Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Geneva 2007
iii
Guide providing a comprehensive view of all aspects of the cotton value chain from a market
perspective – provides an overview of the world cotton market (production, consumption and trade);
outlines factors influencing supply and demand, and market trends; considers major issues of the
sector, including trade policy and WTO issues; deals with textile processing of cotton, cotton quality
and its determinants, and cotton contamination; covers various aspects of cotton trading and export
marketing (packaging, controlling, back office and documentation, freight and shipping, financing,
warehousing, insurance, risk management, contracts and arbitration); looks at e-commerce (Internet
auction and electronic paperwork), the ICE Futures U.S. and other futures markets for cotton;
reviews the market for different types of cotton, including organic cotton; presents market profiles of
the main importing countries in Asia (Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Thailand) and
Turkey, with recommendations on how to approach their cotton-consuming textile industries;
annexes contain a list of international cotton associations, as well as lists of useful addresses and web
resources.
The Government of Denmark financed the preparation and publication of this guide.
The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the
expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Trade Centre
UNCTAD/WTO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its
authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
Mention of firm names and commercial products does not imply the endorsement of ITC.
Digital image on the cover: Peter Wakefield and International Trade Centre
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any
form or by any means, electronic, electrostatic, magnetic tape, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without prior
permission in writing from the International Trade Centre.
There is no doubt that cotton has become a litmus test for the development dimension of WTO Doha
Development Agenda (DDA), launched in 2001. It was in 2003 that the issue of cotton tariffs, domestic and
export subsidies was brought to the fore by the Cotton-4 (Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad and Mali) with the
support of the African Union, the least developed countries, and the African, Caribbean and Pacific countries.
In 2004, WTO Members agreed to establish a two-track process for the treatment of cotton: a trade track and a
development track. The trade track, which forms part of the Doha Round, is aimed at negotiating the level of
reduction of trade-distorting subsidies, export subsidies and tariffs on cotton. Agreement was reached to tackle
cotton ambitiously, expeditiously, and specifically within the agriculture negotiations. The most notable
progress made on this particular track since the launch of the negotiations took place at the Hong Kong
Ministerial Conference in December 2005, where WTO Members agreed on the complete elimination of
export subsidies for cotton, and on the granting of duty-free quota-free (DFQF) access for cotton to all exports
from least developed countries. The development track is aimed at better targeting development assistance to
cotton producing developing countries, and in particular the poorest among them. In March 2007, I convened
a High-Level Session on Cotton to take stock of all action taken so far along both tracks. A conclusion
unanimously reached by WTO Members at the High-Level Session was that there would be no outcome to the
Doha Round without an outcome on cotton.
Since 2004, the International Trade Centre (ITC) has made a valuable contribution on the development
aspects of cotton, notably by putting forward the idea of a Cotton Exporter’s Guide. This guide is intended to
serve as a reference on the global cotton market for the business community, at every level of the cotton value
chain. It identifies niche areas, such as the demand for organic and other cotton varieties, and sets out in simple
terms the market requirements for cotton exporters. In so doing, it draws attention to new export opportunities
in many dynamic cotton markets, in particular in Asia. I believe that this is extremely valuable. The
information contained in the guide will, no doubt, be of value for policy-makers as they design policies for
cotton sector export development.
As progress continues to be made in the Doha Round on the trade policy aspects of cotton, I commend
Patricia Francis and her team at ITC for their important contribution to the implementation of the WTO
mandate on the development aspects of cotton. This is a vital complement to the outcome of the DDA.
Pascal Lamy
Director-General
World Trade Organization
The Cotton Exporter’s Guide is a reference book that contains pragmatic and operational information on the
international cotton market. The objective is to provide all those engaged in producing and exporting cotton
with a thorough and down-to-earth understanding of all aspects of the international cotton trade.
This guide is primarily targeted at cotton producers, ginners, exporters and traders in cotton producing
developing countries, mainly, but not exclusively, in Africa. As the guide provides a comprehensive view of all
aspects of the cotton value chain from a market perspective, it will also help government officials to gain a
deeper understanding of the crucial aspects that need to be addressed in cotton export development.
The Guide covers all the essential components of the cotton trade. Its ambition is to meet the needs of today’s
exporters who face many challenges – commercial, technical, logistical, environmental and social – in an
increasingly sophisticated and competitive trading environment.
ITC’s view is that for exporters to become internationally competitive, they need to have a comprehensive
overview of the entire value chain they are operating in. The guide reflects this view entirely.
The Guide provides an important element of what is required to increase competitiveness in a global sector
that is influenced by market adjustments after the quota phase-out in the textile and clothing sector.
ITC Cotton Programme, developed following the market adjustments, seeks to build capacity among cotton
growers, ginners and exporters through a comprehensive 5-step market-oriented programme:
1. Delivery of an awareness building programme to African cotton growers and traders through the
dissemination of and training on the Guide.
