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CHAPTER 1
1.1 Introduction
Our case study is AKLEH Highway Phase 2 (Ampang-Kuala Lumpur Elevated Highway (Akleh)
Phase 2 East Bound from Ulu Kelang Interchange (Km 6.0). Akleh Phase 2 is an additional
route connecting to the existing deck (AKLEH Highway) that will involve the expansion of the
existing two-lane dual carriageway into a three-lane dual carriageway from KM 4.6,
Persimpangan Jalan Jelatek until KM 6.0, Jalan Ulu Kelang Interchange towards Ampang Area
by providing a new three-lane route along the 1.4 km.
CHAPTER 1
International Standards are strategic tools and guidelines to help companies tackle some of the
most demanding challenges of modern business. They ensure that business operations are as
efficient as possible, increase productivity and help companies access new markets.
ISO standards help businesses to:
Access new markets, through ensuring the compatibility of products and services
MALAYSIAN
STANDARD,MSIEC/ISO
31010:2011
Background
Provides guidance on
selection and
application of
systematic techniques
for risk assessment.
Standard concerning
risk management
codified by The
International
Organization for
Standardization and
The International
Electrotechnical
Commission (IEC).
Can be used by any
public, private or
community enterprise,
association, group or
individual.
provides guidance on
selection and
application of
systematic techniques
for risk assessment
Risk assessment
Risk Management
AUSTRALIAN/
NEWZEALAND
STANDARD, AS/NZS
4360:2004
Sets out a generic
process for risk
management which is
independent of any
specific industry or
economic sector.
Recognises upside and
downside of risk,
referring to potential
gains and potential
losses and to positive
and negative
outcomes. Addresses
both, in parts of the
standard eg Risk
Treatment.
Sets out process and
brief content for each
step.
The process is very
similar to that in the
AIRMIC Standard
ENTERPRISE RISK
MANAGEMENT
INTERGRATED
FRAMEWORK COSO 2004
Sets out a generic risk
management process
with more emphasis on
business risk , value
creation and internal
control.
Recognises upside and
downside of risk,
expressing this more in
terms of uncertainty and
the associated risks and
opportunities.
Sets out components of
risk management, ie the
risk management process.
Presents a three
dimensional matrix to
relate the organisations
objectives to the risk
management components
and to the business unit
structure of the
organisation.
RISK MANAGEMENT
STANDARD
AIRMIC/ALARM/IRM 2002
Standard describes
Context
carried out in
accordance with this
standard contributes to
other risk management
activities.
Supporting standard for
ISO 31000
organisations internal
and external environment
and the interface
between the two.
Risk Management is
so important that it merits
every organization to set
up its own Enterprise Risk
Management which
integrates with its
corporate governance
process, operational,
strategic and corporate
planning process,
budgeting, internal and
external threats, and
internal controls
Business Objective
and Objective
Setting
exactly comparable
section but discusses in a
number of places: The link to business
objectives
The organisation s
internal environment
Four categories of
objectives strategic,
operations, reporting
and compliance
Risk management
philosophy and
risk appetite.
Emphasises strategic
objectives as supporting
the the organisations
vision and
mission.
At a high level, all four of standard are similar in that each of them:
sets out a generic process for risk management and accepts that there needs to be
flexibility in implementation
sets out steps in the risk management process with brief guidance on each.
2.2.1 Process
Many approach and procedure were modeled by researchers can be adopted in the process of
project risk management system. The early framework established by Al-Bahar & Crandall
(1991) is called CRMS (Construction Risk Management System) Model which consists of four
processes of risk identification, risk analysis and evaluation, response management and system
administration.
For AKLEH Phase 2 project, we are come out with the framework where the risk management
cycle consists of four major steps compromises of risk identification, risk analysis, risk response
analysis and risk monitoring, controlling and reporting (Refer to Error: Reference source not
found).
Can (2002) structured the process of risk management into four process phase which
comprises initiation phase, balancing phase, maintenance phase and learning phase which
each phase breakdown into several stages. Initiation phase are the establishment of the
requirement, project, process and team for the risk management system. The second phase
starts with risk identification followed by modeling, estimating, evaluation and balancing every
risk factor in the project. Third stage is the maintenance of the risk environment and closed by
lesson learned from the present project experience as the final phase.
