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for someone, compared to only 23% who consider it a positive. But among Republican
voters there's 35/44 opposition to hearings, and voters say by a 16 point spread that
they're more likely to vote for someone who opposes hearings. So McCain's
obstructionism might be helpful in getting him through the primary, but it's a completely
different story when you get to the general. For instance independents support hearings,
65/21.
The Presidential election is pretty competitive in Arizona at this point. Donald Trump
leads Hillary Clinton just 40-38, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 2%. There's a
significant 'Never Trump' contingent among Arizona Republicans. While Clinton gets
80% of the Democratic vote, Trump is only getting 68% of the GOP vote at this stage.
That number tracks with our finding that just 65% of Republicans say they're comfortable
with Trump as their nominee to 22% who say they aren't. When you narrow the field to
just Clinton and Trump though, Trump's lead goes up to 45/41 because his share of the
GOP vote increases to 77%. 15% of Republicans are undecided compared to 8% of
Democrats, so if the party really unites around Trump eventually he'll get close to being
up by the kind of margins Republicans are accustomed to in the state but for now it's
tight.
Republicans in Arizona are taking longer to unify around Donald Trump than weve
found in our national polling, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
Short term thats making it look like a swing state in the Presidential race, but if those
GOP voters do eventually get around Trump then it wont be as competitive.
Bernie Sanders is not going to be the Democratic nominee for President but he leads
Trump 42/39 with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 2%, and has a 45/44 advantage over Trump
head to head. The difference between how Clinton and Sanders perform continues to
come almost entirely among younger voters. Clinton leads Trump 39/32 with voters
under 45, but Sanders' lead with that group goes up to 52/29.
Picking Jan Brewer as his running mate would not be an asset for Trump in Arizona. She
has only a 35% favorability rating in the state to 46% of voters who see her unfavorably.
Trump actually does 4 points worse against both Clinton and Sanders in a hypothetical
scenario where Brewer is his running mate- he ties Clinton at 43, and his disadvantage
against Sanders spikes to 46/41.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 896 registered voters from May 13th to 15th, including 443
Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/-3.3% overall, and +/-4.7% for the
Republicans. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone,
while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet
through an opt-in internet panel.
Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Q4
Q2
Q5
Q6
Alex Meluskey................................................. 4%
Clair Van Steenwyk......................................... 2%
Q3
Man................................................................. 54%
Q7
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
McCain Approval
Base
Very
libe...
Ward Favorability
Approve 35%
16%
60%
54%
33%
18%
Favorable 21%
42%
14%
22%
23%
Disapprove 50%
84%
34%
28%
52%
67%
Unfavorable 20%
36%
14%
17%
18%
28%
6%
18%
15%
15%
64%
44%
69%
60%
49%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Base
Very
libe...
McCain / Ward
7%
45%
60%
34%
28%
Scott McBean
3%
36%
13%
2%
3%
0%
Alex Meluskey
4%
0%
3%
9%
2%
20%
1%
1%
1%
31%
14%
10%
29%
35%
Undecided 27%
26%
7%
26%
29%
27%
7%
66%
61%
36%
30%
84%
27%
21%
46%
52%
10%
7%
18%
18%
18%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
McCain Approval
Base
Wom...
Man
Ward Favorability
Approve 35%
37%
32%
Favorable 21%
16%
25%
Disapprove 50%
44%
55%
Unfavorable 20%
15%
25%
19%
12%
69%
50%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Base
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Wom...
