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rhadint@it.student.pens.ac.id
CONTENTS
Introduction
Background
Problem
Idea
Theory
Result
Future Works
Problems
The national government has created a de-centralized structure to
prepare and respond to disasters and climate change. However, these
structures are often lacking and funding is frequently diverted from
preparation and mitigation to emergency response, and many lack the
organizational capability necessary to mitigate disasters.
The increase in floods and their destructive results worldwide require
an ongoing improvement on identification and mapping of flood
hazard. (Kundzewicz and Kaczmare 2000; Ebert et al. 2009).
Idea
Build web-based risk-level assessment system that comprehend
hazards, vulnerabilities, and capacities summarized in risk analysis and
integrated with Geographical Information System so it can map the
region based on its risk level
C : Adaptive Capacity
General Guidelines for Disaster Risk Assessment, National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB)
General Guidelines for Disaster Risk Assessment, National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB)
General Guidelines for Disaster Risk Assessment, National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB)
The Hierarchy
Number of Population
Exposure
Number of Population
Exposure per District
East Java Contingency Plan on Bengawan Solo Flood, National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB)
Risk Value
As explained earlier, the Risk map has been prepared based on an
index of hazard, vulnerability and capacity. Modifications should
be made to the above formula so it can be used in semiquantitative. Multiplication with a capacity inverted (1-C)
performed, rather than division with C, to avoid high value in the
case of extreme values of the low value of C, or error in terms of
the empty values of C. The result of multiplying the index must be
corrected by showing the root of 1 / n, for regains its original
dimensions
General Guidelines for Disaster Risk Assessment, National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB)
Risk-Level Division
Furthermore, the values that were derived from were grouped
into three risk levels. This classification was done by using the
optimization method of classes distribution natural breaks (Jenks
1967).
The Jenks optimization method, also called the Jenks natural
breaks classification method, is a data classification method
designed to determine the best arrangement of values into
different classes. This is done by seeking to minimize each class
average deviation from the class mean, while maximizing each
class deviation from the means of the other groups. In other
words, the method seeks to reduce the variance within classes
and maximize the variance between classes.
Result
Conclusion
There are three level risk-level on Bengawan Solos flood-prone areas
based on the analysis of hazards, vulnerabilities, and capacities
There are 5 low-risk districts, 17 medium-risk districts, and 14 high-risk
districts on the flood-prone areas
Future Works
Flood prediction and forecating system
References
Indonesia Data and Information, National Disaster Management Authority
(BNPB)
Merz B, Kreibich H, Schwarze R, Thieken A (2010) Assessment of economic
flood damage. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10:16791724
Kundzewicz W, Kaczmare Z (2000) Coping with hydrological extremes. Water
Int 25:6675
THANK YOU
rhadint@it.student.pens.ac.id