The process that will be carried out is illustrate in the Figure 2-1 which consist of process of risk
identification, risk analysis, risk response analysis and finalized by risk monitoring, controlling
and reporting.
Figure 2-1 Proposed Risk Management Process for AKLEH Phase 2 project
10
as systematic and continuous process of identifying, categorizing, and assessing the initial
significance of risks associated with a construction project (Refer Figure 2-3).
The risk identification activity was the most difficult stage especially on large-scale defense and
space projects (Batson, 2009). According to Batson (2009), risk identification should be carried
out as early since during construction planning and from lesson learned from previous similar
projects.
The starting point for identifying risk is come out with the checklist. All related risk that affects
productivity, performance, quality and economic of the construction project will be listed since
the all those element is included in the project objective. (Batson, 2009) suggested risk
identification made during the early stage of project development to reduce the variability, in the
transition from design to construction and during actual construction phase. Failure to identify
the potential risk may result in disaster include economic gain/loss, personal injury, physical
damage, time and cost savings/overrun or refrain an opportunity to perform appropriate
corrective action (Al-Bahar & Crandall, 1991). .
Mojtahedi, Mousavi, & Makui (2010) classified the identified risks according to the likelihood
occurrence of the risks. Zou et al., (2007) suggested two approaches of classifying risk; by risk
owner or project stakeholder (clients, designers, contractors, subcontractors/suppliers,
government and external parties) or by element of project objective (cost related risks, time
related risks, quality related risks, environment related risks and safety related risks
There are many options can be used to categorized the identified risk. The risk classification
method used by Pinthong (2003), which classified those risk according to the external and
internal risk factor with sub-elements were adopted.
To establish identification of risk exposure to that particular AKLEH Phase 2 construction
project, we are looking for lists of potential risk associated with various project through journals,
progress report of the AKLEH Phase 2 project, and information provided by project
management personnel. Identified risk factor from data collection from journals related to similar
and various construction project (Batson, 2009; El-Sayegh, 2008; Ghosh & Jintanapakanont,
2004; Pinthong, 2003; Zhao, Hwang, & Yu, 2013; Zou et al., 2007) were listed.
All identified risks during the AKLEH Phase 2 construction project were listed in the following
table 2-1, Table 2-2 and Table 2-3
Type of risk
1. Construction Risk
1
Shortage of equipment
Shortage of material
10
Inadequate planning
11
Insolvency of suppliers
12
Insolvency of subcontractors
13
Bad Weather
2. Legal Risk
14
15
17
18
19
Poor supervision
20
21
11
ID
Type of risk
4. Finance Risk
Delay in payment for claim
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
5. Design risk
Method of construction defined in drawing and specification is
30
inappropriate and inapplicable to construct
31
32
33
34
Inaccurate quantities
35
36
Rush design
37
38
Change of scope
6. Environmental Risk
39
Pollution
40
Ecological damage
41
42
43
44
12
13
Type of risk
7. Logistic Risk
45
Inaccurate project program
46
47
48
49
50
8. Organizational Risk
51
Inexperienced staf assigned
52
53
54
55
56
14
(Al-Bahar & Crandall, 1991). Risk analysis should be performed as part of the risk management
process for each project and it is designed to remove or reduce the risks which threaten the
achievement of project objectives. As for all risks identified, it has to be assessed in order to
determine the risk priority as well as for risk response techniques. Properly undertaken of risk
analysis will increase the likelihood of successful completion of a project towards cost, time and
performance objectives.
15
responses to a risk, responses have to be embraced in a model. Useful information for choosing
among the alternatives will be provided by quantifying the results using dissimilar responses.
Can & Cruz, (2002) was listed out the type of quantitative risk analysis techniques which consist
of;
a) Sensitivity analysis to determine the criticality of several project limitations.
b) Expected value tables to relate expected value for dissimilar risk responses.
c) Triple estimates and probabilistic sums applied to cost estimating.
d) Monte Carlo, Latin hypercube simulation to achieve the cumulative likelihood
distributions of the projects objectives
e) Decision trees to support decision making when there are choices with uncertain
outcomes.
f) Probabilistic influence diagrams combining influence diagrams with probability and
Monte Carlo theory.
g) Process simulation, using a variety of techniques to simulate specific project processes.