2. The design and implementation of a capacity building strategy to strengthen cotton-specific Trade
Support Institutions, such as the African Cotton Association, to reach out to all of the 33 African cotton
producing countries.
3. Implementation of a Cotton Training Programme together with developing countries that have successfully
developed their own cotton sector, such as India, China and Brazil, etc. African cotton producers will, thus, learn
from best practice around the world and will benefit from South-South knowledge transfer in areas such as
cotton production management, processing, value addition as well as international cotton trade, etc.
4. Implementation of a textile and clothing awareness programme for cotton producers so that the latter
better understand the immediate market for cotton and its requirements. Such a programme will be organized
in textile producing (and thus cotton consuming) markets. It will also provide insights into value-addition
possibilities and best practices mainly from Asia.
5. The promotion of African cotton to the booming textile industry in Asia. This includes business
networking events, a series of South-South round tables and technical workshops in partnership with the
African Cotton Associations and Textile Manufacturer Associations in the respective markets to facilitate
networking and share experiences and best practices.
In all its activities, ITC will involve the cotton industry, including international traders and draw upon their
expertise. The market is always the starting point of ITC’s operations.
Patricia Francis
Executive Director
International Trade Centre
Acknowledgements
This guide was made possible through the voluntary contributions of expertise, experience, insider knowledge
and valuable time by the people, companies and organizations below, whose assistance is acknowledged with
thanks and appreciation.
Appendices
q Bremer Baumwollbörse (Bremen Cotton Exchange), Bremen, Germany
q Committee for International Co-operation between Cotton Associations (CICCA)
q Common Fund for Commodities (CFC), Amsterdam, The Netherlands
q Cotlook Limited, Liverpool, United Kingdom
q International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC), Washington, District of Columbia, USA
At ITC, Daniel Torres, Consultant, Market Development Section, provided managerial inputs. Alison
Southby edited the guide, Kathryn Della Corte provided administrative support, and Isabel Droste and
Carmelita Endaya prepared the copy for printing.
Contents
Foreword iv–v
Acknowledgements vii
Note xxv
Introduction 1
Chapter 1
The world cotton market 3
Chapter 1
The world cotton market 3
Overview 3
Production 4
Production trends 5
Africa in perspective 6
Trends in mill use of fibre 7
Expansion of retail cotton use 8
Retail cotton consumption 8
Mill consumption 9
Inter-fibre competition 10
Long-term projections for textile fibre consumption 11
Trade 11
Biotech cotton in world textile trade 14
Government measures 14
The importance of cotton in world trade 16
Cotton prices 17
Cotton prices measured at many levels 17
Influence of time on prices 18
Spot sales and purchases 18
Forward cash sales and purchases 18
On-call sales and purchases 18
Marketing pools 19
Influence of location and quality on prices 19
Cotton and competing crop prices 20
Structural changes leading to lower real world cotton prices 21
Technology 22
Polyester 22
Prices of cotton yarn 23
Retail prices for clothes 24
xii
Futures markets 24
Relationship between New York futures and the Cotlook A Index 25
Modeling cotton prices 25
Sources of price forecast error 26
Expectations of accuracy 27
The Cotlook Indices 27
A brief description 27
Daily quotations 28
The Cotlook A Index 29
Transition to an Asian (Far Eastern) basis 29
The dual system 30
Uses of the Cotlook Indices 30
Cotton in the Doha Development Agenda 31
Chapter 2
Cotton value addition 35
Combing 86
Roving 86
Spinning 87
Fabric formation 89
Woven fabric 89
Knitted fabric 90
Nonwovens 91
Chapter 3
Cotton marketing 92
Contracts 92
The essential value of a well written contract 92
Variations and amendments to the contract 93
In the event of disputes 93
Appointment of an agent 93
Standard contractual terms 94
Quality – terms of valuation 94
Growth and quality 95
Quantity 96
Price and terms 96
Weight basis 96
Payment 97
Shipment 99
Freight – shipments by vessel 100
Insurance 100
Special clauses 101
Reverse side of the contract ‘conditions’ 101
Main trade (logistical) terms and parties’ obligations 101
Documentation 102
Claims 104
Scope and validity of an offer or bid 104
Arbitration 105
General principles and aims of arbitration 105
Disputes addressed by ICA arbitration 106
Physical or mechanical tested characteristics of the cotton fibre 106
Technical arbitration – dealing with the written aspects of the contract 106
The commencement of arbitration and formalities 106
Appointment of arbitrators 107
Conducting the arbitration 107
The arbitration award 107
Appeal against an arbitration award 108
Failure to comply with an award 109
Promotion of good trading practice 109
The European Cotton Rules 109
