Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Kerala was known for its spices and hill products from
time immemorial. The cash or commercial crops always had a
72
arises from the fact that the share of rubber in the total
area under the four major plantation crops of the state (rubber,
coffee, tea and cardamom) is estimated to be 66.93 per cent
and its share in the total cropped area in the state is 11.40
per cent during 1985-86. Although started in a modest scale.
rubber plantations in Kerala have recorded a phenomenal growth
after the postindependence period.
73
estates and those whose area range upto 20.23 hectares are
80 per cent of the area and almost 75 per cent of the total
production of natural rubber in the country.
Total Supplv of Rubber
74
Table - 3.1
Production of Natural Rubber in Kerala and India
(Production in metric tonnes)
~ii
_::-F-
2 "E *1
_l_.J------
. = =4;
s.
I ii "..
..-. u. ..- -.
..1_
".v:'_'l
:1-:_,_
_ 1___
. _ l_. l_, A __
3'
_._l.__
1- I
ii]
__!____
j E
3%
E a5
?ET
V -3- ..
J...T.f""'_.
__..$:::;._
I:.,__
J..,__
l_...,__ J...
._.....|
.....n
::F;\
.'-,I-.9 41.7! ;"-75 J --a --4 -.J --4 .'
:;_'5;qgn 'Utia'u'I ii-' 1'1 r:= 'n_;_'_L_'j;
__ ___T__ _
76
yield the fall in growth rate of area during the period 1971-72
to 1977-78 resulted in a depression in growth rate of production
during the period 1977-78 to 1981-82. There was also an industr
wide strike of plantation workers in 1978-79. This also resulte
in a decrease in production in 1978-79. However after 1981-82
rubber production showed an upward trend. From 181180 tonnes in
1981-82 rubber production increased to 218750 tonnes in 1986-87.
This was 91.2 per cent of the total natural rubber production in
India. The compound growth rate in rubber production during the
period 1970-71 to 1986-87 is worked out to be 4.27 per cent
(Appendix.1). If this growth rate is maintained natural rubber
production in 2000 A.D. may be worked out to be 324713.24
77
78
can uuom h
H~.o mn.m~
omon.o mn.nm
emo.o nm.>m
~nv.o m.ov
nve.o wp.
HHA.o nn.no
mmmmmmmmm------
~.n I manna
.I hit I
.1 5 ..
..1 ii
A~mom.mV AHm.~momHV
.mmmd .Em>muuoM .Uumom uwnnsm .mH .ao> nuauwaumum umnnsz cmaoca Eouw Uwusaeoo umoudom
mix mm m um H u u H um um uCduncOU
u I I coaumsvm
Illlllllllllll
79
80
Table 3.3
81
\L/.
<._<mmv_ z_
N o M I EMHWMHQ
\ ._ \\. . ,.;.... . \ , . .
Q4m_.\_,
CD
_)
OJ
C)
C)
82
we know that in the short run, producers can adjust the supply
only within their existing productive capacity. Cultivators
may adjust the yield in response to short run, price expectat
ions through more intensive cultivation. The biological
nature of rubber production requires at least one year to
change the yield through cultural and manurial practices. The
lation.
*P+U
Yt a + a1 t-1 t
(It-Yt_1) = r ( Yt - Yt_1) , 04 r 4 1
Yt = bo + bl Pt_1+ b2 Yt_1 + Vt
where bo = a r, bl = a1 r,
b2 = 1 - r and Vt = r Ut
study:
t t1'
Y = f (Pt, P
83
'k
t = trend in years
TAt = tappable area during the period t
bi = regression coefficients
Vt = error term.
The estimated yield response equations show that lagged price
4.
.m I NADME
iifi .<yi..<..<. .1
Am>mH.oVAnmmmo.ov A~mo.w~v
ANm>o.ov Ammmm.omV
>uHUHummam I :oH
85
86
Table - 3.5
Area Under Natural Rubber in Kerala and in India
(Area in Hectares)
\\\\'\ \
87
wmwmmmMmmwmmmmm
; \ \\\\\W\\\\\}\\\\\\\%\\
W/E$%
. \\\
\\\XR\\\\\\\\\\\\\}\\\*.\'{\$\\
% NN$W
AREA (Thousand-3)
O
O
O
O
O
O
(3
O
O
0 w m an O
*
1955-56 1960-61
88
89
A =a+aP +v (1)
*
lagged price
Vt = error term.
a0 and al are the constant and coefficient respectively.
Again it is related with the actual acreage by assuming that
in each period the actual area under crop is adjusted in pro
portion to the difference between the long run desired level
of area and actual area under the crop in question.
*
90
where bo = a0 r, bl = alr
b2 = l - r and U = rVt.
Equation (3) is the reduced form and its parameters can be
estimated by the use of ordinary least squares. However,
more independent variables can be incorporated in the model.
