
Backlog*
Share Aircraft
100%
Share
76 100%
0
76
NOTES: *At 31 December 2015. Data for installed engines based on Airbus/Boeing types. Excludes corporate and military operators
SOURCE: Flightglobal Insight analysis using Flightglobals Fleets Analyzer database
2015 deliveries
Manufacturer
Manufacturer
Engine Alliance
Rolls-Royce
Undecided
TOTAL
Aircraft
Share
21
6
27
78%
22%
-
Backlog*
Aircraft
Share
34 24%
76 54%
30 22%
140
Aircraft
Share
20
7
72
99
20%
7%
73%
-
Backlog*
Aircraft Share
General Electric
Pratt & Whitney
Rolls-Royce
Undecided
TOTAL
Rolls-Royce 37%
2015 deliveries*
Rolls-Royce 32%
36
20
222
61
339
11%
6%
65%
18%
Backlog**
Pratt & Whitney*** 66%
Powerjet 7%
Powerjet 4%
Max Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal
NOTES: NOTES: *Airframe **At 31 December 2015. Excludes corporate and military operators ***Including P&W Canada.
Data for firm orders for ATR, Bombardier (including CSeries), Comac, Embraer, Mitsubishi and Sukhoi
SOURCE: Flightglobal Insight analysis using Flightglobal's Fleets Analyzer database
12,000
10,376
10,000
8,000
6,000
2,876
2,792
2,447
2,000
2,076
Max Kingsley-Jones/Flightglobal
4,000
103
CFM
International
International
Aero Engines
General
Electric
Pratt &
Whitney
Rolls-Royce
Engine
Alliance
NOTES: In-service and parked fleet at 31 December 2015. Boeing data includes former MDC types. Excludes corporate and military operators
SOURCE: Flightglobal Insight analysis using Flightglobal's Fleets Analyzer database
flightglobal.com
Airliner
visionaries: Bill
features
Allen and Juan Trippe
unconvinced
Back in 1966, Flights editorial team was less
convinced by Boeings commitment to its
model 2707 Mach 2.7 airliner. Our 747 launch
story concluded with the words... the question which must surely arise is whether the
Boeing 747 is a nail in the coffin of the
American SST.
The catalyst for the 747 was Boeings loss to
Lockheed in the C-5 US military airlifter programme. Sutter told Flight in 1989 how on the
day Boeing learnt it had been unsuccessful,
he was recalled from vacation to begin studies
into a high-capacity jet transport: I was given
about 100 engineers, and we put a brochure
together. We looked at three sizes, 250, 300
and 350 seats, and then we made a pretty
rapid circuit of the key airlines. Most of them
leaned towards the higher size.
A solution based on Boeings original jetliner, the 707, was quickly dismissed after
Sutter and his team concluded that it looked
flightglobal.com
Boeing
boeing 747
Pan Am pioneered 747 services in January 1970, between New York and London
Boeing
Boeing
joe sutter
Chief engineer, Boeing 747
Cumulative deliveries
Active fleet
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014
SOURCE: Flightglobal's Fleets Analyzer database
flightglobal.com
the hump
When Trippe noticed the unused space in the
hump behind the cockpit earmarked for crewrest, he insisted it be converted into a firstclass lounge. Thus another touchstone of the
747 was created.
Boeing rolled the first 747 RA001
(N747O) out of its brand-new, purpose-built
production facility at Everett, Washington, on
30 September 1968 and Ship One took to the
skies on 9 February 1969.
By the time the first 747 emerged in Everett,
more than 150 orders had been secured from
26 customers, comprising key North
American airlines and flag carriers from
COVER STORY
Flightglobal
richard evans
Senior consultant, Flightglobal Ascend
The arrival of the 747 redefined the size and scale of airliner design
craft during the first three years of production. Although the 747 quickly proved itself in
service, the recession had caused demand for
new airliners to collapse and Boeings earnings
declined by $73 million in one year.
Over 18 months, Boeings Seattle employment fell from 104,000 to 38,500, and Sutter,
who by now was running the Everett division,
compete, says Richard Evans, senior consultant at Flightglobals Ascend division. Almost
all markets were regulated, so there was little
or no fare competition and airlines had to
compete on image and service. There was
nothing else available that had even transatlantic range, until the [McDonnell Douglas]
DC10-30 entered service.
The arrival of the Airbus A380 in the mid2000s stole the 747s crown as the industrys
biggest airliner, but Boeing countered in
November 2005 with the launch of the 747-8
family. This major development incorporated
launch customer
accomplice
Trippes 747 creation accomplice,
Boeing president Bill Allen, also
moved on in 1968 after almost a
quarter of a century leading the US
manufacturer when he became
chairman. Allen died in October
1985, four years after Trippe.