Man
McCain / Ward
43%
35%
Scott McBean
3%
4%
2%
Alex Meluskey
4%
3%
4%
2%
1%
2%
19%
32%
Undecided 27%
30%
24%
43%
40%
36%
46%
21%
14%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
McCain Approval
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Ward Favorability
Approve 35%
47%
28%
31%
Favorable 21%
15%
27%
19%
Disapprove 50%
38%
59%
51%
Unfavorable 20%
22%
19%
21%
15%
12%
18%
63%
55%
60%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
McCain / Ward
50%
30%
39%
Scott McBean
3%
6%
1%
3%
Alex Meluskey
4%
2%
4%
5%
2%
3%
1%
2%
18%
36%
21%
Undecided 27%
20%
29%
30%
53%
31%
43%
36%
51%
34%
10%
17%
23%
Q6
Disapprove...................................................... 49%
Q2
Q7
Favorable........................................................ 31%
Unfavorable .................................................... 60%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%
Q3
Q4
Favorable........................................................ 40%
Q8
Favorable........................................................ 36%
Q5
Q9
Favorable........................................................ 28%
Q31 Mode
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Clinton Favorability
Approve 43%
89%
5%
26%
Favorable 31%
66%
5%
6%
Disapprove 49%
6%
91%
44%
Unfavorable 60%
22%
94%
73%
5%
4%
30%
12%
2%
21%
Not sure
8%
Not sure
8%
2012 Vote
Base
2012 Vote
Sanders Favorability
Base
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
70%
14%
36%
Favorable 36%
13%
58%
33%
Unfavorable 49%
21%
77%
42%
Unfavorable 56%
86%
29%
53%
10%
9%
22%
1%
14%
14%
Not sure
8%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
8%
14%
9%
70%
38%
Gary Johnson
6%
3%
8%
7%
Jill Stein
2%
4%
0%
6%
8%
13%
34%
Clinton/Trump
Base
82%
6%
24%
11%
79%
40%
7%
14%
36%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Sanders/Trump
77%
10%
38%
8%
71%
28%
Gary Johnson
6%
4%
8%
3%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
1%
5%
9%
10%
25%
82%
13%
41%
10%
79%
35%
9%
8%
24%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
Base Oba...
mney Don't remem...
Brewer Favorability
Favorable 35%
13%
56%
29%
Unfavorable 46%
70%
24%
49%
16%
20%
22%
Base
85%
9%
26%
10%
76%
37%
5%
15%
37%
2012 Vote
Base
McCain Approval
83%
13%
41%
8%
75%
33%
9%
12%
26%
2012 Vote
Approve 34%
32%
35%
33%
Disapprove 52%
56%
53%
38%
12%
12%
29%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
10%
20%
11%
Unfavorable 20%
22%
21%
8%
68%
59%
81%
Base
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Favorable 28%
49%
13%
10%
Unfavorable 30%
17%
43%
22%
33%
44%
68%
2012 Vote
Base
2012 Vote
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Base
Ward / Kirkpatrick
22%
62%
35%
10%
66%
24%
64%
14%
17%
67%
10%
19%
14%
24%
48%
23%
24%
57%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
Base Oba...
mney Don't remem...
11%
42%
20%
67%
14%
34%
19%
42%
35%
3%
2%
11%
4%
78%
20%
33%
16%
62%
63%
6%
17%
4%
Not sure
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
Not sure
Base
7%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
74%
8%
80%
29%
72%
44%
21%
65%
6%
67%
17%
19%
5%
27%
14%
4%
11%
37%
Not sure
7%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
88%
4%
42%
23%
7%
21%
15%
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
Base
37%
62%
20%
29%
15%
60%
22%
36%
20%
50%
49%
Ideology
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
Oba...
mney Don't remem...
Base
Poll Good/Bad News
for McCain
This poll will be good 25%
news for John McCain
26%
29%
7%
46%
34%
20%
29%
38%
72%
Base
Base
Obama Approval
Approve 43%
92%
87%
48%
11%
4%
Disapprove 49%
5%
10%
38%
81%
95%
3%
3%
14%
9%
2%
Not sure
8%
Ideology
Very
libe...
Very
libe...
Ideology
Clinton Favorability
Base
Very
libe...
Sanders Favorability
Favorable 31%
65%
64%
35%
6%
3%
Favorable 40%
79%
77%
42%
15%
8%
Unfavorable 60%
28%
28%
54%
83%
96%
Unfavorable 49%
15%
20%
43%
67%
88%
8%
7%
11%
10%
0%
5%
3%
15%
17%
4%
Not sure
8%
Ideology
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
20%
13%
25%
58%
57%
Unfavorable 56%
80%
83%
71%
26%
24%
Not sure
8%
3%
3%
16%
18%
Base
Base
74%
74%
44%
9%
1%
12%
11%
26%
68%
81%
7%
Gary Johnson
6%
2%
3%
9%
5%
Jill Stein
2%
8%
1%
3%
1%
1%
5%
11%
18%
16%
10%
Ideology
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 41%
81%
81%
51%
8%
0%
14%
11%
31%
75%
87%
6%
7%
17%
17%
13%
Base
Very
libe...
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Bernie Sanders 42%
75%
81%
51%
12%
4%
9%
9%
24%
67%
81%
Gary Johnson
6%
4%
2%
7%
4%
11%
Jill Stein
2%
3%
4%
0%
0%
12%
5%
14%
16%
3%
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Ideology
Very
libe...