The short run elasticity (SRE) and long run elasticity (LRE)
can be obtained by using the following relations:
A=a+aP+U -(4)
91
(P-.P)=r(P-P) :5
o 4_r 4; 1
Equations (4) and (5) can be combined to eliminate the price
expectational variables which are not observable. The esti
mating equation obtained is given by
At = a0 r + a1 r P1 + (1 - r) At_1 + Vt
where V t
Ut - (1 - r) Ut_1
At = f (Pt: Pt_1r
where
D
II
CD
ll
92
t = trend in years.
As already mentioned, in the Nerlove model lagged area appears
P and so
At onthen
Pt add
t_1,P t_2
t tanA
A on P
93
94
95
HaN.o
onA.o
oomm.o
mAmo.o vv.m>>
nmo.o mm.m~mA
m>mo.o
momo.o o.om>
mmAo.o vv.m>>
vo.o nn.vmAA
m~mo.o mm.m~mA
mmm.o
wom.o
mm.o
mmm.o
mmo.o
emm.o
.mmmA
m.n I UADUH
i 8 .1
.1 ii?! I
...
(.1 i K iii! I
|l'
AoaA
Amma
Aov.mmm~. AvA.o. AH-.>, A~w.m>o~V uam ucmam.
Amma
nnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn In ova
..umA
AmmA
AnAqo.oV Aq>vn.vVA>m~.mo>~V unax unoamv Angmmv
Amma Anna
. . u Amqm~vu>oAum: An
~E%m1uUOv~ .U..:m0m HMDDSM ADA .AO> AWUHVUHUMHW UMDDSZ CMAUEH EOHN UNUDQEOU UOOHDOW
can uuoxm
movo.o
>uHUHUmMH
Hv.o
H~oo.o
Ho.o
Nw.HHN
oo.>mm
o.mmoH
HH.ovH
>.m I manme
:<(<, .1 .<..1.<.
paw
AmmH.>V Aom.ommHV
mo Euom
IOU MUHHQ
ucmomwm
AWJQV
m>oauwz
MAQEHW
An
Ipuoaxw
ncoaum
UHEu
I..n.Zw.JO.H
AU
Iuucm
Iuwzvco
Aw>oH
97
....N
~:C.O me~.o Hm.>mH Hmm.o omm.o nmm>.~ mmm.mmmm mwwa.nm mm.mvHoeH mwua Av
mno.o ~mno.o mn.emH Hm.o m>m.o momn. m~.mm~dd momooun momm.eoommH mxwm Au
n.oo.o >Hoo.o mm.mHH o>m.o m>m.o om>H.m me.ooHnH oH>m.o mo~.m~mno mxnm Am
uuuuuuuuuuuuu IIIIlllllllllllllllllllllllIlllllllllllllllIlllllllllIlllllllllIlllllIlIlMQMHWllIllllIlII|
muznmm
.mmN.mmd~v Am~H>m.H~. AoHN.m~mqv uumummmmmm
mmo o nan o Ho.>mm mm.o vmmm.o nu >m.m~mm m~mm.mm mnm.neHova nwmm AH mccaumo
SCH
98
CHAPTER IV
v +9 -2 =21 1: 1 ::
RAE
in herala.
4.)
100
Table - 4.1
Number of Licensed Manufacturers in Kerala at the End of
Each Year
101
H o .v I Emummwo
102
ing units in Kerala. This was 15.72 per cent of the total
rubber manufacturing units in the country. In 1988-89 there
were 780 rubber manufacturing units in the state. The compound
annual growth rate in the number of manufacturing units during
the period 1970-71 to 1988-89 is estimated to be 11.42 per cent.
103
104
Table - 4.2
Consumption of Different Kinds of Rubber in Kerala
Year Natural
Synthetic
Rubber
RubberReclaimed
Rubber
8917
10543
9986
11068
12047
11399
11166
20987
22735
25937
26181
27599
30960
34599
36624
37612
41740
105
m Lamgm ............. =
mmmmsmgz
mmmm:m.m
mmmmnm.m
m;%cm2a
gmLm...
N a V I EMHWMHQ
agssassssnnnnnnnur.
ZH_Q::mzQ
Q
mmmmw
mmmmm
mmmmm
mmmo
106
101.2863 IIPK
(4o.7092). R2 = 0.885
K = O.b6b, : = 53.77
:2 - . H
where
107
108
109
Table - 4.3
Total Number of Licensed Rubber Manufacturing Units and their
Licensed Quantity of Consumption of Natural Rubber in 1988-89
1.
Adhesive
7
126
2. Dipped goods 19 122
3.
Foam
products
52
2014
4. Footwear 168 6509
5.
Gloves
20
395
6. Hoses 3 426
7.
Latex
thread
23
426
8. Moulded and 40 929
extruded goods
9.
Rubber
bands
182
1628
10. Rubberised Coir 29 1801
and Jute Woolen
products
11. Surgical
and phar- 1 860
maceutical goods
12. Tread Rubber 179 10411
13. Tyre, tube, flaps 12 16413
14.