The collected data were analyzed through Risk Matrix Method. The analysis included ranking
the different causes according to the relative importance indices. The analysis revealed the
most contributing factors and categories causing risks. Likelihood is derived from uncertainty of
risk occurrence. The impact is the effect of the contingency.
16
Questionnaires were developed into three (3) major sections (A, B and C).
Section (A&B): Aimed to obtain information about caused of risks in construction projects, it was
asked to rate those initially identified fifty-Six (56) factors according to their impact (I) and
likelihood (P). A survey was conducted through distributed questionnaires in which respondents
were asked to rank and score these factors according to their experience and position.
Section (C): Personal information of the respondent was collected (e.g., work experience of
construction projects and work position. The company for involved for this surveyed by
questionnaires is PROLINTAS SDN BHD.
Totally fifteen (15) person approached for these questionnaires and nine (9) out of fifteen
responses were received with response rate equals to 60%.
Assessment of feedback from questionnaire survey was made. Analysis was carried out for nine
(9) responses to identify major risk contributing factors. Analysis is discussed in details, on the
basis of which recommendations to construct projects were made.
17
probability of the causes leading to risk and the respondent is asked to state the probability of
occurrence of these causes in his projects on a scale with the ranting 1 representing
Inconceivable; 2 Remote 3 Conceivable; 4 possible; and 5 Most Likely.
The second section questionnaire required the respondent to rank these on a scale with the
rating of 1 representing Negligible; 2 Minor 3 Serious; 4 Fatal; and 5Catastrophic
according to the degree of Probability risk in construction.
The third section addresses general information about the respondents such as (1) Years of
experience and (2) Position of the respondent.
The design of the questionnaire was based on the fact that they had to be simple, clear, and
understandable for respondents, and at the same time, they should be able to be interpreted
well by us. The questionnaire has a definite advantage of requiring smaller time to be
responded and is more accurate in the final outcome.
Factors causing risk in construction projects in AKLEH Phase 2 project were identified through
the literature based on previous researches, journal together with input, revision by groups
members where a total of ninety-nine (56) factors at nine (9) major categories were identified.
The participants were required to rate the factors in the way they affect risk in construction
projects using their own experiences on construction of highway sites.
2.2.3.3.3 Data gathering
Questionnaires were mailed to respondents (Project Managers, Site Managers, Assistant
Managers, Project Engineers, Finance Managers, HSE Officer, Site Engineer, Project Engineer
and Sr. Exc. Project Development) completed forms were requested to be mailed or faxed back
to us, and the response for this request was poor. Another approach of collecting data was
used; involved follow-up telephone calls, most of data were collected by this method.
Over a period of 1 week later, we collected nine (9) responses from fifteen (15) total forms from
PROLINTAS SDN BHD; this means the rate of response was 60%. The details of respond from
respondents with their classifications were mentioned in Table 2-4 for clarifications.
18
respondents
Project Managers,
Percentage,
No of respondents
1
Site Managers,
Assistant Managers
Project Engineers,
Finance Managers,
HSE Officer,
Site Engineer,
Project Engineer
Sr. Exc. Project
Development
Total
1
1
1
1
1
1
%
11.11
11.11
11.11
11.11
11.11
11.11
11.11
11.11
1
9
11.11
100 %
In both surveys, the baseline characteristics of the respondents were relatively similar. Of the 9
respondents in the survey,
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
h)
i)
Project Managers,11.11%,
Site Managers 11.11%,
Assistant Managers 11.11%,
Project Engineers 11.11%,
Finance Managers 11.11%,,
HSE Officer 11.11%,
Site Engineer 11.11%,
Project Engineer 11.11% and
Sr. Exc. Project Development 11.11%
This research is based on a survey designed to gather all necessary information in an effective
way. The survey presents fifty-Six (56) factors generated on the basis of related research works
19
on risk factor in construction projects. These factors were classified into nine (9) major
categories based on previous section and as advised by researcher (see Table 2-5):
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
7)
8)
9)
To consider the effect of different levels of the participants experiences, the results were
grouped into four (4) main groups: group 1 for respondents experience 1 till 5 years; group
2 for respondents experience above 6 till 10 years; and group 3 for respondents experience
above 11 till 5 years and group 4 for respondents experience above 16 years.Table 2-6
depicts these groups.