Very
libe...
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Sanders/Trump
Base
Very
libe...
Brewer Favorability
76%
78%
60%
15%
3%
Favorable 35%
15%
24%
27%
46%
63%
14%
16%
28%
71%
91%
Unfavorable 46%
74%
58%
54%
31%
21%
10%
6%
12%
15%
6%
11%
18%
20%
23%
16%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
80%
79%
55%
9%
5%
81%
77%
62%
13%
4%
16%
16%
27%
69%
88%
9%
18%
24%
67%
89%
4%
5%
18%
22%
6%
9%
5%
14%
20%
7%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
McCain Approval
Base
Very
libe...
Ward Favorability
Approve 34%
28%
29%
46%
31%
20%
Favorable 15%
14%
5%
14%
18%
22%
Disapprove 52%
66%
53%
42%
51%
66%
Unfavorable 20%
26%
13%
17%
19%
29%
6%
18%
12%
18%
14%
60%
82%
69%
62%
49%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Base
Very
libe...
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Favorable 28%
46%
49%
34%
11%
4%
Unfavorable 30%
27%
11%
21%
38%
60%
27%
40%
46%
51%
36%
25%
19%
41%
53%
65%
56%
40%
18%
9%
9%
25%
18%
30%
27%
64%
Ideology
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ward / Kirkpatrick
81%
Base
Very
libe...
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
19%
12%
23%
55%
61%
64%
43%
12%
4%
17%
9%
18%
40%
20%
24%
34%
33%
15%
62%
77%
48%
10%
7%
21%
12%
31%
45%
39%
0%
2%
4%
5%
5%
Not sure
4%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
48%
Ideology
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
Very
libe...
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
73%
80%
68%
43%
24%
82%
78%
55%
44%
45%
14%
15%
30%
45%
76%
15%
20%
33%
40%
14%
5%
2%
11%
3%
2%
12%
16%
55%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
7%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
70%
81%
42%
74%
65%
30%
14%
48%
12%
20%
Very
libe...
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
Base
5%
10%
14%
15%
96%
86%
67%
39%
31%
0%
6%
19%
38%
53%
4%
8%
14%
24%
16%
Ideology
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
Base
Very
libe...
27%
23%
13%
29%
38%
57%
62%
45%
20%
19%
16%
15%
42%
51%
44%
29%
22%
26%
23%
25%
54%
54%
27%
34%
36%
17%
24%
47%
43%
39%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Obama Approval
Base
Wom...
Man
Clinton Favorability
Approve 43%
48%
38%
Favorable 31%
33%
30%
Disapprove 49%
43%
55%
Unfavorable 60%
57%
65%
9%
7%
11%
6%
Not sure
8%
Not sure
8%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Sanders Favorability
Base
Wom...
Man
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
43%
37%
Favorable 36%
29%
44%
Unfavorable 49%
45%
53%
Unfavorable 56%
63%
48%
12%
10%
8%
8%
Not sure
8%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Base
43%
32%
35%
47%
Gary Johnson
6%
5%
7%
Jill Stein
2%
3%
2%
14%
12%
47%
34%
39%
53%
14%
13%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Base
Wom...
Man
Sanders/Trump
48%
34%
33%
47%
Gary Johnson
6%
5%
6%
Jill Stein
2%
1%
3%
12%
10%
52%
38%
37%
53%
11%
10%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Brewer Favorability
Favorable 35%
31%
39%
Unfavorable 46%
46%
47%
23%
14%
Man
Clinton/Trump
Wom...
Base
Wom...
Man
49%
37%
36%
51%
15%
13%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Base
Wom...
Man
McCain Approval
53%
38%
35%
49%
13%
13%
Approve 34%
35%
32%
Disapprove 52%
50%
55%
15%
14%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Ward Favorability
Favorable 15%
11%
18%
Unfavorable 20%
16%
24%
72%
58%
Base
Base
Man
Favorable 28%
26%
30%
Unfavorable 30%
27%
33%
47%
37%
Gender
Wom...
Wom...
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Gender
Man
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Base
Wom...
Man
Ward / Kirkpatrick
41%
42%
31%
43%
37%
34%
35%
35%
22%
24%
33%
21%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
Wom...
Man
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
23%
30%
44%
34%
29%
34%
5%
2%
Not sure
Base
4%
70%
74%
24%
17%
6%
9%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
Wom...