At the time of the 747s
introduction, Pan Ams jet fleet
totalled approximately 160 aircraft
and during the first decade of jumbo
operations, the number of aircraft
declined as the airline shifted from
an all-narrowbody portfolio to one
that predominantly comprised
widebody types.
Boeing
The niche 747SP debuted for Pan Am but went on to sell only 45 aircraft
During that time, Pan Am continued its close association with the
airliner it created, both in the good
times and the bad. In September
1973, the airline placed the first
order for the 747 Special
Performance. The SP was a shortfuselage, ultra-long-range 747
flightglobal.com
BOEING 747
Tim Bicheno-Brown
Boeing
craft well into the liberalised era, but the Atlantic saw fragmentation with 767s, he says.
The 747-400 ruled the trunk routes until the
777 entered service, offering much more cargo
space. The A380 then hit the final nail in the
coffin, by becoming the flagship aircraft for all
the airlines that have bought it.
By early this year, 747 deliveries had
reached 1,520 aircraft, but with a backlog falling to less than 20, production is slowing to
half an aircraft a month in September. Across
the life of the 747 programme, annual production has averaged over five times that rate.
Flightglobals Fleets Analyzer database
shows that from a peak of close to 1,000 aircraft in service in the late 1990s, the 747 fleet
has declined to less than 600 aircraft in service today, which includes only around 255
passenger aircraft, says Ascend head of consultancy Rob Morris.
The backlog of 19 aircraft includes [the
now defunct] Transaero Airlines in Russia,
and there are questions over other commitments as well, he adds. It seems only a matter of time before Boeing decides to terminate
production. But whenever that decision is
finally taken, the 747 will always be judged as
a significant success for Boeing.
Narrowbodies
Widebodies
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
19
66
19
67
19
68
19
69
19
70
19
71
19
72
19
73
19
74
19
75
19
76
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19 De
91 c
*
flightglobal.com
STRAIGHT&LEVEL
From yuckspeak to tales of yore, send your offcuts to murdo.morrison@flightglobal.com
On the evening of April 14th a
raid on Constantinople was
carried out by
three naval
aeroplanes.
Bombs were
dropped on the Zoitunlik
powder factory and the
aerodrome hangars.
Another naval aeroplane
visited Adrianople and
dropped bombs on the railway
station.
Next stop New York: the Pan Am Boeing 314 Yankee Clipper
berthed at Europes transatlantic gateway
The museum says a total of
101 war-weary passengers
travelled on the two seaplanes
that day, including citizens of the
UK, Argentina, Sweden, France,
Switzerland, Czechoslovakia, the
Netherlands and the USA,
cementing Foynes role as an
aviation hub in those early days
of long-haul flying.
A soft landing
Budgie blues
Alex Hendriks spotted a glaring
typo in our 5-11 April issue,
when we said that a Bek Air
Fokker 100, carrying 166
passengers and five crew, had
suffered a nose gear failure.
With that number on board,
its no wonder they had a nose
gear problem, he remarks.
The number of passengers
was in fact 116.
Rock bottom
Behind the times
Constantinople hit
Belgrade slaughter
TWA turbulence
A Trippe back in
time for Foynes
100-year archive
Every issue of Flight
from 1909 onwards
can be viewed online at
flightglobal.com/archive
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Strongfield
Specialist Aerospace
Personnel
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flightglobal.com
WORKING WEEK
IN ASSOCIATION WITH
Ros Wynne
Avionic specialist Ros Wynne was initially attracted by an apprenticeship advert. After gaining experience on a
range of Boeing types, he demonstrated his vocational expertise during a WorldSkills Competition in Brazil
20:00. After a quick team meeting I get started on the modification I am currently working
on an avionic modification
programme. The work consists
of aircraft strip-out to get access
for the new wiring, wiring
installation and continuity
checks, aircraft rebuild and,
finally, function testing of the
disturbed systems. I finish at
08:00 and after a quick snack
and a chat with my wife I go to
bed.
What are your ambitions?
I am in the process of applying
for my B2 licence. Once I get my
licence I want to become a certifying engineer on the aircraft.
Later on down the line I would
like to be involved with [the]
training of aircraft maintenance
technicians.
What activities do you do in
your spare time?
I am currently working a fourdays-on, four-days-off shift in
England, so on my days off I am
back in Ireland spending time
with my wife and our puppy,
going for walks or watching a
film. I am a huge rugby fan, so I
also try to watch as many matches as I can, especially Leinster
and Ireland. n
Looking for a job in aerospace?
Check out our listings online at
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airbus v2.indd 1
flightglobal.com
16/12/2015 14:58
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