In all surveys, the majority of the respondents have 11 till 15 years experience in
construction/project management or working knowledge of construction/project management
activities. Based on work experience and employment position, it was inferred that the
respondents have adequate knowledge of the activities associated with construction project risk.
This makes them as reliable and credible sources of information which is crucial to satisfy the
research goal. The procedure, findings, and relevant discussion of the analyses are detailed in
the following section.
ID
category factors
01: 08
09:13
13
02
Category
Finance Factors Category
Design Factors Category
Design Risk Factors Category
Environmental Factors Category
Logistic Factors Category
Organizational Factors Category
14: 15
16: 21
22: 29
30: 31
32: 38
39: 44
45: 50
06
08
02
07
06
06
06
Total
51: 56
No of respondents
1
4
2
2
9
Percentage%
11..11%
44.44 %
22.22 %
22.22 %
100 %
56
20
21
22
23
24
Risk Mitigation
Risk Transfer
Risk Acceptance
Contractually transfer
altogether by
risk event to an
exposure to a third
the financial
acceptance level
party
consequences
25
project will be able to eliminate the monitoring and control of the risk management process need
to be conducted if there were risks.
2.2.4.2 Risk Mitigation
Not all the risk sources can be solved by risk avoidance and transfer. In fact most of the risks
cannot be addressed by the above two risk responses. Therefore, for majority of the risks,
reduction or mitigation techniques need to be applied. Depending on where the risk source lies
in the risk matrix, mitigation may be done either by reducing the probability of risks or by
reducing their impact or both. If the impact of the risk is high, risk reduction may be done by
lessening the extent of the damage. If the risk occurs very often, it is wiser to tackle the risk
sources at their root by inhibiting their trigger (Hillson, 1999). Whenever the risk probability and
the impacts are high, the response strategy should be to reduce both.
2.2.4.3 Risk Transfer
Method of transferring risk to another party, while according to Edwards & Bowen (2005), it was
described as shifting the burden of a particular risk to another stakeholder. This method is
commonly used by main construction firms to release the burden of a particular risk under their
responsibility. Examples are:
a.
Main contractor sublet some portion of their contract works to their sub contractors,
whereby the subletting exercise itself will transfer all the risks related to the sub
b.
contractors.
Contractor All Risks or CAR insurance is one of the methods of transferring the risk of
construction accident to insurance company.
26
adapting to every each of risk category. The mitigation measures for major risks in the AKLEH
Highway Phase 2 project were shown in table 2-7 below.
However, the minor risks also need the risk response either to reduce or to eliminate the
severity and likelihood of occurrences. Some of mitigation measure for major risk can heal the
minor risk.
Table 2-7: Risk Response for each Risk Category
Catego
ry ID
Risk
Category
Ris
k
ID
Risk Factor
Shortage of equipment
Shortage of material
8
9
10
11
Insolvency of suppliers
12
Insolvency of subcontractors
13
Bad Weather
14
15
16
17
18
19
5
1
Constructio
n
Legal
Politics and
Contracts
Provision
20
21
Risk
Respons
e
Mitigation
Acceptanc
e
Mitigation
Finance
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
Design
Design Risk
Environmen
tal
Logistics
Organizatio
nal
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Rush design
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
27
Mitigation
Mitigation
Mitigation
Mitigation
Mitigation
Mitigation
56
28
Based on those risks ranking, as the major risk will contribute huge impact to project objective, it
require higher concern. Variety of mitigation measure using multiple response type were
adapting to every single major risk. The mitigation measure for major risks in the AKLEH Phase
2 project were shown in Error: Reference source not found, Error: Reference source not found,
Error: Reference source not found, Error: Reference source not found and Error: Reference
source not found.
However, the minor risks also need the risk response either to reduce or to eliminate the
severity and likelihood of occurrences. Some of mitigation measure for major risk can heal the
minor risk.