Man
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
68%
71%
63%
67%
24%
24%
24%
20%
8%
4%
13%
13%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Base
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
Wom...
Man
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
64%
59%
18%
30%
18%
11%
20%
28%
39%
40%
41%
32%
Party
Gender
Base
Wom...
Man
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Obama Approval
27%
23%
33%
43%
41%
34%
Approve 43%
87%
9%
37%
Disapprove 49%
9%
83%
49%
4%
8%
14%
Not sure
8%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton Favorability
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Sanders Favorability
Favorable 31%
67%
5%
22%
Favorable 40%
69%
19%
35%
Unfavorable 60%
22%
89%
67%
Unfavorable 49%
23%
72%
47%
10%
5%
10%
8%
9%
18%
Not sure
8%
Party
Party
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
13%
57%
34%
Unfavorable 56%
85%
29%
58%
1%
15%
8%
Not sure
8%
Base
80%
10%
25%
9%
68%
39%
Gary Johnson
6%
3%
5%
12%
Jill Stein
2%
1%
1%
7%
8%
16%
17%
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 41%
84%
7%
34%
8%
77%
46%
8%
15%
19%
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Bernie Sanders 42%
76%
12%
41%
10%
70%
31%
6%
9%
Gary Johnson
6%
4%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
0%
4%
8%
11%
15%
Party
Base
Independent / Other
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Party
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Sanders/Trump
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Brewer Favorability
81%
12%
50%
Favorable 35%
16%
54%
30%
11%
78%
37%
Unfavorable 46%
71%
28%
42%
8%
10%
14%
13%
18%
27%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
86%
10%
37%
83%
13%
49%
9%
74%
41%
9%
73%
36%
5%
16%
22%
9%
14%
15%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
McCain Approval
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Ward Favorability
Approve 34%
32%
30%
41%
Favorable 15%
11%
18%
13%
Disapprove 52%
57%
53%
46%
Unfavorable 20%
20%
22%
17%
11%
17%
13%
69%
60%
70%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Favorable 28%
49%
14%
20%
Unfavorable 30%
18%
41%
28%
32%
45%
52%
24%
56%
44%
62%
16%
32%
15%
29%
23%
Party
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Ward / Kirkpatrick
Kelli Ward 37%
12%
60%
35%
63%
14%
32%
25%
27%
33%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
More likely 26%
12%
41%
21%
71%
14%
35%
16%
40%
40%
1%
5%
4%
Not sure
4%
Base Democr...
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Would be comfortable 71%
with Hillary Clinton as
the Democratic
nominee for President
71%
22%
Not sure
7%
Party
Party
Base Democr...
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
7%
Base
Republic...
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
69%
65%
24%
22%
7%
13%
Not sure
7%
Party
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Base
Independent / Other
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
The Senate should 61%
have confirmation
hearings for the
nominee to fill the
vacant Supreme Court
seat
87%
35%
65%
5%
44%
21%
8%
21%
14%
20%
34%
13%
61%
18%
43%
20%
48%
44%
Party
Base
Race
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Base
Obama Approval
25%
27%
21%
47%
35%
27%
27%
37%
52%
Approve 43%
65%
36%
55%
Disapprove 49%
24%
58%
26%
10%
6%
18%
Not sure
8%
Race
Base
Race
Clinton Favorability
Base
Sanders Favorability
Favorable 31%
39%
27%
49%
Favorable 40%
63%
35%
33%
Unfavorable 60%
38%
69%
38%
Unfavorable 49%
25%
54%
53%
23%
4%
14%
13%
10%
13%
Not sure
8%
Race
Base
Race
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
22%
40%
31%
Unfavorable 56%
72%
51%
60%
Not sure
8%
7%
8%
10%
Base
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Hillary Clinton 38%
62%
29%
50%
17%
49%
23%
Gary Johnson
6%
7%
6%
5%
Jill Stein
2%
0%
2%
7%
13%
13%
15%
Race
Base
Race