Documentation (‘back office’) 110
Letters of credit 110
Payment: credit policy 110
Shipping advice 111
Delayed shipments 111
The bill of lading 112
Title to and endorsement of a bill of lading 113
Dispatching bills of lading 113
Certificates of origin 114
xv
Chapter 4
Cotton trading 169
Chapter 5
Market segments 210
Chapter 6
Market profiles 245
Bangladesh 245
The structure and characteristics of the domestic cotton market 245
Future market developments – demand and supply forecasts 245
Supply and demand in the national market 245
Yarn supply situation and future demand 246
What kind of cotton is supplied from abroad, and from which countries? 246
Imports of cotton into Bangladesh 247
Development of imports in the last five years 247
Prices 248
Cotton qualities supplied domestically 248
Specific cotton quality requirements of the domestic textile industry 249
Cotton import procedures in Bangladesh 249
Recommendations for LDC cotton exporters on increasing exports to Bangladesh 250
China 251
The structure and characteristics of the domestic cotton market: a macro view 251
Importance of cotton in Chinese textiles 251
Domestic cotton 251
Domestic cotton market 252
Quality of cotton produced and imported 253
Supply and demand in the national market 253
Specific cotton quality requirements of the domestic textile industry 253
Import developments 254
Quota system and management of China’s cotton industry 255
Non-tariff requirements in the domestic market 257
Customs procedures 257
Freight forwarding and transport requirements 258
Packaging, marketing, labelling and specific domestic business practices 258
Expected market developments 260
The domestic market: a micro view 260
Different players in the market 260
Specific cotton contracts 260
Cotton finance and payment regulations 261
Use of e-commerce and ICT for procurement 261
Consumer preference for specific fibre types and blending 261
Shandong Weiqiao Pioneering Group: case study of a large national cotton consumer 261
Possible niche markets and product groups to be targeted 262
Recommendations for LDC cotton exporters for penetrating the Chinese market 262
Detailed rules for quota management of cotton imports in China 263
Chronology of policies and events related to China’s cotton import quota 264
India 266
The structure and characteristics of the domestic cotton market 266
Importance of cotton in Indian textiles 266
National cotton production 266
The domestic cotton market 267
Quality of cotton supplied by the domestic industry, and imports 267
Supply and demand in the national market 268
Specific cotton quality requirements of the domestic textile industry 268
Analysis of import tariff structure 269
Non-tariff requirements in the domestic market 269
Cotton import procedure 269
Special import regulations 269
xx
Appendices
I. International cotton associations 323
II. Conversion factors 328
III. Useful websites 331
Tables
1.1 Share of cotton in product exports from selected African countries 16
Figures
1.1 World cotton production 4
1.2 World cotton cultivation area 4
1.3 World yields 5
1.4 Cotton production, 1983-2005 5
1.5 Cotton production, 2006/07 5
1.6 Cotton yields 6
1.7 African cotton exports 7
1.8 World fibre use 7
1.9 Cotton end-use 8
1.10 World mill use 9
1.11 Cotton mill use, 2006/07 10
1.12 World fibre use: cotton vs non-cotton 10
1.13 Cotton market share 11
1.14 World exports 11
1.15 Cotton exports, 2006/07 12
1.16 World cotton imports, 1980/81-2005/06 12
1.17 Cotton imports, 2006/07 13
1.18 World biotech cotton area 14
1.19 Direct government assistance to cotton 14
1.20 Average direct assistance 15
1.21 Cotton prices: Cotton Outlook quotes in US cents per pound 20
1.22 Cotton prices – Ratio: US Pima to the Cotlook A Index 20
1.23 Cotton and wheat prices 21
1.24 Cotton and maize prices 21
1.25 Cotton and soybean prices 21
1.26 Deflated Cotlook A Index: 2004 US cents per pound 21
1.27 Cotlook A Index: Season-averages in US cents per pound 21
1.28 Fibre prices 23
1.29 Cotton and yarn prices 24
1.30 Cotton prices: Cotlook A Index and NY Nearby Futures 25
1.31 Net imports by China and international cotton prices 26
1.32 Cotlook A Index: Cents per pound, model forecast using current data 26
1.33 Cotlook A Index, 1996–2007 28
1.34 Dual index system 30
xxiii
Unless otherwise specified, all references to dollars ($) and cents are to United States dollars and cents. All references
to tons are to metric tons. The term ‘billion’ denotes 1 thousand million.
SG Saw-ginned
SITC Standard Instrument Testing
SLM Strict low middling
SMEs Small and medium-sized enterprises
TEU 20-foot equivalent unit
THC Terminal handling charges
UCP Uniform Customs and Practice for Documentary Credits
UHML Upper half mean length
UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
USDA United States Department of Agriculture
USDA/AMS United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service
UV Ultra-violet
VAT Value added tax
VSA Vessel sharing arrangements
WR Warehouse receipt
WRS Warehouse receipts system
WTO World Trade Organization
ZCE Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (China)