Risk
Categories
Construction
Risk Factors
Mitigation Measures
Shortage of
equipment
Shortage of
material
> Material
price fluctuation
> Material
is necessarily
imported from
other country
Lack of site
safety
inspection and
poor
supervision
29
Insolvency
of subcontractor
> Inefficiency
and low
productivity of
sub-contractor
Incorporating a progress-performance-payment
rule in the subcontract where possible e.g. that
stipulates a certain amount can only be
earned/paid when certain requirements have
been met a stage has been achieved in the
project
Properly directing the subcontractor to ensure
they know what is expected of them in relation
to the project
Avoiding the selection of the cheapest
subcontractor if there is doubt on performance
track record
Direct negotiation between Malaysia
government and the other country which can
provide labour supply
Establish networking with others contractor for
labour sharing
Contractors Pre-qualification: the contractors
will be pre-qualified for their experience in
similar projects, technical capabilities of their
personnel, construction equipment, financial
capabilities etc to make sure the good quality of
the contractors are selected for the project.
> Lacks
managerial
skills
Politics and
Contracts
Provision
Bureaucratic
system and
long procedure
for approval
Design
Method of
construction
defined in
drawing and
specification is
inappropriate
30
and
inapplicable to
construct
Design and
drawing change
Not coordinated
design
4
Design Risk
Environmental
Lack of
consistency
between BQ,
drawing and
specification
Adverse
weather
conditions
31
Difficulty to
access the site
(very far)
Environmental
factors (floods,
droughts, etc.)
Logistics
Inaccurate
project program
Inexperienced
staff assigned
Organizational
Losing critical
staff at crucial
point of the
project
32
Table above represents the mitigation measures that have been proposed. The mitigation
measures method recommended by the respondents of the questionnaires which are the higher
level of the management of the AKLEH Phase 2 construction project. Those mitigation methods
was obtained by interviewing and we make a phone call to the respondents of the
questionnaires before which are the persons who is in charge and close to the AKLEH Phase 2
project. The data of the mitigation measures have been discussed amongst all project
participants after they doing brainstorming and internal meetings among their staff project to find
the most appropriate method suited to the situation.
33
34
35
CHAPTER 3
3.1 Result and Discussion
36
37
CHAPTER 3
3.1 RECOMMENDATION
AKLEH Phase 2 project is renowned as a high risk in construction industry. Where are involve
complexity of project, time consuming design and construction processes characterized by
unforeseen circumstances. As a result, effective risk management is essential in construction
AKLEH Phase 2 project in to minimize losses and enhance profits. Therefore, each of
contractors may wish to implement these concepts in varying degrees onto the efficient and
effective management of the risk involved.
Second recommendation is contractors involved in this AKLEH Phase 2 project must consider
the rate of contingency sum or risk allowance and variable pricing of each element during
tendering stage. This is to secure the contractors from all angles unforeseen circumstances
occur during construction project.
Third recommendation is to small firms may utilize the classification concepts to provide a better
view of total risk and use these results to determine if the project is worth bidding. Larger firms
may desire to blend the concepts into their existing insurance programs, maintaining a dynamic
risk evaluation program for the life of the project as suggested.
The last recommendation is for risk department should prepare a risk report for each project
that their firms participated in tender. The report most consist of all construction risk involved at
every construction stages starting from design, construction up to operational stage if needed.
The risk report should include identified construction risk, raft estimate or cost of risk and
proposed mitigation plan with costing.
38
3.2 CONCLUSION
In order to achieve project objectives in term of time, cost, quality and environmental
sustainability, systematic risk management is very crucial. Variety risks related to different
project stakeholders may occur at different project stages. Proper management of these risks
can help significantly influence the achievement of project objectives (Zou et al., 2007). A
project stakeholder includes project owner, consultant, contractor, and authority should
cooperate together since throughout project lifecycle to organize and strategies the potential
risk.
Risk management concept is moderately fresh to the construction industry. The analytical
addition presented in this course project is the efficient analytical method to be implemented in
the real situation in construction project. It can improve in term of cost, time and also quality.
However, to achieve the oriented goal, all parties such as clients, designers, contractors and
government agencies must do their parts and be responsible in whatever circumstances to
ensure the safe, efficient and high quality construction activities.
39
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