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 41%
67%
32%
58%
21%
54%
28%
12%
14%
13%
Base
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Bernie Sanders 42%
70%
35%
37%
15%
48%
21%
Gary Johnson
6%
6%
6%
6%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
7%
10%
29%
Race
Base
9%
Race
Sanders/Trump
Base
Brewer Favorability
74%
38%
43%
Favorable 35%
32%
39%
7%
19%
54%
26%
Unfavorable 46%
48%
44%
65%
7%
9%
31%
20%
17%
28%
Race
Base
Race
Base
67%
34%
64%
74%
38%
44%
24%
51%
19%
18%
50%
26%
9%
15%
18%
7%
12%
30%
Race
Base
Race
McCain Approval
Base
Ward Favorability
Approve 34%
33%
34%
29%
Favorable 15%
12%
16%
8%
Disapprove 52%
49%
52%
58%
Unfavorable 20%
16%
20%
25%
18%
13%
12%
72%
64%
67%
Race
Base
Race
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Base
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Favorable 28%
31%
27%
27%
Unfavorable 30%
26%
31%
28%
43%
42%
45%
32%
47%
24%
39%
34%
45%
29%
20%
31%
Race
Base
Ward / Kirkpatrick
Kelli Ward 37%
27%
42%
23%
32%
35%
46%
40%
24%
31%
Race
Base
Race
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
23%
28%
20%
55%
33%
48%
19%
35%
30%
3%
4%
2%
Not sure
Base
4%
64%
72%
83%
27%
21%
13%
8%
7%
5%
Not sure
7%
Race
Base
Race
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
92%
66%
33%
43%
68%
91%
8%
27%
45%
37%
20%
4%
7%
22%
19%
12%
5%
Not sure
7%
Race
Base
Race
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
Base
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
76%
56%
73%
8%
29%
14%
16%
14%
13%
29%
23%
13%
33%
39%
55%
37%
37%
32%
Race
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Obama Approval
35%
22%
29%
18%
41%
43%
46%
37%
29%
Approve 43%
50%
41%
36%
Disapprove 49%
37%
53%
60%
12%
6%
5%
Not sure
8%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Clinton Favorability
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Sanders Favorability
Favorable 31%
24%
37%
32%
Favorable 40%
47%
40%
29%
Unfavorable 60%
62%
58%
62%
Unfavorable 49%
40%
51%
59%
14%
5%
5%
13%
8%
12%
Not sure
8%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
31%
36%
44%
Unfavorable 56%
59%
57%
47%
Not sure
8%
10%
7%
8%
Base
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Hillary Clinton 38%
39%
38%
35%
32%
43%
51%
7%
6%
3%
Gary Johnson
6%
Jill Stein
2%
3%
2%
1%
18%
11%
10%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 41%
45%
41%
34%
38%
48%
54%
17%
11%
12%
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Bernie Sanders 42%
52%
38%
30%
29%
42%
52%
4%
8%
5%
Gary Johnson
6%
Jill Stein
2%
3%
2%
1%
12%
10%
13%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Sanders/Trump
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Brewer Favorability
53%
44%
34%
Favorable 35%
36%
33%
37%
37%
46%
55%
Unfavorable 46%
40%
53%
45%
10%
10%
11%
24%
14%
18%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
46%
44%
37%
52%
46%
35%
39%
44%
49%
37%
41%
51%
15%
13%
14%
12%
13%
15%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
McCain Approval
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Ward Favorability
Approve 34%
38%
32%
29%
Favorable 15%
11%
17%
15%
Disapprove 52%
45%
57%
57%
Unfavorable 20%
17%
22%
20%
16%
12%
14%
71%
61%
65%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Favorable 28%
26%
29%
29%
Unfavorable 30%
23%
34%
34%
51%
38%
37%
37%
45%
44%
31%
38%
39%
33%
16%
17%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Ward / Kirkpatrick
Kelli Ward 37%
31%
42%
39%
30%
38%
39%
39%
20%
23%
Base
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
More likely 26%
23%
25%
33%
42%
38%
34%
29%
34%
30%
5%
2%
3%
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
56%
84%
75%
77%
72%
46%
33%
12%
19%
18%
23%
39%
11%
4%
5%
5%
5%
15%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
61%
67%
67%
22%
23%
19%
17%
10%
13%
65%
60%
57%
20%
27%
27%
15%
13%
16%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than ...