Others
45
6521
15. Total 780 48581
Source: 1)
nugm Vol. 18. Rubber Board.
Kottayam. 1988.
2) Hand Book of Rubber Statistics, AIRMA, Bombay,1989.
110
111
11.2
Table 4.4
Fixed Caoital, workina Capital, waces and Salaries to Emoloyees, Number Emoloyed, Materials
Consumed, Total Inouts, Total Outnut and Value Added in the Tyres and Tube Industrv for the
Yea:s 1973-74 to 1984-85.
(Value in lakhs)
working
Capital
wages and
Salaries
Number
Employed
1973-74
186.12
(151.69)
125.37
(89.74)
50.74
(37.63)
1974-75
231.67
(148.13)
638.61
(365.13)
209.81
(120.063)
1920
1975-76
381.06
(220.78)
656.53
(379.50)
240.97
(133.27)
1976-77
441.79
(259.73)
719.22
(407.26)
1977-78
551.50
(319.53)
1978-79
Materials
Consumed
Total
Inputs
Total
Output
1087.18
(778.223)
1107.71
(792.92)
1531.69
423.86
(1478.47) (409.2Q
1415.23
(809.1
1505.44
(860.74)
2110.51
514.86
(1542.77) (376.66)
1880
1913.72
(1106.20)
2097.04
(1212.16)
2749.28
605.24
(1772.59) (390.2D
186.07
(114.77)
1215
1361.27
(770.82)
1546.84
(875.90)
2035.66
522.21
(1312.48) (336.69)
558.06
(300.36)
238.52
(148.05)
1787
1224.34
(658.96)
1410.00
(758.88)
1957.81
510.35
(1273.79) (531.04)
542.05
(294.75)
464.67
(250.09)
201.65
(119.19)
2067
1016.43
(547.06)
1148.45
(618.11)
1563.39
368.65
(861.37) (203.11)
1979-80
2762.46
(1279.51)
969.65
(445.61)
312.21
(168.44)
2272
2481.06
(1140.19)
2837.89
(1304.18)
3988.59
835.56
(1847.42) (3B7.0U
1980-81
2544.46
(1062.85)
1405.46
(546.23)
277.89
(135.19)
2213
2943.63
(1144.05)
4047.85
432.74
3299.01
(12B2.165) (1605.65) (171.sm
1168.53
2370.19
(894.074) (415.40)
297.94
2116
(124.79
3412.62
(1213.16)
3948.42
(1403.63)
4544.82
(1561.74)
2224.27
(794.67)
1441.85
(499.4D
2545
(174.43
5136.10
(1779.0U
5776.02
(2000.70)
9171.61 3046.82
(2907.01) (965.71)
1983-84
2020.00
(698.00)
1676.34
(530.49)
492.08
(165.42)
2723
4672.32
(1478.86)
5390.19
(1705.76)
7225.87 1469.89
(2221.98) (452.00)
1984-85
1726.18
(568.57)
1339.63
(395.38)
412.47
(128.82)
4643.72
5402.67
(1596.53)
6461.56
728.31
(1874.55) (211.29)
1981-82
1982-83
437.82
(1372226)
277.28
(95.28)
igures
Annual survev of
Trivandrum.
and Statistic:
113
Mv I Emummmm
Aay.n
114
Table - 4.5
Fixed Capital, workina Capital wages and salaries to Emoloyees, Number Emoloyedl Materials
Consumed, Total Inputs, Total Output and Value Added in the Other Rubber Products Sector for
the years 1973-74 to 1984-85
(Value in lakhs)
Year Fixed working wages and Number Materials Total Total va1ue
115
.Vc.v I Emhmm
4&3. U
116
117
Table - 4.6
Fixed Capital, workinq Cap1ta1J Haoes and Salaries to Emoloyees, Number Emolovei, Materials
Ccnsumedl Total Igguts, Total Output and Value Added in the Rubber-Based Industrv for the
Years 1973-74 to 1984-85
(Value in lakhs)
Year Fixed
Working Hages and Number Materials Totgl T013 Value
Capital Capital Salaries Employed Consumed Inputs Ou:put Added
1973-74 523.11 301.32 167.39 4899 2167.14 2223.74 2943.61 719.75
Trivandrum.
m can I EMHWMHQ
4...: on U
119
ther as a single size group we can find that over 92 per cent
of the factories commands 75 per cent of the total average
daily employment. If more than 1000 workers in a factory is
120
in the state has increased from 1.50 per cent in 1973-74 to two
per cent in 1984-85. when we consider the rubber-based
121
122
annual growth rate during the period in the above sectors are
found to -3 16.69 per cent and 20.49 per cent respectively.
Share of the tyres and tube industry and other rubber products
_J
123
124
which was 2.21 per cent of the total value added in factory
sector in Kerala. Value added has further increased to
%.2799.79 lakhs in 1984-85, which was 4.10 per cent of the total
value added in the factory sector in the state. The increase
in value added can be more clearly brought out by the compound
growth rate. The compound annual growth rate during the
125