18%
25%
30%
41%
38%
40%
40%
37%
29%
29%
23%
20%
31%
40%
45%
40%
36%
35%
Obama Approval
Base
Clinton Favorability
Approve 43%
43%
44%
Favorable 31%
34%
28%
Disapprove 49%
51%
45%
Unfavorable 60%
59%
62%
6%
11%
7%
10%
Not sure
8%
Not sure
8%
Sanders Favorability
Base
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
42%
38%
Favorable 36%
38%
33%
Unfavorable 49%
48%
50%
Unfavorable 56%
57%
55%
10%
12%
5%
13%
Not sure
8%
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Base
Clinton/Trump
39%
36%
40%
41%
Gary Johnson
6%
6%
6%
Jill Stein
2%
1%
5%
14%
13%
41%
42%
45%
45%
14%
13%
Base
Sanders/Trump
44%
39%
39%
39%
Gary Johnson
6%
6%
5%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
3%
9%
14%
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
47%
43%
43%
46%
10%
11%
Brewer Favorability
Favorable 35%
38%
31%
Unfavorable 46%
46%
48%
16%
22%
Base
Clinton / Trump With
Brewer
Hillary Clinton 43%
44%
41%
42%
45%
14%
13%
Base
47%
44%
41%
43%
12%
13%
Approve 34%
36%
29%
Disapprove 52%
53%
51%
10%
19%
Ward Favorability
Favorable 15%
12%
18%
Unfavorable 20%
22%
17%
66%
65%
McCain Approval
Base
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Favorable 28%
32%
22%
Unfavorable 30%
28%
33%
40%
46%
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Base
Ward / Kirkpatrick
42%
42%
37%
37%
37%
33%
35%
36%
21%
25%
28%
27%
Base
29%
22%
42%
35%
27%
37%
2%
5%
4%
75%
67%
23%
20%
3%
13%
Not sure
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Not sure
7%
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
68%
70%
71%
58%
25%
23%
22%
21%
7%
6%
7%
21%
Not sure
7%
25%
23%
13%
17%
Base
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
60%
25%
21%
38%
42%
37%
37%
25%
25%
38%
37%
37%
39%
Mode
Base
Obama Approval
Approve 43%
40%
58%
Disapprove 49%
54%
26%
6%
16%
Not sure
8%
Mode
Base
Pho... Intern...
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Clinton Favorability
Base
Pho... Intern...
Sanders Favorability
Favorable 31%
32%
27%
Favorable 40%
36%
56%
Unfavorable 60%
61%
56%
Unfavorable 49%
55%
25%
6%
17%
9%
19%
Not sure
8%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
39%
22%
Unfavorable 56%
52%
70%
8%
8%
Not sure
8%
Base
Pho... Intern...
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Hillary Clinton 38%
38%
35%
44%
26%
Gary Johnson
6%
5%
9%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
5%
11%
25%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 41%
39%
51%
49%
29%
12%
20%
Base
Sanders/Trump/Johnson/Stein
Bernie Sanders 42%
37%
59%
44%
19%
Gary Johnson
6%
6%
5%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
4%
11%
14%
Mode
Base
Pho... Intern...
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Sanders/Trump
Base
Pho... Intern...
Brewer Favorability
40%
65%
Favorable 35%
37%
26%
49%
27%
Unfavorable 46%
49%
35%
11%
8%
14%
39%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Base
Pho... Intern...
40%
55%
42%
62%
47%
28%
46%
24%
13%
17%
12%
14%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
McCain Approval
Base
Pho... Intern...
Ward Favorability
Approve 34%
29%
51%
Favorable 15%
15%
11%
Disapprove 52%
58%
28%
Unfavorable 20%
22%
10%
12%
21%
62%
79%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Kirkpatrick
Favorability
Base
Pho... Intern...
McCain / Kirkpatrick
Favorable 28%
29%
23%
Unfavorable 30%
32%
21%
39%
56%
42%
41%
38%
27%
20%
32%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Ward / Kirkpatrick
Base
Pho... Intern...
Senate Candidate
Support Trump
More/Less Likely
43%
15%
36%
32%
28%
19%
21%
54%
37%
46%
33%
26%
2%
9%
Not sure
4%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Comfortable With
Clinton As Nominee
Yes/No
Base
Pho... Intern...
Comfortable With
Sanders As Nominee
Yes/No
74%
63%
63%
88%
18%
35%
29%
7%
8%
3%
7%
5%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
7%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Comfortable With
Trump As Nominee
Yes/No
67%
54%
21%
30%
12%
Pho... Intern...
Senate Hold
Confirmation Hearings
Yes/No
Base
16%
60%
65%
28%
11%
12%
25%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Senator Oppose
Hearings More/Less
Likely
25%
18%
42%
32%
33%
49%
Pho... Intern...
Base
22%
32%
41%
28%
37%
40%